JME Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012, 1-13. Selection of the best strategy for Iran's quarries: SWOT-FAHP method M. M. Tahernejad1, M. Ataei1*, R. Khalokakaie1 1. Faculty of Mining, Petroleum and Geophysics, Shahrood University of Technology; Shahrood, Iran Received 14 May 2011; received in revised form 29 March 2012; accepted 16 May 2012 *Corresponding author: [email protected] (M. Ataei). Abstract Iran has high potential and unique stone reserves in terms of variety of color, texture, quality, and economic value; nevertheless, in spite of growing mine production during the past decade, in many instances this potential has been overlooked. Therefore it is necessary to investigate strategic factors of these mines. The purpose of this study is to evaluate and determine the best strategies for Iran’s quarries. To this end, the mines were analyzed using the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) approach in combination with Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP). Firstly, an environmental analysis was performed and then the SWOT factors were identified. In this way, the sub-factors which have very significant effects on the mines were determined. Using the SWOT matrix, alternative strategies were developed. Subsequently, the strategies were prioritized and the best strategies for these mines were determined. The results show that conservative strategies are the best strategy group for Iran’s quarries. Keywords: SWOT; fuzzy AHP; Decision factors; Strategy; Quarry. 1. Introduction Dimension stone is any type of natural rock material that is quarried in order to make blocks or slabs of rock that is cut to specific sizes and shapes. Dimensional stone is a collective term for various natural stones used for structural or decorative purposes in construction and monumental applications [1]. Stone production involves the separation of the block from the massif in a regular shape and desired dimensions free of any fracture and flaw as far as possible [2] important rocks used as dimensional stone are granite, limestone, marble, sandstone, and slate [3]. The major application of dimensional stone is within the construction sector, which accounts for over 80% of consumption, with the funerary monumental industry accounting for 15%, and various special applications for around 3% [4]. Considering the importance of building stones, strategic analysis of stone mines seems essential. In this paper, a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis was applied using the fuzzy approaches of a multi-attribute evaluation method, called the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to the dimensional stone mines of Iran. Strategy selection with SWOT analysis is a complex problem in which many qualitative aspects must be considered. These kinds of aspects make the evaluation process hard and vague. The judgments from experts are always vague and linguistic rather than exact values. Thus, it is suitable and flexible to express the judgments of experts in fuzzy quantities. Additionally, the hierarchical structure is a good approach to describe these kinds of complicated evaluation problems. Fuzzy AHP has the capability of taking these situations into account with a hierarchical structure. In this study, firstly the factors in the SWOT groups and alternative strategies were determined. Then the relative weights of these factors and the scores of the strategies were computed [4]. The aim of this study is to determine the priorities of strategies for Iran’s quarries. Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 and income for the country [5]. Table 1 shows the number of active quarries, the numbers of quarries are preparing, the number of inactive quarries and the amount of reserve of different dimensional stones of Iran. As can be seen in Table 1, Iran has good potential in terms of dimensional stones. 