Electricity distribution and embedded renewable energy generators Martin Scheepers ECN Policy Studies www.ecn.nl Florence School of Regulation, Workshop, November 24, 2006 Contents 1. Distributed generation: RES & CHP 2. Impact DG on the DSO business 2.1 Integration of DG in electricity distribution networks 2.2 Reinforcement costs, energy losses and replacement of distribution assets 2.3 Remuneration of DSO costs 2.4 DSO revenues and incentives 2.5 DG providing ancillary services 3. What is the optimal amount of DG? 2 1. Distributed generation: RES & CHP RES & CHP in EU-25 scenarios Share in total electricity supply 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2010 Base line scenario 2020 2030 Policy scenario high RES & efficiency %-CHP 3 %-RES %CHP %-RES Source: PRIMES 1. Distributed generation: RES & CHP Distributed Generation (DG) Large-scale generation Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Renewable Energy Sources (RES) • Large district heating* • Large industrial CHP* • Large hydro** • Offshore wind • Co-firing biomass in coal power plants • Geothermal energy Distributed Generation (DG) • • • • Medium district heating Medium industrial CHP Commercial CHP Micro CHP * typical > 50 MWe ** typical > 10 MWe 4 • • • • Medium and small hydro Onshore wind Tidal energy Biomass and waste incineration/gasification • Solar energy (PV) 1. Distributed generation: RES & CHP Current DG share in total generation capacity Source: DG-GRID/Risoe 5 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Integration of DG in electricity distribution networks Planning DG should be considered by DSOs when planning the development of the distribution network (Article 14/7 of the EU Electricity Directive) Operation DG could also be involved in the economic efficient operation of the network by using active network management* resulting in lower costs * Also including demand side management DG could provide ancillary services to DSOs 6 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Impact DG on Business Model DSO DG DG Capital expenditures Extensions/ Extensions/ reinforcereinforcements ments Equipment supplier DG Revenues connection costs Consumer/ DG Operator Consumer/ DG Operator Connection Connection charges charges UoS UoS charges charges Operational expenditures DSO DSO (Distribution (Distribution System System Operator) Operator) UoS UoS charges charges (cascade) (cascade) Ancillary Ancillary services services Money flow Energy Energy losses losses reinforcements replacing distribution assets TSO TSO/ DG Operator DG ancillary services DG Operator/ Large power producer DG energy losses O&M O&MCosts Costs Source: Dispower/ECN 7 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Reinforcement costs related to DG Rural network Type of DG: - Intermittent: wind, small-hydro - Non-intermittent: CHP Problems to solve: voltage rise Urban network Type of DG: - Intermittent: PV - Non-intermittent: CHP, micro-CHP Problems to solve: fault level increase 8 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Analyses of effect of large DG penetration on reinforcement costs Approach Quantitative analyses of impact of high DG/RES penetration on electricity networks in UK and Finland Parameters varied: Rural and urban networks Different DG penetration levels DG concentration, i.e. the amount of DG connected to specific network areas and levels Non-intermittent production and intermittent production Alternatives considered: Status quo, i.e. “passive” network management Innovative, i.e. “active” network management 9 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Ranges of incremental reinforcement costs rural network (UK case) Top → DG high concentrated; bottom → DG low concentrated 1400 1200 Cost (M£) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2.5 5 7.5 Installed capacity (GW) Passive rural network 10 Active rural network Source: DG-GRID/Imperial College 10 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Ranges of incremental reinforcement costs urban network (UK case) Top → DG high concentrated; bottom → DG low concentrated 1400 Cost (M£) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 Installed capacity (GW) Passive urban network Active urban network Source: DG-GRID/Imperial College 11 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Average annual energy losses (UK case) Losses LV-network not included 10% 9% 8% Energy losses 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0 2,5 5 7,5 10 DG capacity connected (MW) DG concentration / network management type Low/ Passive Medium-high/ Passive Low/ Active Medium-high/ Active Low-medium/ Passive High/ Passive