Urban Public Transport Evaluation with Conflicting Objectives T. Suguiy*1,3, M.F.H. Carvalho2, P.A.V. Ferreira3 1 CTI Renato Archer, Campinas, Brazil 2 PUC-Campinas, Brazil 3 FEEC Unicamp, Campinas, Brazil *Corresponding Author: Takao Suguiy Rodovia Dom Pedro I (SP-65), Km 143,6 - Campinas, SP 13069-901 Brazil email: [email protected] Urban Public Transport Evaluation with Conflicting Objectives An efficient urban public transport contributes to improving the quality of life in the city. With that in mind, public authorities must establish transportation policies and regulations according to the social interest of this important activity. An essential aspect for that is the definition of indices to guide the proposition and supervision of policies established by the authorities. The scarcity of resources forces the public sector to strive to balance the benefits and costs of the urban public transport. In particular, it is necessary to compromise the interests of service providers and users in order to find an adequate equilibrium. The ultimate goal should be the satisfaction of three key players: service providers, users and public authorities. The service provider aims to minimize production costs and maximize return on investments; the user demands for less fare and waiting time, and more comfort, reliability and flexibility of access to all the points of interest; it is the duty of public authorities to mediate the conflicting interests of service providers and users. The urban public transport problem involves conflicting objectives with multiple inputs and multiple outputs, and due to its inherent complexity, non-parametric methods seem to represent the best performance evaluation tools. This paper proposes a two-step methodology to evaluate the performance of a number of urban public transport systems. The first step identifies groups of homogeneous systems, that is, cities, or more generally, units, using Cluster Analysis. In the second step, the efficiency of each unit with respect to the others in a same group is assessed using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The methodology has been employed to evaluate the performance of Brazilian urban transport systems with more than 40,000 passengers transported per day. The methodology is based on measures of efficiency (the viewpoint of service providers) and effectiveness (the viewpoint of users). Our results show that urban transportation policies should and can be established with basis in the simultaneous consideration of efficiency and effectiveness indices. Keywords: DEA, cluster, urban public transport, conflicting objectives 1. Introduction Urban public transport is a service, and as such, it is perishable, intangible, heterogeneous and takes place only with the presence of the user. The demand for public transport is subject to seasonal variations and fluctuations in consumption points in the day, week and year. Another feature of this activity in Brazil is that it can be operated by public or private companies. For the most part, it is performed by private companies that must achieve an appropriate level of service quality, regulated and evaluated by public authorities according to the social interest of the activity. The management of the public transport service considers the interaction between the user, the company that provides the service and the public authority, which acts as a mediator in the interest of both users and companies. The evaluation of public transport management systems can be made according to different indices, such as flow of vehicles, accessibility, safety and comfort, with the scientific literature offering different performance indicators. However, the evaluation is subject to detailed information, as available infrastructure, regulations or legislations, population density, topography, etc. There is an inherent difficulty in establishing the actions to be developed for improving the performance of urban public transport, even if the interest resides in macro indicators that describe the behavior of the whole network system as a function of their characteristics (Fancello, Uccheddu, & Fadda, 2014). Measuring instruments have greater significance for assessing performance, not in absolute terms, but in relative terms, when they allow to compare an urban unit to a set of equivalent units in terms of performance. Another aspect of interest is the positioning of the three main participants in the system; the service provider, the public authority