2. Iran's quarries Iran's potential is good in the quarry and it is one of the major producers of dimensional stones. In terms of variety of color, texture, quality, and economic value, some of these reserves are unique and can be extracted and exported, creating jobs Stone Type Travertine Porcelain Marble Granite Total Table 1. Statistics of stone deposits and mines in Iran [6] Number of Number of Number of quarries active inactive under development quarries quarries 155 16 36 156 5 25 398 2 26 232 37 273 950 60 360 Reserve (1000 tons) 350,307 249,148 672,215 476,691 1,748,361 The final goal of a strategic planning process, of which SWOT is an early stage, is to develop and adopt a strategy resulting in a good fit between internal and external factors [12]. 3. Using FAHP in SWOT Analysis In the following discussion, the fundamentals of SWOT analysis and fuzzy AHP are given. Later, these techniques are combined to prioritize the mines strategies. 3.1. SWOT analysis SWOT analysis is the most common techniques that can be used to analyze strategic cases [7]. SWOT is a frequently used tool for analyzing internal and external environments to attain a systematic approach and support for a decision situation [8,9]. The internal and external factors are referred to as strategic factors, and they are summarized within the SWOT analysis. Strengths and weaknesses constitute factors within the system that enable and hinder the organization from achieving its goal, respectively. Opportunities and threats were considered as exogenous factors that facilitate and limit the organization in attaining its goals, respectively [10]. SWOT analysis suggests the appropriate strategies in four categories SO, ST, WO and WT. The strategies identified as SO, involve making good use of opportunities by using the existing strengths. The ST is the strategies associated with using the strengths to remove or reduce the effects of threats. Similarly, the WO strategies seek to gain benefit from the opportunities presented by the external environmental factors by taking into account the weaknesses. The fourth and last is WT, in which the organization tries to reduce the effects of its threats by taking its weaknesses into account [9,11]. Figure1 shows how SWOT analysis fits into an environment scan. Figure1. SWOT analysis framework 3.2. Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) The concept of fuzzy sets was first presented by Zadeh [13], which was oriented to the rationality of uncertainty due to imprecision or vagueness. Fuzzy sets theory providing a more widely frame than classic sets theory, has been contributing to capability of reflecting real world [14]. Fuzzy set theory is a better means for modeling imprecision arising from mental phenomena which are neither random nor stochastic. Human beings are heavily involved in the process of decision analysis. [15]. AHP is a decision analysis technique aiming at assessing multi-attribute alternatives [16]. AHP was proposed by Saaty [17,18]. AHP has been applied extensively to cope with situations with multiple criteria where subjective judgment is inherent. Furthermore, the AHP approach encourages and assists the user to methodically and logically appraise the importance of each criterion in relation to the others in a hierarchical structure [19]. The traditional AHP still cannot 2 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 really reflect the human thinking style [20]. The traditional AHP method is problematic in that it uses an exact value to express the decision maker’s opinion in a comparison of alternatives [21]. AHP method is often criticized due to its use of unbalanced scale of judgments and its inability to adequately handle the inherent uncertainty and imprecision in the pair-wise comparison process [22]. To overcome the shortcomings, FAHP was developed for solving the hierarchical problems. In the literature, fuzzy AHP has been widely used in solving many complicated decision making problems. Van Laarhoven and Pedrcyz [23] proposed the first studies that applied fuzzy logic principle to AHP. Chang [24] introduced a new approach for handling FAHP, with the use of triangular fuzzy numbers for pair-wise comparison scale of FAHP, and the use of the extent analysis method for the synthetic extent values of the pair-wise