Global sourcing and business networks: quality heterogeneity and firms’ efficiency Giuseppe Vittucci Marzetti ∗ Maria Luigia Segnana Chiara Tomasi † ‡ November, 2008 Abstract This paper develops an economic model on the relations between final good producers and their suppliers, taking into account the role of business and social networks as a channel influencing the easiness of collecting information. Global sourcing can increase firms’ productivity through the quality upgrading of intermediate inputs, but, because of the quality heterogeneity of suppliers, it can also boost screening costs given the need to search for the right supplier. We show that, becuse of this, large firms can better exploit the potential gains from quality upgrading. Moreover, business networks, via the reduction in firms’ unit screening costs, can make both the overall production and firms’ profitability increase. There are cumulative beneficial effects of these networks and hence a developed network constitutes in itself an incentive for firms to invest in its further development. Finally, we sketch a possible extension of the model to analyze the choice of local vs. global sourcing strategies and how their differences, in terms of costs, suppliers’ heterogeneity and degree of embeddedness in networks, actually affect firms’ choices and their efficiency. Keywords: Delocalisation; Outsourcing; Heterogeneity; Business and social networks; Search costs. JEL Classification: F130; F230; L140; L240; D850. ∗ Department of Economics, University of Trento, via Inama 5, 38100 Trento, Italy, Phone: +39 0461 882162 Fax: +39 0461 882222, E-mail: [email protected] † Department of Economics, University of Trento, via Inama 5, 38100 Trento, Italy, Phone: +39 0461 882225, Fax: +39 0461 882222, E-mail: [email protected] ‡ Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna and University of Urbino, Email: [email protected] 1 1 Introduction One of the distinct features of globalisation is the pivotal role played by the internationalisation of production processes. During the last decade, firms have started to locate different stages of production processes in different countries in order to exploit location advantages, such as easier access to local markets, to technological and organisational know-how and to lower factor prices. Recent studies provide evidence of the impressive development of the phenomenon, known as international sourcing, whereby previously integrated production activities are spread over an international network (e.g. Feenstra and Hanson, 1996; Hummels et al., 2001). Several theoretical and empirical works have considered its impacts. Much research has endeavored to investigate the consequences of global sourcing on domestic labour markets, using sectoral and country data. More recently, in line with the developments in trade theory, suggesting the importance of plant-level heterogeneity (Melitz, 2003; Helpman et al., 2004), the attention has been moved from aggregate to micro-level analyses. Empirical studies have provided evidence on the effects of global sourcing on firms’ efficiency. The literature has considered different channels through which it may in fact raise firms’ productivity: specialisation, learning, variety and quality. Following this literature, the present paper develops an economic model to analyse the relationships between final good producers and their suppliers, focusing on the quality heterogeneity of the latter as a channel influencing firms’ efficiency. In fact, one of the mechanisms through which global sourcing may affect firms’ productivity is the quality upgrading of intermediate inputs. However, given the quality heterogeneity of suppliers, outsourcing firms incur some screening costs, i.e. search costs for the best supplier. These are fixed costs resulting from the need to search for the supplier, collect all the relevant information on it and test its product. The large the quality range of suppliers is, the higher these screening costs are. By expanding suppliers’ heterogeneity, international sourcing may actually boost firms’ screening costs. Thus, potential positive effects on firms’ efficiency via the quality upgrading mechanism can be partially temper by the increase of screening efforts. We show that the increasing size of the market for these firms is efficiency-enhancing for two reasons: the economies of scale due to the decreasing fixed costs of searching for a partner and the increasing average quality of the chosen supplier. Moreover, as recently emphasized by economic literature, business and social networks can impact on the relative easiness of collecting information (e.g. Rauch, 2001; Rauch and Casella, 2001), thus being a source of efficiency gains. We indeed show that, assuming quality heterogeneity of suppliers and screening costs entailed in global sourcing strategies, these networks, via the reduction in the unit screening cost, can make firms’ production and profitability both increase. In addition, we show there are cumulative 2 beneficial effects at work for business and social networks, and hence a developed network constitutes in itself an incentive for firms to invest in its further development. Starting from this general framework, we then analyse the mutual exclusive strategies of external sourcing: local vs. foreign, by considering the differences between local and foreign suppliers and investigating how these differences, in terms of costs, heterogeneity