ICT adoption in Irish manufacturing: An example of merging two CSO business microdata sets Stefanie Haller CSO Business Statistics Seminar, Dublin 26 February 2008 Research question ● What drives the adoption and diffusion of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) at firm level? Approach • Important factors for technology adoption • Firm characteristics sectoral specialisation, firm size, internal organisation, human capital • Local industrial structure spillover effects, competitive pressure, network externalities • Information from two data sets • Census of Industrial Production (enterprise data) • Survey on E-Commerce and ICT Census of Industrial Production • collected annually in its current form since 1991 • covers all enterprises/local units with 3 or more employees in mining, manufacturing and utilities • contains information on turnover, employment (type), ownership, exports, location, industry affiliation • problems for use • employment refers to one week in September • imputed/estimated information Survey on E-Commerce and ICT • collected annually since 2003 (pilot 2002) • covers 40-50% of enterprises in CIP (sample re-drawn every year), broadly representative • contains information on internet usage, connection to internet, reasons for using the internet, sales and purchases via the internet, barriers to e-commerce • problems for use • data coding changed over time • addition/elimination of options to multiplechoice questions Final data set Merge CIP with E-Commerce Survey via unique plant identifier Obtain unbalanced panel of NACE sectors 15-36 – for period 2002-2004 for most indicators – for period 2001-2004 for information relating to monetary values – exclude sectors 16 (tobacco) and 23 (refined petroleum) for lack of variation and reasons of confidentiality Indicators of ICT adoption Two discrete indicators: 1) Has the enterprise received online orders 2) Index of services offered online (0-5): • • • • • marketing the enterprise’s products facilitating access to product catalogues and price lists customised page for repeat clients delivering digital products providing after sales support Two continuous indicators: 1) Share of employees using computers 2) Share of turnover due to online transactions Discrete indicators of ICT adoption - Summary statistics Firms % of firms using computers % of firms offering x services online 0 1 2 3 4 5 Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 1,748 2,121 1,459 88.0 91.3 96.2 62.0 59.7 47.8 18.0 18.9 25.6 12.8 14.1 17.3 4.9 5.3 6.4 1.8 1.4 2.0 Ownership domestic foreign 4,475 853 90.1 99.4 60.7 38.4 19.3 26.4 13.5 20.4 4.5 10.5 Total 5,328 91.6 57.2 20.4 14.6 5.5 Firms % firms accepting/ having received orders online 0.6 0.7 0.8 1,852 2,216 1,694 1,267 10.6 10.9 14.5 16.1 1.5 2.6 0.5 1.8 5,840 1,189 12.5 13.3 1.7 0.7 7,029 12.6 Continuous indicators of ICT adoption - Summary statistics Firms % of employees % of turnover using computers due to online (mean) transactions (mean) Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 1,801 2,149 1,650 1,235 32.5 33.6 36.7 1.23 1.19 1.87 2.13 Ownership domestic foreign 5,678 1,157 30.4 49.1 1.24 2.96 ICT classification ICT-producing ICT-using non ICT 321 2,505 4,009 57.3 39.6 28.7 4.64 1.62 1.23 6,835 34.0 1.53 Total Empirical Methodology Yijrt 1 ln toijrt 2 ln wpeijrt 3mantechijrt 4clerical ijrt 5exintijrt 6 multiijrt 7 ageijrt j r t ijrt where – lnto=log(turnover 1000€) – lnwpe=log(wages per employee in 1000€) – mantech: share of managerial & technical staff in employees – clerical: share of clerical staff in employees – exint: export intensity – multi=1 if enterprise is part of multi-plant enterprise • Probit regressions for discrete indicators of ICT adoption • Fractional logit regressions for continuous indicators of ICT adoption (Papke and Wooldridge, 1996) ICT adoption: Probit regressions for discrete indicators Dep. Variable lnto lnwpe mantech clerical age exint multi Dublin border midlands west mideast midwest southeast southwest 2001 2002 2003 2004 constant ICT producing ICT using non-ICT Obs Firms no of services offered online domestic firms foreign firms 1.156 (0.000) *** 1.130 (0.000) *** 1.089 (0.332) 1.178 (0.424) 2.900 (0.000) *** 2.333 (0.021) ** 3.470 (0.000) *** 3.288 (0.010) *** 0.996 (0.007) *** 0.995 (0.068) * 1.990 (0.000) *** 0.912 (0.530) 1.254 (0.077) * 0.865 (0.415) omitted category omitted category 0.824 (0.025) ** 1.383 (0.076) * 0.785 (0.035) ** 1.233 (0.393) 1.043 (0.648) 0.977 (0.904) 0.923 (0.379) 0.881 (0.535) 0.945 (0.583) 1.015 (0.944) 0.806 (0.011) ** 1.135 (0.441) 0.888 (0.141) 0.867 (0.361) 0 omitted category 1.012 (0.699) 1.205 (0.000) *** 7.689 (0.000) *** 1.407 (0.026) ** 1.343 (0.000) *** omitted category 4385 2460 omitted category 1.043 (0.557) 1.210 (0.018) ** 6.531 (0.003) *** 1.685 (0.000) *** 1.521 (0.000) *** omitted category 832 446 firm accepts/has received orders online domestic firms foreign firms 0.990 (0.696) 1.039 (0.428) 1.113 (0.251) 0.559 (0.015) ** 1.133 (0.580) 2.125 (0.056) * 2.484 (0.000) *** 1.356 (0.588) 1.003 (0.046) ** 1.001 (0.799) 1.488 (0.000) *** 0.881 (0.499) 0.861 (0.358) 0.971 (0.913) omitted category omitted category 0.756 (0.008) *** 1.027 (0.913) 0.660 (0.001) *** 0.513 (0.028) ** 1.021 (0.851) 0.524 (0.018) ** 0.832 (0.095) * 0.764 (0.296) 0.773 (0.030) ** 0.784 (0.296) 0.696 (0.000) *** 0.545 (0.022) ** 0.723 (0.001) *** 0.773 (0.277) omitted category omitted category 1.069 (0.180) 0.923 (0.444) 1.247 (0.000) *** 1.039 (0.731) 1.280 (0.000) *** 1.143 (0.267) 0.184 (0.000) *** 1.586 (0.553) 0.997 (0.988) 1.171 (0.318) 1.156 (0.020) ** 1.085 (0.625) omitted category omitted category 5678 2757 1108 474 ICT adoption: Fractional logit regressions for continuous indicators Dep. Variable lnto lnwpe mantech clerical age exint multi ind-reg spillovers ind spillovers Dublin border midlands west mideast midwest southeast southwest ICT producing ICT using non-ICT constant year dummies share of employees share of turnover due to using computers online transactions 0.017 (0.020) 0.227 (0.084) *** 0.607 (0.086) *** -0.391 (0.300) 2.200 (0.221) *** 0.375 (0.578) 2.591 (0.175) *** -0.622 (0.539) -0.003 (0.001) * -0.005 (0.005) 0.324 (0.076) *** 0.722 (0.250) *** 0.042 (0.112) -1.390 (0.468) *** 2.319 (0.225) *** 5.458 (0.365) *** 0.895 (0.238) *** 0.323 (0.745) omitted category omitted category -0.347 (0.080) *** -0.073 (0.304) -0.306 (0.102) *** -0.686 (0.383) * 0.007 (0.096) -0.785 (0.329) ** -0.225 (0.088) ** -0.295 (0.320) -0.151 (0.096) -0.738 (0.302) ** -0.256 (0.081) *** -0.495 (0.381) -0.081 (0.078) 0.031 (0.409) 0.614 (0.122) *** 0.175 (0.310) 0.387 (0.051) *** 0.169 (0.241) omitted category omitted category -6.350 (0.330) *** -5.960 (0.664) *** y y Summary and Conclusions • Firms with more skilled employees, firms in ICTrelated industries, firms located in the Dublin area more successful in ICT adoption • Proximity to firms that have adopted ICT positively associated with the share of employees using computers and the share of turnover due to online transactions • Patterns of ICT adoption differ for domestic and foreign-owned firms regarding size and export intensity Delays and differences in ICT adoption rates Empirical Methodology - horizontal spillovers • industry(j)-region(r) spillovers a Y jrt Indreg jrt = Y jrt • industry spillovers Y ajt − Y ajrt Ind j r t = Y jt − Y jrt where Ya = # of firms using computers if the dependent variable is the share of employees using computers = # of firms having received orders online if the dep. var. is the share of turnover due to internet transactions ICT adoption: Continuous indicators with interactions for foreign firms Dep. Variable share of employees using computers lnto lnwpe mantech clerical age exint multi fo fo_lnto fo_lnwpe fo_mantech fo_clerical fo_age fo_exint ind-reg spillovers ind spillovers constant region dummies time dummies ICT class -0,051 0,621 1,869 2,556 -0,001 0,279 0,020 -1,604 0,170 0,129 1,303 0,170 -0,006 -0,296 2,376 0,856 -5,903 y y y Obs / Firms LogL (0.023) ** (0.089) *** (0.257) *** (0.187) *** (0.001) (0.097) *** (0.122) (0.848) * (0.044) *** (0.295) (0.463) *** (0.514) (0.004) * (0.195) (0.226) *** (0.234) *** (0.336) *** 4.689 2.707 -2048,8 share of turnover due to online transactions 0,105 -0,064 -0,254 -0,345 -0,003 0,693 -1,387 1,176 0,234 -1,182 1,405 -0,772 0,004 0,497 5,464 0,242 -5,968 y y y (0.103) (0.333) (0.760) (0.425) (0.005) (0.282) ** (0.479) *** (2.908) (0.151) (1.053) (1.425) (1.897) (0.011) (0.610) (0.377) *** (0.757) (0.704) *** 6.188 3.041 -343,9
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