A FO RMA L MODE L FOR JUDI CI A L DISCRETION Noel B. REYNOLDS The problem o f ju d icia l d iscre tio n re vo lve s around th e appropriate roles o f fo rma l o r deductive reasoning and non-formal o r in t u it ive reasoning i n th e o ve ra ll process o f ju d icia l reasoning. Bo th f o rma l deductive patterns o f le g a l ru le s a n d facts and in tu itive insights o r "senses of fairness" have always been inseparable f ro m ju d icia l reasoning as i t occurs i n re a l life. Ye t, these t w o elements h a ve n e ve r been successfully reconciled in a single f o rma l mo d e l th a t outlines cle a rly the respective role fo r each. It will be proposed here that b y adapting the hypothetico-deductive model o f explanation f ro m the philosophy o f science we can p ro vid e a n e w d yn a mic mo d e l for ju d icia l reasoning that th rive s o n the tension between in tuition and deduction ra th e r than foundering o n it. The important ke y to resolving the traditional antinomy between th e g o ve rn in g p rin cip le s o f in tu itio n and deduction is the simp le recognition th a t ju d icia l decisions, l i k e scie n tific discoveries, g e n e ra lly sp rin g f ro m a two-phase process. Th e first is the context o f d isco ve ry where the min d o f the judge or scie n tist wre stle s n o n -fo rma lly wit h a p a rticu la r problem. Once he finds a satisfactory solution he moves to the second phase, the context o f justification. A t this p o in t he develops a formal argument o r thought pattern th a t ju stifie s h is so lu tio n by lin k in g i t d e d u ctive ly to re le va n t ru le s and principles. This approach to a solution o f the p ro b le m o f ju d icia l d iscretion rests on the premise that legal reasoning is b u t a subspecies o f human reasoning and, therefore, must fo llo w the same basic patterns. Deduction is th e standard f o rm f o r presenting controversial conclusions f o r th e consideration o f reasonable men. I t is a n a tu ra lly occurring standard in that whenever the abstractions o r class concepts that populate o u r mental wo rld s are given expression in language, we fin d that if they are not deductively related that they are not g ra ma tica lly correct. But 356 N . B. REYNOLDS as deduction is an exceedingly ponderous and tedious method of searching va g u e ly related groups o f abstractions in a p ro blem-solving co n te xt, in t u it ive , n o n -f o rma l t h o u g h t mo d e s fortunately intervene to make p riva te thought possible. Judicial Opinions as Explanations Simply defined, a ju d icia l opinion is a statement wh e re in a judge offers f o rma l and h o p e fu lly persuasive reasons f o r h is ruling. Alth o u g h th e fo rma t ma y va ry, th e standard purpose of writte n opinions is to explain wh y the judge believes the decision to be correct. Likewise, dissenting judges generally seek to explain wh y another decision o r rationale wo u ld make more sense. I n e ith e r case we can see th a t ju d icia l opinion writ in g is an explanatory process. A l l that is f o rma lly required o f the judge i s a decision — " g u ilt y" , " a ffirme d " , "remanded", etc. But judges ve ry often feel compelled to ju st if y th e ir judgment with a n explanation wh ich appeals t o t h e reason o f a ll i n terested parties and shows h o w the judge necessarily reached the decision as rendered. In adopting Reichenbach's d istin ctio n between the contexts of discovery and justification, we imp licit ly equate ju d icia l decision-making wit h non-formal reasoning of scientific discovery. This le a ve s f o rma l ju d icia l o p in io n s ( o r d e cisio n -ju stifyin g ) to be equated wit h formal scientific explanations as they arise in th e co n te xt o f justification. Inasmuch as th e opinions ca n be regarded a s explanations, w e ca n p ro f it a b ly t u rn t o t h e advances made in the theory of scientific explanation fo r many important insights in to th e nature o f explanation and th e appropriate f o rm f o r explanations t o f o llo w. Th is, i n t u rn w i l l suggest the beginning o f an o ve ra ll model f o r ju d icia l reasoning. W e can take o u r cue f ro m Professor Perelman, wh o has made e xp licit comparisons between scientific explanations and justifications o f ethical choices: To explain a phenomenon is to show how it is deduced from the accepted rules. I f it conforms to the conclusion A FO RMA L MO DEL FO R J UDI CI A L DI SCRETI O N 3 5 7 of a chain of reasoning which invokes accepted premises the phenomena is explained. The same th in g applies wh e n i t comes t o ju st if yin g an act. Th e a ct is ju st if i t conforms t o the conclusion of a chain of reasoning of wh ich the premises have been granted, o n e o f these co n stitu tin g a deontic ju d g me n t flowing f ro m a fo rmu la o f concrete justice. Explanation