and degree of embeddedness in networks, can affect firms’ strategies and their efficiency. In fact, local systems, cluster analysis and inter-firm relational proximity have traditionally identified reasons for firms in industrial districts to perform better than isolated ones, benefiting from the presence of external economies at the local level. But the disintegration of international production processes and the increased use of international suppliers do question this view, thus putting under new lens the traditional linkages. In an extension of our model we therefore try to focus upon the linkages between the characteristics of local systems and firms’ sourcing strategies. In particular, by assuming that local business networks are more developed than transnational ones and that the heterogeneity of local suppliers is less pronounced, we investigate firms’ choice between local and global sourcing and how they interact with the previous factors determining firms’ overall efficiency. The paper is structured as follows. In Section 2 the debate on the growth and the effects of global sourcing is summarized by showing how this notion is in search for a theoretical and empirical assessment. Section 3 shows a model where both the fragmentation of production and screening costs entailed in quality upgrading are taken into account. In Section 3.1, we analyze the global soucing strategies of a maximizing firm facing a qualitatively heterogeneous supply of providers and incurring screening costs. In order to investigate the factors behind the choice of the location, Section 3.2 instead sketches a possible extension of the model where, along with the supply of foreign providers, there is a supply of local providers which the firm can alternatively resort to for the provision of the intermediate. Finally, Section 4 concludes by summarizing the main results and envisaging issues and future lines of research. 2 The growth and the effects of international sourcing Despite common perceptions about the widespread diffusion of global sourcing, there is no a standardized definition of the phenomenon (Feenstra, 1998). The term global (or international) sourcing has been used by economist with slightly different meanings. Someone uses it mainly referring to international partnerships, thus assuming a minimum level of relation durability (e.g. Van Long, 2005). Some others utilize it in all the cases in which firms resort 3 to foreign markets to acquire intermediate inputs (Feenstra and Hanson, 1999). In this case the term is therefore just a synonym of international trade in intermediate inputs. Some other economist uses the term outsourcing only referring to cases in which what is actually outsourced is service provision (Bhagwati et al., 2004). Sometimes the expression is used as a synonym of delocalisation or offshoring, especially in the literature on international trade (e.g. Hummels et al., 1998; Glass, 2004), referring to the international fragmentation of production stages, being it due to international sourcing, in a let’s say proper sense, or vertical FDI. In the latter case, the production stage goes outside the country but still remains within the boundaries of the firm, whereas in the former it crosses both the national and the firm boundaries. The meaning of global sourcing we stick here goes beyond these distinctions. We use the expression in a broad sense, including all subcontracting relationships between firms and the hiring of external workers which occur at an international level. The main concern of the present study is indeed not the nature of relations across actors or the explanation of firm vertical disintegration decision (the well-known “make or buy” question), but rather whether the sourcing process occurs within the country where the firm is located (domestic or local sourcing) or outside the country (international or foreign sourcing). The growing interest on global sourcing has spurred a number of empirical works that have tried to weight up its magnitude and to identify the main determinants and effects. However, empirical studies have been hampered so far by a lack of systematic statistics, which in turn comes from the absence of a common definition. Hence, different approaches have been used based on macroeconomic data, both at a country and industry level, as well as on microdata.1 With all the imperfect measures, the various studies have shown that there have been a rapid expansion in global sourcing in several industries, including textiles, apparel, footwear, industrial machinery electrical equipment, transportation equipment, chemical and similar products. They all conclude that the foreign sourcing of intermediate goods and business services is one of the most rapidly growing components of international trade, being at the crossroad of the main features of economic integration. What are the consequences of this increasing fragmentation? Previous theoretical and empirical work consider several possible effects of global sourcing on countries’ and firms’ performances. One of the more relevant 1 At an aggregate level several works have used information from trade statistics in intermediate inputs and in parts and components (Feenstra and Hanson, 1996; Hummels et al., 2001; Yeats, 1998). Some analysts suggest using intra-industry trade as a measure of global sourcing (Jones and Kierzkowski, 2001). Others use data collected to register specific kinds of trade in intermediates, such as the US offshore assembly program (OAP) (Feenstra et al., 1999; Yeats, 1998) or the EU outward processing traffic (OPT) (Baldone et al., 2001). 