Chapter 3 The External Assessment Ahsan Ali Ashraf Faculty Member at Lahore LEADS University, Department of Management Sciences Ch 3 -1 External Strategic Management Audit Identify & Evaluate factors beyond the control of a single firm – Increased foreign competition – Population shifts – Information technology – Globalization Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -2 Key External Forces & the Organization 1) All Stakeholders Key External Forces Lahore LEADS University Competitors Suppliers Distributors Creditors Customers Employees Communities Managers Stockholders Labor Unions Special Interest Groups 2). Products Services Opportunities & Threats Ch 3 -3 Performing External Audit Long-term orientation External Factors Measurable Applicable to competing firms Hierarchical Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -4 I/O Perspective Firm Performance Industry Properties Economies of Scale Barriers to market entry Product differentiation Level of competitiveness Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -5 Social, Cultural, Demographic & Environmental Forces U.S. Facts •Aging population •Widening gap between rich & poor •2025 = 18.5% population >65 years •2075 = no ethnic or racial majority Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -6 Key Social, Cultural, Demographic & Environmental Variables Childbearing rates Number of special interest groups Number of marriages & divorces Number of births & deaths Immigration rates Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -7 Political, Government & Legal Forces Globalization of Industry • Worldwide trend toward similar consumption patterns • Global buyers and sellers • E-commerce • Technology for instant currency transfers Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -8 Competitive Forces Identifying Rival Firms •Strengths •Weaknesses •Capabilities •Opportunities •Threats •Objectives •Strategies Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -9 The Five-Forces Model of Competition Potential development of substitute products Bargaining power of suppliers Rivalry among competing firms Bargaining power of consumers Potential entry of new competitors Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -10 Industry Analysis: The External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Matrix Summarize & Evaluate Economic Demographic Governmental Social Environmental Technological Cultural Political Competitive Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -11 External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE) 1) List key external factors as identified in the external-audit process. Include a total of 15 to 20 factors, including both opportunities and threats, that affect the firm and its industry. List the opportunities first and then the threats. Be as specific as possible, using percentages, ratios, and comparative numbers whenever possible. Recall that Edward Deming said, “In God we trust. Everyone else bring data.” 2) Assign to each factor a weight that ranges from 0.0 (not important) to 1.0 (very important). The weight indicates the relative importance of that factor to being successful in the firm’s industry. Opportunities often receive higher weights than threats, but threats can receive high weights if they are especially severe or threatening. Appropriate weights can be determined by comparing successful with unsuccessful competitors or by discussing the factor and reaching a group consensus. The sum of all weights assigned to the factors must equal 1.0. Ch 3 -12 3) Assign a rating between 1 and 4 to each key external factor to indicate how effectively the firm’s current strategies respond to the factor, where 4 = the response is superior, 3 = the response is above average, 2 = the response is average, and 1 = the response is poor. Ratings are based on effectiveness of the firm’s strategies. Ratings are thus company-based, whereas the weights in Step 2 are industry-based. It is important to note that both threats and opportunities can receive a 1, 2, 3, or 4. 4) Multiply each factor’s weight by its rating to determine a weighted score. 5) Sum the weighted scores for each variable to determine the total weighted score for the organization. Copyright 2007 Prentice Hall Ch 3 -13 Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -14 Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -15 Industry Analysis EFE Total weighted score of 4.0 • Organization response is outstanding to threats and weaknesses Total weighted score of 1.0 • Firm’s strategies not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding threats Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -16 Industry Analysis: Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM) Identifies firm’s major competitors and their strengths & weaknesses in relation to a sample firm’s strategic positions Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -17 Gateway Apple Dell Wt Rating Wt’d Score Ratin g Wt’d Score Rating Wt’d Score Market share 0.15 3 0.45 2 0.30 4 0.60 Inventory sys 0.08 2 0.16 2 0.16 4 0.32 Fin. position 0.10 2 0.20 3 0.30 3 0.30 Prod. Quality 0.08 3 0.24 4 0.32 3 0.24 Cons. Loyalty 0.02 3 0.06 3 0.06 4 0.08 Sales Distr 0.10 3 0.30 2 0.20 3 0.30 Global Exp. 0.15 3 0.45 2 0.30 4 0.60 Org. Structure 0.05 3 0.15 3 0.15 3 0.15 CSF’s Lahore LEADS University Ch 3 -18 Gateway Apple Dell CSF’s (cont’d) Wt Rating Wt’d Score Ratin g Wt’d Score Rating Wt’d Score Prod. Capacity 0.04 3 0.12 3 0.12 3 0.12 E-commerce 0.10 3 0.30 3 0.30 3 0.30 Customer Serv 0.10 3 0.30 2 0.20 4 0.40 Price competitive 0.02 4 0.08 1 0.02 3 0.06 Mgt. experience 0.01 2 0.02 4 0.04 2 0.02 Total 1.00 Lahore LEADS University 2.83 2.47 3.49 Ch 3 -19
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