comparisons. Ataei [25] used multi-criteria decision making for the selection of the alumina-cement plant location in the East-Azerbaijan province of Iran. Lee and Lin [26] combined fuzzy AHP with SWOT to evaluate the environmental relationships of international distribution centers in the PacificAsia region. Kahraman et al. [27] used FAHP in SWOT analysis to evaluate and determine the alternative strategies for e-government applications in Turkey. Zare Naghadehi et al. [28] used FAHP approach to select optimum underground mining method for Jajarm Bauxite Mine, Iran. Finally, Nepal et al. [29] proposed a fuzzy-AHP approach to prioritize customer satisfaction attributes in target planning for automotive product development. In this study the extent FAHP, which was originally introduced by Chang is utilized [24]. This method uses the triangular fuzzy numbers as a pair-wise comparison scale for deriving the priorities of factors and sub-factors. Also triangular fuzzy numbers are used for pair-wise comparison matrices. In addition, modeling using triangular fuzzy numbers has proven to be an effective way for formulating decision problems where the information available is subjective and imprecise [30,31,32]. In practical applications, the triangular form of the membership function is used most often for representing fuzzy numbers [33,34,35]. The definition of the triangular fuzzy numbers and the steps of Chang’s extent analysis method are given in Appendix A and B respectively. 3.4. SWOT- FAHP analysis Conventional SWOT does not provide the means to analytically determine the importance of the factors or to assess decision alternatives according to the factors [11]. Furthermore, SWOT analysis cannot appraise the strategic decision-making situation comprehensively [7]. The results of a SWOT analysis are often only a listing or an incomplete qualitative examination of internal and external factors [36,37,38]. FAHP is utilized in the SWOT approach to eliminate the weaknesses in the measurement and evaluation steps of the SWOT analysis. In this paper SWOT is used in combination with FAHP to provide a quantitative measure of the importance of each factor and to determine the priorities of the strategies. FAHP is applied in order to determine the overall priorities of the alternative strategies identified with SWOT analysis. To this end, these steps should be taken: Step 1. Identifying SWOT sub-factors and determining the alternative strategies As a first step, the factors in the SWOT groups and alternatives strategies should be identified. SWOT sub-factors should be recognized and the alternative strategies might be defined according to SWOT sub-factors. Using SWOT matrix, four alternative strategy categories including SO, ST, WO and WT are proposed. Step 2. Developing hierarchical structure based on the SWOT factors and sub-factors In this step, the problem to be solved is divided into a hierarchical structure with decision elements (Goal, Criteria, Sub-criteria and alternatives). Step 3. Pair-wise comparison Decision makers from different backgrounds may define different weight vectors. They usually cause not only the imprecise evaluation but also serious persecution during decision process. For this reason, group decision was used to improve pair-wise comparison. Firstly, each decision maker (Di) individually carries out pair-wise comparison by using Saaty’s [39] 1–9 scale (Table 2). Then, comprehensive pair-wise comparison matrixes are built by integrating decision makers’ grades through Eq. (1) [40]. In this way, decision makers’ pair-wise comparison values transform into triangular fuzzy numbers. (~ xij ) (aij , bij , cij ) lij min aijk , k (1) 3 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 mij 1 K K b k 1 ijk , uij max d ijk comparison matrices. According to the FAHP method, synthesis values should first be calculated. Then fuzzy values are compared and priority weights are calculated according to appendix B. k Step 4. Determining the relative weights of factors and sub-factors Weights of all criteria and sub-criteria are determined after forming