Doc. No EACO/RA22/15-6g THE 21ST EAST AFRICAN COMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATIONS CONGRESS 22ND TO 26TH JUNE 2015 AT SHERATON HOTEL, KAMPALA, UGANDA. PREPARED BY: WG08: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICE PRICING & INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 2013 -2015 Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 4 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 5 1.0 2.0 THEMATIC /KEY RESULT AREAS ........................................................................ 5 2.1 Pricing, Market Studies and Analysis ............................................................. 5 2.1.1 Regional Broadband Pricing Framework ................................ 5 2.1.2 EACO DATA COLLECTION AND REPORTING FRAMEWORK ..... 8 2.1.3 Regional Competition Framework ........................................... 9 2.1.4 Impact of Over the Top Technologies (OTT) ........................... 9 2.1.5 Impact of Teletraffic Monitoring / Management Systems on Pricing and Competition in EAC ..................................................................... 10 2.1.6 To develop Spectrum Pricing Framework (Telecom and Broadcasting) ....................................................................................... 11 2.1.7 Harmonized Signal Distribution Pricing Framework ............. 11 2.1.8 To develop costing and pricing models for basic postal services 12 2.1.9 Progressive opening up of exclusivity areas of postal services (physical, electronic, financial) operation for private sector participation 13 2.2 Reporting ...................................................................................................................... 14 2.2.1 Industry Reporting and Data-frame....................................... 14 2.3 Coordination of Regional and International Collaborations Error! Bookmark not defined. 3.0 OTHER ISSUES ............................................................................................................. 15 4.0 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................. 15 5.0 REQUEST TO ASSEMBLY OF REGULATORS ........................................... 16 2 LIST OF ANNEXES ANNEX I: BROADBAND PRICING FRAMEWORK ANNEX II: EACO DATA COLLECTION AND REPORTING FRAMEWORK ANNEXIII: FRAMEWORK FOR ESTIMATING THE DIGITAL TERRESTRIAL TELEVISION TRANSMISSION FEES PER CONTENT CHANNEL PER SITE PER MONTH ANNEX IV: IMPACT OF TELETRAFFIC MONITORING / MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS ON PRICING AND COMPETITION IN EAC A CASE OF TANZANIA 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Harmonization of communication services within EAC region requires addressing the key issues relating to communication services pricing, infrastructures, communications resources allocations and various coordination efforts on issues affecting the region as a whole. During the last two years (2013/14 to 2014/15) the WG 8 has been working to address its assigned tasks as per the Terms of Reference. In line with the ToRs items, several studies were conducted and led to the establishment of the guiding frameworks, principles and best practices, of which its adoption will result into harmonized communications sector within the region. In order to address regional connectivity and roaming pricing, the WG 8 developed Regional broadband pricing framework, Regional roaming pricing framework, Regional spectrum pricing framework, Harmonized signal distribution pricing framework, costing and pricing principle for basic postal services and a concept paper on how the universal service funds can take over the universal postal obligations, as an effort to opening up exclusivity areas of postal services (physical, electronic, financial) operation for private sector participation. Principles for regional harmonized competition framework, the report on the study of the impact of Tele-traffic monitoring in the region and EACO data collection and reporting framework with their recommendations were prepared. With regards to the thematic area of reporting, the WG 8 developed a framework for collection, analysis and reporting/dissemination of regional Key Performance Indicators and statistics on the communication sector in East Africa. It involves having in place an EAC communications data collection and reporting framework and establish a Databank. The data to be collected include those related to quality of service, coverage, traffic, revenue, investments and employment The WG8 addressed regional and international coordination issues by follow up the work of relevant communication sector organization through EACO. These include ITU study groups and GSMA. 4 1.0 INTRODUCTION The EACO WG 8 which is focusing on Communication services pricing and industry analysis met at EACO headquarters in Kigali Rwanda from 6th – 8th to address issues aimed at harmonizing EAC communication services pricing and industry analysis. The eleven (11) ToR items were grouped into three key thematic areas of (i) pricing, market studies and analysis (ii) reporting and (iii) coordination. Various studies were conducted on these key result areas and hereby presented with their findings and recommendations. 