Value Proposition Version 1 June 2015 Contents Vision 3 Value proposition in summary 3 Introduction and context 5 Population based approaches and logic model 10 Providing for the future and care model 16 Commissioning for the future 32 1|Page MCP delivery and spread 35 Ask and offer 35 Appendix A – High level programme & milestones Appendix B – High level risk register 2|Page 1 Vision Our collective vision for the MCP is to improve the health, well-being and independence of people living in our natural communities of care, making Hampshire an even greater place for all our residents to live. We want people to take greater control of their own health and happiness and to feel confident about the support they receive when they need it. We aim to do this by delivering a step-change towards more accessible and higher capability out-of-hospital care, designed with and by the people living in our communities, and founded on the things that are important to them. We often refer to our vision for Better Local Care as ‘Your health, In your hands, With our help’. 2 Value proposition in summary This document describes in some detail the value that we will bring to our local communities through our delivery of an MCP across Southern Hampshire. The paper describes the outcomes and benefits we intend to yield through the delivery of our transformational care model and associated commissioner and provider reform. A high level summary can be shown as: Healthier communities Improved life expectancy Decreased inequalities Value of South Hampshire MCP Increased engagement Improved experience Increased activation Improved access Safer services More care closer to home Decrease in hospitalisation Increased independence / interdependence = DELIVERED Strong local clinical leadership Time Trust Shared vision Effective engagement Commitment to cultural change Improved clinical outcomes Better value for money More sustainable system Better experience for staff THROUGH Effective population health approach Provider reform Commissioner reform Coproduction Evidence base Contractual re alignment Support from NHSE team Support from peer Vanguards Transformation Fund We feel that it is most important to consider this value through the eyes and experience of the people who pay for and make use of our services – our citizens and their communities. On this basis we have deliberately chosen to illustrate our value through adopting the “Think Local Act Personal: Making it Real’ approach which highlights the issues most important to the quality of people's lives and what they want experience from personalised care services. Our engagement with patients and citizens to date and our review of wider evidence suggests the value that matters to them includes: Easily available information and advice to remain as independent as possible; Access to a range of support that helps me live the life I want, take control of my health and remain a contributing member of the community; Flexible, responsive integrated care and support that is directed by me and my carer; Considerate, consistently high quality care delivered by competent people; Support systems in place so that I can get help at an early stage to avoid a crisis; Accessible, high quality services should I need urgent or emergency care. 3|Page The following comparative case study in intended to illustrate the shift in value between current experience of our services and a future position with MCP: In 2014 Mrs A was seen by the Out of Hours GP, who performed an assessment and prescribed antibiotic therapy for a respiratory infection. Later that night Mrs A was feeling increasingly unwell so called an ambulance. Mrs A is keen to stay at home and did not want to go to hospital but her assessment showed that she was increasingly short of breath when talking. The paramedics were unable to speak to Mrs A’s GP or the local community team so decided to take her to hospital. Mrs A spent a few days in hospital recovering and was discharged home. Initially she is visited by a community nurse and then by adult social services, but Mrs A finds these visits confusing and is not sure what support she needs. After several weeks she starts to feel unwell again… In 2019 Mrs A will be identified by the local MCP Extended Primary Care Service as in need of support using purpose-designed software. Dr B is assigned as Mrs A’s GP - lead professional and they will work with the local integrated Extended Primary Care Team (made up of her community nurses, adult social care and therapists) and Mrs A to develop a care plan for her, which will have been shared with local OOHs doctors and the ambulance service. As a result of the care planning Mrs A is given a telehealth device to allow her to monitor her respiratory condition; the results are monitored remotely in a telehealth centre. The telehealth centre notice that Mrs A results are deteriorating and contact the local Integrated Care Team so they can visit her to assess her breathing, look at how she is managing to eat, drink and use the bathroom; and understand what family help she has. Mrs A is keen to stay at home and does not want to go to hospital but her assessment showed that she was increasingly short of breath when talking, didn’t have her normal appetite and needed help with washing, dressing, getting food and preparing it. The team help Mrs A with the care she needs until a personal care package is arranged by the Community Response Team. Mrs A’s medication is reviewed as despite being on the antibiotics for two days she is still short of breath. The team speak to a respiratory nurse specialist who then visits with the team. She and Mrs A discuss the benefits of changing the type of antibiotic therapy and starting steroids. Mrs A is taught how to use a nebuliser machine which makes drugs turn into a vapour which helps open up Mrs A's breathing passages. A special mattress to avoid skin damage and bed sores is put in to Mrs A's home with a hospital bed to help her to sit up and change position. Her GP is told about what has been put in place to help Mrs A and the respiratory nurse specialist, Integrated Care Team, GP and Community Response Team continue to work together to care for her in her own home. This new way of working means that Mrs A is able to stay at home as she wants and doesn’t need to go to hospital. 4|Page 3 Introduction & context 3.1 Purpose of document This live document is the Value Proposition for ‘Better Local Care’ - the Southern Hampshire Multispecialty Community Provider Vanguard (‘the MCP’). Our MCP has a clear and consistent view of how we want to change delivery of health and care in our county, a detailed plan that we are enacting now, and strong, productive relationships – within our system, between the MCP and neighbouring systems and among a growing community of Vanguard sites. Our aim is to deliver sustainable change through: Pooling management capacity between our organisations and reducing processes that do not add direct value to patient care Collaboration and sharing of replicable best practice between our natural communities of care, and between ourselves and other geographies – specifically with integrated care programmes in the cities of Southampton and Portsmouth, North East Hampshire & Farnham PACS Vanguard, and our growing network of other Vanguard sites nationally An environment of permission and autonomy for clinicians in our localities, doing what makes sense and creating immediate efficiencies in the way skilled time is used The pace at which we can deliver beneficial change depends on the specificity, clarity and shared ownership of our Value Proposition. The Value Proposition is therefore an iterative document via which the MCP will seek to: 3.2 Document our model of care and the planned benefits for local people Set out our roadmap for achieving change at scale and pace, including how existing organisations will evolve to create and sustain momentum Define the support and resource which we require from the New Care Models team and Investment Committee (‘The Ask’) to secure delivery at pace, including clear SMART outcomes which this support will unlock Outline areas where our MCP can provide significant learning or support in kind back to the national Vanguard programme (‘The Offer’) Anticipate and continuously update / refine our projected future ‘Ask and Offer’ over the lifetime of the MCP transformation cycle Document and track delivery of the intended outcomes against the Value Proposition Key dependencies for understanding value within the MCP The MCP seeks to radically transform the clinical outcomes and experience of people supported by our health and care system, by building a system of integrated and extended scope primary care, in and between communities clinically focused local service redesign, in line with an evidence-based assessment of population health need. We have recent strong experience of service redesign - in integration of existing services e.g.: Integrated Community Teams (supporting both physical & mental health needs) Commissioning of new pathways to support a recovery approach, including Enhanced Recovery & Support at Home, which has significantly improved the care of patients in health crisis A community of general practice that has already made significant movements towards federation and provision of some services at scale. However our out of hospital care sector remains fragmented, differentially incentivised, and burdened by years of accumulated experience and misunderstanding. The precise nature of this differs from community to community, and our approach has therefore centred on the principle that 5|Page to progress, we have to pay fastidious attention to ‘winning hearts and minds’. We view the following as foundations in the structuring of our change model, evolution of delivery arrangements and approach to development of this Value Proposition: Front-line local clinical leadership of quality improvement and change is essential – The formal and institutional ‘systems’ within Southern Hampshire are not controlling the fine detail of clinical change. Rather we aim to create, build and sustain a social movement, united via a partnership of local clinicians, care professionals, and the citizens they serve. ‘Good to go’ approach – We will align senior support in each of our natural communities of care for a set of common principles which enable rapid and sustainable change. But we will not force the pace of change. We have a target of practices with 50% of Southern Hampshire’s registered population signed up to the ‘Good to Go’ principles by July 2015, and 90% by the end of 2015/16. These principles address whether localities have strong GP leadership, practices working at scale and commitment to shared design Value priorities informed by data – The model’s immediate focus is simple – improve access and create headroom for GPs by supporting networks of practices to provide some services at scale, and knit our practices back together with the other primary health and care services working in the community, supporting them to become single, high performing teams. In the short term, investment in team development will also unleash immediate innovation and ‘delayer’ pathways of care that currently push patients from pillar to post – some of the examples of this ‘low hanging fruit’ are set out in section 4. But this alone is not enough. In our MCP we have adopted the mantra of Professor Don Berwick, to “assume abundance and return the money” – into education, into social prescriptions, and into the wider determinants of health. This means we need to not simply improve value for money, but relentlessly maximise improvements in value for money. To ensure we target our attention at the areas that release maximum value, we need to extend our actuarially based assessments of need conducted in Fareham & Gosport to cover our whole population, to support clinical leaders to design and evaluate the changes they make. 6|Page 3.3 The case for change Most people locally and nationally remain loyal to their GPs - reporting high levels of satisfaction. However, too many remain dissatisfied with access to appointments and continuity of care. Demographics point to increasing numbers of people needing help with multiple complex health problems. Nationally, the number of people with a long-term condition is expected to rise to 18 million by 2025, accounting by that point for at least half of all GP appointments. Some parts of our geography in Southern Hampshire (e.g. Southwest New Forest) are ahead of national ageing population trends. Overall, we expect to see a rise of 10% in the number of people aged over 75 in our area by 2019. Whilst we understand the complexity and potential implications of future population need, how can we be sure that new care models will make a significant impact on the quality and sustainability of the system? In South Hampshire we have undertaken actuarial analyses of population health need with our partners Millimans to benchmark current outcomes against global best in class measures. Early outcomes from this work have highlighted a compelling case for a significant efficiency gain. This work is covered in more detail in section 4 below. We cannot meet current and future demand for primary care if we continue to do ‘more of the same’. These issues are shared across the country and in recent years a number of key documents have been published which highlight the issues facing primary care in the coming years1. Both CCGs and providers within our partnership have a range of mechanisms to engage with, and listen to the views of member practices and local communities. Over the course of the last two years member practices have reported an increasing pressure in general practice from high levels of vacancies, increasing demand and a shift in workload to support more long term conditions. A recent LMC survey indicated that GP recruitment and retention continues to be a problem nationally and also locally within our Wessex region. Across Wessex2: About 14% of GPs plan to retire in the next 2 years – for 20% of these this is earlier than planned Further 4% indicated that they are so disillusioned that they intend to leave the profession In those who intend to retire early, 60% stated that workload was the key issue. If all of the 300 GPs trained in Wessex in next 2 years went into general practice, numbers would still be insufficient to replace those leaving 67% of practices had a GP vacancy and 28% of those practices failed to recruit Nearly 40% of practices are currently are short of GP sessions in their practice 12% of final year GP trainees are intending to leave the country within the next 12 months 77% are opting for locum or salaried work as their initial preference 83% of comments made about their impression of General Practice were negative 6% of patients in South Eastern Hampshire and 10% in Fareham and Gosport reported they could not get an appointment to at a convenient time (in the January 2015 GP Patient Survey report). 23% of patients in South Eastern Hampshire and 29% in Fareham and Gosport reported that their surgery wasn’t open at a time convenient for them. During the development of the CCGs’ five year strategies extensive engagement with local communities revealed that local people want to see more integrated health and social care services in their local communities, with fewer ’hand-offs’ between agencies and professional groupings, and more patient-centred ‘wrap-around’ care, especially for frail older people. Local people are also keen to see a greater emphasis on prevention, with early intervention and local support to help people stay in control of their own health. 