Problems from Industry: Case Studies Huaxiong Huang Department of Mathematics and Statistics York University Toronto, Ontario, Canada M3J 1P3 http://www.math.yorku.ca/~hhuang Supported by: NSERC, MITACS, Firebird, BCASI Outline • Stress Reduction for Semiconductor Crystal Growth. – Collaborators: S. Bohun, I. Frigaard, S. Liang. • Temperature Control in Hot Rolling Steel Plant. – Collaborators: J. Ockendon, Y. Tan. • Optimal Consumption in Personal Finance. – Collaborators: M. Cao, M. Milevsky, J. Wei, J. Wang. Stress Reduction during Crystal Growth • Growth Process: • Simulation: Problem and Objective • Problem: • Objective: model and reduce thermal stress Thermal Stress Dislocations Full Problem • Temperature + flow equations + phase change: Basic Thermal Elasticity • Thermal elasticity • Equilibrium equation • von Mises stress • Resolved stress (in the slip directions) A Simplified Model for Thermal Stress • Temperature • Growth (of moving interface) • Meniscus and corner • Other boundary conditions Non-dimensionalisation • Temperature • Boundary conditions • Interface Approximate Solution • Asymptotic expansion • Equations up-to 1st order • Lateral boundary condition • Interface • Top boundary 0th Order Solution • Reduced to 1D! • Pseudo-steady state • Cylindrical crystals • Conic crystals 1st Order Solution • Also reduced to 1D! • Cylindrical crystals • Conic crystals • General shape • Stress is determined by the first order solution (next slide). Thermal Stress • Plain stress assumption • Stress components • von Mises stress • Maximum von Mises stress Size and Shape Effects Shape Effect II Convex Modification Concave Modification Stress Control and Reduction • Examples from the Nature [taken from Design in Nature, 1998 ] Other Examples Stress Control and Reduction in Crystals • Previous work – Capillary control: controls crystal radius by pulling rate; – Bulk control: controls pulling rate, interface stability, temperature, thermal stress, etc. by heater power, melt flow; – Feedback control: controls radial motion stability; – Optimal control: using reduced model (Bornaide et al, 1991; IrizarryRivera and Seider, 1997; Metzger and Backofen, 2000; Metzger 2002); – Optimal control: using full numerical simulation (Gunzburg et al, 2002; Muller, 2002, etc.) ; – All assume cylindrical shape (reasonable for silicon); no shape optimization was attempted. • Our approach – Optimal control: using semi-analytical solution (Huang and Liang, 2005); – Both shape and thermal flux are used as control functions. Stress Reduction by Thermal Flux Control • Problem setup • Alternative (optimal control) formulation • Constraint Method of Lagrange Multiplier • Modified objective functional • Euler-Lagrange equations Stress Reduction by Shape Control • Optimal control setup • Euler-Lagrange equations Results I: Conic Crystals Three Flux Variations Stress at Final Length History of Max Stress Results II: Linear Thermal Flux Crystal Shape Max Stress Growth Angle Results III: Optimal Thermal Flux Crystal Shape Max Stress Growth Angle Parametric Studies: Effect of Penalty Parameters Crystal Shape Max Stress Growth Angle Conclusion and Future Work • • • • Stress can be reduced significantly by control thermal flux or crystal shape or both; Efficient solution procedure for optimal control is developed using asymptotic solution; Sensitivity and parametric study show that the solution is robust; Improvements can be made by – incorporating the effect of melt flow (numerical simulation is currently under way); – incorporating effect of gas flow (fluent simulation shows temporary effect may be important); – Incorporating anisotropic effect (nearly done). Temperature Control in Hot-Rolling Mills • Cooling by laminar flow • Q1: Bao Steel’s rule of thumb • Q2: Is full numerical solution necessary for the control problem? Model • Temperature equation and boundary conditions Non-dimensionalization • Scaling • Equations and BCs • Simplified equation Discussion • Exact solution • Leading order approximation • Temperature via optimal control Optimal Consumption with Restricted Assets • Examples of illiquid assets: – Lockup restrictions imposed as part of IPOs; – Selling restrictions as part of stock or stock-option compensation packages for executives and other employees; – SEC Rule 144. • Reasons for selling restriction: – Retaining key employees; – Encouraging long term performance. • Financial implications for holding restricted stocks: – Cost of restricted stocks can be high (30-80%) [KLL, 2003]; • Purpose of present study: – Generalizing KLL (2003) to the stock-option case.; – Validate (or invalidate) current practice of favoring stocks. Model • Continuous-time optimal consumption model due to Merton (1969, 1971): – Stochastic processes for market and stock – Maximize expected utility Model (cont.) – Dynamics of the option – Dynamics of the total wealth – Proportions of wealth Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equation • A 2nd order, 3D, highly nonlinear PDE. Solution of HJB • First order conditions • HJB • Terminal condition (zero bequest) • Two-period Approach Post-Vesting (Merton) • Similarity solution • Key features of the Merton solution – Holing on market only; – Constant portfolio distribution; – Proportional consumption rate (w.r..t. total wealth). Vesting Period (stock only) • Incomplete similarity reduction • Simplified HJB (1D) • Numerical issues – Explicit or implicit? – Boundary conditions; loss of positivity, etc. Vesting Period (stock-option) • Incomplete similarity reduction • Reduced HJB (2D) • Numerical method: ADI. Results: value function Results: optimal weight and consumption Option or stock?
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