Interim estimates of potential catch and gross value of production impacts of proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region Research by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences REPORT TO CLIENT Prepared for the Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities February 2012 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES © Commonwealth of Australia Ownership of intellectual property rights Unless otherwise noted, copyright (and any other intellectual property rights, if any) in this publication is owned by the Commonwealth of Australia (referred to as the Commonwealth). Creative Commons licence All material in this publication is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence, save for content supplied by third parties, logos and the Commonwealth Coat of Arms. Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided you attribute the work. A summary of the licence terms is available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/deed.en. The full licence terms are available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/legalcode. This publication (and any material sourced from it) should be attributed as: ABARES Interim estimates of potential catch and gross value of production impacts of proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region, CC BY 3.0. Cataloguing data ABARES 2012, Interim estimates of potential catch and gross value of production impacts of proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region, ABARES report to client prepared for the Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities, Canberra, February. ABARES project 43210 Internet Interim estimates of potential catch and gross value of production impacts of proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region, is available at: daff.gov.au/abares/publications. Contact Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) Postal address GPO Box 1563 Canberra ACT 2601 Switchboard +61 2 6272 2010 Facsimile +61 2 6272 2001 Email [email protected] Web daff.gov.au/abares Inquiries regarding the licence and any use of this document should be sent to: [email protected]. The Australian Government acting through the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry has exercised due care and skill in the preparation and compilation of the information and data in this publication. Notwithstanding, the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, its employees and advisers disclaim all liability, including liability for negligence, for any loss, damage, injury, expense or cost incurred by any person as a result of accessing, using or relying upon any of the information or data in this publication to the maximum extent permitted by law. Acknowledgements ABARES thanks the Australian Fisheries Management Authority and the New South Wales Department of Primary Industries for their assistance in providing data and reviewing this report. ABARES also acknowledges the comments and contributions of commercial fishers and industry group representatives, including those from the Commonwealth Fisheries Association. ii Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Contents Summary ........................................................................................................... 5 1 Introduction .............................................................................................. 6 Regional setting ....................................................................................... 7 2 Methods .................................................................................................... 9 Notes and caveats .................................................................................... 9 Consultation ............................................................................................10 Rationale for gross value of production calculations ...............................10 Commonwealth fisheries ........................................................................11 New South Wales fisheries ......................................................................12 3 Results......................................................................................................14 Commonwealth fisheries—catch ............................................................16 Commonwealth fisheries—gross value of production .............................17 New South Wales—catch ........................................................................18 New South Wales—gross value of production ........................................19 4 Next steps ................................................................................................21 5 Glossary....................................................................................................22 6 References ...............................................................................................23 Tables Table 1 Commonwealth commercial fishing methods and zoning implications12 Table 2 New South Wales commercial fishing methods and zoning implications ..................................................................................................................13 Table 3 Estimates of Commonwealth fisheries’ catch and gross value of production potentially displaced by the proposed marine reserves network in the Temperate East Marine Region ..................................................................14 Table 4 Estimates of New South Wales fisheries catch and gross value of production potentially displaced by proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region ........................................................................15 Table 5 Estimates of mean annual potential catch (t) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region reserves from Commonwealth fisheries over the 2001–10 reference period .........................................................................16 iii Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Table 6 Estimates of mean annual potential gross value of production ($’000) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region marine reserves from Commonwealth fisheries over the 2001–10 reference period.................17 Table 7 Estimates of mean annual potential catch (t) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region marine reserves from New South Wales fisheries over the 2009–10 reference period ...................................................18 Table 8 Estimates of mean annual potential gross value of production ($’000) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region reserves from New South Wales fisheries over the 2009–10 reference period ...............................19 Figures Figure 1 Proposed Commonwealth marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region with the ABARES zone numbering system for reporting potential displacement, which allows identification of areas, within reserves, with varied zoning ............................................................................................................... 7 Figure 2 Illustration of treatment of fishing operations (lines) in relation to reserve boundaries ..........................................................................................11 Figure 3 New South Wales state fisheries 6 minute reporting grid systems overlaid on part of the proposed marine reserves network .............................20 iv Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Summary This report provides interim estimates of potential catch and gross value of production (GVP) for commercial fisheries potentially displaced from proposed marine reserves proposed in the Temperate East Marine Region as part of the Australian Government’s marine bioregional planning program in Commonwealth waters. This interim report is intended to provide stakeholders with information on the potential displacement of catch and GVP, thus enabling them to better understand the effect on fisheries of the proposed marine reserves network for the Temperate East Marine Region. Release of these interim estimates also affords an opportunity for further data refining based on consultation with fishery agencies and industry. This report is one aspect of a wider assessment that includes a fisher survey, social impact assessment and economic modelling. These aspects will be considered together with the catch and GVP data in a later final assessment report. It should be noted that the estimates in this report refer only to the gross value of catch displaced, and are not an indication of the cost of any structural adjustment that may occur. The Temperate East Marine Region encompasses all Commonwealth waters from the southern boundary of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park in Queensland to Bermagui in southern New South Wales. It also includes the waters surrounding Lord Howe and Norfolk islands. The marine reserves network proposed in the region could displace activity from seven fisheries—five Commonwealth managed fisheries and two New South Wales managed fisheries. This interim analysis, shows that the proposed Temperate East marine reserves network would displace an estimated annual average of 247 tonnes of catch with a gross value of $1.142 million: $838 200 from Commonwealth fisheries and $303 410 from New South Wales fisheries. The Commonwealth Trawl Sector of the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery (SESSF) accounted for $512 000 of GVP potentially displaced from Commonwealth fisheries, followed by the Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery ($216 500) and the SESSF Gillnet, Hook and Trap sector ($67 100). The Norfolk Island Offshore Fishery, High Seas Fisheries, Small Pelagics Fishery and SESSF East Coast Deepwater Trawl accounted for the remaining potentially displaced GVP. The Ocean Trawl Fishery (fish and prawn) accounted for the largest total GVP potentially displaced from New South Wales fisheries (Table 4). A number of caveats apply to the data and analysis presented in this report that may affect interpretation of catch and GVP displacement figures. 