PE Forces the Exit Doors Wide Open FEBRUARY 2015 Private equity-backed IPOs rise in 2014 Growth in PE-backed share of IPO market 40% Last year was a buoyant one for global private equity (PE)- backed initial public offerings (IPOs). PE-backed companies raised US$91 billion from 149 deals, an increase of 94 percent by capital raised, and 41 percent by deals closed over 2013. 30% 20% PE-backed IPOs have been an increasingly important driver of IPO activity over the past two years. They now account for 36 percent of the overall IPO market by value, up from 28 percent in 2013, and 12 percent by deal volume, holding steady with 2013 levels. 10% 0% Market Share (%) 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mkt Share (Value) Capital Raised (US$B) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 0.9 10 10.0 0 2009 2013 2014 Mkt Share (Vol) Uptick in cross-border activity PE-backed IPOs # of Deals 33.3 150 125 100 5.3 7.3 4.8 18.9 23.4 2010 2011 Domestic Value Domestic Volume 57.6 41.6 50 2.2 25 16.8 2012 75 0 2013 2014 Cross-border Value Cross-border Volume PE-backed cross-border IPOs increased substantially in 2014, particularly deal values. Globally, companies raised US$33 billion from 22 PE-backed cross-border deals, surpassing 2013 levels of US$5.3 billion from 18 deals, the highest level of cross-border activity the market has seen by both value and volume. The Alibaba Group’s listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in September, in which the Chinese e-commerce company backed by a consortium of Chinese and US investors raised more than US$25 billion, accounted for a substantial proportion of the increase. Even without this deal, companies still raised US$8.25 billion in 21 deals, an increase of 56 percent by value and 17 percent by volume over 2013. Growth in capital raised from PE-backed cross-border IPOs outperformed that of domestic listings (which increased 39 percent in 2014). However, growth of domestic volumes rose 44 percent, driven predominantly by US (66 deals, up from 57 in 2013), UK (18 deals, up from 8 in 2013) and Australian (12 deals, up from 5 in 2013) PE-backed companies increasing their issuance in home markets. "2014 produced a decade high for exit values. We saw private equity sponsors continue to take advantage of improved market sentiment to dispose of portfolio investments, with the return of the IPO proving to be a particularly attractive exit route" - Michael Fieweger, Chair of Baker & McKenzie's Global Private Equity Practice New York plays a global role 2014 PE-backed cross-border IPOs: Exchange activity and regional deal flows The US continues to draw PE-backed foreign listings. The NYSE and NASDAQ received a total of eleven PE-backed, overseas-based company listings in 2014, including six from Europe and the Middle East (EME), three from China, one from Hong Kong, and one from Canada. Two EME companies, while domiciled for corporate purposes in Luxembourg, have their commercial operations in Latin America. Seven of the eleven cross-border listings into the US also involved a US-based PE firm on the investor side, indicating a tendency for US PE investors to seek exits on their foreign investments in their home market. In terms of issuer nations, China provided a steady stream of foreign listings, despite the moratorium on the domestic IPO market being lifted by Chinese regulators at the beginning of 2014. In addition to the Alibaba deal, two other Chinese technology companies listed in the US, and seven Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong. Implications of rising PE-backed cross-border IPOs The increased use of cross-border IPOs as an exit for private equity investments represents an important development in the global private equity industry. Historically, PE has flourished in markets such as the US and Europe where deep and liquid capital markets provide an important, although not the sole, exit route. In other markets, largely located in Asia and Latin America, PE investment has been inhibited by a perceived lack of exit options. The rise of cross-border IPOs, by providing an exit route for investors, could portend the expansion of PE investments in these markets. "PE as a global business will develop in parallel with a global approach to exits, and IPOs will be a vital element of this. We expect an increasingly important flow of investments in emerging jurisdictions as funds from around the world look for new opportunities and followon investments," says Michael Fieweger. "The ability to access mature capital markets for exits will be an important factor in the growth of emerging market private equity investments, particularly given the preponderance of minority investments and the more infrequent use of debt in emerging market transactions." Potential