Elections and Voting 12 Justin Hayworth/AP Images American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.1 Types of Elections Primary Elections Closed primaries – open to voters registered for a particular political party Open primaries – open to voters from any political party General Election The election that decides who will represent the singlemember district – open to voters regardless of voter registration American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Types of Direct Democracy Elections 12.1 Initiative and Referendum Initiative placed on ballot by citizens & voted on by citizens Referendum placed on ballot by legislature and voted on by citizens Recall An election designed to remove someone from office Not every state, county or municipality has a vehicle for recall American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Primaries and Caucuses These are the “playoffs” to the general election. Methods to select delegates Winner-take-all primary – all-or-nothing Proportional representation primary – you get a proportional number of delegates to your popular vote (over 15% and used by Democrats). Caucus – Town meetings designed to inform party members who they’re voting on followed by a formal vote American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.2 12.2 Presidential Elections The Electoral College Compromise at the Constitutional Convention VA and NJ Plans both proposed an executive selected by Congress Article II, sec 1, clause 2 – Electors Article I, sec 2, clause 3 – Census Article II, sec 1, clause 3 – Process Amendment XII – amends Article II, sec 1, clause 3 to include seperate ballots for pres and vp. American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Selecting a President: The Electoral College 12.2 Historical challenges Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr, 1800 this election led to the passage of the XXII Amendment John Quincy Adams and Andrew Jackson, 1824 also known as the Corrupt Bargain George W. Bush and Al Gore, 2000 Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Selecting a President: The Electoral College 12.2 Should the Electoral College be reformed? Abolish in favor of popular vote Protecting smaller states from being overly influenced by larger states Clinton beat Trump by: 1.695 1.159 2.854 2.868 million million million million votes in Los Angles County votes in Chicago vote advantage in those two cities vote advantage nationally Margin of victory in those two cities helped Clinton win those states (look at Chicago on the NY Times map), but the Electoral College protects smaller states from being overly influenced by larger states. As such, the Electoral College system favors smaller states. American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Patterns in Vote Choice Party Identification Ideology Income and Education Race and Ethnicity Gender Religion Issues American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.4 Party Identification and Ideology Party Identity Most powerful predictor of vote choice Doesn't fully eliminate ticket splitting Ideology Liberals favor government involvement in social programs and larger government. Conservatives favor ideals of individualism, marketbased competition and smaller government. American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.4 12.4 Income and Education Lower-income voters Tend to vote Democratic Higher-income voters Tend to vote Republican Education Most educated and least educated tend to vote Democratic. Voters in the middle, such as those with a bachelor's degree, tend to vote Republican. American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.4 Race and Ethnicity Whites more likely to vote Republican African Americans and Hispanics more likely to vote Democratic Gender American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Religion and Other Issues 12.4 Religion Jewish voters strong Democratic Party supporters Protestants more likely to vote Republican Catholics divided Social justice versus abortion Issues Economy often key issue Retrospective judgment versus prospective judgment Issues Economy often key issue Retrospective judgment versus prospective judgment American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.5 Voter Turnout Income and Education Race and Ethnicity Gender Age Civic Engagement Interest in Politics American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.5 Income and Education Those with incomes over $65,000 vote more than citizens with incomes under $35,000. College graduates are more likely to vote than those with less education. American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.5 Race and Ethnicity Whites tend to vote more than African Americans, Hispanics, and other minorities. Long-term consequences of voting barriers American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.5 Gender Women vote more than men, and account for a majority of the electorate. Age Older citizens vote more than younger citizens Civic Engagement Members of civic groups more likely to vote Interest in politics is a reliable predictor in voting American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved Why Don't Americans Turn Out? Other Commitments Difficulty of Registration Difficulty of Voting Number of Elections Voter Attitudes Weakened Influence of Political Parties American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.6 Improving Voter Turnout Make Election Day a Holiday Enable Early Voting Permit Mail and Online Voting Make Registration Easier Modernize the Ballot Strengthen Parties American Government: Roots and Reform, 2014 Election Update, 12e O'Connor | Sabato | Yanus Copyright © 2016, 2014, 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12.6
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