1 2 The 2022 GP (RCGP, 2013); 2013 Survtu 7|Page 3.4 National & international evidence base Those leading the Southern Hampshire MCP all feel part of the national and international movement to share and learn from evidence and examples of best practice. This Value Proposition includes footnotes referencing explicit evidence that has underwritten specific elements of our care model. Fundamental to the development of our care model and vision are: The New Zealand Midland Health Service’s Integrated Family Health Centre (IFHC) Approach This new model of care has informed our approach to improving access and the developing the Extended Primary Care Team. Features include a Patient Access Centre to provide a single point of access and direct patients to the most appropriate member of an extended primary care team, which can be face to face, telephone or email. They have a patient portal. They are offering longer appointments and are proactively instigating appointments for certain groups of patients. They are undertaking a 3 year evaluation of their new model of care and interim results include increased patient satisfaction, increased use of electronic communication with doctors and high satisfaction with a new clinical pharmacist role in the extended team. McKinsey Integrated Care Systems Review This is a review by McKinsey of 13 leading International Integrated Care systems informs our development of the Extended Primary Care Teams and their approach to supporting the ‘at risk’ population. McKinsey identified four common interventions to all of these networks: Self-empowerment and education Multi-Disciplinary Assessment and Care Planning Effective Care Co-ordination and Care Navigation Proactive Care It reported strong, consistent published evidence of efficacy that reduced hospitalisations by 2530%. All of these systems reported improvements in patient satisfaction. Professor Michael West’s (Aston University) research into collective leadership in healthcare Running throughout our Value Proposition is reference to our 8-day Team Development approach, which we believe is fundamental to found and expedite the development of a radically transformed primary care offer. The approach, which is being designed in collaboration with the clinicians who will be leading and contributing the process to redesign care in each of our natural communities, is built on the experience of Southern Health’s Going Viral programme. This approach to strategic cultural change in the NHS won a Guardian Innovation in Healthcare award, and was formally evaluated by Professor West as part of the King’s Fund ‘Collective Leadership in Healthcare’ review (2014)3. The research builds on the concept that the leadership capabilities required to deliver transformational change in the context of our new, dynamic health strategies, cannot be delivered by individual leaders on their own. “Local by Default” research by John Seddon and Locality (2014) Our emphasis on social movement, engagement and promoting self-care builds on recommendations from this work which offers a compelling case for developing new ways of designing, planning and delivering services to meet the needs of communities around principles that services should be: 3 Are ‘local by default’ Help people to help themselves Ensure a focus on purpose, not outcomes Manage value not cost http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/publications/developing-collective-leadership-health-care 8|Page 3.5 Change model The approach to change that we are taking in the MCP is based on the work of Kurt Lewin. In his three stage model of change, he emphasises: ‘Unfreezing’ - Which is about overcoming inertia and supporting people to overcome their existing mind-set or received wisdoms. The MCP is rolling out senior support to all natural communities of care to help them travel this road, and in the early stages we are prepared to encourage but support them at a pace with which they are comfortable. ‘Changing’ – Here, Lewin stresses the common difficulties encountered during a period of transition and, often, confusion. This is a key consideration for a change programme operating at the massive scale of the Southern Hampshire MCP, not least given our desire to achieve change at considerable pace. This supports the approach we have taken to have change driven by empowered clinical leaders working locally with the citizens they serve, and that process is now well underway in our three early adopter localities. ‘Refreezing’ – This is fundamentally about sustainability. By having a strong central infrastructure behind the MCP (including a skilled Delivery Unit, and strong senior operational support to clinical leaders in each natural community of care), the MCP will be able to quickly aggregate and disseminate learning, agree protocols and develop skills to drive world class quality assurance4, design the corporate support package that frontline clinicians need, and approve of potential economies of scale In our MCP, we have adopted a simple rephrasing of these stages: Prepare & Enable, Transform & Sustain. We have used these headings to set out our approach to the ‘Ask and Offer’ in section 8. Using the Institute of Medicine’s 6 Quality Aims, as outlined in ‘Crossing the Quality Chasm’ (2001) https://www.iom.edu/~/media/Files/Report%20Files/2001/Crossing-the-QualityChasm/Quality%20Chasm%202001%20%20report%20brief.pdf 4 9|Page 4 Population based approaches and logic model 4.1 Introducing our population health management approach Value can be improved by understanding the nature of the population and the underlying drivers of health resource utilisation and in turn establishing a contracting approach that aligns financial and clinical incentives, designed for specific sub-populations. Traditional risk stratification will only take us so far, we need more predictive tools that integrate acute, primary care and prescribing data, which has more predictive value and stability over time. Intelligent use of this data allows us to identify those patients with certain characteristics who are at most risk of medical intervention, rather than highlighting those people who currently have high care needs. Utilising an actuarial company to extrapolate historic utilisation rates gives us an insight into the needs of our population in a granular detail to anticipate need and plan services. Drill-down into sub-populations that drive utilisation of services - analyse co-morbidities Understand the nature of financial risk within the health and care economy Identify programmes offering best opportunity in terms of outcomes and return on investment Develop contracting and payment mechanisms, with targeted outcome measures that appropriately manage risk and places the incentive in the right places Combine with risk stratification to identify what should be in/out of a capitation budget scope Model scenarios to aid prioritisation of service transformation programmes Scope capacity requirements, which can also inform workforce and estates requirements We will drive value by: Using information to understand the effectiveness of current interventions and identify where we can improve effectiveness and efficiency of care Utilising evidence to drive quality and patient outcomes through best practice standardisation Identifying at sub-population level where earlier intervention more effectively improves outcomes, experience and safety for patients – this is a tailored approach to find interventions that support specific groups rather than a one size fits all approach Understanding ‘Per Member Per Month’ costs per clinical grouping and analysing trends in utilisation over time Understanding return on investment, giving us a clinical and financial evidence base to support investment and dis-investment decisions Providing information to enable us to develop a contracting approach which gives the MCP financial and clinical incentives aligned for specific sub-population outcomes Ensuring clarity of purpose by setting clear outcomes and goals based on clinical evidence Changing the culture to focus on the needs of the individual, not organisationally led objectives Changing service design and impact on activity Using the evidence base to set specific expectation and benchmarks at sub-population level, aligned to the contracting approach will ensure standardised outcomes and best value – enabling the MCP to design service to meet those requirements. Based on our benchmarks, we expect to see reductions in emergency admissions and reductions in unwarranted elective referrals. In time, we would expect to see reductions in care home placements as we do more to support domiciliary care. The fine detail of the actuarial assessments will enable us to develop detailed projections of where and how these activity changes will be achieved, and to plan for the impact that they have on co-dependent services. 10 | P a g e 4.2 Benefits and outcomes We have a plan in place to develop the outcomes and evaluation for the MCP alongside the refinement of our care model. The metrics used for this evaluation will be informed by the national work to identify and track the core MCP metrics. Although, wherever possible, we will use existing national measures and metrics, we also expect to develop local ones where necessary, such as for mental wellbeing. We have developed a work plan that culminates in the development of the outcomes we will use in our shadow commissioning specification. The steps in the approach include: Defining the type of outcomes we will measure (health, client level, system) Confirming and defining the specific cohorts Assessing the baseline and data collection requirements (including actuarial data) Defining what success looks like, in terms of both provider and commissioner outcomes Finalising evaluation and draft shadow commissioning outcomes The specific health outcomes will be determined as the MCP interventions are clearly defined, and this will inform the continual refinement of our overall Value Proposition. We will select outcomes that either measure the change anticipated by the intervention directly, or that can act as proxies (as measuring change in many health outcomes requires large populations groups and prolonged periods of time). As much as possible, we will measure the generic outcomes using routine data sources, and extracting to the relevant geographies. In order to evaluate whether the outcome is a result of an MCP intervention, we will use valid proxy measures to ensure that we are able to link the intervention with health outcomes. Secondly we will use a comparator group, either by geographical area or by comparing trends in the same area over time. We will also be able to measure change by looking at patient level data for Chronic Condition Hierarchical Groups. Once analysis of the groups which offer the most benefit in terms of intensive management have been identified, we will track utilisations and outcomes at a person level. 4.3 Evaluating the new model & logic model approach We are developing logic models for each of the key components of the new model of care as they are developed and implemented in each locality. These models will describe the planned inputs and intervention for each component and the outputs and measurable benefits/ outcomes that will feed into the evaluation. The metrics used for this evaluation will be informed by the national work to identify and track the core MCP metrics. Although, wherever possible, we will use existing national measures and metrics, we also expect to develop local ones where necessary, such as for mental wellbeing. Our logic model will be structured based on the following hierarchy that corresponds with the core components of our emerging MCP model. We are working with the Wessex Academic Health Sciences Network in the refinement of these logic models and linking with the other Wessex Vanguards 4.4 Current iteration of logic model The following table presents our current iteration of our emerging logic model for our care model at domain level. Levels of outcomes projected within the tables will be subject to refinement through the continued iteration of our approach alongside the care model development. The logic model is based profoundly on our population health model and this will be developed on an iterative basis alongside the further utilisation of this approach. 11 | P a g e Care model domain Extended primary care team Improved access Current iteration of logic model Whole system outcomes – including… Inputs Intervention All patients on registered Establishment of list primary care access centres with a clinical Practice staff and skill-mix tailored to resources. meet urgent care Other associated services demand e.g. Lymington MIU Introduction of Booking systems and enabler technologies processes including patient Governance processes, accessible records / referral criteria & triage Web GP Patients at risk (e.g. Frail, elderly, people with multiple LTCs, people at end of life) Practices - including staff and resources Integrated Care teams (including community, AMH & social care) Voluntary sector services Risk stratification Governance arrangements Shared read/write records Establishment of enhanced extended primary care teams around natural localities Systematic targeting of patients most at risk using data led tools Shared care clinical and social care management of patients at risk Strong local GP led clinical leadership Outputs Increased proportion of people number of people receiving support from a primary care clinician on the day of first contact 7 day 8-8 service provided in primary care access centres Increased number of people with minor illness having their issue resolved remotely Short term (3-11 months) For phase 1 localities : Improved patient satisfaction with daytime and early evening access to primary care 1% in A&E paediatric and adult attendances for phase 1 localities Extended primary care appointment slots used for patients with greatest clinical need Medium term (12-24 months) Longer term (2 years +) All participating 40% of same-day practices in top interactions are quintile for nationally resolved through nonfor patient access face to face service delivery 5% system reduction in paediatric and adult 10% system reduction attendances in all A&E attendances from Significant change in baseline A&E HRGs Significant change in Improved staff the complexity of the satisfaction casemix seen in secondary care Improved attractiveness of MCPs as the place to work For phase 1 localities: Across South Hants : Increased number of people managed at High patient and carer activation scores/ High patient / service home or closer to home High patient / service user satisfaction with user satisfaction with personal goal 90% patients in the top achievement / control coordinated care coordinated care 5% assessed by the over daily life integrated care team Integrated team working Significant reduction and supporting out of in adjusted admission 25% reduction in Single, jointly agreed acute emergency bed hospital systems fully rates for people aged care plans implemented functioning >65 years/ >75 years use from baseline for Increased proportion of people aged >65 50% reduction in excess Demonstrable shift in patients with coyears/ >75 years / bed days for a defined locus of activity for at produced care plan defined patient cohort of patients – non risk patients to cohorts elective admissions primary and 50% reduction in community based Statistically significant emergency admissions social care reduction in NEL >14 days Reduction in admissions system per patient costs for defined patient cohorts Impact Improved healthy life expectancy Decreased gap in life expectancy between the highest and lowest deprivation deciles Reduced under 75 mortality rate for CVD, respiratory disease, liver disease, cancer Improved patient experience and engagement in health & care decisions Improved independence/ interdependence for people with LTCs Improved access