UniS University of Surrey Department of Computing CS366 - Discrete Event Simulation Introduction to the basic principles of Discrete-Event Simulation to model real-world systems (part of system – you decide on model boundary) Introduction to Micro Saint Sharp provides a graphical development environment with specific features for DiscreteEvent Simulation. A system can be built as a network of activities with entities flowing through the system. Micro Saint handles the flow of entities through the model and the sequencing of events over time – handles time The analysis of the results of simulation are as important as building and running a model. Need to be able to comment on the significance of the results and the behaviour of the model. Is the model valid? Two hour Computer Laboratory session each week starting week 3. One lecture only from week 4 Graded problems using Micro Saint – an assignment every two weeks. Details will be posted on the web - see site below. A final group assignment about week 10. Exam preparation: "take-home" written model specification with a working solution in the form of a program. Familiarise yourself with the program. Examination will be in week 15 with a 3 hours laboratory session. You will be asked to run the simulation with specific data, to report on the significance of the output, to modify the 81906594 1 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 model and program and report on the significance of the changes. Module Notes including a set of useful PowerPoint slides provided by Micro Saint and a Manual are available on the web site: www.computing.ac.uk/courses/cs366 Types of Simulation Static – Independent of time stress distance Continuous Dynamic System – No events or discontinuities 81906594 2 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 customer leaves payment starts serving finishes serving starts customer arrives Discrete Events paying waiting serving waiting time Discrete Events Objects in one of 2 states: Each event occurs at a particular time and causes a change of state. We look ahead and schedule the next event. Clock advances in Waiting in Queue Being Processed Time Queue (Idle time) Events occur at certain times - you must predict the time 81906594 3 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 Each event occurs at a particular time and causes a change of state. We look ahead and schedule the next event. Clock advances in irregular large steps not small steps dt as in dynamic systems Basic Concepts - Activity Based Approach to Modelling Entities – resources, people, machines, materials, money Entity - active or idle – (activity based approach) Why build Activity Based Models? • A profit-oriented organisation – maximum production, minimum costs i.e. value added to resources • A service-oriented organisation – maximum throughput of customers in minimum time - best service minimum resources Optimise production vs. costs; throughput vs. time Entities have attributes - fixed or variable describe its state e.g. bus attributes and bus activities (give list) Resources – required to support activity. Resources are either busy or idle. When an entity is active it is involved in an activity, task or process When an entity is idle waits in a queue Why have an idle state? 81906594 4 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 Production Production Consumption Stock Production Consumption (Inventory) Static Object activity idle activity queue activity Mobile Object activity Purpose of inventory or idle resource is to decouple the production from the consumption or the next process. Establishing an inventory policy to determine optimum size. A large inventory represents a large capitalis investment not earning revenue e.g. BA capital invested in pre-condition customer waiting? spare parts significant % of total capital. Too small an inventory will cause very large costs if appropriate spare part not availableiswhen needed. (Release Condition) there a bank teller free? time Task, activity or process event start condition (Beginning Effect) end condition (Ending Effect) 81906594 event remove customer from queue engage teller – one less to serve others predict time of process release teller - one more to serve others move customer on to next process 5 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 Micro Saint provides facilities to write code at each event to specify or check conditions and actions. The code is executed when the event occurs. Queue: A queue is the state in which an entity waits to start an activity. Types of queue: First in first out FIFO Last in first out LIFO Sorted based on value of an attribute Entering and leaving a queue are events so we need to be able to specify or check conditions and take action by writing appropriate code: Entering Effects Departing Effects Activity: An activity is the state in which an entity remains, on its own, or with other entities, while a specified operation takes place over a period of time. The time may be constant or variable. It is calculated beforehand and once the activity has started it will continue for this duration unless the logic of the model allows it to be interrupted. Time of process or activity: Fixed time Stochastic – generated from random number sequence to provide a sample from a given distribution Use of term Micro-Simulation because consider every individual entity not just the average behaviour. Hence obtain maximum and minimum values of important parameters. 81906594 6 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 Design Model: what is the purpose of the simulation – who are the stake holders? e.g. client what entities (objects) to include? define the boundary to the model – what to leave out start simple add complexity as necessary what can be simplified? what are the attributes of the objects? what is the behaviour of each object? how do objects interact? how does the model start and end? what data is available to set up the model? what output data is needed to make useful predictions? check the level of detail of the model - add more complexity 81906594 7 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05 Insert PowerPoint slides Micro-Simulation Example Slides on Handling Time Glossary of Modelling Terms This glossary was provided by David Fone, University of Wales College of Medicine in a report: Systematic Review of the use and value of stochastic modelling in Population Health and Health Care Delivery; published in March 2001 81906594 8 Dr Terry Hinton 9/9/05
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