Policy Research 2014-27 STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: the Case of Lao PDR Jeong Hyop LEE, Sira MALIPHOL and Haewon KANG In cooperation with APCTT-UNESCAP and the Ministry of Science and Technology, Lao PDR In consultation with Jet P.H. Shu 연 구 진 연구책임자 Jeong Hyop LEE❘과학기술정책연구원 연구위원 연구참여자 Sira MALIPHOL❘과학기술정책연구원 연구원 Haewon KANG❘과학기술정책연구원 연구원 정책연구 2014-27 STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: the Case of Lao PDR 2014년 12월 26일 인쇄 2014년 12월 30일 발행 發行人 ㅣ 송종국 發行處 ㅣ 과학기술정책연구원 세종특별자치시 시청대로 370 세종국책연구단지 과학・인프라동 5~7F Tel: 044)287-2000 Fax: 044)287-2068 登 錄 ㅣ 2003년 9월 5일 제20-444호 組版 및 印刷ㅣ 경성문화사 Tel: 02)786-2999 Fax: 02)782-1391 ISBN 978-89-6112-319-8 93320 정가: 6,000원 이 도서의 국립중앙도서관 출판예정도서목록(CIP)은 서지정보유통지원시스템 홈페이지(http://seoji.nl.go.kr)와 국가자료공동목록시스템(http://www.nl.go.kr/kolisnet)에서 이용하실 수 있습니다. (CIP제어번호 : CIP2015006308) Preface Science, technology, and innovation (STI) is recognized as an important driver for sustainable growth that can help least developed countries (LDCs) and developing countries spur development and overcome poverty. This report provides recommendations after a review of the MDG achievements and limitations in preparation for the Post-2015 Development Agenda. The key to successful implementation of STI strategy is to build local ownership and capacity for developing STI strategies, and to manage enabling and practical solution-based projects for the countries involved. Korea managed to develop its economy and overcome poverty through the use of STI strategies that can now be used as examples for STI development. Although the framework conditions and global context are different, Korean STI experiences are relevant to late developing countries today. It is difficult to translate these experiences into effective and implementable policies for development. Rather than replicating benchmarking approaches, the Science and Technology Policy Institute (STEPI) has developed a platform to enable the sharing of STI experience that includes contextualization and capacity building for implementation. Knowledge sharing thus far has consisted of benchmarking measures that replicated the policies used by earlier late industrialized economies. In the developing world, there are numerous examples of policies that provided tax incentives, built technoor science parks, increased R&D spending, etc. Successful experiences and policies were packaged for dissemination but the results have been less than spectacular, if not outright failures. The limitations result from a lack of contextualization, which is required to ensure that knowledge sharing meets its potential for development. The contextualization process specifies the knowledge sharing activities that suit recipient countries. The methodology for the development of STI strategy at the national level was developed by STEPI in the engagement of two least developed countries in Asia, Nepal and Lao PDR, as part of the UN-OSSC (hosted by UNDP)-ROK facility program project Innovation System Diagnosis and STI Strategy Development (2012 to 2014). Due to the lack of information, statistics and data, the process was formalized with series of panel brainstorming discussions on targeting, joint project scoping, diagnosis & solutions and action planning. This report captures the last two years’ engagement of Lao stakeholders. The STEPI methodology of holistic diagnosis, future-oriented solutions and action planning, and intuitive panel brainstorming originated from Korean STI development experiences. The STEPI approach using the Korean STI ODA model will help partner LDCs and developing countries by providing a clear rationale for solutions, and later guiding action plans. |Table of Contents| Summary ··································································································· i Chapter 1. Introduction ············································································ 1 1. Purpose and Background ········································································· 1 2. Research Partnership and Milestones ··················································· 2 Chapter 2. Research Framework & Methodology ···································· 5 1. Poverty, STI, and Lao PDR ···································································· 5 2. International Frameworks: Post-2015 & ASEAN ································ 8 A. Post-2015 Framework ·········································································· 8 B. ASEAN context: ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) ··················· 11 3. 3C/3A Approach ······················································································ 12 4. Action Planning ······················································································ 16 5. Panel Discussion Research Methodology ············································· 23 Chapter 3. Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs ················· 24 1. Geography, History and Political Regimes ········································· 24 2. MDGs: Population and Education ························································ 26 3. Economy Driven by Natural Resources and FDI ······························· 27 4. Summary and Implications ··································································· 32 Chapter 4. Review of Existing Policies ·················································· 35 1. 7th Five-year Socioeconomic Development Plan 2011 ······················ 34 2. Investment Promotion Law 2010 ·························································· 39 3. Agricultural Development Strategy 2020 & Agricultural Master Plan 2010 ··················································································· 40 4. Education Sector Development Plan 2011-2015 ································· 42 5. Science & Technology Policy ································································ 46 6. Summary and Implications ···································································· 51 Chapter 5. Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey ··········································································· 55 1. Introduction ····························································································· 55 2. Field Survey of S&T-related Organizations in Lao PDR ················· 56 A. Government ························································································· 57 B. University ···························································································· 66 C. Research Organizations ····································································· 68 D. Non-government Organizations ························································ 71 E. Industry ······························································································· 72 3. Pilot Survey of S&T-related Stakeholders ········································· 76 4. Summary and Implications ··································································· 79 Chapter 6. Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions ···························································································· 82 1. Diagnosis ································································································· 82 2. Suggested Solutions ··············································································· 86 3. Possible Business Models Suggested ··················································· 88 A. Tech Spillover from FDI (NT2) ························································ 88 B. Tech Localization for Import Substitution (Dao-Heuang Group) ············································································································· 89 C. Tech Localization for Export Promotion (Pharmaceutical Factory No. 2) ······················································· 89 D. Tech Customization for Domestic Market (ETL) ··························· 90 Chapter 7. Action Plan ··········································································· 92 1. Priority Setting ······················································································· 96 2. Program Design ······················································································ 99 A. Strategic STI Infrastructure ··························································· 100 B. Strategic Human Resource Development ······································· 103 3. Governance ···························································································· 105 4. Financing ······························································································· 107 5. Milestones ······························································································ 108 Chapter 8. Conclusion and Lessons ······················································ 110 1. Conclusion ······························································································ 110 2. Lessons Learned ···················································································· 115 References ······························································································ 117 Appendix Appendix 1. Agenda for a field visit to NIS Stakeholders, Lao PDR ······························································································· 120 Appendix 2. National Innovation System of Lao PDR Diagnosis & STI Strategy Development 2013 ········································ 125 Appendix 3. Consultative Workshop on Open Innovation Platform 2013 ······································································ 128 Appendix 4. Pilot Survey for Priority-setting Process ······················· 131 Appendix 5. Brainstorming Workshop on STI Strategic Action Planning 2014 ·························································· 141 Appendix 6. Millennium Development Goals ········································· 144 Summary ································································································ 149 |List of Tables| Table 2-1: Types of Roadmaps ··································································· 17 Table 3-1: Human Resource Development Indicators, 2011 ··················· 27 Table 3-2: Export Structure in Percentages ··········································· 31 Table 4-1: GDP per Capita (plan