What do firms know? What do they produce? A new look at the relationship between patenting profiles and patterns of product diversification Giovanni Dosi∗ Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna Marco Grazzi† Department of Economics, University of Bologna Daniele Moschella‡ Institute of Economics, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna September 14, 2014 1 Motivation Innovation activity is a crucial input for firms to increase their productivity and boost their sales, both on domestic and international markets (for empirical evidence see, among others, Hall and Mairesse, 1995; Wakelin, 1998; Dosi et al., 2014). Product innovation is one of the main forms of such innovative efforts: introducing a new good may benefit the innovating firm in terms of market shares and also spread throughout the economy new cost-saving production techniques when the new product is an intermediate good. Moreover, by producing new goods, the firm can diversify its product portfolio and thus ∗ Piazza Martiri della Libertà, 33 56127, Pisa, Italy, tel: +39 050883343, email: [email protected] Piazza Scaravilli 2, 40126 Bologna, Italy. tel: +39 0512098130, email: [email protected] ‡ Piazza Martiri della Libertà, 33 56127, Pisa, Italy, tel: +39 050883290, email: [email protected] † 1 exploit economies of scope and insure itself against demand shocks (Hirsch and Lev, 1971; Montgomery, 1994). By innovating and producing, firms also cumulate capabilities and skills (Dosi, 1988): it turns out that both technological and product diversification are important features of firms in capitalist economies (Piscitello, 2004). However, the relationship between technological diversification and corporate diversification is not a simple one-to-one relationship. Patel and Pavitt (1997) first showed that for very large firms technological reach as proxied by patenting activity is greater than product reach. Theoretically, there can be different reasons why this happens. For example, Brusoni et al. (2001) show that in complex products like aircraft engines, firms know more than they need for what they make in order to deal both with unpredictable product-level interdependencies and with imbalances in component performance In this paper, we aim to give a new perspective about the relationship between technological diversification and product diversification at the firm level. Following a well established tradition in the literature, we proxy firms’ technological capabilities with the stock of their patents. By exploiting a new matching between patent applications and firms, we intend first of all to characterize the patenting profiles of the population of Italian firms. Second, and more important, we link the patenting profiles of Italian firms to their product diversification patterns. In order to do so, we use a recently developed algorithm (Lybbert and Zolas, 2014) which delivers a concordance between IPC classes and standard industry classifications. 2 Data and Methodology Data on the production activities of Italian firms come from two firm-level datasets collected by the Italian statistical office (ISTAT), namely the Business Register known as “Archivio Statistico Imprese Attive” (ASIA) and Statistiche del Commercio Estero (COE). ASIA is the register of all active Italian businesses. It covers the period 19982006 and contains information on firms’ operations including the number of employees, total turnover,1 geographic location of the firm and firm’s age, defined as the year of incorporation. The COE dataset consists of all cross-border transactions performed by Italian firms and it covers the period 2000-2007. COE includes the annual value and quantity of export transactions by the firm at the product level. A product is defined as a six digit category in the Harmonized System (HS6). The product level classification gives a very detailed view of corporate diversification under the assumption (not unreasonable) that firms export what they produce. Using the unique identification code of the firm, we link the firm-level export data from COE to ISTAT’s archive of active firms. Notice that the resulting dataset is not a sample but rather it covers the universe of Italian 1 Information on total turnover is available only in 2000 and 2003. 2 active firms and all international trade transactions of Italian firms over the period. The data collection and building process of the integrated database are described at lenght in Grazzi et al. (2013). We take information on Italian firms’ patent applications from Amadeus database. The available information refers to the publication date, the success of the application (whether the patent has been granted), the IPC classification, the application number, and the priority number. Using the tax code, we link the patent data to COE and ISTAT’s dataset. Finally, we resort to Micro.3 to have information on a set of firm’s performance indicators. Micro.3 is a databank developed within a collaboration between the Italian Statistical Office (ISTAT) and members of the Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM) of Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna in Pisa.2 It is based on the census of Italian firms conducted yearly by ISTAT and contains information on firms with more than 20 employees in all sectors of the economy for the period 1989-2006. Starting in 1998 the census of the whole population of firms only concerns companies with more than 100 employees, whether in the range of employment 20-99, ISTAT directly monitors only a rotating sample which varies every five years. Hence, in order to complete the coverage of firms in that range from 1998 onward, Micro.3 resorts to data from the financial statement that limited liability firms have to disclose, in accordance to Italian law.3 The main problem in analyzing the relationship between technological diversification and product diversification is that the existing IPC-industry concordances are far from being satisfactory. In particular, they do not allow us to go further than using a 2digits (in some cases 3-digits) classification of industrial activities of the firm. We use the probabilistic algorithm developed by Lybbert and Zolas (2014) in order to exploit the richer information of our product-level classification. In this way, we are able to build a correspondence between technological activities of the firm and its production activities at a much more disaggregated level. 2 The database has been made available for work after careful censorship of individual information. More detailed information on the database Micro.3 is in Grazzi et al. (2013). 3 Limited liability companies (società di capitali) have to provide a copy of their financial statement to the Register of Firms at the local Chamber of Commerce. 3 References Brusoni, S., A. Prencipe, and K. Pavitt (2001). Knowledge specialisation, organizational coupling and the boundaries of the firm: Why firms know more than they make? Administrative Science Quarterly 46 (4), 597–621. Dosi, G. (1988). Sources, procedures, and microeconomic effects of innovation. Journal of Economic Literature 26 (3), 1120–71. Dosi, G., M. Grazzi, and D. Moschella (2014). Technology and costs in international competitiveness: from countries and sectors to firms. LEM Papers Series 2014/10, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy. Grazzi, M., R. Sanzo, A. Secchi, and A. Zeli (2013). The building process of a new integrated system of business micro-data 1989-2004. 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