challenges in 2015 PE-backed cross-border IPOs by Chinese companies on US exchanges marked a tentative re-opening of US exit possibilities for Chinese companies, following controversies in 2011 and 2012, which led to the NYSE delisting or suspending trading for more than 100 Chinese-based companies. The US with its mature infrastructure and large investor pool, coupled with the success of the Alibaba deal, may entice more cross-border IPOs on US exchanges. However, the increased scrutiny of variable interest entities (VIEs) structures that Chinese companies often use to list on North American exchanges to avoid China's restrictions on foreign direct investment, is drawing increasing attention from regulators in both the US and China. Any restriction on the use of these structures may dampen investor enthusiasm for Chinese IPO listings by PEbacked companies. Analysts predict more volatile market activity moving into 2015. Increased geopolitical uncertainty has caused a number of IPOs to be shelved or cancelled in the EMEA region, and in fact the final quarter of 2014 produced more subdued levels of PE-backed cross-border IPO activity, with only two companies listing. Further, while Chinese issuers were a driving force of PE-backed crossborder IPOs until the end of the third quarter, the option of listing on domestic markets may become more attractive following the introduction of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in November, which simplifies investments in Shanghai stocks for international investors. “The rapid increase in crossborder IPOs demonstrates that companies can see real benefits from looking beyond their domestic markets for raising capital,” says Koen Vanhaerents, chair of Baker & McKenzie’s Global Capital Markets Practice Group. “However, with warning signs on the horizon, it is critical that companies carefully track global market conditions when considering their listing options in 2015.” Methodology To prepare this report, we sourced data from Thomson Reuters' Thomson ONE Equities database and used the Standard Initial Public Offering Eligible Flag to identify IPOs. Searches also included the Private Equity Backed IPO Issue Flag to identify deals in which the issuer was private equitybacked at the time of the IPO. We pulled the data on January 6, 2015 and analyzed it for cross-border involvement (i.e. IPOs in which the domiciled nation of the issuer was different from the nation of the stock exchange). Global Private Equity Baker & McKenzie’s Global Private Equity Practice Group advises a wide range of financial investors, portfolio companies and management teams. We have 300 private equity lawyers across Asia Pacific, Europe and the Americas. With support from a global network of legal resources, we can readily mobilize and integrate multidisciplinary teams to seamlessly execute cross-border transactions, structure funds and capture investment opportunities. Global Capital Markets Baker & McKenzie’s Global Capital Markets Practice Group is comprised of almost 350 securities lawyers in more than 50 offices, including the world’s leading financial centers. Over the past five years, the Global Capital Markets Practice Group has been involved as issuer’s or underwriter’s counsel in more than 530 equity and debt offerings, totalling US$350 billion. The practice is consistently ranked among the top corporate law firms globally. Additional crossborder listing resources, including the group’s 2014 Cross-Border IPO Index, can be found at www.crossborderlistings.com and on the Firm’s capital markets blog at www.thecapitaltrend.com. About Baker & McKenzie Founded in 1949, Baker & McKenzie advises many of the world’s most dynamic and successful business organizations through 5,600 fee earners and 5,300 professional staff in 77 offices in 47 countries. The Firm is known for its global perspective, deep understanding of the local language and culture of business, uncompromising commitment to excellence, and world-class fluency in its client service (www.bakermckenzie.com). For further information, please contact: Michael Fieweger Principal Chicago +1 312 861 8232 [email protected] Koen Vanhaerents Partner Brussels +3226393769 [email protected] ©2015 Baker & McKenzie. All rights reserved. Baker & McKenzie International is a Swiss Verein with member law firms around the world. In accordance with the common terminology used in professional service organizations, reference to a “partner” means a person who is a partner, or equivalent, in such a law firm. Similarly, reference to an “office” means an office of any such law firm. This may qualify as “Attorney Advertising” requiring notice in some jurisdictions. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.
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