BREAKDOWN OF THE EFFICIENCY GAP TO 29% BASED ON EXPERIMENTAL INPUT DATA AND MODELING R. Brendel1,2, T. Dullweber1, R. Peibst1, C. Kranz1, A. Merkle1, D. Walter3 Institute for Solar Energy Research Hamelin (ISFH), Am Ohrberg 1, 31860 Emmerthal, Germany 2 Institute for Solid State Physics, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Appelstrasse 2, 30167 Hannover, Germany 3 Australian National University (ANU), Research School of Engineering, North Road, Acton, ACT 0200, Australia 1 ABSTRACT: We demonstrate a procedure for quantifying efficiency gains that treats resistive, recombinative, and optical losses on an equal footing. For this we apply our Conductive Boundary (CoBo) model as implemented in the Quokka cell simulator. The generation profile is calculated with a novel analytical light trapping model. This model parametrizes the measured reflection spectra and is capable of turning the experimental case gradually into an ideal Lambertian scheme. Simulated and measured short circuit current densities agree for our 21.2%-efficient screen-printed PERC cell and for our 23.4%-efficient ion-implanted laser-processed IBC cell. For the loss analysis of these two cells we set all experimentally accessible control parameters (e.g. saturation current densities, sheet resistances, and carrier lifetimes) one at a time to ideal values. The efficiency gap to the ultimate limit of 29% is thereby fully explained in terms of individual improvements and in terms of their respective synergistic effects. This approach allows comparing loss structures of different types of solar cells, e.g. PERC and IBC cells. Keywords: Loss analysis, silicon solar cell; passivated emitter and rear cell; PERC; interdigitated back contact; IBC; Conductive boundary model 1 INTRODUCTION Having a quantitative breakdown of all losses greatly helps optimizing solar cells [1]. Many useful approaches to loss analysis are described in the literature. They range from simply analyzing Voc, Jsc and FF losses with a two-diode model to comprehensive predictive modeling [2] of specific technologies. The most basic approach to loss analysis distinguishes “current losses”, “voltage losses” and “fill factor losses”. They are, however, not independent. Any current loss implied by recombination also impacts the open circuit voltage and thus the fill factor. We introduced our Free Energy Loss Analysis (FELA) to determine a set of physically distinct recombination and transport losses [3]. Later FELA was extended to include optical losses [4]. However, this Free Energy Loss Analysis also has its drawbacks. It does not tell us how far the device is from the optimum since the free energy being generated in the devices depends on the device parameters. In addition the free energy dissipation by any larger loss (e.g. emitter recombination) is not equal to the efficiency gain to be expected when avoiding this loss. It is thus necessary to distinguish expected efficiency gains and corresponding losses at the working point. Summing all FELA losses does not fully explain the gap to the ideal efficiency of 29%. Our recently introduced Synergistic Efficiency Gain Analysis (SEGA) [5,6] is capable of breaking down the full efficiency gap to 29%. It idealizes the experimental device stepwise rather than applying the FELA at the maximum power point [3]. In our previous work [6] we used Sentaurus transport simulations and ray tracing with SUNRAYS [7]. A large number of input parameters were required: Doping profiles for the transport simulation and thickness values as well as the dielectric functions of various anti reflection coatings for ray tracing. Not all of these data are readily available for individual cells. Another disadvantage is that this modeling is demanding in terms of computation time (especially ray tracing) as well as hardware and software cost (especially Sentaurus). We therefore developed the conductive boundary (CoBo) model [8,9] that facilitates less demanding transport simulations. CoBo restricts the input parameters to experimentally readily accessible data such as saturation current densities, surface recombination velocities, sheet resistances and carrier lifetime in the bulk. CoBo does not spatially resolve the emitter and the back surface field (BSF) regions. This enables fast numerical solutions of the coupled carrier transport