Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal FR-CR-5 – Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal Sudweeks The purpose of this tutorial is to help you as you prepare your analysis of your company. This tutorial will be a first tool to help you use the Bloomberg more efficiently and effectively. While Bloomberg is not the only tool available to help investors, it is one of the major data providers and is used extensively in the industry. This tutorial will also let you know all the information that is necessary for writing up your company reports. If you have any questions or comments, please see me. Thanks. The following are examples of how to extract information on company’s financial information, market index levels, PE ratios, earning estimates, betas, and graphs for your company and industry analysis. Remember that Bloomberg is a somewhat archaic system, so you need to understand how data is organized and presented. It is a logical format, which helps a bit. To complete your research project, you will need many pieces of information from one of the many data suppliers. Since we have access to Bloomberg, I recommend this resource. You will need the following data: 1. Your company ticker symbol 2. Historical and current company price information at the company’s year-end 3. Earnings Estimates for the company to compare against your forecast 4. Historical and current market and industry index levels at the company’s yearend 5. Historical and current market and industry PE data at the company’s year-end 6. Earnings Estimates for the market and industry indices (if available) 7. Beta calculations for the company (with a minimum of 60 data points) 8. Graphs of your company versus the relevant market and industry indices. This tutorial will help you find the above information. Please note that some of this information will be available on your Compustat data, but you should know where to get the data as a check on Compustat. 1. Finding Your Company’s Ticker Symbol To get your company ticker symbol, type [Equity] or [F8] and press [Go]. Then type [TK] which is for the ticker symbol look up, and type the name of your company. Hit the green key [Go] or [Enter]. Bloomberg will come back with a number of names. Find the correct ticker and write it down. You will use it for the rest of the project. To make sure you have the correct company or equity, type the number of the correct ticker and [Go]. Then type “DES” for description. It will give you a short description about the company. If you would like more detail, type “HH” for Hoovers Handbook, a somewhat dated piece about the company, or “CN” for company news. Other options are also available. - Page 1 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal Type “FA” [Go] for financial analysis. Bloomberg has somewhat up-to-date information on general areas of the company’s financials. Note however, that this is a secondary source, not a primary source. They do make mistakes here and input the data into their pre-selected categories. Keep the ticker symbol handy as you will use it for all company related information. 2. Looking Up Historical Prices Historical prices are available on Compustat, but you should know how to use this function. To get historical prices for your company, type your company ticker [Equity] and [Go]. You will get the first screen for your company. Menu items that are highlighted indicate available information. If they are gray, that indicates the information is not available. To get historical prices and volume, type [HP] for historical prices and [Go]. This will bring you to the price screen. You need to know your company’s fiscal year-end. If it is not December, you need to tab over and type “95” in the year of the beginning date, and tab over and type “M” for monthly data. Then hit [Go], and you will get your company prices by month for the last 5 years. Hit [Print Screen] to print this data, paging down after the first page. Notice that it will also give you the most recent price of your company’s stock. If there have been splits or changes, type “FA” for financial analysis, then option 2 for historical prices. The problem here is that they only give information for December which is useful only for companies with a December year-end. Using December prices for a non-December company year-end is mixing apples and oranges and is not good analysis. Bloomberg still has its challenges. 3. Looking Up Company Earnings Estimates From Bloomberg, you can also get earnings forecasts for many of the companies you will be looking for. To get earnings estimates for your company (if available), type your company ticker [equity] and [Go]. Then type “EE” and it will bring up the earnings suppliers for the index. Depending on the available suppliers for your company, you can choose any of them. Then hit [PntScn] to copy the pages which include at least 2 analysts any of the major Wall Street research firms. Also, press [PgFwd] to find the standard deviations and copy the page that has the standard deviation of those returns. You will use this information on your company report write-up to compare your forecasts with forecasts from Wall Street analysts. 