4 aspects concerns the effects on relative wages and labour demand. Since foreign sourcing mainly emerge to exploit differences in factor costs across countries, it usually implies a reallocations of unskilled labour-intensive parts of the production process from relatively skilled labour abundant countries to unskilled labour abundant ones. This shift in the labour composition is expected to increase the relative demand for skilled workers and, consequently, enlarge the skill wage premium while increasing wage inequalities. Empirical evidence for the US (Feenstra and Hanson, 1996, 1999) and some European countries (Egger and Egger, 2006; Hijzen et al., 2005; Amiti and Wei, 2004) follows these theoretical intuitions. The results obtained from aggregate statistics have also been confirmed by studies at the micro level, which indeed show a positive correlation between the increase of offshore activities and the shift in labour demand toward skilled workers (Head and Ries, 2002; Görg and Hanley, 2005). Other studies have instead focused on the effects of global sourcing on firms’ productivity and efficiency. They resort to different theoretical arguments to explain the productivity advantages that may arise as a consequence of contracting-out phases of the production process. global sourcing can in fact raise productivity via several channels: specialisation, learning, variety and quality. By eliminating inefficient parts of the production process, firms may indeed specialise in the phases where they have comparative advantages. The change in the workforce composition thus determines an increase in the average productivity of the remaining workers (Amiti and Wei, 2006). Gains could arise also from learning effects coming from the foreign technology embodied in the imported intermediate inputs (Acharya and Keller, 2007; Eaton and Kortum, 2001). Outsourcing firms may obtain benefits by accelerating the formation of innovative products and service. According to Glass and Saggi’s (2001) model, global sourcing lowers the marginal cost of production due to save costs, increases profits and creates greater incentives for innovation. Theoretical models have also considered positive productivity effects due to the access to more varieties of intermediate inputs and better match between input mix and the desired technology or product charateristics (Kasahara and Rodrigue, 2005). Finally, import in intermediate goods can increase productivity through higher quality inputs. Global sourcing may in fact allow firms to purchase abroad higher quality inputs compared to those domestically available (Grossman and Helpman, 1991; Markusen, 1989). Nevertheless, quite a few empirical studies have thus far tested the relationship between international sourcing and productivity. Among the few, some works have used industry level data to investigate the productivity effects on manufacturing and service sectors (Amiti and Wei, 2006; ten Raa and Wolff, 2001; Fixler and Siegel, 1999). In particular, by using data on all US manufacturing industries over the ’90s, Amiti and Wei (2006) find that service and material foreign sourcing turns out to be positively correlated 5 with labour productivity; and similar results have been observed by Görg et al. (2004) at a micro level. 3 An international sourcing model with quality heterogeneity As mentioned above, both the theoretical and empirical literature have considered several channels through which global sourcing may actually affect firms’ productivity. In our model, we emphasize the quality upgrading mechanism. According to our setting, global sourcing, and more generally the openness to international markets, may affect firms’ productivity through a quality upgrading of intermediate inputs. The rapid expansion of global sourcing and the enlargement of the market for intermediate inputs has determined a raise in the number of suppliers and a high heterogeneity in the quality of this supply. The previous effects come as the source of firms’ efficiency gains. However, according to our model, given the quality heterogeneity, a firm that decides to outsource a phase of the production process or a service incurs some screening costs. These costs derive from the testing procedures needed to be implemented in order to incorporate the intermediate inputs in the production process.2 Although firms can observe the quality of the supplied inputs, they meet the screening costs related to the matching of in-house production and the outsourced phase. Indeed, the larger the quality range of intermediates is, the higher these screening costs will be. By expanding quality heterogeneity, global sourcing may thus boost firms’ screening costs. 3.1 Foreign sourcing: quality heterogeneity and screening costs Let us first consider a monopolistic firm h producing a final good and foreign sourcing the production of the needed intermediate input. For the sake of simplicity, let us assume further that there is no other cost involved in the production of the final good but the cost of the intermediate, and that both the internal cost of its production and the cost of local sourcing for h are always greater than the cost of foreign sourcing.3 Let us assume a unit measure of foreign suppliers m producing the intermediate, uniformly distributed according to the quality of the latter and indexed in descending order according to such quality. Let us suppose that there is a one-to-one relation between this quality and the probability that 2 Likewise, Bartel et al. (2005, 2008) consider adjustment costs of outsourcing related to the less than perfect match between the internal production process and the external inputs resulting in misunderstandings, frictions, delivery lags or quality differences. 