Similar Challenges – Different Outcomes: Addressing the Supply and Demand Sides of Party Funding Regulations in Post-Communist Space1 Sergiu Lipcean European University Institute [email protected] Paper prepared for the presentation at the ECPR General Conference Prague, 7-10 September, 2016 Work in progress, Please do not cite without permission 1 This is not a self-standing paper. It is an empirical chapter of my PhD thesis 1 Table of contents 1. Operationalization of restrictiveness towards income limits ................................................................... 5 2. The development of legal framework on financing with respect to party regular activity .................. 8 2.1. General trends regarding restrictiveness of income from private sources for party daily activity ........................................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.2. Low restrictive cases............................................................................................................................. 12 2.3. Medium-high restrictive cases............................................................................................................. 13 2.4. High restrictive cases ............................................................................................................................ 18 2.5. Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 25 3.The development of legal framework on financing with respect to election campaigns ................... 26 3.1. General trends regarding restrictiveness of income from private sources for election campaigns ...................................................................................................................................................... 26 3.2. Low restrictive cases............................................................................................................................. 30 3.3. Medium-low restrictive cases .............................................................................................................. 31 3.4. Medium-high restrictive cases............................................................................................................. 35 3.5. High restrictive cases ............................................................................................................................ 39 3.6. Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................. 49 2 List of tables: Table 1: Frequency of cases spent by post – communist polities under different restrictiveness regimes ................................................................................................................................................................................. 10 Table 2: Magnitude of change in restrictiveness degree for party regular activity 1990/1991 – 2007/2012*............................................................................................................................................................ 11 Table 3: Maximum level of donations for physical and legal entities in countries belonging to mediumhigh and high restrictive PFR ............................................................................................................................. 16 Table 4: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to medium-high restrictiveness type 2007-2012 (thousand $) ............................................................................ 17 Table 5: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2010-2011 (thousand $)............................................................................................ 20 Table 6: The size of donors’ network for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type...................... 23 Table 7: Frequency of election campaigns spent by post – communist polities under different restrictiveness regimes 1990 – 2012................................................................................................................... 27 Table 8: Magnitude of change in restrictiveness degree for party electoral activity 1990- 2011............... 28 Table 9: the maximum limits on campaign spending for candidates and parties in Hungary (US $) ...... 33 Table 10: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2007-2011 (US $)....................................................................................................... 43 Table 11: The size of donors’ network for high restrictive cases .................................................................. 46 List of figures: Figure 1: Typology of party funding regimes based on restrictiveness of private sources of income ....... 5 Figure 2: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for party regular activity in post-communist polities 1990 – 1996................................................................................................ 9 Figure 3: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for party regular activity in post-communist polities 2007 – 2011.............................................................................................. 10 Figure 4: Timing of switching to more restrictive regimes and duration ..................................................... 12 Figure 5: Frequency of cases under a low restrictive regime by country 1990-2012 .................................. 13 Figure 6: Frequency of cases under a medium-high restrictive regime by country 1990-2012................. 14 Figure 7: Maximum levels on donations from physical and legal persons for medium-high restrictive regimes 1994 – 1997 (in US $ thousand). ......................................................................................................... 15 Figure 8: Maximum levels of donations from physical and legal entities for medium-high restrictive cases 2007-2012 (US $ thousand)....................................................................................................................... 17 Figure 9: Frequency of cases under a high restrictive regime by country 1990-2011................................. 18 Figure 10: Limits on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2010-2011 ............................................................................................................................ 21 3 Figure 11: Overtime distribution of restrictiveness regimes for party regular activity 1990 – 2012 ....... 26 Figure 12: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for election campaigns 1990 – 1996........................................................................................................................................ 27 Figure 13: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for election campaigns 2007 – 2011........................................................................................................................................ 28 Figure 14: Timing and pace of change between different election financing regimes in post-communist space 1990-2012.................................................................................................................................................... 29 Figure 15: Frequency of cases under a low restrictive regime for election financing by country 19902012 ........................................................................................................................................................................ 31 Figure 16: Frequency of cases under a medium-low restrictive regime for election financing by country 1990-2012............................................................................................................................................................... 32 Figure 17: Frequency of cases under a medium-high restrictive regime for election financing by country 1990-2012............................................................................................................................................................... 35 Figure 18: Maximum levels of donations on physical and legal persons during election campaigns for medium-high restrictiveness cases ..................................................................................................................... 37 Figure 19: Maximum donation levels from physical entities for high restrictive cases 2007-2011 (US $) ................................................................................................................................................................................. 43 Figure 20: Maximum donation levels from legal entities for high restrictive cases 2007-2011 (US $) .... 44 Figure 21: The relationship between the size of donors’ network and the size of electoral market ........ 47 Figure 22: The relationship between the size of donors’ network and the size of electoral market (without Moldova and Russia)............................................................................................................................ 47 Figure 23: Overtime distribution of restrictiveness regimes for party regular activity 1990 – 2012 ....... 50 4 1. Operationalization of restrictiveness towards income limits In this chapter I investigate the restrictiveness of party and campaign income amassed from private sources relying on the analytical framework exposed in the second chapter. The underlying idea based on which I conceive restrictiveness is linked to fundraising endeavors of political parties. As already noticed, a given PFR becomes more restrictive as political parties have to deploy more efforts in amassing income from private sources. The emphasis falls on income limits imposed on donations from different sources like physical and/or legal persons and aggregate limits on party/campaign income. Hence, the restrictiveness of income from private sources stems from crossing these two legal indicators. Figure 1 graphically depicts this typology. Figure 1: Typology of party funding regimes based on restrictiveness of private sources of income Caps on individual contributions Caps on aggregate income No Yes No Low Medium-low Yes Medium-high High As result of crossing, we obtain four configurations of restrictiveness ranging from a low to a high degree with two intermediate types. Any PFR that envisages limits neither on contributions from a single entity nor on aggregate income records a low restrictiveness score. On the contrary, any PFR that envisages limits on both types of caps records a high restrictiveness score. A medium-low score is assigned to those financing regimes that foresee limits for aggregate income but do not institute caps on private contributions. Finally, a medium-high score is assigned to those regimes that envisage limits on donations but do not set up limits on the aggregate party/campaign income. 5 Within this framework, however, there are instances of extreme cases belonging to the high restrictive type. This kind of restrictiveness embodiment can emerge in two different situations. The first occurrence emerges when political opposition is completely banned, that is, legal framework doesn’t allow the registration and operation of alternative political parties. The second occurrence unfolds when private actors are banned from contribute to any electoral competitor altogether. In former communist polities such cases are found in several authoritarian regimes. 2 I use this framework to scrutinize financing regulations for both party regular activity and election campaigning. This is a necessary and pertinent separation due to national differences related to the duration of election campaigns that affect party fundraising and spending strategies. Therefore, by investigating both regular and campaign funding regulations allows capturing the fullness of regulatory regime. For instance if a given PRF is mainly focused on election campaign while leaving uncovered regular funding, then a large part of party finances would remain completely unaccountable in many respects. In the broadest sense, every party financial activity can be regarded as “money for electioneering” (Pinto-Duschinsky, 2002, p. 70) regardless of the time frame, although the intensity of electoral competition makes the use of money much more visible during elections. Consequently, it doesn’t come as a surprise that electoral rules much more densely regulate the behaviour of electoral contenders regarding their finances. Nevertheless, controlling the sources of money and how it is spent by parties throughout their regular operation is not of a lesser importance. When the boundaries between election and non-election periods are blurred, parties have at their disposal more opportunities to avoid compliance by concealing not only the source of money but also its manipulation between election and non-election cycles. Hence, by analysing PFR relying on this division offers the possibility to look at the way how financing regulations for party daily activity and electioneering are intertwined. This framework also offers the advantage of investigating the incentive structure that regulatory framework lays down for political parties. By incentive structure I imply here the manoeuvring room available to political parties in designing their fundraising strategies. As already mentioned, a given PFR is considered more permissive if it does not require much efforts to be deployed in collecting financial resources. Resorting to this guideline, below I provide some considerations on how to operationalize restrictiveness beyond the mere assignment of cases to one or another restrictiveness type. The assignment of cases to different restrictiveness types does not tell us, however, much on how to compare cases when they belong to the same type. It might well be the case that many PFR could share the same properties, but still exhibiting high variation within the same type. Three out of four types display such a possibility. 2 I will discuss this type in more details while performing empirical analysis of post-communist polities. 