Actions to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors January 2017 United States Department of Energy Washington, DC 20585 Executive Summary The U.S. nuclear industry has made substantial progress toward the development and certification of several new, light-water based Small Modular Reactor (SMR) designs, and in the permitting and licensing of these technologies on a few selected sites. These strides have been made with the support of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under the SMR Licensing Technical Support (LTS) program. SMRs could set a new standard for passive nuclear safety, lower the total capital cost for a new nuclear plant, shorten construction times, and carry out non-electricity missions. The United States will not know what the true potential of SMRs is, however, until the first unit is built and operating. An SMR has never been licensed in the United States, and there remains significant uncertainty as to how they will be regulated. Current natural gas prices and electrical demand growth are also low by historical standards and the cost of carbon emissions is not included in the cost of electricity generation. These uncertainties and challenges currently work in concert to discourage utilities from being first-movers on SMRs. To achieve deployment, the United States needs to put in place the right combination of incentives to overcome these barriers. Creating another, more affordable nuclear energy option would assist the United States in meeting its energy and environmental goals. As Secretary of Energy Moniz explained at COP21, “Switching from coal to natural gas is already reducing the U.S. carbon footprint, but it’s not enough to get the deep CO2 cuts envisioned in the President’s Climate Action Plan.” On June 22-23, 2016, DOE held a public workshop to solicit industry input on what steps would support the pathway to commercialization. The focus was placed on deployment because this will resolve regulatory questions, minimizing private sector exposure and providing answers to the United States at an earlier time for its evolving energy strategy. A recent Secretary of Energy Advisory Board report discussed ways that the federal government could advance SMR development, including production payments, power purchase agreements, and facilitating the licensing process for SMR applicants. A final SMR design is necessary for the first power plant to begin construction and to take advantage of factory fabrication. Even after an SMR design certification application has been submitted to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, there is still significant cost and uncertainty involved in the design certification approval process, as well as work to finalize the design. A cost-sharing program for design finalization activities would help reduce the risk for first-mover reactor design companies and increase the probability that a final SMR design is produced to enable factory fabrication. The low price of natural gas poses a challenge to lowcarbon technology deployment, and a production tax credit (PTC) would help to value the carbon-free benefits of SMRs and close this price gap. Power purchase agreements (PPAs) would help to create demand for new, low-carbon technologies that need to cross the “valley of death” in an era of slower electrical demand growth. PPAs between SMR operators and Department of Energy | January 2017 federal facilities would align with the directive to support low-carbon technologies codified in Executive Order 13693, as well as promote national security. The second installment of DOE’s Quadrennial Energy Review recommended that the time frame for the existing nuclear PTC be extended—which would allow SMRs to qualify—and further recommended that federal agencies be allowed to negotiate 20-year power purchase agreements for clean energy, which would include SMR power. Beyond the current site partners that DOE is working with, incentivizing more utility partners through cost-sharing of COLs could help to grow the customer base for SMRs, and make use of potential economy-of-manufacturing learning curves to reduce cost. Investments in advanced manufacturing could help to reduce cost and construction time for SMRs, and create manufacturing jobs for components that currently have to be made outside the United States for the large light water reactors. Demonstrating alternative energy missions for SMRs could improve their attractiveness to utilities, and could also aid integration with greater renewable energy on the electrical grid. Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page ii Department of Energy | January 2017 Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors Table of Contents I. II. III. IV. V. Background .......................................................................................................................... 1 Accelerate Design Finalization for Factory Fabrication ....................................................... 3 Incentivize the First Wave of SMRs ..................................................................................... 4 Lower Manufacturing Costs and Enhance Market Applications ......................................... 6 Conclusions .......................................................................................................................... 