3 In the second part of our model, we will relax the latter assumption considering the possibility of the firm to locally source. 6 the intermediate will eventually breakdown when employed in the production of the final good. Let us denote this breakdown probability with µ. Apart from this, all the supplied intermediates are homogeneous and their cif cost is the same (c). The quality and the related breakdown probability are not freely observable. In particular, at the beginning of the production period, the firm h bears screening costs, s. Such costs are related to the need for searching for a potential partner and testing its supplied intermediate. We assume that these costs are directly proportional to the number of considered potential partners, n (n ≥ 1): (1) s = αn where α is the unit cost of screening, which includes the costs entailed in the search for the supplier and the test of its product, encompassing also the costs for collecting all the relevant information on it. After n screenings, the firm outsources the production of the intermediate to the supplier with the best quality among those actually contacted (m̄). Given that the firm cannot freely obtain information on the suppliers and given the assumptions on the distribution of suppliers, each screened supplier can be considered by h a random drawing from a uniform distribution of µ ranging from 0 to 1. Thus, after n screenings, the probability that the intermediate provided by m̄ is characterized by breakdown probability µ̄ is equal to: (2) g(µ̄) = nF 0 (µ̄)(1 − F (µ̄))n−1 = n(1 − µ̄)n−1 where F (µ) is the cumulative distribution function of µ. Expected profits of firm h are given by: (3) E(p(q)q − C) = p(q)q − E(C) where p is the price of the final good produced by h, q is the quantity sold of the final good and C denotes firm’s total costs, whose expected value is: (4) E(C) = s + E(c)q = s + E(E(c|µ̄))q In Equation (4) s denotes h’s screening costs and c its marginal cost. The latter is simply equal to the cost of the intermediate given the simplifying assumption that h incurs no production cost.4 4 Removing this assumption does not alter any of the results of the model. 7 The expected value of the variable unit costs conditional on µ̄ is: (5) E(c|µ̄) = (1 − µ̄)c + (1 − µ̄)µ̄2c + (1 − µ̄)µ̄2 3c + . . . = ∞ ∞ ∞ X X X = c(1 − µ̄) µ̄i (1 + i) = c(1 − µ̄)( µ̄i + µ̄i i) = i=0 = c(1 − µ̄) = i=0 µ̄ 1 + 1 − µ̄ (1 − µ̄)2 =c+ i=0 µ̄ c= 1 − µ̄ c 1 − µ̄ Hence, their unconditional expected value is: Z 1 c c (6) )= g(µ̄)dµ̄ = E(E(c|µ̄)) = E( 1 − µ̄ 0 1 − µ̄ Z 1 n (1 − µ̄)n−2 dµ̄ = = cn c n−1 0 whereas the average quality of the chosen supplier is: Z 1 Z 1 (7) E(µ̄) = µ̄ g(µ̄)dµ̄ = µ̄ n(1 − µ̄)n−1 dµ̄ = 0 0 1 n+1 Assuming that h maximizes its expected profits by freely setting q and n,5 its profit function is: (8) π = max p(q)q − q,n n cq − αn n−1 If we assume further that h faces an isoelastic demand function:6 (9) q(p) = Ap− 5 For simplicity, we neglect the integer “problem” and treat the discrete number of screened suppliers (n) as a continuous variable. 6 This demand function can be seen as the result of a maximizing rapresentative consumer with a CES utility function as: Z I −1 U= β(i)q(i) di 0 and whose walrasian demand function for good j is therefore: q(j) = R I 0 W β(i) p(i)1− di p(j)− where W denotes the wealth of such consumer. With N consumers in the market the aggregate demand function faced by h is thus Equation (9), where A is given by: A = RI 0 WN β(i) p(i)1− di 8 with > 1, from the first order conditions of the maximization problem (8) it follows: −1 n−1 1 (10) q=A n c r (11) n=1+ cq α and therefore: (12) 2− n (n − 1) A = α −1 1 c−1 As proved in Appendix A, although the objective function is not concave, the set of maximizers (q̄, n̄) is a singleton. We can therefore analyze the effects of parameters change on the screening efforts of the firm, its profits and the average quality of the chosen supplier. In particular, two parameters will be considered: the market size of h (A) and the unit cost of screening (α), which can be deemed as negatively affected by the relative density and efficiency of business and social networks operating across national borders (Rauch, 2001; Rauch and Trindade, 2003). Let us note first that, given the presence of fixed costs directly proportional to the number of screened suppliers and the decreasing effect of an increase in the screening efforts of the firm on the reduction of the expected marginal cost, the supplier actually chosen will produce on average a product whose quality is not maximal. By Equation (7), this average quality is positively related to the optimal number of screened suppliers (n̄), which is in turn related to A and α. As for A, from Equation (12) it follows that the higher the demand faced by h is, the greater the optimal number of screened suppliers – and hence the quality of the intermediate – will be. Moreover, the marginal effect of an increase of the market size on firm’s profits by the envelope theorem is equal to: −1 1 q̄ ∂π 1 − 1 −1 n̄ − 1 −1 