Section 8.1.2 Binomial Distributions AP Statistics www.toddfadoir.com/apstats Binomial Distributions on the calculator Binomial Probabilities B(n,p) with k successes binompdf(n,p,k) Corinne makes 75% of her free throws. What is the probability of making exactly 7 of 12 free throws. binompdf(12,.75,7)=.1032 n k nk p 1 p k 12 5 7 .75 .25 7 AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 2 Binomial Distributions on the calculator 12 12 5 7 6 6 Binomial Probabilities .75 .25 .75 .25 7 6 B(n,p) with k successes 12 12 5 7 binomcdf(n,p,k) .75 .25 .754 .258 5 4 Corinne makes 75% of 12 12 her free throws. 3 9 .75 .25 .752 .2510 What is the probability of 3 2 making at most 7 of 12 12 12 1 11 .75 .25 .750 .2512 free throws. 1 0 binomcdf(12,.75,7)=.1576 AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 3 Binomial Distributions on the calculator Binomial Probabilities B(n,p) with k successes binomcdf(n,p,k) Corinne makes 75% of her free throws. What is the probability of making at least 7 of 12 free throws. 1-binomcdf(12,.75,6)= 12 12 5 7 8 4 .75 .25 .75 .25 7 8 12 12 9 3 .75 .25 .7510 .252 9 10 12 12 11 1 .75 .25 .7512 .250 11 12 AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 4 Binomial Simulations Corinne makes 75% of her free throws. Simulate shooting 12 free throws. randBin(n,p) will do one simulation randBin(n,p,t) will do t simulations AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 5 Normal Approximation of Binomial Distribution Remember np np 1 p AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 6 Normal Approximation of Binomial Distribution As the number of trials n gets larger, the binomial distribution gets close to a normal distribution. Question: What value of n is big enough? The book does not say, so let’s see how the close two calculations are… AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 7 Example: A recent survey asked a nationwide random sample of 2500 adults if they agreed or disagreed that “I like buying new clothes, but shopping is often frustrating and time-consuming.” Suppose that in fact 60% of all adults would “agree”. What is the probability that 1520 or more of the sample “agree”. AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 8 TI-83 calculator B(2500,.6) and P(X>1520) 1-binomcdf(2500,.6,1519) .2131390887 AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 9 Exercises 8.8-8.11 all, 8.15-8.19 odd, 8.27-8.35 odd AP Statistics, Section 8.1.2 10
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