and ju stifica tio n ma ke use o f th e same procedure o f reasoning. Th e y d iffe r o n ly in the nature of one o f the premises o f the argument ( t ). Taking th e broad perspective suggested here b y Perelman we can go o n to see i f the same lo g ica l stru ctu re wh ich has proved so useful i n science mig h t n o t a lso b e as applicable to the la w as it is to ethics. Wit h a ll the comparisons o f scientific and legal method that have been made o ve r the past century, h a rd ly anyone seems to have found the same reasoning patterns a t wo rk in both the judge's chamber and the laboratory. Th e y have a ll missed the implications o f the simple fa ct that judges and scientists a re a ll me n engaged in simila r endeavors; as th e y each strive to fin d t ru t h and to ju st if y t h e ir conclusions, th e y are a ll constrained to f o llo w simila r patterns of non-formal and fo rma l thought. Abraham Kaplan has distinguished two types o f explanation that co u ld be taken as re le va n t t o la w. Th e f irst is semantic and seeks t o cla rif y the meanings o f words. I t is appropriate for use in rational systems o f ethics, etc., as in vo ke d b y Perelman in the above quotation. The second is scientific and seeks to rationalize e mp irica l phenomena wit h wh a t is believed t o be tru e o f the physical wo rld ( losophers have taken explanation to be relevant to la w, i t has 2 largely been the efirst sense above, and la w was consequently ). T o tin h treated as a fo rma e x t e n t l rational system with o u t e mp irica l referentce. Although h a thet logical structure of both types o f explanation lare bea sicaglly th e a same, l i t w i l l b e proposed i n wh a t f o llo ws that la w can mo re p ro p h i - fita b ly b e compared wit h a n e mp irica l science wh ich a llo ws experience t o co rre ct the e rro rs o f o ld 358 N . B. REYNO LDS explanations, thereby achieving a species of corporate progress and o b je ct ivit y i n the actual a d min istra tio n o f the la w. Although t h e re h a s re ce n t ly b e e n considerable o b je ctio n raised against the deductive model, we fin d th a t explanations are inadequate if they do not make a t least ta cit reference to general la ws. I t is we ll etablished in contemporary th e o ry o f explanation th a t all scie n tific explanation in vo lve s, e xp licit ly o r b y implication, a subsumption o f it s su b je ct ma t t e r u n d e r general regularities; i t seeks to provide a systematic understanding o f e mp irica l phenomena b y showing that they f it in t o a nomic nexus ( 3 "In a) . wo rd , w e e xp la in a fa ct b y adducing th e la w wh ich governs i t " ( 4 theory and the la ws it mig h t include can be in vo ke d to order a raT n ghe o ). i fs phenomena. Because ce rt a in phenomena ca n b e explained i l l u s by t reference to governing laws wh ich in turn depend on r atheory, t e s we can see that " e ve ry th e o ry ma y be said to demarcate t h a n explanatory sh e ll f o r th e phenomena wit h wh ich it e deals. The shell around a given event is, as it were, a sphere containing whatever is referred to in the theory of that event ( m a 3n Thendeductive model o f explanation has been developed in ). its fo rm la rg e ly through the efforts o f philosophers o f e present r science in this century, especially Hempel, Popper and Braithi waite. I t has been va rio u sly referred to in slig h tly altered ve rn sions as the deductive-nomological, the hypothetico-deductive, w or simp ly the deductive model. Alth o u g h deductive explanah tions o fte n p ro vid e mo re explanation than is p sych o lo g ica lly i necessary, th e y do present a ll t h e ir presuppositions and lin ks c to co ve rin g la ws i n such a wa y th a t th e y a re f u lly exposed h to o rd e rly a n d e ffe ctive testing. A n d although t h e y d o n o t g guarantee th e ce rta in ty th a t some o f t h e ir proponents cla im, e they a re no less certain than a n y alternative approach. Scienn tists and judges cannot be discouraged b y evidence that there e is probably some e rro r in a ll th e ir formulations. Judges in parr ticular cannot be sceptics. Political necessity demands that they a l A FO RMA L MO DEL FO R J UDI CI A L DI SCRETI O N 3 5 9 make decisions h e re a n d n o w. Th e p u rsu it o f ce rta in ty is a lu xu ry th e p o litica l co mmu n ity cannot afford. This mo d e l suggests that, as i n science, th e o b je ctivity appropriate f o r ju d ic ia l re a so n in g i s n o t t o b e fo u n d i n t h e mechanical procedures used in a single case, but in the relationship o f one case to a ll others and the principles th e y espouse. The judge's ra tio decidendi constitutes a hypothesis as to what is th e ju st and legal solution o f that kin d o f controversy. His hypothesis w i l l be tested as n e w cases a rise under