fuzzy pair-wise Figure2. The hierarchical structure representation of the SWOT model Table 2. Pair-wise comparison scale [39] Preferences expressed in numeric variables Preferences expressed in linguistic variables 1 Equal importance 3 Moderate importance 5 Strong importance 7 Very strong importance 9 Extreme importance 2,4,6,8 Intermediate values between adjacent scale values 4. Implementing the SWOT- FAHP analysis for Iran's quarries To implement the SWOT- FAHP analysis for Iran's quarries, first an external environment analysis is performed with the help of an expert team familiar with the Iran's dimensional stone mines. In this way, external SWOT sub-factors (opportunities, threats) are identified. In addition, an internal analysis is performed to determine the internal sub-factors (strengths, weaknesses). Based on these analyses, the strategically important sub-factors can be determined. Identified sub-factors are shown in Table 3. Alternative strategies based on the SWOT factors and sub-factors are developed using the SWOT matrix (Table 4). Four alternative strategy groups exist in SWOT matrix. The aim of the current study is to determine priorities of these strategies and to find the best of them for Iran's quarries. The problem is converted into a hierarchical structure (Figure 3) in order to transform the subfactors and alternative strategies into a state in which they can be measured by the FAHP. The aim of "Determining the best strategy" is placed in the first level of the structure, the SWOT factors in the second level, the SWOT sub-factors in the third level and the alternative strategies in the last level of the model. In the pair-wise comparison step, first the SWOT factors are compared with respect to the goal using the Saaty's scale. This study proposes a group decision based on FAHP. Firstly, each decision maker (Di) individually carries out pairwise comparison by using Saaty’s 1–9 scale. Then, a comprehensive pair-wise comparison 4 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 decision makers’ grades through Eq. (1). matrix is built as in Table 5 by integrating five Internal factors Factors Strengths Table 3. SWOT factors and sub-factors for the strategy selection Sub-factors S1: Existence of experienced manpower in mines S2: High production according to the above facilities S3: High investment in stone mines S4: Feasibility to produce stone with various colors Weaknesses W1: Traditional management instead of scientific management W2: Lack of management and support systems, including marketing and sales and etc W3: Use of old machinery and equipment and not replace them in time W4: Low production efficiency W5: Lack of proper maintenance system for machineries and equipments External factors Opportunities Threats O1: Existance of high stone reserves in the country O2: High manpower potential in the country at various levels O3: Domestic demand of processing factory for raw stones O4: Take advantage of the government granted facilities for investment in stone mines T1: Country sanctions and therefore lack of global effective interactions and tariffs T2: Rising energy prices and transport costs if subsidies elimination T3: High interest rates of banking facilities T4: High prices of machinery and mine operating equipments T5: Alternative products including ceramic and tile Table 4. SWOT matrix Internal factors External factors Opportunities (O) O1: High stone reserves O2: High manpower potential O3: Domestic demand for raw stones O4: Take advantage of facilities Threats (T) T1: Country sanctions T2: Rising energy prices T3: High interest rates of facilities T4: High prices of machinery T5: Alternative products Strengths (S) S1: Experienced manpower S2: High production potency S3: High investment in stone mines S4: production of colored stones Weaknesses (W) W1: Traditional management W2: Lack of support systems W3: Using old machinery W4: Low production efficiency W5: Lack of proper maintenance SO Strategies 1- Developing productions according to high potential of Iran's stone mines 2- Developing exports considering the possibility of