5 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 1 Introduction The Australian Government is undertaking a marine bioregional planning program in Commonwealth waters. The program includes the process by which the Australian Government identifies areas within Commonwealth waters for inclusion in the National Representative System of Marine Protected Areas. A key principle of the Australian Government’s marine bioregional planning program is establishing a network of marine reserves in a manner that minimises socioeconomic costs while supporting the conservation and sustainable use of Australia’s oceans. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) is working with the Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities (SEWPaC) to assess the effects of the proposed marine reserves network in the Temperate East Marine Region (Figure 1). SEWPaC has indicated that the assessment will provide important input into the Australian Government’s consideration of structural adjustment assistance and the extent of any potential adjustments to fisheries management arrangements to account for displaced fishing effort. The government’s consideration of adjustment assistance will also take into account a range of other factors. Important among these will be advice from fisheries managers and industry about the effects of the proposed marine reserves on business operations. The social and economic assessment has three main components: 1) Estimates of direct displacement of commercial and charter fishing by proposed marine reserves. This analysis aims to provide an indication of the potential fishery catch that would be displaced by the marine reserves and to place a value on those displaced catches. Interim results are presented here and revised final estimates will be included in a final report to be released later. 2) Social impact assessment. A key part of the social impact assessment is an extensive survey of commercial and charter fishers and fishing businesses that may be affected by the proposed marine reserves. This survey will allow ABARES to better understand effects on individuals and businesses, as well as indirect impacts up and down the supply chain. In-depth interviews will also be held with some industry and community stakeholders, as well as workshops/focus groups in some affected regions. 3) Subregional economic modelling. Economic modelling may be undertaken on smaller coastal regions within the Temperate East Marine Region to determine short and long-term effects of the proposed marine reserves on employment and gross regional production. The formal public consultation period SEWPAC is administering for the Temperate East Marine Region proposed reserves network runs until 21 February 2012, and is an opportunity for all stakeholders to bring relevant information to the government’s attention. This interim report details estimates of direct displacement of commercial fishing activity by the proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region (component 1). The social impact assessment and subregional economic modelling (components 2 and 3) will be addressed in the final report. This interim report is intended to provide stakeholders with information on the potential displacement of catch and gross value of production (GVP) and enable them to better understand the effect of the proposed marine reserves network on their fisheries. 6 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Figure 1 Proposed Commonwealth marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region with the ABARES zone numbering system for reporting potential displacement, which allows identification of areas, within reserves, with varied zoning Sources: Geoscience Australia (coastline, state and maritime boundaries); SEWPaC (proposed marine reserve boundaries) 7 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Regional setting The Temperate East Marine Region (Figure 1) encompasses all Commonwealth waters—three nautical miles offshore from the territorial sea baseline, out to the 200 nautical mile limit of Australia’s Exclusive Economic Zone—from the southern boundary of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park in Queensland to Bermagui in southern New South Wales. It also includes the waters surrounding Lord Howe and Norfolk islands. Commonwealth waters abut the state waters surrounding Lord Howe Island; however, they extend to the high-water mark on Norfolk Island, which is a territory of the Commonwealth (Figure 1). New South Wales is responsible for managing two potentially affected fisheries in this region, including through Offshore Constitutional Settlement arrangements, while the Commonwealth is responsible for five fisheries in the region. The Temperate East Marine Region encompasses the whole or part of the Central Eastern Shelf Transition, Central Eastern Transition, Kenn Transition, Central Eastern Shelf Province, Central Eastern Province, Tasman Basin Province, Lord Howe Province, Norfolk Island Province, Southeast Transition and Southeast Shelf Transition bioregions. Most of the region encompasses waters over the continental