6 Bearing in mind that my benchmark is the easiness whereby parties amass resources, the dividing line is drawn between those PFR that envisage and do not envisage caps on private contributions. In our case, low and medium-low restrictive regimes share this property. Since there are no legally binding quantitative restrictions on the amount a single entity is authorized to contribute to party coffers it is relatively easy for parties to collect money, provided that they are capable to access the pool of affluent donors. The only restriction is the payment capacity of a donor and his/her willingness to contribute. Therefore, such financing regimes are the most prone to so called plutocratic financing (Koole & Gidlung, 2001; Nassmacher, 2001; Pinto-Duschinsky, 1989). Low restrictive regime does not require any specific operationalization because it depicts a regime with no legally prescribed restrictions. Under the medium-low restrictive type the operationalization yardstick that allows comparing PFR restrictiveness is epitomized by the upper limit on party/campaign income. The larger the amount of financial resources political parties are entitled to accrue, the more permissive a funding regime is meant to be. Notwithstanding, this does not affect substantively the efforts parties have to carry out in their fundraising. It is legally admissible that a single resourceful contributor could bear the entire cost of financing. The occurrence of such an outcome is highly improbable in an ordinary situation but from a legal perspective it is feasible and analytically relevant. On the other side of the dividing line there are other two types that record higher restrictiveness values due to the presence of contribution limits set up by the regulatory framework. Under these conditions parties have to deploy more endeavours in order to collect the necessary resources for their operation. Overall, the relationship between contribution limits and restrictiveness hinges on the donation’s value from a single entity. The larger the amount a single donor is entitled to contribute to party/campaign financing the less restrictive a PFR becomes and vice versa. The logic is that even under the presence of contribution limits, provided they are permissive, parties are not required to struggle too much so as to fill up their war chests. On the contrary, when the upper threshold on donations is fixed at low values, it is more likely to be associated with more constraining regimes due to greater efforts needed to be deployed so as to reach a broader pool of sponsors. Under these conditions lower caps on private contributions are much closer linked to grassroots financing strategies. Nevertheless, as will be shown throughout empirical analysis, it need not always be the case that donation caps, by default, entail a highly restrictive PFR. Given the fact that medium-high and high restrictive types are differentiated only by the presence of an upper annual/campaign limit (which is a significant additional restriction), but share the same feature of capping donation limits, their operationalization is slightly different. Both types however offer the possibility to explore the variation when many cases would fall within the same type. For the medium-high regimes the indicator that allows comparing similar cases is simply represented by the value of contribution limits itself. As already pointed out, high thresholds on 7 donations would involve fewer efforts to accrue financial resources and, therefore, would be associated with a less restrictive PFR. The opposite holds for low thresholds on contribution limits. The high restrictive type offers even a better way to operationalize restrictiveness and compare cases that belong to it. Knowing the value for a single donation and the value for the total income it is possible to construct an index that would reflect the extensiveness of donors’ network. This index is obtained by dividing the value of the upper limit on total campaign income as foreseen by law to the maximum value of a single contribution. The result represents the minimum number of donors that are necessary to reach the limit. The number of donors accounts here for the size of donors’ network and implicitly for the restrictiveness degree. The greater the number of sponsors needed to reach the aggregate income limit, the more constraining a PFR becomes since parties are compelled to strive harder to reach the limit. Vice versa, the lower the number of donors indispensable to reach the upper limit of the aggregate income, the less constraining are the rules on donations since the efforts undertaken by any party or candidate to reach the maximum limit are less demanding. In the light of these considerations, in the next paragraph I turn to the analysis of regulatory arrangements of party financing in post-communist polities and their development over time. 2. The development of legal framework on financing with respect to party regular activity 2.1. General trends regarding restrictiveness of income from private sources for party daily activity In this paragraph I address two issues related to the development of PFR in post-communist polities – cross-country and overtime variation in the restrictiveness degree for party non-election activity. PFR in post-communist space illustrate an interesting paradox regarding their restrictiveness. While displaying a considerable degree of variation they still resembled each other in one respect – the direction of restrictiveness. The majority of these financing regimes moved from the lack or very lax rules, pertaining to donation limits and caps on aggregate income, to quite complex regulatory regimes. In many cases, besides quantitative restrictions, i.e. how much money can be raised, these regimes also provided for some qualitative restrictions, that is, money coming from a certain source like party property or anonymous donations (when they were allowed) could not exceed a certain share out of the total income. At the onset of transition, few countries imposed constraints on party regular activity. While there was a motivated concern towards imposing restrictions on certain income sources, little attention was given to capping income from those who were authorized to give out, or to limit the total amount one could raise. Unlike the regulatory framework pertaining to the electoral competition, the regulation of private income sources for party daily activity received little attention. This should not be surprising given the autocratic past and the emergence of pluralistic politics via competitive elections. 8 Figure 2: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for party regular activity in post-communist polities 1990 – 1996 Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: High-extreme – political opposition is banned or private contributions are prohibited altogether; High - limits on contributions from physical and legal persons & and limits on total annual income; Medium-high - only limits on contributions from physical and legal persons; Medium-low - only limits on total annual income; Low - no limits. Figure 2 illustrates the state of affairs pertaining to the restrictiveness of PFR when former communist countries embarked on democratization process. Except few cases discussed above, during the first decade of transition the majority of postcommunist polities did not alter their rules regarding donations and limits on total income. They followed suit only at later stages by revising existing regulatory framework or enacting brand new legislation on party funding. Figure 3 captures the state of affairs for each country at the moment of GRECO evaluation of thier PFR.3 As one can notice, there is a quite percievable shift from the low restrictiveness type towards more constraining PFR. Nevertheless, as this map shows, CEE and FSU polities can be diveded in two categories. The first category includes countries that have not altered their PFR regarding income limits for party regular activity, while the second category includes those that moved from a low restrictive regime towards more restrictive regulations. For those post-communist countries that are not GRECO members like Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan data reflect their regulatory regimes as of 2011 except Turkmenistan for which the data reflects the regulations adopted in 2012. 3 9 Figure 3: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for party regular activity in post-communist polities 2007 – 2011. Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: High - limits on contributions from physical and legal persons & and limits on total annual income; Medium-high only limits on contributions from physical and legal persons; Medium-low - only limits on total annual income; Low - no limits. Yet, the shift towards more restrictive rules occurred slowly and in the majority of cases quite late. This can be inferred from the table 1 which indicates the frequency of cases spent under different restrictiveness regimes since the onset of transition till GRECO evaluation. One country year spent under a certain restrictiveness regime represents here one case and the table 1 indicates the total number of cases for all post-communist regimes for roughly 20 years. Overall, there is a clear prevalence of low restrictive regimes troughtout two decades of transition. In approximately two thrids of all cases political parties proved to be almost completely unconstrained with regard to the way how they amassed financial means from private sources. The restrictivenees of funding regimes under the lack of contribution limits sprang only from the range of banned sources. Notwithstanding, the lack of donation caps and ceilings on aggregate income still allowed political parties to ofset the restrictions placed on banned sources by extracting unlimited resources from the authorized ones. Table 1: Frequency of cases spent by post – communist polities under different restrictiveness regimes Restrictiveness degree Number of cases Percentage of cases Cumulative percentage Low 386 68.56 68.56 Medium-low 4 0.71 69.27 Medium-high 111 19.72 88.99 High 41 7.28 96.27 Extreme-high* 21 3.73 100 Total 563 100 Source: Author’s own calculations Note: Extreme-high restrictive regime exemplifes an extreme value of high type given the full ban on income from private sources and is usually present in authoriatarian regimes. For this reson I present it separately but it does not constitute a distinct restrictive regime. 10 Only in one fifth of all cases political parties have been subject to legal constraints in accumulating money from private donors via contribution caps and only in seven percent of cases they faced restrictions on both private contributions and total income. Table 1 doesn’t reveal, however, the magnitude and timing of change. The magnitude of change captures the alteration in restrictiveness degree from the beginning of transition until the GRECO evaluation. The maximum change that ranges from the low to the high restrictiveness degree implies three units of change. The timing, on the other hand, reveals the moment of switching from less constraining to more constraining rules. Table 2 presents this change for all post-communist regimes. It shows that 12 countries did not experience any change in the restrictiveness degree, 10 placed only limits on donations and 5 imposed both kinds of caps, i.e. on donations and on the total annual income. Table 2: Magnitude of change in restrictiveness degree for party regular activity 1990/1991 – 2007/2012* Magnitude of change Number of countries Percentage -2 1 3.57 0 12 42.86 2 10 35.71 3 5 17.86 Total 28 100 Source: Author’s own calculations Note: For the Former soviet republics I take 1991 as the lowest time limit while for other post-communist regimes of Central Eastern and South Eastern Europe the lowest time limit is 1990. The upper time limit varies for each country conditional on the GRECO evaluation. For Central Asian Republics which are outside GRECO evaluation scheme the upper time limit is 2011 except Turkmenistan for which it is 2012. Finally, timing of switching towards more restrictive regimes is a crucial factor in regulating party finances. From this perspective, post-communist polities turned out to be quite reluctant in restricting money flows during early ’90. This can be seen from Figure 4 that presents sixteen polities that performed regulatory changes, thus shifting to more restrictive PFR. It displays both the moment of introducing restrictions on contribution limits and/or aggregate income and the endurance of adopted PFR until the upper time limit examined here. As one may notice, besides the variation regarding the timing of enacting more restrictive rules, the common feature displayed by all these cases is the preserving of these rules over time intact. 11 BGR BIH GEO HRV LTU LVA MDA MKD MNE POL ROU RUS SRB SVN TKM UZB 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Ex Ex Ex Ex M Me M Me M Me M Me tre tre tre tre ed d ed d ed d ed d m m m m iu ium iu ium iu ium iu ium m - H em - H em - H em - H e-lo hi i hi -lo hi i hi -lo hi i hi -lo hi i hi g g g g g g g g g g w h h h w h h h w h h h w h gh gh Restrictiveness degree Figure 4: Timing of switching to more restrictive regimes and duration Source: Author’s own elaboration All countries depicted in figure 4, except Montenegro, jumped from a low to medium-high or high restrictive regimes in one stride. Montenegro, instead, needed two steps to reach the high level of restrictiveness. I turn now to a more detailed analysis of each restrictiveness type by scrutinizing more carefully the evolution of individual cases which are representative for every type. 2.2. Low restrictive cases Cases belonging to this restrictiveness regimes feature no legal constraints either on contribution limits from physical and/or legal entities or limits on aggregate income collected from these contributions. Therefore the only relevant dimension to look at is the length of their stay under a financing regime with no constraints. Figure 5 eloquently illustrates cross-country variation in this regard.4 Almost half of post-communist polities, including Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Slovakia, Tajikistan, and Ukraine remained encapsulated into a low restrictiveness regime for the entire period examined here. They are followed by the second group of countries that at least for one decade did not place, alike, any limits on party fundraising. Moldova and Croatia head this group with 16 years spend under the lack of restrictions with Russia and Bulgaria closing it with 10 and 11 years respectively. 4 Frequency of cases is represented by the number of years. 12 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 BIH LVA MKD SVN GEO ROU LTU RUS BGR POL SRB UZB MNE HRV MDA ALB SVK ARM AZE BLR KGZ TJK CZE EST HUN UKR KAZ Frequency of cases Figure 5: Frequency of cases under a low restrictive regime by country 1990-2012 Source: Author’s own elaboration Finally, the last group is represented by those countries which first introduced legal restrictions on income, thus they spent much less time under a low restrictive PFR. Slovenia, Macedonia and Latvia were the first who introduced donation caps between 1994-1995 shortly afterwards followed by Romania and Georgia. 2.3. Medium-high restrictive cases Medium-high restrictive cases feature the presence of annual donation caps on physical and/or legal entities. At the outset of transition only few countries imposed restrictions on the amount a single donor would contribute to party pocket. During the first decade of transition only five countries imposed such legal restrictions – Macedonia, Slovenia, Latvia, Romania and Georgia. Similar to low restrictive cases, figure 6 shows the total number of years each country spent under medium-high restrictive regimes.5 Romania is not presented in figure 5 since it also imposed limits on the annual total income parties could amass from private contributions. 5 13 Figure 6: Frequency of cases under a medium-high restrictive regime by country 1990-2012 16 15 Frequency of cases 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 TKM HRV UZB POL BGR LTU BIH GEO SVN LVA MKD Source: Author’s own elaboration Slovenia’s introduced limits on campaign contributions already in its electoral legislation in 1990 (Toplak, 2007, p. 171). Slovenian Party Law enacted in 1994 applied the same requirements to both physical and legal persons by capping the annual maximum contributions to 10 average monthly wages (AMW) (Art. 22).6 Macedonia’s Law on Political Parties passed in 1994 applied similarly equal restrictions to physical and legal entities by setting up an upper limit at 100 AMW annually. For the election campaigns however this limit was doubled, thus allowing individuals and businesses to donate up to 200 AMW (Art. 30).7 Latvia followed suit in 1995 by fixing the upper limit on annual donations at 25 thousand Lats for both individuals and companies (Art.4). 