and the user. While the service provider aims to minimize production costs and maximizing return on investment, the user demands, more often, less waiting time, more comfort and flexibility of access to all points of interest. The objectives of service provider and the users are usually conflicting. As the urban public transport is a service provided to the population under concession of the public sector, it is not strictly subject to a competitive environment (as, for example, the self-regulated retail sector), the public authority should act as a mediator by establishing parameters and measures that fulfill the basic needs of the population in terms of mobility, even at the expenses of a non-profit operation (as the use of a vehicle in a determined schedule, route or time where the number of passengers is very low). On the other hand, the public authority must also ensure the sustainability of the service provider. Considering the three key stakeholders - user, public authority and service provider -, their interaction can be described as shown in Figure 1: the public authority offers the urban infrastructure, establishes policies for the sector, and defines and specifies routes and scales for the companies that provide the service, under supervision. In turn, users receive and pay for the service, being conferred to them the power of contributing to the public welfare in the specification and evaluation of the quality of the services provided. Given the above characteristics and requirements, the urban public transport management must ensure the efficiency and sustainability of the service provider and, at the same time, the effectiveness of the system, a measure of how much the services specifications imposed by the authority have been achieved. In seeking a balance between efficiency and effectiveness, several variables must be considered: passengers transported, fleet available, distance traveled, population, local GDP, population density, etc. (Pina, & Torres, 2001). The urban public transport by bus is a complex system, being very difficult to set goals and develop a comparative analysis among municipalities (Fancello, Uccheddu, & Fadda, 2014), in this paper also referred as Decision Making Units (DMUs). Public Authority Service Provider User Figure 1. Relationship in the provision of public transport services Adapted from Devarajan & Shah, (2004). The comparative analysis of complex systems can be carried out, basically, by two classes of methods. Parametric methods assume the existence of a function that represents the relationship between the variables. As the number of variables can be large and the variables very different in nature, these methods have limited application in practice (Borger, Kerstens, & Costa, 2002). On the other hand, nonparametric methods have been widely employed in the evaluation of urban public transport. Karlaftis, Gleason, & Barnum, (2013) presents a list of ninety-seven publications related to the application of a non-parametric technique, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), to urban transport problems. Several studies in different fields use DEA for benchmarking (Morini, Barassa, Maurice, Moretti, & Porto, 2014), (Soliman, Siluk, Neuenfeldt JR, Married, & Paris, 2014). One of the conditions for proper application of DEA is that the DMUs constitute an homogeneous set. In the case of public transport, each city (municipality) has its own characteristics: size, population, population density, GDP, etc. In search for homogeneity, it is interesting to group municipalities into clusters with similar characteristics. In this article we discuss the use of parametric techniques such as clustering analysis to group DMUs (municipalities) together in homogeneous sets. An important objective of the urban public transport is to guarantee both the sustainability of the service provider that operates under concession and the fulfillment of the users needs. A balance between such usually conflicting goals is pursued by public authorities in the form of services regulations. This article proposes a performance evaluation of urban public transportation systems by the association of two benchmarking indices: the Technical Efficiency Index, which represents the vision of the service provider, and the Effectiveness Index which represents the interests of the user. In Section 2, we discuss two different approaches for obtaining homogeneous sets of municipalities. Then, in Section 3, the concepts of effectiveness and efficiency as key elements for the definition of performance in urban public transport are introduced. Section 4 presents previous studies in the area. In Section 5 we apply the methodology to fifteen Brazilian cities and fifteen world cities. The analysis of the effectiveness/efficiency of DMUs (cities) is held in two phases. In the first phase, we use parametric techniques for grouping DMUs in homogeneous sets. In a second phase, DEA provides a performance evaluation of each unit with respect to peers. The paper includes rankings of the cities when particular performance indices are considered. 