and outcomes for people requiring on-day / urgent assessment Shift of care from acute to community settings More sustainable local health and care economy Improved staff experience and opportunities Organisations & clinicians aligned to provide the best possible care 12 | P a g e Whole system outcomes – including… Intervention Outputs Inputs Short term (3-11 months) Medium term (12-24 months) Impact Longer term (2 years +) Patients on registered list Establishment and requiring assessment / further integration of treatment for specific specialists within condition extended primary care hubs Practices - including staffing and resources. Refined access to specialist services Specialist clinicians and Introduction of associated services e.g. diagnostics & Outpatients technologies (e.g. Booking systems and facetime) processes Referral criteria & triage New services developed Increased number of people accessing specialist assessment and intervention in community setting Extended access to specialist services / opinion Greater degree of speciality within primary care at scale For phase 1 localities: Agreed % care delivered in Statistically significant Redirected outpatient community hubs reduction in referrals for appointments for Demonstrable defined diagnostics and defined specialties reduction in avoidable top 8 specialities activity and costs by Reduction in referrals treatment speciality Redirected outpatient for defined diagnostics as identified by appointments for and top 3 specialities defined specialties actuarial analysis Improved clinical competence in Reduced referrals for Statistically significant primary care team ENT, MSK and paediatric reduction elective specialities bed days Clear patient journeys for priority pathways Improved healthy life expectancy Citizens and their communities – existing engagement, organisation and social capital Patients, carers and selfhelp Third sector organisations Local clinical leaders Communication & engagement resources and methodologies Shift in culture with Codesign / co-production becoming norm Increased focus on lifestyle risk factors as part of routine primary care Increased number of people diagnosed with LTCs Intensive management of patients at highest risk of developing morbidity in the short to medium term Greater stake for third sector partners in MCP model (including investment) Outcomes framework / how MCP is measured is relevant and meaningful to patients & citizens Phase 1 localities Culture of co-production integrated into MCP development Phase 1 localities Improved patient activation scores for people with LTCs Improved independence/ interdependence for people with LTCs Improved care management of people with COPD and diabetes (locality specific) with other LTCs to follow Practices in the top quintile for care processes and outcomes in the national diabetes audit Increased signposting and utilisation of selfhelp for risk factor modification and social support Rise in the ratio of observed v’s expected number of people diagnosed with LTCs Significant reduction in complications from LTCs from baseline(e.g. amputations, stroke) Systematic case management for population groups identified in actuarial analysis Improvement in health life expectancy at 65 years Prom oting healt h, wellb eing and Selfcare De-layering specialist support Care model domain Continued overleaf Developing social movement for MCP Development and application of methods for coproduction of care model Development of initiatives to promote independence, interdependence & selfreliance Promoting third sector partnerships for delivery Systematic case finding for LTCs Systematic intervention for lifestyle risk factors Primary and secondary prevention considered as core component of MCP Staff trained to Make Every Contact Count and enabled to address lifestyle issues For phase 1 localities: 40% of all MCP clients facilitated / supported to self-service / care Reduced utilisation of statutory services for people with defined health and care needs Decreased gap in life expectancy between the highest and lowest deprivation deciles Reduced under 75 mortality rate for CVD, respiratory disease, liver disease, cancer Improved patient experience and engagement in health & care decisions Improved access and outcomes for people requiring on-day / urgent assessment Shift of care from acute to community settings More sustainable local health and care economy Improved staff experience and opportunities Organisations & clinicians aligned to provide the best possible care 13 | P a g e model Fig 4.4 – Emerging high level Logic Model for South Hants MCP 14 | P a g e 4.5 Establishing the financial opportunity for MCP Fig 4.6 - Analysis for Fareham & Gosport AND South Eastern Hants CCGs and indicative opportunity in £M’s (for illustrative purposes only) The graph above shows analysis for the entire registered populations of Fareham & Gosport and South Eastern Hants CCGs combined. In a “do nothing” scenario the figures suggest a growth in demand/costs of £136M in a do-nothing scenario over a 5 year period. Actuarial analysis of the data shows good delivery of targeted transformational models (red line) could contain this growth to circa £24M – indicating a potential opportunity of over £100M across the geography. Although further consideration must be given to factors such as transformational costs, additional investment in prevention and stranded costs within acute hospitals, the argument created by this work is highly compelling. By developing these approaches and applying them universally across our geography we will be able to develop highly specific cases for change to inform the new care models. We believe our population health management approaches using actuarial analysis represent a significant asset within the South Hampshire MCP and something that forms part of our offer to NHSE and the Vanguard programme in terms of potential scalability and national spread. 4.6 Containing cost in pursuit of long term value In the short-term we expect the care delivery costs associated with the MCP model to increase as we establish new models of delivery, but incur double running costs in other parts of the system. Particularly within acute care, it will take time for step cost reductions to be achieved from reshaping workforce and estate. To achieve our aim of shifting the focus of healthcare towards 15 | P a g e prevention, wellbeing and wider determinants of health, we must achieve the significant cost reductions that our ‘well managed’ system benchmarking indicate are possible. As such, the MCP has attempted to generate as much as possible of the additional support required for frontline redesign by creating resource from within the partnership. The measures we have taken include: 4.7 Identifying CCG staff to be seconded to Southern Health to deliver senior operational support to our MCP natural communities of care Committing to a reduction in the complexity and bureaucracy of contract monitoring and system management processes, with a significant reduction in time spent in meetings Shared leadership across our CCGs on some of our enabling programmes, including alignment of provider resources behind these priorities Agreeing to align organisational approaches behind partners who have ‘already cracked it’ Redistribution of investment within the health & care system The national balance of spending in our health and care sector is not what you would plan if you were starting with a blank sheet of paper. Around 50% of health spend currently flows into hospitals. GPs, who see around 90% of individual contacts with the NHS, receive around 20% of the pie. Incentives within our payment structures have not helped – national tariffs have encouraged hospital providers to become efficient treatment services, while deflating block contracts have resulted in divestment in many of the services aligned to primary care than are intended to support health, wellbeing and independence. Adult Social Care - possibly one of the most important cogs in the wheel - has been hit harder financially than even its partners in the health sector. Our MCP aims to create the conditions to redress this imbalance. We aim to move the balance of future health and care expenditure into community delivery and, more importantly, into preventive services that support people to remain healthy and independent, focussed on education, social prescription, and the wider determinants of health. Evidence we have heard in discussions with US healthcare providers such as Group Health (Optum UK) indicates that, under their insurance-based model, the case for investment in such areas has provided a positive Return on Investment. MCP Balance of Spending Aspirations by 2020/21 (%) Total 2015/2016 Total 2020/2021 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Hospital Care Mental Healthcare Community Healthcare Primary Care Continuing Care Other Commissioning Centrally Managed MCP Physical and Programmes Mental Healthcare Fig 4.7 – showing projections for re-distribution of resource across local health system by 2020/21 16 | P a g e Fig 4.7 shows projected re-distribution of health resource across the system with the shift to MCP over 5 years. It is assumed that separate investments into primary and community care are integrated and increased in new MCP contracts. This would also include a net increase in investment on mental health services, some of which would be an integral component of the MCP mode. The table is illustrative and does not take into account the significant investments associated with the commissioning of Social Care in Hampshire. Partnership with our Local Authority is key within our MCP and we would expect a further iteration of this work to include a comprehensive mapping of resource re-distribution across the health and social care system. Similarly the table does not show the anticipated shift in investment to services to promote health and wellbeing and prevention of disease. It is essential that our acute partners are fully engaged in the development and delivery of our MCP. While it is difficult at this stage to accurately model the impact that our interventions will have on activity and financial flows, it is our clear intention to move the percentage of commissioning spend on hospital care below 50%, and pushing below 40%, within a five year period. To be clear this represents a reduction in commissioning of hospital care and our emerging new models are likely to involve the commissioning of acute care partners to deliver care in a different way out of hospital. 5 Providing for the future – care model 5.1 Change on multiple fronts Conversations we have had with our colleagues in the Northeast Hampshire & Farnham PACS Vanguard have clarified our thinking around high level structuring of our Vanguard, and the crosscutting enabling themes we will need to address. Working at a countywide scale, we hope to be able to resolve some of these issues together. The table below shows our high level MCP organisation with the organisation of workstreams under 4 major programme areas. Working with local people to codesign, pilot, and fully implement a new model of care Designing and introducing a new commissioning model that pools resources and aligns incentives Developing a new provider model to deliver the new models of care Enabling the new model to deliver effectively for local people, and evaluating change Fig 5.1 – Organisation of South Hampshire MCP through four inter-dependent programme areas We have begun work within the programme to consider the synergies between the MCP programme and other related programmes of work – such as Better Care fund and the associated partnership programme between Southern Health NHS FT and Hampshire County Council (both partners in MCP) to establish more integrated working at locality level. Equally we are also in discussions with our partners in the North East Hampshire and Farnham PACS Vanguard about the possibility of aligning some of our core programme workstreams to promote pace and shared learning. 5.2 Our MCP care delivery model Fundamentally, we are developing a new model of care that develops wider primary care at scale across all the natural communities of Hampshire, and undertaking that design with people in those communities. When we say ‘natural communities of care’, we refer to the way people live their lives – where they shop, where they work, which contains their local social and familial networks. We believe that, to be effective, the new models have to be informed by how people want to access services, not only what makes apparent sense for organisations or institutions. The programme will centre upon four overriding redesign domains, namely: 17 | P a g e Improving access to primary care Extending the primary care team to proactively manage people at risk De-layering specialist support to patient care Engagement, prevention and self-management The detail of each of these components is provided in sections 5.4 to 5.7, below. 5.3 Who will benefit from the changes we deliver? We are starting with the three ‘early adopters’ communities of Gosport, Southwest New Forest, and East Hampshire, all of whom worked with us to develop the ‘Good to Go’ principles. Already, work is at an advanced stage with a further cohort of natural communities, confirming our intention to have sign-up from practices covering at least 90% of Hampshire’s registered population by March 2016. Our approach is founded on supporting care professionals and the public in each community to take responsibility for the detailed design and delivery of the new model of care, building local arrangements around evidence of what is needed, and what works. Our MCP is about using our ability operate and transform at scale the face of primary care for everyone. That is why one of the founding ‘Good to Go’ principles is that we must retain a focus on the whole registered list. But in planning the interventions we will make, we have used the fourstage continuum below to think about how our populations health needs are currently segmented. Changes we are planning will provide a whole-population benefit, by making better use of resources and freeing the time of clinical specialists to focus on the people who most need their expertise. Nevertheless we have attempted in the sections below to identify which segments of the population 18 | P a g e will benefit most from each. This is the cornerstone against which our growing Value Proposition will be quantified, measured, and evaluated. 