BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18 BAIINFO, as the biggest supplier of bulk raw material market information in China, has professional teams to track price and market moves daily, analyze future trend, and do advanced studies on upstream and downstream industry development, devoting itself to help customers in market decision-making by supplying scientific views on future market outlook and investment direction. BAIINFO International Dept. http://www.baiinfo.com/en Tel: +86-10-5979 5659-8163 Fax: +86-10-5894 6899 E-Mail: [email protected] BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Capacity & Output Industry Review Rare Earths Imp. & Exp. Data Price & Trends Industry Review Review & Analysis This week, rare earth price rose overall. Listing price of Northern Rare Earth was announced, with light rare earth price rising constantly. Southern Rare Earth Group raised the listing price of heavy rare earth as well. What’s more, downstream was active in purchasing rare earth products, but upstream delivery declined, leading to the overall price rising. Market Forecast 1. Northern Rare Earth announced listing price, with guiding price of light rare earth products rising. But at present, market price was close to guiding price. So price adjustment this time by Northern Rare Earth did not fully stimulate market confidence. 2. The fourth rare earth reserve would bid in May, which would be favorable for rare earth price. 3. Downstream orders increased overall, which could support rare earth price to rise. It is predicted that downstream rare earth price rises constantly, with rare earth reserve varieties mainly leading to rare earth price rising firmly. According to BAIINFO, it is predicted that praseodymium neodymium oxide will be up to 300,000 tonnes. Back to the Top Market Highlights 1. On May 6, China Ganzhou Rare Metals Valley Science and Technology Achievements Conference co-sponsored by Ganzhou Municipal Government, Jiangxi Provincial Science and Technology Department, Nanjing Branch of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology was held in Gan County. Yan Chunhua, academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences, attended the meeting. National Tungsten and Rare Earth Quality Inspection Center and Institute of Metal Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences signed a cooperation agreement at the meeting. 2. According to MIIT on May 8, rare earth neodymium laser glass is regarded as the core materials of high-power laser facility, due to its characteristics of large stimulated emission cross-section, high gain coefficient, and small nonlinear refractive index coefficient. It is mainly used in national defense and military industry, aerospace, nuclear energy and other 1 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY strategic areas. United States and other developed countries have been imposing technology blockage and products ban against China. 3. China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-tech released announcement that it planned to invest 250 million Yuan and establish a joint venture as Inner Mongolia Zeyuan Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Insurance Co., Ltd. with 9 companies in Inner Mongolia like Inner Mongolia Financial Investment Group. 4. According to data released from Hohhot customs, in the first quarter of 2017, rare earth export volume was 2,602.9 tonnes in Inner Mongolia, rising sharply by 49.6% year-on-year, and Japan was regarded as its largest export market. And export to United States, Germany and South Korea also showed substantial growth. In the first quarter, in Inner Mongolia, rare earth export volume was 1,388.9 tonnes to Japan, increasing by 3.3 times year-on-year and accounting for 53.4% of total export volume. Its export to United States was 527 tonnes, increasing by 81.1% year-on-year and accounting for 20.3%. Its export for Germany was 272 tonnes, increasing by 3.5 times and accounting for 10.5%. The figure was 101.6 tonnes for South Korea, increasing by 126 times. 