2. Homogeneous sets formation The formation of homogeneous sets can be accomplished by a variety of techniques and algorithms. Here, the objective is to find and separate individuals (units) into groups according to their similarities. Hierarchical methods require the calculation of a matrix of similarity / distance, given an initial distribution of individuals in a predefined number of groups (Bussab, Miazaki & Andrade, 1990). The cluster analysis developed in this paper is based on a nonhierarchical method called K-means (MacQueen, 1967), which consists in the transfer of an individual to the group whose centroid corresponds to the shortest distance. This method is implemented in most statistical softwares due to its ease of application even for a large number of individuals. Table 1 - Data for twenty decision units. U 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 E1 1 2 3 4 2 3 3 4 5 2.5 6 7 6.2 7 8 9 10 11 E2 5 3 2 1 5 4 8 7 9 10 5 4 4 2 3 5 14 15 16 17 18 3 19 20 10 11 1.2 1.5 2 Table 1 presents the data of twenty decision units with characteristics specified by inputs E1 and E2 (Po, Guh & Yang, 2009). Figure 2a shows the arrangement of these units in the plane E1xE2. Figure 2b presents the efficient frontier determined by application of DEA when the objective is to minimize both inputs. Figure 2c shows four possible groups considering the proximity (similarity) of the characteristics of each unit. Figure 2d proposes a grouping defined by the dominant units of the efficient frontier. This grouping is delimited by straight lines connecting the origin and two efficient bondary units. Group A1 is in the area bounded by the cone formed by the origin and the points U1 and U2. It contains U1, U2 and other 5 units, which compound to ratio E2/E1 > 1. Group A3 is in the area bounded by the cone formed by the origin and the points U3 and U4. It contains U3, U4 and other 3 units. The units belonging to this group are such that E2/E1<1. Considering the entire data set (twenty DMUs), units U1, U2, U3 and U4 become the benchmark for all other units (Figure 2d). 12 12 E2 E2 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 Efficient frontier U1 U2 U3 E1 0 4 2 0 8 6 10 12 E1 U4 0 .a ) Units representa tion in the E1-E2 pla ne 4 2 0 8 6 12 10 .b) Efficient frontier by DEA 12 12 E2 E2 10 A1 10 8 A1 8 A2 A3 6 6 A4 4 A3 4 A2 2 U1 0 0 2 4 6 .c) Proximity by grouping of K-mea ns 8 10 12 A4 U2 2 U3 E1 0 0 2 E1 U4 4 6 8 10 12 .d) Grouping by domina nce of DMU Figure 2 - Different forms of groupings of twenty units of DMU The inefficient units in clusters A1, A3 and A4 of Figure 2c are far from the efficient frontier of Figure 2b. In Figure 3, the efficient frontier of each group, as determined by DEA, are presented. Four efficient frontiers are defined, one for each group, and all the DMUs on the frontier of the group are considered efficient with respect to the group. Whenever the improvement of a unit occurs incrementally, it is more sensible that the analysis be done with respect to the efficient units of its group. As an example, unit U10 should seek efficiency, with reference to the efficient set F1, Figure 3. Each inefficient unit should move towards a local efficient unit. The efficient frontiers of groups F1, F2, F3 and F4 are only locally efficient. A second step is required to consider all the DMUs in the efficient frontiers of groups F1, F2, F3 and F4, and then measure the distance between the clusters, which can be done by applying DEA to all the units that constitute the efficient frontiers. 3. Efficiency, effectiveness and performance in urban public transportation systems Efficiency and effectiveness are central concepts for assessing and measuring the performance of organizations (Mouzas, 2006). Informally, efficiency is associated with the "the correct way to do things", while effectiveness with "do the correct things" (Drucker,1997). Efficiency refers to the ability of an organization to produce the desired output with the minimum input level, or the maximum output for a given input. Efficiency is related to the best use of resources for accomplishing the objectives of the organization. 