5.4 Improving Access to Care What is this all about? A key priority for our communities is securing more convenient and timely access to primary care and support. Our new model of care must offer people the opportunity to get local access to the advice and support they need for health issues on the same day, or very first thing the following morning. A core component of the new model of care for each community will be the development of a series of primary care access centres or hubs, bringing together a team of GPs and other care professionals to provide access to ‘on-day’ primary care from 8am to 8pm, 7 days a week. This could move up to 40% of individual patient contacts out of the individual practices, into settings where the greater scale levels patterns of demand and makes better use of the skills of the multidisciplinary team. People who use the services will have no less continuity of care than they would experience at their own surgery. The hubs will have direct access to the patient’s electronic GP record and be linked to the local practices by an integrated telephony system. The use of innovative triage tools such as Web GP will facilitate ‘first time fix’ for more patients, putting them immediately in contact with the right care professional to resolve their issue and make more productive and proportionate use of stretched medical time. The precise design and range of services available through these hubs will vary by locality (according to facilities and population need), but they will operate to a common core specification that we are building in Gosport and Southwest New Forest. In some of our more rural locations, we may operate primary and secondary hubs, providing more local access to the service during traditional working hours, and reverting to the primary hub for the whole population in the evenings and at weekends. We have started work with our partners in South Central Ambulance Service to explore how, as these arrangements become embedded across our natural communities of care, we can interface and strengthen existing services such as 111 to deliver a seamless primary and urgent care arrangements around the clock. Which patient groups will benefit from this approach? This approach will directly benefit the general population in each community by increasing access. But, a major potential benefit of these hubs is the release of capacity for our expert local GPs who with the support of their Extended Primary Care Team may be able to focus more of their time in areas where their skills are most needed. This will include people ‘at risk’, people with long term conditions, and people at the end of their lives. By creating headroom for our GPs and other senior primary care clinicians they can contribute more to designing further fundamental changes. What are the key benefits that will accrue from this core component of our model? Our ‘Access’ priority will: Improve people’s access to a local team of care professionals who know and have a direct relationship with your registered GP Create capacity for stretched GP’s to lead development of other elements of our new model, by giving them access to and leadership of a skilled and varied interdisciplinary team of professionals to make better use of medical time in the treatment of ‘on-day’ demand Level out demand for primary care across the seven-day period Reduce the need for people to attend ED for urgent care issues that could have been resolved out of hospital, particularly during the evenings and on Sundays and Mondays 19 | P a g e Help us to create a strong and operationally resilient model around primary care for the provision of early support to promote people’s physical and mental wellbeing, independence and recovery skills Case Study: The Southwest New Forest Primary Care Access Centre An example of this component is in the South West New Forest community, where we are developing our Primary Care Access Centre (PCAC) in our local community hospital, and it will be co-located and integrated with our Minor Injuries Unit. It will be staffed by GPs from the 7 local practices, nurses, clinical pharmacists and MSK extended scope practitioners. There will be mixture of urgent care and routine appointments available for patients, who will be able to book them direct or via their practice. The GP electronic health record will be available and a Voice Over IP communications system will link the local system together. The service goes live in September 2015. A Web GP system is being explored to further support improving access. This would enable a single point of access at the PCAC to book telephone and video consultations with patients for proactive follow-up. A patient portal could allow patients to securely message their GP, and GPs will build in time to their timetable to respond. Case Study: The Gosport Hub The town of Gosport has a population of 83k and is served by 11 GP practices that are challenged through rising demand from a significantly deprived community and an inability to recruit GPs to vacancies. Through a series of engagement events the practices have identified the need to develop a same day appointment hub. The hub will provide a more coordinated approach to managing the 600 requests for on-day appointments. More detailed plans for the hub are now being worked up including shared clinical system with visibility among the local practices. The hub will release 2 GP sessions per day across the peninsula. As the hub matured, protected GP time will be released for management of long term conditions. The hub will be multi-disciplinary and include advanced nurse practitioners, health care support workers, physiotherapists and pharmacists. 5.5 Extended Primary Care Teams What is this all about? The Extended Primary Care Team (‘EPCT’) pools the care resources of primary care, community and mental health services, social care, not-for-profit organisations and pharmacists to manage the population health of their community. They will operate in a single team under the leadership of our local GPs. An EPCT may operate at the level of a large practice, a group of smaller practices within a natural community of care, or at a whole-natural community of care level. This will be for local determination, but with the underlying principle in our ‘Good to Go’ criteria that the arrangements must secure maximum benefit for the whole population by leveraging the benefits of primary care working at scale (however that looks for each locality). Our EPCT redesign builds from a strong base: GP federations having worked with public and not-for-profit partners through local transformation funding to improve primary care input to identified target groups (e.g. people living in nursing homes) Southern Health’s Integrated Community Teams having brought together community nursing, therapies and mental health professionals into single teams Hampshire County Council and Southern Health having developed an Integrated Care Alliance to streamline and improve assessment and case management arrangements, develop shared capacity, and leverage experience and capabilities to work more efficiently and effectively CCGs having commissioned high performing integrated services for people with long term conditions, with community-based specialist support wrapped around our local practices 20 | P a g e A range of local public and not-for-profit partners having worked to support the creation of health and wellbeing cafes across Southern Hampshire, delivering integrated support for people with chronic conditions The population served by each EPCT will be risk stratified to identify people at greatest risk of health crisis. The Adjusted Clinical Grouping (‘ACG’) tool is already in place at to support this and will be supplemented by integrated informatics (e.g. analytical tools that cross-map risk scores against service data), professional judgment and local knowledge. The EPCT will work with this ‘at risk’ population to co-design care and support plans that meet their needs and goals, and to support the delivery of these plans. The intention is that EPCTs also give focus and support to activities that promote healthy lifestyles and prevent ill-health for the whole of their community. By becoming a single team we will achieve a significant efficiency gain, reducing the paperwork and reassessments associated with multiple ‘hand offs’ of care, improving patient safety as a result of the development of single care records and better communication between professionals, and enabling better use of our people by allowing them to concentrate not on what they are paid to provide, but on who they are best placed to support, and how. While EPCTs will have a focus on the sicker and more dependent people in our communities, these benefits will bring a gain for the whole population registered with our GPs because they will allow best use of resources. The success of the new arrangements will be contingent on helping new teams develop common purpose, build trust and confidence, and jointly succeed in the design and delivery of new services. A key part of our Value Proposition is the delivery of an 8-day team development and service redesign support package for each EPCT (the ‘Team Development Programme’). At the point a ‘Good to Go’ locality starts its journey on this programme, the leadership of the Southern Health staff within the EPCT will be devolved to the local GPs and senior primary care clinicians, with the support of our senior operational leads. The design of the programme is well underway with input from partners across the MCP, and the first EPCTs will ‘go live’ in September 2015 Which patient groups will benefit from this approach? This approach will directly benefit the 5% of patients with the most elevated risk of health crisis, patients with chronic health conditions, and people who are at the end of their lives. But as stated above, the improved efficiencies that we plan will yield a benefit for the whole practice population. What are the key benefits that will accrue from this core component of our model? Our ‘Extended Primary Care Team’ priority will: Support people ‘at risk’ to manage their conditions and reduce crises Provide proactive appointments for people with their EPCT, which give enough time to support them to deliver the goals in their care and support plan Improve the health and wellbeing of patients receiving this new model of care Increase the proportion of people living independently and reducing permanent admissions to nursing and residential homes Reduce acute emergency activity Raise the job satisfaction of our people working in the EPC Case Study: Forton Road Medical Centre, Gosport Forton Medical Centre and Southern Health have formed a new partnership, which has enabled an innovative approach to managing the health and wellbeing of the local population. The primary design principle is to ensure the patient is supported by the clinician with the most appropriate skills to best meet their needs. - Patients requiring support with mild to moderate mental health needs will be supported by either mental health nurses or psychologists within the practice 21 | P a g e - 5.6 Patients presenting with MSK conditions will be assessed by physiotherapist in the practice The practice and community nursing teams will be integrated The rotation of Emergency Nurse Practitioners into the acute triage and assessment services GPs will be supported in acute home visits by senior members of the community nursing team Health visitors and School Nurses will be integrating services with children’s clinics in the surgery De-layering Specialist Support What is this all about? Through this third component the MCP will redesign thinking around ‘specialist’ care and how those services are provided to local populations. Our intention is to radically reduce the number of separate steps in care pathways, to shape care around patients’ whole need and not just their condition, and to bring services as close to patients in their communities as possible. This will include redesigning the working relationships between GPs and consultants, such that some consultants develop local roles embedded within General Practice, and more effective methods are developed for communication, advice and guidance, and self-help. For example, a delayered service for respiratory patients may look something like this: At this stage, early priorities have been identified for designing ‘delayered’ care. Emerging from discussions in each of our three early implementer localities, there was significant consensus around the case to prioritise redesign around the following three clinical areas: Mental health (where successive studies have shown the significant comorbidity between physical and mental health for many people5, and where care professional experience has highlighted significant gaps in both skills and capacity to adequately meet mental health need in primary care) Musculoskeletal conditions (which local audit work has shown can account for 20% of GP consultations in some practices) Hot, sick children (The Milliman analysis suggests that we over admit children into acute care and therefore there are significant opportunities to improve the paediatric pathway) But our goal is not simply about improvement. As a Vanguard, we have to maximise improvement, using a hard health economics evidence base to show us where focussed redesign work can produce the largest gain, freeing resources to reinvest in the sustainability of our model and, ultimately, in paving the way for our goal to shift a larger percentage of funding from treatment into prevention. Section 4 above describes the work our MCP has undertaken to develop actuarially-based 5 http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/projects/mental-health-and-long-term-conditions-cost-co-morbidity 22 | P a g e projections of health need and local opportunity assessment, and our plans as part of the Vanguard to extend and develop this approach across our whole geography. Placed alongside the locality resourcing statements that we are developing, this data provides a powerful tool for local clinical leaders and their teams to identify where the greatest opportunities lie. By definition, this is not something the out-of-hospital sector can achieve in isolation. Nor, indeed, do we believe that the MCP will be best placed to directly provide all of the ‘delayered’ services in our future model. We have therefore worked via the Sponsor Group to agree modules within our Team Development Programme that will focus explicitly on the opportunity and solutions for delayering in each natural community of care. Senior hospital leaders have been actively engaged in the design of this part of the programme, committing time from their clinical experts to drive this process as part of the team. Which patient groups will benefit from this approach? As yet, we don’t have a comprehensive answer to this question without extrapolating our data across a wide population. Once we have progressed further with our population health management approach we will be able to give a much more detailed view. However, we believe a lot of the benefit will come for people in the general population, people who currently have relatively straightforward health needs met via an overly complicated and processdriven system of handoffs and referrals. What are the key benefits that will accrue from this core component of our model? Our ‘De-layering’ priority will: Simplify care pathway for patients, reducing multiple appointments and the overall time taken to receive specialist input to their care Increase the amount of specialist support provided in the community and for this to be integrated alongside the EPCT Improve communication between GPs and Consultants Target reductions in utilisation and cost in areas of specialist support identified by our actuarial model Case Study: Arnewood Medical Centre Physiotherapy Pilot This development was initiated following identifying high numbers of patients accessing primary care with MSK problems. A senior Physio will be based in the practice as part of the practice team. The Physio will be available one session per week to assess and treat patients with MSK presentations – including NSAIDs, steroid injections, patient information and onward referral to other parts of MSK pathway. Evaluation of the pilot will consider patient outcomes, satisfaction and cost effectiveness of this approach beyond current arrangements. Wider impact on onward referral for surgery will also be evaluated 5.7 Engagement, prevention and self-management What is this all about? We want to put people in control of their own health and wellbeing and we know that, to achieve that, we need to change the dynamic of the relationship between health professionals and patients. As 60 to 70 per cent of premature deaths are caused by behaviours that could be changed (Schroeder 2007), it is essential that patients and the general public become more engaged with adopting positive health behaviours. We will adopt a patient activation6 approach to engage local people in positive health behaviours and to manage their health conditions more effectively. Our 6 Kings Fund: Supporting people to manage their own health. Hibbard and Gilburt, 2014. 