NOTES ON NETWORK ECONOMICS AND THE “NEW ECONOMY” by Prof. Nicholas Economides Stern School of Business October 1999 Copyright Nicholas Economides 2 MICROECONOMICS is about 1. Buying decisions of the individual 2. Buying and selling decisions of the firm 3. The determination of prices; market interaction 4. The quantity, quality and variety of products 5. Profits 6. Consumers’ satisfaction There are two sides in a market for a consumption good. DEMAND SUPPLY Created by consumers Created by firms Each consumer maximizes Each firm maximizes its profits satisfaction (“utility”) ↑ CONSUMPTION THEORY ↑ PRODUCTION THEORY 3 1. We will first study consumption and later production. In the third part of the course we will take the “demand” schedule from the consumption analysis and the “supply” schedule from the production analysis and put them together in a market. The price, and the quantity exchanged will be determined in the market. We will also discuss the performance and efficiency of markets. CONSUMPTION ANALYSIS 2. Goods are products or services that consumers or businesses desire. Examples: a book, a telephone call, insurance coverage. Goods may be directly desired by consumers or may contribute to the production of other goods that are desired by consumers. For example a machine used in the production of cars is desirable because it is useful in the production of cars, although it has no direct value to a consumer. Bads are products or services that consumers desire less of. Examples: garbage, pollution, some telephone calls. Clearly, a good for one consumer could be a bad for another. 4 3. If possible, each consumer would consume a very large (infinite) amount of each good. But, each individual is constrained by his/her ability to pay for these goods. The limitation of total funds available to an individual defines the budget constraint. Therefore a consumer has to maximize his/her satisfaction while not spending more than he/she has, i.e., without violating the budget constraint. 4. Maximization of each consumer’s satisfaction under the budget constraint results in optimal choices for the consumer. The choices of the consumer define his demand for each good. The demand shows how many units a consumer is willing to buy at various prices, Q = Q(p) The demand curve can also be read in the opposite way as the willingness to pay for various quantities of the good. A typical demand curve is shown in Figure 1. Demand curve $ D P(Q) 0 Q q 5 5. Elasticities measure the responsiveness of quantities to prices. Price elasticity measures the percentage change in quantity as a response to a percentage change in price. The (own) price elasticity of demand is e = (∆Q/Q)/(∆p/p) = (∆Q/∆p)(p/q). Note that e < 0, and that the elasticity is not the slope of the demand curve. If e < -1, i.e., e > 1, the demand is elastic, i.e., highly responsive to changes in price. If e > -1, i.e., e < 1, the demand is inelastic, i.e., not responsive to changes in price. If e = -1, i.e., e = 1, the demand is called uni-elastic. 6. The income elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of the quantity demanded on income changes. eI = (∆Q/Q)/(∆I/I) = (∆Q/∆I)(I/Q). 6 If eI > 0, the good is called normal. If eI < 0, the good is called inferior. The cross elasticity of demand measures the responsiveness of the demand for good X on price changes of another good, Y. ex,py = (∆x/x)/(∆py/py). If ex,py > 0, x and y are substitutes. If ex,py < 0, x and y are complements. 7. If all units are sold at the same price, the consumers who are willing to buy at a high price benefit from the existence of consumers who are willing to pay only a low price. All units are sold at a price equal to the low willingness to pay. The difference between what a consumer is willing to pay and what he actually pays is called consumers surplus. 7 8. The total willingness to pay up to Q units is the area under the demand up to Q units, A(Q). The actual expenditure is E(Q) = QP(Q). The difference is consumers surplus, CS(Q) = A(Q) - E(Q). In Figure 2, expenditure E(Q) is double-shaded, and consumers’ surplus CS(Q) is single-shaded. A(Q), the total willingness covers both shaded areas. 9. Risk and Uncertainty. Example 1: Consider the choice between receiving $10 with certainty and receiving $8 or $12 with probability 1/2 each. Note that both alternatives have the same expected value of $10. The utility of the first alternative is U(10), and the utility of the second alternative is U(8)/2 + U(12)/2. Remember, both alternatives have the same expected monetary value of $10, but only the first one guarantees this amount with certainty. A riskaverse person will prefer the first (riskless) alternative. This means that Consumers’ surplus $ = CS(Q) = E(Q) = PQ D A(Q) = CS(Q) + E(Q) P(Q) 0 Q q 8 for a risk averse person, U(10) > U(8)/2 + U(12)/2. Note that, for a risk-averse person, the utility of wealth is concave. See Figure 3. This means that the marginal utility of wealth (the utility of the last dollar) is decreasing with wealth. A