8 Only Georgia set up different limits for physical and legal entities. The new party law enacted in 1997 fixed the upper annual limit on donations at 30 thousand and 100 thousand Lari for physical and legal entities respectively.9 Despite of their belonging to the same restrictiveness type, one may still notice a variation stemming from different levels on contribution limits. Figure 7 depicts this variation among the former communist regimes belonging to the medium-high during the first decade of transition.10 Political Parties Act - ZpolS (Official Gazette of the RS, no. 62/94 dated 7 October 2004), retrieved from www.partylaw.leidenuniv.nl 7 Law on Political Parties (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia no. 41/94), retrieved from https://web.archive.org/web/20041012230714/http://www.mlrc.org.mk/law/l015.htm 8 Law on Financing of Political Parties, retrieved from www.partylaw.leidenuniv.nl 9 Органический закон Грузии “О политических объединениях граждан” No. 1028, 31/10/1997, Парламентские ведомости, 45, 21/11/1997. 10 The values for individual and corporate donations are obtained by multiplying the number of monthly wages, according to the law, to (BY) the wage value in the year of law enactment. The result is then divided by exchange rate of national 6 14 Figure 7: Maximum levels on donations from physical and legal persons for mediumhigh restrictive regimes 1994 – 1997 (in US $ thousand). 79.4 Thousand US $ 80 60 47.4 47.4 40 23.1 17.9517.95 20 12.2 4.66 4.66 2.4 0 Georgia Latvia Macedonia Romania* Physical entities Slovenia Legal entities Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: Romania belongs to the high restrictive regime As figure 7 reveals, there is a large variance even among cases that belong to the same restrictiveness type. Georgia leads the top by having set up the maximum level on donations from legal entities at the equivalent of almost US $ 80 thousand. Slovenia, on the other hand, closes this top fixing the maximum level of donations at roughly 4.7 thousand US $ which is about 17 times less than Georgia’s maximum levels. The pool of post-communist regimes imposing restrictions on income from private sources started to enlarge around 2000. In this respect they can be divided in two groups. The first group refers to countries that shifted from the low to the medium-high restrictiveness type and encompasses Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Poland, Uzbekistan, and Lithuania. The second group concerns polities that switched from the low to the high restrictiveness degree and includes Romania, Russia, Serbia, Moldova and Montenegro. Although there is a difference in the restrictiveness degree between the two groups, they share the same property – limits on private contributions. Table 3 presents the full range of regulatory changes since the introduction of donation limits with subsequent amendments for all ex-communist regimes belonging to medium-high and high restrictive regimes.11 Data on contribution limits, as depicted in table 3, do not indicate clearly the currency to US $. Data on wages and exchange rates are taken from National Statistical Offices and National Banks of each country respectively. 11 If a country records a single observation then the upper level of donation remained unchanged over time. Conversely, every additional observation implies changes regarding the maximum contribution level. 15 direction in the restrictiveness of donation levels. While some countries like Bosnia & Herzegovina, Romania, and Russia lifted up the maximum donation levels, other countries like Bulgaria, Latvia, and Lithuania drifted in the opposite direction by cutting down the amounts a single donor was entitled to give out. Table 3: Maximum level of donations for physical and legal entities in countries belonging to medium-high and high restrictive PFR Country Year Restrictiveness Maximum level Maximum level type of donations on of donations on physical entities legal entities Bosnia & Herzegovina 2000 Medium-high 8 AMW 8 AMW Bosnia & Herzegovina 2010 Medium-high 8 AMW 15 AMW Bulgaria 2001 Medium-high BGN 30.000 BGN 30.000 Bulgaria 2005 Medium-high BGN 10.000 banned Croatia 2006 Medium-high HRK 90.000 HRK 1.000.000 Georgia 1997 Medium-high GEL 30.000 GEL 100.000 Latvia 1995 Medium-high LVL 25.000 LVL 25.000 Latvia 2002 Medium-high LVL 10.000 LVL 10.000 Latvia 2004 Medium-high LVL 10.000 banned Latvia 2008 Medium-high 100 MMW banned Lithuania 1999 Medium-high 500 MLS 500 MLS Lithuania 2004 Medium-high 300 MLS 300 MLS Macedonia 1994 Medium-high 100 AMW 100 AMW Macedonia 2004 Medium-high 100 AMW 200 AMW Macedonia 2009 Medium-high 75 AMW 150 AMW Poland 2001 Medium-high 15 MMW banned Slovenia 1994 Medium-high 10 AMW 10 AMW Turkmenistan 2012 Medium-high 10 AMW 10 AMW Uzbekistan 2004 Medium-high 500 MMW 5.000 MMW Moldova 2007 High 500 AMW 1.000 AMW Montenegro 2008 High € 2.000 € 10.000 Romania 1996 High 100 GMMW 500 GMMW Romania 2003 High 200 GMMW 500 GMMW Russia 2001 High 10.000 MMW 100.000 MMW Russia 2008 High RUB 4.330.000 RUB 43.300.000 Serbia 2003 High 10 AMW 100 AMW Source: Author’s own elaboration based on countries’ legal framework Note: MMW – Minimum monthly wage; GMMW – Gross minimum monthly wage; AMW – Average monthly wage; MLS – Minimum living standard. For comparison purposes I transformed data from table 3 controlling for wage levels and exchange rates so as to assess cross-country variation in the restrictiveness of donation caps. This gives us a more fine-tuned picture on donations and highlights within type variance. Figure 8 displays impressive differences concerning the upper contribution levels. On the one hand, there are countries that impose quite harsh requirements by establishing low spending levels on annual contributions from private individual and corporate donors. Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Poland, and Turkmenistan clearly belong to this group by establishing relatively modest annual contribution limits. On the other 16 hand, one finds Croatia, Georgia, and Macedonia with the most permissive rules, particularly due to high levels established for corporate donors. Lithuania, Latvia, and Slovenia are located in the middle by establishing similar caps for both individuals and corporate donors. Uzbekistan can be included in this group as well due to similar caps on corporate donations. 189.4 Figure 8: Maximum levels of donations from physical and legal entities for medium-high restrictive cases 2007-2012 (US $ thousand).12 200 0 32.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 16.6 16.6 7 7 33.3 33.3 16.5 16.5 17 16.8 7.1 7.1 4.3 8.1 50 33.9 67.8 100 56.1 Thousand US $ 150 BIH BGR GEO HRV LTU LVA MKD POL SVN TKM UZB Physical entity Legal entity Source: Author’s own elaboration Summary statistics provided in the table 4 is very instructive with regard to the stretch of contribution limits for both categories of donors. The highest level of donations from individuals established by Macedonia is 10 times larger than level fixed by Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Similarly, the ratio concerning corporate donations is even higher. Even if one excludes Croatia as an outlier, the ratio between the highest (Macedonia) and the lowest (Turkmenistan) levels of corporate donations is about 20 times. Table 4: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to medium-high restrictiveness type 2007-2012 (thousand $) Number of cases Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Maximum Caps on donations: physical entities 11 14.45 11.04 3.2 33.9 Caps on donations: corporate entities 11 39.75 53.94 3.3 189.4 Source: Author’s own calculations The values for individual and corporate donations are obtained by multiplying the number of monthly wages, according to the law, to the wage value in the year of GRECO evaluation. The result is then divided by exchange rate of national currency to US $. Data on wages and exchange rates are taken from National Statistical Offices and National Banks of each country respectively. 12 17 Despite the fact that all these PFR belong to the same type, the data reveals that political parties face different incentives and constraints towards their fundraisng strategies. Consequently, low levels of donations represent a clear indicator of greater efforts needed to be carried out by parties relative to higher levels of contribution limits. 2.4. High restrictive cases High restrictive regimes establish both kinds of restrictions – limits on donations and total annual income amassed form private contributions. Only five post-communist polities are encapsulated by this financing regime. Romania, Russia, Serbia, Montenegro and Moldova imposed such legal constraints on party finances but the timing of instituting harsher requirements greatly varied among them. Figure 9 eloquently shows the number of years each of them spent under harsher regulations. Figure 9: Frequency of cases under a high restrictive regime by country 1990-2011 15 14 13 Frequency of cases 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 MNE MDA SRB RUS ROU Source: Author’s own elaboration Limits on donations Romania was the first post-communist regime shifted towards high restrictive type although this status was achieved only in 1996 before the third democratic elections, which means that previously party finances were completely unregulated. Indeed the 1989 decree-law that laid the ground for the emergence of political pluralism by setting up the rules for party registration and operation has only a single mention regarding funding, namely parties were compelled to declare their financial means as a requirement for 18 their registration.13 For more than five years Romanian parties were operating in a quasi-legal vacuum, including their financing. The 1996 Law on political parties brought about dramatic changes to the previous situation.14 Both kinds of provisions have been introduced. Upper levels of donations were set up at 100 GMMW and 500 GMMW for physical and legal entities respectively. Several other quantitative and qualitative restrictions have been imposed. The maximum amount collected from membership fees was capped at 50 GMMW from a single member. While these limits clearly indicate a shift towards much tighter regulations, some relaxing provisions were still mirroring the willingness of political parties to preserve some regulatory loopholes. For instance, the maximum amount originating from membership fees was not capped altogether and private donors could keep their anonymity for amounts below a certain threshold. This combination created sufficient maneuvering room allowing political parties to conceal the origin of money. Regulatory framework adopted in 1996 was replaced by a new one in 2003 which reflected a softening of rules on contribution limits.15 While the donation caps for legal entities remained at the same level as in 1996, i.e. 500 GMMW ($ 42.160), those for individuals were lifted up from 100 to 200 GMMW ($ 16.860). Another law on party funding was adopted in 2006 but the provisions regarding contribution limits remained untouched (Art.5).16 Shortly afterwards, however, the regulations on contribution levels were again relaxed. In 2008 Romanian government adopted an emergency ordinance according to which the upper levels of donations from physical and legal entities were doubled when multiple elections are held in the same year, thus fixing them at the equivalent of 400 and 1000 GMMW respectively (Art.5).17 These provisions can be regarded as particularly permissive towards political parties because they were to be applied for every single election campaign during the same year when multiple elections are held. Under such conditions it becomes obvious that incentive structure, set by regulatory framework, was designed in a way that was highly prone to large contributions and did not boost, whatsoever, grassroots funding although the provision according to which the total income amassed from membership fees is uncapped remained in force (Art.4). After Romania, Serbian party financing law enacted in 1997 already foreseen contribution limits but the law had a serious shortcoming. While it established caps for legal entities amounting to 50 AMW ($ 6.750) it has not instituted any caps for physical entities (Goati, 2007, pp. 162–163; Stoyanov et al., 2002, p. 91), an omission that rendered contribution limits on corporate donors completely ineffective. Decret - Lege nr. 8 din 31 decembrie 1989 privind inregistrarea si functionarea partidelor politice si organizatiilor obstesti din Romania. 14 L27/1996 Lege nr. 27 din 26 aprilie 1996 Legea partidelor politice: Legea nr. 27 publicată în Monitorul Oficial nr. 087 din data: 04/29/96. 15 Lege nr. 43 din 21 ianuarie 2003 privind finanţarea activităţii partidelor politice şi a campaniilor electorale. Publicat în Monitorul Oficial, Partea I nr. 54 din 30 ianuarie 2003. 16 Lege nr.334 din 17 iulie 2006 privind finanţarea activităţii partidelor politice şi a campaniilor electorale. Publicat în Monitorul Oficial. nr. 632/21 iulie 2006. 17 OUG nr. 98/2008, ordonanta de urgenta pentru modificarea si completarea Legii nr. 334/2006 privind finantarea activitatii partidelor politice si a campaniilor electorale. Publicat in Monitorul Oficial, Partea I nr. 630 din 29/08/2008. 13 19 This regulatory loophole was removed only in 2003 when a new law on party funding was enacted after the breakdown of Milosevic regime.18 The new law capped annual donations at 10 AMW for individuals and 100 AMW for legal entities (Art. 5). Russia, on the other hand, introduced for the first time contribution limits for party daily activity in 2001 capping individual donations at 10 thousand AMW ($ 34.275) and corporate donations at 100 thousand AMW ($ 342.760) (Art.32).19 In 2008 Party Law was amended which resulted in an increase of annual donation limit to RUB 4.330.000 for individuals ($ 174.000) and to RUB 43.300.000 for corporations ($ 1.740.000).20 Moldova and Montenegro joined the cohort of high restrictive regimes relatively late. Montenegro introduced contribution limits only in 2008 when it passed a new Law on Party Financing that capped individual and business contribution for the regular activity to € 2 thousand and € 10 thousand respectively (Art. 9).21 Only at the end of 2007 Moldovan legislature adopted a brand new law on political parties which put in place a new regulatory framework on party financing. 