12 E2 10 U10 F1 8 6 U1 F3 U5 U12 U6 4 U2 U3 2 F4 F2 U20 U4 E1 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Figure 3 - Efficient frontiers of the groups. Effectiveness is a measure of the organization capability to achieve predetermined objectives. It indicates success or failure in meeting the objectives set by the organization. Performance is linked to efficiency and effectiveness, and their relationship can be described as in Figure 4 and 5. Performance Efficiency Effectiveness Figure 4 - Efficiency, effectiveness and performance relationship A study involving efficiency and effectiveness of two hundred and fifty-six US urban transit systems over five years (1990-1994) pointed out a positive correlation between efficiency and effectiveness (Karlaftis, 2004). This study adopted as criteria of efficiency and effectiveness, the number of vehicles per mile and the number of passengers per mile, respectively. The first criterion represents the density of the service area; the second criterion, the number of passengers transported, to be maximized. Both criteria reflect the interest of the service provider. Other empirical studies (Ho & Zhu, 2004), (Raphael, 2013) involving banking systems, with efficiency related to how a bank used its assets, and effectiveness with how the bank obtained net return, did not find a correlation. Depending on their definitions, efficiency and effectiveness can be interdependent (Kumar & Gulat, 2010). For example, if the objective is to minimize cost, efficiency contributes to the objective and is directly related to effectiveness, if the later is defined by the attainment of the lowest cost product. When the priority of the consumer is volume, flexibility and variety of products, efficiency has an inverse relationship with effectiveness. Efficiency Efficiency in urban public transport represents the interest of the service provider while effectiveness represents the extent in which the service provider achieves the objectives established by the public authority in the benefit of the service user. Thus, an increase in efficiency may correspond to a decrease in effectiveness, and vice-versa. In Figure 5, focusing only in effectiveness neglecting the efficiency may result in a non-sustainable return over time. On the other hand, focusing only in efficiency may result in a service with inadequate quality to the user, making it also unsustainable over the time. Effectiveness Figure 5 - Relationship between effectiveness and efficiency The public authority, responsible for granting the right of exploitation of public transport, assumes the position of the regulator, encouraging the maximization of both efficiency and effectiveness, while maintaining the balance of the system. In other words, the public authority must induce the companies to operate at the highest possible point on the sustainable return line. 4. Data envelopment analysis - DEA DEA is a linear programming approach used to measure relative efficiency in converting inputs (resources) in outputs (products) of a set of homogeneous units (DMUs). Consider a set with n decision units, indexed by j = 1, 2, ..., n each using xij inputs indexed by i = 1, 2, ...,m and generating outputs yrj indexed by r = 1, 2, ...,s. Let ur and vi multipliers associated with outputs and inputs respectively. The efficiency of the jth decision unit can be written as: E 0 max s u r 1 subject to: m v i i 1 xio 1 r yr 0 0 =1,2, …, n (1) s r 1 m u r y rj v x i ij 0 j 1, 2,..., n i 1 {vi ur } r 1,2,...s; i 1,..., m where yrj and xij (all positive) are the known outputs and inputs of the jth DMU and ur, vi > 0 are variable weights to be determined by solving the linear problem (1) (Hadad, Keren & Hanani, 2013); ε > 0 is a non-Archimedean infinitesimal number (Charnes, Cooper & Rhodes, 1978). Problem (1) is known as the DEA CCR model (Hadad, Keren & Hanani, 2013). 