XTENSIONS OF A AMERICAN AsSOCIA,TION FOR THE THEHE ADVANCEMENTOF SCIENCE OF TRAGEDY R G D THE COMMONS 150 YEARS * 1848-1998 omm W0 It is easyto call for interdisciplinary synthewouldnot crystallize. Repeatedly,I foundfault a:0 ses,butwill anyonerespond? Scientistsknow withmy own conclusions. how to trainthe youngin narrowlyfocused With AdamSmith'sworkasa model,I had work;but how do you teachpeopleto stitch assumedthat the sumof separateego-servingz togetherestablishedspecialtiesthat perhaps decisionswouldbe the bestpossibleone forthe a: shouldnot have been separatedin the first populationas a whole.ButpresentlyI discov- 0 place?Earlyin this centurythe specialtiesof ered that I agreedmuch morewith William biologyand chemistrywere joined to form ForsterLloyd'sconclusions,asgivenin hisOxbiochemistry; similarly, economicsandecolofordlecturesof 1833.Citingwhathappenedto gy arenow in the processof beingcombined leftopen to manyherdsof cattle, pasturelands into ecologicaleconomics. Lloydpointedout that,with a resourceavailanalMy firstattemptat interdisciplinary able to all, the greediestherdsmenwould ysis led to an essay,"The Tragedyof the gain-for a while. But mutualruin was just Commons."Since it firstappearedin Science GARRETT HARDIN is aroundthe comer. As demandgrew in step 25 yearsago,it hasbeenincludedin antholo- professoremeritusof human with population (while supply remained gies on ecology, environmentalism, health fixed), a time wouldcome when the herdscare,economics,populationstudies,law,po- ecologyat the Universityof men,actingas Smithianindividuals, wouldbe liticalscience,philosophy,ethics,geography, California,SantaBarbara.He trappedby their own competitiveimpulses. psychology,andsociology.It becamerequired is theauthorof a dozenbooks The unmanaged commonswouldbe ruinedby readingfor a generationof students and basedon manyshortpapers,the overgrazing; competitiveindividualism would teachersseekingto meldmultipledisciplines be helplessto preventthe socialdisaster. in orderto come up with betterwaysto live bestknownof whichare "The So mustit alsobe, I realized,with growing Tragedyof theCommons"and humanpopulationswhen there is a limit to in balancewith the environment. I didnot startout intendingto forgean in- "Livingon a Lifeboat." availableresources. The directpsychicgainsof terdisciplinary link,butratherto presenta reareoffsetbyeconomiclosseschanparenthood tiringpresident's addressto the Pacificdivisionof the American neledthroughthe wholepopulation.It wasso in Lloyd'sday;it Associationforthe Advancementof Science.Buteven aftersix is even moreso today.I rewrotethe essayfor what I thought revisions,eachquitedifferentfromthe one before,mysumma- wouldbe the lasttime. ryof an ecologist'sview of the humanoverpopulation problem But in a final reading to my family and friends at a 3, I_ Zm) z=M zn 0o "Freedom in a Commons Brings Ruin to All" The essence of Hardin'soriginalessay. Picturea pastureopento all.Itis expectedthateach herdsmanwilltryto keepas manycattleas possible on [this]commons....Whatis the utility.. .of adding one moreanimal?....Sincethe herdsmanreceives allthe proceedsfromthe sale of the additional animal,the positiveutility[to the herdsman]is nearly +1....Since, however,the effectsof overgrazing are sharedby all the herdsmen,the negativeutilityfor any particular decision-making herdsmanis onlya fractionof -1. Addingtogetherthe...partialutilities, the rationalherdsmanconcludes that the only sensiblecourseforhimto pursueis to add another animalto [the]herd.And another;and another.... Thereinis the tragedy.Each man is locked into a system that [causes] himto increasehis herd withoutlimit-ina worldthat is limited....Freedom ina commonsbringsruinto all. -G. Hardin, "TheTragedyof the Commons" Science 162, 1243 (1968), p. 1244 SCIENCE * VOL. 280 * 1 MAY 1998 * www.sciencemag.org stopoveron our way to the meetingin Utah, I was encouragedto modifyit again.I scribbledin the changes,mostnotably the suggestionthat the way to avoid disasterin our globalworldis througha frankpolicy of "mutualcoercion, mutuallyagreedupon."Under conditionsof scarcity,egocenteredimpulsesnaturallyimposecosts on the group,and hence on all its members. A crudeexamplemakesthe point:I mightliketo robbanks, but I am unwillingto allowothercitizensto do so. So mostof us, actingtogether,passlawsthat infringeon the individual's freedomto robbanks.Foran examplecloserto home,thinkof 0 z Lu tr z 0 !R C) domof the seas,butthe freedomof the atmosphere, whichacts asa