A Model of Optimal Software Patent Policy Design Professor Matt Thatcher Trade Secret Laws Uniform Trade Secrets Act (UTSA) gives right to companies to keep certain information secret (to maintain competitive edge) covers formulas, patterns, programs, devices, methods, processes Must have the following characteristics: be novel represent economic benefit to firm involved some cost and effort to develop is generally unknown to the public company must show effort to keep the information secret 2 Trade Secret Laws (cont.) Problems: Software often must be put into the public realm, making it difficult to keep secret (and generally unknown to the public) does not protect from independent discovery Economic Espionage Act (1996) penalties: up to $10 million and 15 years prison for theft of trade secrets IP lost in industrial espionage > $300 bill / year 3 Trade Secret Laws (cont.) How do you show you are keeping information secret? identify all information to be protected label it confidential educate employees of importance of trade secrets make only accessible to limited # of people on a need-toknow basis develop non-disclosure agreements develop non-compete clauses Compuserv v. IBM (2005) technology protections firewalls, encryption, secure databases, etc. 4 Why Do Firms Patent Software? Number of Software Patents Issued Per Year [Bessen and Hunt (2004)] Number of Patents Issued / year 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1982 Year 2002 5 Improvement to the Basic Product Patent Width (w = h - ) Patent Height (h) Allowable Imitation () Basic Product (s = 0) Patent Height: Patent Width: Patent Length: Protection from improvements Protection from imitation Duration of protection 6 Patent Laws Requires that innovation under review must be: new, useful, and non-obvious to a person of ordinary skill in the relevant field Once awarded, a patent provides patent-holder: scope of protection from imitation for 20 years protects functions/behaviors of the program protects from independent discovery Cannot patent abstract ideas, laws of nature, scientific principles 7 Patent Laws (cont.) U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) patent examiners (~3000) search for prior art existing body of knowledge that is available to a person of ordinary skill in the art what is the problem with this in the software arena? determine originality and novelty ~ 25 month application process details about patented innovations are placed in the public domain No limit to monetary penalty 8 Debating Patent Policy Design Why reform the U.S. patent system? What is wrong with software patent quality? Samuelson (2004) patent height is too low! patent width is too wide! patent length is too long! Economic perspective National Academies(2004) Federal Trade Commission(2003) 9 Research Questions What is the target of feasible patent policy designs? Which policy designs in the target Which policy design is socially optimal? How do changes to an established policy design affect social welfare? That is, what happens if the authority are good/bad for society? are good/bad for consumers? increases height? narrows width? shortens length? Should software products be patentable at all? 10 Model of Duopoly Competition (R&D Race / Product Improvements / Price) Pre-game posit a basic, well-known software product where quality of basic product is normalized to zero Free Market Competition (No Patent Model) Stage 1: two firms compete in R&D to develop a novel idea Stage 2: the innovator (n) transforms a novel idea into an improvement (sn > 0) to the basic product at substantial fixed cost, C(sn)=ksn2 /2 Stage 3: the imitator (m) observes the innovator’s product improvement and decides to what extent it will imitate at zero fixed cost, sm [0,sn] Stage 4: the firms simultaneously set prices and offer products, where MC(sn) = MC(sm) = 0 11 Vertically Differentiated Demands (Stage 4) Individual’s utility function: U i i s p where ~ 0,1 Individuals’ purchase decisions: i sn pn i sm pm pn pm i sn sm i s m pm 0 pm i sm Solving for product demands: pn pm Qn 1 sn sm and pn pm pm Qm sn sm sm 12 Graphical Representation of Demand (Stage 4) sn sm pn pm 1 pn pm sn sm pm sm 0 13 Graphical Representation of Demand (Stage 4) sn sm CS DWL pn pm RRnn CS Rm 1 pn pm sn sm DWL pn sn 0 14 Solving for Prices (Stage 4) Firms’ profit functions: n pnQn Cn and m pmQm Profit functions (given quality levels) are concave in prices: 2 n 2 m 2 sn 2 0 and 0 2 2 pn sn sm pm sm sn sm First Order Conditions (F.O.C.s): n sn sm 2 pn pm m 2 sn pm sm pn 0 and 0 pn sn sm pm s m s n s m Solving the F.O.C.s gives: pn ( sn , sm ) 2 sn ( sn sm ) s (s s ) and pm ( sn , sm ) m n m 4 sn sm 4 sn sm Qn ( sn , sm ) 2 sn sn and Qm ( sn , sm ) 4 sn sm 4 sn sm 15 Performance Measures (Stage 4) Firms’ profit functions (after substitution): 2 2 4 s s s ks s s s s n sn , sm n n m2 n and m sn , sm n m n m2 2 4sn sm 4sn sm Consumer surplus function: 2 ( 4 s 5 s ) s n m n s n , s m 2(4 sn sm ) 2 Social welfare function: sn , sm n sn , sm m sn , sm sn , sm sn 12sn2 sn sm 2 sm2 ksn2 2 2 24sn sm 16 Solving for Imitator Quality (Stage 3) Imitator profit function: sn sm sn sm m sn , sm 4sn sm 2 Profit function is concave in quality: 2 m 2 sn2 (7 sm 8sn ) 0 2 4 sm ( 4 sn sm ) F.O.C.: m sn2 (4 sn 7 sm ) 0 3 sm ( 4 sn sm ) Solving the F.O.C. gives the imitator’s best response function: 4 sn s sn 7 m 17 Solving for Innovator Quality (Stage 2) Innovator’s profit function is concave in quality: 2 n s 2 n F.O.C.: n sn k 0 7 ksn 0 48 Solving the F.O.C. gives the free market outcome (MO) values: 7 1 7 1 , ) and ( pn , pm ) ( , ) 48k 12k 192k 96k 49 14 n ( sn , sm ) and m ( sn , sm ) 4608k 4608k 196 259 ( sn , sm ) and ( sn , sm ) 4608k 4608k ( sn , sm ) ( 18 The Patent Model Patent policy is set before the game begins: patent height (h) patent imitation level () patent length (t) where 0 < < h and t [0,1] Which policies give the innovator profit incentive to seek a patent? nPO h, , t n sn , sm where nPO h, , t t n h, 1 t n h, sm h 19 Conclusions The POR is the target of feasible patent policy designs Impact of changes to established policy design on social welfare Optimal patent policy design patent length social welfare but contracts the POR and eliminates good policy options patent width social welfare patent height social welfare if patent is long and high max length and set height/width to intermediate levels if length is short set the highest, widest policy in the POR reduces R&D incentives to discover a novel idea Is policy too low, too wide, and too long? it depends!!!! many factors may prevent the policymaker from identifying the POR or hitting a good 20 Questions? 21
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