Stopping Rule Use During Information Search in Design Tasks Glenn J. Browne Texas Tech University Mitzi G. Pitts University of Memphis Outline Introduction: Aims of the Study Background Setting and Method Results Conclusion Introduction: Aims of the Study Improving requirements determination for systems development Understanding how analysts decide when to stop gathering information Understanding role of experience in that decision Background: The Decision-Making Process Simon’s Model – Intelligence – Design – Choice Information Search Why we might expect information search in different stages of the decision-making process to differ. “Stopping Rules” Information Acquisition Problems in acquisition – Underacquiring – Overacquiring Heuristics Defined – rules of thumb for taking actions in various situations Examples – “80-20 Rule” – “Feed a cold, starve a fever” Heuristics for Assessing Likelihood Normative – Relative Frequency Descriptive – E.g., availability, representativeness, anchoring and adjustment Heuristics for Choice Normative – E.g., expected value of information, expected value of additional information, expected loss from terminating information acquisition. Descriptive – E.g., Dominance, Conjunctive, Disjunctive, “The Minimalist,” “Take the Best.” Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering and Design ? Heuristics for Intelligence Gathering and Design: Some Ideas Nickles, Curley, and Benson (1995) – Difference Threshold – Magnitude Threshold – Mental List – Representational Stability Difference Threshold Stopping Rule Magnitude Threshold Stopping Rule Mental List Stopping Rule Representational Stability Stopping Rule Impact of Analyst Experience On information gathered On stopping rules used The Context Requirements gathering for information systems development Application for grocery shopping on world wide web 54 practicing systems analysts in the BaltimoreWashington metro area Participants asked to gather requirements until they felt they had enough information to draw diagrams representing requirements and proceed with system design. Measuring Information Requirements Requirements Taxonomy Total requirements (Quantity) Breadth Depth Hypotheses H1a: The use of some stopping rules will result in different quantities of requirements than the use of others. H1b: The use of some stopping rules will result in different breadth of requirements than the use of others. H1c: The use of some stopping rules will result in different depth of requirements than the use of others. Hypotheses (cont.) H2a: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the mental list rule than will use the representational stability rule. H2b: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the mental list rule than will use the difference threshold rule. H2c: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the representational stability rule. H2d: A greater number of experienced analysts will use the magnitude threshold rule than will use the difference threshold rule. Hypotheses (cont.) H3a: There will be no relationship between the experience of the analyst and the quantity of requirements elicited. H3b: There will be no relationship between the experience of the analyst and the quality of requirements elicited. Data Analysis Verbal protocols and questionnaires Coding Interrater reliability Stopping rule identification Results Stopping Rule Use – Difference Threshold – 22 – Representational Stability – 13 – Mental List - 10 – Magnitude Threshold – 9 Results (cont.) Requirements Elicited by Stopping Rule – Quantity – F(3,50) = 2.72; p = .05 – Breadth - F(3,50) = 1.72; p = .17 – Depth - P2(3) = 8.98; p = .03 Results (cont.) Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use – Mental List = 14.30 years – Magnitude Threshold = 14.06 years – Difference Threshold = 11.11 years – Representational Stability = 7.65 years Results (cont.) Impact of Experience on Stopping Rule Use – Mental List rule users were more experienced than users of the Representational Stability rule (t(21) = 2.27; p = .019), supporting Hypothesis 2a. – Users of the Magnitude Threshold rule were also more experienced than users of the Representational Stability rule (t(20) = 2.00; p = .03), supporting Hypothesis 2c. – Other two hypotheses were not supported. Results (cont.) Impact of Experience on Requirements Elicited – Analysts’ years of experience were unrelated to the total number of requirements elicited (Pearson’s r2 = .08; p = .59), supporting H3a. – Breadth of requirements (r2 = .15; p = .27) and depth of requirements (r2 = .02; p = .91) were also unrelated to analysts’ years of experience, supporting H3b. Conclusion Identification of stopping rules during information search Impacts of analyst experience Impact on information systems development process
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