5. Previous studies (Literature Review) This section presents a brief summary of the evolution of the studies on efficiency and effectiveness in public transport. Chu, Fielding & Lamar (1992), analyzing the American bus system, was one of the first works that considered both efficiency and effectiveness measures. Efficiency was measured using a DEA model, with the output defined as the average return, and input as the total cost of the activities related to the service. In turn, the effectiveness was considered by the estimated number of unserved passengers. The authors observed that the efficiency and effectiveness were correlated negatively and that a balance should be searched. Pina & Torres (2001) compared the efficiency of the public and private transport sectors in Spain in four different scenarios, but did not explicitly present effective measures for the quality of service delivered to the user. Karlaftis (2004), analyzing two hundred and fifty-nine American systems for five years, divided them into three groups and three different models, using the same input set, but different output sets: the first one, a model of efficiency, had its output defined as the total annual miles per vehicle; the second, regarded as an effectiveness measure, considered as output the total number of passengers transported per year; the third, a multi-output model, used as outputs both the total annual miles per vehicle and the total number of passengers transported per year. The author concluded that efficiency is positively related to effectiveness. However, it should be noted that both indices are aligned with the interest of the service provider, since the higher number of passengers, the higher would be the return. According to Dyson at al. (2001), the data under consideration must be uniform, or the DMUs must be performing the same activity with similar objectives. Besides, the inputs and outputs must be identical for all the units, except for differences in value; the DMUs must be operating in similar environments and under similar technical conditions, since the external environment impacts on the performance of a unit. Based on these considerations, Peña (2008) states that the "selected units should produce the same goods and services using the same inputs." The above conditions aim to ensure that the data for DMUs are reliable, and that possible extreme variations correspond to real situations, no errors of judgment. Before the application of DEA, it is convenient to perform an exploratory analysis. Po, Guh & Yang (2009) proposed a new method for clustering DMUs, associating DEA with the Ward’s algorithm by a linear production function. A similar procedure is used in the present article. Amin & Emrouzejad (2011) showed that this approach may generate different groups with different sizes, and allocations of DMUs in a group, which indicates that the problem of grouping in DEA is still open. Sampaio, Neto & Sampaio (2008) compared the efficiency of the public transport of seven Brazilian cities to twelve European cities according to the following criteria: power partition among the components of the administrative agency of the transport system and fare structure. The authors concluded that only São Paulo, Brazil, was comparable to the best nine European cities in terms of efficiency. We finally refer to the bibliography revision of Karlaftis, Gleason & Barnum (2013), which presents a list with ninety-seven publications about the application of DEA to the analysis of urban transit systems. 6. Application This section outlines the application of our two-phase analysis methodology to a group of thirty cities, with more than 42,000 passengers/day transported by urban, public bus transport systems. All the data used can be found at http://www.brtdata.org. In the first phase, we use parametric techniques to group units (cities) in homogeneous sets. In a second phase, we apply DEA for evaluating the performance of each unit with respect to its peers in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. 6.1. Aim of the study The study addresses the important problem of defining guidelines for the public authorities, which can assist them in the establishment balanced policies for both the service providers and users of the urban public transport. 