23 | P a g e model seeks to embrace ‘co-production’ in its fullest sense by recognising the skills, knowledge and resources that patients and our wider communities bring and deciding when a non-clinical intervention will produce the best experience and outcomes for patients. We will combine data available through our clinical systems and the Milliman analysis to profile risk factors and health behaviours in our localities. This will allow us to systematically address the lifestyle risk factors that increase our populations’ risk of ill-health and equip our clinicians to support patients. We will also ensure that for those who wish to make changes, support is in place. We will pay particular attention to people with multiple risk factors. We will improve the detection of chronic conditions by opportunistic case finding and proactive management for people at greater risk of complications, informed by our actuarial analysis. We will build on existing work to enable people to manage their own condition, linking them with social support systems in their community. Adopting a prevention and self-management model at scale involves moving patients, primary and community care away from a ‘medical model’ and we do not underestimate the change in culture, practice and commissioning behaviour this will entail. For patients, we need to provide viable alternatives that give them the skills, knowledge and means to self-manage. By working with the local voluntary and community umbrella bodies, we will identify the ‘basket’ of interventions that people can access in their locality and link these into the Extended Primary Care team via Care Navigators or Surgery Sign-posters. We will also explore the use of digital solutions like Buddy App or the Self-Care Hub to enable patients with long-term conditions to build the skills and techniques to self-manage 24-hours a day, all-year round as a complement to their clinical care and to live healthier lifestyles. We will also work closely with MCP partners Hampshire County Council to consider evolution of the role of their services as a core part of our offer – in particular their Community Independence Teams. For primary and community care, we need to support practitioners to take a whole person approach in every interaction. In the first year we will embed Making Every Contact Count into primary care delivery. We will also test the Wellbeing Plans that have been developed as part of Building Blocks to Integration project in West Hampshire. We will also develop the capability of primary and community care to deliver brief lifestyle interventions and motivational interviewing techniques. For voluntary and community organisations, we need to understand the additional demand that this approach will place on them and address any barriers to realising their potential. We understand that their resources are not finite, and their ability to meet the demands of their communities depends on more than social capital alone. We will support voluntary and community providers to work alongside health and, in partnership with local Councils for Voluntary Service, put in place a package of support to understand and overcome barriers around culture, quality, safety, monitoring and evaluation and sustainability. We will create the evidence base for the social return on investment in prevention and selfmanagement and will make the case for change in flow of funding towards prevention/selfmanagement on an incremental basis. Which patient groups will benefit from this approach? This approach will benefit the ‘general’ and ‘at risk’ populations, and those with long-term conditions, but we expect to segment populations to allow us to target interventions to those with greatest opportunity to benefit. We know that there are many thousands of people in our population with undiagnosed long-term conditions, as well as those with a diagnosis. We will pay particular attention to areas of deprivation are know there are areas of relative deprivation in the areas we serve. We will work with partners to develop innovative services to work with seldom heard communities and link with community development initiatives. 24 | P a g e What are the key benefits that will accrue from this core component of our model? An increase in the number of local people able to take control over their own health and wellbeing More focus on defining ‘good outcomes’ for the patient leads to more creative, non-clinical interventions Improved self-management reduces demand on primary and community care Engaged patients and clinicians set clearer goals and expectations Knowledge, skills, resources and social capital of local voluntary and community organisations is maximised Reduced complications from long-term conditions such as foot amputations What are the key benefits that will accrue from this core component of our model? 5.8 An increase in the number of local people able to take control over their own health and wellbeing More focus on defining ‘good outcomes’ for the patient leads to more creative, non-clinical interventions Improved self-management reduces demand on primary and community care Engaged patients and clinicians set clearer goals and expectations Knowledge, skills, resources and social capital of local voluntary and community organisations is maximised Reduced complications from long-term conditions such as foot amputations Team and leadership development Both structural and cultural change is required for primary care teams and their supporting infrastructure to be embedded To enable this change a variety of organisational development interventions including team development will be required. The overarching aim of this will be to create a ‘space’ that enables teams and service users to redesign, adopt and embed a new clinical model. More specifically team development will be designed to: accelerate the formation, capacity and capability of extended primary care teams build new and sustainable structures, processes and cultures across teams embed a model of care and way of working that can be scaled up at pace empower teams and service users to shape services around the needs of their local population share the latest ideas and thinking both locally and nationally create a safe environment that enables teams to leave behind old models of care Team development will start with a ‘team diagnostic’ which will gauge the teams current level of readiness and which areas they may need to focus on first. Following modules will be based on a combination of common pre-designed elements and bespoke activities (based on the outputs of each team’s diagnostic). Figure 5.8 below summarises the modules that will be run for each primary care team and will comprise on average 20 people including 12 GP’s and practice staff and 6 members of the integrated community team 25 | P a g e Fig 5.8 showing modules for extended primary care team development programme Each of these modules will be run approximately 1 month apart which will enable teams to receive development support over a 6 month period. These events will be facilitated by Chartered Occupational psychologists and supported by multiple external contributors. Summarised below are the key principles that will underpin the team development modules. Each will be bespoke and based around the unique requirements / challenges facing each team Significant external input from local and national ‘experts’, key leaders and service users Progress and ‘readiness’ of each team will be measured and shared throughout the programme Learning will be shared across and between teams through the utilisation of social media Clarity of boundaries within which teams need to work. E.g. what is up for change and what is not Leadership development for those taking on leadership roles within newly merged teams We believe our team and leadership development approaches represent a significant asset within the South Hampshire MCP and something that forms part of our offer to NHSE and the Vanguard programme in terms of potential scalability and national spread. 5.9 Creating a social movement for change The South Hampshire Vanguard is a complex and fast moving programme of change, working in a complex system with multiple stakeholders – all with varying degrees of engagement, buy-in and commitment to the aims and activities of the programme. To succeed, we will need to engage and involve at all levels without compromising on pace and momentum. Amongst the core team, the team and leadership development enabler will play a critical role in building the emotional intelligence and core communication skills to engage colleagues within the system, and patients, with change. Our public communications and engagement work will also help to create a positive platform for change by taking ‘movement building’ approach. We will build on what is already strong in our local NHS to mobilise a critical mass of the workforce and local population behind a movement for Better. Local. Care. The approach is founded on a fundamental principal that the movement is owned by its members, for its members. We will raise specific challenges and issues and enable people to develop and own local solutions. The local NHS and social care workforce and local population can all ‘join’ the movement and we provide a platform for them to come together and contribute insight, ideas, best practice and resources around specific issues and challenges. Challenges might include (for example), how we rethink care for frail, elderly people in West New Forest, or what a ‘good outcome’ is at end of life. Platforms might include online ‘calls for evidence’, or a series of facilitated co-production workshops. 26 | P a g e We will test commitment to this approach by calling key stakeholders and the public to ‘pledge’ their action for Better. Local. Care. These pledges will be carried on our website and on social media and also help to capture data about members’ interests and priorities. The practical tools we will provide to facilitate the ‘movement’ and support localities include: 5.10 A web platform, with locality specific areas, to inform and involve Support for local content creation and communication (e.g. newsletters, social media content, media training for key spokespeople) Support for local insight generation (e.g. local engagement events, online evidence review, seeking insight held by voluntary sector and other partners) Creation and placement of local stories in the media Support for localities to develop ‘key messages at key moments’ of development or change A framework of internal and external co-design and co-production facilitators Support for compliance with legal obligations to consult and engage Designing the future workforce Our MCP is all about people. To deliver the leading edge care to which we aspire, we need not only talented leaders within strong teams (see Section X), but also the right staff, with the right skills, motivated and supported to support people who use our services to achieve the goals that are important to them. While individual organisations have adopted highly innovative approaches to designing their workforce, too often we are constrained by a series of factors that, working in isolation, are beyond our control. These include: Skills shortages in key professional groups (general practitioners, nurses) that sit at the cornerstone of our current care models Competitive labour market pressures between organisations in a local health economy, for example Safer Staffing, creating high workforce mobility and turnover Traditional, paternalistic care ethos within many NHS organisations Financial pressures creating deflation in wages and supply in key areas such as social care The design of the workforce is not something we can, or should, solve working in isolation. On this critical theme, the MCP has benefitted from cross-cutting senior coordination (in the form of Southern Health’s Director of People & Communications, and Hampshire County Council’s Director of Workforce), between three major and aligned programmes of change in the county. Fig 5.10 – we are collaborating with other key programmes on our approach to delivering innovative and fit for purpose workforce solutions 27 | P a g e Adopting this approach, we hope to get greater traction on a number of important issues, such as: Defining the integrated workforce model required to deliver the MCP, including stimulation of the training, education and workforce pipeline for new roles (e.g. extended scope practitioners) Professionally steering the approach to leadership and team development, quality assuring the interventions undertaken in support of service redesign Researching and designing common workforce framework plans, using terms and conditions as a lever to drive integration, productivity and effective change management Resolving system-wide workforce problems, including recruitment shortages and cross-over in duties and functions Exploiting system-wide workforce opportunities, such as new role design, new career structures, and new ways of working Developing and embed a common system to evaluate the impact of workforce change We have commenced engagement with our partners at Health Education Wessex and will seek to include them and other local stakeholders such as the Wessex Deanery in scoping wider implications of MCP and its workforce components. We anticipate the need for early intervention in education programmes to supply new workforce requirements for our planned whole-sale implementation of MCP within 2 years. This work will also benefit from engagement with our acute sector partners who will also inevitably need to re-structure their own workforce requirements based on the new transformational models. 