Objectives of the Project Expected Results Remaining Work Plan

Travis P Dunn
(MIT PhD Student)
PhD, Transportation, MIT, expected 2010
SM, Transportation, MIT, 2005
BS, Civil Engineering, Texas-Austin,
2003
BA, Humanities, Texas-Austin, 2003
Alternative Strategy Development
Frameworks for Surface
Transportation Systems
Supervisors: J Sussman (MIT), C Zegras (MIT), H Balakrishnan (MIT)
MIT-Portugal associated research project: SCUSSE, SOTUR
Research team: R Macário, C Zegras, J Sussman, M Spandou, L Rayle,
C Grillo, S Melibaeva
deployment of advanced communications and mobility technologies
Objectives of the Project
Advanced mobility and communications technologies have generated
improvements in the operations of transportation infrastructure and
services. The objective of this project is to study potential strategic
applications of advanced technologies and the data they generate by:
creating alternative frameworks for surface transportation infrastructure
strategy development, predicting the investment strategies resulting
from each framework, and, finally, evaluating the performance of the
various strategies
generation of data with potential applications to the transportation sector
Range of Applications:
Real-time
(Operational)
Strategic
Framework
• Institutional structure
Apply
performance
metrics
Strategy
Apply
models
Investments in
Performance
• Efficiency
• Decision-making process
transport infrastructure
• Accessibility
• Geographic scale
over time and space
• Sustainability
Remaining Work Plan
Summer 2009 - Build and calibrate an agent-based model to predict
strategies that result from alternative strategy development
frameworks
Fall 2010 - Model alternative strategy development frameworks and
evaluate performance of each
Winter 2010 - Synthesis of results and conclusions
Expected Results
Geographic Scale
Geographic
scales
Decision-making
processes
Institutional
structures
Institutional
Structure
Decision -Making Process
Revenues
Resource
Allocation
National
SOE
General Taxes Negotiated
Regional
Concession User Fees
Rational
Municipal
SOE
Mixed
Rational
Hybrid NationalRegional
SOE
Mixed
Rational
Hybrid NationalMunicipal
Concession User Fees
Negotiated
S1
N
Customers
Nation
Suppliers
Infrastructure
S2
We define a framework as the combination of an institutional structure,
decision-making process, and geographic scale. Quantitatively, we will
model the investment strategies in a transportation infrastructure
network that result from each of several alternative strategy development
frameworks and, subsequently, evaluate the performance of those
investments according to transportation performance metrics. We will
also evaluate the performance of a broader range of frameworks
qualitatively according to such metrics as feasibility, geographic equity,
financial sustainability, efficiency, and economic development. The
results of these evaluations will provide insights into which frameworks in particular, the institutional structures, decision-making processes, and
geographic scales - are likely to produce desirable surface transportation
strategies in Portugal
Com o apoio / with support of:
R1
R2
R3
R4
Regions
R5
…
$
M1
M2
M3
M3
M5
…
M308
Sn
Municipalities