6.2. Data structuring We consider thirty cities (DMUs), namelly Barranquilla (Colombia), Beijing (China), Belém (Brazil), Belo Horizonte (Brazil), Bogotá (Colombia), Brasília (Brazil), Brisbane (Australia), Cali (Colombia), Campinas (Brazil), Campo Grande (Brazil), Curitiba (Brazil), Fortaleza (Brazil), Goiânia (Brazil), Guarulhos (Brazil), Guatemala (Guatemala), Guayaquil (Ecuador) , Istanbul, Johannesburg (South Africa), Lima (Peru), Manaus (Brazil), México (Mexico), New York (USA), Ottawa (Canada), Porto Alegre (Brazil), Quito (Ecuador), Recife (Brazil), Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), Salvador (Brazil), São Paulo (Brazil), Xiamen (China). Table 2 presents the data of each DMU. Fare - In a first analysis, from the point of view of the service provider, the higher the better; for users, the smaller the better. Fleet -The service provider seeks to minimize the size of the fleet for a given number of passengers to be transported, while users prefer a fleet large enough to allow quality trips with flexible timetables and destinations. Demographic Density - It can be interesting for the service provider to operate in more populated areas, which would provide higher returns with shorter routes. Total passengers transported - Also aligned with the interest to the service provider, it may be indifferent to the user, once the quality of service is guaranteed. In Table 2, column 1 presents the DMUs, column 2 the total number of passengers carried per day, column 3 the size of the fleet, column 4 the fare charged in each city, and column 5 the demographic density. Table 2 - Parameters considered in the analysis City of Passenger Fleet Fare D_Density City of Barranquilla 115.000 39 0,62 3.650,00 Guayaquil Beijing 305.000 187 0,00 1.006,00 Istanbul Belem 100.000 120 0,70 661,80 Johannesburg Belo Horizonte 1.047.374 3.066 0,96 524,70 Lima Bogota 2.213.236 1.697 0,69 3.347,40 Manaus Brasilia 301.000 139 0,78 491,60 Mexico Brisbane 356.800 475 4,00 347,00 New York Cali 471.361 722 0,59 327,00 Ottawa Campinas 200.000 1.256 0,91 801,10 Porto Alegre C_Grande 279.187 537 0,89 97,00 Quito Curitiba 561.000 193 0,86 179,60 Recife Fortaleza 286.777 1.804 0,62 625,30 Rio de Janeiro Goiania 378.300 1.340 0,86 410,00 Salvador Guarulhos 311.426 958 0,92 3.834,00 São Paulo Guatemala 210.000 130 0,13 1.420,00 Xiamen Passenger Fleet Fare D_Density 310.000 115 0,25 7.227,00 750.000 415 1,00 2.523,00 42.000 277 1,00 2.696,00 350.000 487 0,76 3.008,80 643.549 1.516 0,81 158,00 1.065.000 548 0,36 5.871,00 199.566 219 3,00 720,00 220.000 936 2,70 209,64 491.600 1.650 0,84 408,00 833.095 575 0,25 439,80 701.259 1.381 0,64 1.332,30 3.132.600 382 0,98 2.208,80 1.293.303 2.447 0,78 832,60 3.194.000 3.966 0,98 2.532,90 340.000 220 1,00 1.214,00 6.3. Determination of groups 6.3.1. Grouping according to Ward The groups are determined using "proximity" as a decision criterion. With the data of Table 2, the WARD’s method implemented in R (https://www.r-project.org) established four groups, as shown in Figure 6; see also Table 5. Where Group 1 is formed by Bogota, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, where the urban transport system carries more than 2,200,000 passengers/day. Group 2 consists of cities whose urban transport system carries 643,549 to 1,047,374, group 3 consists of cities whose urban transport system carries 301,000 to 378,300, and the group 4 composed of cities whose urban transport system carries 42,000 to 199,566 passengers. The later, two groups are constituted by nine DMUs. Figure 6 - Grouping of units by the WARD’s algorithm 6.3.2. Grouping by dominance of DMUs DEA allow us to identify inefficient (E0<1) and efficient (E0=1) DMUs, as shown in Table 3, column “Efficiency”. In column 3 to 9 are presented the multipliers obtained while solving problem (1). Table 3 – Summary of DEA dominance City of Barranquilla Beijing Belem Belo Horizonte Bogota Brasilia Brisbane Cali Campinas C_Grande Curitiba Fortaleza Goiania Guarulhos Guatemala Guayaquil Istanbul Johannesburg Lima Manaus Mexico New York Ottawa Porto Alegre Quito Recife Rio de Janeiro Salvador São Paulo Xiamen Score Barranquilla Brisbane C_Grande Curitiba Manaus New York R_Janeiro 1,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,2010 0,6440 0,0000 0,0000 0,0804 0,0000 0,0000 0,4489 0,4674 0,0662 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,4739 0,0357 0,5461 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,2864 1,8587 0,0000 0,0000 0,5037 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 6,9040 0,0000 0,5724 0,9540 0,6425 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,1404 0,0000 0,3307 0,1034 1,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,4435 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,5785 0,2753 0,0000 0,0000 0,1284 0,0000 1,2792 0,6112 1,6588 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,1515 0,0000 0,0000 2,5818 2,0776 0,0109 0,0000 0,0000 0,3057 0,0000 0,0000 1,9932 1,1823 0,0273 0,0000 0,0000 0,0980 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,1781 0,0000 2,8163 0,8033 0,2249 0,2042 