5. Data revealed that in Apr., 2017, China rare earth export volume was 5,068 tonnes, up 374 tonnes month-on-month and 37.12% year-on-year. In Jan. to Apr., total export volume was 17,627 tonnes, up 18.4% year-on-year. Back to the Top Price & Trends Domestic Prices of Rare Earths Offers Price Change Product Name (RMB/T) Week by Week Month by Month Year by Year Lanthanum Oxide in North China 15,000 2.7% 2.7% 4.2% Cerium Oxide in North China 11,500 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% Praseodymium-Neodymium Oxide 300,000 2.7% 4.2% 16.3% Praseodymium Oxide 375,000 1.4% 1.4% 13.6% Neodymium Oxide 295,000 2.4% 3.5% 14.3% Dysprosium Oxide 1,250,000 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% Terbium Oxide 3,550,000 2.9% 3.5% 24.6% Europium Oxide 620,000 0.0% 0.0% 55.0% Yttrium Oxide 20,000 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% Gadolinium Oxide 80,000 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% Holmium Oxide 430,000 0.0% 0.0% 30.3% Erbium Oxide 185,000 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% Lutetium Oxide 5,500,000 0.0% 0.0% 31.0% Lanthanum Metal 36,000 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% Cerium Metal 35,000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Lanthanum-cerium Metal 30,000 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Praseodymium Neodymium Metal 380,000 1.9% 2.7% 12.4% Praseodymium Metal 630,000 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% Neodymium Metal 375,000 1.9% 2.7% 10.9% 2 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Dysprosium Metal 1,770,000 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% Dy-Fe 1,270,000 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% Terbium Metal 4,550,000 3.4% 3.4% 16.7% Gd-Fe 98,000 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% HoFe Alloy 450,000 0.0% 0.0% 28.6% Back to the Top Export Prices of Rare Earths Product Grade 8-May-17 11-May-17 Change Unit Remarks Lanthanum oxide 99.90% 2.3-2.5 2.3-2.5 0 USD/KG FOB China Lanthanum oxide ≥99.999% 3.6-4 3.6-4 0 USD/KG FOB China Lanthanum metal 99% 5.2-5.5 5.2-5.5 0 USD/KG FOB China Cerium oxide ≥99.9% 1.8-1.9 1.8-1.9 0 USD/KG FOB China Cerium oxide ≥99.995% 5.3-5.6 5.3-5.6 0 USD/KG FOB China cerium carbonate 45-50% CeO2/TREO 100% 0.9-1 0.9-1 0 USD/KG FOB China Cerium metal 99% 5.2-5.3 5.2-5.3 0 USD/KG FOB China Lanthanum cerium mixed metal TREM≥99% Ce/TREM≥65% 4.35-4.5 4.35-4.5 0 USD/KG FOB China Praseodymium oxide 99.90% 55-58 55-58 0 USD/KG FOB China Praseodymium metal 99% 88-90 88-90 0 USD/KG FOB China Neodymium oxide 99.90% 43-46 43-46 0 USD/KG FOB China Neodymium metal 99% 55-57 55-57 0 USD/KG FOB China Praseodymium neodymium mixed metal 99% Nd 75% 56-58 57-59 1 USD/KG FOB China Dysprosium oxide 99.90% 179-182 179-182 0 USD/KG FOB China Dysprosium metal 99% 255-258 255-258 0 USD/KG FOB China Dysprosium ferrite 99% Dy 80% 185-187 185-187 0 USD/KG FOB China Terbium oxide 100% 495-500 515-520 20 USD/KG FOB China Terbium metal 99% 640-645 660-665 20 USD/KG FOB China Europium oxide ≥99.999% 87-90 87-90 0 USD/KG FOB China Europium metal 99% 330-360 330-360 0 USD/KG FOB China Yttrium oxide ≥99.999% 3.6-4.5 3.6-4.5 0 USD/KG FOB China Yttrium metal 99% 43-47 43-47 0 USD/KG FOB China Yttrium europium oxide Eu2O3/TREO≥6.6% 7.7-8.2 7.7-8.2 0 USD/KG FOB China Samarium oxide 99.90% 1.8-1.9 1.8-1.9 0 USD/KG FOB China Samarium metal 99% 13.9-14.1 13.9-14.1 0 USD/KG FOB China Erbium Oxide 99.90% 27-28 27-28 0 USD/KG FOB China Holmium Oxide 100% 62-65 62-65 0 USD/KG FOB China Lutetium Oxide 99.90% 730-750 730-750 0 USD/KG FOB China Back to the Top Price Trends of Rare Earths 3 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Lanthanum-Cerium: Lanthanum-cerium market prices ran bullish. Northern China Rare Earth pushed up offers, but supplied limited cargoes. As a result, spot resources were tight. In North China, prices of lanthanum oxide were at RMB 15,200/T and cerium oxide at RMB 11,000-11,500/T. Lanthanum-cerium Metal: Lanthanum-cerium metal prices stayed firm supported by cost and steady demands. Current market offers remained at RMB 28,000-30,000/T. Lanthanum Metal: Lanthanum metal market price was still at RMB 34,000-35,000/T and spot transactions were active. Cerium Metal: Cerium metal market price kept at RMB 33,000-35,000/T and downstream demands were strong. However, as upstream cerium oxide prices moved up and downstream buyers were unwilling to buy high-priced cargoes, production of cerium metal decreased. It is expected that cerium metal prices will climb up later. 