slope having depths mostly greater than 1000 metres, although water depths range from zero to over 5000 metres (DEWHA 2009). The meeting point of the shelf and slope is often referred to as the ‘shelf break’, with most fishing activity occurring inshore of the shelf break. The region is important for shipping, defence, oil and gas and commercial fishing operations, as well as for tourism and recreational fishing (DEWHA 2009). SEWPaC has proposed a marine reserves network across the Temperate East Marine Region. This proposed marine reserves network has different levels of zoning, based on the International Union for Conservation of Nature categories IUCN 2008, which, if implemented, would affect whether commercial fishing activities occur within an area (Table 1 and Table 2). The zones are: Marine National Park Zone (green)—all fishing excluded Habitat Protection Zone (yellow) Recreational Use Zone (orange)—all commercial fishing excluded Special Purpose Zone (mid blue) Multiple Use Zone (light blue) (SEWPAC 2011). The Temperate East Marine Region comprises proposed marine reserves and amendments to existing marine reserves. These are: proposed Jervis Commonwealth Marine Reserve, proposed Hunter Commonwealth Marine Reserve, Cod Grounds Commonwealth Marine Reserve, Solitary Islands Marine Reserve (Commonwealth waters), proposed Clarence Commonwealth Marine Reserve, proposed Tasmantid Commonwealth Marine Reserve, proposed Lord Howe Commonwealth Marine Reserve (including existing Lord Howe Island Marine Park (Commonwealth waters) and Elizabeth and Middleton Reefs Marine National Nature Reserve proposed new areas and zone name change), proposed Gifford Commonwealth Marine Reserve and proposed Norfolk Commonwealth Marine Reserve (SEWPaC 2011). A more detailed description of the East Marine Region, of which the Temperate East Marine Region is a part, can be found in the East Marine Bioregional Plan: Bioregional Profile (DEWHA 2009). 8 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 2 Methods Notes and caveats The estimates of catch and GVP in this report are derived from logbook and market data supplied by the Australian Fisheries Management Authority (AFMA), the New South Wales Department of Primary Industries (NSW DPI) and ABARES. Proposed marine reserve boundaries and zoning provided by SEWPaC form the basis of these analyses. Fisheries logbook data combined with market data were used to calculate the annual average displaced GVP. Fishing methods were included or excluded from the different zones based on the zoning framework SEWPAC provided (tables 1 and 2). The estimates use data at different spatial reporting scales and have correspondingly different accuracy when assessing displacement of fishing. New South Wales fisheries report catch aggregated to the cell level (1-degree bands or 6-minute grids). This reporting cell often occupies only a portion of a proposed marine reserve. In such cases, the catch and GVP are apportioned based on the percentage of overlap with the reporting cell. It is assumed that catch is taken uniformly across the area of the reporting cell; however, this may not be the case. The New South Wales 6-minute grid data provide the grid catch location where most of the fishing occurred for a given fishing trip. Some of the fishing allocated to a 6-minute grid could have occurred in nearby grids. Where possible, additional refining of analyses was undertaken following input from fishing industry representatives and NSW DPI. Potential further refinements may alter the estimates and these will be included in the final report. A number of assumptions were made about calculating GVP and the reference period used. These are discussed in ‘Rationale for gross value of production calculations’. Potential displacement estimates are given as annual means spanning up to 10 years. Catches in recent years may have been higher or lower than the mean. For example, the Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery was a large fishery in the late 1990s; but fishing effort declined sharply in the 2000s. This report uses commercial fishery logbook data. These are generally a good reflection of actual catches but are largely unverified. Because commercial fisheries logbook data are provided by fishers, then processed and stored by fisheries agencies, misreporting and data entry errors may arise. In addition, reporting of an operation’s spatial coordinates is not necessarily a completely accurate representation of where fishing occurred. For example, pelagic longline operations are assumed to occur in a straight line because only start and end coordinates are recorded in logbooks. In reality, operations are unlikely to occur in a perfectly straight line. This analysis assumes that dropline as reported by the relevant data providers conforms to the specification provided by SEWPaC: ‘a dropline that is a line that is vertically set or suspended in the water column; with no more than a single anchor point in contact with the seabed or substrate; and not operated with or as a trotline’ (SEWPaC 2012). Estimates of potential displacement do not fully address issues of prospectivity. Fisheries that were productive before the reference period may have the potential to again be productive. 