equations in the bulk of the device. This speed comes at the price of not being able to model the physics in the doped layers. We used Comsol to solve the CoBo model [9]. Comsol is, unfortunately, becoming increasingly expensive and every new device geometry requires new Comsol programming. The Quokka simulator by A. Fell [10] solves the cost issue as it is freeware. It solves the equations of the CoBo model in Matlab and makes the additional assumption of neutrality in the bulk. The neutrality assumption comes at the price of not being able to model the physics in the space charge region of the bulk, which is, however, not necessary for highly efficient cells. Quokka provides a script-based user interface for modeling a wide range of cell geometries without extra programming work. Franklin et. al. already used Quokka for a loss analysis [1].. Their approach combined our FELA [3] that is also implemented in Quokka [10] with a step-wise idealization of the optics in ray tracing simulations. With this approach the authors were able to give a break-down of a major fraction, but not the entirety of, the efficiency gap to 29%. Here we introduce an analytical optical model for extracting an approximate photogeneration profile from an experimental reflectance spectrum. Our optical model treats front and rear surface as being partially light scattering. Fitting experimental reflectance data with this model is much faster than fitting by ray tracing. Following Franklin [1] we also apply a stepwise idealization of the optics but do the same also for the transport. We perform a Synergetic Efficiency Gain Analysis (SEGA) of a Passivated Emitter and Rear Cell (PERC) [11] and an Interdigitated Back Contacted (IBC) cell [12] using the CoBo implementation in Quokka and the new optical model presented here. We find that for the PERC cell fiftyeight percent of the efficiency gap to 29% is due to recombination losses and forty-six percent of this gap is due to synergistic effects of the various individual improvements. CELLS INVESTIGATED Details on our industrial type PERC cell were reported previously [13]. It is 6” pseudo square and screenprinted on both sides. The cell has five busbars and no soldering pads on the rear side. It was manufactured at the ISFH research line SolarTeC. The independently confirmed efficiency is 21.2 %. Saturation currents, carrier lifetime, sheet resistances, surface recombination velocities and other parameters were all measured on co-processed or similarly processed test structures. The emitter has a sheet resistance of 75 Ω and a saturation current density of 100 fA/cm2 in the non-metalized region. These and more data were reported in [6]. The IBC cell that we reported in reference [14] has an area of 4 cm2. All structures were defined by laser processing. It was processed without photolithography. Ion implantation was used to form the emitter and the back surface field (BSF) layer. The independently confirmed efficiency is 23.4%. Saturation currents, carrier lifetime, sheet resistances, surface recombination velocity and most other parameters were measured on co-processed or similarly processed test structures. It is only the saturation current at the metal contact to the P-doped layer that we estimated using experimental results from other processes. The experimental parameters of the one-sun illuminated current voltage curves of both cells are listed in Table 1. Table 1: Comparison of experimental and simulated parameters of the current-voltage curve under one-sun illumination with an AM1.5G spectrum at 0.1 W/cm2 and 25°C. Voc Jsc FF η [mV] [mA/cm^2] [%] [%] PERC Experiment 662 39.8 80.6 21.2* PERC CoBo 668 39.8 81.0 21.5 IBC Experiment 693 41.3 81.9 23.4* IBC CoBo 696 41.2 82.8 23.7 * Independently confirmed by Fh-ISE 3 OPTICS 3.1 Reflectance measurements The symbols in Figure 1 show the experimental hemispherical reflection of the PERC cell (circles) and the IBC cell (diamonds). The reflection is measured at room temperature under 8° of incidence with an integrating sphere that is 15 cm in diameter, using a spot size of 2 cm x 2 cm. For the PERC cell, the measured data are corrected for the reflectance of the metal fingers by forcing the total reflectance to zero at its minimum. By this approach, the reflectance of the inter-finger regions is estimated. 