vs. actual) ·········································· 36 Table 4-2: Comparison of Actual and Targeted GDP Growth Rate in the Sixth Plan (2006-2010) ··························································· 37 Table 4-3: Share of Labor by Sector ······················································· 43 Table 4-4: Education Expenditure by Level/Area ·································· 45 Table 4-5: Action Programs for 2011-2015 ············································· 48 Table 4-6: STI-related Policies ································································· 53 Table 5-1: Stakeholders Visited ································································ 56 Table 5-2: Budget Allocation for STI ······················································· 63 Table 5-3: Stakeholders Surveyed ···························································· 75 Table 7-1: Target Products and Sectors ·················································· 95 Table 7-2: Green Vehicle-related Technologies ···································· 102 |List of Figures| Figure 1-1: Project Activities ······································································ 4 Figure 2-1: Population Related Statistics ·················································· 9 Figure 2-2: STI Strategy Development Principles ·································· 13 Figure 2-3: 3C/3A Diagnosis ····································································· 15 Figure 2-4: 3C/3A Solution ········································································ 15 Figure 2-5: Driving Mechanism ································································· 18 Figure 2-6: Governance Mechanism ·························································· 19 Figure 2-7: Possible Flow of the Priority-setting Process ·················· 20 Figure 2-8: Possible Program Design Process ········································· 21 Figure 2-9: Elements of Designing Governance and Funding Mechanisms ············································································· 22 Figure 3-1: Timeline of Lao PDR History ··············································· 25 Figure 3-2 Population of Lao PDR in 1995 ············································· 26 Figure 3-3 Population of Lao PDR in 2013 ············································· 26 Figure 3-4: Change in GDP Composition ················································· 27 Figure 3-5: GDP by Sector, 2011 ······························································ 28 Figure 3-6: Industry & Manufacturing Growth ······································ 29 Figure 3-7: Average Share of Value Added, Industrial Sector 2006-2010 ··············································································· 29 Figure 3-8: Lao PDR’s exports (% of GDP) ············································ 30 Figure 3-9: Foreign Exchange & FDI ······················································· 31 Figure 4-1: Human Resources Strategy in Lao PDR ····························· 42 Figure 4-2: Education Sector Development Plan 2011-2015 Budget by Source ······················································································ 46 Figure 4-3: STI Policy of Lao PDR ·························································· 49 Figure 5-1: S&T Institution History ························································· 57 Figure 5-2: Budget Allocation by Agencies in FY 2013-2014 ·············· 64 Figure 5-3: Analysis of Human Resource Development System ··········· 67 Figure 5-4: Analysis of R&D System ····················································· 69 Figure 5-5: Structure of AHP Survey ······················································ 76 Figure 6-1: Diagnosis of Poverty ······························································ 82 Figure 6-2: Diagnosis of Natural Resource Trap ··································· 83 Figure 6-3: Diagnosis of HRD Policy Gap ··············································· 84 Figure 6-4: Diagnosis of Research Isolation ··········································· 85 Figure 6-5: Overview of Diagnosis ··························································· 86 Figure 6-6: Potential Solutions ································································· 87 Figure 6-7: Tech Spillover from FDI ······················································· 88 Figure 6-8: Tech Localization for Import Substitution ························· 89 Figure 6-9: Tech Localization for Export Promotion ····························· 90 Figure 6-10: Tech Customization for Domestic Market ························· 91 Figure 7-1: Rationale for Alternative Action Planning ························· 93 Figure 7-2: Twin Engines for Green Growth Alternative Industry platform ··················································································· 97 Summary i |Summary| The international development community is currently discussing the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals, (SDGs, successors to the UN Millennium Development Goals) exploring ways to include means to ensure sustainability of programs, specifically by incorporating STI policies into planning and strategies. This policy research examines how Lao PDR can apply STI strategically to their policies to improve their performance, especially given the highly limited availability of resources. Although some have placed it in the lower-middle income bracket, Lao PDR needs further growth measured by several indicators. While this research takes a holistic view, the strategies that will be put forward attempt to ensure that the policies and their impacts have lasting effects. The goal is to have the newly built capacity help create sustainable processes within the “system” of Lao PDR, specifically the innovation system. In particular, it uses Korean experience to guide the STI strategy development. The elevation of Lao PDR to lower-middle income was the result of natural resource-based growth. Its economy is dependent on the mining and hydroelectricity sectors for its foreign income. In order to maintain its growth and make it more sustainable, it must develop its industries and move towards higher-value production by improving its innovation system. At the moment, policies focus on developing management capacity without a comprehensive view of industry or R&D. Each line ministry has been pursuing its goals individually, which has created inconsistencies in overall planning. The main goal of this project is to increase the absorptive capacity of Lao PDR and its stakeholders through diagnoses, prescribed solutions, collective priority setting, and an action plan. In order to overcome the limitations that exist in the system, collective priorities will enable coordination and greater scale with limited resources. It is necessary to create relevant programs that are tailored to the business models identified and are within the potential capabilities of stakeholders. Industry limitations are generally recognized, but specific alignment between policies and capabilities must be improved to ensure that necessary capacities are acquired or developed. In addition to its domestic resources and capabilities, the strategic plans and programs should integrate Lao PDR into global and regional networks, including R&D and production supply chains. Lao PDR is already working with several bilateral ii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR and multilateral agencies to develop various sectors. The prescribed holistic solution coordinates these efforts across inter-ministerial activities. The project itself includes interactions with stakeholders from the Republic of Korea and Chinese Taipei under the UN framework. The action plan was developed to be compatible with the SDG framework. This report describes the research that was conducted to diagnose the bottlenecks and constraints that exist in the innovation system of Lao PDR and suggests solutions to overcome those limitations. The methodology described below is based on lessons learned from the Korean development experience. The experience has been distilled into principles that are applied to the solutions and crafted into an action plan based on an industrial platform. Methodology This study uses the 3C/3A Approach, a methodology developed by STEPI to diagnose and prescribe roadmaps to address bottlenecks found in an innovation system and to allow low-income countries to develop their economies. The 3C diagnosis in the name refers to Componentization, Contextualization, and Conceptualization. Componentization involves identifying the different bottlenecks and constraints in the system. Contextualization creates an understanding of each component within the framework conditions of the country. In the third stage, Conceptualization forms a plausible explanation of root causes, on which stakeholders reach consensus in a coordinated fashion. The solution makes up the second half of the name. The 3A prescribed solution is an Articulation of Action-oriented Actor-based strategy. The objective is to create a strategic roadmap using holistic diagnosis, future- oriented solutions and intuitive analysis. The approach uses these principles, drawn from the Korean development experience. The principles are used to understand why and how policy can be applied to development goals using STI. Generally, the goal of the Approach is to ensure relevance, coherence and consistency of policies to ensure that it is most efficient and effective at dealing with innovation within the economy. Yet, given the lack of accessible indicators, it was necessary to use more intuitive techniques to gather and interpret information and to build consensus, in particular through the use of panel discussions and brainstorming. The methodology is described in this chapter to be applied in the case of Lao PDR in the following chapters. Summary iii Diagnosis While the innovation system in Lao PDR has certain resources and capabilities, it should fully apply these to build its capacities. Its natural resources are most valued in the system and include hydropower, minerals and metals, and agriculture, and forestry products. These resources drive economic growth and provide the large majority of economic output. However, this development process is supported by official development assistance (ODA) and foreign direct investment (FDI) policies rather than domestic factors. This limitation has led to