produce various products WO Strategies 1- Using mechanized systems and automation to improve production efficiency 2- Developing the scientific management in the stone mines 3- Replacing worn out machineries ST Strategies 1- Increasing competitiveness with the development of various products 2- Cost reducing with mass production of good quality products WT Strategies 1- Government sustaining of domestic manufactures of equipment and increase investment in this sector 2- Improving the interaction with various countries 5 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 S1: Experienced manpower S2: High production potency S: Strengths S3: High investment in stone mines S4: produce various colors of stone SO W1: Traditional management W2: Lack of support systems W: Weaknesses W3: Using worn out machinery ST W4: Low production efficiency Determining the best strategy W5: Lack of proper maintenance O1: High stone reserves WO O2: High manpower potential O: Opportunities O3: Domestic demand for stone O4: Take advantage of facilities WT T1: Country sanctions T2: Rising energy prices T3: High interest rates of facilities T: Threats T4: High prices of machinery T5: Alternative products Figure 3. Hierarchical structure of SWOT model for Iran's quarries Table 5. Fuzzy pair-wise comparison of SWOT factors m S: Strengths W: Weaknesses O: Opportunities T: Threats S W O T (1,1,1) (1,1.64,3) (1,1.2,2) (1,1.64,3) (0.33,0.61,1) (1,1,1) (0.33,0.5,1) (1,1.2,2) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,2,3) (1,1,1) (1,1.5,2) (0.33,0.61,1) (0.5,0.83,1) (0.5,0.67,1) (1,1,1) m M i 1 j 1 j gi n m j M gi i 1 j 1 j 1 (2.17,3.06,4) (3.5,5.47,8) (2.83,3.37,5) (4,5.34,8) S O (2.83,3.37,5) (0.040,0.058,0.080) Weights of all criteria are determined according to the Chang’s extent analysis method that is given n Appendix B, Synthesis values must be calculated first. From Table 5, synthesis values with respect to main goal are calculated as follows: n M gij (0.113,0.195,0.400) S T (4,5.34,8) (0.040,0.058,0.080) (0.160,0.310,0.640) (12.5,17.23,25) These fuzzy values are compared and these values are obtained: V (S S SW ) 0.56 , V (S S SO ) 0.92 , (0.040,0.058,0.080) V (S S ST ) 0.55 , 1 V (SW S S ) 1 , S S (2.17,3.06,4) (0.040,0.058,0.080) V (SW SO ) 1, V (SW ST ) 1 , (0.087,0.177,0.320) SW (3.5,5.47,8) (0.040,0.058,0.080) V (SO S S ) 1 , V (SO ST ) 0.68 , V ( ST S S ) 1 , V ( ST S O ) 1 , (0.140,0.317,0.640) V (SO SW ) 0.68 , V (ST SW ) 0.98 , Then priority weights are calculated as: 6 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 d (S ) min( 0.56,0.92,0.55) 0.55 d (W ) min(1,1,1) 1 d (O) min(1,0.68,0.68) 0.68 d (T ) min(1, 0.98, 1) 0.98 comparison matrices for the SWOT sub-factors are given in Tables 6-9 together with the calculated local weights. The local weights of the alternative strategies with respect to each SWOT sub-factors are calculated. The details of the pair-wise comparison matrices and the calculated local weights are provided in Table 10. Figure 4 illustrates the priority weights of the categorized sub-factors. In the last stage of the analysis, overall priority weights of the alternative strategies are calculated as shown in Table 11. Thus, the weight vector from Table 5 is calculated as W' = (0.55,1,0.68,0.98)T. The normalized weight vector is WFactors = (0.171,0.312,0.211,0.306)T. The weights for the SWOT sub-factors and the alternative strategies are calculated in a similar way to the fuzzy evaluation matrices. Pair-wise S1 (1,1,1) (0.25,0.429,1) (0.333,0.375,0.5) (1,1.714,4) S1 S2 S3 S3 Local weights (1,1.67,2) 0.184 (0.167,0.306,0.5) (2,2.4,4) (1,1,1) (1,2.67,4) (0.25,0.528,1) (1,2,4) 0.258 (0.333,0.43,1) (0.25,0.375,1) (1,1,1) (0.25,0.528,1) (0.5,0.67,1) 0.114 (2,3.273,6) (1,1.89,4) (1,1.89,4) (1,1,1) (0.333,1.11,2) 0.266 (0. 