22 The previous legal framework that survived for more than 16 years did not envisage any restrictions regarding contribution limits. It only focused on allowable financing sources.23 Notwithstanding the novelty of the new legal frame, it turned out to be extremely generous with the size of contribution limits which were set up at a very high level. Donation caps for physical and legal entities were set up at 500 and 1000 AMW amounting to roughly $ 85.000 and $ 170.000 respectively at the moment of the law enactment. In this respect, Moldova held the second top position after Russia among all post-communist regimes. It appears that even if Moldovan political parties adopted a new law, it was drafted in a way that still left for them quite a large maneuvering room concerning fundraising. Albeit these polities shifted from unregulated to more constraining regimes, they still varied largely regarding the maximum threshold of donations. High restrictive cases display an even higher variation than medium-high cases regarding the upper contribution levels. As table 5 illustrates the range between the minimum and maximum values of donations is extremely large. Table 5: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2010-2011 (thousand $) Number of cases Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Maximum Limits on donations: physical entities 5 63.8 66.6 2.7 147.3 Limits on donations: corporate entities 5 376.7 618.9 13.3 1473.1 Source: Author’s own calculations Law on Financing of Political Parties. Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia No. 72/2003, 75/2003. Федеральный закон от 11 июля 2001 г. N 95-ФЗ, “О политических партиях”. 20 Федеральный закон от 22.07.2008 N 144-ФЗ, “О внесении изменений в статьи 30 и 33 Федерального закона “О политических партиях”. 21 The Law on Financing of Political Parties. (“Official Gazette of Montenegro,” no. 49/08 from the 15th of August 2008). 22 Lege Nr. 294 din 21.12.2007 privind partidele politice Publicat: 29.02.2008 în Monitorul Oficial Nr. 42-44, art. Nr: 119. 23 Lege Nr. 718 din 17.09.1991 privind partidele şi alte organizaţii social-politice. Publicat: 04.05.2000 în Monitorul Oficial Nr. 53, art. Nr: 340. 18 19 20 Figure 10 graphically depicts the variation among high restrictive cases with Montenegro and Russia representing extremes. Figure 10: Limits on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2010-2011 1473 thousand US $ 1,500 1,000 500 240 120 0 2.7 13.3 Moldova Montenegro 44 110 Romania* physical entities 147.3 4.7 Russia 47 Serbia legal entities Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: * - What concerns Romania in years when multiple elections are held the upper level of donations from physical and legal entities is set up at the equivalent of US $ 88 thousand and US $ 220 thousand respectively. In spite of the presence of contribution limits, there were additional loopholes that made regulatory regime more permissive than they appeared to be. For instance, Serbia, Montenegro and Russia did not impose any limits on the maximum levels of membership dues. This situation could entail “a theoretical risk that the legal limits on donations could easily be circumvented”24 by “means of unlimited membership fees”.25 Although such a risk was minimal in post-communist space, given the tiny share of membership fees in the overall party income, the poor regulation of membership fees in relation to donations was a common issue for many countries. On the other hand, Romania and Moldova impose harsher rules on membership fees but even in their case one may notice some regulatory loopholes. While the annual cap on membership fees changed several times in Romanian legislation (1996 – 50 GMMW; 2003 – 100 GMMW; 2006 – 48 GMMW), the total income collected from membership fees has never been capped. Moldova applied to membership fees the same rules as for donations, so they turned out to be quite permissive. 24 Evaluation Report on Montenegro Transparency of Party Funding (Theme II) Adopted by GRECO at its 49th Plenary Meeting (Strasbourg, 29 November – 3 December 2010), p.16. 25 Evaluation Report on the Republic of Serbia Transparency of Party Funding (Theme II) Adopted by GRECO at its 48th Plenary Meeting (Strasbourg, 27 September – 1 October 2010), p.16. 21 Limits on total income The second distinctive property of the high restrictiveness type is the presence of quantitative restrictions on the total amount of revenue parties are allowed to raise annually from donations. All five countries that belong to this type provide for limits on aggregate income and, to some extent, are indicative for the leeway available to parties in devising their fundraising strategies. By the leeway I mean the minimum number of donors, as pointed out in methodological section, needed to reach the upper limit on aggregate income. Again, Romania was the first post-communist polity that introduced a restriction on aggregate income amassed by parties from private donations throughout a calendar year. However, as in case of private contributions these restrictions were relaxed suggesting an increase in parties’ demand for financing. In 1996 the maximum level was established at the equivalent of 0.005% from the state budgetary revenue with the possibility to be doubled for the election years, thus reaching 0.01% out of the total (Art.35).26 This provision remained in place until 2003 when it was replaced with a new one which fixed the upper level of total income collected from private sources at 0.025% the equivalent of the state budgetary revenue, indicating a fivefold increase relative to the previous limit, at the same time maintaining the clause that envisaged to double this amount to 0.05% in the fiscal years when multiple elections are held (Art.5).27 Russia introduced for the first time a limit on total annual party income accrued from private contributions in 2001 setting out the limit at 10 million MMW, including party regional branches. An additional condition was that each regional branch could not amass income from private contributions exceeding 200 thousand MMW (Art.30).28 This limit was significantly lifted up in 2008 by an amendment to party law which replaced the previous cap by a fixed sum amounting to RUB 4.330 million. At the same time each party regional branch could not collect from donations more than RUB 86.6 thousand.29 Given their common statehood up to Montenegro independence in 2006 party finance regulations of Serbia and Montenegro shared many common features, yet they followed different paths. What concerns the maximum level on aggregate income collected from private sources, their regimes resembled each other by tying this amount to public funding. The only difference was the size of state aid. This implies the presence of differentiated limits for beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of state subsidies. For parties that qualify for state subsidies the aggregate income from private contributions should not exceed 100% the amount they receive from public purse. A different formula was applied to parties that do not receive public funding. For them the upper limit for the revenue amassed from private L27/1996 Lege nr. 27 din 26 aprilie 1996 Legea partidelor politice: Legea nr. 27 publicată în Monitorul Oficial nr. 087 din data: 04/29/96. 27 Lege nr. 43 din 21 ianuarie 2003 privind finanţarea activităţii partidelor politice şi a campaniilor electorale. Publicat în Monitorul Oficial, Partea I nr. 54 din 30 ianuarie 2003. 28 Федеральный закон от 11 июля 2001 г. N 95-ФЗ, “О политических партиях”. 29 Федеральный закон от 22.07.2008 N 144-ФЗ, “О внесении изменений в статьи 30 и 33 Федерального закона “О политических партиях”. 26 22 contributions must not exceed 5% from the total amount of state subsidies in the respective calendar year (Serbia/Art. 5; Montenegro/Art. 9).30 Such a formula creates evident disparities by disadvantaging non-parliamentary parties twice. First, they do not have access to state subsidies and, second, they are confined in gathering resources form private contributions above a certain limit. Finally, Moldova’s new regulations on party funding imposed an annual income limit from private contributions at the equivalent of 0.1% from the state budgetary revenue foreseen in the respective year (Art.26).31 Extensiveness of the donors’ network As one could observe all high restrictive cases significantly vary with regard to maximum levels of donations and aggregate income. Nevertheless, they still share a common property – their regulations are designed in such a way that allows political parties to rely on a handful of donors. It implies that parties do not need to expand and nurture large networks of donors. It suffices to resort on an extremely narrow group who can afford to carry the burden of financing, provided that political actors can reach them. At least, legal framework makes possible this kind of arrangements. Knowing the donation caps for physical and legal entities and limits on aggregate income it is possible to estimate the scope of donors’ network that indicates the minimum number of donors necessary to reach the upper limit for total income. Relying on legal provisions for high restrictive cases I transformed data on donations and total income to make it comparable across cases in order to assess the extensiveness of donors’ network. Regardless cross-case variation towards levels of donations and aggregate income, this is the best indicator of comparing these cases since it captures the incentive structure of fundraising. Table 6 is quite telling in this respect. Column 6 and 7 illustrate the stretch of donors’ network for each country. For several of them including Romania, Russia and Serbia it was possible to show the developments over time since they introduced both types of limits earlier. Moldova and Montenegro adopted restrictive regulation much later and, therefore, did not offer the opportunity to observe their developments for a longer time span. Overall, columns 6 and 7 represent the ratio between total income limit (column 5) and contribution caps for physical (column 3) and legal (column 4) entities respectively. Table 6: The size of donors’ network for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type Country Year Donation Donation Total Minimum Minimum cap on cap on income number of number of individuals corporations limit individual corporate $ $ $ donors donors 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Montenegro* 2010 2.650 13.250 129.349 49 10 Serbia* 2003 2.000 20.000 416.559 208 21 Law on Financing of Political Parties published in the ”Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia” No. 72/03 (18 July 2003), 75/03 (25 July 2003), 97/08 (27 October 2008) and 60/09; The Law on Financing of Political Parties (“Official Gazette of Montenegro,” no. 49/08 from the 15th of August 2008). 31 Lege Nr. 294 din 21.12.2007 privind partidele politice Publicat: 29.02.2008 în Monitorul Oficial Nr. 42-44, art. Nr: 119. 30 23 Serbia* Serbia* Moldova Moldova Romania Romania Romania Romania Russia Russia Russia Russia 2004 2010 2009 2010 1996 2000 2003 2010 2001 2003 2008 2011 2.435 4.700 123.590 120.125 2.433 3.227 16.860 44.000 34.275 32.500 174.077 147.305 24.350 47.000 247.180 240.250 12.165 16.134 42.160 110.000 342.760 325.055 1.740.770 1.473.050 459.512 437.479 1.185.695 1.338.889 303.843 277.379 2.424.000 5.235.100 34.275.900 32.505.500 174.035.370 147.212.740 189 93 10 11 125 86 144 119 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 19 9 5 6 25 17 57 48 100 100 100 100 Source: Author’s own calculations Note: * Data on Montenegro and Serbia income reflects only the minimum number of donors needed for parties that do not have access to public funding. As one can notice, the size of donors’ network for each country is quite tiny. Even though there is a quite high variation among countries regarding the stretch of donors’ networks, it should be noted that this variation also springs from the country size: the larger the country the more expanded a network of potential donors is expected to be. Notwithstanding this variation, what clearly emerges from sixth and seventh columns is a pattern whereby political parties are not bound to rely on a broad network of potential contributors to secure their annual funding originating from private contributions. On the contrary, the figures indicate rather a situation where the regulatory framework creates favorable conditions for parties to rely on a bunch of affluent contributors. Furthermore, regulatory changes do not seem to affect significantly the incentive structure over time. Serbia did not experience any changes in this respect and observed dynamics derive solely from the fluctuations in the share of budgetary revenue allotted to parties and wage levels. Russia and Romania, on the other hand, amended their PFR but this did not affect at all the underlying incentive structure. Russia is the best illustration of this situation, since the amendments passed in 2008 perfectly preserved the ratio between the aggregate income limits and contribution limits for physical and legal entities. Almost the same could be applied to Romania regardless of the observed variation over time. A striking paradox emerges with respect to PFR belonging to high restrictiveness type concerning income limits. It appears that these regimes are, in the end, not so restrictive when we look at the underlying incentive structure. If so, then the fundamental question is what makes them so distinctive from the other types that display a lower restrictiveness degree? The difference is quite straightforward in the case of low and medium-low types. Due to the lack of any restrictions laid down by law on private contributions, financial resources could be provided by a single donor. And this makes them by far less restrictive. The medium-high type represents a more difficult case. As already highlighted, the harshness of rules in the high type also stems from its second substantive property, that is, limits on total income. However, when we compare them resorting to the maximum levels of donations this is not anymore so, particularly when the variation is relatively high. This fact might not be so relevant during the regular 24 party activity but might be crucial during election campaigns where the intensity of political competition is much higher. In the next paragraph I turn to the investigation of contribution and aggregate limits during election campaigns. 2.5. Conclusion In this paragraph, I examined the developments of party funding regimes concerning party regular activity for roughly two decade since the inception of transition from the communist rule. Three main conclusions can be drawn from the empirical analysis of party funding regulations. First, party daily activity proved to be a neglected area and daily financial activity of political parties for a long time remained almost completely unregulated. For the first decade of transition only a handful of ex-communist regimes polities passed more restrictive regulations on donations and limited the total income political parties could amass from private sources. The shift towards more restrictive rules occurred relatively late and in many cases the newly enacted regimes were still flowed by serious shortcomings allowing political actors to circumvent existing regulations. Furthermore, at the moment of GRECO assessment, almost half of post-communist regimes did not place any restrictions on the amount a single donor could contribute to party pockets and on the total income amassed from these contributions. Figure 11 explicitly shows this thorny and slow shift. Only after 15 years since the onset of transition the pool of more regulated regimes began to outnumber the pool of financing regimes with no constraints on party income. Second, despite of partial shift towards more restrictive rules, there was a large variation within cases belonging to the same restrictive type which sprang from different contribution levels and aggregate income levels. In the majority of cases, the maximum values of donations were set up at relatively high levels making thus fundraising a relatively easy task, at least from a legal viewpoint. Third, despite of significant cross-country differences concerning the maximum levels of donations and the upper levels of total campaign revenue, their interaction turned out to generate a similar incentive structure regarding fundraising. Even the most restrictive financing regimes that instituted both kinds of income restrictions proved to be extremely permissive towards political parties, creating proper conditions to focus their fundraising strategies on a handful of wealthy donors. 