OG Model of Optimal Saving 1 OG Model of Optimal Saving (II) Is the market equilibrium optimal? Or can we improve on it? We have found equilibrium savings and rate of interest, the quantity and price generated by a decentralized market. The chosen combination of consumption when young and old, is constrained by a given budget, subject to the clearing of the market. We do not know, however, whether this equilibrium level of saving leads to the best possible, or optimal, combination of consumption; is there a way to redistribute resources unconstrained by individual budgets that does better than the market? To answer, imagine a central planner with total control over the economy. He wants to allocate the goods available among the young and the old. OG Model of Optimal Saving 2 I. The Constraint Facing the Central Planner At any date he cannot allocate more goods than are available in the economy: the feasible set Nt w1 + N t−1w2 ≥ Nt c 1,t + Nt− 1 c 2,t Dividing through by Nt, and noting that Nt = nNt–1, the feasible set is w1 c w2 c1,t 2,t n n A stationary allocation is one that gives the members of every generation the same lifetime consumption pattern; i.e., in a stationary allocation, c1,t = c1 and c2,t = c2 for every period t. w1 w2 c c1 2 n n OG Model of Optimal Saving 3 II. The Golden Rule (Phelps, AER 1965) — Maximize steady-state lifetime utility Of all study states, choose the one that maximizes utility of future generations, ignoring initial old. MaxU c1 ,c2 subject to the feasible set for stationary allocations w1 w2 c c1 2 n n U 1 c1 n U 2 c2 The slope of the feasible set implies that when we take a unit of consumption from each young person, we can give exactly n more units of consumption to each old. OG Model of Optimal Saving 4 Therefore, the marginal cost and benefit of taking 1 extra good from each young person in order to give n goods to each of the old: Marginal cost Marginal benefit in goods 1 n in utility u1 nu2 Question: is the golden rule satisfied by the competitive equilibrium? U1 c1 r U 2 c2 U 1 c1 n U 2 c2 Only if r = n. But r is determined by the endowment pattern; nothing constrains it to be exactly equal to the economy’s growth rate. OG Model of Optimal Saving 5 III. Pareto Optimality The golden rule cares only about the future generations. It ignores the initial old. To apply a welfare criterion that considers both types of people, we turn to the concept of Pareto optimality: Allocation A is Pareto superior to allocation B if and only if in allocation A everyone is at least as well off as in allocation B and at least one individual is better off in A. An allocation is Pareto optimal (or Pareto efficient) if and only if no one can be made better off without making someone else worse off. Note that an allocation is Pareto optimal if and only if no feasible allocation is Pareto superior to it. OG Model of Optimal Saving 6 In the below graph, which 2 allocations U, V, W, and X are Pareto optimal? which allocations are Pareto superior to another allocation? Explain with an example: An allocation that is not Pareto optimal can nevertheless be Pareto superior to another allocation. An allocation that is Pareto optimal does not have to be Pareto superior to all other allocations. OG Model of Optimal Saving 7 1. A brief review of the Kuhn-Tucker conditions What if x is constrained to be non-negative? 2 possibilities: (1) w'(x) = 0, x > 0, as in the graph above. (2) Constraint is binding. Unconstrained max would be negative, as in left graph. Here x = 0 is optimal if w'(x)|x = 0 < 0. OG Model of Optimal Saving 8 2. Formal conditions defining Pareto optima Maximize utility of the future generations subject to — a constraint that the utility of the initial old V(c2) fall below a given level V. This defines a minimum level of consumption for the old. — the feasible set for stationary allocations max U(c1,c2) + θ[V(c2) − V] + λ[w1 + w2/n− c1 − c2 /n] FOCs: U1(c1,c2) − λ = 0 U2(c1,c2) +θV’(c2) − λ/n = 0 w1 w2 c c1 2 n n θ[V(c2) − V] = 0 (Kuhn-Tucker condition) OG Model of Optimal Saving 9 • If the constraint is non-binding, V(c2) –V > 0, θ = 0 At θ = 0, we have the golden rule: U 1 cˆ1 , cˆ2 n ˆ ˆ U 2 c1 , c2 • If the constraint is binding, V(c2) = V, 0 ≤ θ and c2 cˆ2 , U 1 c1 , c2 n U 2 c1 , c2 Nothing pins down the value of V, the minimum utility that we reserve for the initial old. Therefore, the set of Pareto Optima consists of the allocations satisfying these conditions for all feasible values of V.
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