5,0.6,1) (0.25,0.5,1) (1,1.5,2) (0.5,0.9,3) (1,1,1) 0.178 0.319 0.215 0.312 0.154 Table 9. Fuzzy pair-wise comparison of threats T2 T3 T4 T1 T1 (1,1,1) (3,0.333,4) (1,2,3) T2 (0.25,0.3,0.333) (1,1,1) (0.25,0.583,1) T3 (0.333,0.5,1) (1,1.714,4) (1,1,1) T4 (0.333,0.5,1) (1,1.957,5) (1,1.765,5) T5 (0.333,0.6,1) (0.5,0.75,1) (025,0.375,1) T5 Local weights (1,2,3) (1,1.67,3) 0.296 (0.2,0.511,1) (1,1.333,2) 0.113 (0.2,0.567,1) (1,2.67,4) 0.231 (1,1,1) (2,3.67,5) 0.281 (0.2,0.273,0.5) (1,1,1) 0.080 SWOT factors Figure 4. The priority weights of the SWOT sub-factors 7 T5 T4 T3 T2 W5 W4 W3 W2 W1 S4 S3 S2 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 S1 Factor weights Local weights T1 O1 O2 O3 O4 Table 8. Fuzzy pair-wise comparison of opportunities O2 O3 O4 (1,1.67,2) (1,1.333,2) (1,3,5) (1,1,1) (0.33,0.61,1) (0.5,1.5,3) (1,1.636,3) (1,1,1) (2,3.33,5) (0.33,0.67,2) (0.2,0.3,0.5) (1,1,1) O1 (1,1,1) (0.5,0.6,1) (0.5,0.75,1) (0.2,0.333,1) O4 W5 W5 (1,2.333,3) O3 W4 0.304 0.244 0.106 0.346 (0.25,0.417,0.5) O2 W3 (1,1,1) O1 W2 Local weights Table 7. Fuzzy pair-wise comparison of weaknesses W2 W3 W4 W1 W1 Table 6. Fuzzy pair-wise comparison of strengths S2 S3 S4 (1,2.33,4) (2,2.67,3) (0.25,0.58,1) (1,1,1) (1,2.67,5) (0.17,0.31,0.5) (0.2,0.38,1) (1,1,1) (0.2,0.47,1) (2,3.27,6) (1,2.14,5) (1,1,1) Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 S1 S2 SO ST WO WT SO ST WO WT Table 10. Pair-wise comparisons of the alternative strategies based on the SWOT sub-factors SO ST WO WT Local weights (1,1,1) (2,3,4) (3,5,7) (6,6.67,7) 0.581 (0.25,0.333,0.5) (1,1,1) (3,3.67,5) (7,7.67,8) 0.419 (0.143,0.2,0.333) (0.2,0.273,0.333) (1,1,1) (2,3.33,4) 0.000 (0.143,0.15,0.167) (0.125,0.130,0.143) (0.25,0.3,0.5) (1,1,1) 0.000 (1,1,1) (0.5,0.83,1) (3,4.33,6) (1,3,5) 0.398 (1,1.2,22) (1,1,1) (2,3,4) (2,4,6) 0.399 (0.167,0.217,0.33) (0.143,0.2,0.333) (1,1,1) (1,2,3) 0.146 (0.2,0.333,1) (0.167,0.25,0.5) (0.333,0.5,1) (1,1,1) 0.057 (1,1,1) (0.333,0.78,1) (1,2.67,4) (1,3,5) 0.336 (1,1.286,3) (1,1,1) (1,2.33,3) (2,3.33,4) 0.348 (0.25,0.375,1) (0.333,0.429,1) (1,1,1) (2,3,4) 0.249 (0.2,0.333,1) (0.25,0.3,0.5) (0.25,0.333,0.5) (1,1,1) 0.067 S3 SO ST WO WT S4 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.333,0.5,1) (0.143,0.167,0.2) (0.125,0.167,0.25) (1,2,3) (1,1,1) (0.143,0.176,0.25) (0.125,0.167,0.25) (5,6,7) (4,5.67,7) (1,1,1) (0.5,0.857,2) (4,6,8) (4,6,8) (0.5,1.17,2) (1,1,1) 0.529 0.471 0.000 0.000 W1 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.2,0.3,0.5) (5,6.279,9) (3,3.273,4) (2,3.33,5) (1,1,1) (8,8.308,9) (5,6.412,8) (0.11,0.167,0.2) (0.11,0.12,0.13) (1,1,1) (0.333,0.429,1) (0.25,0.31,0.33) (0.13,0.16,0.2) (1,2.33,3) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.701 0.299 W2 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (1,1.2,2) (3,3.83,5) (3,3.273,4) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,1,1) (2,2.903,5) (3,3.462,5) (0.2,0.26,0.33) (0.2,0.34,0.5) (1,1,1) (3,3,3) (0.25,0.31,0.33) (0.2,0.29,0.33) (0.33,0.33,0.33) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.401 0.599 W3 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (1,1.2,2) (7,8.217,9) (5,5.89,7) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,1,1) (7,7.916,9) (3,4.437,7) (0.11,0.13,0.14) (0.11,0.13,0.14) (1,1,1) (0.2,0.3,0.5) (0.14,0.17,0.2) (0.14,0.23,0.33) (2,3.33,5) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.733 0.267 W4 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (1,1,1) (7,7.916,9) (6,6.3,7) (1,1,1) (1,1,1) (7,8.217,9) (3,4.437,7) (0.11,0.13,0.14) (0.11,0.12,0.14) (1,1,1) (0.25,0.333,0.5) (0.14,0.16,0.17) (0.14,0.23,0.33) (2,3,4) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.767 0.233 W5 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (1,1.2,2) (3,4.091,5) (3,4.5,6) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,1,1) (4,5.362,7) (3,3.83,5) (0.2,0.24,0.33) (0.14,0.19,0.25) (1,1,1) (1,1.286,3) (0.17,0.22,0.33) (0.2,0.26,0.33) (0.33,0.78,1) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.511 0.489 O1 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.143,0.176,0.25) (0.333,0.5,1) (0.125,0.158,0.2) (4,5.67,7) (1,1,1) (3,4,6) (1,1.2,2) (1,2,3) (0.17,0.25,0.33) (1,1,1) (0.167,0.23,0.33) (5,6.33,8) (0.5,0.83,1) (3,4.33,6) (1,1,1) 0.601 0.000 0.399 0.000 O2 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.125,0.15,0.2) (0.25,0.429,1) (0.125,0.158,0.2) (5,6.67,8) (1,1,1) (3,4.437,7) (0.5,0.857,2) (1,2.33,4) (0.14,0.23,0.33) (1,1,1) (0.2,0.231,0.333) (5,6.33,8) (0.5,1.17,2) (3,4.33,5) (1,1,1) 