1 (13) = = ∂A A n̄ c−1 which turns out to be positively related with n̄. Therefore, given that a bigger A determines a greater n̄, the positive effect of marginal increases of A on firm’s profits becomes larger the larger the initial level of A is. Hence, according to our model, in presence of quality heterogeneity of suppliers and screening costs, the differential efficiency gains from market expansions tend to increase with the initial level. Thus, the biggest firms 9 can better exploit the potential gains from quality upgrading and has got an advantage in the international arena.7 Let us consider now the effects of changes in the unit costs of screening (α). From Equation (12) it follows that a decrease of α makes n̄, q̄ and the quality of the chosen suppliers all increase. Thus, our model predicts that “thicker” transnational business and social networks, via the increase in the effectiveness of the screening efforts, can entail an increase of firm’s efficiency, which comes from the increase in the average quality of the intermediate, and an expansion of production. Moreover, given that the effect of a marginal increase of α on firm’s profits is simply equal to: (14) ∂π = −n̄ ∂α this effect interacts with the previous one creating cumulative incentives for firms to invest in the development of transnational business and social networks. In particular, given that the more the initial thickness of the network is, the greater the optimal number of screened suppliers is, as a result the higher will be the cost saving the firm would obtain by reducing further α and thus its incentive to invest in the network. Hence, our model predicts that transnational business and social networks increase the overall production and firms’ profitability. Moreover, it shows that a developed transnational network constitutes in itself an incentive for firms to invest in its further development.8 3.2 Foreign vs. local sourcing Let us suppose now that, along with the foreign providers (m), there is a supply of local providers (ml ) that firm h can alternatively resort to for the provision of the intermediate. In case of local suppliers, their unit costs of screening for firm h (αl ) are smaller than the correspondent costs for screening foreign suppliers (αl < α). 7 It is instructive to consider what happens instead in the more standard case of a monopolistic firm incurring costant marginal costs (c) and facing an isoelastic demand curve like (9). In this case, although the effect of a marginal increase of the market size on firm’s profits is clearly still positive: −1 ∂π 1 “ q̄ ” 1 = = p̄1− > 0 ∂A A it remains costant across different initial market sizes: „ „ «−1 «1− ∂π 1 1 −1 1 = c = ∂A −1 c−1 8 The previous effects could be dimmed by pronounced decreasing returns to scale in the investments made for network developments. They are instead emphasized assuming seemingly increasing returns of such investments. 10 This can be seen as the result of, on the one hand, the geographical and cultural proximity between h and its local suppliers; on the other hand, the existence of local business and social networks usually more developed than transnational ones.9 Moreover, because local providers are more spatially and technologically concentrated, we assume that they are less heterogeneous in terms of quality than the suppliers on international markets. In particular, we suppose that, like foreign suppliers, there is continuum of local suppliers (ml ) producing the intermediate suitable for h, which are uniformly distributed according to its breakdown probability µ, but, unlike foreign suppliers, in case of local providers the latter ranges from tm to tM , where 0 ≤ tm ≤ tM ≤ 1. Finally, we assume that local providers sell the intermediate at a price (cl ), not smaller than the cif cost of acquiring the intermediate on international markets: cl ≥ c. Firm h can make either local or foreign sourcing. In particular, h will decide to make foreign sourcing if and only if: (15) π(A, α, c) > πl (A, αl , cl , tm , tM ) where π and πl are the expected profits in case of, respectively, foreign and local sourcing. The interplay between the differences in the previous features of local and foreign providers, also in terms of the different business and social networks they are embedded in, determines the location of the supplier chosen by firm h. Such differences can impact in opposite directions on the relative profitability of local vs foreign sourcing strategies. For istance, the higher unit costs for screening foreign suppliers rather than local ones makes ceteris paribus local sourcing more profitable. And the same happens because of the ceiling threshold in the distribution of local suppliers in terms of breakdown probability of the intermediate (tM ). On the contrary, the higher cost of the intermediate supplied locally (cl ) and the floor threshold (tm ) both make foreign sourcing a more efficient strategy. Thus, we can assume that there exists a firm h to which the two strategies give on average the same profit and we can thus analyze the impact of changes in the parameters on these expected profits. 4 Final remarks This paper has analysed the relationship between final good producers and their intermediate suppliers, focusing on different (local and global) quality 9 This greater development of local networks compared to transnational ones can be itself the result of the above proximity. Notwithstanding, it should be properly retained as an independent factor that contributes towards reducing the unit costs of screening in case of local suppliers. 