Management Practices in Europe, the US and Emerging Markets Nick Bloom (Stanford Economics) John Van Reenen (Stanford GSB/LSE) Lecture 4 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 1 Management scores across countries Performance management Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 2 MANAGEMENT PRACTICES ACROSS COUNTRIES? US Germany Sweden Japan Canada France Italy Great Britain Australia Northern Ireland Poland Republic of Ireland Portugal Brazil India China Greece 2.6 Distinct groups 2.8 3 3.2 meanManagement of management Score Country Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 Average 3.4 “TAILS” DRIVES DIFFERENCES ACROSS COUNTRIES Brazil Canada China France Germany Great Britain Greece India Ireland Italy Japan Poland Portugal Sweden US 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 Australia 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 2 3 4 5 Firm-Levelmanagement Management Scores 1 2 3 4 5 COUNTRIES ALSO HAVE DIFFERENT RELATIVE STRENGTHS IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Sweden France Australia Italy Portugal Germany Japan Greece Canada Great Britain Brazil Northern Ireland US Republic of Ireland China Poland India Relatively better at ‘operations’ management (monitoring, continuous improvement, Lean etc) Relatively better at ‘talent’ management (hiring, firing, pay, promotions etc) -.4 -.2 firing, pay 0 & promotions) .2 People management (hiring, – .4 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 mean of peo_ops operations (monitoring, continuous improvement and Lean) WE ALSO GOT MANAGERS TO SELFSCORE THEMSELVES AT THE END OF THE INTERVIEW We asked: “Excluding yourself, how well managed would you say your firm is on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is worst practice, 5 is average and 10 is best practice” We also asked them to give themselves scores on operations and people management separately Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 .3 .4 MANAGERS GENERALLY OVER-SCORED THEIR FIRM’S MANAGEMENT “Average” “Best Practice” 0 .1 .2 “Worst Practice” 0 2 4 6 8 Their self-score: 1 (worst practice), 5 (average) to 10 (best practice) Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 10 THIS BRAZILIANS OVER-SCORED THE MOST AND THE AMERICANS THE LEAST Brazil Greece India Portugal China Republic of Ireland Northern Ireland Australia Canada Italy Great Britain Poland Germany Japan Sweden France US 0 .5 1 1.5 of gap Self score (normalized to 1 to 5mean scale) – Management score Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 2 0 Correlation 0.032* -6 -4 -2 Labor Productivity labp SELF-SCORES ARE ALSO UNINFORMATIVE ABOUT FIRM PERFORMANCE Lowess smoother 0 2 4 6 8 Their self-score: 1 (worst practice), 5 (average) to 10 (best practice) 10 Self scored management bandwidth = .8Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 Nick Bloom and John * In comparison the management score has a 0.295 correlation with labor productivity Management scores across countries Performance management Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 10 Performance management Today we will run through 5 dimensions on performance management (questions 1, 3, 4, 5 and 6) The basic concept is around the collection and use of information within firms. While the data we have shown is for manufacturing, these questions have been used in retail, hospitals, schools, drug treatment clinics, tax collection agencies, charities, PPPs and law firms Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 11 (3) Process problem documentation Score (1): No, process improvements are made when problems occur. (3): Improvements are made in one week workshops involving all staff, to improve performance in their area of the plant Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): Exposing problems in a structured way is integral to individuals’ responsibilities and resolution occurs as a part of normal business processes rather than by extraordinary effort/teams 12 (4) Performance tracking Score (1): Measures tracked do not indicate directly if overall business objectives are being met. Tracking is an ad-hoc process (certain processes aren’t tracked at all) (3): Most key performance indicators are tracked formally. Tracking is overseen by senior management. Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): Performance is continuously tracked and communicated, both formally and informally, to all staff using a range of visual management tools. 13 (5) Performance review Score (1): Performance is reviewed infrequently or in an unmeaningful way e.g. only success or failure is noted. (3): Performance is reviewed periodically with successes and failures identified. Results are communicated to senior management. No clear follow-up plan is adopted. Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): Performance is continually reviewed, based on indicators tracked. All aspects are followed up ensure continuous improvement. Results are communicated to all staff 14 (6) Performance dialogue Score (1): The right data or information for a constructive discussion is often not present or conversations overly focus on data that is not meaningful. Clear agenda is not known and purpose is not stated explicitly (3): Review conversations are held with the appropriate data and information present. Objectives of meetings are clear to all participating and a clear agenda is present. Conversations do not, as a matter of course, drive to the root causes of the problems. Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): Regular review/performan ce conversations focus on problem solving and addressing root causes. Purpose, agenda and follow-up steps are clear to all. Meetings are an opportunity for constructive feedback and coaching. 15 (1) Modern manufacturing, introduction Score (1): Other than JIT delivery from suppliers few modern manufacturing techniques have been introduced, (or have been introduced in an ad-hoc manner) (3): Some aspects of modern manufacturing techniques have been introduced, through informal/isolated change programs Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): All major aspects of modern manufacturing have been introduced (Just-in-time, autonomation, flexible manpower, support systems, attitudes and behaviour) in a formal way 16 (2) Modern manufacturing, rationale Score (1): Modern manufacturing techniques were introduced because others were using them. (3): Modern manufacturing techniques were introduced to reduce costs Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 (5): Modern manufacturing techniques were introduced to enable us to meet our business objectives (including costs) 17 But Lean is not always good…. The £7 million guide to a tidy desk, London Times, January 5, 2007 Red tape has given way to black marker tape for thousands of bemused civil servants as part of a £7 million paperclip revolution aimed at ensuring that they keep the tools of their trade in the right place. Office workers have been given the tape to mark out where they should put their pens and pencils, their computer keyboards and to indicate where to place their phones. Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 National Insurance staff have been chosen as guinea-pigs for the latest phase of the “Lean” programme brought in by the logistics consultants Unipart. The programme prohibits workers from keeping personal items on their desks. MY FAVOURITE QUOTES: The bizarre Interviewer: “[long silence]……hello, hello….are you still there….hello” Production Manager: “…….I’m sorry, I just got distracted by a submarine surfacing in front of my window” The unbelievable [Male manager speaking to a female interviewer] Production Manager: “I would like you to call me “Daddy” when we talk” [End of interview…] Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 Backup slides Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 20 WE FIND FIVE FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENCES IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Competition Governance - Family firms & Private Equity Multinationals Labor market regulations Education Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 TAILS DRIVES DIFFERENCES ACROSS COUNTRIES Brazil Canada China France Germany Great Britain Greece India Ireland Italy Japan Poland Portugal Sweden US 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 Australia 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 2 3 4 5 Firm-Levelmanagement Management Scores 1 2 3 4 5 Better Managed firms are larger Employees in the firm # firms 3000-5000 308 2000-3000 271 1000-2000 611 750-1000 278 500-750 692 400-500 403 300-400 635 250-300 422 200-250 602 150-200 693 100-150 832 2.6 2.8 3 mean of management Average management score from 1 (worst practice) to 5 (best practice) 3.2 Nick Bloom taken and John VanallReenen, Management Practices, Note: Averages across firms within each country. 5,7472010 observations in total. Mean and median firm size is 701 and 320 employees respectively. COMPETITION IS ASSOCIATED WITH BETTER MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Assessed management practice score 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 0 2 4 6 8 10 Reported number of competitors Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 TOUGH COMPETITION IS STRONGLY LINKED TO BETTER MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Dependent variable: Management Competition proxies Import penetration (SIC-3 industry, 1995-99) 0.066** (0.033) “1-Rents” measure1 (SIC-3 except firm itself, 1995-99) 1.964** (0.721) # of competitors (Firm level, 2004) 0.158*** (0.023) Observations 2499 2980 3589 Full controls2,3 Yes Yes Yes = 1- (operating profit – capital costs)/sales 2 Includes 108 SIC-3 industry, country, firm-size, public and interview noise (analyst, time, date, and manager characteristic) controls 3 S.E.s in ( ) below, robust to heteroskedasticity, clustered by country-industry 1 1-Rents Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 A VARIETY OF WAYS COMPETITION CAN HELP TO IMPROVE MANAGEMENT PRACTICES “Selection” effect – competition selects out badly managed firms (they go bankrupt) “Incentive/Boot up the ass” effect – competition forces badly managed firms to improve performance “Learning” effect – competition provides more firms in and industry, increasing experimentation and learning. Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 CHANGE IN COMPETITION LINKED TO BETTER MANAGEMENT: SO NOT JUST SELECTION Competition proxies Dependent variable: Change in Management 2006-2004 Change in Import penetration 0.013** (0.005) 1.006** Change in “1-Rents” measure1 (0.415) 0.120** Change in Number of rivals (0.052) Observations 421 404 432 = 1- (operating profit – capital costs)/sales S.E.s in ( ) below, robust to heteroskedasticity, clustered by country-industry 1 1-Rents UK, US, France and Germany only Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 COMPETITION NOT ONLY DRIVES OUT BADLY MANAGED FIRMS, BUT MAKES WELL MANAGED FIRMS LARGER “Selection” effect – market reallocates jobs to more efficient firms An additional point on the management score is associated with an increase of employment (Bloom, Genakos, Sadun & VR): US 715 more workers UK 546 more workers India 263 more workers Italy 253 more workers Competitive forces of reallocation weaker in India/Italy compared to US Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 SUMMARY: COMPETITION KEY FACTOR IN IMPROVING MANAGEMENT Selection effect important in accounting for US leading position Incentive effect also matters (from panel evidence on changes) Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 WE FIND FIVE FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENCES IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Competition Governance - Family firms - Private Equity - Government run Multinationals Labor market regulations Education Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 FIRMS WITH PROFESSIONAL CEOS ARE TYPICALLY WELL RUN. GOVERNMENT, FOUNDER, FAMILY MANAGED FIRMS ARE NOT Distribution of firm management scores by ownership. Overlaid dashed line is approximate density for dispersed shareholders, the most common US and Canadian ownership type Family, external CEO Family, family CEO Founder Government Managers Other Private Equity Private Individuals 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 0 .5 1 Dispersed Shareholders Nick1Bloom2and John 2010 3 Van Reenen, 4 5Management 1 2 Practices, 3 4 5 1 Average Management Score 2 3 4 5 ONWERSHIP PATTERNS OF THESE “POOR MANAGEMENT” GROUPS VARY SUBSTANTIALLY Sweden Japan US France Poland Canada Australia Germany China Great Britain Republic of Ireland Northern Ireland Italy Brazil Portugal Greece India share family CEO share founder CEO (1st generation) share government owned 0 .2 .4 .6 share of ownership (for types associated with low management scores) .8 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 mean of family mean of founder FAMILY FIRMS AND MODELS OF MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Likely family impact depends on involvement • Ownership but not management probably positive • Concentrated ownership so better monitoring • Management probably negative • Smaller pool to select CEO from • Possible “Carnegie” effect on future CEO’s • Less career incentive for non-family managers Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 FAMILY MANAGEMENT (PARTICULARLY A PRIMO GENITURE SELECTED CEO) IS PROBLEMATIC % Dependent variable: Management Family1 largest shareholder -0.008 (0.043) -0.137** (0.023) Family1 largest shareholder & family CEO -0.169** (0.025) Family1 largest shareholder, family CEO & primo geniture2 Observations -0.073 (0.049) -0.254** -0.223** (0.043) (0.046) 4141 4141 4141 4141 1 Family defined as 2nd generation or later 2 Based on question: “How was management of the firm passed down: was it to the eldest son or by some other way?”. Note includes SIC-3 digit, country, skills, firm size and public controls Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 Suggestive evidence that Private Equity can improve management Management Number of firms 134 Management (same ownership 3+ years) 635 Average score on 18 management practice questions Government Founder Family, family CEO 722 Private Individuals 625 Other 290 Managers 138 Family, external CEO 174 Dispersed Shareholders 1357 Private Equity 137 2 2.25 2.5 2.75 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 3 3.25 3.5 35 Note: Sample of 4,221 medium-sized manufacturing firms. The bottom bar-chart only covers the 3696 firms which have been in the same ownership for the last 3 years. The “Other” category includes venture capital, joint-ventures, charitable foundations and unknown ownership. Private Equity firms have greater improvements in management practice over time Management Change Founder Management Change (same ownership 3+ years) Private Individuals Dispersed Shareholders PE firms have faster improvement in management than other ownership types Family, family CEO Managers Other Family, external CEO Private Equity -.2 0 .2 .4 Firms with deteriorating management are more likely to be taken in to PE Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 Note: Sample of 561 firms. Surveyed in 2004 and 2006 36 WHY DO PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS RAISE PERFORMANCE? • Appear to raise operational performance, not just incentives to top managers • Davis et al (2009) find when firms taken over by PE productivity rises – Low productivity plants closed down – Net employment broadly the same, but a lot of change reallocating jobs within the firm Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 37 WE FIND FIVE FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENCES IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Competition Governance - Family firms & Private Equity Multinationals Labor market regulations Education Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 MULTINATIONALS APPEAR ABLE TO TRANSPORT GOOD MANAGEMENT AROUND THE WORLD Foreign multinationals Domestic firms US Japan Sweden Germany Canada Australia Italy Great Britain France Poland Northern Ireland Republic of Ireland India China Portugal Brazil Greece 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 3.2 Average Management Score 3.4 DOMESTIC MULTINATIONALS ARE IN-BETWEEN FOREIGN MULTINATIONALS & DOMESTIC FIRMS Foreign multinationals Domestic multinationals Domestic firms US Canada Japan Poland Germany Sweden Italy France India Australia Great Britain Brazil Greece Portugal Northern Ireland China Republic of Ireland Nick Bloom and John Management Practices, 2010 2.4Van Reenen, 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 Average Management Score 3.4 MULTINATIONAL OWNERSHIP VARIES SUBSTANTIALLY ACROSS COUNTRIES Foreign multinationals Domestic multinationals India Brazil China Greece Japan Poland Italy Northern Ireland Republic of Ireland Portugal Canada US Great Britain Australia Germany France Sweden 0 .2 .4 Share of multinationals Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 .6 .8 WE FIND FIVE FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENCES IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Competition Governance - Family firms & Private Equity Multinationals Labor market regulations Education Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 3.4 3.2 US 3 Canada Germany 2.8 GreatJapan Britain Northern Ireland Australia Poland Sweden Republic of Ireland France Italy 2.6 India China Portugal Brazil Greece 2.4 Average people management (hiring, firing, pay and promotions) peop_mean LIGHT LABOR MARKET REGULATIONS ALSO FACILITIATE GOOD PEOPLE MANAGEMENT 0 20 40 World Bank Employment Rigidity Index Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management WB_RigidityEmployment Practices, 2010 60 80 EDUCATION IS ALSO STRONGLY LINKED WITH BETTER MANAGEMENT PRACTICES 60 40 20 0 Percent with a degree Non-managers Managers 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 3.5 4 4.5 mean of degree_nm of degree_m Management score (rounded mean to nearest 0.5) WE FIND FIVE FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENCES IN MANAGEMENT PRACTICES Competition Governance - Family firms & Private Equity Multinationals Labor market regulations Education Bottom Line: Account for about 50% of the “lower tail” of badly managed firms and 50% of cross-country variation with these factors Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 COMPETITION, FAMILY FIRMS, MULTINATIONALS & LABOR REGULATIONS ACCOUNT FOR ≈ ½ COUNTRY SPREAD US Germany Sweden Japan UK France Marginal R-squared on country fixed-effects reduced by 45% after controlling for number of competitors, family management and primo geniture, multinational status and labor market regulations Italy Poland Portugal Greece China India 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 management predicted from comp, family, MNE and regulation raw management data Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 MY FAVOURITE QUOTES: The difficulties of defining ownership in Europe Production Manager: “We’re owned by the Mafia” Interviewer: “I think that’s the “Other” category……..although I guess I could put you down as an “Italian multinational” ?” Americans on geography Interviewer: “How many production sites do you have abroad? Manager in Indiana, US: “Well…we have one in Texas…” Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, 2010 BACK UP Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, Spring 2009 48 EDUCATIONAL LEVELS VARY STRONGLY ACROSS COUNTRIES IN OUR SAMPLE Non-managers Managers Overall (share weighted average) Portugal Northern Ireland Brazil Canada Greece Great Britain China Australia Germany Republic of Ireland Italy France Sweden US Poland India Japan Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, Spring 2009 0 20 40 60 80 .8 “GOOD DOMESTIC” (MANY COMPETITORS, NOT PG FAMILY) OR MULTINATIONAL .6 N=2899 0 .2 .4 5.9% firms in tail 1 2 3 4 Our management score - average across 18 questions 5 .6 “BAD DOMESTIC” (FEW COMPETITORS OR PG FAMILY) N=1244 0 .2 .4 18.1% firms in tail 1 2 3 4 Our management score - average across 18 questions 5 1 Tail defined as a score ≤ 2. In the whole sample 9.6% of firms Nick Bloom and John Van Reenen, Management Practices, Spring 2009 are in the tail.
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