3.2 Optical model Figure 2 sketches the optical model that we develop to parametrize the measured reflectance and the corresponding depth-dependent carrier generation profile. Specular light of unity intensity impinges on the wafer surface. We distinguish specular (black) and diffusive (red) light intensities Ij,k,l (index j =s or d) at the top and bottom of the wafer (k = t or b), and we distinguish light propagating downwards and upwards (l = d or u). The model has thus ten variables (circles in Figure 2): Four light intensities Ij,t,l at the top of the wafer, four intensities Ij,b,l at the bottom of the wafer, plus the diffusive reflectance Rd and the specular reflectance Rs. The front surface of the wafer is characterized by its Lambertian character Λf and the front reflectance Rf =1-Tf, with Tf denoting the transmittance of the front. We thus assume that dielectric coatings on the front do not absorb light. Similarly the rear side is characterized by Λb and Rb. 0.6 Measurement Extrapolated Rf 0.5 IBC Model 0.4 Reflection R 2 PERC 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 200 400 600 800 1000 Wavelength λ [nm] 1200 1400 Figure 1: Measured (symbols) and modelled (lines) hemispherical reflectance spectra of the PERC (diamonds) and the IBC (circles) cell. Rs Rd Λf 1− Λ f 1− Λ f Rf Tf 1− Λ f Tf 1 − Tf Tf Rf 1− Λ f 0 1 1 − T f 2 n I d ,t ,d I d ,t ,u Ts Td Td I s ,b,u I d ,b,d (1 − Λ b ) Rb Λf 1 n2 I s ,t ,u Ts = e −αW I s ,b,d Tf Rf Tf Λf I s ,t ,d Λf W z I d ,b,u Λb Rb Rb Figure 2: Power flows of the light trapping model. Black lines denote specular light and red lines denote light propagating in random direction. We consider power flux upwards and downwards. The blue lines denote power transfer from the specular channel to the diffusive channel according to the Lambertian characters of the front and the rear surface. Collect the factors along the lines to derive the system of equations of this optical model. Specular light of unity intensity impinges on the wafer surface. The model has 10 variables Ij,k,l. We distinguish specular (black) and diffusive (red) light intensities (index j =s or d) at the top and bottom of the wafer (k = t or b), and we distinguish light propagating downwards and upwards (l = d or u). The intensity of specular reflectance from the incoming light is Rf (1-Λf). The corresponding diffusive reflectance Rf Λf contributes to the total diffuse reflectance Rd. Intensities transferred from the specular (black) channels to the diffusive (red) channels are denoted as blue dotted lines in Figure 2. The Intensity of the first specular Rs = (1 − Λ f )(I s ,t ,u T f + R f ) . Solving (1) through (10) for the ten intensities we find the total reflectance R = Rs + Rd to be RbT f2 ( − (Λ b − 1)(Λ f − 1)Ts2 (RbTd2 (n 2 − T f ) − n 2 ) − Λ bTd (Λ f − 1)Ts + Td2 Λ f ) RbTd2 (T f − n 2 ) + n 2 R= + R f ((Λ b − 1)Rb (Λ f − 1)(T f − 1)Ts2 + 1) . (11) (Λ b − 1)Rb (Λ f − 1)(T f − 1)Ts2 + 1 transmission through the front surface is Tf (1−Λf) while the transmitted diffusive intensity is Tf Λf. The symbol Ts = e−αW in Figure 2 denotes the normal transmittance of specular light through the wafer of thickness W. For every wavelength the wafer has the absorption coefficient α and refractive index n. Similarly Td denotes the transmission factor of fully randomized light. See [15] for an analytic expression for Td. The upward and downward light flows shown in the Figure 2 define ten linear equations. We explain only one of them. The diffusive intensity (upper left red circle) ( (10) ) = I d ,t ,d I d ,t ,u 1 − T f / n 2 + Λ f (I s ,t ,u (1 − T f ) + T f ) The carrier generation rate z 1− ln(Td ) g (z ) = (I d ,b,u Td W + I d ,t ,d Td z /W ) − W z 1− ln(Ts ) (I s ,b,u Ts W + I s ,t ,d Ts z /W ) − W depends in the four intensity variables Ij,k,l. For understanding (12) please note that the absorption coefficient for specular light is −ln(Ts ) / W while diffusive light has an apparently larger absorption coefficient −ln(Td ) / W due to oblique traversal. Inserting the solutions for these four variables yields the easy to program fully analytic depth-dependent generation profile (1) at the top of the wafer propagating downwards has three contributions: (i) The diffusive part Λ f T f of the transmission − T f ( − ln [Ts ]Ts z W − 2z (TsW − RbTs2 ( − 1 + Λ b ))( − 1 + Λ f ) − g( z ) = − (12) z 2z 2z ln [Td ]Td W (n 2TdW Λ f + RbTd ( − (n 2 + TdW (n 2 − T f ))Ts Λ b ( − 1 + Λ f ) + n 2Td Λ f )) −n 2 + RbTd2 (n 2 − T f ) W (1 + Rb ( − 1 + T f )Ts2 ( − 1 + Λ b )( − 1 + Λ f )) ) . (13) into the wafer (blue), (ii) the diffusive part I s ,t ,u R f Λ f = I s ,t ,u (1 − T f )Λ f of specular light that is reflected A Matlab code for equations (11) and (13) will be made available [16]. internally (blue), (iii) the internally reflected diffusive intensity I d ,t ,u (1 − T f / n 2 ) (red). In (iii) the divisor n 2 3.3 describes the restriction of the internal transmission for diffuse light by total internal reflection. Collecting the factors along the black, red, and blue lines in Figure 2 generates the other nine equations I d ,b,d = I d ,t ,d Td , I d ,b,u= I d ,b,d Rb + I s ,b,d Λ b Rb , (2) (3) I d ,t ,u = I d ,b,u Td , = Rd and I d ,t ,u T f n2 + Λ f (I s ,t ,u T f + R f ) , (4) (5) I s ,t ,d = (1 − Λ f )(I s ,t ,u (1 − T f ) + T f ) , (6) I s ,b,d = I s ,t ,d Ts , (7) = I s ,b,u I s ,b,d (1 − Λ b ) Rb , (8) I s ,t ,u = I s ,b,u Ts , (9) Application to the cells investigated At every wavelength we use (11) for modeling the measured reflectance. This requires knowledge of the front reflectance Rf. We take Rf to be equal to the measured reflectance R for short wavelengths and extrapolate the measurement with a second order polynomial (dashed blue line in Figure 1) into the near infrared spectral range. The three coefficients of the polynomial are chosen to reproduce the experimental reflectance R at 800, 850 and 900 nm. More elaborate extrapolations schemes that account for the Fresnel oscillations yield the same results here. Please note that we include free carrier absorption [17] by majority carriers in the bulk and in the doped surface layers. For this we increase the absorption coefficient α above its band to band value. For the doped layers this enhancement is calculated from the sheet resistances of the emitter and the BSF. We assume a rectangular doping profile, apply an estimated layer thickness and choose the doping concentration to reproduce the measured sheet resistance when applying Klaassen’s unified mobility model [18]. The areal fraction and the respective layer thickness values are accounted for by appropriately “diluting” the corresponding free carrier absorption into the bulk of the Si wafer. The optical model has three free parameters Λf, Λb, and Rb. We find that different pairs of Λf, Λb can give very similar results. Fixing Λf to 0.335 makes the fitting more stable. The value Λf = 0.335 makes the average path length of the first traversal equal to the path length of the spectral transmission through a {111} pyramidal surface texture. The solid lines in Figure 1 show the fit (lines) of equation (11) to the measurements (symbols). We find a minimum deviation of model and experiment with (Rb = 0.897, Λb= 0.907) for the PERC cell and with (Rb = 0.944, Λb=0.865) for the IBC cell. The back reflectance of the IBC cell is thus considerably higher than that of the PERC cell. We speculate that this is mainly due to a higher reflectance of evaporated aluminum when compared to screen-printed aluminum. In addition the area of direct metal to silicon contact is less than half for the IBC cell when compared to the PERC cell. The value of this parametrization of the reflectance and the carrier generation rate for the SEGA is that on the one hand it describes the reflectance spectra well and on the other hand it can also model ideal Lambertian light trapping when taking Rf = 0, Rb = 1 and Λf = 1. There is no specular light in the cell for unity Lambertian character Λf at the front surface. In this case the Lambertian character Λb of the rear side does not influence the simulation result. 