Chapter 1 Voting Page 1 of 17 Notes for Chapter 1 Voting Spring 2017 (11/9/16) Learning Objectives: Demonstrate an understanding of preference schedules, determine the outcome of an election using any of (5) voting methods and demonstrate an understanding of (4) fairness criteria. Chapter 1 Voting Page 2 of 17 4 Fairness Criteria 1.) Majority Fairness Criterion - Candidate with > 1/2 1st place votes “should” win 2.) Condorcet Fairness Criterion - if a candidate is compared one-on-one with every other candidate, then the candidate who wins the most comparisons “should” be the winner. 3.) Monotonicity Fairness Criterion - Say candidate X wins an election. If a re-election is required, and all vote changes favor X, then the winner “should” still be X. 4.) Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives Criterion - Say candidate X wins an election. If one of the losing candidates is removed, and the votes are recounted, X “should” still be the winner. Preference Ballot - lists candidates in order of voter preference: Example: election with 37 preference ballots Ballot A B C D Ballot C B D A Ballot D C B A Ballot B D C A 14 10 8 4 Ballot 1st place A 2nd place B 3rd place C 4th place D Ballot C D B A 1 = 37 voters Preference Schedule No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A = 37 voters 1.) Majority is > 1/2 1st place votes Look only at 1st place votes > ½ (14+10+8+4+1) A: 14 1st place votes > ½ (37) B: 4 1st place votes > 18.5 C: 10 + 1 = 11 1st place votes = 19 or more D: 8 1st place votes Note: no candidate has a majority (19 or more) no winner! 2.) Plurality Method - Most 1st place votes wins A: 14 A is WINNER B: 4 C: 10 + 1 = 11 Ranking using Plurality Method D: 8 A: 14 1st place C: 11 2nd place D: 8 3rd place B: 4 4th place Chapter 1 Voting Page 3 of 17 SOLUTIONS Practice problems page 28 2.) Given: 17 Preference Ballots Ballot C A D B Ballot B C D A Ballot A D B C Ballot C A D B Ballot C A D B Ballot C A D B Ballot A C D B Ballot A D B C Draw: preference schedule Ballot B C D A Ballot C A D B Ballot A D B C Ballot A C D B Ballot B C D A Ballot B C D A Ballot A D B C Ballot C A D B Ballot B C D A 2 ballots 6 ballots 5 ballots 4 ballots A C B A C A C D D D D B B B A C -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Voters 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 5 A B C D E 5 C E D A B 3 A D B C E 3 B E A C D 3 D C B E A 2 D C B A E 7a.) How many voters? 5+5+3+3+3+2= 21 7b.) What is majority? >1/2(5+5+3+3+3+2) >1/2(21) >10.5 = 11 or more 7c.) Which candidate had fewest last place votes? A=3 B=5 C=0 C had fewest D=3 There is no winner (Majority needs 11 or more) E = 10 Chapter 1 Voting Page 4 of 17 Voters 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 5 A B C D E 5 C E D A B 3 A D B C E 3 B E A C D 3 D C B E A 2 D C B A E 17a.) Use Plurality to find winner. In case of tie, player with fewer last place votes is winner of tie. Plurality Method - Most 1st place votes wins A = 5+3 = 8 B=3 C=5 D = 3+2 = 5 E=0 1st place votes 1st place votes 1st place votes 1st place votes 1st place votes A wins 17b.) Ranking using Plurality method: 1st place tie 2nd and 3rd tie 2nd and 3rd 4th place 5th place = A with 8 1st place votes = C with 5 each = D with 5 each = B with 3 = E with 0 Use tie breaker to break 2nd and 3rd place tie C has 0 last place votes, wins tie D has 3 last place votes C = 2nd place D = 3rd place Ranking: 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place =A =C =D =B =E Chapter 1 Voting Page 5 of 17 3.) Borda Count Method – add a number of points to each of the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc., place positions No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A Procedure: - assign descending order points to the preference table No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place