9 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Furthermore, previously unfished areas may also have the potential to be productive. These potential catches will not be captured in these GVP displacement estimates. Estimates of potential displacement may be affected by data confidentiality constraints such that no estimate can be reported for some fisheries. However, the estimates of overall displacement across all fisheries and reserves are not affected by confidentiality constraints. This analysis assumes fishing is at optimum levels with no scope for further expansion of catch. However, it is possible, where a fishery is displaced by a marine reserve, that fishers may be able to move to alternative fishing grounds and maintain the same level of activity, catch and viability of their operation. This may not be the case in other fisheries, but either way will depend on a number of (potentially interrelated) factors such as economics, distance to port facilities, management arrangements, availability of target species or even the suitability of fishing grounds in adjacent areas. Consultation ABARES consulted industry and NSW DPI representatives to refine the estimates of potential catch and GVP displacement. Rationale for gross value of production calculations The objective of this analysis is to provide an indication of the potential fishery catch that the proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region would displace, and to place a value on the displaced catch. As such, the analysis uses a historical reference period to provide an indication of the magnitude of catches achieved from the areas where fishing would be excluded. To determine annual average catches in the areas of the proposed marine reserves, a 10-year reference period (2001–10) was used for Commonwealth fisheries and a 2-year reference period (2009–10) was used for New South Wales fisheries. In New South Wales a 2-year reference period was used due to higher spatial resolution data being available for this period (2009–10). Fishery yields may fluctuate over time, and a reference period allows for a better understanding of what catches have been achieved in an area and is not limited to current activity. However, this approach cannot fully account for a number of factors, such as maximum sustainable resource limits; whether the fishery is in development, fully fished at long-term sustainable levels or in recovery from depletion; or large changes in catch over time due to external drivers. To place a value on the displaced catch, the ‘preferred approach’ was to use more recent prices instead of prices obtained in the year of capture. This is because contemporary prices are thought to better reflect likely near-term future prices when affects would be experienced. In addition, this removes some inter-annual variability. In all analyses, prices and GVP were adjusted to 2010–11 dollars using the consumer price index. Under this preferred approach, prices were taken from a three-year reference period (2007–08 to 2009–10). GVP was calculated by multiplying the volume of catch recorded in logbooks by the average ‘beach price’. Beach prices exclude the cost of transporting, processing, value-adding and marketing of fish products for wholesale and retail markets. Where no records existed in the price reference period, the most recent year of data was used. 10 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Commonwealth fisheries Commonwealth fishers record data in their mandatory AFMA logbooks, which can be used to determine where, when and by which method each species is caught. AFMA logbook data were used to develop the catch estimates, while the GVP calculations were derived using ABARESsupplied market data. Commonwealth operators record the latitude and longitude of each fishing operation in logbooks—this can be either a single position or a start and finish position for certain gears (such as longline). The position information of each operation was converted to a line. These were generated from start and finish coordinates, if available. In the case of operations with only one reported position, a very short line of approximately 100 metres was generated from the single position. Estimates of potential displacement for Commonwealth fisheries were derived from operations that intersected with, or were wholly within, a proposed marine reserve. Where an operation’s line intersected a reserve but did not fall entirely within the reserve, the catch and GVP for that operation was allocated in proportion to the length of line within the reserve (Figure 2). GVP was calculated using the preferred approach, where prices were taken from a three-year reference period (2007–08 to 2009–10). GVP was calculated by multiplying the volume of catch recorded in logbooks by the average ‘beach price’. In all analyses, prices and GVP were adjusted to 2010–11 dollars according to the consumer