Dominant Trading Strategies Definition (Dominant Trading Strategy) Introduction to Mathematical Finance: Part I: Discrete-Time Models The trading strategy Ĥ is said to be dominant if there exists another trading strategy H̄ such that and V̂1 (ω) > V̄1 (ω) ∀ω ∈ Ω V̂0 = V̄0 AIMS and Stellenbosch University April-May 2012 Financially speaking, both strategies Ĥ and H̄ start with the same initial investment amount but the dominant strategy Ĥ leads to a higher gain under all possible states of the world. 1/8 R. Ghomrasni Last updated: 7-5-2012 2/8 Exercise (Dominant Trading Strategies) and V1 (ω) > 0 ∀ω ∈ Ω V0 < 0 Last updated: and V1 (ω) ≥ 0 ∀ω ∈ Ω A dominant trading strategy is one that can transform strictly negative wealth at t = 0 into nonnegative wealth at t = 1. Proof. [=⇒] Let H = (a, b) s.t. V0 (H) = 0 and V1 (H) > 0 (Deduce: Using previous Question). We note that b = −aS0 . Let H̄ = (ā, b̄) defined by ā = a and b̄ = b − δ where δ > 0 is given by δ(1+r ) = min(aS u +b(1+r ), aS d +b(1+r )) = min(V1u (H), V1d (H)) > 0 , i.e. [⇐=] H dominates the trading strategy αH, for any α ∈ [0, 1). In particular, 0, i.e. this trading strategy is dominant since it dominates the strategy which starts with zero value and does no investment at all. R. Ghomrasni 7-5-2012 A dominant trading strategy Ĥ exists if and only if there exists a trading strategy H s.t A dominant trading strategy is one that costs nothing to set up and will definitely make money (with probability one). Obviously a dominant trading strategy is an arbitrage. Proof. [=⇒]Suppose Ĥ dominates H̄, we define a new trading strategy H̃ = Ĥ − H̄. Let Ṽ0 and Ṽ1 denote the portfolio value of H̃ at t = 0 and t = 1. By construction, we have Ṽ0 = 0 and Ṽ1 (ω) > 0 for all ω ∈ Ω. 3/8 Last updated: Exercise A dominant trading strategy Ĥ exists if and only if there exists a trading strategy H s.t V0 = 0 R. Ghomrasni δ = min(a 7-5-2012 4/8 Su Sd − S0 , a − S0 ) > 0 . 1+r 1+r R. Ghomrasni Last updated: 7-5-2012 Link between Dominant Trading Strategies and Arbitrage Clearly, we have V̄0 = −δ < 0 and V̄1 (ω) = V1 (ω) − δ(1 + r ) ≥ 0, ∀ω ∈ Ω . Exercise Conclude that the market is arbitrage free, if there is no portfolio s.t. V0 ≤ 0, [⇐=] If ∃ a H = (a, b) s.t. V0 < 0 and V1 (ω) ≥ 0 for all ω ∈ Ω. Then Ĥ := (â, b̂) = (a, b − V0 ) = (a, b) + (0, −V0 ) satisfies V̂0 = 0 and V̂1 (ω) = V1 (ω) − V0 (1 + r ) > 0 and P(V1 > V0 ) > 0. 1. If V0 = 0, we have an arbitrage by definition, 2. If V0 < 0, we use the previous result on dominant strategy. R. Ghomrasni ∀ω ∈ Ω Proof. ∀ω ∈ Ω since V1 ≥ 0 and V0 < 0 (i.e. −V0 (1 + r ) > 0). 5/8 V1 (ω) ≥ 0 Last updated: 7-5-2012 6/8 R. Ghomrasni Last updated: 7-5-2012 Exercise (Tutorial Questions) Consider the following 1-Period Binomial Market (under the arbitrage-free condition): B M= S t=0 1 S0 B D= S up 1+r Su down p 1+r B 1+r = Sd S Su 1−p 1+r Sd Solution I (i) Consider the Call Option C := (S1 − K )+ for a strike price K . Using the law of one price, show that the fair-price π0 (C ) satisfies (S0 − At time t = 1, the following cash flows inequalities 0 ≤ P = (K − S1 )+ = max(K − S1 , 0) ≤ K imply (via Law of One Price) K 0 ≤ π0 (P) ≤ 1+r K + ) ≤ π0 (C ) ≤ S0 . 1+r (ii) Consider the Put Option P := (K − S1 )+ for a strike price K . Using the law of one price, show that the fair-price π0 (P) satisfies 0 ≤ π0 (P) ≤ 7/8 R. Ghomrasni K . 1+r Last updated: 7-5-2012 8/8 R. Ghomrasni Last updated: 7-5-2012
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