NHS COVENTRY AND RUGBY CCG Report to: Governing Body – 11th March 2015 Report Author: Chris Lonsdale, Head of Finance Presented by: Clare Hollingworth, Chief Finance Officer Title of Report: Finance Report – Month 10 (1st April 2014 to 31st January 2015) Purpose of the Report: To advise members of the financial position of the CCG up to the 31st January 2015 (Month 10 – 2014/15) and to advise of any other financial issues likely to impact in the current financial year. Key Points: The CCG is now reporting a year to date revenue surplus in excess of plan at £5.16m compared to a plan of £4.52m. This is due to a national underspend against CHC Retrospective claims risk share which NHS England have required CCGs to reflect as an improvement against their original surplus plan. Phasing of the plan has been kept consistent with that monitored by NHS England. The CCG is reporting that it will exceed its 1.0% control total surplus due to this requirement but there remain risks to achievement of this position, primarily related to CHC, Individual Placements and Prescribing. The UHCW contract is reported as expected to over-perform by £13.5m for the year as per the year-end agreement. The 0.5% contingency and other reserves have been deployed to offset over performance on the UHCW contract (as highlighted in main body of report). A level of QIPP under-achievement has been forecast based upon performance to date and the status of project plans. It is anticipated that the CCG will be able to achieve its running costs target. Recommendation(s): Members are asked to: To note the reported financial position which shows a £5.16 m surplus at month 10 of the financial year compared to a plan of £4.52m. To note that whilst the CCG currently anticipates being able to achieve its statutory financial duties in 2014/15 and delivery of the revised control total surplus set by NHS England, there do remain a number of risks that could impact in the final months of the year. 1 of 7 Approved by: Committee / Meeting Date Performance Committee 2nd March 2015 Implications: Financial: Achievement of financial duties for 2014/15 HR / OD: None directly Board Assurance AF Risk Ref N refers – QIPP Delivery. VfM Opinion Risk Rating: Contributes evidence to Use of Resource Key Line of Enquiry 1.1 - Financial Management which informs External Audit’s annual Value for Money opinion. Medium –The CCG is currently forecast to achieve its statutory financial duties and exceed the 1.0% control total surplus required by NHS England. There is still a level of risk within the system that could effect that position. Equality & Diversity: None directly PPI: None directly Health Strategy: The CCG’s revenue and capital budgets underpin delivery of its commissioning priorities. Section 17: None directly Framework of Excellence Domain: Area 4 – Robust Governance Arrangements 2 of 7 NHS COVENTRY AND RUGBY CCG Report to: Governing Body Report from: Clare Hollingworth, Chief Finance Officer Title: Finance Report – Month 10 (1st April 2014 to 31st January 2015) ____________________________________________________________ 1.0 Introduction 1.1 The purpose of this report is to inform Members of the CCG’s financial position as at the end of January 2015 and to advise of any other financial issues likely to impact during 2014/15. 2.0 Statutory Financial Duties and Targets 2.1 Table 1 summarises the CCG’s current performance against financial duties, NHS England monitoring (for RAG basis see end of report) and other targets: Table 1 Description Duty/Target Revenue Resource Limit Capital Resource Limit Surplus Expenditure QIPP Running Cost Public Sector Payment Policy (PSPP) Maintain expenditure within limit Achieve ment YTD Yes Achieve ment FOT Yes Maintain expenditure within limit Yes Yes 0.14% -0.14% 0.23% -0.23% 67% Under 98.4% 66% Under 98.5% 99.0% 99.0% Variance to plan as % of allocation Variance to plan as % of net expenditure budget % of plan Running Cost allowance Pay 95% of non-NHS YTD By invoices within 30 days number YTD By value 2.2 The QIPP position being reported reflects current RAG rating of individual schemes. Further details are contained within section 4 of this report. 2.3 The PSPP position has remained on target. Work is continuing to ensure that target performance is maintained throughout the remainder of the year. 3 of 7 2.4 The forecast Surplus remains £1.2m above the 1% surplus target representing the CCG’s rebate in respect of the national Retrospective CHC claims risk share fund, which will significantly underspend in 2014/15. The CCG has recorded £0.6m over Surplus year to date. 3.0 Revenue Position 3.1 CRCCG’s anticipated allocation for 2014/15 remains at £553,113k with details appearing in Appendix 2. 