Low-medium/ Active High/ Active Source: DG-GRID/Imperial College 12 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Replacement of distribution network assets Replacement value of DG (for the UK) DG penetration DG with low density in the network DG with high density in the network 2.5 GW 108 €/kW 110 €/kW 5 GW 110 €/kW 112 €/kW 7.5 GW 113 €/kW 97 €/kW 10 GW 113 €/kW 44 €/kW Source: DG-GRID/Imperial College 13 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Impact on OPEX and CAPEX Reinforcement costs At low DG penetration levels reinforcement costs are zero, but they will increase progressively with higher DG penetration. Also “DG-density” causes cost increases. Energy losses DG may initially reduce energy losses, but with higher DG penetration losses will increase. Replacement value of DG DG can replace distribution assets because the net (peak) load of the network will decrease with increasing DG penetration. The replacement value decreases in case of high DG penetration in combination with high “DG-density” Active network management Reinforcement costs can be reduced with “active network management” (incl. implementation costs like ICT). However, in some high DG-penetration cases costs will be higher than passive network management. Operational costs (i.e. energy losses, curtailment compensation, labour costs) will increase. This results in higher total costs in some cases. Type of DG The type of DG (non-intermittent and intermittent) influences network capacity and 14 losses. Effects are different for rural and urban networks, also because of the different types of DG connected. 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business Remuneration of DSO costs To guarantee non-discriminatory network access DG connection charges should be based shallow costs (direct costs of the connection). Consumer/ DG Operator Consumer/ DG Operator DG UoS charges - should be cost reflective - preferably differentiated by location and time of use - Might be positive (if network costs are increased due to DG operation) or negative (if the savings are greater than the costs 15 Capital expenditures Extensions/ Extensions/ reinforcereinforcements ments Equipment supplier Revenues Connection Connection charges charges UoS UoS charges charges Operational expenditures DSO DSO (Distribution (Distribution System System Operator) Operator) UoS UoS charges charges (cascade) (cascade) Ancillary Ancillary services services Money flow Energy Energy losses losses O&M O&MCosts Costs Source: Dispower/ECN TSO TSO/ DG Operator DG Operator/ Large power producer 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business DSO revenues and incentives Revenues DSOs revenues are determined by incentive regulation DG can have a negative effect on the DSOs revenues DSOs revenues should be calculated taking into account the incremental effect on CAPEX and OPEX of different DG penetration levels, e.g. - Allowance for DG in regulated asset base (RAB) DSO benchmarking considering DG as cost driver Tariff adjustment factor (ex post) Allowance for a direct revenue driver - e.g. TARt = TARt-1(1 + CPI – X) + € A/ kW DG + € B/ MWhDG Incentives Negative effects on revenues should at least be neutralised (Temporarily) positive incentives could be used to promote DG integration 16 2. Impact of DG on the DSO business DG providing ancillary services Ancillary services DSOs should be able to purchase ancillary services from DG operators - e.g. voltage and reactive power support, energy losses, congestion management, etc. Islanded operation DG reducing the impact of network outages on customer supply interruptions (i.e. improving quality of service) Requires active network management, local balancing, etc. DG-DSO arrangements DG-DSO service contracts DG regulated payments 17 3. What is the optimal amount of DG? Costs reductions expected with increasing RES Cost of Electricity (ECU(1990)/kWh) 10 Photovoltaics (~65%) 1 1995 1980 Electricity from Biomass (~85%) Wind Power - Average (82%) 0.1 Wind Power - Best Performance (82%) Supercritical Coal (97%) 1995 0.01 0.01 18 © OECD/IEA, 2001 1985 0.1 1 10 Cumulative Electricity Production (TWh) NGCC (96%) 100 1000 3. What is the optimal amount of DG? What is the optimal amount of DG? Direct system costs Overall costs Overall costs,incl. innvoations Generation costs Market & network integration costs 0 Market & network integration costs, incl. innovations Time / DG/RES share in load flow distribution grid Source: ECN 19 More information: http://www.dg-grid.org http://www.electricitymarkets.info/distributedgeneration/index.html 20
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