4 TRANSPORT MODEL We use the software program Quokka [10] version 2.2.2 for the transport modeling of the cells. A lumped series resistance accounts for ohmic losses. The value of this resistance is chosen to have a power dissipation that equals the sum of the power dissipation in the fingers and in the busbars. We calculate this value analytically by assuming that the series resistance is sufficiently small to allow for a laterally constant current density in the cell. This is a valid assumption for efficient cells. Figure 3 illustrates half of the two unit cells with ntype layers in red, p-type layers in green, dielectric surfaces in blue and metal contacts in grey. The CoBo model requires saturation current densities Jox and sheet resistances Rx as input parameters for all doped surface layers [9]. Quokka further requires the contact resistances ρx as input parameters for the contacted boundaries [10]. Here x = e, ec, BSF, BSFc stands for the emitter, the emitter contact, the BSF layer, and the BSF contact layer, respectively. Dielectric coated surfaces are described by a surface recombination velocity S. The unit cell of the PERC cell is two dimensional. We select the parameters of the Shockley-Read-Hall recombination in the bulk to describe the experimental lifetime data of a corresponding test structure. See reference [5] for this procedure. The shading of the busbars is considered by enhancing the shading of the fingers. We model the dielectric rear surface of the PERC cell as a conductive boundary layer, however with a high sheet resistance of 1 MΩ. The reasons for this will become apparent later. The unit cell of the IBC cell is three dimensional, thus Figure 3 only shows a cross section through the contacts. Here we assume an injection independent carrier lifetime of 5 ms in the bulk. Please note that we assume unity collection efficiency in all doped surface layers. This introduces an error of the short circuit current density of typically less than 0.2 mA/cm2 for efficient screen-printed cells. This assumption could be relaxed in a more detailed analysis that also evaluates experimental quantum efficiencies. PERC Emitter metal Emitter cont.: Joec Rec r ec Emitter: Joe Re Bulk: r b, t b BSF cont.: JoBSFc RBSFc r BSFc Dielectric surface: S BSF metal IBC Dielectric surface: S Bulk: r b, t b Emitter cont.: Joec Rec r ec Emitter metal Emitter: Joe Re BSF: JoBSF RBSF BSF cont.: JoBSFc RBSFc r BSFc BSF metal Figure 3: Two-dimensional schematic illustration of half of the unit cell of the PERC and the IBC cell, respectively. Red color indicates p-type doping, green color is n-type doping, blue is dielectric surface passivation, and gray is the contacting region of the metallization. The PERC structure is modelled in 2D while the IBC structure is modelled in 3D. Thus the figure only shows a cross section through the 3D unit cell of the IBC cell. Table 1 shows that a fair agreement of the measured one-sun current-voltage (IV)-curve parameters with the simulated ones. Please note that we did not do any fitting with the transport model. The differences between experiment and modeling are sufficiently small to determine the relative size of the various loss channels. The modelled short circuit current densities agree with the experimental values to within 0.1 mA/cm2. This agreement justifies the use of the new optical model in our SEGA. The voltages are slightly overestimated which could be due to neglecting perimeter losses at the edge of the cells. 4.1 SEGA of the 21.2% PERC cell The synergistic efficiency gain analysis (SEGA) analysis of the PERC cell is shown in Figure 4. This SEGA plot is generated automatically by our Matlab code that modifies the script containing the cell definition, runs Quokka, and evaluates the results. Fitting of the reflectance spectra, all 24 device simulations and generating the SEGA plot takes about 4 min on a laptop (Lenovo X201). The plot is generated as follows. We first simulate the reference case using the experimental input parameters. The simulated reference cell has an efficiency of 21.5%. Starting from the reference case we set the diode saturation current of the emitter and the emitter contact to zero while leaving all other parameters as measured. This gives a simulated efficiency improvement of 0.698% (first red bar, marked “Emitter recombination”). Then we set the saturation currents back to their experimental values and reduce the sheet resistance of the emitter to zero. This adds 0.298% (first blue bar marked “Emitter lateral resistance”). Zero emitter sheet resistance in the PERC cell does approximately exclude lateral electron transport losses in the cell. For excluding the lateral transport losses of holes we set the sheet resistance of the BSF and the sheet resistance of the dielectric surface to zero. This adds 0.118% of efficiency (blue bar marked “BSF lateral resistance”). Lateral transport loss by electrons is thus more important in our PERC cell than lateral transport loss by