shortcomings in research and development (R&D), human resource development (HRD), and governance policies. While the statistical research conducted showed that Lao PDR has a small market with limited human resources, the field survey confirmed and expanded the information that the study could use for the diagnosis of the innovation system. Additionally, the pilot survey suggested that stakeholders prefer domestic sources of support over ODA. The holistic diagnosis for Lao PDR is based on a review of literature and available data, field visits, pilot survey, and panel discussions with STI-related stakeholders. There are four bottlenecks that block economic development, illustrated in the figure below: poverty and natural resource traps, education policy and labor market gaps, and the structural bottleneck of industry-science relations (ISR), or their isolation. The small population and its lower middle-income status tend to keep the country in poverty due to a lack of economies of scale. The country’s recent discovery and extraction of natural resources has been able to propel growth but will need industrialization and technological advancement to continue and to increase its rate of growth. The experience of other countries suggests that industrialization is not automatic. There is a gap between education output and policies that may contribute to industrialization. Education programs have not been transformed along with the economy. As the population grows, the demand for education increases along with it. The economy has demands for education, particularly with respect to skills required to increase productive output. Policies are not tied to industrial growth, which may be influenced by the international community. Moreover, demand for industry-related policies is unlikely given that research is isolated from industry and that human resource development is not well aligned with commercial needs. Research isolation is inevitable given the poor state of the existing STI infrastructure. A low-income country is bound to have poor R&D research, and the lack of policy relevance will prolong the situation. Here, foreign funding has influenced the areas of research development making them less sustainable. iv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR The holistic diagnosis also enables the policies to be coherent with each other across the economy. The review of policies indicated that, although they are appropriate from a ministerial perspective, they do not fully meet the needs to create sustainable economic growth. The economy still has an immature market with weak industrial players that find it difficult to build capacity and competitiveness because some necessary policies are missing, and others may inadvertently hinder growth (e.g. causing “Dutch disease”). The policy effects are overly focused on generating income through increased inputs and should attempt to diversify industrial sources of revenue. There has been limited growth in industry and manufacturing growth. Other sectors of the economy must be strengthened in order to ensure long-term economic sustainability. Moreover, the policies suffer from a lack of overall coherence and relevance. The ministries each pursue separate goals. Their policies do not necessarily relate to one another, or lack coherency. From this holistic perspective, the plans also lack relevance to industrialization. For example, education sector goals have been successful in meeting the output goals that have been set, with influence from the international community. These general education attainments, however, do not meet the needs of industry, especially in mining and energy, where the economy is growing. Current planning relies on the National University of Laos without providing sufficient resources. Summary v Recommended Solutions A holistic view of the bottlenecks attempts suggest future policy that remedies the bottlenecks in conjunction, so that development can progress as smoothly as possible. The present focus on human resource development must respond to industrial needs as well as general education to be successful. Responsibilities and resources must be allocated efficiently so that stakeholders are efficiently tasked with necessary functions within the system. The future-oriented solutions attempt to build capacities that are required for long-term sustainability. To efficiently allocate resources for industrialization, industrial targets are suggested so that different components of the innovation system can be coordinated. Target industries are suggested to enable multiple sectors to achieve economies of scale and scope. In the figure below, the industrial platform is supported by programs that develop the STI infrastructure including strategic mission research and human resource development. STI infrastructure is necessary to provide a supply of technology and R&D to generate future technology. Since there is highly limited STI infrastructure, strategic mission research is suggested to overcome the initial absence of R&D. Mission research that supports development of technologies for the industrial platform will help firms that lack innovation capacity to move to higher value-added products. With higher value-added products, the firms should develop greater capacity to sustain innovative activities. vi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR In order to enable coordination of these various stakeholders and activities, a governance mechanism is proposed. Through the implementation of various policies on top of the industrial platform, the government can help industry overcome the lack of coordination that has not been provided through financial markets. Furthermore, the existing capacities in industry should be incorporated into the industry platform. During the field visit, four business models that demonstrate potential industrial capacities for industrialization were identified: technology spillover from FDI, tech localization for import substitution, tech localization for export promotion and tech customization for the domestic market. Action Plan The proposed solutions are translated into an action plan that serves multiple purposes. The first is to codify the actions that can be easily transmitted to stakeholders. An action plan facilitates the process of ensuring that stakeholders are capable of executing the planned projects and supports leadership to provide sufficient resources to enable implementation. Another purpose of creating the action plan is to translate concepts into milestones that clearly articulate what needs to be done in a given timeframe. In this way, it becomes a coordination mechanism that also helps stakeholders reach consensus on a direction in which to move forward. In crafting the action plan, an industry platform is proposed to connect stakeholders and to unify them in a common purpose of developing the necessary components of the innovation system. The existing policy framework will not effectively handle the bottlenecks to industrialization (see figure below). Policies are divided between ministries with differing goals, which means that the resources are further diluted. Since Lao PDR already lacks scale, these bottlenecks are further exacerbated. The differences in sector targets demonstrate the lack of policy coherence and relevance. Summary vii As an alternative, green energy and green vehicles are proposed as an industry platform to create greater economies of scale and scope. The new industry platform necessitates new priorities that provide common goals for stakeholders. Green energy can be driven by a dual engine of bio-energy and hydropower, which are possible given the available natural resources. Green energy and green vehicles require greater amounts of R&D to enable industrialization. These industries provide a platform that will support other sectors, such as green agriculture and green tourism. Appropriate policies will help the industries develop SMEs through production supply chain and service provider development. To enable industrialization, specific programs are designed to provide missing components in the innovation system. Strategic STI infrastructure and HRD are proposed as the main programs. STI infrastructure is meant to provide the necessary resources to enable R&D. This includes mission research that fills in capability gaps in the system, especially the lack of industrial R&D. Industrial policies should encourage the growth of manufacturing to support green vehicles and green energy. Strategic HRD is also necessary to provide the needed manpower for the new industries. Additional policies should support development of academic R&D and physical infrastructure with inter-ministerial coordination, which requires a coordinating governance mechanism. The action plan should include details on financing and milestones in order to be complete. These elements will enable the various stakeholders to work in coordination with one another and also to intuitively make decisions towards the goals agreed upon. viii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR The first implementation milestone is to form a taskforce team to verify and validate the proposed industrial platform. Afterwards, a global power utility solution provider can be found to support development of capacity. Since this stakeholder is missing from Lao PDR, a foreign multinational corporation (MNC) should be engaged to build R&D, HRD, and SME capacities. MNCs can provide expertise, technology, and global reach that will increase the speed that these sectors will develop. Policymakers should work as an intermediary to create favorable environments that attract MNCs to work in the economy and with local producers. At the same time, the government should help local producers balance the power structures that exist between stakeholders of unequal capabilities. Conclusion Lao PDR faces several bottlenecks including poverty and natural resource traps, misalignment of industry and research, and policy gaps. System resources include income from minerals and energy. The 3C/3A Diagnosis and Prescription suggests that strategic planning in R&D and HRD should be coordinated on relevant and consistent goals targeting a dual energy-driven green industry platform. A steering governance mechanism must be created to coordinate these elements. The current capacities of the stakeholders reside predominantly with the government and international