BarcelonaPLUs 2017 Welcome BarcelonaPLUs 2017 PLUsForum The Framework • Three components – Listen – Use Exercises to Explore – Discussion with Group topics • OutPut f(x) InPut BarcelonaPLUs 2017 Agenda Friday KeyNote The Post Modern World What can we expect from a fundamental shift in social and economic reality? Professor Gordon Redding, Senior Affiliate Professor INSEAD State of Travel industry distribution Round 3 ~ Don Birch WeChat ~ Roy Graff BlockChain in Travel ~ Mak Izmaylov IATA NDC coming of age ~ Stephane Pingaud Skift trending topics ~ Davide Montali The BIG Debate ~ David & Alex Lunch Show & Tell ~ Value Proposition & Business Model Canvas Topic Work Groups Saturday Topics wrap up and reporting BarcelonaPLUs 2017 Travel Industry is a changing “Be careful what you wish for” Don Birch BarcelonaPLUs 2017 “We are all Disruptors now” Today’s Agenda 1) The Future is here now ~ Why we need to celebrate or perhaps worry! 2) Impact on Travel & Tourism 3) Impact on Society 4) Behaviour change ~ innovation & adaption If you have an existing business Why you need to worry! ONE ~ Dollar Shave Club 5 year old startup took on Gillette and secured 8% North America market share Unilever paid $1b for Dollar Shave in Y2016 Dollar Shave Club Low fixed, high variable costs No Factory Out sourced to DorCo, Korea No distribution system Out sourced to Kentucky No sales force Social media No R&D DorCo Marketing budget Social media, Youtube No IT infrastructure Amazon web services Made possible by the Internet, mass transportation, globalisation & viral marketing Gillette focused upon product and not customer ~ men don’t like to shop! Think customer Samsung does! Load late items Why they need to worry! TWO ~ Warp Speed Eye for Travel Mobile in Travel Chicago 16th/17th September 2009 “Ever since the hyped promise of WAP in the early 90s ~ the MobileWeb has consistently failed to take off as a commercial proposition. A constant stream of innovation and investment failed to find the magic formula which would make the web enabled cell phone an effective device for web based applications. That is until the confluence of smart phone technology, affordable user plans and the arrival of the whole social media phenomenon. Today we are seeing increasing reinvigorated interest in the MobileWeb with travel being a key target vertical” THREE ~ Why they need to worry! The Internet of Lifestyle Robotics/ VR/AR Materials AI Wearables InfoTech 4th Technology Revolution 3D printing IOT Energy storage BioTech IOLs ~ Internet of Life Style “We stand on the brink of a technological revolution that will fundamentally alter the way we live, work, and relate to one another. In its scale, scope, and complexity, the transformation will be unlike anything humankind has experienced before. We do not yet know just how it will unfold, but one thing is clear: the response to it must be integrated and comprehensive, involving all stakeholders of the global polity, from the public and private sectors to academia and civil society.” Klaus Schwab, Founder World Economic Forum, Davos The Fourth Industrial revolution We are entering the 3rd S-curve of Travel Distribution . . . and this will cause considerable disruption BCG “Travel Innovated” Where will the Innovation Action be ? • Three areas are especially ripe for innovation and disruption: travel inspiration, booking transparency, and unmanaged business travel. Keeping Up with the Start-Ups • To respond, travel suppliers need to play offense as well as defense, develop new capabilities, and learn to work with others, including intermediaries, competitors, and new entrants. Most of all, they need to put consumers first. ….and Gen Y Millennials (will) rule and Gen Z are coming Which means Mobile Payment an issue Rethinking our models • Hotels are discovering that they are social systems and not just places to stay • Marriott in Miami is a major running centre • CitizenM hotels ~ SocietyM Innovation & Change Characteristics Speed Scope Scale But now the Fourth Industrial revolution ~ ‘Convergence’ Ever faster adoption of new technology ~ USA 90% Electricity 70 years Smart phones 7 years We are already in a World where The largest hotelier in the World owns no hotels The largest taxi company owns no cars And The largest Travel Agent has no shops Disruption in Travel distribution ~ where next? “The Future has already arrived, it is just unevenly distributed” William Gibson ~ Futurist MaltaPLUs 2016 The Challenge ~ A systemic shift From making ‘things’ To delivering value based services From continuous improvement To deeper customer engagement From Fast follower To Innovative culture & life long learning IOLs ~ The Internet of Lifestyle Robotics/ VR/AR Materials AI & Voice Wearables InfoTech GPUs 4th Technology Revolution 3D printing Energy storage IOT BioTech IOLs ~ Internet of Life Style Pericles BC 429 It is not a matter of predicting the future, but being prepared for it. Robots • Expanding across all industries • Unlimited production capacity • Don’t need vacations, medical coverage, maternity benefits • Eliminates low skill labour Skills automated • Frey & Osbourne of 702 professions examined, 47% at risk • BoEngland 35% of all jobs at risk • Japan 49% (higher manufacturing ration) 4th Industrial revolution Convergence Will transform cities Will transform industries Will transform life styles Materials 3D Stored energy Robotics ICT IOT AI Voice BioTech? 4th Industrial Revolution Profound social impact • Supply side tidal wave • Accentuates Have and Have nots • Social (dis)satisfaction The largest beneficiaries of innovation tend to be the providers of intellectual and physical capital—the innovators, shareholders, and investors Schwab Will the 4th Revolution be a Social revolution? Travel is Centre Stage • • • • • Money Entrepreneurs Technology Savvy users Growth [4% p.a. vs. 1.5% Global GDP] Who will be the new Travel Superpowers? • • • • • • • Priceline Expedia (falling behind!) Google ~ Trips, Google flights, ?? AirBnB Uber AliTrip Ctrip • Missing in action Apple, Amazon Takeaways • • • • • • Change is upon us ~ Speed/Social issues Technology is an ‘enabler’ no-longer a limiter Domain, Intelligence, Ingenuity Disruption knows no barriers Being Innovative is hard Balance at every level – Social, Business, Community, Environment The BIG Debate This house believes that VCs add value for Travel start-ups For: David Soskin Against: Alex Bainbridge Show n’ Tell Winding Tree ~ Mak Izmaylov Esplorio ~ Essa Saulat Vacations United ~ Vanessa de Souza Lage BarcelonaPLUs 2017
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