25 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 number of cases Figure 11: Overtime distribution of restrictiveness regimes for party regular activity 1990 – 2012 low high medium-low high-extreme medium-high Source: Author’s own elaboration 3.The development of legal framework on financing with respect to election campaigns 3.1. General trends regarding restrictiveness of income from private sources for election campaigns If at the onset of transition, the funding of party regular activity received relatively little attention, then financial aspects of election campaigns quickly became the primary concern of post-communist politicians. Irrespective of domestic election cycles already in the middle of ’90 almost two thirds of these polities took one or another stance towards campaign contributions and aggregate spending limits. Figure 12 shows the distribution of CEE and FSU countries based on restrictiveness of their electoral rules on income limits. Unlike party regular activity we may notice that campaign financing regulations cover the entire range of restrictiveness types. 26 Figure 12: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for election campaigns 1990 – 1996. Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: Extreme-high (to substitute prohibitive with extreme high) - political opposition is banned or private contributions are prohibited altogether; High - limits on contributions from physical and legal persons & and limits on total campaign spending; Medium-high - only limits on contributions from physical and legal persons; Medium-low - only limits on total campaign spending; Low - no limits. Yet unlike party regular activity, electoral competition turned out to be much more regulated despite of poor enforceability of many provisions related to election financing. Compared to party regular activity, where roughly two thirds of cases featured low restrictiveness values, the frequency of cases (elections) held under low restrictive regimes is much lower. Only in 27 percentage of cases across all post-communist regimes electoral subjects did not face any restrictions concerning income limits. Table 7 shows the full distribution of cases between different restrictiveness types. Table 7: Frequency of election campaigns spent by post – communist polities under different restrictiveness regimes 1990 – 2012. Restrictiveness degree Number of cases Percentage of cases Cumulative percentage Low 47 27.81 27.81 Medium-low 32 18.93 46.75 Medium-high 16 9.47 56.21 High 59 34.91 91.12 High-extreme* 15 8.88 100 Total 169 100 Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: * Extreme-high restrictive regime exemplifes an extreme value of high type given the full ban on income from private sources and is usually present in authoriatarian regimes. For this reson I present it separately but it does not constitute a distinct restrictiveness type. On the contrary, in one third of all parliamentary campaigns electoral competitors were subject to both kinds of limits while in other almost 30 percent they faced at least one restriction. The density of election financing regulations unveils the high stakes involved in electoral competition. Regulatory density is somewhat captured from a different vantage point by the magnitude of change presented in table 8. 27 Table 8: Magnitude of change in restrictiveness degree for party electoral activity 1990- 2011. Magnitude of change Number of countries Percentage -1 2 7.14 0 7 25 1 7 25 2 5 17.86 3 7 25 Source: Author’s own elaboration As one may notice, more than two thirds of post-communist polities experienced a shift from a lower to a higher restrictiveness type over time, albeit the magnitude of change varies. Seven of them experienced the largest possible jump of three units, other five went through a smaller change of two units, while another quarter experienced one unit change. Seven polities maintained their status-quo and the last two represented by authoritarian regimes liberalized their rules on private funding. This change is captured by figure 13 which depicts a less diverse picture. Two thirds of excommunist regimes that record a high restrictiveness score clearly dominate the landscape. Other cases are almost evenly scattered between the other restrictiveness types. Figure 13: Restrictiveness of party financing regimes with respect to income limits for election campaigns 2007 – 2011. Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: Extreme high (to substitute prohibitive with extreme high) - political opposition is banned or private contributions are prohibited altogether; High - limits on contributions from physical and legal persons & and limits on total campaign spending; Medium-high - only limits on contributions from physical and legal persons; Medium-low - only limits on total campaign spending; Low - no limits. Last but not least, the timing and pace of change. Figure 14 shows the trajectories of election financing regimes for all post-communist countries. 28 BG BY CZ EE GE HR HU KG KZ LT LV MD ME MK PL RO RS RU SI SK 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 High-extreme High Medium-high Medium-low Low BA 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 High-extreme High Medium-high Medium-low Low AZ TJ TM UA UZ 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 High-extreme High Medium-high Medium-low Low AM 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 High-extreme High Medium-high Medium-low Low AL 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 Restrictiveness degree High-extreme High Medium-high Medium-low Low 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 Figure 14: Timing and pace of change between different election financing regimes in post-communist space 1990-2012. Source: Author’s own elaboration Restrictiveness of financing rules for election campaigns might be determinant for electoral success. This is particularly relevant for newcomers since different rules may affect their electoral odds. Therefore, electoral competition can be managed by raising or lowering the entry barriers through the manipulation of financing regulations. From this perspective the timing, frequency and magnitude of change in the restrictiveness degree may play a significant role even if the alteration of financing rules takes place within the same restrictiveness type, for instance, through raising or lowering the upper levels of donations, campaign spending, or electoral deposit. In the main, figure 14 captures all factors indicated above displaying the timing of shifting towards a more restrictive regime, the frequency and direction of change as well as the magnitude of change. The prevalent pattern that emerges indicates an upward move on the restrictiveness ladder, even though the magnitude of change fluctuates between more incremental and steeper regulatory adjustments. Several other polities (Czech Republic, Estonia, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan) record a status-quo regardless of differences in their restrictiveness degree. And some other polities (Poland, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Georgia, Ukraine) exhibit fluctuations in both directions of restrictiveness. 29 In the following sections I scrutinize each restrictiveness type concerning election financing also looking at within type variation that derives from differences in the maximum levels of contributions and total campaign income. 3.2. Low restrictive cases Since there are no legal restrictions on income limits I employ the same indicator as for party regular activity with the only difference that election campaign represent the unit of analysis. Consequently, the frequency of election campaigns held under regimes envisaging neither donation limits nor limits on aggregate campaign income is a common feature of low restrictive cases. Figure 15 presents country differences concerning elections held under the absence of any income limits. Albania, Serbia, Croatia, Estonia, Slovakia, and Czech Republic represent the group with the highest number of election campaigns organized under such a liberal financing regime. At the moment of GRECO assessment Slovakia, Czech Republic and Estonia were still encapslate by a low restrictiveness type. Among these three cases Czeck Republic and Estonia have never adopted regulations restricting the amount of private contributions or campaign total income. Slovakia however shifted from a medium-low PRF instituted in 1994, that limited campaign funding at SKK 12 million, towards a low PFR in 2005.32 The new party law adopted in 2005 abolished the 1994 law on campaign expenditure but did not replace previous spending caps with new ones, thus removing, actually, the limits on campaign expenditure (Casal Bértoa et al., 2014, p. 18). Albania switched to a more restrictive regime only in 2005 while Croatia even later, in 2011. 32 Act 85 of the 4th of February, 2005 “On Political Movements and Political Parties”. 30 Figure 15: Frequency of cases under a low restrictive regime for election financing by country 1990-2012 7 Number of elections 6 5 4 3 2 BI H M N E SV K AL B SR B ES T H R V C ZE 0 AZ E KG Z U KR H U N R O U 1 Source: Author’s own elaboration On the other extreme one finds countries with the lowest number of elections held without restrictions on campaign income. Azerbaijan and Kyrgazstan did not regulate campaign income only for the first elections held after the collapse of USSR, while Hungary and Romania shifted to more restrictive regimes after two rounds of democratic elections organized under the lack of regulations on campaign income. 3.3. Medium-low restrictive cases Medium-low restrictiveness type encapsulates those cases that feature a limit on the aggregate campaign income. This regulatory measure turned out to be the most popular across post-communist regimes. It was employed separately in roughly one fifth of elections and together with donation limits it was used for another third of election campaigns. Figure 16 illustrates the distribution of cases for election financing regimes that used exclusively limits on aggregate campaign income. Hungary, Kazakhstan and Moldova display the highest frequency of elections held under such a regime. On the other extreme, Armenia, Latvia, and Ukraine exhibit the lowest frequency. In the middle there are other six countries that imposed caps on the maximum amount parties and candidates could amass in their election fund. 31 Figure 16: Frequency of cases under a medium-low restrictive regime for election financing by country 1990-2012 5 Number of elections 4 3 2 KA Z A M D SV K H U N PO L E M N BG R LT U EO G U KR LV A 0 AR M 1 Source: Author’s own elaboration Kazakhstan is the only post-communist country that used exclusively this financing regime for all parliamentary elections. Campaign limits were introduced in the first 1995 elections allowing each candidate to spend about US $ 7 thousand. This rule applied for both self-nominated and party nominated candidates. The law did not deal with parties as electoral competitors and its provisions applied only to candidates (Art. 92).33 Besides quantitative restrictions, it also imposed several qualitative restrictions. The upper limit on electoral fund of candidates for deputies was fixed at 1700 MMW. Yet candidates’ own funds and nominating party funds should not exceed 200 and 500 MMW respectively, while the aggregate value of donations was limited to 1000 MMW (Art.92). 34 Before the 1999 parliamentary elections, electoral law was considerably amended by legalizing political parties as electoral competitors and, therefore, establishing limits on total campaign income. While the limits on aggregate campaign income remained at the same level, that is 1.7 thousand MMW, the upper limit for total party income was set out at 15 thousand MMW. Furthermore, out of this total parties could contribute to their election fund with 5 thousand MMW whereas the equivalent of 10 thousand MMW could be accrued from donations. Additionally, the law explicitly prohibited candidates competing on party lists to create Конституционный закон Республики Казахстан от 28 сентября 1995 года № 2464 “О выборах в Республике Казахстан” (Ведомости Верховного Совета Республики, 1995 г., № 17-18, ст.114). 34 “О выборах в Республике Казахстан”. Конституционный закон Республики Казахстан от 28 сентября 1995 года, N - 2464. 33 32 a personal election fund (Art.92-1).35 In fact, new provisions on party financing were reflecting the change of electoral system that reserved 10 out of 77 seats to be contested on a proportional representation basis at national level. Another reshuffling of electoral system took place in 2007 following a constitutional amendment that has laid the ground for a purely party based competition by switching towards a full proportional representation.36 As result, the provisions on candidate financing have been abolished. Under new regulations, candidates could compete in elections exclusively via party lists and were forbidden to open individual electoral funds. Notwithstanding these fundamental changes, legal provisions on campaign total income remained unaffected (Art.92-1).37 Hungary introduced for the first time caps on campaign total income in 1997 and since then the value of the upper limits remained unchanged. According to legal provisions, each individual candidate and nominating party could spend no more than one million forints per candidate in elections in addition to public funding (Art. 92).38 Table 9 shows the dynamics on campaign income for parties and candidates in US $. Table 9: the maximum limits on campaign spending for candidates and parties in Hungary (US $) Competitor ↓/Elections → 1998 2002 2006 2010 Candidates 4.780 3.595 4.715 5.140 Political Parties 1.845.080 1.387.670 1.819.990 1.984.040 Source: Author’s own calculations Note: Exchange rates retrieved from the Central Bank of Hungary (Magyar Nemzeti Bank) 1998 $ 1=209.13; 2002 $ 1=278.23; 2006 $ 1=212.03; 2010 $ 1=194.5. The maximum amount for a party is calculated by multiplying the amount spent for 1 candidate to 386, i.e. the size of Hungarian Parliament. Campaign limits became a common feature of Moldovan parliamentary campaigns since the founding elections held in 1994 when the maximum levels were set up at MDL 100 thousand for each political party and at MDL 2.5 thousand for individual candidates (Protsyk & Osoian, 2008). This regulatory type survived until the 2009 legislative elections when it was replaced by a more restrictive regime. Many former soviet republics shared this regulatory feature but differed regarding its use. Lithuania, Armenia and Ukraine similarly applied campaign limits for their founding democratic elections. Lithuania fixed the maximum level in the 1992 parliamentary elections at 200 and 20 AMW for parties and individual candidates respectively (Art. 45).39 The 1993 law on elections to Ukrainian Конституционный закон Республики Казахстан от 6 мая 1999 г. № 375-1 О внесении изменений и дополнений в Указ Президента Республики Казахстан, имеющий силу конституционного закона, “О выборах в Республике Казахстан”. 