the same principles. A s th e y are found to be ju st ly resolved under the earlier principles, these p rin cip le s w i l l b e " co rro b o ra te d " a s being true of the law in that state. But should later cases require some modification of the earlier principles fo r a just settlement, the e a rlie r principles a re " fa lsifie d " a n d need t o be corrected or replaced. Th e n e w ve rsio n becomes i n t u rn a hypothesis to be tested b y future cases ( e Thus we see the judge laboring in the context o f d isco ve ry )to . fin d th e suitable p rin cip le f o r ju st ly re so lvin g a p a rticu la r controversy. He is guided e xte n sive ly b y h is f a milia rit y wit h the p rin cip le s o th e r judges h a ve used successfully in simila r cases. B u t should th e instant case d if f e r f ro m the precedents in a n y significant d e ta il, o r should th e precedents b e u n d e r moral censure fro m the p o litica l community, the judge will also need to re fe r to h is in tu itive notions o f justice to fin d a " co rrect" solution. Alth o u g h there can be no standard mechanism to guarantee that he does in fact find the " co rre ct" solution in a p a rticu la r case, the mechanism o f intersubjective testing o f his ra tio decidendi b y other judges and b y public opinion w i l l soon detect a n y e rro rs and d imin ish o r eliminate them in the future. Admittedly, th is proposal gives u p th e p o sitivist id e a l o f a rational model that will find a unique correct decision in every concrete case. I t appeals t o t h e f l u x o f p u b lic o p in io n a n d sense o f fairness and ju stice as metaphysical ju stifica tio n f o r its truths. I t makes no cla im to f u ll ra tio n a lity in the a n a lytic sense, b u t instead seeks a second-order ra tio n a lity in the ongoing ju d icia l process, the process o f fin d in g better solutions to le g a l problems th ro u g h educated hypothesis a n d t ria l. 360 N . B. REYNOLDS Some w i l l object that it is one thing to a llo w the scientist the lu xu ry o f endless experimentation in his la b o ra to ry and quite another t o t u rn a corps o f judges loose o n a fre e so cie ty t o find wh a t is just. Bu t these crit ics need to produce some n e w model o f ju d icia l reasoning that takes this in fo rma l o r subjective element out o f ju d icia l discretion. I f ju d icia l discretion is both re a l and necessary, a s th e above mo d e l claims, th e important mo ve is t o harness and channel i t and salvage wh a tever ra tio n a lity and o b je ct ivit y one can. Fo r this purpose the hypothetico-deductive mo d e l o f scie n tific e xp la n a tio n seems almost e xa ctly lik e th e le g a l reasoning we a re t ryin g t o e xplicate. I t a llo ws th e judge to search h is fo rma l and in fo rma l knowledge f o r th e best so lu tio n wh ich h e mu st then present in f o rma l deductive f o rma t as a ju stifica tio n . Th e la t t e r step acts as a co n tro l o n the fo rme r as i t formulates a hypothesis which a ll human experience can test and q u ickly reject if it is found t o b e defective. Iro n ica lly, t h is seems i n a w a y t o be more o b je ctive th a n t h e p o sit ivist id e a l wh ic h co u ld sa fe ly ignore the moral consensus of a society, re lyin g on sterile logic and printed statutes. The above proposal is much mo re objective and rational in its encounter wit h p o litica l realites. Furthermore, i t explains how ju d icia l re vie w can operate o b je ctive ly to keep th e la w current wit h the mo ra l attitudes o f the public, with o u t having to re d ra w i t through p o litica l o r milit a ry revolutions. I t also reveals mo re cle a rly the u tte r helplessness o f judges o r other political leaders t o h o ld together a so cie ty th a t is lo sin g it s basic mo ra l consensus. Philosophers o f science have advanced t h e ir understanding of scie n tific reasoning g re a t ly b y p a yin g s t ric t attention t o what scientists i n fa ct do. I t is proposed th a t jurisprudence could p ro f it g re a t ly b y f o llo win g t h e ir lead. Brigham Young Un ive rsit y Provo, Utah, U.S.A. A FO RMA L MO DEL FO R J UDI CI A L DI SCRETI O N 3 6 1 NOTES (I) Ch a im PERELMAN, Th e I dea o f J us tic e a n d t h e Problem o f Argument , trans. J ohn PETRIE (London: Rout ledge and Kegan Paul, 1963), p. 43. ( Publishing, 1964), p p . 327-32. 2 () Press, 3 A 1965), p . 488. )b( (4 rC ) a(5 Discovery (Ne w Y ork : Ha rp e r and Row, 1965), wh ic h has had a perv as iv e )K rh8 influence o n my approac h t o t his problem. la)Ia p b T G m il h .K a d e H A t.n E P , M Le rp P A . m E N 3 ,Li2 4 9 ,Tn 1 9 A ho sel. po C e og cny tdi ss u o ct fta S ok fce iIn e nf n qr to u im frK iya (cr l E S xaR p n. lP F a rO n aP a nP ctE iR o sS n c' (S o N :L eo
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