Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks

Stopping Rule Use During
Information Search in
Design Tasks
Glenn J. Browne
Texas Tech University
Mitzi G. Pitts
University of Memphis
Outline

Introduction: Aims of the Study
 Background
 Setting and Method
 Results
 Conclusion
Introduction: Aims of the Study

Improving requirements determination for
systems development
 Understanding how analysts decide when to
stop gathering information
 Understanding role of experience in that
decision
Background:
The Decision-Making Process

Simon’s Model
– Intelligence
– Design
– Choice
Information Search

Why we might expect information search in
different stages of the decision-making process to
differ.

“Stopping Rules”
Information Acquisition

Problems in acquisition
– Underacquiring
– Overacquiring
Heuristics
Defined – rules of thumb for taking actions
in various situations
 Examples

– “80-20 Rule”
– “Feed a cold, starve a fever”
Heuristics for Assessing
Likelihood
Normative – Relative Frequency
 Descriptive

– E.g., availability, representativeness, anchoring
and adjustment
Heuristics for Choice

Normative
– E.g., expected value of information, expected
value of additional information, expected loss
from terminating information acquisition.

Descriptive
– E.g., Dominance, Conjunctive, Disjunctive,
“The Minimalist,” “Take the Best.”
Heuristics for Intelligence
Gathering and Design
?
Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering
and Design:
Some Ideas

Nickles, Curley, and Benson (1995)
– Difference Threshold
– Magnitude Threshold
– Mental List
– Representational Stability
Difference Threshold Stopping Rule
Magnitude Threshold Stopping Rule
Mental List Stopping Rule
Representational Stability Stopping Rule
Impact of Analyst Experience

On information gathered
 On stopping rules used
The Context

Requirements gathering for information systems
development
 Application for grocery shopping on world wide
web
 54 practicing systems analysts in the BaltimoreWashington metro area
 Participants asked to gather requirements until
they felt they had enough information to draw
diagrams representing requirements and proceed
with system design.
Measuring Information
Requirements

Requirements Taxonomy
 Total requirements (Quantity)
 Breadth
 Depth
Hypotheses



H1a: The use of some stopping rules will result in
different quantities of requirements than the use of
others.
H1b: The use of some stopping rules will result in
different breadth of requirements than the use of
others.
H1c: The use of some stopping rules will result in
different depth of requirements than the use of
others.
Hypotheses (cont.)




H2a: A greater number of experienced analysts will
use the mental list rule than will use the
representational stability rule.
H2b: A greater number of experienced analysts will
use the mental list rule than will use the difference
threshold rule.
H2c: A greater number of experienced analysts will
use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the
representational stability rule.
H2d: A greater number of experienced analysts will
use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the
difference threshold rule.
Hypotheses (cont.)


H3a: There will be no relationship between the
experience of the analyst and the quantity of
requirements elicited.
H3b: There will be no relationship between the
experience of the analyst and the quality of
requirements elicited.
Data Analysis

Verbal protocols and questionnaires
 Coding
 Interrater reliability
 Stopping rule identification
Results

Stopping Rule Use
– Difference Threshold – 22
– Representational Stability – 13
– Mental List - 10
– Magnitude Threshold – 9
Results (cont.)

Requirements Elicited by Stopping Rule
– Quantity – F(3,50) = 2.72; p = .05
– Breadth - F(3,50) = 1.72; p = .17
– Depth - P2(3) = 8.98; p = .03
Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use
– Mental List = 14.30 years
– Magnitude Threshold = 14.06 years
– Difference Threshold = 11.11 years
– Representational Stability = 7.65 years
Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use
– Mental List rule users were more experienced than
users of the Representational Stability rule (t(21) = 2.27;
p = .019), supporting Hypothesis 2a.
– Users of the Magnitude Threshold rule were also more
experienced than users of the Representational Stability
rule (t(20) = 2.00; p = .03), supporting Hypothesis 2c.
– Other two hypotheses were not supported.
Results (cont.)

Impact of Experience on Requirements
Elicited
– Analysts’ years of experience were unrelated to
the total number of requirements elicited
(Pearson’s r2 = .08; p = .59), supporting H3a.
– Breadth of requirements (r2 = .15; p = .27) and
depth of requirements (r2 = .02; p = .91) were
also unrelated to analysts’ years of experience,
supporting H3b.
Conclusion

Identification of stopping rules during
information search
 Impacts of analyst experience
 Impact on information systems
development process