commonsinkforaerialgarbage. Yetto comearemanyother restrictions as the world'spopulationcontinuesto grow. The realitythat underliesall the necessarycurtailmentsis alwaysthe same-populationgrowth.Yetthe slightestattempt to limit this freedomis promptlydenouncedwith cries of Elitism!Big-Brotherism! Despotism!Fascism!andthe like.We areslowto mendourwaysbecauseethicistsandphilosophers of the pastgenerallydid not see that numbersmatter.In the languageof 20th-centurycommentators, traditionalthinking wasmagnificently verbalanddeplorably nonnumerate. what is haDDeningto the freedom to One of today'scardinaltasks is to make withdrawalsfrom the oceanic marrythe philosopher'sliterateethics "INDIVIDUALISM IS bankof fishes.In 1625,the Dutchscholwith the scientist'scommitmentto nuarHugoGrotiussaid,"Theextentof the merateanalysis.Wordsare important, oceanis in factso greatthatit sufficesfor CHERISHED BECAUSE IT but they often requirea numeratecast. any possibleuse on the partof all peoWhat I have realizedfromreadingnuPRODUCES FREEDOM, ples for drawingwater,for fishing,for merouscriticismsof the theoryof the BUT THE GIFT IS sailing."Now the once unlimitedrecommonsis that both LloydandI were sourcesof marinefishes have become analyzinga subsetof commons-those CONDITIONAL: THE scarceand nationsare comingto limit where"helpyourself" or "feelfree"attithe freedomof theirfishersin the com- MORE THE POPULATION tudesprevail.This wasthe messageEumons.Fromhereonward,completefreeropean pioneers in North America dom leads to tragedy.(And still the EXCEEDS THE CARRYING thoughttheyhadbeengivenbythe land shibboleth,"thefreedomof the seas,"inthey chose to perceive as unpeopled. CAPACITY OF THE terfereswithrationaljudgment.) Even today, laws encouragingprivate ENVIRONMENT, THE My addresswasa success,andthe esaccessto publiclandsformining,pastursaywasprinted6 monthslater,trimmed ing, and forestryperpetuatesubsidies MORE FREEDOMS byhalfand,presumably, moreappealing thatsupportmalfunctioning commons. in its brevityto a wideraudience.The Numeracydemandsthatwe takeacMUST BE GIVEN UP.'r 600 reprintswereexhaustedin a matter countof the exponentialgrowthof livof weeks. ing systems,while acknowledgingthat Its message is, I think, still true today. Individualismis cherresources, whenthoroughly understood, willproveto be definishedbecauseit producesfreedom,but the gift is conditional: ableby numbersthat arerelativelyconstant.Of course,under The morethe populationexceedsthe carryingcapacityof the the impactof newscience,the apparentlimitsof resources may environment,the morefreedomsmustbe given up. As cities be pushedbackfor a while;but finallywhat E. T. Whittaker grow,the freedomto parkis restrictedby the numberof park- called"impotenceprinciples"*-forexample,the lawsof thering metersor fee-charging garages.Trafficis rigidlycontrolled. modynamics-willexerttheirinfluenceon policy. On the globalscale,nationsareabandoning not only the freeTo judgefromthe criticalliterature, the weightiestmistake in mysynthesizing paperwasthe omissionof the modifyingadIn correctingthisomission,one cangenM jective"unmanaged." a. conclusionin thisway:"A 'managedcomcn~ eralizethe practical mons'describeseithersocialismor the privatismof freeenterprise. Eitherone maywork;eitherone mayfail:'Thedevilis in sz II a:i the details.'Butwith an unmanaged commons,youcan forget aboutthe devil:As overuseof resourcesreducescarryingca5 X pacity,ruin is inevitable."With this modificationfirmlyin of the Commons"is well tailoredforfurtLz place,"TheTragedy x therinterdisciplinary syntheses. A finalwordaboutinterdisciplinary work-do not underestimateits difficulties.The morespecialtieswe tryto stitchtogether,the greaterare our opportunities to makemistakesand the morenumerousare our willingcritics.Science has been definedas a self-correcting system.In this struggle,our primary shouldbe "thenatureof things."As a matter adversary of policy,we mustnot replyin kindto thosecriticswholove to indulgein name-calling.(Theyareall too numerousin interButcriticswho, ignoringpersonalidisciplinary undertakings.) ties, focus on the underlyingnatureof things are the true friendsof science. LU tr tL a. I The author is professor emeritus of human ecology at the University of California, Santa Barbara, 399 Arboleda Road, Santa Barbara, CA 93110, USA. E-mail: [email protected] *E. T. Whittaker, From Euclid to Eddington (Dover, New York, 1958), p. 59. www.sciencemag.org * SCIENCE* VOL.280 * 1 MAY1998
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