price index. Fishing methods were included or excluded from the different zones based on the zoning framework SEWPaC provided (Table 1). This report has been filtered so confidential data (representing fewer than five vessels) are not shown. Confidentiality is indicated in relevant tables by an asterisk. Figure 2 Illustration of treatment of fishing operations (lines) in relation to reserve boundaries 11 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Table 1 Commonwealth commercial fishing methods and zoning implications Method (designated by Commonwealth fisheries) Autolongline Bottom longline DropLine Handline Pelagic Longline Minor Line Poling Purse Seine Rod and Reel Trotline Troll Demersal trawl Multiple Use Zone Recreational Use Zone Special Purpose Zone Habitat Protection Zone Marine National Park Zone indicates method would be excluded. New South Wales fisheries The NSW DPI provided ABARES with complete New South Wales commercial fisheries data. These data contained information to allow vessel counts to identify confidential data (fewer than five vessels) that could not be revealed. ABARES, in consultation with the NSW DPI, undertook the analysis. Some NSW fisheries, such as rock lobster, were excluded because they would not be affected by the proposed reserves. New South Wales Commercial Fisheries 1) New South Wales fishers record data in their mandatory logbooks, which can be used to determine where, when and by which method each species is caught. Fishing positions are recorded at the scale of sites (6-minute reporting blocks) (Figure 3). The reference period used was 2009–10 to 2010–11. 2) The 6-minute reporting blocks were intersected with the proposed Commonwealth marine reserves and displacement was estimated according to the proportion of the reporting block that intersected the reserve. This approach assumed fishing was distributed uniformly within the reporting block. 3) Estimates of potential displacement for New South Wales fisheries were derived from operations using excluded methods (Table 2) that intersected with, or were wholly within, a proposed marine reserve. GVP was calculated using 2009–10 price data for the main species caught in each fishery, as supplied by the NSW DPI. 4) This report has been filtered so confidential data (representing fewer than five vessels) are not shown. Confidentiality is indicated in relevant tables by an asterisk. 12 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Table 2 New South Wales commercial fishing methods and zoning implications Method (designated by NSW fisheries) Multiple Use Zone Bait net Dropline Danish seine trawl net (fish) Driftline Fish trap (bottom/demersal) Handline Hauling net (general purpose) Jigging Otter trawl net (fish) Otter trawl net (prawns) Poling Prawn net (hauling) Purse seine net Spanner crab net Setline (demersal) Setline Trolling Trotline (bottom set) Recreational Use Zone Special Purpose Zone indicates method would be excluded. 13 Habitat Protection Zone Marine National Park Zone Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 3 Results These interim estimates show that the Temperate East proposed marine reserves would potentially displace an annual average of 247 tonnes of catch with a gross value of around $1.142 million: $838 200 would be displaced from Commonwealth fisheries (Table 3) and $303 410 from New South Wales fisheries (Table 4). It is important to note that these are estimates of the gross value of catch displaced, and are not indicative of the cost of any structural adjustment that may occur. The Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery Commonwealth Trawl Sector accounted for $512 000 of GVP potentially displaced from Commonwealth fisheries, followed by the Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery ($216 500) and the Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery Gillnet, Hook and Trap sector ($67 100). The Norfolk Island Offshore Fishery, High Seas Fisheries, Small Pelagics Fishery and Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery East Coast Deepwater Trawl accounted for the remaining potentially displaced GVP. The Ocean Trawl sector (fish and prawn) accounted for the largest total GVP potentially displaced from New South Wales fisheries (Table 4). Tables 5 to 8 show estimates of catch and GVP potentially displaced from individual proposed marine reserves. Tables 5 and 6 show results for Commonwealth fisheries’ catch and GVP. Tables 7 and 8 show results for New South Wales fisheries’ catch and GVP. Table 3 Estimates of Commonwealth fisheries’ catch and gross value of production potentially displaced by the proposed marine reserves network in the Temperate East Marine Region Fishery Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery High Seas Fisheries Norfolk Island Offshore Fishery Catch total (t) 36.2 1.4 5.3* SESSF Commonwealth Trawl Sector SESSF East Coast Deepwater Trawl Sector SESSF Gillnet, Hook and Trap Sector 140.6 * 10.3 Small Pelagic Fishery Total * 197.9 Catch Rank 2 6 4 1 7 3 5 GVP total ($’000) 216.5* 10.2 27* 512.0 * 67.1 * 838.2 GVP Rank 2 5 4 1 7 3 6 Note: * indicates confidential values. Rank orders have been included to define highest to lowest displacement due to the high degree of confidentiality associated with the data. In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). 