3.2 The Summary Revenue Statement at Appendix 1 shows the Month 10 revenue position as a surplus of £5,159k, which is £637k above plan as outlined above. There are a number of variations at individual service line which are highlighted in the next sections. Phasing of the plan has been kept consistent with that monitored by NHS England. The CCG is reporting itself as forecast to exceed its planned position of a 1% surplus, as per previously outlined. There remain however, a range of risk factors that could effect this position in the final months of the year. Acute 3.3 The UHCW position reflects the negotiated year end settlement. The level of over-performance is £1.3m higher than previously reported, but mitigates a significant number of the risks around the year-end position. 3.4 The remainder of the In-County SLAs now show a £0.6m year to date and £0.6m forecast out-turn over performance although further contract validation is needed. There is some uncertainty regarding the GEH contract where contract data has fluctuated widely, possibly linked to the Trust’s implementation of a new activity monitoring system. The CCG is working with the Trust and WNCCG, the host commissioner, to resolve outstanding queries. 3.5 Out of County SLAs show an increasing level of over performance at this stage of the year with a combined £2.4m over spend forecast by year-end. Independent Sector contracts account for the majority of the over spend and is in the main due to the current focus on the 18 week Referral to Treatment and the need to divert additional activity from UHCW to help meet this key target Non Contracted Activity forecast underperformance of £3.1m will offset over performance elsewhere. There is £0.5m forecast over performance on the remaining areas within the Acute portfolio. 3.6 Non-Acute Healthcare 3.7 The Non-Acute contract portfolio has an under spend of £1,130k year to date and a forecast £1,106k under spend. Uncommitted Re-ablement monies, unbudgeted 4 of 7 transitional relief funding from NHSE in respect of the local personality disorders service and the CHC position account for the majority of the variance. 3.8 The two main contracts, with Coventry & Warwickshire Partnership NHS Trust (for Mental Health and Community services), are predominantly block funding agreements. In-year financial variances are being validated based on the cost per case elements of the contract and anticipated contract variations contribute to the forecast £862k over performance. 3.9 The Continuing Healthcare (CHC) budget is reported as an under-spend to the value of £852k year to date. The profile has been set on the basis of last year’s expenditure profile and a resultant £1,087k under-spend forecast for the year. There are, however, a large number of claims for CHC funding assessments that have yet to be assessed. An early estimate of the potential costs is incorporated into the forecast but this will need to be refined as reviews are completed. This is then partly offset by an expected over-spend of £840k on Mental Health and LD Individual Treatment Packages. Expenditure in both areas will continue to be kept under close review. 3.10 There remains an under spend on the Physical Disabilities expenditure line offsetting over performance within Community Services contracts. Variances on other budgets within the Non-Acute portfolio are negligible. Primary Care 3.11 GP Prescribing: The current Prescribing data continues to show that there is likely to be an under performance for the budget overall with a forecast figure of £97k. Volume levels to date continue to be well managed, however, a number of prescribed drugs have been subject to price rises due to scarcity. It is now anticipated that the QIPP target will be almost met as ad hoc initiatives are being progressed by Medicines Management to improve the overall financial position of the Prescribing budget. Prescribing expenditure is subject to month on month fluctuation and the forecast may be subject to further change prior to the financial year end. 3.12 Home Oxygen: Figures show a £43k under-spend to date which has been projected forwards as a £53k under performance by the end of the year. 3.13 Other: The remaining budgets are performing broadly in line with plan at this stage in the financial year. Other Programme Costs 3.14 Other Programme costs show a £324k under-spend predominantly due to staff vacancies. The forecast under-spend is anticipated as £276k based on budget holder expectations for expenditure in the remainder of the financial year. 5 of 7 3.15 Work is ongoing with NHS Property Services to validate proposed accommodation charges. It is possible that the final costs