Industrial Organization ECNS 406 Fall 2013 Exam #: 2 Thursday November 7, 2013 Name: You must answer all of the following questions. Each question is worth the same amount. You have the class period to complete the exam. Answer each question clearly and concisely. You must show your work to receive credit. This exam is given under the rules of the Montana State University. By printing your name above you acknowledge the University’s Honor Code and agree to comply with the provisions of the Honor Code. You may not use notes or receive any assistance. There is to be no talking during the exam. You may use a calculator, but are never allowed to use device allowing you to take photographs or transmit over a network. No notes, no assistance, no talking, no cell phones, but you can use a calculator. Clearly print your name above, in the space provided on the next page and in your blue book(s). You must turn in your blue book(s). ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 1. Given an inverse demand function of P = 100 − 5Q and costs for firm i of C(qi ) = 25qi , answer the following questions: (a) What is the Cournot duopoly equilibrium firm quantity, market quantity and price? Solution: Setup one firm’s problem, find their best response and impose symmetry to find the equilibrium max πA = (100 − 5qA − 5qB )qA − 25qA qA dπA = 100 − 10qA − 5qB − 25 dqA 0 = 75 − 10qA − 5qB 10qA = 75 − 5qB Now impose symmetry. 10q ∗ = 75 − 5q ∗ 15q ∗ = 75 q∗ = 5 The Cournot duopoly equilibrium firm quantity is q ∗ = 5, market quantity is Q = 10, and the price is P = 100 − 5(10) = 50. (b) Now instead of Cournot competition, suppose the two firms choose to differentiate their products. Each consumer’s baseline valuation is 100 and consumers are uniformly distributed around a circular preference space. The circular preference space has a circumference equal to the Cournot duopoly equilibrium market quantity in part a. Firm costs remain the same and each consumer must incur a transportation cost of 2 times the distance traveled. What is the equilibrium price with product differentiation? Solution: The circumference of the circle is 10. Let firm A be at the top of the circle (0 and 10) and firm B be at the bottom of the circle (5). First consider the utility maximization problem to find the indifferent consumer located at x on the left part of the circle indifferent to buying from A or B. uA (x) = 100 − pA − 2(x), uB (x) = 100 − pB − 2(5 − x) and set uA (x) = uB (x) Page 1 of 8 (25) ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 and solve for x. uA (x) = uB (x) 100 − pA − 2(x) = 100 − pB − 10 + 2x 4x = pB − pA + 10 pB − pA 5 + x= 4 2 Now we use the indifferent consumer to find demand. We know that qA = 2x = pB −pA + 5. 2 With demand the firms profit maximization problem is as follows. pB − pA +5 max πA = pA qA − 25qA = (pA − 25)qA = (pA − 25) pA 2 pB − pA 1 dπA = + 5 − (pA − 25) dpA 2 2 pB − pA 1 0= + 5 − (pA − 25) 2 2 pB − pA 1 (pA − 25) = +5 2 2 pA − 25 = pB − pA + 10 2pA = pB + 35 Now impose symmetry to find the equilibrium. 2p∗ = p∗ + 35 p∗ = 35 The equilibrium price with product differentiation is p∗ = 35. (c) Using the above scenarios, do firms want to produce standardized or differentiated products? Solution: Firm profits from the Cournot duopoly equilibrium are π = P ∗ q ∗ − 25q ∗ = 50(5) − 25(5) = 125. With the product differentiation example above, p∗ = 25, q ∗ = 5, and π = p∗ q ∗ − 25q ∗ = 35(5) − 25(5) = 50. Firms would rather produce standardized products because their profits are higher. Page 2 of 8 ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 (d) Using the above scenarios, do consumers want the firms to produce standardized or differentiated products? Solution: Consumer surplus h from the i10Cournot duopoly equilibrium is CS = R 10 2 (100 − 5Q∗ − 50)dQ∗ = 50x − 5x2 = 250. 