32 Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 2.4 TAX EQUIVALENCE RESULTS What follows are a number of applications of Theorem 1. Corollary 1 (Non-Equivalence) A system with only labour income taxation is not generally equivalent to a system with only consumption taxation. Proof: Theorem 1 states that any triple of sequences can be replicated, therefore a system with one of the sequences being non-zero (e.g. the labour income tax) and the other two sequences being zero could be replicated. However, the replicating triple is unique up to only one sequence, say the labour income tax. Choose the labour income tax sequence to be zero, then the replicating triple consisting of a consumption tax and a capital income tax is uniquely determined. Finally it must be checked whether the capital income tax rate in the replicating triple always would be zero. Let * denote the replicating triple (the one with the consumption tax) and take the original system to be the one with labour taxation. Equations (13) and (17) become (13’) (17’) Zero capital income tax rate implies ρt* = rt, t = 0,...,T. Then (13’) and (17’) can only be satisfied in the trivial case: all taxes zero, i.e. no taxation is equivalent to no taxation. In all other cases the conditions are violated. QED Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 33 Note that if capital income taxation is allowed in period 0 or if initial assets a0 are taxed as labour income then the AtkinsonStiglitz equivalence24 occurs: constant tax rates can be replicated. However, with the introduction of capital income taxation equivalence can always be guaranteed. Corollary 2 (Equivalent Tax Systems) A system with labour income taxation and capital income taxation is equivalent to a system with consumption expenditure taxation and capital income taxation. Proof: Theorem 1 states that a replicating triple of tax sequences is unique up to exactly one of the sequences. This implies that a whole sequence may be set to zero, therefore the real outcomes under system with two tax sequences can always be obtained under a different system consisting of two other tax sequences. QED The next question is whether the capital income tax could be made ’redundant’ in the sense that any capital income tax sequence could be replicated by labour and consumption tax sequences. Corollary 3 (Replicable Tax Systems) A system with only capital income taxation is replicable by a system with labour income taxation and consumption taxation. The reverse replicability is not true. 24 The result of Atkinson and Stiglitz (1980) is that a constant tax on labour income and initial capital endowments is equivalent to a constant tax on consumption and bequests at the end of the life time. This equivalence does not generally hold for the standard dynamic economy, and the reason is the requirement for the tax rates to be constant and that initial capital has to be taxable. Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 34 Proof: First part same as Corollary 2, second part same as Corollary 1. Note that for each period with capital income taxation the replicating sequences must involve an increasing consumption tax rate and an increasing subsidy on labour. This follows from equations (12) and (13). If capital income always is taxed, then the replicating consumption tax and labour subsidy has to be ever increasing. Corollary 4 (Zero-Revenue and Zero-Distortions Tax Systems) It is always possible to find sequences of tax rates on labour income, consumption and capital income tax rates, that do not give rise to distortions or tax receipts. The collection of these tax sequences is unique up to exactly one of the sequences. Proof: Follows directly from Theorem 1. Theorem 2 (Taxation of Initial Capital) A (less than 100%) tax on initial capital is replicable by a system with labour income taxation, consumption expenditure taxation and capital income taxation, (even if the capital income tax rate is set to zero in the first period). Proof: Taxation of initial capital gives rise to no distortions or tax returns in the future. This system could be represented as Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems The replicating triple, {τt*c}Tt=0, {τt*l}Tt=0, {τt*k}Tt=0, constructed in accordance with (12), (13) and (17) 35 must be (18) (19) (20) Such a system will give rise to neither intertemporal nor intratemporal distortions. Labour has to be subsidised at the same rate as consumption is taxed. The consumption tax and the labour subsidy have to be ever decreasing over time. To see what the effective tax on initial capital is, substitute the replicating sequences (19) and (20) into the budget equation (6) (21) The equivalent tax on initial capital,τk, is then (22) By choosing the level of τ0*c any tax on initial capital smaller than 100% can be replicated, even if τ0*k= 0. QED Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 36 Theorem 3 (Public Debt Funding) In an economy with labour income taxation, consumption expenditure taxation and capital income taxation (even though distortionary), the same real