Opening of the Retail Market in Water Briefing from Policy Consulting Network October 2016 Competition for Water starts in just under 6 months for non-household customers in England, i.e. around 1.2 million businesses, public sector organisations and charities. This retail market is expected to be worth £2.5bn a year and to deliver benefits of over £200m to the UK economy. In Wales (or more precisely for those customers served by Welsh Water and Dee Valley Water) water supply competition for non-household customers will remain only for those non-household customers with water consumption over 50million litres/year or greater. In Scotland the market has been operating since 2008, though most activity (switching) has only taken place since 2014, when Defra announced the introduction of a retail market for England. The shadow retail market started in England and Wales on 1 October. This is to allow testing of processes and procedures ahead of market opening. New players and existing water companies can apply to Ofwat for a license to provide retail water services, i.e. a Water Supply License or a Water and Sewage Supply License (WSSL). In addition certain larger customers can become their own retailer and ‘self-supply’ their own sites with retail services. They would not though be able to provide retail services to other customers. To date 17 organisations have applied to Ofwat for licenses. As at 30 September, Ofwat has granted water supply and sewerage retail licenses (WSSLs) to 10 organisations. It expects around 30-40 applications for WSSLs in the coming year. Existing companies (incumbents) can also choose to withdraw (exit) from the non-household retail market when it opens. Three companies – Portsmouth Water, Southern Water and Thames Water have already given notice of their exit. Non-household customers in the Portsmouth region will transfer to Castle Water on market opening. Those in Southern’s region will transfer to Business Stream. Those in the Thames region will transfer to Castle Water. They will then be free to switch to any other retailer. United Utilities and Severn Trent have combined their non-household water and wastewater retail businesses into one joint venture business - Water Plus. This has received CMA approval. Other incumbents have rebranded their retail businesses. MOSL (Market Operator Services Ltd) is developing systems and infrastructure for the new market, including the Central Market Operating System (CMOS) with CGI to enable registration, customer switching and settlement between wholesalers and retailers. According to new entrants there are still issues with o Retail margin (around 2%) o Ensuring a level playing field o Clear relationship rules o Data readiness of incumbents/wholesalers, e.g. meter NGR, customer classifications. For wholesalers, there is also the concern about credit worthiness and potential failure of a retailer and any debt that could not then be recovered from the retailer’s customers. In Scotland, in 2014-2015, 35,000 non-household sites (referred to as Supply Point IDs – SPIDs) switched. In the first 10 months of 2015-2016 55,000 switched). Clearly some customers will have several or multiple sites so the numbers of actual customers switching will be less. That said, there has been a significant increase in switching in Scotland since 2014. A recent survey by MEUC – the Major Users Energy Council – reported that 4 out of 5 major industrial customers were considering switching some of their sites when the market opens. However they want to see more compelling ’pull factors’ to switch than those currently being suggested. Almost two thirds of multi-site customers favoured the idea of a single supplier for water services. A survey of business customers’ views on their water and sewerage services published by CCWater this month (but based on interviews earlier in the year) suggests limited awareness, with only 8% business customers aware of market opening. This does though increase to 51% for larger businesses with more than 250 employees. Overall, around 40% suggest they will switch, provided there is a financial saving. This depended on bill amount but averaged 17%. Interestingly once aware that they could also negotiate with their existing supplier on price and service, 75% business customers suggested they would follow this option and stay. Last November, Government asked the regulator, Ofwat, to investigate the costs and benefits of extending retail competition to household customers. Government suggested a timescale by the end of this Parliament – so by April 2020. Ofwat published its initial findings in July and following further consultation released its final report in September. and lower costs could deliver up to £2.9bn potential benefits over 30 years, equating to a maximum benefit of £8 per household customer per year. However other ’less favourable’ scenarios modelled show reduced benefits of £1.2bn, £0.2bn and -£1.4bn. It is now up to Government to decide the way forward. Research carried out by the consumer body CCWater indicated that household customers were in favour of being able to choose their water supplier, but once they were told the level of potential saving (£4-£8) their interest dropped markedly. Some though would still switch if other services were provided, e.g. water efficiency advice, leak detection and repair or if water was bundled with other services, e.g. energy. The Future By 2020 we can expect the sector to not only have competition in the retail market for businesses and potentially residential customers in England, but also for there to be markets in water resources, sludge treatment and disposal. There is also likely to be new models of major infrastructure provision, such as seen with the Thames Tideway. Phillip Mills Policy Consulting Network 17 October 2016 Enquiries e – [email protected] m – 07713 253498 - https://www.linkedin.com/in/phill-mills-92558117
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