2.0 THEMATIC /KEY RESULT AREAS 2.1 Pricing, Market Studies and Analysis The WG 08 undertook studies land analysis on communications market aimed at addressing Regional concerns and other factors which impede smooth flow of communication within the region in the area of telecommunication, broadcasting and postal services. Areas focused are those related to connectivity, mobile roaming, services pricing, competition, emerging technologies, market exclusivity and telecommunications traffic monitoring. The update of studies and analysis conducted on the areas are provided herein below: 2.1.1 Regional Broadband Pricing Framework The Study Broadband services and applications are becoming a way of life and a social economic lifestyle of today and the future. Broadband technologies and services open doors to social economic development and growth for developing countries. EAC and EACO in particular, and in partnership with developing partners are engaging the region in capacity building and technological awareness in all the member countries. Achievements of the above initiatives will accelerate the development processes of these countries and further minimize the development gap and digital divide respectively. Consequently, harmonization of broadband services pricing is important for seamless communication and integration among EAC member states. Pricing of broadband services will by no means be the key determinant of broadband services uptake and utilization. Findings Studies conducted by ITU in this area shows that affordability and accessibility of broadband services are largely determined by the prices that are charged for those services. The regulation of prices can thus be a very tempting prospect for policymakers and regulators who want to increase the adoption and use of broadband services at the earliest time. 5 Broadband pricing framework shall consider rellevant markets in the broadband ecosystem, these markets can be categorised into broadband services and broadband access markets. Wholesale price intervetion at these markets is the most effective way of addressing prices anomalities and ensure competition at retail market. Applying those legacy regulatory practices in broadband markets, even where it is possible to do so, can distort price signals and investment incentives1. Key elements to be considered in the framework include: (i) Regulatory prices based on economic cost-to allow/facilitate construction of additional broadband infrastructure as needed (ii) Setting appropriate Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) to recover cost of investment and adequate rate of return (iii) Stakeholders consultation and involvement (iv) Costing methodology and approach (v) Broadband services demand forecasting (vi) Assets valuation approach (vii) Type of services offered and their infrastructure proportion utilization (viii) Routing factors In consideration of the above, the following are the key principles and items need to be considered in broadband pricing framework. 1 PRINCI PLE Principle 1 CATEGOR Y General best practice EXPLANATION Principle 2 General best practice Principle 3 Wholesale Broadband prices Regulatory intervention in the setting of retail prices for broadband access and applications should be avoided in favour of the facilitation of retail competition by the regulation of wholesale markets for access to broadband facilities and services. Regulatory price-setting methodologies for wholesale access to broadband facilities should take into account : Policy objectives, if they exist, that might favour the development of intra-modal competition for fixed broadband services and intra- and intermodal competition for broadband services as a whole; and Retail and wholesale prices are best determined by market forces provided that those markets are effectively competitive. ITU Regulating Broadband Prices – Broadband series 6 Principle 4 Wholesale Broadband prices Principle 5 Retail Broadband prices Retail Broadband prices Principle 6 Principle 7 Retail Broadband prices Whether the supplier of wholesale facilities access is a pure wholesale operator or a vertically integrated operator with wholesale and retail operations. Regulatory price-setting methodologies for wholesale access to broadband applications (including bitstream access) should take into account the following factors: The difficulties in establishing reliable and useful costs for such services, either through cost modelling or benchmarking; The difficulties in establishing suitable discount factors or estimates of avoidable costs when applying techniques based on avoidable retail costs to determine wholesale price levels; and Whether the outcome should be subject to sunset provisions and be permitted only to ensure the early traction of new competitive entrants in the retail broadband market. Retail price regulation should be avoided but where it is justified it should be limited to entry-level service pricing and access The only broadband application service price that regulation should be concerned within a broadband environment is voice and that should be for a limited period of migration to broadband platforms on a transitional basis. The basis for ensuring the availability of low cost options for voice service is for social cohesion and service continuity to meet the expectations of end users whose needs may not be addressed through broadband application service competition. The need for regulation in this area should be reviewed regularly. Regulators should avoid regulating the terms and conditions, including