holes. Next we reset the sheet resistance to the experimental value and proceed by assuming that the cell had optically transparent fingers on the front. This adds 0.454% to the efficiency (first green bar, marked “Grid shading”) of the reference cell. Then we reset the grid shading to the experimental value. In this fashion we vary every model parameter to their ideal values and then set them back. Figure 4 sorts 18 individual efficiency enhancements by size and cumulates them in a Pareto-type of plot. There is negligible loss due to the lateral resistance by the metal on the openings of the BSF since the PERC cell is fully metallized on the rear side (zero bar marked “BSF metal resistance”). We also neglect the small area of the BSF of the PERC cell that is not metallized (zero bar marked “BSF recomb.”). Figure 4: SEGA analysis of a PERC cell. A simulation that uses experimentally determined input parameters serves as the reference. Ohmic gains are marked as blue, optical gains as green, and gains by less recombination as red bars. Efficiency changes by closing individual loss channels are labeled upwards. Synergistic changes are labeled downwards. Resetting the parameters to their experimental reference values makes the various efficiency changes directly comparable and indicates the maximum gain that the experimentalist can expect for his device from improving only this parameter. We sort all efficiency improvements by size to produce a Pareto-type plot shown in Figure 4. The largest individual loss channel in our PERC cell is thus emitter recombination. With a hypothetical ideal emitter (Joe = J0ec = 0) we can expect a gain in efficiency of 0.7%. The four next largest losses are all of optical nature due to grid shading (0.45%), front reflection (0.44%), back reflection (0.43) and busbar shading (0.37). All 18 individual improvements (labeled upwards) sum up to an efficiency of 25.5% rather than to the limiting efficiency of 29% [19]. Thus, we perform four more simulations (labeled downwards in Figure 4) to account for the rest of the efficiency gap to 29%. (i) We first model the reference case with all six resistive losses simultaneously switched off. This gives -0.006% extra efficiency (blue bar marked downwards as “Synergy resistance”) when compared the sum of improvements of all individual resistive losses (blue bars labeled upwards). A linear behavior is expected here since resistances of various origins basically add up to the total resistance. We speculate that the small synergistic effect is negative since holes reach the recombinative rear contacts more easily in a device with zero lateral BSF resistance. (ii) The synergistic efficiency enhancement over the sum of all optical improvements (green bars labeled upwards) is also small (“Synergy optics” is 0.078%). Here we do expect a positive effect since improving the optics not only improves the short circuit current but also the open circuit voltage causing a non-linearity. (iii) A reference cell with all recombination channels turned off has a simulated efficiency of 25.85%. This value is 2.98% larger than the efficiency of the reference cell plus the sum of all individual recombinative improvements (red bar marked “Synergy recombination“). (iv) In a final simulation we model the reference cell with all parameters set to ideal values. The result is 29% and exceeds the sum of improvements by the three groups (resistance, optics, and recombination) by 0.432% (black bar marked “Synergy of groups”). The right part of Figure 4 summarizes the breakdown of the efficiency gap by summing all individual resistive, recombinative and optical contributions, respectively (blue, green, and red bar marked “Sum …”). Recombination accounts for 4.33% (= 1.35% sum of individual recombination channels +2.98% synergy). This is fifty-eight percent of the total efficiency gap. Thus recombination clearly dominates over optical gains of 1.95% (=1.877%+0.078%) and resistive gains of 0.75% (=0.752%−0.006%). It is also interesting to note that the synergy contributions (−0.006% for resistances, 0.078% for optical effects, 2.977% for recombination processes, and 0.432% for the synergy of the three groups) add up to 3.48%. Synergy effects thus account for forty-six percent of the efficiency gap to 29%. Origin of the synergy of recombination When switching off one