0.615 0.000 0.385 0.000 O3 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.5,0.9,3) (0.33,0.38,0.5) (0.25,0.3,0.33) (0.33,1.11,2) (1,1,1) (0.333,0.6,1) (0.33,0.5,1) (2,2.67,3) (1,1.67,3) (1,1,1) (0.125,0.158,0.2) (3,3.33,4) (1,2,3) (5,6.33,8) (1,1,1) 0.358 0.276 0.366 0.000 8 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 O4 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.167,0.231,0.33) (0.33,0.545,2) (0.125,0.17,0.33) (3,4.33,6) (1,1,1) (2,2.57,6) (0.5,0.857,2) (0.5,1.83,3) (0.17,0.39,0.5) (1,1,1) (0.2,0.273,0.33) (3,5.67,8) (0.5,1.17,2) (3,3.67,5) (1,1,1) 0.534 0.037 0.404 0.025 T1 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (2,3.462,6) (2,2.769,4) (3,4.235,8) (0.17,0.29,0.5) (1,1,1) (0.25,0.33,0.5) (1,1.8,6) (0.25,0.36,0.5) (2,3,4) (1,1,1) (4,5.143,6) (0.13,0.24,0.33) (0.17,0.56,1) (0.17,0.19,0.25) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.373 0.111 0.517 T2 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (3,4,6) (2,3,6) (4,5.95,9) (0.17,0.25,0.33) (1,1,1) (1,1.2,2) (3,4.09,5) (0.17,0.33,0.5) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,1,1) (2,3.273,6) (0.11,0.17,0.25) (0.2,0.24,0.33) (0.17,0.31,0.5) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.202 0.233 0.565 T3 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (1,1.286,3) (5,5.526,7) (5,5.53,7) (0.33,0.78,1) (1,1,1) (2,2.9,5) (0.5,0.75,1) (0.14,0.18,0.2) (0.2,0.34,0.5) (1,1,1) (1,1.636,3) (0.14,0.18,0.2) (1,1.33,2) (0.33,0.61,1) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.112 0.471 0.416 T4 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (0.5,0.75,1) (7,8.22,9) (6,6.904,8) (1,1.33,2) (1,1,1) (5,6.879,9) (5,6.667,8) (0.11,0.12,0.14) (0.11,0.15,0.2) (1,1,1) (1,1.2,2) (0.13,0.14,0.17) (0.13,0.15,0.2) (0.5,0.83,1) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.000 0.523 0.477 T5 SO ST WO WT (1,1,1) (7,7.3,8) (3,3.273,4) (6,7.714,9) (0.13,0.14,0.14) (1,1,1) (0.143,0.2,0.333) (1,1.286,3) (0.25,0.31,0.33) (3,5,7) (1,1,1) (3,4.557,8) (0.11,0.13,0.17) (0.33,0.78,1) (0.13,0.22,0.33) (1,1,1) 0.000 0.491 0.000 0.509 Table 11. Priority weights of SWOT factors, sub-factors and alternative strategies SWOT SWOT sub-factors Alternative Strategies factors & their priorities & their priorities SO ST WO Strengths 0.171 S1 0.304 0.581 0.419 0.000 S2 0.244 0.398 0.399 0.146 S3 0.106 0.336 0.348 0.249 S4 0.346 0.529 0.471 0.000 WT 0.000 0.057 0.067 0.000 Weaknesses 0.312 W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 0.184 0.258 0.114 0.266 0.178 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.701 0.401 0.733 0.767 0.511 0.299 0.599 0.267 0.233 0.489 Opportunities 0.211 O1 O2 O3 O4 0.319 0.215 0.312 0.154 0.601 0.615 0.358 0.534 0.000 0.000 0.276 0.037 0.399 0.385 0.366 0.404 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.025 Threats 0.306 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 0.296 0.000 0.373 0.111 0.517 0.113 0.231 0.281 0.080 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.202 0.112 0.000 0.491 0.233 0.471 0.523 0.000 0.565 0.416 0.477 0.509 0.193 0.144 0.366 0.254 Weights 9 Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 0.366 Strategy Weight 0.4 0.254 0.3 0.193 0.2 0.144 0.1 0 SO ST WO WT Alternative Strategies Figure 5. Ranking of the strategies The results obtained from the SWOT-FAHP analysis are shown in Figure 5. According to the analysis, alternative strategies are ordered as WO, WT, SO and ST. The results indicate that WO is the best strategy group with an overall priority value of 0.366. matrix, using mechanized systems and automation to improve production efficiency, develop the scientific management in the stone mines and replace worn out machineries were determined as proper strategies. The research results emphasize the importance of using new technologies, mechanized systems and automation. Furthermore, it is essential that scientific management improve performance and productivity in the quarries. 