organizations, but there are some companies that also demonstrate initial capacities in some sectors. To be competitive, stakeholders must be able to add value through their industrial activities. Institutional policies and programs can be created to develop R&D and HRD that support industrial sectors. The programs will include transfer of knowledge and technology to support the development and capacity building of stakeholders. This research provides mechanisms through an industry platform that enables the Government of Lao PDR to direct and coordinate programs and activities. A holistic diagnosis puts multiple bottlenecks into perspective, so that a future-oriented solution can be incorporated into the industry platform. These are devised into the action plan provided. Summary ix Lessons Learned ● Alternatives to conventional benchmarking, such as brainstorming panel discussions, are necessary to overcome shortcomings in the innovation system. Additionally, customized planning is necessary to create an action plan that is future-oriented, holistic, and consistent. ● Socioeconomic conditions may lead to poverty traps. Lao PDR stakeholders demonstrate that many development strategies have been absorbed, but implementation has led to piecemeal policies that lack the holistic strategy required to overcome these traps. The strategies lack sufficient market-orientation, which leaves industry non-competitive in the global market. A holistic approach may be necessary to more adequately address environmental protection, education, and labor issues. ● Industrialization strategies are necessary and include the need to build STI infrastructure including R&D and HRD. ● Each sector in the economy must have objectives that are distinct and complementary to its counterparts. Previous policies did not adequately consider stakeholder capacities. Directives were given to ministries without ensuring they had the resources to complete policy aims. Chapter 1 Introduction 1 |Chapter 1│Introduction 1. Purpose and Background The international development community has discussed and debated how global poverty should be addressed for decades. STI policies have become more popular as of late, especially as the impacts of R&D have correlated with economies’ abilities to grow, bringing people out of poverty. In particular, the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) are reaching their 15-year milestone and are revisited in the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The Post-2015 SDGs are currently being discussed to include means to ensure the sustainability of programs, specifically by incorporating STI policies into planning and strategies. This policy research examines how Lao PDR can apply STI strategically to their Developed Country status in development circles as measured by several indicators. From a financial perspective—that is, from the vantage point of institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund—some suggest that the country has already graduated. From a perspective that takes a broader humanitarian view, Lao PDR may still need further growth. While this research takes a holistic view, the strategies that will be put forward attempt to ensure that the policies and their impacts have lasting effects, meaning that the capacity built helps to create sustainable processes within the “system” of Lao PDR, specifically the innovation system. The research uses a unique methodology called the 3C/3A Approach to understand the limitations and bottlenecks that may prevent Lao PDR from achieving its economic development goals, particularly in the industrial processes that generate the economic capacity that supports other elements within the system. The 3C/3A Approach draws from Korean experiences in applying STI policies to transform itself from one of the poorest countries in the world to an advanced economy. Furthermore, the understanding takes place in a contextualized position within the framework conditions that Lao PDR faces. The suggestions include how obstacles can be overcome through policy from a developing country perspective. By examining the process through which Korea was able to develop its economy, principles can be drawn to develop appropriate policies to developing country contexts today. Lao PDR is one of the countries to which this project applies these principles. ii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 2. Research Partnership and Milestones Research Partnership The project was initiated in partnership with the Science and Technology Policy Institute (STEPI) and the Asian-Pacific Centre for Transfer of Technology (APCTT). The aim of the project was to assist LDCs to build endogenous STI capacities through strategic STI policy. The Department of Technology and Innovation (DTI) at the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) has been the Lao PDR in-country partner at the second and third stages of the project. The Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MEST, later the Ministry of Science, ICT, and Future Planning or MSIP) partially funded the field surveys and workshops. STEPI provides its experience in applying STI planning and policymaking to development to build similar capacity in developing countries. STEPI previously worked in a similar capacity with several other developing countries such as Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Tunisia, and Vietnam. By examining the policies, and more importantly, the policy planning and strategies implemented in Korea during its economic expansion, STEPI builds capacities in developing countries by providing lessons learned from that period. APCTT is an agency under the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). APCTT offers a network within the S&T community among the Asia-Pacific. Its network provides an infrastructure that is in place to reach out to developing countries. Some of the STI needs of developing countries have been identified through existing programs at APCTT and its partners. Originally, the project planned to begin working with Lao PDR during the first phase of the project. The National Agency for Science and Technology (NAST) was the lead partner in Lao PDR but given changes in the political structure in the government, the project began with another country. In that interim, NAST evolved into the MOST, which represented greater institutionalization within the government with its own Minister in the Cabinet. With the Ministry in place, DTI provided the in-country expertise and partnership contact to continue with the project as planned. Partial funding for the project comes from the UNDP and is administered by the Office of South-South Cooperation (OSSC). The project monitoring and evaluation reporting includes the evaluation requirements of the UNDP and OSSC, which include proscribed development indicators. Chapter 1 Introduction 3 Research Milestones Although there was a preliminary trip in 2011,1) the first phase of the project in Lao PDR began in earnest with a field trip to Vientiane in March 2013. During the 2013 visit, a team from STEPI and APCTT went to several sites to meet with various stakeholders in industry, government and academia (see Appendix 1). Based on literature and a statistical review coupled with the information gathered during the field visits, a diagnosis of the Lao innovation system was made. The diagnosis considered the socioeconomic needs of Lao PDR, and the solutions focused on supporting industrial development through missing institutions, including a governance mechanism that enabled coordination with other sectors of the economy. The project activities are summarized for 2013-2014 (see Figure 1-1). Following the field visit, a pilot questionnaire survey was administered from May to July 2013 to stakeholders across the economy (see Appendix 4). Government composed about 31%, research institutes about 11% and university, industry and NGOs each about 15% of the fifty-five respondents. The survey design reflected the relative importance of project goals such as industrial promotion, technology development and acquisition, policy, implementation, and the role of government. The responses, however, were insufficiently discriminated, providing unreliable data for AHP analysis. In fact, most responses across all categories suggested that all aspects needed to be improved. The only consistent response was that human resource development (HRD) through universities was most emphasized, which is also consistent with the core development strategy of the government. 1) The results of the preliminary field survey were published in Lee, et al., (2011). iv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Figure 1-1: Project Activities In October 2013, a national workshop was held in Vientiane, Lao PDR, to disseminate the results of the diagnosis of the field study and survey (see Appendix 2). At the workshop, STEPI and APCTT, along with Lao MOST, presented various aspects of the Lao innovation system to stakeholders. Local stakeholders in Lao PDR hosted the National Workshop on National Innovation System of Lao PDR Diagnosis and STI Strategy Development. There were 78 participants who attended the two-day workshop. The participants represented government, industry, universities, and research sectors. A second field survey was taken during the same visit in October 2013. Additional stakeholders were visited to supplement the previous research. In November 2013, the results of the Lao innovation diagnosis and strategy development were also presented at the APCTT Technical Committee Meeting in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia (see Appendix 3). The participation in this meeting was meant to disseminate information and strengthen regional networks. A brainstorming panel workshop was held in May 2014 in order to develop an action plan that included priority setting, program and governance design, and milestone setting (see Appendix 5). To realign priorities, the current process was considered in the global and domestic contexts. Stakeholders’ capacities and interests were evaluated under current programs and other environmental conditions to devise programs and governance. Preliminary milestones were also suggested based on resources available domestically and internationally. Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 5 |Chapter 2│Research Framework & Methodology This study uses the 3C/3A Approach, a methodology developed by STEPI to diagnose and prescribe roadmaps to address bottlenecks found in an innovation system and allow poor countries to develop their economies. The objective is to create a strategic roadmap using holistic diagnosis, future-oriented solutions and intuitive analysis (Lee et al, 2013). The approach uses principles drawn from the Korean development experience. The principles are used to understand why and how policy can be applied to development goals using STI. Generally, the goal of the Approach is to ensure relevance, coherence and consistency of policies to ensure that they are most efficient and effective at dealing with innovation within the economy. The methodology is described in this chapter to be applied in the case of Lao PDR in the following chapters. 1. Poverty, STI, and Lao PDR Before detailing the research framework and methodology, we examine the fundamental rationale for examining economic development drivers in the low-income development context: the eradication of poverty. Although Lao PDR has technically graduated from low-income status by some definitions,2) it still faces many issues of poverty, even when considering the prevailing measures used, the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).3) The MDGs provided the development community two important tools to address poverty: a refocusing on a specific definition of poverty and an introduction of metrics that can be used to understand whether goals were being met. The MDGs shifted the dialogue towards understanding what elements of extreme poverty meant and what should be targeted. MDG1, MDG4, MDG5 and MDG6 are measures of health outcomes that significantly impact overall development. MDG2 and MDG3 are social 2) Using the Atlas method to calculate GNI per capita, the World Bank raised the categorization of Lao PDR from low income to lower-middle income (World Bank, 2011). 3) See Appendix 6: Millennium Development Goals vi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR indicators that have been tied to humanitarian development and economic growth. MDG7 is a measure of environmental concerns for development. The last target, MDG8, focuses on the framework that exists and relates the different parts and stakeholders. The indicators provide practical measures by which to evaluate progress that is made by development programs. Poverty and health have significant impacts on development as measured through the MDG indicators. Poverty limits any country’s ability to address the healthcare issues that its populace faces because health professionals, programs and the necessary infrastructure have financial costs. Limitations in healthcare outcomes also affect the ability of a country to meet the financial obligations of running its healthcare system and other parts of the economy in several ways (Conroy, Blackie, Whiteside, Malewezi, & Sachs, 2006). Labor will be unproductive or less productive if people are not healthy. Children that experience stunted growth will have lower lifetime productivity. Parents that must spend time caring for their sick children are unable to work. Orphans will also increase demands on the system and be less productive in the future if their needs are unmet. While the effects of poverty are understood to have significant and compounding impacts on societies that face high levels of poverty, there is great debate as to exactly what remedies should be implemented. Several critics suggest that the development community and its programs have done more harm than good, but others believe that poverty traps can be overcome through institutional corrections. Sachs (2007) suggested that poverty is a self-perpetuating phenomenon that needs to be addressed at the root causes that require certain types of capital to enable economic growth.4) The international community can provide a minimum amount of aid to enable the extreme poor to reach the minimum amount of capital necessary to begin their ascent from poverty. As the head of the Millennium Project, Sachs’s views guided the crafting of the MDGs. In the Bottom Billion, Collier (2007) suggests poverty traps that keep many of the extreme poor at the bottom of the development pyramid.5) Two of these traps can 4) Without the necessary capital to move up the economic ladder, following generations have even less capital needed to escape poverty. 5) Using empirical studies, Collier identifies four poverty traps: Conflict, Natural Resource, Landlocked with Bad Neighbors, and Bad Governance in a Small Country. The traps that are identified suggest concentrations of power and levels of corruption that do not exist in Lao PDR. Nonetheless, some of the conditions that exist that enable and have led to abuses of power in other countries can be found. Although the solutions offered by this research differs in the instruments proposed by Collier (i.e. aid, military intervention, laws and charters, and trade policy). Both approaches seek institutional remedies but focus on different Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 7 be seen in the Lao economy to lesser degrees. The natural resource trap suggests that when a country is endowed with natural resources, those resources can create systems that lead to rent-seeking. Lao PDR also suffers from its landlocked position and its small economy. These two characteristics make it difficult for the economy to gain a foothold on the development process. Landlocked countries require greater infrastructure to reach outside markets, which increases costs. At the same time, Lao PDR is partially constrained by the markets that are available in neighboring countries. In other words, it is not only limited because it is landlocked, but also because its lack of access to markets constrain economic development. The impact of the MDGs can be summarized as having been only partially successful.6) The current discussion about the form of the Post-2015 MDG Framework seems to have reached a general consensus on this opinion. The patterns shown through the MDG indicators demonstrate that that the MDGs in and of themselves have not had an enormous impact on development processes. One of the main shortcomings that has been pointed out is the lack of STI elements that underpin economic development.7) While Lao PDR has indeed managed to increase its GDP per capita, this growth has been resource-driven. The inherent problem with this is that it is unsustainable because these resources not only have natural limits of scarcity but also because the rate of economic growth based on natural resources will not achieve the increases needed to become a developed country.8) Cozzens and Kaplinsky (2009) consider inequality and innovation as a framework to address development and innovation. They suggest investing in capacity building that increases absorptive capacity, which begins with education but ultimately builds through rent-rich sectors of the global value chain. These suggestions are meant to stimulate STI-driven growth. areas of the economic system. 6) See Appendix 6 for a list of the UN MDGs. 7) One of the main focuses of the Post-2015 Agenda is to better incorporate STI in implementation of goals and programs. The details of this, however, are still being determined. The results of consultations will be available at the end of 2014. 8) While these issues are captured the idea of a “middle-income trap,” Dani Rodrik (2011) explores some of the divergence that has occurred in his book The Globalization Paradox. viii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 2. International Frameworks: Post-2015 & ASEAN th The 7th National Socioeconomic Development Policy (7 NSEDP) explicitly states the achievements of the MDGs among the four overarching goals that must be met to graduate from the status of LDC and achieve sustainable socioeconomic development. Since the international community is moving towards the Post-2015 Framework, reviewing the international context is necessary in order to position Lao PDR in a broader context. Two international contexts will be reviewed: the Post-2015 Framework and the ASEAN 2015 Vision. Prior to reviewing the Post-2015 Framework, it is necessary to review the contribution of the MDGs. Despite the fact that the MDGs were subject to myriad criticisms, it is widely acknowledged that the MDGs galvanized international efforts to fight against poverty and inequality. A. Post-2015 Framework The perceived strengths of the MDGs are that they are simple, easily communicated goals that served as tools for advocacy by recognizing the special needs of developing countries. The time-bound quantitative targets, coupled with 21 targets and a series of measurable indicators for each target, have contributed to improving the coordination of the statistical system at differing levels (national/regional/ international). The MDGs also provided a common framework that improved coordination among actors by prioritizing the eradication of poverty as the ultimate goal of the international community. However, the MDGs were criticized in perpetuating the donor-centric agenda, overemphasizing the financial resource gaps to the detriment of institutional capacity building, set for rather rigid national policy agendas that did not sufficiently allow policy room tailored to country specific context, and an on-track/off-track measure9) of the progress that failed to take account of the different initial levels of development. The impact of the MDGs is so far unclear. Critics claim that the goal of halving the rate of extreme poverty was the result of rapid economic growth, especially in China, rather than the MDGs. A cursory look at the infant mortality rate suggests that the fall in mortality was already occurring (see Figure 2-1). There is no significant change in the mortality rate after the implementation of the MDGs in 2005. 9) As part of evaluations of MDGs, countries were given “report cards” where each goal was evaluated as being on- or off-track to meet the goal by 2015. Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 9 Figure 2-1: Population Related Statistics Source: World Bank, 2013 Although the discussions for a Post-2015 framework are still ongoing, the vision for Post-2015 lies in the renewed commitment for multilateral initiative through global partnerships for development. The proposed integrative framework for such multilateral initiatives rests upon the core fundamental values of the UN and the four dimensions of a holistic approach. Conforming to the easily communicated goals and framework of the MDGs, the new framework seeks a structural transformation for both developing and developed countries. Whereas the MDGs had focused on easy-to-fix issues that generate immediate changes, the Post-2015 vision intends to be more inclusive and holistic in addressing the issues of poverty and inequality. In order to compensate for the deficiencies of the MDGs notably in its silence on “how” to achieve the MDGs, the proposed framework has incorporated a set of enablers that are more specific and thus can act as guidelines for enhanced policy coherence and achieve the unfinished MDGs (UN, 2012b; UN, 2012c). The goals of the Post-2015 Framework aim at creating an enabling international environment to ensure that globalization becomes a positive force for all and a two-way structure that embodies both the global framework and the country-specific local conditions. The dimensions for a renewed multilateral initiative are the following: to enhance collective action with more emphasis on the ownership of developing countries and clear distribution of tasks, to engage with newly emerged actors, to seek innovative sources of finance other than ODA, to increase accountability of stakeholders, and to devise measurable indicators for improved monitoring and x STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR assessment of the multilateral initiative. The relevancy of STI and Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) is more pronounced in the Post-2015 Framework. Although access to STI is a cross-cutting issue that underpins all development dimensions, STI was not explicitly included as a goal in the MDGs. The Post-2015 Framework sheds more light in the contribution of creativity and innovation as the driving mechanisms in overcoming the more complex and interconnected challenges of the future. The Rio+20 Conference and 2013 ECOSOC Ministerial Review also recognized the significance of STI as a vehicle for addressing socioeconomic challenges and as a prerequisite for overcoming the poverty trap (UN, 2013a; UN, 2013c). Strengthening STI capacity building will generate a virtuous cycle of prosperity; improved STI capacity will create more jobs and employment in quality as well as quantity, increase productive capacity, and eventually contribute to economic growth. With respect to food security, STI can increase agricultural productivity in a sustainable manner without increasing land use. Food security is a critical issue for developing countries such as Lao PDR, whose economy still relies on the agricultural sector and the child stunting rate is above forty percent for children under five resulting from undernourishment (UN, 2013d). STI can also help in transitioning from a fossil fuel-based economy to an environmentally friendly one, and also cope with the issue of climate change, natural disaster risk management and preservation of biodiversity. Lao PDR can clearly benefit from the Post-2015 agenda but Lao needs to align its policies with the rapidly changing environment. A review of the international context poses the following implications for Lao PDR. First, Lao needs to reorient priority setting and milestoning to build STI capacity. The assessment of STI-related policies has shown that overall, the level of implementation of the policies was low, and that low technology absorptive capacity can be cited as one of the reasons behind such poor implementation. Strengthening the capacity building of STI requires the following elements: adoption of an integrated national STI strategy, mobilization of efforts to mainstream STI into policies in order to realize sustainable growth and ultimately seek structural transformation with an emphasis on industrialization and economic diversification. Second, Lao PDR needs to develop a concrete mechanism to translate policy into implementation. As the Post-2015 Framework calls for collective action, the successful implementation of policies will depend on the proactive ownership from the Lao Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 11 PDR government in formulating the necessary strategic initiative, and alignment of ODA policy that promotes capacity building in STI. B. ASEAN context: ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) At the summit held in Vientiane in 1997, the ASEAN leaders adopted the ASEAN Vision 2020 based on a shared vision, and resolved to establish an ASEAN Community by 2020. The ASEAN Community is comprised of three pillars that work in tandem: ASEAN Political-Security Community (APSC), ASEAN Economic Community (AEC), and ASEAN Socio-Cultural Community (ASCC). The Vientiane Action Program has sought to realize the ASEAN Community by laying down the goals and strategies to make one community. In 2007, the blueprint for AEC was adopted to accelerate the establishment of ASEAN Community by 2015 by providing the specific measures and schedule for the implementation process (ASEAN Secretariat, 2009). Among the three pillars, the AEC envisages the following dimensions: single-market and production base, competitive production base, equitable economic development and integration into the global economy. The potential of AEC as a single market amounts nearly to USD 3 trillion in GDP10) with 600 million consumers to be integrated into the global economy. The prominent feature of the AEC is the promotion of the free flow of not only goods, services, and investment but also capital and skilled labor. The benefits of AEC are thus numerous. AEC increases the size of the market. Lao PDR, being at the center of economic and transport corridors, can trade within ASEAN but also other countries (Australia, New Zealand, China, Japan, Korea, and India) and thus gain from economies of scale. The reduction of tariffs for import duty is also significant. For example, the reduction of tariffs lines under ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) and Common Effective Preferential Tariff (CEPT) are on average near zero for the Original ASEAN Member States (AMS) and 2.6 % for the newer AMS (ADBI, 2013). The establishment of AEC also intends to enhance the manufacturing sector and facilitate technology transfer by making ASEAN a hub for FTA networks in the region. Also, enhancing internal connectivity by strengthening transport networks reduce transaction costs for importing and exporting products. AEC can also bring about challenges that Lao PDR will need to overcome. As 10) Thinking Globally, Prospering Regionally-ASEAN Economic Community 2015, 2014 xii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR ASEAN becomes one community Lao PDR will enjoy a greater pool of talents from the inflow of high-skilled workers. However, the inflow of talent mobility can be ambivalent since foreign workers can present as a threat for the local workers that lack competitive capacities. The entry of foreign companies can also strain local business performance and exacerbate inequality by creating social tensions. Overall, the sudden inflow of goods, services, investment, and capital can overwhelm the government’s ability to manage market institutions and policies by undermining the creation of jobs and backfire against its economy. With little time remaining to the integration of Lao economy into ASEAN, Lao PDR is at a crossroads. ASEAN can be double-edged and Lao needs a robust basis that should be based upon a thorough review of its capabilities to maneuver through both international and regional contexts for the benefit of its economy. 3. 3C/3A Approach Countries around the world face increasing uncertainty and heightened complexity as technology advances. Additionally, they have different endowments of natural resources and political infrastructures from diverse histories. The Korean experience provides one perspective for overcoming these challenges that provide a set of principles from which other developing countries can draw lessons to develop their own policies today. Benchmarking practices have been prevalent but incapable of improving economies. Lao PDR had its innovation system diagnosed and solutions have been provided to provide STI strategy. Figure 2-2 represents how the STI strategy development principles were developed from the Korean experience. Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 13 Figure 2-2: STI Strategy Development Principles The Korean development experience includes principles that can be used to create a driving mechanism that enable the building of capacity in science and industry, which were too weak to provide sufficient innovation. The principles that can be drawn from this experience include a holistic approach for prioritization, intuitive decision making and future-oriented goals reached through a common pathway (Figure 2-2). A holistic approach to prioritization of focus areas was used to consider the larger picture of what was necessary for innovation in South Korea. This top-down approach enabled more efficient use and allocation of scarce resources in targeted areas that leveraged growth. These holistic targets enabled stakeholders to intuitively make decisions, which reduced demand on the governing capabilities while still enabling assured execution and consensus building. The future-oriented goals calculated risk of key industries that were necessary for a sustainable future. It also provided a pathway to reach the goals which minimized uncertainties. Korea was able to develop structural capacities in its research and industrial sectors by providing policies that guided different stakeholders to common goals that lead to economic advancement for the country. The first element was to provide a future-oriented vision and goals that enabled long-term coordination of a growing number of stakeholders. At first, a small group of stakeholders provided individual cases of innovation that could be spread nationwide. Additionally, the future-oriented vision and goals enabled the stakeholders to adapt collectively as demands changed and cumulative capacities grew. xiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR In order to develop the economy, the Korean government specifically targeted six industries that were expected to grow in global demand in spite of the lack of R&D and HR for them. It implemented several programs, which can be considered part of an overall driving mechanism, to compensate. The government was