5.11 Provider development and primary care at scale We recognise the strength of the registered list that exists in general practice – but to achieve sustainable change the MCP will work with practices at scale. Do date this has been a particular strength of our local vanguard and we have secured strong GP leadership and engagement across all three fast implementer localities and have relevant GP provider companies as partners in the MCP programme. In other parts of the country some models of wider primary care are emerging. In July 2013 The Kings Fund and Nuffield Trust conducted research about how GPs and their teams are responding to pressures by forming new models to allow care provision at a greater scale, reflecting that the move towards networked and larger scale primary care provision is mirrored in countries such as New Zealand, the Netherland, Canada and the USA. The report Securing the future of general practice7 considers what is required if primary care is to be fit for the future and concluded that highperforming primary care organisations need to be capable of fulfilling the five following functions: improving population health, particularly among those at greatest risk of illness or injury managing short-term, non-urgent episodes of minor illness or injury managing and coordinating the health and care of those with long-term conditions managing urgent episodes of illness or injury managing and coordinating care for those who are nearing the end of their lives. The report then reviewed 12 models of primary care from the UK and further afield. Analysis of these models was undertaken to identify those which have the greatest potential to enable the provision of high-quality primary care, in particular the: ability to offer an extended range of services in primary care, including rapid and local access to specialist advice focus on population health management as a way of addressing inequalities in health extent of organisational scale to enable new forms of care for people with multi-morbidity 7 Securing the future of general practice: New Models of Primary Care 28 | P a g e capacity to offer career options and development for professional and other staff overall scale to permit peer review and the development of strong clinical governance infrastructure. According to the report the four organisational types that showed greatest promise were: networks or federations super-partnerships regional and national multi-practice organisations community health organisations These models are defined by their desire to use greater organisational scale to extend the range of services offered and to diversify income streams, thus enhancing the sustainability of practices. They develop more sophisticated management support to undertake strategic planning and service development, and create new professional, management and leadership roles that offer a new range of career opportunities for professional, managerial and support staff in primary care. It is striking that despite their differing origins and philosophical underpinning, the models of care share a desire to improve and extend primary care services, develop management and leadership capacity, and assume a more significant role in the local health system. Critically, they all emphasise the need to balance the benefits of organisational scale with preserving the personal and local nature of general practice. Each of the ‘at scale’ primary care models examined in the report had preserved local practices as the first point of contact for patients, strengthened the network of wider advice and support available, and used organisational scale to enhance (and not undermine) the local accessibility and nature of primary care. The CCGs will not dictate any particular model of service delivery but we are are committed to supporting general practice and wider primary care providers to explore a range of local solutions that have the support of local communities. Since 2013 our approach to supporting local member practices to explore these options has focused on: Listening to and involving practices and communities Building and using an evidence base Leadership and workforce development Developing new models of delivery Quality IT and estates Commissioning and contracting reform In some areas of Hampshire GP practices have signalled wishes to enter into formal partnership with Southern Health NHS Foundation Trust to create the necessary scale and sustainability required to deliver the future model of care required by the local populations. As a programme we do not see such formal alliances as a necessary pre-requisite for the scale of change we wish to deliver through the MCP. Rather we are maintaining a focus on our “Good to go” principles and where such support can assist localities to achieve primary care at scale, we are working hard to develop the framework to enable that. The key elements of this framework will include: The creation of a due diligence framework for assessing the key aspects of the business including the delivery of financial, quality, performance and infrastructure requirements. Core job descriptions for both employed GPs and employed partners. We have made contact with and are seeking support from Vitality MCP Vanguard around these employment models. A base standard legal contract to support and enable each transaction Creation of a standard staff consultation document to support the TUPE process 29 | P a g e The arrangement with the current process will result in the novation of the current building lease and the TUPE of all the non-medical staff employed by the partnership. Clinicians from Southern Health NHS Foundation Trust will join the partnership agreement to support the continuation of the GMS agreement, with the current GPs taking a base salary and performance payment. This approach is currently being road tested with a surgery in Gosport. A clinical lead for the practice will be appointed and they will support the day to day running of the surgery. The business will transition into and under the leadership of the team running the respective natural community of care and will be mainstreamed into core service delivery in line with the evolving clinical model. 5.12 Infrastructure & enablers Information Systems & Interoperability Extensive work has been undertaken in collaboration with the commissioning and provider organisations in Hampshire to understand and refine the requirements of future care models around information systems and interoperability. The Hampshire Health Record, which has been in place for over 10 years, provides us with a strong base in terms of data sharing and analytical capabilities. It now covers approximately 1.9 million patient records and holds 20 million documents including discharge letters and pathology tests. Approximately 85% of GP practices upload daily extracts in HHR. Fig 5.12 – Technical schematic from our emerging specification for system wide interoperability solutions However HHR largely remains a data repository, without a workflow platform to support a much needed integrated approach to patient care and to fully exploit population health approaches. So it is our intention to utilise this strong base to move to the next level, of our care transformation being driven by new information and communications capabilities. The current care records landscape within Hampshire is complex. 200 practices operating from four principal Systems (EMIS, TPP SystmOne, Vision and Microtest), and while there are steps in place to consolidate, there is little prospect of a single GP system in the county in the immediate future. Southern Health’s community and mental health services use instances of RIO, while across (and within) the other health and social care organisations, there is a variety of other care record systems. Our work to scope requirements has revealed that there are three principal issues that need to be addressed by the work we do to strengthen information systems and interoperability within the MCP. These are: 30 | P a g e Common care record - The extent of care record access required varies between parties in the system. However, it is clear from our design that for the staff forming the Extended Primary Care Team, they will be fairly comprehensive. There is also an absolute requirement to ensure people who use services have access to their own care records. Integrated workflow - The requirement is to be able to extract from the Health and Care Record (or repository supporting it) cohorts of patients or Service users with similar characteristics in terms of risk, presentation, behaviour or circumstance in order to be able to collectively manage (plan, do, and review) their care. This requirement is particularly important in a Vanguard scenario where the very basis of commissioning will be population health, capitated budgets and risk management. Our care model will succeed or fail as a result of its ability to work in this way. Alerts & triggers - This relates to our ability to identify and notify relevant members of the team, and the patient themselves, to a change in circumstances. The most important area of requirement for triggers and alerts to work effectively is on admission or discharge but many other examples were quoted in our user stories. Some of our Interviewees estimated that 15%-20% of GP referrals were inappropriate and could have been dealt with in primary care. Within the MCP we believe that the first two requirements are critical enablers for the construction of high performing Extended Primary Care Teams. The development of the MIG has enabled far more integrated operation between our two principal primary care systems, EMIS and TPP, this serving as a crucial component in agreeing our care record approach within our first wave Primary Care Access Centres. In order to understand the quality gain that could result from use of an integrated care record system within the Extended Primary Care Team Southern Health has partnered with the practices in New Milton (Southwest New Forest) to pilot common use of the TPP SystmOne community module alongside the primary care system that is used by all three practices in the town. This goes live in September 2015, with early findings expected within 3 months. The current specifications for our GP systems, however, do not currently support the same quality of structured data extraction as RIO, through which Southern Health has been able to deliver leading edge performance and analytical information. Further, while developments are planned by the leading suppliers, these systems do not currently provide functionality for some core functions within the Extended Primary Care Team (for example, a Care Programme Approach module for mental health services). Our current best estimates show that transition from RIO to the two leading primary care systems could result in an additional cost of as much as £5m over the next five years. Alongside the work around system consolidation, therefore, the MCP has also aligned its approach to the emerging work, commissioned by the ‘Hampshire 5 Commissioners’ and led by South Central CSU, to scope a comprehensive interoperability solution. The intervention-level Value Proposition developed for this work suggests a potentially significant return on investment over a five-year period, and strong alignment with the overall Value Proposition for the MCP. To scope this fully, however, we need to understand: Capabilities and functionality against the three principal requirements outlined above, and the timeframe within which these can be delivered (noting the co-dependency with clinical and cultural change) ‘Double counting’ of benefits between this enabling programme and our clinical transformation logic models 31 | P a g e Estates The health systems within the footprint of the MCP have undertaken comprehensive estates reviews to understand the physical condition, functional suitability, and current utilisation of health buildings. These reviews, however, have focussed almost exclusively on freehold properties, and on leasehold properties leased either to, or by, NHS organisations. While this does include some health centres leased by the NHS, it excludes a systematic appraisal of the totality of primary care estate, and indeed any social care sites without a health presence. There is considerable joint action in these local systems, sponsored by the Chief Officers of commissioner and provider organisations, and supported by Community Health Partnerships, to drive forward opportunities to improve utilisation and rationalise our assets. Much of this is driven by strong bilateral efforts between organisations, for example the work that Southern Health has undertaken with Hampshire County Council on projects such as Havant Plaza and Totton Hub. To exploit the full benefits of the MCP, however, we need to develop a far more comprehensive and strategic approach to our estate. This is important, not solely because it will make our cost base more efficient, but because it will drive new clinical ways of working and help deliver our outcome goals (such as our plan to increase non-face to face activity). Working at a whole-MCP scale, our CCG partners are leading work to enable this level of strategic review. On a day-to-day basis, however, estate (and particularly primary care estate) is a major issue for development of our provider model. As part of the work with Forton Road Medical Centre, Southern Health is developing an approach to support practices to deal with transition of leasehold arrangements, as part of our plan to help primary care operate at scale. However, where properties are in GP ownership, or where the quality of leasehold estate is not so strong, the MCP is working apace to identify options to overcome these blockages. This is an area where we will need to develop financial and legal solutions, and would look to the support of the National New Care Models programme for support. Fig 5.13 – South Hampshire MCP Care model in summary 32 | P a g e 6 Commissioning for the future 6.1 The overarching plan for commissioner development The MCP has profound implications for the models of care delivered, for how providers are organised, and for how we commission. The transformation can only be achieved through CCGs, Hampshire County Council and providers working closely and collaboratively, managing the interdependence between all of us, and moving forward together. We aim to deploy our commissioning expertise to support, enable and accelerate delivery of our aims in a way that is complementary to the parallel development of the MCP care models and organisational structures. Our work will include: Developing arrangements to commissioning across health and social care for our population Designing the way we commission all out of hospital care, including primary care, community care, mental health, social care and public health (including voluntary sector care provision) A shift to outcome-based, capitated contracts, centred initially around target population groups Definition of a new operating model of strategic commissioning and supporting functions, with appropriate infrastructure and management of the transition 2017-18 2016-17 Capitated outcome based contracts for agreed population groups March 2016 Outcome based contracts running 'in shadow' 7-9 year term Parallel running alongside existing (but streamlined) contract arrangements Milliman work extended to cover MCP footprint Test and refine risk share and incentives One Rehab, & Recovery offer (SHFT/HCC HICA) BCF priority redesign complete (e.g. Continuing Healthcare) Population health resource statements developed (PMPM) Fig 6.1 – target timeline for commissioning reform 6.2 Managing risk The success of the MCP is contingent to a large extent on the development of these arrangements, which will be designed to align incentives and create a platform for the managed transition of spend towards primary health and social care, and then onto prevention, wellness, and the wider determinants of health. There will however be risks, and a number relating to Commissioning & Contracting reform are contained explicitly within our programme risk register (Appendix C). The commissioners within our MCP partnership rely on the new service models to be developed in such a way that costs are managed, and that there is no adverse impact on services that currently deliver high value-add. Similarly, the transition may raise significant implications for our provider partners, and we need to work hard to ensure that services are not unintentionally destabilised. 33 | P a g e Furthermore, our new MCP will need to ensure it has all of the appropriate skills and competencies to manage a capitation-based contract, some of which do not currently reside in depth within many provider organisations. In this regard, we benefit from a wide representation of senior partners at our Sponsor Board and the opportunity to regularly consider and mitigate risks and exploit benefits. 6.3 Implications of the commissioning journey Moving to capitated outcome based contracts placed against new care models and organisational forms will trigger a change to how, as well as what, we commission. Our expectation is that elements of commissioners’ current functions will be more effectively incorporated within the MCP, e.g. monitoring and management of performance of providers within the MCP, and we are already taking steps to align these skills within a single team. It will also require a fundamentally different approach to the market and competition. This will only be successful with the full collaboration of providers and commissioners – we will work in a spirit of partnership and co-production. Work is underway through BCF and commissioning plans for 2016 to further integration. These plans will contribute on the journey towards Vanguard with the Integrated Commissioning Board providing oversight to ensure they remain aligned. Our approach is characterised by five key aims and associated work-streams: 1. To develop a population health and care data set to inform the model of care and economic model underpinning the MCP with a robust evidence base. Further detail at section 4. 