Fall 2013
Immigration
Survey Summary
Presentation
David Flaherty, CEO
Magellan Strategies
2
The following presentation is a summary of findings
from seventeen Congressional Districts of likely
2014 voters. The primary focus of the research was
to measure voter support and opposition to
different immigration reform legislation proposals.
Each survey interviewed between 650 and 700
voters, and has a margin of error of approximately
+/- 3.7% at the 95% confidence interval. The
surveys were conducted using automated voice
recorded technology, and some included live cell
phone interviews. The surveys were fielded in
October and November of 2013.
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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Congressional Districts Surveyed
CA-10 Jeff Denham
CA-21 David Valadao
CA-22 Devin Nunes
CA-23 Kevin McCarthy
CA-25 Howard McKeon
CA-49 Darrell Issa
CO-03 Scott Tipton
CO-04 Cory Gardner
CO-06 Mike Coffman
FL-10 Daniel Webster
FL-15 Dennis Ross
NV-02 Mark Amodei
NV-03 Joe Heck
NY-02 Peter King
NY-19 Chris Gibson
TX-02 Ted Poe
TX-27 Blake Farenthold
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
Voter Support for
“Broad” Immigration
Reform Legislation
Option
5
Key Finding
There is deep, broad support among all “major”
voter subgroups in each Congressional district for
immigration reform legislation that contains the
following criteria.
 Significantly increase border security,
 Block employers form hiring undocumented
immigrants,
 Make sure undocumented immigrants already
in the U.S. with no criminal record register for
legal status, with the possibility of eventual
citizenship.
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“As you may know, the House of Representatives is
beginning to consider different immigration reform
proposals. One option is legislation that would
significantly increase border security, block
employers from hiring undocumented immigrants,
and make sure that undocumented immigrants
already in the U.S. with no criminal record register
for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of
requirements, they could eventually apply for
citizenship.”
“Knowing this information, would support or oppose
this legislation?”
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers
from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants
already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet
a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information,
would support or oppose this legislation?”
Total
Supp.
Total
Opp.
GOP
Supp.
Dem
Supp.
Ind.
Supp.
Wht.
Supp.
Hisp.
Supp.
CA-10 Denham
79%
18%
68%
78%
64%
75%
69%
CA-21 Valadao
77%
18%
75%
81%
69%
77%
78%
CA-22 Nunes
74%
20%
71%
83%
61%
79%
68%
CA-23 McCarthy
76%
21%
74%
81%
74%
75%
77%
CA-25 McKeon
73%
23%
65%
85%
69%
71%
77%
CA-49 Issa
74%
22%
72%
83%
68%
76%
74%
CO-03 Tipton
77%
18%
74%
79%
77%
77%
75%
CO-04 Gardner
76%
20%
77%
80%
68%
77%
71%
CO-06 Coffman
74%
20%
71%
81%
71%
74%
71%
District
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers
from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants
already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet
a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information,
would support or oppose this legislation?”
Total
Supp.
Total
Opp.
GOP
Supp.
FL-10 Webster
79%
16%
80%
80%
78%
79%
70%
FL-15 Ross
78%
16%
79%
80%
71%
80%
72%
NV-02 Amodei
72%
23%
70%
80%
60%
74%
62%
NV-03 Heck
74%
21%
71%
82%
67%
75%
64%
NY-02 King
82%
13%
84%
81%
78%
83%
83%
NY-19 Gibson
79%
16%
82%
79%
77%
80%
71%
TX-02 Poe
79%
18%
76%
90%
74%
77%
83%
TX-27 Farenthold
77%
17%
81%
81%
69%
77%
79%
District
Dem
Ind.
Wht. Hisp.
Supp. Supp. Supp. Supp.
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
Voter Support for
Immigration Reform
Plan Addressing
Undocumented
Immigrants
10
Key Finding
A significant majority of voters, particularly
Republican voters, support an immigration reform
plan that addresses the issue of undocumented
immigrants currently living in the U.S. with the
following criteria;
 Pay a penalty,
 Learn English,
 Pass a criminal background check,
 Pay taxes,
 Wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can
be eligible for citizenship.
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“Would you support or oppose an
immigration reform plan that ensures
undocumented immigrants currently
living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn
English, pass a criminal background
check, pay taxes, and wait a
minimum of thirteen years before they
can be eligible for citizenship?”
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures
undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn
English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of
thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?”
Total
Supp.
Total
Opp.
GOP
Supp.
Dem
Supp.
Ind.
Supp.
Wht.
Supp.
Hisp.
Supp.
CA-10 Denham
69%
25%
75%
64%
70%
69%
71%
CA-21 Valadao
69%
25%
74%
67%
63%
70%
68%
CA-22 Nunes
69%
25%
71%
65%
73%
68%
72%
CA-23 McCarthy
73%
24%
76%
63%
77%
71%
72%
CA-25 McKeon
69%
27%
73%
67%
64%
71%
68%
CA-49 Issa
70%
28%
76%
63%
64%
70%
80%
CO-03 Tipton
69%
29%
79%
55%
67%
69%
65%
CO-04 Gardner
69%
26%
79%
62%
58%
69%
75%
CO-06 Coffman
65%
33%
70%
60%
63%
66%
63%
District
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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“Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures
undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn
English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of
thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?”
Total
Supp.
Total
Opp.
GOP
Supp.
FL-10 Webster
70%
24%
78%
62%
61%
70%
64%
FL-15 Ross
71%
26%
77%
64%
66%
70%
67%
NV-02 Amodei
63%
34%
72%
53%
58%
65%
56%
NV-03 Heck
68%
30%
74%
61%
67%
71%
55%
NY-02 King
77%
20%
82%
69%
79%
76%
76%
NY-19 Gibson
69%
27%
79%
61%
65%
68%
79%
TX-02 Poe
72%
25%
83%
69%
62%
73%
72%
TX-27 Farenthold
69%
28%
76%
62%
67%
72%
61%
District
Dem
Ind.
Wht. Hisp.
Supp. Supp. Supp. Supp.
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
Survey
Methodology
15
The seventeen Congressional District surveys were
conducted using automated voice recorded
technology, and some included live cell phone
interviews.
The samples for all surveys were
randomly drawn from a voter file. The survey
response data was weighted based upon past
voter turnout demographics. Three attempts were
made to interview each household. Any questions
regarding the survey methodology should be
directed to David Flaherty.
He can be reached at 303-861-8585
[email protected].
Magellan Strategies Immigration Reform Survey Summary December 11, 2013
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