0 0 With product differentiation, the consumer surplus is as follows. Z 5 2 CS = 4 (100 − p∗ − 2x)dx 0 Z CS = 4 5 2 (65 − 2x)dx 0 5 CS = 4 65x − x2 02 5 25 CS = 4 65 − 2 4 625 CS = 4 4 CS = 625 Consumer’s want the firms to produce differentiated products because their consumer surplus is higher. 2. The inverse demand function is P = 120 − 2Q. Two firms compete in quantities and each firm has a cost of C(qi ) = 2qi2 . The interest rate is 25%. (a) If a competitive equilibrium is maintained over time, what is the discounted sum of profits? Solution: Firm A’s problem is as follows. max πA = (120 − 2qA − 2qB )qA − 2qA2 qA The first order condition is dπA = 120 − 2qB − 8qA dqA and setting this equal to zero and solving for qA yields the following. qA = 15 − qB 4 The above is a firm’s best response which will be used later. Page 3 of 8 (25) ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 Imposing symmetry conditions and solving for the equilibrium quantity yields q ∗ = 12, Q∗ = 24, and P ∗ = 72. The per period competitive profits are π C = 72(12) − 2(12)2 = 576 The discounted sum of profits are 1 C π = 4(576) = 2304. r (b) If firms can perfectly collude and share the profits evenly, what would be the per period profits of each firm? Solution: For a collusive equilibrium, Q = 2q and a firms profit is max π = (120 − 2(2q))q − 2q 2 q The first order condition is dπ = 120 − 12q dq and setting this equal to zero and solving for q yields the following. q ∗ = 10 Q∗ = 20 P ∗ = 120 − 2(20) = 80 The per period collusive profits are π T C = 80(10) − 2(10)2 = 600 (c) Consider a trigger strategy where if a firm deviates from a collusive equilibrium, the other firm behaves competitively forever after. What is the discounted sum of profits obtained by deviating from a collusive equilibrium and is it possible to maintain a collusive equilibrium if the other firm plays the trigger strategy? Solution: Assume firm A deviates from the collusive equilibrium. We first need to find firm A’s optimal deviation. In a collusive equilibrium, q ∗ = 10, so assume qB = 10 and firm A plays their best response. Firm A’s best response is qA = 15 − q4B = 25 . The market quantity is then Q = 45 and the price is 2 2 Page 4 of 8 ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 = 75. Firm A’s profits from the deviation are P = 120 − 2 45 2 πAD = 75 25 2 −2 25 2 2 = 625 The discounted sum of profits would then be as follows. 1 1 1 C πAD + π 1+r 1+rr 4 4 11716 (625) + (4)(576) = 5 5 5 It’s possible to maintain a collusive equilibrium if the following condition holds. 2400 > 11716 5 which is does, so yes it is possible to maintain a collusive equilibrium if the other firm plays the trigger strategy. (d) Consider another type of trigger strategy where one firm tries to establish a collusive equilibrium from the competitive equilibrium. If one firm deviates from the competitive quantity to the collusive quantity, then the other firm will play along forever after (unless one firm deviates from the collusive equilibrium). What is the discounted sum of profits obtained by deviating from a competitive equilibrium and is it possible to switch from a competitive equilibrium to a collusive one? Solution: Assume firm A deviates from the competitive equilibrium. From the question, we know that firm B plays the competitive outcome of qB = 12 and firm A plays the collusive outcome of qA = 10. The market quantity is then Q = 22 and the price is P = 120 − 2(22) = 76. Firm A’s profits from the deviation are πAD = 76 (10) − 2 (10)2 = 560 Note that this is not a profitable deviation for firm A, but if they can then get firm B to play along, the discounted sum of profits for firm A is as follows. 