risk-lover will prefer the second (risky) alternative, i.e., for him U(10) < U(8)/2 + U(12)/2. Note that, for a risk-lover, the utility of wealth is convex. See Figure 4. This means that the marginal utility of wealth (the utility of the last dollar) is increasing with wealth. A risk-neutral person is indifferent between the two alternatives, U(10) = U(8)/2 + U(12)/2. For a risk-neutral person, the utility of wealth is a straight line. This means that the marginal utility of wealth (the utility of the last dollar) is Risk Averse Consumer U U(12) U(10) .5U(8)+.5U(12) U(8) 0 8 certainty equivalent 9 10 risk premium 12 W Risk Loving Consumer U U(12) .5U(8)+.5U(12) U(10) U(8) 0 8 10 11 12 certainty equivalent W 9 constant for any level of wealth. We define the certainty-equivalent of an uncertain situation as the amount of money x that, if received with certainty, is considered equally desirable as the uncertain situation, i.e., U(x) = U(8)/2 + U(12)/2. For a risk-averse person the certainty equivalent must be less than 10, x < 10. For a risk-neutral person x = 10, and for a risk-lover x > 10. Example 2: Suppose that a risk-averse consumer has utility function U(W) = log(W), where W is her wealth and “log” is the logarithm function of base 10. (For example, log(1) = 0, log(10) = 1, log (100) = 2, log(1000) = 3, log(10n) = n.) Suppose that the consumer with probability 1/2 has $1,000,000, and with probability 1/2 has $10,000. How much will she be willing to accept with certainty in return for this uncertain situation? 10 Her utility now is .5*log(1,000,000) + .5*log(10,000) = .5*6 + .5*4 = 3 + 2 = 5. The certainty-equivalent is $x such that log(x) = 5, i.e., x = 100,000. The consumer is willing to accept $100,000 with certainty in return for her uncertain situation. Note that the certainty-equivalent x = 100,000 is much smaller than the expected value of the uncertain situation which is .5*1,000,000 + .5*10,000 = 505,000. 10. Insurance. An insurance contract is called actuarially fair if it guarantees with certainty the expected value of the wealth of the uncertain situation it replaces. (In example 1 this expected value is $10.) A risk averse person is willing to buy actuarially fair insurance, because his certainty equivalent is x < 10, and he is willing to replace the uncertain situation with anything that pays with certainty more than x. A risk neutral agent is willing to sell actuarially fair insurance. We assume insurance companies are risk neutral. Therefore an insurance company 11 will offer an insurance contract that pays $ 10 ≥ y with certainty. A risk averse consumer will accept a contract that pays y ≥ x. The insurance contract that guarantees $y with certainty usually takes the form: “The insurance company will pay you the full $12 in case of loss (which both parties know will happen with probability 1/2) and you pay us a premium P.” Then the premium is P = 12 - y. Since 10 ≥ y ≥ x, we have 12-x ≥ 12-y ≥ 2, i.e., 12-x ≥ P ≥ 2. If x = 9, premium is P = 3. Example 3: A consumer with the same utility function has wealth from two sources. He has $10,000 in cash, and a house worth $990,000. Suppose that the house burns down completely with probability 1/2. (The lot is assumed to be of no value). How much is the consumer willing to pay for full insurance coverage? We have found above that the certainty equivalent of this uncertain situation is $100,000. Therefore he is willing to accept any insurance 12 contract that would leave him with wealth of at least $100,000. The insurance contract that is just acceptable is the one that leaves him with exactly $100,000. In insurance terms, this is a contract with coverage of $990,000 and premium 900,000. If the house does not burn down, the consumer has wealth of 100,000 = 1,000,000 (original wealth) - 900,000 (premium). If the house burns down, the consumer has again 100,000 = 10,000 (cash) + 990,000 (payment from the insurance company) 900,000 (premium). 13 PRODUCTION ANALYSIS 11. Output Q is produced from inputs K (machine hours -- capital) and L (man-hours -- labor). This is summarized by the production function Q = f(K, L). Define the marginal productivities of capital and labor as MPK = df/dK, and MPL = df/dL. We expect both of these to be positive. We also expect that each marginal productivity (say MPL) is decreasing at high usage levels of the particular input (L). See Figure 5. We also define average productivities of labor and capital as APL = Q/L = f(K, L)/L, APK = Q/K = f(K, L)/K. Since marginal productivity eventually (i.e., with high use of this input) decreases, it will eventually drive the average productivity down too. 12. It will be assumed that the objective of firms is to maximize profits. Profits are revenues minus costs at a certain production level, q. Revenues are simply R(q) = pq. The costs of production of q units are Average and Marginal Productivity of labor q total output 0 L MP L AP L 0 L1 L L3 2 L 14 the costs of the inputs K and L required to produce quantity q = f(K, L). Therefore, the firm not only has to choose its level of output, q, but also has to choose the required inputs, K, L. We break this maximization problem into two parts. First we will find the best (cost-minimizing) levels of inputs K*(q), L*(q), for any fixed level of output q. As a result of this we will have a cost function, C(q), that shows the minimum cost for every q, C(q) = wL*(q) + rK*(q), where w is the unit cost of labor, L, and r is the unit cost of capital K. Then we will maximize profits Π(q) = R(q) - C(q). 