recombination mechanism, the carrier concentration is increased. Therefore, the recombination currents for the other recombination mechanisms (product of the carrier concentration and the recombination parameter) increase. Switching off the second recombination mechanism generates a greater efficiency improvement than if it were switched off the first time. The importance of efficiency improvement by switching off any recombination mechanism increases as the carrier concentration and thus the cell voltage increases. Figure 5: Simulated open circuit voltage Voc as a function of the reduction factor x of all recombination parameters The circles in Figure 5 are simulated open circuit voltages of the PERC reference cell with all recombination rates reduced by factor x. The solid line is a fit with the equation Voc =Vth ln[40 mA/cm2/(Ji +Jo)] where Vth is the thermal voltage. We find Ji = 8.3 fA/cm2 for the intrinsic saturation current and Jo = 213 fA/cm2 for the extrinsic recombination current. We could thus also understand the xaxis as showing the saturation current Jo = x 213 fA/cm2. The increase in voltage is non-linear with decreasing recombination and so is the efficiency of the device. Figure 6 displays the simulated efficiencies as a function of the saturation current density Jo = x 213 fA/cm2. The reference cell (x = 1) has an efficiency of 21.5% (lower solid line). Reducing recombination at a smaller Jo (higher voltage and higher carrier concentration) gives a larger impact on the efficiency. Simply summing the improvements by switching off all extrinsic recombination individually leads to an expected efficiency of 22.9% (middle solid line line). However, switching off all channels together reduces the extrinsic saturation current to zero and enhances the efficiency to 25.8% (upper solid line). The smaller the saturation current already is, the faster the efficiency rises when further decreasing the saturation current. This causes what we term the synergistic effect of recombination here. Figure 6: Simulated efficiency as a function of the saturation current density Jo = x 213 fA/cm2. The black horizontal lines indicate the efficiency of the reference cell, the latter enhanced by the sum of improvements due to avoiding all individual recombination losses, and the latter enhanced by the synergy of recombination losses. The significance of the order of switching off loss channels becomes even more apparent if we now consider the ideal cell as the reference and switch on every loss channel individually. This yields Figure 7. The synergistic contributions are determined just as explained above. We find that the sum of all efficiency losses would reduce the efficiency to 13%, a value that is much smaller than the 21.5% of the simulated reference cell. This is because we introduce every loss at maximum voltage where the efficiency is much more sensitive to all the individual losses than it is in the experimental device. It is interesting to note that all resistive losses in our PERC cell would still support a hypothetical 28.2%-efficient cell in which there is no extrinsic recombination and that is optically ideal. Optically ideal means no reflection losses and Lambertian light trapping. Resistive losses are thus a relatively minor target for enhancing the efficiency of our PERC cells. Figure 7: SEGA-type of plot of the PERC cell but now with the ideal cell as the reference case. We calculate the efficiency losses when switching on individual loss channels. Ohmic gains are marked as blue, optical gains as green, and gains on less recombination as red bars. Efficiency changes by closing individual loss channels are labeled upwards. Synergistic changes are labeled downwards. Difference of two SEGA plots We also calculate the SEGA plot (not shown) of our reference PERC cell but now with an improved emitter. For this we assume that we were able to reduce the saturation current density of the emitter region from 100 to 35 fA/cm2 and that the emitter has a sheet resistance that increased from 75 to 95 Ω. Figure 8 shows the difference between the SEGA plot of the reference PERC cell minus the SEGA plot of the same PERC cell but exhibiting this improved emitter. The improved emitter enhances the efficiency of our PERC cell from 21.5% to 21.8%. The difference SEGA plot explains how this improvement is distributed over various effects. The largest positive effect (+0.389%) is the reduction of emitter recombination (first red bar marked “Emitter recomb.”). This enhances the voltage and thus increases the recombination in all other channels (2nd to 4th red bar labeled upwards). The enhanced sheet resistance (blue bar marked “Emitter lateral resist.”) also has a negative effect (-0.066%). Thus individual positive and individual negative effects almost level out. It finally is the enhanced voltage or the synergy of recombination (red bar marked “Syn. recomb.”) that makes the overall effect positive. 