prices, of higher speed broadband access and application services. If regulation is necessary, it is best applied as ex post competition regulation directed at anti-competitive behaviour. A detailed pricing framework is attached herewith as Annex I. ANNEX I_ BROADBAND PRICING FRAMEWORK-Twine draft 20150616[4].doc 7 Recommendations The WG8 recommends that before setting broadband prices there is a need first to explore the implementation of ex-ante regulations to address regulatory problem facing the sector. A detailed analysis on the following need to be conducted and taken as input in setting broadband prices (i) analysis of broadband services and markets, (ii) broadband supply chain, (iii) broadband infrastructure (iv) cost categorization and cost standards, (iv) WACC determination and (v) principles for wholesale and retail price regulations. Having a pricing framework which contain the above key principles and elements will guide the region in addressing broadband pricing and ensure affordability and accessibility and at the same time ensure continuity of investment in broadband. 2.1.2 Regional Roaming Pricing Framework The Study For quite some time there has been no policy and regulatory framework governing roaming in the EAC region. Instead, mobile operators have been implementing different roaming tariff schemes through bilateral agreements. Therefore, with the above situation, EAC member states need to develop and implement roaming policy and regulatory frameworks in view to enable consumers and business to benefit from competitive pricing and choice of services. Roaming being by nature a cross boarder service, there is a need to establish and implement a clear harmonized policy and regulatory framework on the same. Findings WG 08 has been instrumental in developing a set of ToRs for the EACO study on EAC regional roaming. Following the directives of the EAC Transport, Communications and Meteorological (EAC-TCM) Council of Ministers, EACO has been working with EAC secretariat in developing ToRs for the EAC One Network Area (ONA). ONA is being implemented in two phases under EAC secretariat, out of which the first phase -a short term solution (lower of roaming charges) started being implemented by Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda) from 1st January 2015, while Tanzania and Burundi are clearing with the legal systems. Phase two involve the study to establishment of One Network Area within the region. Recommendations The WG8 recommends to the EACOM to take up this matter with EAC and find out the development reached as the deadline for engaging a consultant is overdue. 8 2.1.3 Harmonized Regional Competition Framework The Study The nine principles for harmonized competition framework were presented to the 21st EACO assembly and were adopted. The draft framework is being developed on the basis of these nine principles with a deadline of end of March 2015, the completed framework will be submitted to the 21st EACO congress during June 2015 meeting in Kampala Uganda. 2.1.4 Impact of Over the Top Technologies (OTT) The Study Impact of the Emerging Over the Top Technology (OTT) services and promotional products developments in networks and technology, have enable internet protocol to handle both data and voice packets with better service levels, IP telephony is a reality in the East African region. Several applications (WhatsApp, Viber, Facebook, twitter etc) have been developed that provide Voice and SMS services bypassing exiting regulatory restrictions. With improved broadband penetration there is real threat to the traditional voice and SMS based services. Mobile operators spend huge amount of money in acquiring licenses and spectrum while OTT service providers have no such requirements. That gives the OTT players an upper hand to offer free services and drive MNOs out of the traditional voice and SMS markets. Findings In analyzing the impact of OTT on revenue in telecommunication market, the following key concerns are noted: • Reduced revenue from voice services and lowers APRU leading to lower operating profit margins for the operators. • Increased break even period for the license and spectrum charges paid by the operator. • Reduced profitability experienced by operators will lead to slower deployment of technology, network rollout and reduced investment in the ICT industry. • Lower revenues from Voice and SMS services may force the operator to increase the tariffs to counter decreased voice revenues and to maintain the ARPU levels. • End users making use of OTT content services will have a major impact on their spending on voice and SMS services provided by the mobile operator. • OTTs will further complicate security monitoring. Most OTT subscribers are not registered and usage cannot be mapped to a specific customer/user. With terrorism in the EAC region regulators and 9 governments will be exposed to serious challenges which cannot not be addressed by traditional subscriber registration. Recommendations: • • OTTs and Telecom operators should engage and establish commercially viable partnerships. Governments should put in place measures to address security challenges that will result from use of OTTs and registration of OTTs subscribers through unique IP addresses 2.1.5 Impact of Teletraffic Monitoring / Management Systems on Pricing and Competition in EAC The study An