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0567 0,2869 0,3856 0,6794 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,2317 0,3409 0,1531 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,7339 0,6500 0,2606 0,5069 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,1746 0,0000 0,1749 0,2503 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,2162 0,5521 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,2391 0,1921 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,4149 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,3630 0,0000 0,0000 0,7651 1,2831 0,6540 0,0000 0,0000 0,6014 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 2,3819 0,0761 0,0000 0,0000 0,1725 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 7,1051 0,0000 0,0000 0,0255 1,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 1,0000 0,4663 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 3,6215 1,1531 0,0000 0,0000 0,3968 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 13,2900 0,9242 0,0000 0,0000 0,4551 0,0869 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,0000 0,6511 0,1938 The first performance criterion was maximizing the fare and the number of passengers transported, meaning that the higher fare and passengers transported, the higher the return for the service provider. It was considered as inputs the fleet and the population density. Therefore, this first criterion favors the service provider. When the criterion is the service provider efficiency, Barranquilla, Brisbane, Campo Grande, Curitiba, Manaus, New York, Ottawa, and Rio de Janeiro reach the maximum efficiency, define the efficient frontier, and become reference units of the analyzed set. It can be inferred that: (1) Barranquilla, New York and Rio de Janeiro dominate Beijing, Belém, Guatemala, Guayaquil, Istanbul, and Xiamen; (2) Curitiba and Manaus dominate Belo Horizonte, Cali, Porto Alegre, Quito, Salvador, and São Paulo; and so on. Ottawa, despite being efficient, only dominate Campo Grande. The second criterion was minimizing the fare and the number of passengers carried by the fleet; that is, the lower the fare the better for the users. In addition, less passengers (users) per bus would imply in a better quality of service. Using this criterion, Barranquilla, Beijing, Fortaleza, Guayaquil, and Johannesburg determine the effectiveness frontier. Table 4 – Efficiency and effectiveness Score Score City of EffectivenessEfficiency E2/E1 City of EffectivenessEfficiency E2/E1 Barranquilla 1,0000 1,0000 1,0000 Guayaquil 1,0000 0,3856 0,3856 Beijing 1,0000 0,2010 0,2010 Istanbul 0,2161 0,3409 1,5775 Belem 0,2722 0,4674 1,7170 Johannesburg 1,0000 0,2606 0,2606 Belo Horizonte 0,9708 0,5461 0,5626 Lima 0,5020 0,1749 0,3484 Bogota 0,5381 0,5037 0,9360 Manaus 0,6117 1,0000 1,6348 Brasilia 0,1193 0,6425 5,3856 Mexico 0,6202 0,2391 0,3855 Brisbane 0,2074 1,0000 4,8216 New York 0,1697 1,0000 5,8928 Cali 0,0393 0,4435 11,2850 Ottawa 0,6614 1,0000 1,5119 Campinas 0,9930 0,1284 0,1293 Porto Alegre 0,6583 0,3630 0,5514 C_Grande 0,3051 1,0000 3,2776 Quito 0,4951 0,6014 1,2147 Curitiba 0,0772 1,0000 12,9534 Recife 0,6570 0,1725 0,2626 Fortaleza 1,0000 0,1515 0,1515 Rio de Janeiro 0,1136 1,0000 8,8028 Goiania 0,5629 0,3057 0,5431 Salvador 0,8636 0,4663 0,5399 Guarulhos 0,8135 0,0980 0,1204 São Paulo 0,8795 0,3968 0,4512 Guatemala 0,5428 0,2249 0,4143 Xiamen 0,2028 0,4551 2,2441 6.4. Analysis of performance of urban public transport Table 4 and Figure 7 relate the efficiency and effectiveness criteria in these thirty cities. Barranquilla provided the best result, being efficient and effective at the same time. 1.0000 Efficiency (EF1) 0.8000 C_Grande Curitiba Brisbane Manaus New York Rio de Janeiro 0.4000 Cali Q4 Quito Belo Horizonte Salvador Guayaquil Porto Alegre SPaulo Goiania Mexico Johannesburg Guatemala Beijing Recife Fortaleza Lima Guarulhos Campinas Bogota Belém Xiamen Istanbul 0.2000 0.0000 0.0000 Q2 Brasilia 0.6000 Ottawa Barranquilla Q1 0.2000 0.4000 Q3 0.6000 0.8000 1.0000 Effectiveness (EF2) Figure 7 – Efficiency versus effectiveness The limits of the quadrants of Figure 7 were defined by the averages of efficiencies and effectiveness. In Q1 are the cities of Belém, Cali, Istanbul, Lima, and Xiamen, which obtained efficiency and effectiveness indices below average value. These cities should improve both indices to reach quadrant Q4. In Q2 are the cities of Brasilia, Brisbane, Campo Grande, Curitiba, New York, Quito, and Rio de Janeiro. These cities must keep their