14 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Table 4 Estimates of New South Wales fisheries catch and gross value of production potentially displaced by proposed marine reserves in the Temperate East Marine Region Fishery Method Ocean Trawl Sector Ocean Trawl Sector Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Total Otter trawl net (fish) Otter trawl net (prawns) Fish trap (bottom/demersal) Handline Jigging Setline Setline (demersal) Trolling Trotline (bottom set) Catch total (t) 25.04* 12.28* * 0.00 * * 0.32 * * 48.97 Catch rank 1 2 8 7 10 3 4 9 6 GVP total ($’000) 100.60* 113.99* * 0.02 * * 2.05 * * 303.41 GVP rank 2 1 8 7 10 6 4 9 5 Note: * indicates confidential values. Rank orders have been included to define highest to lowest displacement due to the high degree of confidentiality associated with the data. In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). 15 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Commonwealth fisheries—catch Table 5 Estimates of mean annual potential catch (t) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region reserves from Commonwealth fisheries over the 2001–10 reference period Cod Grounds Solitary Islands Clarence Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery High Seas Fisheries Norfolk Island Offshore Fishery SESSF Commonwealth Trawl Sector SESSF East Coast Deepwater Trawl SESSF Gillnet, Hook and Trap sector Small Pelagic Fishery TOTAL Hunter Fishery Jervis CATCH (tonnes) 401 * 402 403 404 405 Tasmantid 406 * 140.6 * * * 407 9.1 Lord Howe 408 409 2.3 410 1.9 411 0.3 412 Gifford 413 0.2 * 414 3.6 415 * * Total % of total fishery catch 417 18.9 36.2 0.52 * 1.4 5.3* 0.09 58.99* 140.6 0.71 * * 10.3 0.25 * * Norfolk 416 * 5.3 * 0.5 7.9 0.6 17.5 * * * * * 5.8 0.3 5.9 * 140.6 Marine National Park * * Habitat Protection Zone 2.3 1.9 Special Purpose Zone 0.3 0.2 Multiple Use Zone 18.9* 197.9 Recreational Use Zone Note: estimates are mean annual for the reference period. Confidential data are marked with an asterisk (*). In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). Fisheries that did not report activity in the proposed marine reserves network or did not use incompatible methods for the zoning are not included in the table. Estimates have high accuracy as they are based on shot-by-shot position data (latitude and longitude). Reference period is 2001–10. 16 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Commonwealth fisheries—gross value of production Table 6 Estimates of mean annual potential gross value of production ($’000) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region marine reserves from Commonwealth fisheries over the 2001–10 reference period Eastern Tuna and Billfish Fishery High Seas Fisheries Norfolk Island Offshore Fishery SESSF Commonwealth Trawl Sector SESSF East Coast Deepwater Trawl SESSF Gillnet, Hook and Trap sector Small Pelagic Fishery TOTAL Hunter Cod Grounds Solitary Islands Clarence Fishery Total Jervis GVP ($,000) 401 402 403 404 405 Tasmantid 406 * * * * 511.1 Marine National Park 408 58.8 * 511.0 407 Lord Howe * 409 410 411 13.3 11.0 1.5 412 Gifford 413 414 1.1 20.4 * * 415 * Norfolk 416 * 27.0 417 110.3 216.5* 0.53 * 10.2 27* 0.21 51.1 512 0.70 * * 67.1 0.27 * 838.2 * * 4.1 51.6 4.9 113.4 * * 13.3 Habitat Protection Zone 11.0 1.5 Special Purpose Zone 1.1 * * * * * 34.0 1.8 31.1 Multiple Use Zone % of total fishery GVP 110.3* Recreational Use Zone Note: estimates are mean annual for the reference period. Confidential data are marked with an asterisk (*). In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). Fisheries that did not report activity in the proposed marine reserves network or did not use incompatible methods for the zoning are not included in the table. Estimates have high accuracy as they are based on shot-by-shot position data (latitude and longitude). Reference period is 2001-10. 17 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES New South Wales—catch Table 7 Estimates of mean annual potential catch (t) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region marine reserves from New South Wales fisheries over the 2009–10 reference period CATCH (tonnes) Fishery Ocean Trawl Ocean Trawl Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Method Otter trawl net (fish) Otter trawl net (prawns) Fish trap (bottom/demersal) Handline Jigging Setline Setline (demersal) Trolling Trotline (bottom set) TOTAL Marine National Park Jervis Hunter 401 402 25.04 * Cod Grounds 403 * * * * * * 36.24 * Solitary Islands 404 Clarence 0.02 * 0.00 * * * * 12.26 0.03 Total 405 * * 12.38 25.04* 12.28* * 0.00* * * 0.32 * * 48.97 % of total fishery catch 0.81 0.75 * 0.00* * * 0.02 * * Multiple Use Zone Note: estimates are mean annual for the reference period. Confidential data are marked with an asterisk (*). In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). Fisheries that did not report activity in the proposed marine reserves network or did not use incompatible methods for the zoning are not included in the table. Estimates are based on 6-minute grids (medium accuracy) with a reference period of 2009–10 to 2010–11. Prices used to calculate GVP have been revised to reflect recent prices as per the preferred methodology. 