points 4 3 2 1 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A - then calculate Borda Count points for each candidate: A: 14X4 + 10X1 + 8X1 + 4X1 + 1X1 = 79 pts. B: 14X3 + 10X3 + 8X2 + 4X4 + 1X2 = 106 pts. B is WINNER C: 14X2 + 10X4 + 8X3 + 4X2 + 1X4 = 104 pts. D: 14X1 + 10X2 + 8X4 + 4X3 + 1X3 = 81 pts. Ranking using Borda Count Method: B: 1st place C: 2nd place D: 3rd place A: 4th place Chapter 1 Voting Page 6 of 17 4.) Plurality with Elimination Method - Rounds of 1st place votes until a candidate has a majority of 1st place votes. No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A Majority is > ½ first place votes is > 14 + 10 + 8 + 4 + 1 is > 37 > 18.5 = 19 or more 2 2 Round 1 A has 14 1st place votes B has 4 1st place votes C has 11 1st place votes no candidate has 19; eliminate anybody with 0 and D has 8 1st place votes also person with fewest 1st place votes Eliminate B, redraw preference table Preference table with B removed: 1st place 2nd place 3rd place Round 2 14 A C D 10 C D A 8 D C A A has 14 C has 10 + 1 =11 D has 8 +4 = 12 4 D C A 1 C D A 1st place votes 1st place votes 1st place votes no candidate has 19; eliminate anybody with 0 and also person with fewest 1st place votes Eliminate C, redraw preference table 1st place 2nd place Round 3 14 A D 10 D A 8 D A 4 D A 1 D A A has 14 - 1st place votes D has 10 + 8 + 4 + 1 = 23 - 1st place votes = WINNER Ranking using Plurality with Elimination Method: D: 1st place (winner) A: 2nd place C: 3rd place (2nd eliminated) B: 4th place (1st eliminated) Chapter 1 Voting Page 7 of 17 Plurality with Elimination Method - Rounds of 1st place votes until a candidate has a majority of 1st place votes. No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 A C B D 4 B D C A 1 C D B A Majority is > ½ first place votes is > 14 + 10 + 8 + 4 + 1 is > 37 > 18.5 2 2 Round 1 A has 14 + 8 = 22 1st place votes B has 4 1st place votes C has 10 + 1 = 11 1st place votes D has none only one round needed = 19 or more A has majority ( >19 ) wins Chapter 1 Voting Page 8 of 17 Practice Problems page 31 23.) Borda Count Method insert points Choice 1ST 4 pts 2ND 3 pts 3RD 2 pts 4TH 1 pts a.) b.) 6 C D A B 5 A D C B 4 B D C A 2 B A C D 2 C B A D 2 C B D A 2 C D B A C: 6X4 + 5X2 + 4X2 + 2X2 + 2X4 + 2X4 + 2X4 D: 6X3 + 5X3 + 4X3 + 2X1 + 2X1 + 2X2 + 2X3 A: 6X2 + 5X4 + 4X1 + 2X3 + 2X2 + 2X1 + 2X1 B: 6X1 + 5X1 + 4X4 + 2X4 + 2X3 + 2X3 + 2X2 = 70 = 59 = 50 = 51 C is winner Ranking using Borda Count Method: C: 1st place (winner) D: 2nd place B: 3rd place A: 4th place 34.) Plurality with Elimination method Choice 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 6 A C D B 6 B C A D 5 B C D A 4 D A C B 3 A C D B 3 B A C D a.) Majority is >1/2 of (6+6+5+4+3+3) is > 1/2 of 27 is > 13.5 = 14 or more Round 1: A gets 6+3=9 B gets 6+5+3 = 14 C gets 0 D gets 4 1st place votes B wins in 1st round, no more rounds needed Round 2: not needed b.) Ranking using Plurality with Elimination method: B: 1st place (winner) A: 2nd place D: 3rd place C: 4th place Chapter 1 Voting Page 9 of 17 37.) Plurality with Elimination method 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 8 B E A C D 7 C E D A B 5 A B C D E 4 D C B E A 3 A D E C B 2 D B C A E Majority is >1/2 of (8+7+5+4+3+2) is > 1/2 of 29 is > 14.5 = 15 or more Round 1: B gets 8 1st place votes E gets 0 A gets 5+3=8 C gets 7 D gets 4+2=6 8 1 place B 2nd place A 3rd place C 4th place 5th place st 7 C A B 5 A B C 4 C B A 3 A C B no one gets 15 eliminate E and D redraw 2 B C A Round 2: B gets 8+2=10 A gets 5+3=8 C gets 7+4=11 no one gets 15 eliminate A redraw 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 place B C B C C B 2nd place C B C B B C 3rd place 4th place 5th place st Round 3: B gets 8+ 5+2=15 C gets 7+ 4+3=14 b.) B wins Ranking using Plurality with