OECD Skills Strategy: Netherlands 21 March 2016, the Hague Joanne Caddy, Directorate for Education and Skills, OECD What do we mean by skills? Technical, professional, sector-specific skills General cognitive skills Socio-emotional skills skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 2 Why is a skills strategy important? Skills are central to boosting labour market participation… Effect of education and literacy proficiency on labour market participation, PIAAC 2012 Odd ratios showing the effect of education and literacy proficiency on the likelihood of participating in the labour market among adults not in formal education Source: OECD. Survey of Adults Skills (PIAAC) (2012), Table A6.5 (L). skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 3 Why is a skills strategy important? …and skills are central to raising productivity Labour productivity and the use of reading skills at work adjusted for literacy and numeracy proficiency Source: Survey of Adults Skills (PIAAC) (2012), Table A4.4. skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 4 Why is a skills strategy important? Skills are important for adjusting to the changing skill requirements of jobs Forecast of job opportunities in The Netherlands by qualification requirements, 2013 – 2025 Note: CEDEFOP Skills Forecast, 2013-2025.The definitions of skill levels are as follows: low qualification = ISCED 1 and ISCED 2 (less than upper secondary); medium qualification = ISCED 3 and ISCED 4 (upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary); and high qualification ISCED 5 and ISCED 6 (tertiary). skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives Source: CEDEFOP (2015b) “Job opportunities: Skills forecast for 2015”, 2013-2025 5 Why is a skills strategy important? …and for promoting social cohesion In the context of economic and social change Likelihood of positive social and economic outcomes among highly literate adults Increased likelihood (odds ratio) of adults scoring at Level 4/5 in literacy reporting high levels of trust and political efficacy, participating in volunteer activities and good health compared with adults scoring at or below Level 1 in literacy (adjusted) International average 3.0 2.6 2.6 Odds ratio 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.5 1.0 High levels of political efficacy Participation in volunteer activities High levels of trust Good to excellent health skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 6 What is the OECD Skills Strategy Framework? OECD Skills Strategy skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 7 DEVELOPING RELEVANT SKILLS 8 Developing relevant skills The Netherlands has a highly skilled population, overall… Mean literacy scores, by educational attainment, selected countries, 25-34 year olds, PIAAC 2012 Source: OECD calculations based on the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012) (database) skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 9 Developing relevant skills …but some groups are not performing as well as others Differences in literacy proficiency scores, by immigrant and language background Mean literacy score differences: Native-born and native-language minus foreign-born and foreignlanguage adults Unadjusted differences are the differences between the two means for each contrast category. Adjusted differences are based on a regression model and take account of differences associated with all of the following variables: age, gender, education, socio-economic background, and type of occupation. skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives Source: Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012). 10 Developing relevant skills Many adults lack the skills needed to adapt to economic change, and they will be in the workforce for many years to come Note: low skilled = less than PIAAC level 2 Source: OECD calculations based on the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012) (database) Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives skills.oecd 11 ACTIVATING SKILLS SUPPLY 12 Activating skills supply There is room to increase labour utilisation, with workers in the Netherlands contributing fewer hours of work than counterparts in most other OECD countries… Annual hours actually worked per worker, 2000-2014 Source: OECD Online Employment Database 13 Activating skills supply …and with a growing rate of long-term unemployment Long-term unemployment (12 months or more) in selected OECD countries Percentage of total unemployment % 80 2014 2009 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: OECD calculations based on quarterly national Labour Force Surveys and OECD Short-Term Labour Market Statistics Database. 14 Activating skills supply Many immigrants are struggling to gain access to the labour market Gap in employment and participation rates between native and foreign-born, 2014 Percentage-points difference in employment and participation rates of foreign-born minus native-born percentage points 15 Gap in participation rate Gap in employment rate 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Source: OECD.Stat skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 15 PUTTING SKILLS TO EFFECTIVE USE 16 Putting skills to effective use Firms are not making full use of the skills of their workers, thereby constraining productivity and growth Average literacy proficiency vs reading at work Source: OECD calculations based on the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012) (database). skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 17 Putting skills to effective use Skills mismatches are holding back productivity and wages Potential gains from reducing skill mismatch Note: The figure shows the percentage of workers who are either over- or under- skilled and the simulated gains to allocative efficiency rom reducing skill mismatch in each country to the best practice level of mismatch. The figures are based on OECD calculations using OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012). Source: M. Adalet McGowan and D. Andrews (2015), "Labour Market Mismatch and Labour Productivity: Evidence from PIAAC Data" OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 1209. skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 18 Putting skills to effective use Linkages between business and higher education could be improved to stimulate innovation Firms collaborating on innovation with higher education or research institutions, by firm size, 2010-12 As a percentage of product and/or process-innovating firms in each size category Source: OECD Science Technology and Innovation Scoreboard 2015 skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 19 TRENDS IMPACTING SKILLS DEMAND AND SUPPLY IN THE FUTURE 20 Population Aging Netherlands: Population by age ranges, 1950-2050 (historical and projected) Source: OECD.Stat (Historical population data and projections (1950-2050) ) skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives Migration Increasing immigration across the OECD Immigrants as a share of national population, 1960-2010 Source: OECD Trends Shaping Education 2016 skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 22 Globalisation and technological Change Online shopping from the comfort of your home Individuals having ordered goods or services online, including via handheld devices, 2007 and 2014 skills.oecd Source: OECD Trends Shaping Education 2016 Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives 23 Job Polarisation Changing demand for skills has led to a polarisation in job tasks Average annual change in total employment in the Netherlands by occupation categories requiring different tasks, thousand employed persons Source: OECD Economic Survey of the Netherlands 2016 based on Eurostat (2015), Employment and unemployment (Labour Force Survey) (database). skills.oecd Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives For more information To discuss OECD’s work with countries on building more effective skills strategies contact: [email protected] To learn more about the OECD’s work on skills visit: skills.oecd.org 25
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