36 Закон Республики Казахстан от 21 мая 2007 года № 254-III “О внесении изменений и дополнений в Конституцию Республики Казахстан”. 37 Конституционный закон Республики Казахстан от 19 июня 2007 года N 268 О внесении изменений и дополнений в Конституционный закон Республики Казахстан “О выборах в Республике Казахстан”. 38 Hungary: Act C of 1997 on Electoral Procedure. 39 Republic of Lithuania Law on Elections to the Seimas 9 July 1992, No. I-2721. 35 33 Parliament (Verkhovna Rada) established the upper level of campaign income at 100 MMW for candidates in SMD (Art. 36; Art. 1).40 Armenia’s 1995 Parliamentary elections law capped total campaign income for both majoritarian and party lists candidates at 500 MMW (Art.5) (IFES, 1996, p. 53). Georgia did the same for its 1992, 1995 and 1999 parliamentary elections by empowering CEC to determine the maximum level of the election fund. In the 1995 parliamentary elections this level was fixed by the CEC at 2000 Lari per candidate. 41 Campaign limits were abolished in 2001 by the unified electoral law which did not prolong the powers of CEC to fulfil this task as foreseen by 1995 law on parliamentary elections. Poland introduced its first restrictions on total campaign income already for its 1991 parliamentary elections. The limit on aggregate campaign income was set up at 60 AMW for every regional list of candidates (Art. 134) with a minimum number of seven candidates per electoral district (Art. 36: 3).42 Yet, for two subsequent elections these limits were abolished and reintroduced only in 2001. Slovakia enacted in 1994 a separate law on campaign spending limits by fixing the upper cap at SKK 12 million.43 The same value of spending limits was used for the 1994, 1998, and 2002 parliamentary contests but in the end this provision was abolished in 2005, thus bringing Slovakia under a low restrictive regime. This short exposition illustrates the diversity of approaches in controlling the cost of elections through limits on campaign income. The regulatory focus on parties or candidates is clearly linked to electoral system design. In the majority of cases depicted above the limits on total campaign income is tied to candidates not parties. Methodologically speaking candidates constitute a better proxy to scrutinize the harshness of regulations than parties. If we know the upper limit on candidates’ election fund, then the maximum limit for parties is implicitly present, although it might not be clearly spelled out in the law. Furthermore, focus on candidates also captures the differences in the size of national legislatures. As we could notice, the variation springing from limits on total income even for those cases that belong to medium-low type is impossible to assess given disparities in wage levels and various caps on total income measured in MMW, AMW or fixed amounts. Yet, this variation is not relevant for the supply side of elections, i.e. how much a donor can provide. Hence, regardless of the observed variation towards the upper levels of campaign income, medium-low cases are similar to low restrictive cases since election costs can be borne by a single donor, provided that she is able and/or willing to accomplish this task. The lack of contribution limits makes this possible from a legal point of view. “О выборах народных депутатов Украины” (Ведомости Верховной Рады Украины, 1993 г., N 48, ст. 455. Report on Parliamentary elections in Republic of Georgia, 5 November 1995. OSCE Election Report, 1 February 1996. OSCE Parliamentary Assembly, pp. 4-5. 42 Law of 28 June 1991. Regulations on elections to the Sejm of the Polish Republic. Journal of Laws Nr 59, item 252 of 3 July 1991. 43 Act of the National Council of the Slovak Republic of 18 August 1994 on limitation of expenditures of the political parties on advertising before elections to the National Council of the Slovak Republic. 40 41 34 3.4. Medium-high restrictive cases Medium-high restrictive cases feature the presence of an upper limit on donations from physical and legal entities. This regulatory tool was used, as a rule, together with limits on aggregate campaign income. Separately, however, donation caps were used to regulate campaign income in less than 10 percent of cases. Figure 17 presents cross-country distribution of elections held under a medium-high restrictiveness type. Figure 17: Frequency of cases under a medium-high restrictive regime for election financing by country 1990-2012 Number of elections 4 3 2 EO G U KR LV A U R O SV N R U S M KD 0 H R V 1 Source: Author’s own elaboration Eight post-communist regimes employed this legal tool to control election financing for different time spans. Georgia recorded the highest frequency while other four used it separately only once. Slovenia introduced donation limits on physical and legal entities already for parliamentary elections held in 1990. Individuals were allowed to contribute to election campaign the equivalent of 1 AMW, whereas legal entities – the equivalent of 10 AMW (Toplak, 2007, p. 171). The regulations on contributions remained quite stable over time with the only alignment of contribution levels for individuals at the same level as for legal entities, namely 10 AMW. Similarly, contribution limits were imposed on physical and legal entities for the first democratic elections to the Russian State Duma.44 Though financing provisions were quite complex they still contained serious loopholes. Given the electoral system design different limits were set up on contributions to election funds of parties and candidates. Physical persons could donate Указ Президента РФ от 1 октября 1993 г. N 1557 “Об утверждении уточненной редакции Положения о выборах депутатов Государственной Думы в 1993 году и внесении изменений и дополнений в Положение о федеральных органах власти на переходный период”. 44 35 up to 30 MMW and 20 MMW to the election funds of parties/electoral blocks and candidates accordingly, whereas contributions from legal entities to election funds of parties and candidates were fixed at 20 thousand MMW and 200 MMW respectively (Art. 32). The fundamental shortcoming of regulatory framework regarding private contributions did not lie with donation limits themselves. It derived from the fact that besides individuals and businesses the law authorized other entities like candidates and parties to contribute themselves to own election fund but does not set out any limits in this respect. Therefore, one witnesses a situation in which candidates and parties/electoral blocks are authorized to contribute unlimitedly to their own election fund but there was no way to check the origin of this money since the regular financing of parties was not regulated, at least what concerns contribution limits. Although this loophole was, somewhat, narrowed down already for the next elections in 1995, by clearly prescribing the limits for personal resources transferred by parties and candidates to their own electoral fund (Art. 52)45, the issue concerning the origin of money before election campaign still remained unsolved. This was a common feature of PFR in several other former soviet republics like Azerbaijan, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. The other three cases belonging to medium-high restrictiveness type are represented by Latvia, Macedonia and Romania. Only few issues should be clarified with regard to these cases since I discussed their regulations on limits for the regular party activity. Latvia and Romania did not impose specific limits on campaign contributions, given the presence of caps on annual donations, meaning that campaign limits were subsumed into annual caps. Macedonia, alike, established annual caps on donations but unlike Romania and Latvia the maximum level was doubled for election years. Hence, if usually a donor could donate up to 100 AMW during a non-election year, then for elections the limit was fixed at 200 AMW (Art. 30).46 Figure 18 presents transformed data on donation levels controlling for wages and exchange rates. It displays huge cross-country differences regarding the upper donation levels. As in the case of party regular activity, Russia’s regulations on donations appear to be the least restrictive. Yes this permissiveness unfolds only towards the relationship between political parties and legal entities. Parties were also privileged in relation to individual candidates for whom contribution limits were established at much lower levels amounting to about $ 170 from individuals and $ 1700 from organized interests. Slovenia, on the other hand, records the lowest levels of private contributions. Macedonia and Latvia are the closest peers. Both of them established the same levels of donations for individuals and businesses, even if Latvia’s maximum level is roughly 25% higher. Yet, given the fact that both countries also have Федеральный закон от 21.06.1995 N 90-ФЗ “О выборах депутатов Государственной Думы Федерального Собрания Российской Федерации”. 46 Law on Political Parties (Official Gazette of the Republic of Macedonia no. 41/94), retrieved from https://web.archive.org/web/20041012230714/http://www.mlrc.org.mk/law/l015.htm. 45 36 comparable sizes of electoral market in terms of registered voters, the maximum levels of donations can be regarded as quite generous, thus allowing parties to concentrate their fundraising on big donors. 20 0, 00 0 Figure 18: Maximum levels of donations on physical and legal persons during election campaigns for medium-high restrictiveness cases 10 0, 00 0 US $ 15 0, 00 0 168340 47400 47400 50 ,0 00 35900 35900 12165 0 2430 LVA MKD ROU physical entities 250 370 RUS 3700 SVN legal entities Source: Author’s own elaboration The pool of medium-high restrictive cases enlarged by the joining of Croatia, Georgia and Ukraine. Croatia may be regarded as a latecomer in the group of medium-high restrictiveness cases.47 The law that changed its restrictiveness status concerning donation limits from the low to the medium-high was enacted only in 2006. According to new provisions the annual maximum limits on donations from individuals and businesses were fixed at HRK 90 thousand and HRK 1 million respectively (Art. 4). 48 Georgia switched to a medium-high regime much earlier. Although Georgian party law foreseen annual caps on donation for individuals and businesses since 1997 fixing the upper level at 30 thousand and 100 thousand Lari, in shifted to the medium-high regime only in 2001 when the upper limit on campaign spending was abrogated. Moreover, since the introduction of donation caps the maximum levels of donations remained the same overtime. Last but not least, Ukraine had a rather tumultuous experience with respect to donations and aggregate campaign limits.49 For the first democratic elections to Verkhovna Rada in 1994 it embraced a For the comparative analysis of the donation levels, Croatia, Georgia and Ukraine will be joined with cases from the pool of ‘high’ restrictiveness PFR. 48 The Act on the Financing of Political Parties, Independent Lists and Candidates (No.: 006-01/06-02/01, Zagreb, 15 December 2006). 49 Given the fact that Ukraine had the most unstable rules on election financing I prefer to analyse this fluctuation overtime instead of 47 37 medium-low PFR regime setting out the limit on candidates’ election fund to the equivalent of 100 times the minimum non-taxable income (Art. 36).50 This was the lowest limit on campaign income across all post-communist countries (about $ 190). In addition, it was an extremely unrealistically low limit to be enforced. In some electoral districts it was even impossible to buy one minute of TV advertisement on an independent broadcasting company (Protsyk & Walecki, 2007, p. 194). Paradoxically but an amendment to Rada elections law passed in 1995 lowered this cap to a symbolic one fixing it at 20 times the minimum non-taxable income.51 Yet the risk entailed by this amendment was acknowledged on the eve of the next parliamentary elections and the new law on elections of deputies enacted in 1997 completely removed campaign spending limits.52 Consequently, the lack of donation caps and total campaign limits pushed Ukraine to the low restrictiveness regime. The situation changed again before the 2002 Rada elections. The new law on elections of deputies passed in October 2001 introduced both types of limits: on contributions and campaign total income (Art. 36).53 The upper limit for donations from individuals was fixed at 1000 times the minimum nontaxable income (about $ 3200). The law implicitly banned donations from legal persons to election funds of parties and candidates. Nevertheless, there were no legal provisions that would prohibit them to contribute to party or electoral coalitions budgets. Since parties and electoral coalitions were allowed to contribute to their own election funds unlimited amounts, this omission actually opened the backdoor for corporate donations. Given the shift form a majoritarian (450 seats elected in SMD) towards a mixed electoral system (225 seats SMD; 225 seats PR) in 1997 (Art. 1),54 the 2001 election law set out campaign limits to both parties and candidates. The maximum limit on party campaign fund was fixed at 150 thousand (about $ 480 thousand) while the same cap for majoritarian candidates was set at 10 thousand times the minimum non-taxable income (about $ 32 thousand). These regulations clearly favoured candidates competing in SMD relative to their fellows competing on party lists. The spending ratio for majoritarian candidates was 15 higher relative to those running for elections on party lists. These amendments pushed Ukraine into the pool of high restrictive regimes for the 2002 Rada elections. Regulatory turbulences continued and the next Rada elections (2006) were held under a fully-fledged party list proportional representation with amended limits on private contributions but no limits on campaign total income (Art. 53).55 This again changed the restrictiveness status thus driving Ukraine into Закон “Про вибори народних депутатів України”, (Відомості Верховної Ради (ВВР) 1993, N 48, ст. 455 ). Закон Про внесення змін до частини дев'ятої статті 23 та частини четвертої статті 36 Закону України “Про вибори народних депутатів України” ( Відомості Верховної Ради (ВВР), 1995, N 31, ст.245 ). 52 Закон “О выборах народных депутатов Украины”, 1997-09-24, N 541/97-BP, Урядовий кур'єр вiд 1997-10-25. 53 Закон “Про вибори народних депутатів України”, Верховна Рада України (ВРУ), N 2766-III, 2001-10-18, Урядовий кур'єр № 201 вiд 2001-11-02 стор.3. 