4. Finding Historical and Current Market Index Levels To get market index levels, you must first determine which market index you wish to use. One method is to type your company ticker then “DES” [Go] for a description of your company. Hit [PgFwd] once and you will see the indices in which your company is included. Choose one of the major indices for the market, and another for an industry index and write their symbols down. For ease of use, lets assume you want to use the S&P500 Index, with the ticker SPX. You would type in on the terminal “SPX” and then hit the yellow key which says [Index] - Page 2 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal and [Go]. This will bring up the general information for the index. To get the index levels, next type “HP” for historical prices and [Go]. Use the tab to put in the beginning and ending date, beginning with the year 1996 and ending with the current year, and tab to the period and type “M” for month. Then hit [Go]. You will get the following screen that gives the closing index and volume by month. Either write down the information you need or hit [print] to print the page. In summary: enter “SPX” [Index] [Go]. Enter “HP” for the historical prices. Hit “TAB” key multiple times to the beginning and ending dates, and “M” for monthly for the period, and then [Go] to accept “US Dollar” and [Go] again. Finally, hit [PRINT SCREEN] to print the page, and [page down] to go to additional pages. To go back to the main menu, hit the [Menu] key twice. Notice also that on the top of the screen it gives the current index level of 1,239.39. This is necessary for forecast earnings, as your best estimate of future prices is today’s price. Remember, you do not forecast future prices for your stock or index—you only use the most recent price, today’s prices as the best estimate of all future prices. 5. Finding Market and Industry Index Price Earnings (PE) Ratios To get to the Index PE ratios, assuming you are already at the Index page, type “HE”, and it will take you to the following screen. Again, use the tabs to get you through the range from 1995 to 2001, and type “M” for monthly, “M” for mid, and [Go]. You will get the following screen, which you can either copy or print out. - Page 3 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal In summary, to get the PE for the S&P500: Type “HE” for price earnings. Hit [TAB] multiple times and put in your beginning and ending dates and “M” period. Hit [PRINT SCREEN] to type out the page. As an alternative to printing the data, you can also right click on the mouse, cursor down to “save screen”, put a diskette in the “a:” drive, and type in a “a:filename” to save the screen to your diskette if you wish. With the above information, you can calculate the Index Earnings, the equivalent of earnings per share for an index. The Index Earnings is simply the index divided by the index PE. Calculate this on your spreadsheet. 6. Finding Forecasted Earnings for the Market and Industry Index To get the forecast earnings for the index, type “SPX” [Index] and [Go]. If you ever hit a wrong key, that is the easiest way to get back. You can also try [Menu] which will take you back one screen. To get earnings estimates for your index (if available), type “EE” for earnings estimates and it will bring up the earnings suppliers for the index. Highlighted names indicate available information, while gray names indicate information which is not available. In our case, type 3 for Zack’s investment. You will get the following screen. The other abbreviations located on page 7 can be used similarly to the above examples. - Page 4 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal Notice that it gives the mean, high, and low estimates, as well as the number of estimates for each of the line items. The items represent fiscal year end estimates. 0612 refers to December 2006, while 0712 refers to December 2007. These are the Index Earnings numbers for the index. You must decide whether to use the High, Low or Mean estimates. I generally recommend the Mean estimates unless you have better data. This is not a class for forecasting the stock market. Since we are forecasting out more years than 2007, to get the index earnings for 20082010, it takes a different strategy. You have calculated the index earnings for each of the historical years. You are also given the index earnings for the next two fiscal years. To get the index earnings for future years, you take the index earnings and multiply them times 1 plus the 5-year growth percentages (in this case 8.0%) from this page. So the index earnings for 2008 is 96.53 or 89.38 (the mean estimate for 2007) * 1.08 = 96.53 and for 2008 = 104.245. As we discussed in class, not every company is going to have a December year-end. If yours does, be thankful. If not, you need to adjust the index earnings depending on your company’s year-end. For this class, we make the assumption that earnings are equally distributed throughout the year. So if you have a September year-end, as does Apple Computer, you take 9/12 of the current year index earnings and 3/12 of the previous years index earnings. This will give you the correct index earnings for the forecast year. - Page 5 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal To calculate forward looking PE’s for the index, take the current index, 1,353 and divide it by your new index earnings, for example, 104.245 for 2008 and that will give you your forecast PE of 13.0x for 2008. In summary, for earnings estimates: Type “EE” [Go] (Earnings Estimates), enter “3” (Zack’s investment and research), and then hit [PRINT SCREEN]. 