2. To develop an agreed set of outcomes for the defined population group(s) that will form the basis of outcomes based contracts informed by what people in our communities want, alongside robust population health and care data. Further detail at section 4. 3. To establish the system wide financial model to underpin vanguard/MCP. To develop and refine approach to risk share and incentives to support an outcome based contract in shadow from 2016 and live in 2017. To put in place pooled budget arrangements as required. 4. To ensure quality surveillance and improvement capacity and capabilities are strengthened within the new models of care, that we meet our statutory duties, and that we remain assured we are delivering the highest possible quality care to the people of southern Hampshire. 5. To define the new operating model for strategic commissioning including smooth transition of some traditional commissioning functions to MCP. By 2016-17 we will aim to deliver our capitation based budget in shadow form. In order to achieve this we will need to have: Defined the attributed population Developed a baseline per person per month (PPPM) cost Mutually agreed on an appropriate trend and project the baseline cost to the performance year Measured the actual PPPM cost Risk-adjusted the result for population health differences (either through a simple demographic adjustment or more complex predictive model approach) Calculated the net savings/loss Applied any agreed upon adjustments for quality parameters Shared the savings/loss Completed health population modelling Review and seek to align current system incentives through an agreed framework by articulating how joined up working impacts/benefits the system. Development of provider reimbursement approaches 34 | P a g e Identify options around payment mechanisms and increase understanding of potential contracting mechanisms through workshop being held in Q1 Enhance and test the outcomes we need to achieve through the contracts across health and social care commissioners Identify an approach to monitoring the outcomes Develop a business case for approach Engage/ test with providers Agree the financial envelope of spend Allocate individual budgets We recognise that if we move to a capitated & outcome based model, the role of commissioning will change, we need to ensure we firstly understand then put in place the skills and competencies that are required for the future of commissioning. Benefits of the changes include: We won’t be managing so many contracts, reduced duplication for commissioning The initial work from Millimans has enabled us to understand the true nature of the financial risk, identify which care management programmes are most likely to have an impact and financial ROI. From the initial work we have done it would suggest that the greatest returns are in Admission Avoidance Programme based on surgical interventions, reducing length of stay programme for medical and surgical areas and referral management. This data is helping to advise on the opportunities at a strategic level and we now need to drill down to sub populations that are really driving utilization in health and care services to share with the local MCPs. 35 | P a g e 7 MCP delivery and spread 7.1 Fast followers and anticipated milestones for MCP roll out We have significant ambition around the spread of MCP across the South Hampshire Locality and beyond. We are currently engaged with at least six further localities across the patch who are interested in becoming part of the programme – including Fareham, Havant & Hayling Island, Totton and Winchester. Progression of these geographies as MCP localities is likely to be achieved by end Q2 and we have high levels of confidence around hitting our original milestones of 90% Southern Hampshire registered population covered by practices engaged in MCP. A summary of our current MCP programme and some illustrative milestones, including spread across the geography is included in appendix A. 7.2 Shared learning and wider replicability Our MCP will promote a culture of shared learning that will be facilitated through fit for purpose programme governance arrangements, engagement and communications workstreams. Our emerging outcomes framework will form the basis for evaluation of components of the MCP model and we will engage with partners such as Wessex AHSN to ensure that evaluation informs design and refinement of our model. We are fully committed to engagement with the NHSE Vanguard programme and have already taken active role in peer review and supporting NHSE team with the development of the central team. We will continue to participate and share learning and feel that there are many components of our MCP programme that have scalability and the potential to “lift and shift” into other areas – both in terms of our surrounding geographies and on a national level through the Vanguard programme and its fast followers. Some of these components are highlighted in our “offer” section below. 8 Ask and offer 8.1 Our “ask” including investments required to enable transformation We have looked at examples of best practice elsewhere in the world which reflect the principles of the Lewin change model and have chosen to adopt the ‘Prepare and Enable; Transform and Sustain’ approach used in Hawkes Bay, New Zealand. (add reference). ‘Preparing and Enabling’ will take place until the end of 2015/16 and will be used as a period of ‘unfreezing’ current models of operating in our local system. The initial investment required from the New Care Models programme will be to support this crucial ‘Prepare and Enabling’ stage and deliver the conditions, mind-sets and infrastructure foundations for transformation to occur. Initial investment will also cover the early stages of ‘Transform’ work up until Q4 2015/16, particularly in implementing and testing our access centres in the SW New Forest and Gosport. A further Value Proposition for the second stage of our ‘transform’ work (Q1 – Q4 2016/17) will be submitted in October 2015. The outline timetable for the Prepare and Enable; Transform and Sustain stages of our programme is below: 36 | P a g e A more detailed breakdown of the direction, intention, major programme milestones and products of each stage of our programme is set out in the tables on the following pages, along with indicative investment requirements and our proposals for NHSE Transformation fund. In some areas, particularly in relation to Prepare and Enable Stage 2 and Transformation Stage 1 we have a discreet understanding of costs and our “Ask” of NHSE Transformation and these are summarised in fig 8.1 below: 2015-16 £1000's Phase 1 & 2 Team development Phase 1 Avocet programme funding Primary care engagement, mobilisation and PMO Q1 Primary care engagement, mobilisation and PMO Q2 Primary care engagement, mobilisation and PMO Q3 Phase 1 Millimans Analysis Co-production & engagement Interoperability and IM&T Phase 3 Team development Phase 2 Millimans Analysis 1,520 500 346 687 937 250 140 854 1520 250 2015-16 Total 7,004 Fig 8.1 – showing summary of initial proposals for NHSE Transformation fund for 2015-16. Further more detailed proposals will be contained in reiteration of this Value Proposition @ Oct 15 37 | P a g e 8.2 Our “offer” to NHSE and the vanguard programme Strength of GP provider leadership at scale – with wide-scale GP signup (28 practices and growing – we feel that this is a core foundation to our success to date and confidence in ability to deliver SHFT commitment & experience in leadership development – including nationally award winning and proven methodologies that will form a vital component of our MCP and something that we are keen to offer our peer Vanguards and NHSE Actuarial work to support population based commissioning will form a vital component of our MCP and something that we are keen to offer our peer Vanguards and NHSE CCG exemplar engagement with patients & communities Peer led / self improving organisation – track record of creating flexible new roles Commitment to common read/write care record HCC work-styles experience Flexible expertise in developing outcome measures 38 | P a g e Prepare and enable Stage 1 Up to Q1 2015/16 Direction Clinical engagement and development Locality development; clinical engagement and involving local GPs and community teams in considering and addressing local issues ‘Using data to understand our population Intention Product Local investment NCM investment Listen to and understand primary care issues 56 CCG membership (clinical and management) engagement meetings in place pa. NHSiQ Transforming care programme completed by Q2 14/15. Phase one AVoCET nonmedical workforce programme complete by Q4 15/16. Roll out phase two Q 3-4 15/16 Three fast implementer localities in place by Q1 15/16 £320,446pa - £20,000 - £135,000 - PMO and primary care engagement backfill in 1415 Q4 and 1516 Q1 £418,491 - Phase 1 Millimans analysis of care management programmes that will give the greatest improvement in outcomes and financial return on investment complete by May 2015. Phase two Millimans analysis of (describe) complete by July 2015 CCG engagement mechanisms embedded. Six month CCG strategy engagement programmes identify priorities in 2014/15. Urgent care engagement programme identifies key themes in 2014/15. Engagement programmes in place to support fast implementer localities by Q2 2105/16. £120,000 - In-house specialist communicatio ns input £114,500 - Social movement approach underway by Q3 15/16. Specialist communicatio ns input £30,000 - Developing GP, PM and community team 500k local population covered by MCP by Q3 15/16. Adopt actuarial approach to understand utilisation of services, analyse associated illness and co-morbidities and understand the nature of financial risk within the health and care economy Listen to and understand the voice of local people Identify what’s important to local people Change health behaviours Work with local people to understand and influence health behaviours 39 | P a g e Surgery sign-posters in place in Gosport by Q3 2015 Create the team to ‘make it happen’ Support localities to come together and begin transformation Establish governance processes Prepare infrastructure for transformation Short term clinical system migration to move general practice to one platform; to be able to share patient records with community teams Subject matter experts for estates, commissioning, data and IT supported by an overarching technical director to harmonise learning Initial governance structures with Enabling Board, Provider Steering Group, Delivery Unit and Locality Boards in place by Q1 2015/16. Fast implementer to move to single clinical system by Q4 2015. Fast followers to move to single clinical system by Q2 2016. GPIT migration costs £20,000 from AHSN and £39,000 from SE Hants and FG CCGs £147,679 - As above - £140,000 - - Prepare and enable Stage 2 Up to Q2 2015/16 – Q4 2015/16 Direction Intention Product Local investment NCM investment Listen to and understand primary care issues 56 CCG membership (clinical and management) engagement meetings in place pa. Phase one and two bespoke MCP team development programme running from Q2 to 4, 15/16. Phase one AVoCET nonmedical workforce programme complete by Q4 15/16. Roll out phase two Q 3-4 15/16 Three fast implementer localities in place by Q2 15/16 £320,446pa (as above stage 1) - Clinical engagement and development Locality development; clinical engagement and involving local GPs and community teams in considering and addressing local issues 500k local population covered by MCP by Q4 15/16. £1,520,000 £500,000 As above (stage 1) £128k NHSE Transformation funding for Gosport locality. PMO and primary care engagement backfill for three localities in Q2 £346,000 40 | P a g e An additional five fast follower localities in place by Q3 15/16. - PMO and primary care engagement backfill for eight localities in Q3 £687,000 An additional three fast follower localities in place by Q4 15/16. - PMO and primary care engagement backfill for eleven localities in Q4 £937,000 ‘Using data to understand our population Adopt actuarial approach to understand utilisation of services, analyse associated illness and co-morbidities and understand the nature of financial risk within the health and care economy Listen to and understand the voice of local people Identify what’s important to local people Change health behaviours Work with local people to understand and influence health behaviours Phase 1 Millimans analysis of care management programmes that will give the greatest improvement in outcomes and financial return on investment complete by May 2015. Phase two Millimans analysis of (describe) complete by July 2015 CCG engagement mechanisms embedded. Six month CCG strategy engagement programmes identify priorities in 2014/15. Urgent care engagement programme identifies key themes in 2014/15. Engagement programmes in place to support fast implementer localities by Q2 2105/16. Social movement approach underway by Q3 15/16. Surgery sign-posters in place in Gosport by Q3 2015 As above (stage 1) £250,000 In-house specialist communicatio ns input £114,500pa - In-house specialist communicatio ns input £30,000 Codesign/produc tion facilitators £20,000 from AHSN and £39,000 from SE Hants and FG CCGs FYE £140,000 - 41 | P a g e Continue offering the team to ‘make it happen’ Support localities to come together and begin transformation Establish governance arrangements Prepare infrastructure for transformation Major System Interoperability to go further than ‘preparing the infrastructure’ (row above) Short term clinical system migration to move general practice to one platform; to be able to share patient records with community teams Major system interoperability solution across health and social care Subject matter experts for estates, commissioning, data and IT supported by an overarching technical director to harmonise learning Initial governance structures with Enabling Board, Provider Steering Group, Delivery Unit and Locality Boards in place by Q1 2015/16. Fast implementer to move to single clinical system by Q4 2015. Initial mobilisation of infrastructure and consolidation of systems in early implementer localities £147,679 per quarter (*this is included in locality support costs above) - - £140,000 £854,000 42 | P a g e Transform Q4 2015/16 (lead in period costs included above) Q1 2016/17 – Q4 2016/17 Direction Intention Product Local investment NCM investment Create a new way of caring for local people Improving primary care access SW Forest and Gosport access centres live by Q3 15/16 £901,000 (PM Challenge fund SW Forest) £500,000 (NHSE infrastructure funding Gosport). These elements will require additional resource estimated at circa £1,650,000. Proposals for this to be worked up for October 2015 Create integrated locality primary care teams Locality development; clinical engagement and involving local GPs and community teams in considering and addressing local issues Continue offering the team to ‘make it happen’ 500k local population covered by MCP by Q3 15/16. Using data and evidence to creating population and outcome based contracting Further develop contracts that improve people’s health, tackling inefficiencies and targeting resources when and where they are needed. Q1 2016/17 – Q4 2016/17 Access centres live in East Hants and three fast follower localities by Q2 2016/17 These element s will require additional resource for pump priming estimated at £2,954,000. Proposals for this to be worked up