Samuel D. Gavito – EA-Ag Phone: (361) 256-4591 Duval.agrilife.org Duval County Ag September 28, 2012 Gamez ranch hwy 339 north from Benavides to County Road 342 one mile on left side $15.00 8:00am-1:00pm Contact Sam Gavito for RSVP (361) 256-4591 or (361)207-1160 September 2012 The Duval Extension Office will be accepting Well Water Samples to be screened for Arsenic, Nitrates, Fecal Coliform Bacteria, Salinity, and PH. Bring your water sample to the Duval Extension Office by October 1st no later than 5:00p.m. Bring at least 20 oz. and have your container labeled with your information. You may bring more than one well sample. There are no limits. Each sample will cost $5.00. Our office is located on the South end of the Benavides Civic Center. Please call if you have any questions. (361) 256-4591 October 4 & 5, 2012 10:00 am-5:00pm RMB Regional Fairgrounds- Robstown, TX Free Admission, Free Parking, Live Field Demos, Texas BBW, CEU’S Available Thursday 10:00am – Improving Profits with Bull Selection 1hour CEU 10:30am - cattle handling/working demo 11:00am – Animal Health Commission 11:30am- Beef Check Out Updates 12:00pm-1:30pm – Break 1:30pm-2:15pm- Citrus Greening Update 2:30pm- 3:30pm- Managing Wildlife to Enhance ranch Income- 1 Hour CEU 3:45pm-4:45pm- Pound Renovation/Aquatic Weed Mangement-1Hour CEU Friday 10:00am – Pesticide Laws/Regulations Update-1 Hour CEU 11:00am- Crop Market Outlook/Marketing Strategies 12:00pm-1:30pm- Break 1:30pm-2:15pm -Long range Weather Outlook 2:45pm-3:45pm- New Development in Brush Control-1Hour CEU Texas Parks and Wildlife Commissioners approved a new federal rule this week that outlines changes in animal health regulations that will affect protocols for handling and testing for chronic wasting disease (CWD) in the Texas cervid population. The new rule will be published in the next issue of the Texas Register and allows for a 20-day period for public comment before the rule takes affect. State wildlife and animal health officials say the new rule is “timely” after Texas experienced its first case of CWD in June this year when two male mule deer near the New Mexico border in Far West Texas tested positive for the disease. CWD is a fatal neurodegenerative disorder that affects cervid species such as white-tailed deer, mule deer, elk, and others susceptible species. It is classified as a transmissible spongiform encephalopathy, a family of disease that includes scrapie (found in sheep) and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE, found in cattle and commonly known as Mad Cow Disease). TPWD closed the Texas border in 2005 to entry of out-of –state captive white-tailed and mule deer over fears of CWD and has increased regulatory requirements regarding disease monitoring and recordkeeping. Since 2002, the department has tested more than 26,500wild deer in Texas CWD, and cervid producers have submitted more than 7,400test results to the department. The new rule represents the second attempt by TPWD to put the issue before the public. The first set of proposed rules was withdrawn by commissioners when additional study indicated parts of the proposed rules required amendments. The new federal rules address, not only monitoring and movement of cervid populations in the wild, but also those at breeding facilities across the state. Karl Kinsel, a Texas breeder and livestock producer, serves as executive director for the Texas Deer Association (TDA), the non-profit group that has long advocated cervid health issues and serves as a trade association for member breeders across the state. Along with a group of individual ranch owners and state officials, Kinsel served on the Cervid Health Working Group in reviewing and discussing TAHC’s monitored herd program, proposed intrastate and interstate movement rules, surveillance programs and monitoring efforts of wild and farm-raised deer. Kinsel says TDA members were interested in how current industry practices and regulations compared to the proposed new rules. “The hearing in Austin went rather well as far as (the) information we had to work with. We discussed how the rules would establish containment areas as needed and talked about he movement of deer. We reviewed the state’s proposed emergency response plan when chronic wasting disease is discovered,” Kinsel said “We are fortunate to have good people over at Parks and Wildlife and at the Texas Animal Health commission. Many states have overreacted to the threat and we wanted to make certain we took a scientific approach to the problem and separated the facts from the myths when it comes to CWD.” Kinsel says the TDA was formed in part to help members deal with animal health issues and to make certain breeders are using the best methods possible to ensure the best pen-to-pasture practices. In response to the drought of 2012 and the lowest projected corn yield in 17 years, the price of corn has risen to all time record highs. Given that the economic role of high prices is to ration demand, the question facing stakeholders in the grain industry (speculators and commercial interests) is whether the current price of corn is high enough to have accomplished that task? That is, has the recent escalation of corn prices been adequate to curb the quantity demanded down to match expected levels of supply? Or can we expect prices to go even higher because use has not been reduced enough? This paper examines the supply/demand balance of the U.S. corn crop in light of the 2012 drought and a look at each of USDA’s major corn use categories. Drought Since the beginning of May, as drought conditions have worsened across the Corn Belt, USDA’s estimate of 2012 corn production has fallen from 14.790 billion bushels to 10.779 billion, the smallest crop since 2006. The national average corn yield has fallen from a projected 166.0 bushels per acre in May to 123.4 bushels per acre. The last time corn yields were this low was the 113.5 bushel per acre average in 1995. In response, the monthly average of the nearby futures price for corn has risen from $6.01 per bushel in May to $8.02 thus far in August, a 33 percent increase. Exports The projected corn use cuts USDA made in each of the categories it uses to monitor corn consumption vary. The category with the greatest elasticity of demand is exports. The own price elasticity of demand measures the quantity response for a given price change. More elastic demand means that quantity changes more for a given price change. Typically, the quantity exported is more responsive to price than other uses of corn. While the United States is the largest exporter of corn in the world at about 45 percent, its market share of the world corn market is on the decline, down from over 80 percent in the mid-1990s. USDA has lowered its estimate of U.S. corn exports from 1.9 billion bushels in May down to 1.3 billion bushels, a 33 percent decrease. In response to the high U.S. price of corn, foreign corn users will certainly see lower corn use estimates of their own, seek corn supplies from other exporters, and substitute other grains for corn where possible. Another important factor in export projections is the exchange rate of the dollar in world currency markets. A stronger dollar makes our export products more expensive in world markets while a weaker dollar makes U.S. exports more affordable. With the financial and economic instability in Europe, the dollar has, of late, been relatively strong. In addition to the effect of the drought on yields, quality may have also been affected. That may leave even smaller supplies of export quality corn.
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