8 Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page iii Department of Energy | January 2017 I. Background In June 2013, President Obama released the Climate Action Plan to reduction carbon pollution. One element of that strategy was an investment in small modular reactors (SMRs), which could provide new standards for passive nuclear safety and modular construction. They also offer greater affordability in the form of lower capital cost investments than traditional gigawattscale nuclear plants. SMRs could also supply process heat for applications such as desalination and transportation fuel production, thereby helping to de-carbonize other sectors of the world economy beyond the electricity sector. Finally, their size makes them excellent candidates to replace aging coal plants with zero-emitting baseload power. The successful deployment of SMRs would provide the United States with another low-carbon option for decarbonizing its economy, mitigating the risk from climate change, and reducing air pollution. President Obama’s Executive Order 13693 (Planning for Federal Sustainability in the Next Decade, March 2015) recognized SMRs as a source of clean energy that could help federal facilities meet sustainability targets. SMRs could also provide reliable electricity in other countries to improve their quality of life without producing air pollution or increasing the risks from climate change. The U.S. Department of Commerce’s International Trade Administration released a report, “Commercial Outlook for U.S. Small Modular Reactors,” that examined 27 countries as potential export destinations. The report noted the opportunity to create U.S. manufacturing jobs to support SMR construction in the United States and in other countries. Related to exports, there are national security reasons to develop and deploy U.S. SMR designs. Other countries are developing SMR concepts to try and reach the international market first, and those programs are typically backed by their respective governments. The DOE-National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) report, “International Safeguards, Security, and Regulatory Aspects of U.S. Light Water Small Modular Reactors” summarizes some of the national security implications that would result from the United States developing and exporting SMRs: The United States realizes several nonproliferation points of influence when a country selects a U.S.-origin reactor (or one that contains U.S. technology) for deployment, which then creates a requirement for that country to enter into a nuclear cooperation agreement with the United States, resulting in agreement to a number of conditions as detailed in Section 4. Most significantly, these conditions give the United States the ability to ensure international safeguards and physical security at the facility, to control the fate of nuclear materials produced in the facility, and to apply conditions to the further spread of transferred technology. In contrast, the United States would not have these points of influence if reactors were supplied by other nations. Over time, if foreign-designed reactors are consistently chosen over U.S. designs, this would decrease the ability of the United States to influence global supplier norms. For the reasons mentioned above, DOE initiated the SMR LTS program in Fiscal Year 2012 to accelerate the availability of SMR designs. The FY2017 President’s Budget Request indicated Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 1 Department of Energy | January 2017 that FY2017 would be the final year of the SMR LTS program. The Department has since been exploring what elements could be part of a follow-on SMR program. On June 22-23, DOE held a public workshop to solicit industry input on what steps would support the pathway to commercialization. The focus was placed on deployment because this will resolve regulatory questions, thereby minimizing private sector exposure and provide answers to the United States at an earlier time for use in its evolving energy strategy. The Secretary of Energy Advisory Board (SEAB) Task Force on the Future of Nuclear Power recently presented its findings and recommendations1. The Task Force was charged with describing the changing landscape of nuclear over the coming decades and included an assessment of SMRs. In particular, it discussed ways that the federal government could advance SMR development, including production payments, developing low-cost manufacturing of reactor modules, power purchase agreements with federal facilities, and facilitating the licensing process for SMR applicants. The Task Force also noted, “An active U.S. nuclear power industry has the important added national security benefit of advancing nonproliferation policy objectives...” The rest of this report is organized as follows: Section II describes actions to support reaching a final SMR design to enable factory fabrication; Section III describes incentives to utilities to deploy SMRs; and Section IV describes actions that could increase the long-term commercial success of SMRs. DOE sees value in all of these actions. Section V provides concluding thoughts. 1 http://energy.gov/seab/downloads/draft-report-task-force-future-nuclear-power Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 2 Department of Energy | January 2017 II. Accelerate Design Finalization for Factory Fabrication Design finalization is nominally defined as the design information required to assure an accurate cost estimate can be made for the execution of an engineering, procurement and construction contract with a customer. Work supported under the DOE SMR program to date has been focused on developing the safety case for SMR technology and proving to the regulator that the design can adequately avoid or mitigate potential accident conditions. This typically involves safety systems design and engineering, fuel qualification, analysis of potential accident scenarios, risk assessment, and computational analysis focused on the response of the reactor primary system to specific conditions. Even after a design certification application has been submitted, there remains a large amount of work to define the plant layout and system configurations, commodity and material requirements, secondary side capability and operation, instrumentation and control systems, and other aspects important to the owner/operator. Based on DOE’s experience with the Westinghouse AP1000 during the Nuclear Power 2010 program, the Government investments made on design finalization activities while the design certification application was being reviewed by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission were instrumental in ultimately accelerating the design to market. The result of that investment is the on-going construction of four AP1000 units in the Southeastern United States. A final SMR design is necessary for the first power plant to begin construction, and even after an SMR design certification application has been submitted to the NRC, there is significant cost and uncertainty involved in the design certification approval process, as well as cost to finalize the design. A cost-sharing program for design finalization activities would help reduce the risk for first-mover reactor design companies and increase the probability that a final SMR design is produced and ultimately that an SMR is built. An SMR company cannot build a factory to fabricate reactor modules without a final design. Such factory fabrication could improve quality, and reduce both cost and time for construction. Figure 1: Illustration of a factory-fabricated reactor module being transported to a plant site. Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 3 Department of Energy | January 2017 III. Incentivize the First Wave of SMRs The largest challenge facing new nuclear energy builds is the low price of natural gas, combined with a lack of a price on carbon dioxide emissions and slow electrical demand growth. Utilities have the alternative of building a natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) plant to meet rising demand or retiring power plants. There are currently no state or federal tax incentives specific to SMR deployment, nor state equivalents of renewable electricity standards that specifically support SMR deployment. This challenging set of circumstances could mean that SMRs are not developed at an optimal pace and are consequently not available when natural gas prices rise and/or a price on carbon comes to pass, further delaying and adding expense to efforts to decarbonize the U.S. economy. Several actions could help accelerate the growth of the SMR enterprise through public/private partnerships. A. Production tax credits The Energy Policy Act of 2005 provided a production tax credit (PTC) in order to stimulate the first new nuclear build orders since the early 1970s. These incentives, along with the Nuclear Power 2010 program, contributed to the four AP1000 builds taking place in Georgia and South Carolina. A PTC for SMRs would help to close the economic gap with natural gas plants for firstmover projects and could help account for the greenhouse gas emissions avoided from the utility not operating a natural gas plant. The existing PTC for new advanced nuclear power facilities requires the plants to be put in service before January 1, 2021, which is before SMRs could conceivably reach deployment. The second installment of DOE’s Quadrennial Energy Review recommended that the time frame for the existing nuclear PTC be extended—which would allow SMRs to qualify—and further recommended that the current PTC capacity cap of 6,000 MW be increased.2 Earlier this year, DOE carried out a study, “Assessment of Small Modular Reactor Suitability for Use On or Near Air Force Space Command Installations,” that examined the effect of such a PTC on the economics of an SMR plant built in the United States. It found a PTC of $18/MWh (the same rate as found in the Energy Policy Act of 2005) would reduce the levelized cost of electricity from an SMR by $8/MWh for a project built by an investor-owned utility, which would help to substantially narrow the gap between an SMR and an NGCC plant. The SEAB Task Force report recommended that new deployments of technology-ready LWRs, including LW SMRs, should receive a production payment of about $0.027/kWe-hr. 2 https://energy.gov/epsa/quadrennial-energy-review-qer Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 4 Department of Energy | January 2017 B. Power purchase agreements A power purchase agreement (PPA) is a legal contract between a seller who owns the electricity-generating project and a buyer. PPAs between federal facilities and SMRs are another mechanism that could further incentivize domestic utilities to pursue SMRs. Executive Order 13693 set clean energy targets for federal facilities to meet over the subsequent decade and SMRs are among the set of technologies that count toward meeting those clean energy targets. In an era of slower electrical demand growth, PPAs with federal facilities for electricity from SMRs would create additional demand for low-carbon SMR technologies. The SEAB Task Force report discussed the possibility of DOE or Department of Defense offering a federal site and take-or-pay electricity off-take contracts to reduce risk for initial SMR owner/operators. The second installment of DOE’s Quadrennial Energy Review recommended that Congress authorize all Federal agencies to negotiate 20-year power purchasing authorities for clean energy, which would include SMR power. Federal power purchase agreements could also recognize the national security benefits of SMR development, as well as potential national security missions that SMRs could carry out. For example, specific federal facilities may require a certain level of reliability for missions of national security importance. An SMR-powered microgrid could provide enhanced reliability and other advantages for federal facilities. SMRs have several inherently robust features and in combination with microgrid technologies and transmission and distribution systems, could be incorporated as part of a system that is less vulnerable to intentional destructive acts or natural phenomena. C. Cost-sharing combined operating licenses As part of the NP2010 program, DOE cost-shared combined operating licenses (COLs) development for the two AP1000 projects at the Vogtle plant in Georgia. In 2012, the NRC issued the first-ever COL to the Southern Nuclear Operating Company. As part of the SMR LTS program, DOE has established cost-share agreements with two first-mover utility customers— the Tennessee Valley Authority and Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems—to begin SMR site permitting and licensing activities. Additional domestic customer growth could be incentivized by providing financial assistance for multiple site-specific COLs that refer to an initial Reference-COL (R-COL). A Subsequent-COL (SCOL) for the same SMR design at a different site than the R-COL will require the collection of site environmental data and conducting site specific environmental analysis, emergency planning, and other information typically required for early site permits. DOE expects there could be significant cost savings in the ability to reference and extrapolate from plant specific safety analysis information developed in an R-COL for all S-COLs. Incentivizing a larger order book for SMRs could help to drive learning curves for manufacturing reactor modules and lower the per module cost over time. Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 5 Department of Energy | January 2017 IV. Lower Manufacturing Costs and Enhance Market Applications There are also investments that could be made in technologies that underpin the SMR enterprise. Research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) on advanced manufacturing technologies could improve cost, quality and throughput for SMR components. Demonstrations of SMR/hybrid energy systems could help increase the market applications to de-carbonize sectors of the U.S. economy beyond electricity production. A. Advanced manufacturing RD&D in advanced manufacturing technologies to make complex SMR parts and components in shorter amounts of time, with less cost, and with higher quality could also aid the long-term economic success of SMRs. Consistent with nationally-driven advanced manufacturing initiatives, DOE has been examining the potential for advanced manufacturing techniques to improve nuclear supply costs and quality through the Office of Nuclear Energy’s Nuclear Energy Enabling Technologies program. To date, the program has supported the development of technologies that are applicable to the broadest spectrum of nuclear reactor designs, not just SMRs. Applied research focused on reducing the cost and schedule of factory-based SMR component builds could aid the transition from prototype fabrication capability to a robust SMR manufacturing enterprise. Manufacturing and fabrication technologies such as electron beam welding or other advanced joining practices, laser cladding processes, powdered metal hot isostatic pressing processes, and advanced and real-time inspection techniques are all examples of advanced technique or process that could result in time and cost savings in a mass production environment. B. Hybrid energy system demonstration Less than half of the energy consumed in the United States comes in the form of electricity, and the same is true globally. A few nuclear power plants around the world have non-electricity missions such as district heating and water desalination, but all nuclear power plants in the United States are focused on electricity generation. SMRs have the potential to help decarbonize other sectors of the U.S. economy by replacing fossil fuel use in, for example, the transportation and industrial sectors. DOE could demonstrate SMR capabilities beyond electricity production and thereby expand the market and reach for SMRs. For example, an SMR could potentially respond to greater solar or wind energy coming onto the electrical grid by reducing its electrical output by devoting one or more modules to process heat applications, such as desalination, making hydrogen, or transportation fuel production. Correspondingly, the demonstration could show that when Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 6 Department of Energy | January 2017 solar or wind energy falls off, an SMR could switch one or more modules back to electricity production. This could help facilitate grid stability with higher penetrations of intermittent renewable energy, and decarbonize other sectors of the economy at the same time. Individual SMR modules could also be devoted full-time to non-electricity missions like district heating, hydrogen production, or desalination. Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 7 Department of Energy | January 2017 V. Conclusions Without a final design, there can be no deployment of an SMR or factory fabrication of reactor modules. In addition, without utilities that are willing to be first-movers on SMR projects, there can be no deployment. Getting the first power plant built is the hardest challenge for an SMR design company as it tests the regulatory process for the first time. The costs for the first plant have also not yet benefitted from a learning curve. A cost-sharing program for design finalization activities would help reduce the risk for firstmover reactor design companies and increase the probability that a final SMR design is produced. A PTC would help to close the cost gap between SMRs and natural gas plants in the absence of a price on carbon dioxide emissions. PPAs would help to create demand for lowcarbon technologies in an era of slower electrical demand growth. PPAs between SMR operators and federal facilities would also align with the directive to support low-carbon technologies codified in Executive Order 13693, as well as promote national security. Cost-sharing for additional COLs could potentially incentivize new customers that could either become first-movers or help to build a critical mass of customers to create a more robust business case for moving forward. Advanced manufacturing could help with bringing down the cost of specific SMR equipment and help to shorten construction times. Hybrid energy system demonstration could aid the marketability of SMRs and allow them to make inroads into nonelectricity missions like desalination and hydrogen production. DOE is considering all of these actions as part of a successor program to the SMR LTS program. The end goal for DOE is a complete enterprise, including end-users and a supply chain. Existing policies do not fully account for the benefits that SMRs provide, and are likely insufficient given current market conditions to support SMR deployment. In the absence of subsidies, NGCC power plants are often the most attractive electricity generation option in the United States, but by themselves NGCC plants cannot achieve the deep carbonization goals needed to sufficiently mitigate the risk posed by climate change. The actions described in this report, however, would help to accelerate SMR deployment in the service of meeting national goals for clean, reliable, affordable electricity. Actions Needed to Commercialize Small Modular Reactors | Page 8
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