evaluation of the impact of Telecommunication Traffic Monitoring Systems (TTMS) on pricing and competition has considered international traffic, pricing before and after the installation of this system in the EAC region for countries which has installed the system. Each EAC with TTMS was assigned to provide the analysis of the impact of TTMS. Other details required were those which will answer the questions as to what is TTMS?, does it increase prices and its impact competition. The data were collected and analyzed accordingly. Findings The WG 08 noted that Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania have installed the Telecommunication Traffic Monitoring system (TTMS). The findings indicated some potential benefits to all member states who have installed the system which includes among others; The capability of measuring quality of service (QoS), Ability in establishing telecommunication traffic volume for both local and international, Ability in determining revenue & billing information, For a case of Tanzania TTMS have addition functions to accommodate the following; tracking and detecting bypass/fraud telecom traffic, Hosting the Central Equipment Identification Register Monitoring the Mobile Money transactions. For Tanzania, the system has improved the regulator’s ability to independently monitor telecommunication traffic provided by telecom operators and their compliance to prescribed standards. 10 Generally the setting up uniform price for incoming international telecommunication traffic has shifted the competition profile from price competition existed before TTMS to focusing on the reliability of the provided link. The report on the impact of TTMS a case of Tanzania is attached as Annex II. EACO Data collection and reporting framework.docx Recommendations The WG 08 recommends EAC countries which are yet to implement TTMS to benchmark with countries which already implemented TTMS to ensure that all the benefits of this system are harnessed. 2.1.6 To develop Spectrum Pricing Framework (Telecom and Broadcasting) The Study The objective of the Working Group in this regard was to harmonize regional spectrum pricing frameworks. The WG 08 considered the importance of Spectrum pricing harmonization in the East Africa region being to ensure existence of uniform spectrum pricing principles within the region to facilitate efficient allocation and utilization of spectrum resource in the region. WG08 developed a concept paper on harmonized spectrum pricing framework. Also questionnaires were prepared to collect data and information from member states on spectrum management policies and principles of allocation. Recommendations Given the above scenario the WG 08 recommends that an in-depth study be carried out to establish the status of spectrum pricing methodologies used in the region and recommend the best framework for the region. 2.1.7 Harmonized Signal Distribution Pricing Framework The Study Migration process from analogue to digital TV broadcasting requires a clear signal distribution pricing framework. The framework for determining the tariffs payable by content services providers to multiplex operators (signal distributors), as a fee for transmitting digital signals. The framework was presented and adopted by the Assembly of regulators during EACO Assemblies meeting in Arusha in June 2014. The 2 harmonized signal distribution pricing framework is attached as ANNEX III 11 ANNEX III ANNEX HARMONIZED Draft concept paper III_FRAMEWORK FOR ESTIMATION COMPETITION OF THE DIGITAL FRAMEWORK TERRESTRIAL Draft2 TELEVISION 20150621.docx for TRANSMISSION the study of Harmonized FEES withspectrum Dr Twinepricing Comments framework.docx 20150616[4].docx Findings: The WG 08 noted that Tanzania and Kenya are implementing the framework and Uganda is in the process of implementing the framework. Recommendations The WG 08 recommends the adoption of harmonized signal distribution pricing framework. Member states that are yet to develop their signal distribution pricing framework are advised to benchmark with others in developing the same. 2.1.8 To develop costing and pricing models for basic postal services The Study The objectives of the Working Group in this regard were to: Establish the existing costing and pricing methods for basic postal services within the region Conduct a comparative analysis, establish best practice and identify case studies; and Harmonize costing and pricing methods. The WG 08 considered the following aspects towards development of the harmonized costing and pricing models for basic postal services which includes (i) consideration of demand forecasting, (ii) relevant capital and operating expenditures (iii) inflation and (iv) subsidies provided by designated Universal Communication Access Fund in respective countries. Findings The WG08 noted that the prices of basic postal services are not regulated in some EAC countries while others do. EACO recognizes that the development of Costing and pricing models for basic postal services will also necessitate the harmonization of the various Policies, Legal and Regulatory frameworks in the EAC Region. The experience 12 shows that in EAC, during review of prices for basic postal services the following are considered. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) Relevant capital Expenditures (CAPEX)- which among others include vehicles and office building Relevant operating expenditures- which among others include Fuel cost, and other related expenses Other non-basic postal services utilizing the same infrastructure Employees’ salaries, wages and other benefits Inflation Demand forecasting Profitability/return on investment Recommendations The WG 08 recommends that an in-depth study be carried out to establish the status of regulation of the pricing of basic postal services and recommend the best methodology for the region. 2.1.9 Progressive opening up of exclusivity areas of postal services (physical, electronic, financial) operation for private sector participation The Study The objectives of the Working Group in this regard were to: a) Develop a framework for the gradual elimination of exclusivity in the provision of postal services. Findings The WG8 noted that the exclusivity in the provision of basic postal services was given to Public Postal Operators as an incentive to meet their Universal services obligations. The group also noted that some EAC Member States have introduced the Universal Communication Services Access Fund to which all postal services providers are contributing. The enforcement of this exclusivity in Postal Service Provision has been challenging. The concept paper on how the universal service funds can take over the universal postal obligation that were the rationale for assigning exclusivity of certain services to Public Postal Operators in the region is been prepared in the meantime. 13 2.2 Reporting 2.2.1 Industry Reporting and Data-frame The Study The second thematic area captured the assigned ToRs items related to reporting in EAC region. It involved developing a framework for collection, analysis and reporting/dissemination of regional Key Performance Indicators and statistics on the communication sector in East Africa. It involves having in place an EAC communications data collection and reporting framework and establish a Databank. The WG 08 noted the importance of establishing a Centralized databank of key ICT indicators in EAC region, given the fact there is no harmonized way of data collection and reporting of ICT indicators among EAC member states. In addition, there is a need to have a reliable source of data for the ICT related statistics in EAC. It is in this regard that WG 08 drafted the data collection and reporting framework for EAC member states to be adopted by the Congress. The framework was mainly based on the ITU World telecommunications Indicators manual, pay TV and Postal and courier related indicators was benchmarked on the TCRA data frame. Findings (i) Data Framework Development The framework comprises seven main types of indicators per sub sector including: Subscriptions, Coverage, QoS, and Traffic, Revenue, Investments and employment. Under each item, the framework specifies and defines the indicator, as well as its computation method. A detailed data-frame is attached herewith as Annex IV The indicators could be collected either on quarterly or on annual basis depending on the type of the indicator in question. (ii) Databank The EACO secretariat has already hired a consultant to build the databank and once the framework is approved the databank shall be populated by the approved indicators. However, WG 08 suggests that possibility to build an online reporting system with automatic generated reports should be looked at so as to ease both the data collection and reporting process. 14 Recommendations Subject to approval of the framework by the Congress, WG8 recommends the following: (i) The EACO Secretariat to own and manage the databank (ii) EACO Secretariat to design both short and long online questionnaires (iii) EACO Contact persons be nominated by each member state regulatory authority to facilitate the filling of the quarterly and annual questionnaires (iv) EACO Secretariat to be responsible for quarterly and annual publication of key ICT indicators in EAC region. (v) EACO member states to standardize their data collection frameworks in line with the EACO framework 3.0 OTHER ISSUES Following the northern Corridor initiative on finding solution to high roaming rates, the EAC Partner States have adopted the efforts and from 31st December 2014, northern corridor operators have adopted a term solution of US Cents 10 for IOT charges for calls originating and terminating within the EAC region while waiting for a long term solution on the basis of the Study being carried out for the region by EAC Secretariat in collaboration with EACO. The result of the study will lead to the establishment of the One-Network-Area (ONA) in the East African Partner States. 4.0 CONCLUSIONS Costing and Pricing of Communication Services constitute the essential ingredients in both developing and regulating the sector in a level playing field with the application of global best practices. EACO objectives of ensuring quality of services that are affordable in the region compels studies that covers all sectors of ICTs in view to enable all stakeholders continue getting the value of their money as well as affordable access to information for socio-economic growth. 15 5.0 REQUEST TO ASSEMBLY OF REGULATORS 5.1 To NOTE the REPORT of the Working Group 8 : Communications Service Pricing and Industry Analysis 5.2 To APPROVE/ADOPT the Recommendations submitted in the Report 16
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