Insurance Markets When Firms Are Asymmetrically Informed: A Note Jason Strauss and Aidan Hollis University of Calgary Presenting: Jason Strauss, Candidate, M.A. (Economics) Previous Research • Barros, P., 1993, Freedom of Service and Competition in Insurance Markets: A Note, Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance. • Crocker, K. J., and A. Snow, 1986, The Efficiency Effects of Categorical Discrimination in the Insurance Industry, Journal of Political Economy. 2 Event data recorders (EDRs), telematics, and GPS systems 3 EDRs enable the collection, storage, and transmission of data to an insurer on how a motor vehicle is operated for the purposes of pricing an automobile insurance policy. 4 Patents • Progressive Casualty Insurance Company – U.S. Patent Nos. 5,797,134 and 6,064,970 and 6,868,386. – Canadian Patent Nos. 2,494,638, 2,344,781, and 2235566 – UK Patent Application LICENSEES: • Aviva Canada Inc. • Norwich Union Insurance Limited, (UK) 5 6 7 Assumptions 8 Assumptions • Only one insurer is well-informed. 9 Assumptions • Only one insurer is well-informed. • Consumers do not know their risk-type. 10 Research Question 11 Research Question • What are the welfare effects of asymmetrically informed insurers? 12 Research Question • What are the welfare effects of asymmetrically informed insurers? – If insurers can separate low and high risk consumers with a menu of contracts. 13 Research Question • What are the welfare effects of asymmetrically informed insurers? – If insurers can separate low and high risk consumers with a menu of contracts. – If insurers cannot separate low and high risk consumers with a menu of contracts. 14 15 16 17 Welfare Effects Scenarios: 18 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks 19 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks • If insurers cannot separate risks 20 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks – Welfare Effects are Positive • If insurers cannot separate risks 21 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks – Welfare Effects are Positive • If insurers cannot separate risks – Consumer Welfare Decreases 22 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks – Welfare Effects are Positive • If insurers cannot separate risks – Consumer Welfare Decreases – Overall Welfare within the R&S world is unchanged 23 Welfare Effects Scenarios: • If insurers can separate risks – Welfare Effects are Positive • If insurers cannot separate risks – Consumer Welfare Decreases – Overall Welfare within the R&S world is unchanged – Well-informed insurer’s profits equal loss in consumer surplus 24 Welfare Effects 25 Welfare Effects 26 Conclusion 27 Conclusion • The welfare effects depend on whether insurers can separate consumers: 28 Conclusion • The welfare effects depend on whether insurers can separate consumers: – If they can, the welfare effects are positive. 29 Conclusion • The welfare effects depend on whether insurers can separate consumers: – If they can, the welfare effects are positive. – If they cannot, consumer surplus decreases but overall welfare is unchanged, well-informed insurer gains positive profits. 30 Conclusion • The welfare effects depend on whether insurers can separate consumers: – If they can, the welfare effects are positive. – If they cannot, consumer surplus decreases but overall welfare is unchanged, well-informed insurer gains positive profits. • When the demand for “driving” is considered, EDR technology could have a negative effect on welfare, but not necessarily. 31 Conclusion • The welfare effects depend on whether insurers can separate consumers: – If they can, the welfare effects are positive. – If they cannot, consumer surplus decreases but overall welfare is unchanged, well-informed insurer gains positive profits. • When the demand for “driving” is considered, EDR technology could have a negative effect on welfare, but not necessarily. • Also, what about privacy? (the topic of our 2nd paper) 32 33 34 Welfare Effects 35
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