Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad Oslo, January 2013 We can always learn from history Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 2 Introduction: do smarter strategic choices! • Competitive advantages are based on – product and/or – process • “Sustainable competitive advantages” are challenged due to • Globalisation • Technology development • Deregulation • Consequence: strategy development is challenged Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 3 Implications «Unless today’s established corporations learn to reinvent themselves and their industries, much of the new wealth will be created by newcomers.» Gary Hamel (1997) Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 4 Strategy for the incumbents - stay on track or turn before it’s too late Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 5 Strategy for the entrepreneurs: new customers, new needs and new solutions Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 6 Different focus in different contexts • • • • • SMB: growth Large, multinational: complexity Professional partnership: individualism Non governmental organisation: strong values Public sector: the political dimension Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 7 Introduction – focus and process • Two typical starting points for strategic choice – Visionary front runner (proactive)à e.g. Google – Copy of competitors (reactive) à e.g. Microsoft • Ideally an analytical, sequential process: Internal analysis External analysis Strategy alternatives Evaluation - Realism - Feasibility - Accept (But this is not always the situation!) Implementation Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 8 Task: ”strategic” • What makes a choice ”strategic”? • What are the key success factors for an effective strategy process? Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 9 Introduction (ctd.) • What choices are really ”strategic”? ”Long term planning” “Important” - Lang term - Irreversible - Resource allocation - Risky - Involves top management - Urgent - Limited information flow - Involves consultants • What are the threats against a good strategy process? – External: complexity and information access – Internal: guts and time pressure Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 10 What is Strategy? • Origin-Greek word (strategos)-art of the general – Sun Tzu, Chinese military strategist in 500 B.C. – Modern-day application to business and competition dates to the 1960s • Plan versus Action - strategy is “explicit, rigorous formal planning” versus “a set of flexible, goal-oriented actions” • Strategy as Theory-how to compete successfully Ø Firms have both intended and emergent strategies Ø One firm’s strategies may not work in all situations Ø Past success does not guarantee future success Ø It is often difficult to change strategy Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 11 Fundamental Questions in Strategy • Why do firms differ? Ø Cultural differences between Western firms and Japanese companies Ø Networks of relationships have powerful effect • How do firms behave? Ø Industry-based view - focus on competitive forces within an industry that impact all firms Ø Resource-based (capabilities) view - focus on internal strengths and weaknesses, firm specific resources and capabilities Ø Institution-based view - focus on government and societal forces Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 12 Global Strategy and Globalization at a Crossroads • Three Defining Events - have brought corporate social responsibility, ethics, and governance to the forefront of strategic decisions Ø Anti-globalization protests - lost jobs, downward pressure on wages for unskilled labor, environmental destruction Ø Terrorist attacks - 9/11, Madrid, London Ø Corporate governance crisis - industrial financial crisis, U.S. scandals, EU Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 13 The “Strategy Tripod” Three Leading Perspectives on Strategy Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 14 The Essence of Strategy Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 15 Starting point: “where are we?” (aka SWOT) Internal analysis External analysis Strengths Opportunities Weaknesses Threaths Environmental models of competitive advantage Resource based models of competitive advantage Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 16 Environmental model… Michael Porter’s five forces give us an idea of how to analyze competition… Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 17 Resource-based model… - Firm Resource Heterogenity - Firm Resource Immobility Introduction to strategy Value Rareness Imperfect Imitability Sustained Competitive Advantage Non-Substitutability Tronn Å. Skjerstad 18 Institution based Considerations In additon to the resource based and industry based considerations, we need to address both the formal and informal institutions… Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 19 Institution based considerations • Institutions affect business decisions by signalling what behaviour that is acceptable (Peng 2009) • The institutional framework consists of – The formal institutions, e.g. political laws and rules, and economic contracts – The informal institutions are the social norms for behaviour in a society that are fundamental for cultural and ethical conditions Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 20 Music streaming is the future It creates an optimal user experience – a fun one! • • • • • • Access to a library of ALL music in the world – ever recorded Fixed-fee rental model - no need to own music Users explores new music in a totally different way – no need to decide to buy a track or album Accessible from all connected devices – PC, mobile, TV, home stereos,++ Offline-mode – play music when not online Sharing of music online gets a new dimension More people will play more music than ever before Task How do you predict that the music industry will develop in the next three to five years? Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 22 Music will become interactive and multimedia When music meets the interactive screens, music will become an interactive multimedia experience: • Music videos • More multimedia content; images, interactive presentations,++ • Background info: bios, lyrics, etc • Interaction between artist and their fans • Live concerts and simultaneous music listening • Ticketing Task The concept “business model” is frequently used in strategy processes. What is a “business model”? Introduction to strategy Tronn Å. Skjerstad 24 Task: “everything gets free, and (some) people are loosing their jobs” • Dagbladet is in “dire straits” 1500 Totalt – Dagbladet is loosing readers and revenues from advertisers at an increasing speed 1200 – Digital content is becoming increasingly popular among consumers, but Dagbladets revenues from digital content are small 900 Papir Nett • Suggest two-three strategic directions Dagbladet could follow towards 2016 – Offensive – Defensive – (Realistic) Introduction to strategy 1322 1289 1368 1316 1172 1069 966 957 1008 997 943 973 946 966 956 1112 1076 985 976 891 854 796 Do a “SWOT” for Dagbladet – At least 5 Ss, Ws, Os and Ts – Prioritize down to 2 of each 1304 1229 813 • 1302 788 789 788 906 780 669 683 600 635 555 504 469 437 300 259 278 1009 406 346 307 206 105 55 0 18 97/2 98/2 99/2 00/2 '01/2' '02/1' 03/1' 04/2' 05/1' 06/1' 07/2' 08/2' 09/2' 10/2' 11/2' 12/2' (Kilde: TNS Gallup, 2012) Tronn Å. Skjerstad 25
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