4 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Praseodymium Neodymium: Praseodymium neodymium market prices went up slightly and orders for praseodymium neodymium metal got more than before. Currently, praseodymium neodymium oxide offers stood at RMB 295,000-300,000/T and praseodymium neodymium metal at RMB 375,000-380,000/T. Praseodymium Oxide: Praseodymium oxide offers stayed at RMB 370,000-380,000/T, while deal prices were relatively lower that this price level. Downstream demands sustained steady. Neodymium Oxide: Neodymium oxide market price rose to RMB 290,000-293,000/T with flat supply-demand condition. Dysprosium Oxide: Offers of dysprosium oxide kept at RMB 1,210,000-1,250,000/T with stable demand. Market transactions were ordinary and sellers held watching mood on later market. 5 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Terbium Oxide: Terbium oxide prices increased to RMB 3,500,000-3,550,000/T and sellers maintained bullish expectations for later market. Terbium metal offers were at RMB 4,550,000/T with limited spot transactions. Europium Oxide: Deal prices of europium oxide rose to above RMB 600,000/T. And later market is possible to move up further. Yttrium Oxide: Yttrium oxide price stayed at RMB 18,000-20,000/T with ample supply and steady demand. Back to the Top Capacity & Output Capacity & Output In Apr., 2017, operating rate of rare earth industry was 48.18%. Most leading large-scale producers kept full-load production. As for light rare earth enterprises, legal producers held production stable while some illegal small producers shut down, so production of rare earth oxide decreased. In South China, more and more rare earth enterprises in Jiangsu and Jiangxi resumed production, leading to the increase of heavy rare earth production. Operating rate of rare earth enterprises with effective capacity was 71% even though some enterprises still halted production. Overall rare earth market ramped up and 6 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY rare earth enterprises held production relatively stable. It is predicted that most rare earth enterprises will still keep full-load production in May. Declared Annual Actual Monthly Processing Amount in Capacity(tonne) Capacity(tonne) Apr.(tonne) Fujian 5,000 500 450 90.00% Guangdong 17,000 1,150 550 47.83% Guangxi 10,000 1000 650 65.00% Gansu 15,000 1,000 900 90.00% Jiangsu 53,300 3,400 2,160 63.53% Jiangxi 77,300 4,650 3,100 66.67% Inner Mongolia 87,000 11,200 3,100 27.68% Shandong 42,000 3,100 2,500 80.65% Sichuan 77,000 5,700 4,500 78.95% Others 154,000 20,000 7,000 35.00% Total 537,600 51,700 24,910 48.18% 34,000 24,160 71.06% Region Operating Rate Total (zombie capacity excluded) Back to the Top Operation Rate In Apr., 2017, operating rate of praseodymium neodymium metal enterprises was at 67.88%, which was over last month. With market demand entering the peak season, orders from downstream enterprises increased, then most praseodymium neodymium metal producers who held low production previously restarted with full-load production. Due to this, production of praseodymium neodymium metal increased and prices of praseodymium neodymium metal kept rising. It is predicted that some small praseodymium neodymium metal enterprises will begin to restart in May and later market will be bullish. Annual Capacity Monthly Capacity (tonne) (tonne) 82,000 4,655 Region Total Output in April (tonne) Operation Rate 3,160 67.88% Back to the Top 7 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Imp. & Exp. Data Imp. & Exp. Volume of Rare Earths Imp. Qty(Tonne) Mar-16 Feb-17 Mar-17 MoM YoY lanthanum oxide 1.2 0.001 199.048 19904700.00% 16487.33% cerium oxide 1.098 6.717 6.357 -5.36% 478.96% yttrium oxide 0.462 1.589 1.818 14.41% 293.51% cerium hydroxide 0.025 0 0 0 0.00% unlisted rare earth oxide 300.243 220.601 387.312 75.57% 29.00% 0.01 0.012 0.084 600.00% 740.00% other rare earth carbonate 0 0 0 0.00% 0.00% Exp. Qty(Tonne) Mar-16 Feb-17 Mar-17 MoM YoY other unlisted rare earth and their mixture of compounds lanthanum 309.5 183.2 241.5 31.82% -21.97% lanthanum oxide 1,193.603 685.551 1,183.656 