11 heterogeneity as a channel affecting firms’ efficiency. When the new sourcing opportunities are taken into account, this channel is shown to work through a quality upgrading mechanism, along two directions: on the one side, by increasing the optimal number of screened suppliers (and hence the quality of the intermediate input) and, on the other, by increasing the effectiveness of the screening efforts in search for the right supplier. The result is an efficiency-enhancing effect. Furthermore, two differential and cumulative effects are at work at the firm level: (i) differential efficiency gains from market expansion. These gains increase with the initial level of the market size such that bigger firms would benefit of better exploitation of potential gains from quality upgrading; (ii) differential incentives for creating or investing in transnational business and social networks. Thicker networks imply higher cost saving and thus further incentives to invest in network linkages, making them thicker and thicker. The previous results thus show how the problem of sourcing at a local and global level can be framed as a problem of matching between producers and suppliers, a problem that can be addressed by comparing local and global sourcing and investigating how their heterogeneity affect firm’s efficiency. In a broader perspective, they suggest two final remarks. The first is connected with the multi-dimensions of firms’ competitiveness, whereas the second is more related with the Italian system of industrial districts and their connections with the analysis of business and social networks. First, in presence of global sourcing the sources of comparative advantage refer to footloose property of countries and firms. Even the basis of firms’ and local systems’ productivity have now an international dimension. This dimension has shifted the basis of industrial competitiveness towards new ways of organizing production processes, accessing new markets in new and unconventional ways. Both, firms and clusters, are potentially open to international productivity transfers/spillovers interacting with the local determinants of firms’ competitiveness. Second, the Italian case can be a starting point for a more general research on the role of networks in the international extension of production/demand linkages. As a matter of fact, it is well known how, in the international arena, some Italian SMEs are able to fill in the opening slots in the international fragmentation of production and how, in some cases, they show a significant persistence, a predominance and a remarkable role in the international extension of the supply chains. This role suggests, first, that the effects of international sourcing identified in this paper cannot be considered within the multi-nationals framework only, because some SMEs are playing the role of complementing the strategy and the technological supply chain of large, international players. Second, this play in an international arena requires the identification of transnational business networks and their influence on the size of the market for a SME and on the costs of identifying and screening international partners. In other words how business and social network 12 can overcome trade costs.10 Third, as international sourcing opportunities are now open to local systems and industrial districts, they might imply a changing role of the lead firm with respect to the local system. How important are firms’ heterogeneity, their embedness in the local system and their internationality compared to their local linkages in explaining this changing role? In conclusion, the need for a better understanding of local and global linkages and their interactions is largely underestimated, both theoretically and empirically and, surely, when talking about local it is now imperative to analyze the global, because gaining economic sustainability depends crucially on the capability of firms and local systems to cope with the new international division of labour. A Appendix The Hessian of the objective function of (8) is: ! ! c c 2p0 (q) + p00 (q)q (n−1) − −1 A1/ q −(+1)/ (n−1) 2 2 2 (16) H = = 2cq 2cq c c − (n−1) − (n−1) 3 3 (n−1)2 (n−1)2 Given that the upper left element of H is negative, if its determinant is positive the matrix is negative definite. The condition is therefore: 1 2c( − 1) A c2 |H(q, n)| = 2 − >0 (n − 1)3 q (n − 1)4 This condition valued at (q̄, n̄) becomes: 1 − 1 n̄ − 1 A > c q̄ 2 − 1 n̄ − 1 p̄ > c 2 Given that: n̄ c − 1 n̄ − 1 it follows that the condition for a critical point (q̄, n̄) to be a local maximum is: p̄ = (17) 2n̄ > Let us denote the left hand side of Equation (12) with r(n). Taking the logarithm of this function and differentiating it with respect to n we obtain: (18) 10 d log r(n) d 2n − = ( log n + (2 − ) log(n − 1)) = dn dn n(n − 1) See the network of enabling transactions in Herrmann-Pillath (2006). 13 Figure 1: Critical points of n when > 2 which is stricly positive provided that condition (17) is satisfied. The limits of r(n) are: n lim r(n) = lim lim (n − 1)2 = lim (n − 1)2 = +∞ n→+∞ n→+∞ n − 1 n→+∞ n→+∞ 0 if ≤ 2 lim r(n) = + +∞ if > 2 n→1 Hence, we can have two cases. If 1 < ≤ 2, then r(n) is a strictly increasing monotonic function approaching to 0 when n tends to its inferior limit. 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