54 Закон “О выборах народных депутатов Украины”, 1997-09-24, N 541/97-BP, Урядовий кур'єр вiд 1997-10-25. 55 Про внесення змін до Закону України “Про вибори народних депутатів України” N 2777-IV, 2005-07-07, (Відомості Верховної Ради України (ВВР), 2005, N 38-39, ст.449). 50 51 38 the group of medium-high PFR. Although the limits on campaign total income have been abrogated, the problems regarding donations persisted. While the upper donation limit for physical persons was significantly raised, having been fixed at 400 MMW (about $ 27.6 thousand), the problem with corporate donations was not solved and the backdoor for such contributions was preserved in the 2005 elections law. Furthermore, unlike previous regulations, the law explicitly stipulated that party/electoral coalitions own resources transferred to their election fund are not subject to any restrictions in terms of frequency or amounts (Art. 53). De facto, this provision rendered any control mechanism on donations meaningless, particularly due to the lack of any restrictions on donations for the party regular activity. The vagueness of regulatory framework was noticed by OSCE and Venice Commission, which recommended to clarify and expand regulations concerning the sources and amounts of financial contributions. 56 Yet these provisions were still in place in the 2011 new law on people’s deputies. The only innovation was the introduction of lower donation caps (20 MMW – about $ 2500) from individuals to candidates running for office in SMD due to another change of electoral system back towards a mixed one (Art. 1).57 Nevertheless, even in this case there were no limits on candidate’s personal funds used for campaigning (Art. 50). The same rule applied to parties’ own financial means transferred to their election fund, while the limit on individual contributions surpassed the $ 55 thousand threshold due to increase in MMW. Although Ukraine’s experience is not unique, it vividly illustrates the fragility of campaign financing rules and the unwillingness of political actors to confine themselves with regard to funding sources. Even when regulations towards campaign limits became much more permissive, hence allowing parties and to lesser extent candidates to rely on large donations, their reluctance to cancel legislative loopholes rendered existing legal framework ineffective and hardly enforceable. 3.5. High restrictive cases High restrictive financing regimes place limits on both types of income, i.e. donations and total campaign income. Yet within this type there are several cases that exhibit extreme values in restrictiveness. Extreme cases These cases are found in four ex-soviet republics Turkmenistan, Belarus, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan. Among these four, Turkmenistan represents a special case since there was no political opposition and there were no competitive elections, at least formally. The other three countries imposed various restrictions on alternative financing sources during election campaigns. The first Opinion No. 338/2005: CDL-AD (2006)002, Opinion on the Law on Elections of People’s Deputies of Ukraine. The Venice Commission and OSCE/ODIHR, pp. 10, 22. 57 Закон Про вибори народних депутатів України No 4061-VI, 2011-11-17, (Відомості Верховної Ради України (ВВР), 2012, N 10-11, ст.73). 56 39 parliamentary elections in Belarus were held in 1995 using the old (1989) but updated (1994) law on elections of deputies for the Supreme Council.58 The law however completely prohibited direct and indirect participation of any kind of domestic and foreign entities in election financing of candidates for deputies. Available election funds, administered by CEC, were to be evenly distributed among candidates and spent according to the rules set out by the CEC (Art.12). In the same vein, the law on elections to Majlisi Oli (Parliament) of Tajikistan prohibited any financial and material assistance in the organization and holding of elections from other sources than state budget (Art.9).59 Similar provisions were incorporated in Uzbekistan’s election law of deputies to Oliy Majlisi (Parliament). Any other nonstate financial means provided to support election campaign of candidates to deputies were explicitly forbidden. Nevertheless, physical and legal entities, including political parties, public associations and businesses that expressed their willingness to provide assistance in organizing elections could do so by transferring financial resources to the CEC. The use of these resources, however, was at the full discretion of electoral body (Art.49).60 Complete ban on the use of private financing during election campaign actually meant that the opposition parties were completely deprived of possibility to compete on equal footing with incumbents given the access of the latter to administrative resources and control of the media. Moreover, under such circumstances, even the opposition access to alternative sources of private funding would have become irrelevant since it could not use it to wage an election campaign. This also makes almost meaningless financing regulations pertaining to the regular party operation. Why would a political party strive to secure financing if it cannot use it to competing for political power? Except Turkmenistan, in all other cases within this type political parties could theoretically accumulate large financial means since party funding regulations did not envisage any limits either on contributions or aggregate annual income. However, the nature of electoral rules on funding rendered this option unfeasible. The ranks of highly restrictive regimes became thinner after almost two decades from the outset of transition. Two out of four highly restrictive regimes liberalized their rules on election financing. Only Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan preserved this status without passing any legislation that would change the terms regarding election financing. Uzbekistani election law of deputies to Oliy Majlisi before the 2009 parliamentary elections preserved untouched the provisions regarding private financing sources. Although any private money supplied to assist electoral candidates was definitely banned, individuals, businesses and other entities still had the possibility to support the organization of Закон Республики Беларусь от 27 октября 1989 г. №2919-XI “О выборах депутатов Верховного Совета Республики Беларусь” (СЗ БССР, 1989 г., N 31, ст.316; Ведомости Верховного Совета Республики Беларусь, 1995 г., N 1-2, ст.3). 59 Закон Республики Таджикистан от 1 декабря 1994 года “О выборах в Маджлиси Оли Республики Таджикистан”, (Ведомости Верховного Совета Республики Таджикистан, 1994 г., №23-24, ст.444. 60 Закон Республики Узбекистан “О Выборах в Олий Мажлис Республики Узбекистан” (Ведомости Верховного Совета Республики Узбекистан, 1994 г., № 1, ст. 6. 58 40 elections by contributing to CEC electoral fund managed at its sole discretion (Art.49). 61 There were no changes, alike, with respect to Turkmenistan’s electoral rules on financing. The brand new edition of law on elections of deputies before the 2008 parliamentary elections foresaw that campaign expenses for the organizing and holding elections of deputies to Mejlis were to be fully covered by the state and administered by the CEC (Art.8).62 Needless to say that the legal setup allowing political pluralism was still completely missing while political opposition was banned. On the other hand, Belarus and Tajikistan relaxed their legal framework concerning private financing of elections thus joining the group of high restrictive regimes. Tajikistan passed several decisive amendments to the 1999 parliamentary elections law in 2008. As result, parties and candidates were allowed to use financial resources from private sources being subject to both kind of restrictions – donation caps and caps on total campaign revenue.63 Likewise, Belarus undertook a thorough revision of its 2000 electoral legislation in 2010 by introducing new provisions on election financing of presidential and parliamentary candidates. In addition to public funding, candidates for deputies were permitted to amass financial resources from physical and legal persons as well as to use their own funds. 64 I analyze the substance of these new provisions in a comparative fashion with other cases from the same restrictiveness type. High restrictive cases Except cases that fully prohibited income from private sources, Bulgaria is the only country that put extremely harsh legal constraints on party and candidate financing from the very beginning of transition. For the first parliamentary elections following the collapse of communist regime in 1990, the legal framework fixed the upper limits on donations for individuals and legal entities at 100 (US $ 15) and 2000 (US $ 290) Leva respectively, while the maximum limits for total campaign income were established at 20 thousand (US $ 2900) Leva per candidate (Art. 53). 65 Very soon, however, contribution limits were removed while the limits on total campaign income were lifted up to 30 thousand Leva per candidate.66 In this respect Bulgaria shifted from a high restrictive regime that survived roughly one year Закон Республики Узбекистан “О Выборах в Олий Мажлис Республики Узбекистан” (Ведомости Верховного Совета Республики Узбекистан, 1994 г., № 1, ст. 6; Ведомости Олий Мажлиса Республики Узбекистан, 1998 г., № 3, ст. 38; 1999 г., № 9, ст. 206; 2000 г., № 5-6, ст. 153; 2003 г., № 9-10, ст. 132). 62 Закон Туркменистана от 10 октября 2008 года № 210-III “О выборах депутатов Меджлиса Туркменистана”. 63 Конституционный Закон Республики Таджикистан “О выборах Маджлиси Оли Республики Таджикистан”(Ахбори Маджлиси Оли Республики Таджикистан 1999 год, № 12, ст. 296; 2004 год, № 7, ст.451; 2007год, №5, ст.352; 2008 год, №10, ст.797). 64 Закон Республики Беларусь от 04.01.2010 №99-З “О внесении дополнений и изменений в некоторые законы Республики Беларусь по вопросам проведения выборов и референдумов” и о признании утратившим силу Закона Республики Беларусь “О Центральной комиссии Республики Беларусь по выборам и проведению республиканских референдумов”. 65 Закон за избиране на Велико Народно събрание Обн., ДВ, бр. 28 от 6.04.1990 г., в сила от 6.04.1990 г., попр., бр. 29 от 10.04.1990 г., доп., бр. 24 от 13.03.2001 г., изм., бр. 45 от 30.04.2002 г. 66 Закон за избиране на народни представители, общински съветници и кметове. Обн., ДВ, бр. 69 от 22.08.1991 г., в сила от 22.08.1991 г. Сборник закони - АПИС, кн. 9/91 г., стр. 50; кн. 12/91 г., стр. 131; кн. 4/97 г., стр. 8 том I/91 г., стр. 55 (редакция от 22.08.1991 г.). 61 41 (June 1990 – October 1991) to a medium-low one that lasted till 2001 when new provisions on contribution limits and total campaign have been established by a new parliamentary elections law (Art. 71-72).67 Bulgaria stands out by having instituted for the first democratic elections the most restrictive contribution caps. Under such constraining conditions each candidate running for office in a SMD would have needed the support of 10 corporate sponsors or 200 individuals to finance election campaign, provided that the upper spending limit would have been reached. For a political party that would have filled a list for multi-member constituencies and would have put forward candidates to cover all other 200 single-member districts it would have needed at least 400 corporate sponsors or roughly 80 thousand individuals to fund its campaign. It appears that financing requirements for the first democratic electoral experience were too harsh and they were quickly abolished already in subsequent elections by freeing parties and candidates from such a burden. For the sake of comparison, Romanian parties become constrained by the requirements of contribution limits and caps on total income amassed from donations only at their third election campaign in 1996. It seems that previous experience played out its role in laying down a much more convenient legal framework on donations. Even for the entire 1996 election year the total income accrued from private contributions would have required only 50 corporate donors or 250 individuals to reach the maximum annual limit of about US $ 608 thousand. Finally, the most numerous group is represented by cases belonging to high restrictiveness type. As one could notice at the beginning of this chapter, roughly two thirds of post-communist polities had enacted harsher rules on campaign funding after almost two decades since the outset of transition. Because these cases constitute the majority, I will assess them across all three indicators: donation caps, limits on campaign total income and the size of donors’ network, i.e. the minimum number of donors needed to reach the upper threshold on campaign spending. This gives us a clue about the incentive structure of fundraising, that is, whether electoral subjects are induced to accrue financial resources from a large pool of potential donors or legal arrangements are designed in a way that, actually, motivates them to focus on a narrow group of wealthy sponsors. We noticed that for party regular activity the incentive structure concerning the size of donors’ network was quite permissive even for those cases that belong to high restrictiveness type. Elections offer a better opportunity to substantiate this finding since the number of cases is significantly higher compared to regular funding. Though I focus my analysis only on two of these indicators, namely the maximum level of donations and the size of donors’ network, I use the levels of campaign total income precisely to estimate the size of donors’ network. Data on contributions shown in table 10 provides a summary statistics on donations from physical and legal persons. We can observe a huge variation regarding both categories of donors. 67 Elections of Members of Parliament Act. Promulgated State Gazette No. 37/13.04.2001. 42 Table 10: Summary statistics on donations from physical and legal entities for countries belonging to high restrictiveness type 2007-2011 (US $) Number of cases Mean Std. Dev. Minimum Maximum Limits on donations: 21 18327 26956 60 120125 physical entities Limits on donations: 17 97979 202883 120 839570 corporate entities Source: Author’s own calculations Note: Croatia, Georgia and Ukraine that belong to the medium-high regime are also included. It ranges from the lowest level of US $ 60 for individuals in Belarus to the highest level of US $ 120 thousand for individual contributions in Moldova. For the corporate donations, the range is even higher. Belarus is located again at the lower tail of distribution with a donation value of 120 $ for business contributions to candidates’ election funds, while Russia is placed at the upper distribution tail as a glaring outlier with a maximum level reaching almost US $ 840 thousand to party headquarter. Such a high variation clearly indicates that looking only at the lack or the availability of contribution limits is misleading since very high levels of donations such as epitomized by Russia might be regarded as closer to a PFR that does not set up any donation caps on businesses. Figure 19 and 20 range post-communist polities based on the maximum levels of contributions set up for physical and legal entities respectively. As already hinted by summary statistics, we can notice a striking variation regarding the upper donation levels. Figure 19: Maximum donation levels from physical entities for high restrictive cases 2007-2011 (US $) BY TJ KG ME AZ AM BA RS MK PL BG AL LT SI RU GE HR LV RO UA MD 60 800 2140 2650 3730 4000 4300 4700 6970 7011 7100 11920 16500 16600 16790 16830 17000 0 33350 44000 48300 50000 120125 US $ 100000 150000 Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: Croatia, Georgia and Ukraine belong to the medium-high restrictiveness regime. 