4.2 SEGA of the 23.4% IBC cell The SEGA analysis of the IBC cell is shown in Figure 9. In this cell front reflection (first green bar) is the largest individual effect that costs 0.571% of efficiency. Almost as large is the emitter recombination (first red bar). As for the PERC cell it is recombination (see red bars in the summary on the right) that accounts for 1.425% (“Sum Recombination”) + 2.261% (“Synergy of recombination”) = 3.686%. Figure 8: Difference of the SEGA of our PERC cell and the SEGA of the same cell with an improved emitter. Ohmic gains are marked as blue, optical gains as green, and gains by less recombination as red bars. Efficiency changes by closing individual loss channels are labeled upwards. Synergistic changes are labeled downwards. This is seventy-one percent of the efficiency gap to 29%. Again, recombination losses are dominating the gap. A plot similar to Figure 6 for the PERC cell can be calculated for the IBC cell and confirms that practical limits of reducing Jo [20] will finally limit the achievable efficiency potential. Figure 9: SEGA plot of the IBC cell. Ohmic gains are marked as blue, optical gains as green, and gains by less recombination as red bars. Efficiency changes by closing individual loss channels are labeled upwards. Synergistic changes are labeled downwards. 4.3 Comparing losses of different cell types Please note, that we use corresponding loss categories for the PERC and the IBC cell as illustrated in Figure 3. It is therefore possible to calculate the difference between the SEGA plot of the PERC and the IBC cell. Figure 10 shows this difference. The IBC cell largely gains over the PERC cell by avoided grid and busbar shading (first two green bars). The optical advantage is 0.785% (“Sum optics”) + 0.035% (“Synergy optics”) = 0.82% as summarized on the right hand side of Figure 10. The smaller pitch gives the IBC cell an advantage in the lateral transport in the emitter (first blue bar marked “Emitter lateral resist.”). The overall saturation current density of the IBC cell is smaller than for the PERC cell and this gives an efficiency advantage of 0.639%= -0.077% (“Sum recombination”) + 0.716% (“Synergy recombination”) by avoided recombination. • • • • it gives a breakdown of the full efficiency gap up to the ultimate efficiency limit of 29% by including synergy effects between the various groups of losses, it does not anticipate a specific technological roadmap for efficiency improvements since it sets the control parameters stepwise to ideal values, it can be done within minutes on a lap top due to CoBo and avoiding ray tracing, and it does not require expensive hard- or software due to using Quokka. The authors very much hope that many readers will find the Synergistic Efficiency Gain Analysis presented here helpful in bringing their cells a little bit closer to the physical limit. 6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This work was supported by the State of Lower Saxony, the project HighPERC, and the project Hercules. We acknowledge the funding of these projects by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy and by the European Union, respectively. We thank A. Fell (ANU) for writing such a nice piece of software that can make traveling with a laptop a delight. We also thank K. Bothe and P. Altermatt for helpful discussions on the loss analysis of solar cells. REFERENCES Figure 10: Difference of SEGA plots of PERC and IBC. Ohmic gains are marked as blue, optical gains as green, and gains by less recombination as red bars. Efficiency changes by closing individual loss channels are labeled upwards. Synergistic changes are labeled downwards. 5 [1] E. Franklin, K. Fong, K. McIntosh, A. 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