7. Beta Calculations To get the beta of your company, type your symbol and [Equity] and hit [Go]. Then type “BETA” and hit [Go]. This will bring you to the beta screen. Tab down four times and put in the beginning date, which I recommend to be 1995 if there are five years of data, or whatever the beginning date if the company is newer. Then tab over and set the period to “M” or monthly. You can set the period and the index to any index or time period you would like, but I recommend you use your market index. The default “SPX” is generally acceptable as well. I only require that you have at least 60 observations for your analysis. Once the beta is calculated, hit [Pntscn] to print the page. You will use the beta in calculating the company’s intrinsic value. 8. Graphing Graphing is relatively easy using the terminal. First you must decide whether you want to graph the price, relative price versus other companies or indices, or relative total returns versus other companies or indices. To graph the price, type the ticker [Equity] “GP” for graph and then [Go]. To graph the relative price versus other companies, instead of typing “GP” type “RG” (for relative graphs) and [Go]. To type relative returns, type “COMP” and [Go]. Regardless of your choice of graph, you will first come to the graphing screen. By tabbing to the beginning and ending date periods and changing them, you can change the period under analysis. If on the “GP” screen, you can also change the type of graphs, whether bar chart, candle chart; whether you want to see the last traded price, bid price, ask price, or a weighted average price. You can also set up another chart below the price chart. Here you can see items such as volume traded, value traded, etc. If you are on the “RG” or COMP” screens, you can compare your company’s price or return performance versus other companies, market and/or industry, with up to three companies or indices on a single graph. Generally, the first line will be your company ticker and [Equity], the second line your broader market index ticker and [Index], and the third line, your industry index ticker symbol and [Index]. Then hit [Go] for the graphs. The graphing capabilities are quite good. For the purposes of this class, you will graph relative returns “GP” for your company versus the relevant market and industry index for 12 months (daily returns) and 5 years (weekly returns). You will need to put these graphs into a Word document. - Page 6 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal Saving Data After the information is correct on your graph, you have two options for saving the data. First, you can right-click anywhere on the screen and select “Save Screen”. Insert a floppy into the a-drive, and save the data, typing “a:anyfilename.” The graph will be written to your floppy drive. The second option is to type the command GRAB at the command prompt, enter your email address, and hit <GO>. This will send you to an e-mail page. Enter a subject message, and type1<GO>, and Bloomberg will automatically send the message to your email address. Either method is acceptable. Other Indices Some of you may not want to use the S&P500 for your index that you compare your company to. To get the symbol of other indices (and there are thousands), the easiest way is to type WEI [Index] and [Go]. This will give you the screen below. To pick an index, just type the number of the index you would like. If it is not on the screen, and it is a US index, type 1 and it will bring up more indices. If it is an index from Europe/Africa, type a 2, or from Asia Pacific, type a 3. From these pages you can continue to look for other indices. Finally, on the last page of this handout, I have scanned in a Bloomberg tutorial for Equity Analysts. Once you have typed in your company symbol, like “AAPL” [equity] and [Go], you can type any of the codes to get specific information, such as: BETA for the beta of the company DES for a company description BQ for a quick report FA for standardized fundamental analysis (for comparison only) CN for company specific news RV for peer group analysis GP for graphs. These functions should be of help to you as you analyze your companies. If you have any problems or need any help, I will be happy to help. Good luck on your research. Conclusion Bloomberg is a wonderful tool for helping you find data, but there are often mistakes, so use it at your own risk. If something does not look correct, check it out. There is nothing worse than doing an analysis with incorrect data as your conclusions will likely be wrong. Use wisdom and common sense, and you will do well in your report. If you find any problems or have suggestions for this tutorial, please e-mail me at [email protected]. - Page 7 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal Thanks. - Page 8 of 9 - Gathering Data Using the Bloomberg Terminal - Page 9 of 9 -
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