Elimination method: B: 1st place (winner) C: 2nd place A: 3rd place (3rd eliminated) D: 4th place (2nd eliminated) E: 5th place (1st eliminated) Chapter 1 Voting Page 10 of 17 Pairwise Comparison Method is the Condorcet Criteria method….satisfies the Majority, Condorcet, and Monotonicity fairness criteria. Hint: no. comparisons to make: (N-1)(N) ; where N = no. candidates 2 A B C D AvsB BvsC CvsD AvsC (N-1)(N) = (4-1)(4) = 6 comparisons 2 2 BvsD AvsD In each one/one or pairwise comparison, give winner 1 point, loser 0 points. If tie, give each 1/2 point No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A Comparison 1.) A vs B 14 10 8 4 1 14 23 B wins; give B 1 point No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A Comparison 2.) C vs D 14 8 10 4 1 25 12 C wins; give C 1 point Chapter 1 Voting Page 11 of 17 No. Voters 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 14 A B C D 10 C B D A 8 D C B A 4 B D C A 1 C D B A The other 4 comparisons: Comp 3.) B vs C Comp 4.) B vs D 14 10 14 8 4 8 10 1 1 4 18 19 28 9 give C 1 point Comp 5.) A vs C 14 10 8 4 1 14 23 give B 1 point C vs A no, this is a repeat C vs B no, this is a repeat C vs D no, this is a repeat D vs A no, this is a repeat D vs B no, this is a repeat D vs C no, this is a repeat give C 1 point All other comparisons are repeats, don’t use Summarize: B gets +1+1 = +2 C gets +1+1+1= +3 = winner D gets +1 A gets none Ranking by Pairwise comparison: C 1st place B 2nd place D 3rd place A 4th place Comp 6.) A vs D 14 10 8 4 1 14 23 give D 1 point Chapter 1 Voting Page 12 of 17 Another example: illustrates tied comparisons…give each ½ point. 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 15 A B C D E 3 B A C D E 6 D E C A B 12 E B A D C Must make (5-1)(5) = (4)(5) = 10 valid 2 2 comparisons 1.) A vs B: 15 3 6 12 21 15 A gets 1 2.) A vs C: 15 6 3 12 30 6 A gets 1 3.) A vs D: 15 6 3 12 30 6 A gets 1 4.) A vs E: 15 6 3 12 18 18 A gets ½ E gets ½ 5.) B vs C: 15 6 3 12 12 30 6 B gets 1 6.) B vs D: 15 6 3 12 30 6 B gets 1 7.) B vs E: 15 6 3 12 18 18 B gets ½ E gets ½ 8.) C vs D: 15 6 3 12 18 18 C gets ½ D gets ½ 9.) C vs E: 15 6 3 12 18 18 C gets ½ E gets ½ 10.) D vs E: 15 12 3 6 24 12 D gets 1 All other comparisons between A, B, C, D, E will be duplicates Summary: A gets 1+1 +1+1/2 = 3-1/2 B gets 1+1+1/2 = 2-1/2 C gets 1/2 + 1/2 =1 D gets 1 +1/2 = 1-1/2 E gets 1/2+1/2+1/2 = 1-1/2 Ranking: A WINS! B 2nd E 3rd tied for D 4th 3rd and 4th C last need a tie breaker rule to break this Chapter 1 Voting Page 13 of 17 Examples of Fairness Criteria violations Borda violates Majority Criterion: st 1 place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 4 3 2 1 6 A B C D 2 B C D A 3 C D B A Majority > ½ (6+2+3) = 6 or more A: 6 Winner B: 2 C: 3 violation Borda: A: 6X4 + 2X1 + 3X1 = 29 B: 6X3 + 2X4 + 3X2 = 32 Winner C: 6X2 + 2X2 + 3X4 = 28 D: 6X1 + 2X2 + 3X3 = 19 Plurality violates Condorcet Criterion(= PWC): 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 5th place 49 R H F O S 48 H S O F R 3 F H S O R Plurality R: 49 Winner H: 48 F: 3 violation PWC: Must make (5-1)(5) = (4)(5) = 10 comparisons 2 2 R vs H = + 49 - 48 - 3 = -2 R vs F = + 49 - 48 - 3 = -2 R vs O = + 49 - 48 - 3 = -2 R vs S = + 49 - 48 - 3 = -2 H vs F = + 49 + 48 - 3 = +94 H vs O = + 49 + 48 + 3 = +100 H vs S = + 49 + 48 + 3 = +100 F vs O = + 49 - 48 + 3 = +4 F vs S = + 49 - 48 + 3 = +4 O vs S = + 49 - 48 - 3 = -2 H gets 1 point F gets 1 point O gets 1 point S gets 1 point H gets 1 point H gets 1 point H gets 1 point F gets 1 point F gets 1 point S gets 1 point H: 4 points Winner F: 3 points O: 1 point S: 2 points R: 0 points Chapter 1 Voting Page 14 of 17 Plurality with Elimination violates Monotonicity Criterion: 7 A B C 8 10 B C C A A B 2 A C B Majority > ½ (27) = 14 or more 1st place 2nd place 3rd place 7 8 10 A C C C A A 2 