economic outcome can be obtained regardless whether for a period public expenditure is (a) purely debt funded, (b) purely tax funded, or (c) any combination thereof. Proof: Two different tax regimes τ and τ* give rise to the same real economic outcome according to Theorem 1 if (12), (13) and (17) are fulfilled. The evolution of the aggregate of assets under the two regimes are (23) (24) Define (25) Then (26) Equation (26) implies (27) Furthermore, since the real outcome is the same kt*=kt ∀t, then (28) Since {τt*c}Tt=0 is free of choice (according to Theorem 1) then st is free of choice for t=1,...,T. Thus for any time profile of bt, Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 37 taxes may be adjusted so as to give rise to the same real outcome. Then we may choose bt such that gt=bt-bt-1 for a period, i.e. pure debt funding. Now it is obvious that we may also choose partial public debt funding as well. QED 2.5 INCOME TAXATION For some reasons it might be convenient to tax income uniformly, i.e. to tax labour income and capital income at the same rate: an income tax.25 Could it be possible to replicate any triple of tax sequences by an income tax sequence?26 It is not possible to see directly whether it would be possible to replace any tax system by an income tax system. This is so because an income tax places additional restrictions on the tax sequences. Theorem 4 Assume A1 and A2, and a constant interest rate. Then, an income tax system, with the possibility of having a tax rate on capital income which is different from the one on labour income in period 0, can replicate a tax regime consisting of a constant labour tax rate τl and a constant capital tax rate τk and of any sequence of consumption tax rates {τtc}Tt=0. All but one of the replicating income tax sequences increase steadily over time (and if T→∞, they converge asymptotically to 1). The only constant replicating income tax sequence is the one set equal to the capital income tax in the original system. 25 It might be difficult or costly for the fiscal authorities to perfectly observe capital income and labour income distinctly. For example a self employed could overreport (underreport) his labour supply and thereby transform capital (labour) income into labour (capital) income. 26 That the converse is true is obvious. Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 38 Proof: Suppose the given tax triple is {τtc}Tt=0, τl, τk. Let {τt*c}Tt=0 denote the sequence of replicating consumption tax rates, and τt* the replicating income tax rate. An equivalent tax system must obey equation (12), (13) and (17), therefore (29) (30) (31) Use (29) in (30) and (31) then (32) (33) Let rt=r ∀t, and rewrite (32) and (33) as (34) Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 39 (35) where mt = 1 - τt*, and a = 1 + (1 - τk)r. There are two steady states to the above difference equation (36) The only stable steady state is m*, i.e. when τ*=1. Assuming T→∞, any mt < 1 -τk converges asymptotically to m*=0, while any mt > 1 -τk explodes and becomes ill defined.27 To ensure that m0 < 1 -τk, a different tax on capital income must generally be used in period 0. The only stable equivalent income tax system {τt*c}Tt=0, τ* = τk is uniquely described by (37) (38) QED Stationary replication is restricted to cases where τ* = τk. When the labour tax rate, and or the capital tax rate are non-constant only non-stationary replication is possible, i.e when the income tax rate converges to 1. Suppose τk is given within an optimal 27 If T is finite and mt < 1 -τk, then mt is decreasing in time and may not reach m*. This implies that τt* is increasing over time. On the other hand, if m0 > 1 -τk, then m may explode in finite time. This would happen when t = ln(1 - (1-τk)/m0) / ln(1 + (1-τk)r) (if the latter expression is an integer). Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 40 taxation framework, then τk = 0.28 Then τ* = 0, and clearly there is limited scope for the income tax. 2.6 DIFFERENCES IN TIMING This section will show how the concept of time solves the problem of indeterminacy of tax structure. Here will be supposed that tax rates can be changed less often than individuals can make their consumption, labour, and savings decisions. The idea is that an individual may decide how much to consume and how many hours to work on a daily basis, while the government can only change the tax rates every second day or once a week. This will break the previous tax equivalence results. Theorem 5 Assume A1 and A2, and that the tax rates have to be constant over two or more periods, then no replicability or tax equivalence occurs, i.e. any triple of tax sequences {τtc}Tt=0, {τtl}Tt=0, {τtk}Tt=0, becomes unique. Proof: Suppose there is a given triple {τtc}Tt=0, {τtl}Tt=0, {τtk}Tt=0. It remains to show that no other triple can give rise to the same real outcomes. Theorem will be proven by assuming the least restrictive case: The tax rates has to be constant over two periods. If the tax rates has to be constant over two periods the triple satisfies 28 Chamley (1986) and Judd (1985b). Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 41 (39) for ξ = c, l, k. Assume another triple {τt*c}Tt=0, {τt*l}Tt=0, {τt*k}Tt=0. First it must satisfy (40) for ξ = c, l, k. Next, if * gives rise to the same real outcomes, it must satisfy (12), (13) and (17) as shown in the proof of Theorem 1. Equation (13) together with (39) and (40) implies (41) i.e. (42) Equations (39), (40) and (42) give Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 42 (43) then (44) Next, equation (17) together with (44) implies (45) then according to (39) and (40) (46) Equation (13) together with (44) gives (47) Then (45), (46) and (47) give (48) Finally (12) and (48) imply (49) By (44), (48) and (49) the triple is unique. QED It should be noted that it is required that taxes are constant over every two periods. It is not enough to set e.g. period-one taxes equal to period-two taxes and then allow tax changes every Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 43 period thereafter. This has no correspondence in the static literature were normalisation can be obtained by letting two prices be equal. 2.7 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS This chapter derived tax equivalence results for dynastic economies. Individuals receive utility from one consumption good and disutility from work, they may save or borrow intertemporally. Flat tax rates are used on consumption expenditure, labour income and income on savings (capital). A known dynamic tax equivalence result is due to Atkinson and Stiglitz (1980), and states that labour income taxation is equivalent to consumption expenditure taxation if initial capital is taxed at the same rate as labour, and bequests at the same rate as consumption, at constant rates. However, if the tax rates are non-constant over time (out of steady state), this equivalence will not hold as shown in Corollary 1. However if a capital income tax is introduced, the general tax equivalence occurs: a system with consumption expenditure and capital income taxation is equivalent to a system with labour income and capital income taxation; this was shown in Corollary 2. These corollaries (and others) followed from Theorem 1. It established the exact degree of freedom in a tax system. It stated that exactly one tax sequence is free of choice, i.e. the same real economic outcome can be obtained for any values of the entire tax sequence. That is, the same individual consumption patterns, work patterns, public expenditure etc. may be obtained given any time path of (for example) the consumption expenditure tax. Another important result is Theorem 3 which is a public debt neutrality proposition with distortionary taxation. Taking the result of Theorem 1 it was shown that the same real Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 44 economic outcome could be obtained regardless if public expenditure for a period was purely public debt funded or purely tax funded or a combination thereof.29 Section 2.6 introduced a difference in timing. It is plausible that individuals can revise their consumption and labour-supply decisions more often than the government can change its fiscal policy. If there is only a ’slight’30 difference in timing the equivalence results break down, and any tax policy becomes unique. In the static optimal taxation literature one may obtain a unique tax structure by fixing one of the tax rates, which one is arbitrary. In a dynamic context the concept of time provides a natural solution to this kind of indeterminacy problem. Furthermore, it is not enough if only two period’s taxes are set equal and then allow for tax changes every period, the difference in timing has to prevail over the entire future. One may think of some relaxations of the assumptions that would change the results. One would be tax evasion, since different taxes may have different evasion characteristics. In this case the tax equivalence results may break down. Another case is when individuals ’differ in age’, like in an overlapping generations economy. In such a case the tax system would have intergenerational redistributive effects. Finally, there is one market imperfection that would change the results: borrowing and lending constraints. If these constraints were binding the equivalence results would be expected to break down. 29 Taking as given the initial level of public debt and either the condition that public debt is fully paid back when the economy ends or that the ’No-PonziGame’ condition for the government is fulfilled. 30 Since a discrete time set up was used the result was obtained by letting individuals revise their policy every period and the government every second period. A continuous-time version of this economy would generate such a result for an arbitrarily small difference in timing. Dynamic Taxation and Equivalent Tax Systems 45 Endogenous Taxation in a Dynamic Economy 46 References Atkinson, Anthony B., and Joseph E. Stiglitz (1980), "Lectures on Public Economics," McGraw-Hill Book Company Ltd., Maidenhead, UK. Barro, Robert J. 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