72.66% -0.83% cerium 30 50 41.065 -17.87% 36.88% cerium oxide 313.29 237.502 337.86 42.26% 7.84% cerium hydroxide 10.105 13 6.5 -50.00% -35.68% cerium carbonate 350.22 633.405 787.1 24.26% 124.74% other cerium compounds 51.31 30.35 125.05 312.03% 143.71% praseodymium oxide 47.186 3.301 15.07 356.53% -68.06% neodymium oxide 51.01 11.652 23.856 104.74% -53.23% neodymium 60.04 26.5 12.5 -52.83% -79.18% dysprosium oxide 11.816 2.7 10.926 304.67% -7.53% terbium oxide 3.006 1 9.608 860.80% 219.63% europium oxide 0.45 0 0.345 0.00% -23.33% yttrium oxide 210.685 107.092 146.152 36.47% -30.63% unlisted rare earth oxide 415.454 450.399 614.744 36.49% 47.97% 35.66 2.505 14.847 492.69% -58.37% 35.01 22.588 56.956 152.15% 62.68% 140.977 68.495 181.3 164.69% 28.60% 99.697 86.415 127.022 46.99% 27.41% other rare earth carbonate 0 1.6 0.8 0.00% 0.00% other rare earth fluoride 21 21.334 32.236 51.10% 0.00% ferro cerium in the form of shapes for direct use (including other pyrophoric alloy) other rare earth metals, scandium, other unmixed or fused rare earth metals scandium &yttrium (mixed or fused) other unlisted rare earth and their mixture of compounds Back to the Top Imp. & Exp. Unit Price of Rare Earths 8 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Mar-17 Imp. Qty Imp. Val Unit Price Exp.Qty Exp.Val Unit Price Product Tonne USD USD/Tonne Tonne USD USD/Tonne lanthanum 0 1,222 0 241.5 1,169,197 4,840 lanthanum oxide 199.048 244,523 1,000 1183.656 2,334,982 1,970 lanthanum chloride 0 185 0 41 37,826 920 lanthanum fluoride 0 0 0 0 0 0 lanthanum carbonate 0 0 0 561.3 768,255 1,370 other lanthanum compounds 0.021 41,518 1,977,000 35.12 1,139,646 32,450 cerium 0 2,286 0 41.065 203,790 4,960 cerium oxide 6.357 190,076 30,000 337.86 3,677,064 10,880 cerium hydroxide 0 0 0 6.5 22,300 3,430 cerium carbonate 56.505 11,410 0 787.1 895,447 1,140 other cerium compounds 0.172 23,343 136,000 125.05 525,405 4,200 praseodymium oxide 0 319 0 15.07 747,093 49,570 neodymium oxide 27.876 982,810 35,000 23.856 1,000,743 41,950 neodymium 0 179 0 12.5 604,787 48,380 dysprosium 0 0 0 3.95 961,691 243,470 dysprosium oxide 0.001 1,301 1,301,000 10.926 2,298,951 210,410 dysprosium fluoride 0 0 0 0.02 3,381 169,050 terbium 0 0 0 0.71 399,886 563,220 terbium oxide 0 0 0 9.608 4,001,238 416,450 europium oxide 0 29 0 0.345 76,948 223,040 yttrium oxide 1.818 309,006 170,000 146.152 710,862 4,860 unlisted rare earth oxide 387.312 11,472,789 30,000 614.744 14,772,701 24,030 2.67 90,140 34,000 14.847 80,083 5,390 0 0 0 2.2 4,400 2,000 0.015 15,237 1,016,000 56.956 1,192,203 20,930 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.006 19,251 3,209,000 181.3 934,597 5,150 0.084 156,884 1,868,000 127.022 901,702 7,100 other rare earth carbonate 0 4 0 0.8 37,776 47,220 other rare earth fluoride 0.01 331 33,000 32.236 376,327 11,670 ferro cerium in the form of shapes for direct use (including other pyrophoric alloy) ferro cerium not in the form of shapes and not for direct use (including other pyrophoric alloy) other rare earth metals, scandium, unmixed or fused battery grade rare earth metals, scandium &yttrium (mixed or fused) other rare earth metals, scandium &yttrium (mixed or fused) other unlisted rare earth and their mixture of compounds Back to the Top 9 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY Imp. & Exp. Trends of Rare Earths Back to the Top 10 / 11 Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly (May 11, 2017 / Issue 17-18) Exchange Rate: USD1=6.8997CNY BAIINFO SERVICES: BAIINFO Research Reports – Standard & Personalized Research Report BAIINFO Weekly Reports -- Collecting Industry Information in a Week BAIINFO Daily Reports – Daily Price Changes and Market Trends BAIINFO Meeting – Unlimited Business Opportunities BAIINFO Data Terminal – You Care We Share BAIINFO Rare Earth Weekly Report Is Issued by BAIINFO CO., LIMITED Registered office 21st Floor, Haocheng Building, Zuojiazhuang Zhongjie No. 6, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100028, P.R. China Tell: +86-10-5979 5659-8163 Fax: +86-10-5894 6899 Cell: +86 186 0090 5855 (Monica Li) Email: [email protected] Copyright Notice Copyright 2015 BAIINFO CO., LIMITED. All rights reserved. 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