A C Round 2 1st place 2nd place Round 1 A has 9 1st place votes C has 10 1st place votes B has 8 1st place votes no candidate has 14; eliminate B A has 9 C has 18…. C wins! Wait a minute, election is not valid because poll inspectors were late arriving (or some other procedural reason), must….DO OVER. While waiting for voting to commence again, the 2 voters in the last column decide to switch their votes to favor the winner (C) because they hoped to be a “friend” of the winner C. DO OVER: 1 place 2nd place 3rd place 7 A B C 1st place 2nd place 7 8 B B C C st 8 10 B C C A A B 10 A B 2 C A B A has 7 1st place votes C has 12 1st place votes B has 8 1st place votes 2 A B A has 12 1st place votes B has 15 1st place votes…B wins! no candidate has 14; eliminate A What happened? C won. Then, in a revote with all vote changes favoring the winner, C should win according to the Monotonicity Fairness Criteria, but it didn’t Chapter 1 Voting Page 15 of 17 Pairwise Comparison violates Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives Criterion: No.voters 1st place 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 2 A D C B E 6 B A C D E 4 B A D E C 1 C B A D E 1 C D A B E 4 D A E C B 4 E C D B A A vs. B etc. A vs. C etc. A won 3 comparisons B won 2 ½ “ C won 2 “ D won 1 ½ “ E won 1 “ skipped details A WINS Wait a minute, election not valid because one of the losers (C) not eligible to participate. Remove C and recalculate… No.voters 1st place 2nd 3rd 4th 2 A D B E 6 B A D E 4 B A D E 1 B A D E 1 D A B E 4 D A E B A vs. B etc. A vs. D etc. skipped details 4 E D B A A won 2 comparisons B won 2 ½ “ D won 1 ½ “ E won 0 “ B wins What happened? A won. When a losing candidate is removed and Pairwise comparison method recalculated, B wins. PWC violated Condorcet criteria. Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem - there is no voting method that will satisfy all the fairness criteria all the time. Chapter 1 Voting Page 16 of 17 Practice Problems: page 32 44a.) Pairwise comparison method Choice 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 6 A C D B 6 B C A D 5 B C D A 4 D A C B 3 A C D B AvsB: 13 votes to 14 votes AvsC: 16 votes to 11 votes AvsD: 18 votes to 9 votes BvsC: 14 votes to 13 votes BvsD: 14 votes to 13 votes CvsD: 23 votes to 4 votes 3 B A C D B wins A wins A wins B wins B wins C wins (N-1)(N)/2 = (3)(4)/2 = 12/2 = 6 head to head comparisons B gets 1 point A gets 1 point A gets 1 point B gets 1 point B gets 1 point C gets 1 point A=2 B = 3 wins C=1 D=0 b.) Ranking by Pairwise comparison: B 1st place A 2nd place C 3rd place D 4th place 51.) Borda Count vs Condorcet Fairness Criteria. st 1 place 2nd place 3rd place 4th place 4 3 2 1 6 A B C D 2 B C D A 3 C D B A Condorcet Criteria is Pairwise Comparison method Borda Count method A: 6X4+2X1+3X1= 29 B: 6X3+2X4+3X2= 32 C: 6X2+2X3+3X4= 30 D: 6X1+2X2+3X3= 19 B wins AvsB: 6 votes to 5 votes A gets 1 point AvsC: 6 votes to 5 votes A gets 1 point AvsD: 6 votes to 5 votes A gets 1 point BvsC: 8 votes to 3 votes B gets 1 point BvsD: 8 votes to 3 votes B gets 1 point CvsD: 11 votes to 0 votes C gets 1 point A wins Borda Count method violated Condorcet Fairness Criteria (which is the Pairwise Comparison method) (selected B) (selected A) Chapter 1 Voting Page 17 of 17 53.) Plurality vs Independent Irrelevant Alternatives Criteria 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 49 R H F O S 48 H S O F R 3 F H S O R Plurality = most 1st place votes wins R = 49 H = 48 F = 3 R wins O= 0 S= 0 What if F (loser) is eliminated, IIAC says R should still win. 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 49 R H O S 48 H S O R 3 H S O R Plurality = most 1st place votes wins R = 49 H = 48 + 3 = 51 F gone H wins….Plurality violated IIAC O= 0 S= 0
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