for October 2015 Phase three bespoke MCP team development programme running Q4, 15/16 to Q1 16/17. Phase four roll-out Q2-Q4 16/17. Roll out phase three - four AVoCET non-medical workforce programme Q3-4 15/16 - An additional two fast follower localities in place by Q1 16/17. PMO and primary care engagement backfill for eleven localities in Q1 1617 Phase three £1,520,000 Phase four £960,000 These element s will require additional resource for pump priming estimated at £800k. Proposals for this to be worked up for October 2015 Circa £3- 4M Proposals for this to be worked up for October 2015 Support localities to come together and begin transformation Subject matter experts for estates, commissioning, data and IT supported by an overarching technical director to harmonise learning develop contracting and payment mechanisms, with targeted outcome measures that appropriately manage risk and £147,679 per quarter (*this is included in locality support costs above) £250,000 43 | P a g e Genuinely working with local people as partners in transforming their health and the services that support them place the incentive in the right places combine with risk stratification to identify what should be within or outside the scope of a capitation budget model scenarios to aid prioritisation of service transformation programmes scope capacity requirements, which will also inform workforce and estates requirements Programme to co-produce agreed health outcomes for each locality commences Q3 2015 and runs until Q4 2016. Change health behaviours Work with local people to understand and influence health behaviours Social movement approach refined and developed. Prepare infrastructure for transformation Short term clinical system migration to move general practice to one platform; to be able to share patient records with community teams. Major system interoperability solution across health and social care Fast followers to move to single clinical system by Q2 2016. Remaining localities by Q4 2016. Listen to and understand the voice of local people Major System Interoperability to go further than ‘preparing the infrastructure’ (row above) WHERE WILL WE BE BY Q4 1617? In-house specialist communications input £114,500 pa. In-house specialist communications input £30,300pa £180,000 Communications support to localities FYE £132,000 - - £135,500pa for 16/17, 17/18, 18/19, and 19/20 Indicative at this stage – to be developed refined for Oct 2015 44 | P a g e Appendix A – Programme Governance Structure Our programme delivery structure for service change has been established to support strong local clinical leadership within natural localities and appropriate programme level structures and resources to share learning, deliver pan-geographic elements, drive system wide reform and remove blockages to progress. Fig a– showing South Hampshire MCP programme governance arrangements Local Clinical Delivery Groups (LCDGs) These sit at the top of our MCP structure. Each is a locality ‘executive’, comprising a frontline GP Chair, a senior operational leader, and a small group of local health, social care and not-for-profit sector leads. Southern Health and the CCGs are working together to create the joint pool of senior leaders who can operationally drive the LCDGs in each of our natural communities of care, working with citizens and local primary care professionals, to make change happen apace. Clinical Reference Groups (CRGs) Each LCDG is supported by a CRG. They comprise representatives from each of the local practices, other primary care clinicians, acute sector clinicians and local social care and not-for profit sector representatives. The CRGs have two main roles – to work with local communities to plan care redesign, and to hold the LCDG to account for its decisions. Provider Steering Group This meets fortnightly and comprises LCDG chairs, key members of the Southern Health executive, and CCG clinical leaders with responsibility for provider development. Its role is to ensure that as many obstacles to the development of our MCP approach in localities as possible are resolved ‘close to source’, and to oversee the process that joins up and standardises our emerging MCP clinical model. MCP Delivery Unit This team, which comprises individuals from across the partner organisations in our MCP, is there to manage the programmes of work that will enable the new care model, and to ensure that alignment is maintained at all times between each of our Programme Priorities. MCP Sponsor Board This team comprises both our LCDG clinical chairs, and the chief organisational, system and sector leaders that have committed to support our MCP. There is currently representation from Southern Health, the CCGs, NHS England, Hampshire County Council, South Central Ambulance Service not for profit sector, and our two largest acute hospital partners). It is currently meeting every six weeks, its objective being to remove persistent system obstacles to change, provide senior critical reflection, and to ensure the strategic alignment of the programme with national, local and organisational developments. 45 | P a g e Appendix B – High level programme milestones plan for 2015 – 2018 2015 - 16 Spread Q1 3 fast implementer localities 3 fast implementer localities engaged developing models 220k registered list Discussions with 4+ phase II 2016 - 17 Q3 Q4 NF Access centre live Design of Gosport, NF and East Mobilisation of Gosport & East Hants transformation Hants Access centres programme priorities Q1 Q2 Q3 2017-18 Q4 6 localities engaged 12 localities engaged 14 localities engaged 14 localities engaged 15 localities engaged 16 localities engaged circa 500k registered list circa 800k registered list circa 1M registered list circa 1M registered list circa 1M registered list circa 1M registered list Potential engagement with Potential engagement with Potential engagement with Potential engagement with geography surrounding South geography surrounding South geography surrounding South geography surrounding South Hants Hants Hants Hants 16 localities in Southern Hants circa 1M registered list delivering new care models under live MCP contracting arrangements localities Mobilisation of NF access centre Care model Q2 Gosport and East Hants Access Mobilisation of phase II care Delivery of comprehensive MCP Delivery of comprehensive MCP Evaluation, refinement and Evaluation, refinement and Evaluation, refinement and centres live model transformation schemes care model in all Phase I and care model in all Phase I and spread of MCP care model core spread of MCP care model core spread of MCP care model core Phase II localities Phase II localities design components using co- design components using co- design components using co- design / co-production with design / co-production with design / co-production with MCP communities MCP communities MCP communities Design & mobilisation of East Integration of AMH components Hants Paeds service within extended teams Application of common design Application of common design and local interpretation within and local interpretation within Evaluation of early wins Phase III & IV localities Phase III & IV localities Design of care model components for frailty, LTCs and Co-design of phase II care extended teams (including model transformation schemes Commissioner development Provider development social care & voluntary sector) Alliances in all 3 localities part of Development of "good to go" Developing options for JV and Developing options for JV and Go live in shadow MCP JV Shadow MCP contract / risk Shadow MCP contract / risk Shadow MCP contract / risk Live MCP contract / risk share MCP partnership approach risk share in collaboration with risk share in collaboration with arrangements and contracts / share arrangements share arrangements share arrangements arrangements commissioners commissioners risk share arrangements for Refine JV and risk share Refine JV and risk share Refine JV and risk share Continue to refine JV and risk SHFT developing local SHFT developing local arrangements arrangements arrangements share arrangements partnership with some practices partnership with some practices Final approvals for JV / new Mobilisation of new Go live of new organisational organisational form organisational form / JV form / JV arrangements Initial discussions within early Feasibilities into partnering adopter localities on options / provider form organisational form options Phase I & II localities SHFT developing local Outline business cases for new form / JV arrangements partnership with some practices arrangements Milliman health actuarial work Milliman work extended to Milliman work extended to Development of outcome Outcome based contracts Outcome based contracts Outcome based contracts Outcome based contracts Capitated outcome based undertaken on localities in East cover MCP footprint cover MCP footprint based contracts and risk share running in shadow running in shadow running in shadow running in shadow contracts for agreed Test and refine risk share Test and refine risk share Test and refine risk share Test and refine risk share contracts of county arrangements populations with 7-9 year One Rehab & recovery offer One Rehab & recovery offer and BCF priority redesign and BCF priority redesign Population health resource Population health resource statements developed statements developed Initial design of team & Mobilisation of team & First cohort team development Second & third cohort team Fourth cohort team Fifth cohort team development Delivery of new workforce plans Conclusion of initial team Full go live of MCP models leadership development leadership development programme commences development programme development programme programme commences for model of care development programme for all across South Hampshire with: programme programme commences commences Planning single care record for Single record live in New Forest Single care record live for all Single care record New Forest (pilot) Phase I localities implementation for Phase II Development of Interoperability spec design Single care record mobilisation for other Phase I localities Enablers Interoperability procurement communication & engagement plans Application of new Tech to Co-production methodologies Development of new workforce new model Delivery of new workforce plans Full system interoperability with for model of care fully visible and client accessible Mobilisation of delivery plans for care record across geography MCP estates strategy Mobilisation of delivery plans for MCP estates strategy for model of care Interoperability mobilisation Refinement & approval of MCP Delivery of new workforce plans integrated estates strategy for model of care support self care built into model design Workforce scoping for emerging localities Delivery of new workforce plans South Hants localities High levels of community & stakeholder engagement Strong leadership Mobilisation of delivery plans for MCP estates strategy Fit for purpose workforce including volunteers plans in response to new model Fit for purpose modern accessible estate Mobilisation of delivery plans for MCP estates strategy Full advantage of available technology system interoperability with fully visible and client accessible care record 46 | P a g e Appendix C – High level programme risk register @ Jun 15 Ref 001 002 003 004 005 006 If Individual organisations and partnerships perceive threat and/or loss of control from the development of MCP arrangements The development of financial contracting arrangements does not enable medium-term risk taking by ‘unlocking’ provider financial efficiencies for reinvestment into the new way of working Workforce and culture development continues to take place in siloes defined by organization and/or profession A coherent approach to information systems interoperability and common care records is not developed across the MCP area The development of strong, fully integrated commissioning arrangements, founded on the Better Care Fund objectives and focused around population health management principles, is not accelerated GP engagement & ability to recruit appropriate back-fill to “release time to lead” 007 Strict, transactional application of provider contract terms is applied throughout the course of MCP development 008 The Provider Steering Group does not achieve the requisite level of concordance between each of the MCP sites 009 Financial and political considerations around the utilisation of estate impact the system readiness to pursue some elements of proposed change Then Engagement in the programme will wane, diminishing trust, undermining strategic ambition, and potentially damaging existing relationships There will be a potential skew in the outcome priorities pursued by the MCP, diminishing the system benefit Impact Likelihood Score 5 4 20 5 4 20 Frontline buy-in to change will be impossible to secure, limiting innovation, and threatening the ability to plan a sustainable workforce ‘pipeline’ The scale of potential patient and system benefits will be reduced, impacting on efficient utilization of clinician time and impeding integrated team development This will prove to be a rate limiting step in the development of integrated provision 5 4 20 4 4 16 5 3 15 Significant sub-risks associated with “hearts and minds” and significant supply issues re GP workforce particularly in some geographies Providers will take fewer risks, impeding development of more integrated clinical models and threatening the clinical relationships needed to deliver change The effectiveness of the MCP approach will be diminished, including inability to benefit from scale, difficulty applying strong and consistent clinical governance, and obstacles to the systematic engagement of patients and citizens in coproduction and self-management A significant shift in the model of care will be made more difficult, potentially destabilizing some providers, and impeding co-design of the model with natural communities of care 5 4 20 4 3 12 4 3 12 3 4 12 47 | P a g e Ref 010 If Elected members are not properly engaged by, and involved with, the development of these arrangements 011 The development of skilled service leaders and their teams is not then supported by an enabling approach from system leadership The governance structure becomes ‘top down’ and/or bureaucratic, as a result of a perceived need for parties to be represented around every table or excessive documentation and programme management The MCP cannot achieve its stated objective of achieving rapid change, most notably in the areas of ‘extended primary care at scale’ and ‘delayering’ (shifting the boundary between primary and secondary care) The development of extended primary care teams (MCP) is not fully aligned with the work of the Hampshire Integrated Care Alliance (HCC & SHFT) The MCP seeks to accelerate structural change discussions (except by willful agreement), particularly in general practice, before clinical transformation has been achieved 012 013 014 015 Then The MCP will lack democratic legitimacy and potentially develop in a way which is unaligned to the Hampshire Health & Wellbeing Strategy The solutions emerging from MCP will be unambitious, traditional and thereby unsustainable in nature Impact Likelihood Score 5 2 10 4 2 8 The pace of change will be slowed, with loss of clinical engagement 4 2 8 Ability to benefit, both financially and politically, from Vanguard status will be diminished, with reputational risk for the Hampshire system 4 2 8 The MCP will adopt a traditional health focus in its design and strategic ambition, limiting benefit to system, patients and citizens The ‘bottom up’ approach of professionally led transformation will be undermined, resulting in loss of trust and GP engagement / leadership 4 1 4 4 1 4 48 | P a g e
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