could be lower than those currently reported. Corporate Services / CCG Running Costs 3.16 Total corporate budgets show a £689k under-spend to date and £710k forecast to year end. This predominantly reflects staffing vacancies earlier in the year. Reviews continue to be undertaken with Budget Holders to validate forecasts and ensure that unplanned spending is not undertaken to utilise budget underspends which are contributing to the overall CCG position. Reserves 3.17 The majority of CCG Reserves have been used to offset over performance on the UHCW contract. The net reported expenditure represents known commitments less anticipated income. It is anticipated that the full level of Resilience funding will be utilised by the end of March. 4.0 QIPP Programme 4.1 The QIPP monitoring report along with other sources of information has been utilised to produce an expected position (Appendix 7 summarises). 4.2 The QIPP Programme still has a number of schemes rated Red and these will continue to impact upon overall achievability of the £13.4m target. Currently a £4.5m under-delivery is forecast. The specific assumptions are as outlined below: 4.2.1 Acute High Cost Drugs – Estimates have been based on locally calculated savings / cost avoided rather than on a comparison of actual spend to available budget. Whilst there is evidence that the prior approval process (Blueteq) has successfully reduced non NICE compliant prescribing, this appears to have only reduced rather than reversed the rate of growth in specialised prescribing. The overall position is further complicated by the introduction of unbudgeted treatment pathways in-year. Work is ongoing to improve the Wet AMD referral routes to ensure that the maximum number of patients are able to access the Avastin pathway. 4.2.2 Low Priority Procedures –. The level of LPP saving has been assumed within the CCGs forecast that was used to negotiate the contract year-end with UHCW. The forecast position assumes no savings will be achieved this financial year as a result of reviewing Surgical Thresholds. The CCG is currently reviewing the scope of Prior Approval for 2015/16 and whether some of the criteria need to be made more robust. 4.2.3 GP Referral Management – New out-patient rates are significantly higher than the same period last year although there is no evidence to suggest 6 of 7 4.2.4 4.2.5 4.2.6 4.2.7 4.2.8 4.2.9 inappropriate referral behaviour. Local audits are being conducted to investigate the rise in Rugby referrals which are higher than the CCG average. COPD/Heart Failure – there has been some reduction in activity year to date for COPD, but not Heart Failure. Work is ongoing with the service provider to agree how these community teams can best support the reduction of secondary care activity. Mental Health Liaison – Whereas MH admissions are currently higher than the activity plan, the data provided by the team and verified by UHCW shows the scheme to be successfully reducing admissions. CHC Reviews – whilst recent reporting shows an improvement for the QIPP position, it is not thought that this will allow for a full catch up to the target position this financial year. Prescribing – The forecast saving has been affected by the national change on Category M drugs. Additional ad hoc initiatives have been implemented by Medicines Management that bring the overall savings closer to plan. Urgent Care –new initiatives implemented in December have led to a revised forecast position. Other – Schemes have been forecast based on the current RAG status. 5.0 Financial Outlook / Risk Management Plan 5..1 As outlined above, whilst the CCG is reporting achievement of the 1.0% surplus required by NHS England (plus the £1.2m benefit from the CHC Retrospectives rebate) risks remain that this will not be achieved in full. The primary risk relating to the UHCW contract settlement has now been resolved, but there remain volume related risks that may still impact over the remainder of the year: Continuing Healthcare, Individual Placements, 18 weeks RTT catch-up, Emergency activity and Prescribing. 6.0 Capital Programme 6.1 The CCG has planned expenditure in line with the allocations for GP IT and corporate capital. 7.0 Recommendations 7.1 Members are asked to: To note the reported financial position which shows a £5.16 m surplus at month 10 of the financial year compared to a plan of £4.52m. To note that whilst the CCG currently anticipates being able to achieve its statutory financial duties in 2014/15 and delivery of the revised control total surplus set by NHS England, there do remain a number of risks that could impact in the final months of the year. 7 of 7
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