above-average efficiencies and improve their effectiveness to reach Q4 quadrant. In Q3 are the cities of Beijing, Bogota, Campinas, Fortaleza, Guatemala, Goiania, Guarulhos, Guayaquil, Johannesburg, Mexico, Recife, Salvador, Sao Paulo, and Porto Alegre. These cities must keep their above-average effectiveness and improve their efficiencies to reach quadrant Q4. In Q4 are the cities of Barranquilla, Belo Horizonte, Manaus, and Ottawa. As these cities have aboveaverage efficiencies and effectiveness, they should work towards the point of excellence EF1 = EF2 = 1. Table 5 presents the cities in the four different groups determined by WARD’s algorithm. See also Figure 6. In column “Initial” are the scores obtained by the thirty cities analyzed; in “Cluster” are the four groups and respective scores within each group. Although Bogotá is known as a good example of the urban transport system, it did not get good ratings because its demography density and number of passengers per fleet are high. From the point of view of the service provider (efficiency) the numbers of Bogotá are good, but from the point of view of the users (effectiveness), they are bad. Another point is that in the case of the cluster; consider it as belonging to the group 1, despite it being a cut off from this community. Table 5 – Initial group versus cluster Group Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group4 Cluster Initial City of Efficiency Rank Efficiency Rank Bogota 0,4662 3 0,3212 20 Rio de Janeiro 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 São Paulo 0,8891 2 0,3967 16 Belo Horizonte 0,5460 6 0,5460 11 Cali 0,4435 7 0,4435 15 Curitiba 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Istanbul 0,6218 4 0,3409 19 Manaus 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Mexico 0,6687 3 0,2391 23 Porto Alegre 0,4195 8 0,3629 18 Quito 0,6013 5 0,6013 10 Recife 0,1747 9 0,1725 27 Beijing 0,7475 6 0,2102 25 Brasilia 1,0000 1 0,6426 9 Brisbane 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 C_Grande 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Fortaleza 0,2644 9 0,1515 28 Goiania 0,4856 7 0,3058 21 Guayaquil 1,0000 1 0,3857 17 Lima 0,3283 8 0,1749 26 Xiamen 0,7683 5 0,4553 14 Barranquilla 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Belem 0,7463 6 0,4675 12 Campinas 0,3129 8 0,1284 29 Guarulhos 0,3327 7 0,0980 30 Guatemala 1,0000 1 0,2249 24 Johannesburg 0,2606 9 0,2606 22 New York 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Ottawa 1,0000 1 1,0000 1 Salvador 1,0000 1 0,4662 13 The dominant cities of each group are the references for other cities that did not reach efficiency in the group. (1) Group 1 - Bogota and Sao Paulo are dominated by Rio de Janeiro. (2) Group 2 - Belo Horizonte, Cali, Quito and Porto Alegre are dominated by Curitiba and Manaus; Istanbul, Mexico, and Recife are dominated by Curitiba. (3) Group 3 - Beijing and Lima are dominated by Brasilia and Guayaquil; Xiamen is dominated by Brasilia and Brisbane; Goiania and Fortaleza are dominated by Brasilia and Campo Grande. (4) Group 4 - Johannesburg is dominated by Barranquilla and New York; Belém and Guarulhos are dominated by Guatemala and New York; Campinas is dominated by New York and Ottawa; Salvador is dominated by New York. It is worth nothing that each group has, at least, one dominant Brazilian city. 7. Conclusion One of the problems faced by public authorities in urban public transport management is the lack of references to be pursued. The two-phase method proposed enables us to determine dominant and dominated cities in terms of efficiency and effectiveness indices, suggesting how the dominated ones should follow the dominants to achieve the same level of performance. The quality of life in the city is associated with the quality of urban public transport and one of the duties of public authorities is to find a balance between efficiency (service provider) and effectiveness (user) to ensure the continuity of the system. We believe that our work is a step in this direction, since it allows determining what needs to be done to meet the user and the service provider preferences, without favoring one or the other. The overall objective is to keep the system evolving near the "sustainable return" line, Figure 7. A natural extension of this work is the analysis of the locallity transport system, that is, to consider routes: the number of buses, number of passengers, stops, and quality-of-service parameters. 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