WORK PLAN AND TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS FOR SELECTING NATIONAL SURVEY AGENCIES FOR SELDI 2015/2016 – REGIONAL CORRUPTION MONITORING SYSTEM 1. Countries: Albania Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia FYR Macedonia Kosovo Montenegro Serbia Turkey 2. Objectives The main objective of the quantitative surveys is to provide comparable information about corruption perceptions and intensity of corrupt practices in different sectors of public life. Corruption Indexes (CI) will be computed on the basis of this survey according to the Corruption Monitoring System (CMS) developed by CSD. The current project is designed to be comparable with previous SELDI projects implemented in the region in 2001, 2002, and 2014. 3. Project Methodology National random sample survey of the population aged 18 and over. Information will be collected through in-home face-to-face interviews. Sample size will be (at least) N=1000 for each country. Each agency chosen nationally to conduct the survey, should describe: its own experience in carrying out similar surveys; the number of interviewers and their experience; qualification in the area; time needed for the completion of the fieldwork. Agencies should also specify, in detail, their procedures for data quality control (logical checking of completed questionnaires, control of the work of interviewers, etc.). 1 3.1. Questionnaire The estimated duration of the interview is about 25 - 35 minutes. Questionnaires will be provided in English and the respective national language. 3.2. Sample Size and Sampling Plan Sample size: at least 1000 completed interviews for each country, at least 100 clusters (or primary sampling units - PSU) should be used – no more than 10 interviews per cluster. Sample type: two-stage proportional stratified random sample. First stage: 1. Strata are defined according to the particular country’s NUTS2 (or NUTS3) regions and settlement size categories (up to 500 citizens, 501-9999, 10 000 – 49 999, 50 000 +, capital and other major cities with settlement 1 000 000 +) 2. Population is distributed in the Strata cells and proportions of the different cells are computed 3. At least 100 clusters are selected proportionally to the population structure. For each cell from the structure the necessary number of clusters is selected randomly. Settlements with less than 100 people population can be replaced with other of the same NUTS2 and size <500 (or excluded from the database if they do not represent a large part of the 18+ population). 4. If in a particular cell there are more clusters than settlements (e.g. 4 clusters but only 2 cities), the distribution of clusters is proportional to the settlements size (e.g. if one of the two cities in this cell has population 300 000 and the other 100 000, three clusters go to the first city and 1 to the second city). 5. The urban/rural proportion (towns and cities vs. villages) should be preserved in the overall sample of clusters. Example for the first stage (with actual data for Bulgaria): Population 18+ Bulgaria (Census 2011) 1000049999 Over 50000 Capital – Sofia City TOTAL NUTS 2 Up to 500 501-9999 BG31 North-West (Severozapaden) 70610 297560 202812 140954 711936 BG32 North-Central (Severen tsentralen) 61321 291799 139757 236319 729196 BG33 North-East (Severoiztochen) 84300 206807 83828 424572 799507 BG34 South-East (Yugoiztochen) 76598 250450 140499 418205 885752 BG41 South-West (Yugozapaden) 70237 346066 236738 127495 1021070 1801606 BG42 South-Central (Yuzhen tsentralen) 129087 433686 224268 447656 1234697 TOTAL 492153 1826368 1027902 1795201 1021070 6162694 Source - Census 2011, National Statistical Institute: http://www.nsi.bg/census2011/indexen.php 2 Proportions BG31 BG32 BG33 BG34 BG41 BG42 TOTAL 10000Up to 500 501-9999 49999 50000 + Sofia TOTAL 1,15% 4,83% 3,29% 2,29% 11,55% 1,00% 4,73% 2,27% 3,83% 11,83% 1,37% 3,36% 1,36% 6,89% 12,97% 1,24% 4,06% 2,28% 6,79% 14,37% 1,14% 5,62% 3,84% 2,07% 16,57% 29,23% 2,09% 7,04% 3,64% 7,26% 20,04% 7,99% 29,64% 16,68% 29,13% 16,57% 100% Distribution of clusters-per-strata/cell, if 10 respondents per cluster (N=1000) is used Up to 500 BG31 BG32 BG33 BG34 BG41 BG42 TOTAL 1000049999 501-9999 50000 + Sofia 1 5 3 2 1 5 2 4 2 3 1 7 1 4 2 7 1 6 4 2 2 8 7 30 4 16 7 29 TOTAL 11 12 13 14 30 17 20 17 100 Second stage: 1. No more than 10 people from each cluster are to be interviewed 2. In each of the randomly selected clusters a random address is selected (so called random starting point in the populated area/region/settlement). 3. Random route, “right hand principle” is used - the first step is to stand on the street at the starting address, facing towards the end of the street. The right side of the street is chosen and the walking direction is towards the end of the street. In this direction the second door has to be found and contact attempted. When the interviewer reaches the end of the street, he/she turns right and continues in the same manner. If there are block of flats, the interviewer starts from the top floor, going down and attempting contact at every second flat. 4. Only dwelling units are to be chosen. At every address up to three recalls should be made in order to make an interview with the chosen respondent. 