1 1 TC 1 πAD + π 1+r 1+rr 4 4 (560) + (4)(600) = 2368 5 5 It’s possible to switch from a competitive equilibrium to a collusive one if 2368 > 2304, so yes it is possible. Page 5 of 8 ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 3. Given an inverse demand function of P = 100 − 2Q and costs for Firm i of C(qi ) = 20qi , find the Stackelberg duopoly equilibrium: (a) Firm Quantities Solution: Let the two firms be A and B. Assume firm A sets their quantity first and then firm B follows. Using backwards induction, consider firm B’s PMP and find their best response. max πB = (100 − 2qA − 2qB )qB − 20qB qB dπB = 100 − 2qA − 4qB − 20 dqB 0 = 100 − 2qA − 4qB − 20 4qB = 80 − 2qA 1 qB = 20 − qA 2 Substitute firm B’s best response into firm A’s PMP. 1 max πA = (100 − 2qA − 2 20 − qA )qA − 20qA qA 2 max πA = (100 − 2qA − 40 + qA )qA − 20qA qA dπA = 100 − 4qA − 40 + 2qA − 20 dqA 0 = 100 − 4qA − 40 + 2qA − 20 2qA = 40 qA = 20 qB = 20 − 12 qA = 10 (b) Market Price Solution: Q = qA + qB = 30 P = 100 − 2Q = 100 − 60 = 40. (c) Firm Profits Solution: πA = 40(20) − (20)20 = 400 πB = 40(10) − (20)10 = 200 Page 6 of 8 (25) ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 (d) Consumer Surplus Solution: The market quantity is Q = qA + qB = 30. The consumer surplus is the area below the demand curve and above the price for all the goods bought/sold. Z 30 CS = (100 − 2x − 40)dx 0 CS = [60x − x2 ]30 0 CS = (60)(30) − (30)2 CS = 900 (e) How do your answers compare with the Cournot Duopoly equilibrium? , Q = 80 , P = 140 and Solution: The Cournot Duopoly equilibrium has q = 40 3 3 3 6400 CS = 9 . Compared to the Cournot duopoly equilibrium, firm A produces more, firm B produces less, overall output is higher, the price is lower and consumer surplus is greater. 4. A durable goods monopolist faces an inverse demand function of P = 20 − Q and has a constant marginal cost of production equal to 4. The monopolist can choose two prices before the good becomes obsolete: a price today (P1 ) and a price tomorrow (P2 ). Tomorrow’s profits are discounted at an interest rate of 25%. (a) What is the quantity demanded in the second period taking into consideration the consumers who purchased the durable product in the first period? Solution: Rearrange the inverse demand to get the demand: Q = 20 − P . In the second period, the quantity demanded is Q2 = 20 − P2 , but Q1 = 20 − P1 of those consumers bought in the first period and will not buy again. This leaves Q2 − Q1 consumers in the second period. Q2 − Q1 = 20 − P2 − 20 + P1 = P1 − P2 . Page 7 of 8 (25) ECNS 406 Exam #: 2 11/7/2013 (b) Find the firm’s period 2 price expressed as a best response to their first period price. Solution: The firm’s profit maximization problem in the second period is as follows. max π2 = (P2 − 4)(P1 − P2 ) P2 ∂π2 = P1 − P 2 − P2 + 4 = 0 ∂P2 2P2 = P1 + 4 P1 P2 = +2 2 (c) Setup the firm’s first period profit maximization problem. Solution: 4 max π = (P1 − 4)(20 − P1 ) + (P2 − 4)(P1 − P2 ) P1 5 where P2 = P21 + 2. 1 Note that (1+r) = 45 . Also note that P1 − P2 = P1 − P21 − 2 = P21 − 2 and P2 − 4 = P21 + 2 − 4 = P21 − 2. Substituting this into the profit maximization problem yields the following. 2 4 P1 −2 max π = (P1 − 4)(20 − P1 ) + P1 5 2 (d) What are the equilibrium prices in each period? Solution: 2 4 P1 max π = (P1 − 4)(20 − P1 ) + −2 P1 5 2 ∂π 4 1 P1 = 20 − P1 − P1 + 4 + 2 −2 =0 ∂P1 5 2 2 200 − 20P1 + 40 + 4P1 − 16 = 0 224 = 16P1 P1∗ = 14 P2∗ = 7 + 2 = 9 Page 8 of 8
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