5. Discussion and conclusions Considering the valuable stone deposits in Iran, analyzing strategic factors and developing appropriate strategies for the dimensional stone mines require special attention. In this study, the SWOT-FAHP hybrid method has been used to prioritize the alternative strategies and select the best strategy for these mines. In the SWOT analysis, strategic alternatives are selected in the view of the strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities as determined through internal and external environment analysis. FAHP is used in the SWOT approach to eliminate the weaknesses in the measurement and evaluation steps of the SWOT analysis. An environment analysis was performed and the SWOT sub-factors, which have significant effect on the quarries, were identified. The factors from the SWOT analysis and the alternative strategies based on these factors were transformed into an FAHP model. The first four levels of the FAHP model consist of a goal (determining the best strategy group), 4 SWOT factors, 18 SWOT subfactors and, 4 alternative strategies respectively. The relative importance of the alternative strategies and the overall priorities of the alternative strategies were calculated. According to the FAHP analysis, alternative strategies are ordered as WO, WT, SO and ST. The results indicate that WO is the best strategy for Iran's quarries. Therefore, according to the SWOT Acknowledgements The authors would like to acknowledge the participation of the respondents in this research. Appendix A. The triangular fuzzy numbers A tilde ‘~’ will be placed above a symbol if the symbol represents a fuzzy set. A triangular fuzzy ~ number (TFN), M is shown in Figure 6. A TFN is denoted simply as (l m, m u ) or (l , m, u ) . The parameters l , m and u , respectively, denote the smallest possible value, the most promising value, and the largest possible value that describe a fuzzy event. Figure 6. A triangular fuzzy number, 10 ~ M Tahernejad et al./ Journal of Mining & Environment, Vol.3, No.1, 2012 Each TFN has linear representations on its left and right side such that its membership function can be defined as 0 ( x l ) (m l ) ~ (x M ) (u x) (u m) 0 xl lxm m xu xu and to obtain (3) Step m j 1 M j 1 j gi (7) M 1 (l1 , m1 , u1 ) As and 1 2 and can be expressed as follows: V (M 2 M 1 ) hgt (M 1 M 2 ) M 2 (d ) 1 0 l1 u 2 (m u ) (m l ) 2 1 1 2 i 1, 2, ..., n, (9) if M 2 M 1 (10) if l1 u 2 otherwise Figure 7. illustrates Eq. (9) where d is the ordinate of the highest intersection point D between M1 and M to compare M 1 and M 2 , we need both the values of V ( M 1 M 2 ) and V (M 2 M1 ) . 1 2 (4) Step 3. The degree possibility for a convex fuzzy number to be greater than k convex fuzzy M i (i 1, 2, ..., k ) numbers can be defined by: M gij , the fuzzy addition operation m m m l j , m j , u j j 1 j 1 j 1 2. y x of m extent analysis values for a particular matrix is performed such as: m (6) are two triangular fuzzy numbers, the degree of possibility of M 2 (l 2 , m2 , u 2 ) M 1 (l1 , m1 , u1 ) is defined as: V ( M 2 M 1 ) sup min( M ( x), M ( y)) (8) steps of Chang’s extent analysis can be given as in the following: Step 1. The value of fuzzy synthetic extent with respect to the i th object is defined as: To obtain , the fuzzy M 2 (l 2 , m2 , u 2 ) Where M gij ( j 1, 2, ..., m) all are TFNs. The j 1 1 1 to the method of Chang’s extent analysis, each object is taken and extent analysis for each goal performed respectively. Therefore, m extent analysis values for each object can be obtained, with the following signs: Si M m n m j M gi i 1 j 1 1 1 1 , n , n n u i 1 i i 1 mi i 1 li G g1 , g 2 , g 3 ,..., g n be a goal set. According j gi j 1 M gij j 1 and then the inverse of the vector above is computed, such as: Appendix B. Chang’s extent analysis method Let X x1 , x2 , x3 ,..., xn an object set, and n m M gij i 1 j 1 m n n n j M l , m , i i ui gi i 1 j 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 n (2) Where l ( y ) and r ( y ) denote the left side representation and the right side representation of a fuzzy number, respectively. Many ranking methods for fuzzy numbers have been developed in the literature. 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