5. The results from the contact attempts (even the unsuccessful ones) are written down in a field form which is used later to compute the response rate in the technical report. 6. Last birthday method for respondent selection, one interview per household - the criteria of choosing the respondent in the dwelling are the following: the member of the family, who is at least 18 years old, and has had the last birthday should be interviewed (each member has equal chance to be included in the survey); the respondent has to be a permanent resident of the household contacted; only one person per household should be interviewed. A sampling plan template will be sent to the agencies to be filled in with fresh data for their country and then approved together with the actual sample by CSD. Another template with fresh demographic data for the country will be filled in for the purposes of weighting the files. A field form example and technical report template will be provided by CSD. 3 3.3. Data processing: Logical review, data entry, data cleaning, production of SPSS data file The final data file should be provided in SPSS, using a SPSS template (datamap) sent by CSD. Country specific variables could be added at the end of the data file. The final data file should be checked for logical inconsistencies, for “out of range” values and for other problems. Each file will be checked by CSD when submitted and if there are logical or statistical inconsistencies or deviations, the issues will be discussed with the agency responsible for the fieldwork. 3.4. Technical report After the completion of fieldwork and the data processing, agencies will have to prepare and submit a Technical Report including detailed information about: Sampling plan and fulfillment of the sampling plan (any intentional or unintentional changes, replacements, deviations from the original, approved sampling plan) Response rates (computed according to the template provided by CSD) Comparative demographic information: tables including data from the sample and from the national statistical authority in the country (age, gender, regional distribution, urban and rural population, ethnic structure) Field log summary (field duration, major problems during the fieldwork, problems found during the data quality checking and the control of the interviewers’ work, major political or other occurrences for that country which could influence participants’ answers, etc.) 4. Timetable Fieldwork is planned to be conducted and completed in all countries in January- February 2016, and all survey deliverables (see p. 5 below) should be submitted no later than end of February 2016. Local agencies should develop a work plan with concrete dates for the implementation of the project, submit this plan to CSD and follow the specific deadlines at the project implementation stage. Project stages Description of work Stage 1 Preparation of survey CSD: Sample plan template Template for statistical data about population Fieldwork materials and templates SPSS datamap Technical Report template Agency: - Work plan - Sampling plan. To be submitted and checked by CSD - Final fieldwork materials (Local questionnaire, field forms). To be submitted and checked by CSD Time period (02.01.2016 – 29.02.2016) December 2015 December 2015 4 Stage 2 Stage 3 Fieldwork To be conducted by Agency according to the submitted work plan Data entry, checking and data cleaning Agency: - Submit to CSD clean SPSS datafile (according to provided template) - Submit to CSD Technical report on the survey (based on submitted template) - Respond to CSD requests regarding data and Technical Report CSD: - Check consistency of data file - Ask for correction and verification of data (if necessary) - Check consistency of Technical Report and ask for clarifications (if necessary) Total: 5. Deliverables that will be expected by the Agencies Description of the methodology and description of the Local Agency (experience in carrying out similar surveys, the number of interviewers and their experience, qualification in the area, procedures for data quality control - logical checking of completed questionnaires, control of the work of interviewers, etc.) Local work plan – the different project stages with suggested number of days for each stage and time period Sampling plan and sample A clean SPSS data file Technical Report This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union. The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of the SELDI initiative and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union. 5
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