13. Returns to scale. A production function exhibits constant returns to scale (CRS) if doubling the inputs results in double output, f(2K, 2L) = 2f(K, L). A production function exhibits increasing returns to scale (IRS) if 15 doubling the inputs results in more than double output, f(2K, 2L) > 2f(K, L). A production function exhibits decreasing returns to scale (DRS) if doubling the inputs results in less than double output, f(2K, 2L) < 2f(K, L). 14. Total, fixed, variable, average, and marginal costs. Total costs: C(q) or TC(q). Variable costs: V(q). Fixed costs: F, constant. C(q) = F + V(q). Average total cost: ATC(q) = C(q)/q. Average variable cost: AVC(q) = V(q)/q. Average fixed cost: AFC(q) = F/q. ATC(q) = F/q + AVC(q). Marginal cost: MC(q) = C'(q) = dC/dq 16 = V'(q) = dV/dq. Marginal cost is the cost of production of an extra unit of output q. Since extra production does not affect fixed cost, the increase in the total cost is the same as the increase in the variable cost, MC(q) = dC/dq = dV/dq. An example of per unit cost curves is shown in Figure 5a. The quantity that corresponds to the minimum of the ATC is called minimum efficient scale (“MES”). Decreasing average cost (q < MES) corresponds to increasing returns to scale, and increasing average cost (q > MES) ) corresponds to decreasing returns to scale. 15. Profit maximization. Profits generated by production level q, Π(q), are defined as revenues, R(q), minus costs, C(q), Π(q) = R(q) - C(q). Typically, profits are negative for small q. They increase, reach a maximum, and then decrease. See Figure 6. At the quantity level q* that Average and Marginal Costs, and Minimum Efficient Scale (MES) MC ATC AVC $ min ATC min AVC 0 MES q Costs, Revenues and Profits C R C, R F 0 q 1 q* q 2 q TT 0 -F q 1 q* q 2 q 17 maximizes profits, the slope of Π(q), dΠ/dq, is zero. We know that any q, dΠ/dq = R'(q) - C'(q) = MR(q) - MC(q). Therefore, at q*, marginal revenue is equal to marginal cost, MR(q*) = MC(q*). This condition is necessary for profit maximization. 16. In perfect competition, no firm has any influence on the market price. Therefore, each unit of output is sold at the same price, p. Therefore, for a competitive firm, MR(q) = p. Each firm perceives a horizontal demand for its output (at price p). 17. A competitive firm chooses q* so that p = MR = MC(q*). See Figure 7. If the price falls below minimum average total cost, the firm Profit Maximization for a Competitive Firm $ Supply p MC ATC AVC profits min ATC min AVC profits = = R(q) - C(q) = = q[p - ATC(q)] Supply 0 p = MC(q* ) MES q* q 18 closes down. Therefore the supply function of a competitive firm in the long run is its marginal cost curve above minimum ATC. For prices below minimum ATC, the firm supplies q = 0. In the short run, a firm cannot recover its fixed costs (by closing down). Therefore the relevant cost function in the short run is average variable cost, AVC. The firm's supply function in the short run is MC above minimum AVC. It supplies zero if p < min AVC. This means that there is a range of market prices, between min ATC and min AVC, such that the firm will produce a positive quantity in the short run, but will shut down in the long run. Profits are the shaded box in Figure 7, * * * * * Π(q ) = R(q ) - C(q ) = q [p - AC(q )]. In a perfectly competitive industry, the supply curve of the industry is the horizontal sum of the marginal cost curves of the industry participants. See Figure 8. 18. Producers surplus is the difference between the revenue of the firm Market Supply in Perfect Competition $ M C=S 1 S4 ATC S5 min ATC D 0 q 1 4q 5q 1 1 q 19 and its variable costs, PS(q) = R(q) - V(q). Variable costs, V(q) can be represented by the area under the marginal cost curve (Figure 9). V(q) is the minimum revenue a firm is willing to accept in the short run to produce q. Total surplus (Figure 10) is the sum of consumers and producers surplus, TS(q) = CS(q) + PS(q). Since consumers surplus is the area under the demand minus revenue, CS(q) = A(q) - R(q), total surplus is TS(q) = A(q) - R(q) + R(q) - V(q) = A(q) - V(q). It is maximized at the quantity qc where the marginal cost curve intersects the demand curve. Producers’ surplus $ S= M C = V(q) = R(q) + = PS(q) PS(q) = R(q) - V(q) R(q) = pq p 0 q q Total surplus (= consumers’ + producers’ surplus) $ D S= M C = V(q1 ) = A(q1 ) + = TS(q 1) TS(q) = CS(q) + PS(q) CS(q) = A(q) - R(q) PS(q) = R(q) - V(q) TS(q) = A(q) - V(q) 0 q q 1 c q = Dead Weight Loss
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