18 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES New South Wales—gross value of production Table 8 Estimates of mean annual potential gross value of production ($’000) displaced by the proposed Temperate East Marine Region reserves from New South Wales fisheries over the 2009–10 reference period GVP ($,000) Fishery Ocean Trawl Ocean Trawl Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Ocean Trap and Line Method Otter trawl net (fish) Otter trawl net (prawns) Fish trap (bottom/demersal) Handline Jigging Setline Setline (demersal) Trolling Trotline (bottom set) TOTAL Marine National Park Jervis Hunter 401 402 100.60 * Cod Grounds 403 * * * * * * 185.48 * Solitary Islands 404 Clarence 0.16 * 0.02 * * * * 113.83 0.22 TOTAL 405 * * 115.73 100.6* 113.99* * 0.02 * * 2.05 * * 303.41 % of total fishery catch 0.44 0.87 * 0.00 * * 0.02 * * Multiple Use Zone Note: estimates are mean annual for the reference period. Confidential data are marked with an asterisk (*). In some fisheries, only one area is confidential. In these cases, the total does not include the confidential value as it would be possible to back-calculate the displacement from that area. These are denoted by showing the sum of the non-confidential areas followed by an asterisk (e.g. 2.0*). Fisheries that did not report activity in the proposed marine reserves network or did not use incompatible methods for the zoning are not included in the table. Estimates are based on 6-minute grids (medium accuracy) with a reference period of 2009–10 to 2010–11. Prices used to calculate GVP have been revised to reflect recent prices as per the preferred methodology. 19 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES Figure 3 New South Wales state fisheries 6 minute reporting grid systems overlaid on part of the proposed marine reserves network 20 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 4 Next steps These interim estimates of potential direct displacement of fishing activity from the proposed Temperate East marine reserves network are one element of the full social and economic assessment. The complete assessment, which will follow this report, will contain an analysis of flowon impacts to ports and communities, a social impact assessment and subregional economic modelling. There is an opportunity to undertake further refinements to these interim displacement estimates before the final assessment report. Further refinement will be based on well-founded ancillary data. 21 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 5 Glossary ABARES Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences—a merger of the former Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE) and Bureau of Rural Sciences (BRS) AFMA Australian Fisheries Management Authority NSW DPI New South Wales Department of Primary Industries SESSF Southern and Eastern Scalefish and Shark Fishery SEWPaC Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities GVP Gross value of production—the nominal value of the landed catch estimated by multiplying the weight of catch by the ‘beach price’ per unit. In the case of a multispecies fishery, the fishery’s GVP is the sum of the GVP of each species. Offshore Constitutional Settlement (OCS) An agreement between the state/s and the Commonwealth whereby the state or the Commonwealth (or in some cases a joint authority) is given jurisdiction for a particular fishery occurring in both state (coastal) waters and the Australian Fishing Zone. When no OCS arrangement has been reached, the fishery remains under the jurisdiction of the state out to 3 nautical miles, and under the jurisdiction of the Commonwealth from 3 to 200 nautical miles. 22 Temperate East Marine Region Interim Assessment ABARES 6 References DEWHA 2009, The East Marine Bioregional Plan: Bioregional Profile, A Description of the Ecosystems, Conservation Values and Uses of the East Marine Region, Department of the Environment, Water, Heritage and the Arts, Canberra. IUCN 2008, Guidelines for applying protected area management categories, International Union for Conservation of Nature, Gland, Switzerland. SEWPaC 2011, Proposal for the Temperate East Commonwealth Marine Reserves Network – Consultation Paper, Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities , Canberra, available at www.environment.gov.au/coasts/mbp/temperate-east/publications/pubs/ temperate-east-network-proposal.pdf. SEWPaC 2012, Temperate East: Have your say on the Temperate East, Department of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities, Canberra, available at www.environment.gov.au/ coasts/mbp/temperate-east/consultation/index.html, viewed 31 January, 2012. 23
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