43 These two graphs yield several interesting results. Russia, Moldova Croatia and Romania display, by far, the highest levels on corporate donations. Georgia, Azerbaijan and Serbia also record quite high donation levels but significantly lower than the first group. The variation remains high even among those countries recording the lowest donation levels. Another important issue: albeit corporate donors are, on average, advantaged in relation to individual contributors, the upper levels for individuals are quite high in some countries. Moldova is a clear leader in this respect but Romania, Ukraine and Latvia also record high donation levels for physical entities. In Ukraine and Latvia such high levels might be explained by the complete ban on campaign donations from legal entities, so as to compensate for this confinement. In the same fashion, Estonia passed in 2003 an amendment to party law prohibiting corporate donations but there were no limits whatsoever on private contributions from individuals. 68 On the other hand, we observe Poland and Bulgaria that also banned corporate donations but the maximum level on donations is considerably lower amounting to slightly more than US $ 7 thousand in both cases. Poland introduced the ban on corporate donations already in 2001 (Art. 25) 69 while Bulgaria followed suit much later, in 2009 (Art. 24).70 Figure 20: Maximum donation levels from legal entities for high restrictive cases 20072011 (US $) BY TJ BA KG AL AM ME LT SI MK RS GE AZ RO HR MD RU 120 4000 8100 10700 11920 12000 13250 16500 16600 27900 47000 56100 62240 110000 189400 240250 839570 0 200000 400000 US $ 600000 800000 Source: Author’s own elaboration Note: Croatia and Georgia belong to the medium-high restrictiveness regime. Political Parties Act, passed 11 May 1994, (State Gazette, I 1994, 40, 654), entered into force 16 June 1994, amended by the following Acts: 18.12.2003 entered into force 01.01.2004 - State Gazette I 2003, 90, 601. 69 The Act of 27th June 1997 On Political Parties, Dziennik Ustaw of the Republic of Poland No. 98, item 604 (unified text: Dziennik Ustaw of 2001, No. 79, item 857), amended: Dziennik Ustaw of 2001. 70 Bulgaria: Political Parties Act (as amended by State Gazette No. 6 2009). 68 44 This overview with regard to limits on private contributions for cases belonging to high restrictiveness type revealed a huge cross-country variation concerning regulatory practices in postcommunist space. Even if the majority of them endorsed similar legislation aimed at limiting money flows from private interests into party and candidate election funds, it is quite difficult to notice a clear convergence pattern due to very high disparities towards the upper donation levels. The size of donors’ network I turn now to the second feature of high restrictiveness cases, namely the size of donors’ network. As already mentioned it reflects the fundraising efforts an electoral competitor has to deploy to reach the upper campaign limit.71 Hence, the minimum number of donors necessary to reach the upper campaign threshold is a good proxy to gauge whether electoral contestants are prompted to disperse their energy to reach a larger pool of potential sponsors or to concentrate their efforts on a narrow pool of wealthy donors. So far we could notice that regulations on financing party regular activity were devised in a rather permissive way, allowing political parties to extract large amounts from affluent donors without any need to develop and maintain a fundraising mechanism based on grassroots funding. Yet, the number of cases falling into the pool of the most constraining PFR was too small to generalize this finding, although we could also notice that legislative amendments in those countries that were encapsulated by the high restrictiveness type did not alter financing regime so as to induce political parties to expand their donor network. Given higher stakes implied by elections, the regulations of campaign financing offer a better possibility to explore this direction of inquiry. Financing rules on private contributions and campaign total income became more dense and elaborated compared to financing provisions on party regular activity in many post-communist polities. Accordingly, it is not surprising that roughly two thirds of them are belonging to high restrictiveness type. Despite of the huge variation among countries towards the maximum donation levels, the small size of donors’ network represents a common feature of the majority of cases recording a high restrictiveness degree. Albeit cross-country variation on this indicator is relatively high, in the main, it mirrors the pattern identified for party regular activity. Table 11 shows how many individuals or corporate donors are necessary to reach the upper limit of campaign spending, provided that every donor provides the maximum amount permitted by law. With the exception of Azerbaijan and Belarus, there is clear evidence that the interaction of campaign rules on contribution limits and limits on total campaign income yields quite a narrow pool of donors necessary to finance elections. Even if one controls for the size of electoral market, in terms of registered voters, what comes out is only a different ranking of countries, without affecting the underlying incentive structure of campaign financing regulations, i.e. reliance on large donations. It by no means implies that electoral competitors will necessary reach the limit. It depends on the threshold’s value and the extent to which it reflects the actual demand for financial resources in a concrete election campaign. 71 45 Table 11: The size of donors’ network for high restrictive cases Political Party Individual Candidates Country Elections Network size Network size Network size Network size year of individual of corporate of individual of corporate donors donors donors donors Moldova 2010 9 5 1 1 Latvia 2008 19 banned 1 banned Slovenia 2007 60 60 1 1 Bulgaria 2009 100 banned 20 banned Lithuania 2008 106 106 2 2 Bosnia & 2010 148 79 4 2 Herzegovina Montenegro 2009 170 34 Serbia 2010 200 50 Tajikistan 2010 200 40 10 5 Macedonia 2011 210 105 2 1 Romania 2012 400 200 1 1 Kyrgyzstan 2010 500 100 Armenia 2010 1200 400 100 33 Russia 2011 1429 29 Poland 2007 1555 banned 4 banned Azerbaijan 2010 20833 1250 167 10 Belarus 2010 22000 11000 200 100 Source: Author’s own calculations Moreover, if we take into consideration public funding provided for organizing elections and own financial resources deployed by parties and candidates, besides donations, then the pool of potential donors shrinks further. The majority of CEE countries, except Latvia and Moldova, provided state subsidies for election financing, whereas Caucasus and Central Asia republics and Russia allowed parties and candidates to contribute with large amounts to their own election funds. The resemblance and proximity of high restrictiveness cases on this dimension still hides a large variation among cases when controlling for the size of electoral market. This variation is well captured by figures 21 and 22, which reflect, what I label, the representativeness of the donors’ network for constituency. Y-axis represents the ratio between the number of registered voters and the number of physical persons needed to reach the maximum level of campaign aggregate income and provides an approximation of how many voters are covered by a single donor. X-axis performs the same function but applied to legal entities. In fact, this indicator reflects the propensity of a given PFR to make it easier or more difficult for parties to collect resources for campaigning. As we move from the bottom-left corner towards the upper-right corner, a financing regime becomes friendlier towards electoral subjects since it requires fewer efforts to reach potential contributors. 46 300000 100000 200000 MDA LVA BGR RUS ROU SRB SVN LTU BIH POL TJK MKD KGZ MNE ARM BLR AZE 0 physical entity / number of registered voters Figure 21: The relationship between the size of donors’ network and the size of electoral market 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 legal entity / number of registered voters 4000000 Source: Author’s own elaboration physical entity / number of registered voters 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 Figure 22: The relationship between the size of donors’ network and the size of electoral market (without Moldova and Russia) LVA BGR ROU SRB SVN LTU BIH POL TJK MKD KGZ MNE ARM BLR AZE 0 50000 100000 legal entity / number of registered voters 150000 Source: Author’s own elaboration 47 I dropped Russia and Moldova from figure 22 since they are marked outliers and as figure 21 shows these two cases strongly skew the results.72 Furthermore, Russia’s legislation provides for additional provisions referring to party regional branches aimed at facilitating fundraising. The 2005 Duma elections law authorized legal entities to contribute up to 50% to the total campaign income to electoral fund of party regional branches (Art. 64/4), meaning that two corporate donors would have sufficed to cover all campaign expenses.73 Albania is another case that fits high restrictiveness type but misses from our analysis. It shifted from a low to a high restrictiveness regime only in 2005 when limits on donations and total campaign income have been introduced. Yet, it is impossible beforehand to estimate the size of donor’s network for Albanian electoral competitors since it varies from one campaign to another conditional on the amount of public funding allocated to electoral contestants. Electoral legislation amended in 2005 capped donations from individual and legal entities at ALL 1 million (about US $10.260 for the 2009 electoral campaign), but tied the upper limit of campaign income to the amount of state subsidies. Accordingly, campaign total income for each party, including its candidates, could not exceed tenfold the largest amount received by a party from the state budget for electioneering. For individual candidates the maximum limit on campaign spending was fixed at 50% from the same amount (Art. 144, 145). 74 Election financing rules of Serbia and Montenegro imposed similar restrictions on total campaign fund based on the amount of state subsidies.75 These results have to be interpreted with caution, given the fact that they do not account for public funding and competitors’ own resources poured into campaign coffers. However, as already hinted, incorporation of such data would reinforce even more the underlying pattern of financing rules featured by high restrictiveness cases. There is another striking paradox: irrespective of huge variation in donation thresholds or upper limits on campaign total income, their interaction yields similar results. Two other cases represent the best illustration of such an outcome. Belarus and Azerbaijan score the highest values regarding the size of donor’s network but they are highly contrasting regimes with respect to limits on contributions and campaign spending. For instance, the size of donors’ network is so large for Azerbaijan because it is driven by an extremely high levels of the total campaign income (AZN 500 thousand) for individual candidates elected in SMD and relatively low donation levels from individuals (AZN 3000). For the 2010 parliamentary campaign, this amounted to roughly US $ 620 The ratio registered voters/individual donors and registered voters/corporate donors for Moldova is 1/303.855 and 1/546.940, while for Russia the ratio is 1/76.443 and 1/3.766.820. 73 Федеральный закон от 18.05.2005 N 51-ФЗ “О выборах депутатов Государственной Думы Федерального Собрания Российской Федерации”, Принят Государственной Думой 22 апреля 2005 года. 74 The Assembly Law No 9087, dated 19.6.2003 amended by the law nr. 9297 dated 21.10.2004 and by the law no. 9341, dated 10.1.2005 The Electoral Code of the Republic of Albania. 75 Montenegro and Serbia adopted a rather sophisticated scheme by restricting total campaign income from private sources using a two-step procedure. First, 20% of public funding allocated for elections were to be equally distributed among all registered competitors. Then, the upper limit would be established as twenty fold the amount calculated in the first stage. 72 48 thousand per candidate and about US $ 3.7 thousand on contribution from physical entities. This is 50 times more than the upper level of campaign income for a Belorussian candidate who could spend about US $ 12 thousand for the same purpose in 2012 parliamentary contest, but would have needed to reach almost the same number of potential donors to gather this money since the maximum contribution of an individual could not exceed US $ 60. 3.6. Conclusion Unlike party regular activity, the development of campaign funding regulations followed a different path in terms of pace and magnitude of change. The financing of election campaigns became much quicker the regulatory target of post-communist politicians. As figure 23 shows, already during late ’90 the number of elections held under more restrictive regimes outnumbered the elections organized under more liberal regimes. With few exceptions, the majority of these countries enacted tighter regulatory provisions concerning private contributions and limits on aggregate income. After two decades of transition only three of them were in a state of low restrictive regimes without imposing any quantitative restrictions either on private contributions or on the campaign total income. Other two countries still prohibited private financing of elections, while the rest imposed one or another form of restrictions. The majority of them, however, endorsed both kinds of rules aiming at a better control over the origin and amount of donations, on the one hand, and the cost of elections, on the other hand. Notwithstanding differences with party regular activity concerning intensity of regulations, the nature of regulatory changes was not qualitatively different. Despite of quite striking cross-country differences regarding the upper contribution levels and the maximum levels of campaign aggregate income, in the majority of cases, election funding regulations have been tailored in a very friendly manner towards electoral competitors. Their interaction yielded a similar incentive structure as for regular funding, thus generating favorable conditions for political parties to resort to large donations instead of grassroots financing. 49 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Number of elections per year Figure 23: Overtime distribution of restrictiveness regimes for election campaign activity 1990 – 2012 low high medium-low extreme-high medium-high 50
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