the only stakeholder that had the capacity to drive innovation by using Korea Institute of Science and Technology (KIST) and other government research institutes (GRIs) as technology windows for target industries in the 1970s. Since universities and firms lacked R&D capacity, the Korean government created GRIs specifically to assist industry to absorb the technological knowhow necessary for the machinery needed to move up the value chain for target industries. Consortia were used to distribute risk in the 1980s. The government funded research through GRIs and universities that worked to meet industry needs, including suppliers and assemblers. In the following decade, this evolved into a system where industrial R&D was capable of working without government support; in fact, many of the larger companies eschewed support in order to manage intellectual property more closely. Government support then shifted towards fundamental research. The driving mechanism provided the ability to adjust policies as the needs of the innovation system changed. Yet, developing countries cannot directly adopt the same policies that Korea used because they face different contexts today from when Korea was at similar stages of development. Historical, cultural, and geographical differences in framework conditions provide different resources and constraints that enable and/or limit economies. Similarly, the external global STI contexts have changed. For example, trade and intellectual property are more strictly regulated than in the past. The differences in framework conditions require a separate diagnosis for each country before attempting to identify development solutions. 3C Diagnosis provides a three-stage process of Componentization, Contextualization, and Conceptualization (see Figure 2-3). Componentization identifies components of system weaknesses and bottlenecks by overviewing symptoms of the entire system. Contextualization considers the various components that limit the proper functioning of the system. The symptoms are considered holistically to enable structured and heuristic understanding of systemic problems. Conceptualization synthesizes the componentized and contextualized problems to provide explanations that are agreed upon through consensus. It also enables stakeholders to formulate common solutions to the systemic problems that exist and find a 3A Prescription (see Figure 2-4). Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 15 Figure 2-3: 3C/3A Diagnosis Source: Lee et al., 2013 The lessons that can be drawn by developing countries are that they must consider their present framework conditions and plan accordingly. This report suggests a 3C Diagnosis of a country’s innovation system and provides a 3A Solution to address bottlenecks and constraints found in the diagnosis. The 3C/3A Approach finds leverage points that can provide greater returns on investments.11) In other words, scarce resources can be applied more effectively in target industries while alleviating bottlenecks and avoiding constraints that exist in the system. Figure 2-4: 3C/3A Solution Source: Lee et al., 2013 11) For further elaboration on the 3C/3A Approach, see Lee et al. (2013). xvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 4. Action Planning STEPI and the Department of Technology and Innovation, Ministry of Science and Technology, Lao PDR, held a workshop to begin preparing the implementable action plans suggested through the 3C/3A prescribed solution (see Appendix 5). Action planning is based on STI strategy that is meant to develop a driving mechanism in specific industrial innovation platforms. One of the primary goals of the action planning process is to shift priority setting from individual line ministries to collective priorities that can be directed towards common goals. The action plan is a form of STI strategy roadmap. The concept of a roadmap is a strategic plan that defines a vision and allocates resources for stakeholders to reach a specific development goal. Roadmaps have evolved from technology roadmaps and innovation roadmaps. In the 1960s and 1970s, firms such as Corning and Motorola developed technology roadmaps to develop new products more rapidly and efficiently. The process was later codified by Garcia and Bray (1997) of the US Sandia National Labs. Many of the elements identified have been common to subsequent approaches to roadmapping including identifying critical resources, leadership, needs and environmental factors; matching these resources and stakeholders; and evaluating the process iteratively to revise the plan. At the firm level, technologies are developed through planning and resource allocation. This necessarily included limited scale as defined by the firm, and secrecy to limit the flow of information and proprietary knowledge. Innovation roadmaps are developed at the sector level and can even be nationally driven. The nature of these interactions involved multiple stakeholders from the sector and those related to it. This meant that the interactions were often open-sourced. Additionally, the outcome of the innovation roadmap was an “innovative” environment and infrastructure that would drive innovation, especially for a common national goal. The STI strategy roadmap is defined at the national level and provides innovation-driven policies and programs. It focuses on the elements of the national innovation system to provide sustainable economic growth. The 3C/3A Approach attempts to provide a diagnosis and solution to reach sustainable development goals to enable Lao PDR to develop its economy through its endogenous capacity with the support of bilateral and international partners. Within the context of this project, policies should be relevant, coherent and consistent for holistic and future-oriented goals. Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 17 Table 2-1: Types of Roadmaps Type Level Outcome Technology Roadmap Firm Sector Innovation Roadmap Industry “Innovation” including environment sector; national- & infrastructure driven STI Strategic National Roadmap Technology (i.e. product) Innovation-driven policy & programs/projects Features Drivers Secrecy Speed Limited scale Leadership Resources Technological capabilities Market strategy Open source innovation Multi-stakeholder National challenge Industry collaboration Sectoral human resource development R&D collaboration National innovation Sustainable economic growth Relevance, Coherence & Consistence Holistic & future-oriented International collaboration HR mobility Governance Financing Global positioning Each type of roadmap also has different drivers that influence the success of the outcomes. For technology roadmaps, leadership, resources, technological capabilities and market strategy are important factors that should be managed through the roadmap. The innovation roadmaps also consider these drivers but must consider them from different perspectives. Industry collaboration is necessary cross-sectorally and in R&D and even HRD. By extension, these are important for the STI strategy roadmap as well. Likewise, additional considerations must be taken. International aspects are important when considering collaboration, human resource mobility, and financing. Moreover, when planning, it is necessary to consider governance mechanisms of stakeholders and financial resource allocation. The aspects of different types of roadmaps are organized in Table 2-1. The different drivers of performance have varying influences on different elements of the action plan. For instance, STI priority setting involves leadership in industry and government, which requires consideration of their management capacities to set targets for industry and technology. Program design involves an understanding of resources and target markets. Resources include raw materials, capital and labor, which require different approaches and stakeholders. Governance and financing elements must also consider the implementation and coordination of these various factors, which come from different sources. xviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Translating the 3C/3A Diagnosis into an action plan involves identifying these different drivers but also coordinating them through a driving mechanism (see Figure 2-5). When the core drivers and implementing stakeholders are identified, the governance mechanism must operate along the networks that exist or are created between the drivers and stakeholders. The prescribed solution is articulated in an action plan that should be defined through consensus so that stakeholders work more towards a common goal that meet collective priorities. Since developing countries like Lao PDR have limited resources, policy packages can be considered to drive stakeholders and resources more efficiently towards the common goal. Figure 2-5: Driving Mechanism The action plan and driving mechanism needs to set priorities among the goals and targets that are identified as leverage points in the economy (see Figure 2-6). While leverage points provide sector targets that will provide greater returns to be used to build further capacity, the limitations in resources requires that priorities are set to utilize those resources more efficiently and effectively. It is necessary to identify the core drivers and implementing stakeholders within the sectors that can be used as leverage points. Then a network or consortium mechanism is necessary to govern interaction between them. Once these are identified, the governing implements can be designed appropriately. Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 19 Figure 2-6: Governance Mechanism Priorities should target industries and technologies that will ensure higher probabilities of sustainable economic growth. Planners must consider whether the targets are sustainable and whether they will catalyze further growth. Policymakers must also consider industries depending on the resources that they have available as inputs. These resources include whether the industry already exists in the economy and whether or not a champion can be identified in it. At the same time, they should consider whether a market exists for an industry and whether or not it is accessible. For social considerations, the industry should also be a good source of jobs. Policies should be able to help increase the value added to the industry through its programs. The priority-setting process does not need to be linear but should take several aspects into consideration. Figure 2-7 below demonstrates a possible flow of the priority-setting process for a given industry sector. Once a given sector and related technologies are prioritized, the planning can move to program design. If the criteria for priority setting are not met, planners should consider choosing an alternative industry to pursue. Before setting new priorities for an action plan, however, the existing priorities and processes must be examined in order to prevent new bottlenecks from being inherent. The objective of the priority-setting process is to ensure that specific requirements defined through national policies are met including future-oriented necessity, feasibility, and poverty alleviation. xx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Figure 2-7: Possible Flow of the Priority-setting Process Program design should make sure that the programs are appropriate to meet the goals and targets prioritized. By identifying the resources, the program design can be used to tap into those resources for maximum effect. Yet, resources that are deemed necessary but missing must also be planned for acquisition or development. These resources are held in the capacities of stakeholders and technology. Stakeholders in industry must be capable of managing supply chains, related services and production. These processes may be supported by R&D stakeholders in public research institutes and universities that provide technology absorption and extension capabilities. Technology that is to be acquired or developed can be found in hardware, software and knowhow. Hardware is technology that is embedded in capital. Software is intellectual property. Knowhow or expertise is technology expertise that is held in labor skills acquired through HRD systems. The following flowchart (Figure 2-8) demonstrates a possible decision-making process when designing programs involving the identification of stakeholders and resources for the selected industry target. The stakeholders should be considered from the existing actors, especially in industry. If there are industrial stakeholders, their capacities should be measured. It may be necessary to identify a champion Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 21 from them. While assistance may be available from international partners, policymakers should consider whether or not the domestic industry is functional because inclusion of other players requires some sacrifice of autonomy. Similar to taking stock of the existing stakeholders, it is necessary to identify whether resources are available. Since Lao PDR is a developing country with natural resources, it should build from what it has. As technology and R&D capacities are evaluated, programs should be designed to fill in the gaps that are necessary to reach the goals that have been set. Likewise, HRD programs should be designed to provide capacity in areas that are necessary to reach the selected targets. Figure 2-8: Possible Program Design Process Once the programs are designed, it is necessary to identify governance and financing mechanisms. Governance is handled through institutions, which includes agencies and policies. Typically, a lead agency must be identified so that accountability can be assigned. Governing mechanisms must be created if they do not already exist. Programs also need to have sufficient funding to be successful. The sources of financing are critical to success as well because there may be additional institutions that are involved when accepting funds from certain sources. This means that financing policies must be considered beyond absolute amounts. Cozzens and xxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Kaplinsky (2009) recommend FDI policies that promote the following: “invest on long-term, stable basis; provide good working conditions; build local skills; do not off-load environmental costs; maximize good jobs; and work as much as possible with local firms and suppliers.” The diagram below (Figure 2-9) shows some elements that might be considered when designing governance and funding mechanisms. For governance design, it is important to identify those agencies and policies that are relevant to the industry and related innovation system. While many agency stakeholders will exist, there should be a main stakeholder selected to drive forward the necessary goals with accountability. The mechanism itself needs to provide means to implement and coordinate the various projects and actors. It is necessary to ensure a balance of accountability and autonomy so that stakeholders are able to fulfill their missions independently. Additionally, the planning of governance needs to ensure continuity with sufficient resources. A monitoring and evaluation system is necessary for evidence-based decision-making, especially longitudinally. Funding should be sourced effectively and again weighed against autonomy that may be sacrificed with external funding from development assistance and foreign direct investment. Figure 2-9: Elements of Designing Governance and Funding Mechanisms Chapter 2 Research Framework & Methodology 23 5. Panel Discussion Research Methodology The methodology is guided through principles of intuitive decision-making across the methodology and process, holistic diagnosis, and future-oriented solutions. The study used a variety of techniques to diagnose the problems in the system including statistical analysis, policy review, field visits, pilot survey, and brainstorming panel discussions. The number of techniques meant to overcome the lack of existing information regarding innovation in Lao PDR, where the word itself is a new concept. STI indicators were sparse, as might be expected from a country still developing its S&T infrastructure. Since many stakeholders are still developing capacities, survey responses lacked variation that might have provided greater insight; intuitive decision-making becomes possible and preferable. Thus, the brainstorming panel discussions were used to conceptualize the diagnosis, its solution, and prescribed action plan through consensus. The 3C/3A Approach identified necessary programs to overcome bottlenecks and constraints to address R&D and human resource capacities. The diagnosis was holistic to avoid creating additional bottlenecks with narrowly defined solutions. Instead, future-oriented solutions are sought so that relevance and consistency can be maintained over the long term, reinforcing the practicality of intuitive decision-making. During the Lao PDR workshop, stakeholders gathered to identify an industry platform where a driving mechanism can be established. Stakeholders tentatively adopted green transportation as the industry platform, which will be elaborated further in Chapter 7. The institutions and stakeholders are identified and programs to develop and govern the industry are considered. xxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Chapter 3│Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs Before solutions to the bottlenecks in the innovation system in Lao PDR can be addressed, it is necessary to understand the framework conditions that exist. The first step in the diagnosis will identify the conditions that policies must consider to accept as initial conditions or to try to correct. The socioeconomic framework conditions will be reviewed in this chapter. 1. Geography, History and Political Regimes In 2012, Lao PDR had a population of 6.6 million, which makes it the least densely populated country in Southeast Asia.12) It is also one of the poorest countries in the region.13) The GDP per capita has recently crossed the thousand dollar (USD) threshold, moving it from low- to lower-middle income status.14) Its geography and history create political conditions that must be considered when creating policies because they may hinder implementation. Lao PDR suffers from geographic conditions that have been shown to aggravate its poverty. While all countries began similarly, Lao PDR is still largely an agrarian society. While a shrinking portion of the economy, most of the population still employs subsistence farming. The country is mountainous and tropical, which creates difficult conditions to transfer technology and to establish infrastructure for transport, communication, and public works. Additionally, it is landlocked, which makes accessing trade of goods expensive because they can only be transported over land or by air. Moreover, as Lao PDR builds transportation infrastructure over land, the government must rely on neighboring countries to connect its network to enable 12) In 2012, Lao PDR had a population density of less than thirty people per square meter. Myanmar, the next least densely populated, had more than twice as many people per square kilometer. Of the countries represented at the Lao Workshop in 2013 (i.e. Bangladesh, Lao PDR and Nepal), Lao PDR had the largest area but the smallest population. 13) It is often grouped with Cambodia, Myanmar and Vietnam, which have been referred to as CLMV. Vietnam, however, has been growing rapidly and less frequently associated with the other group. 14) Its GDP per capita was USD 1,260 in 2012 (World Bank, 2013) Chapter 3 Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs 25 trade. The country’s geographic isolation and topological factors make it unlikely that agricultural growth would effectively develop the economy. Even this does not consider the trade policies that must be in place to enable firms to compete in the market without being overburdened with business costs and tariffs. Following China, its giant neighbor to the north, the Government of Lao PDR started applying socialist market economic policies. The recent moves have roots in its geo-political history, which includes many different aspects that are still relevant today (see Figure 3-1). The feudal political structure lasted until the colonial period when the French occupied what was known as Indochina. Lao PDR emerged from the colonial period after the Second World War. After a short semi-royalist period, there was a creation of a new revolutionary political framework, which resulted in the Socialist regime governing since 1975. The same framework exists today but with market-oriented elements. Lao PDR started integrating into the global economy and joined the WTO in 2013. As a member of ASEAN, it has been integrating into the larger regional bloc, which officially opens as an economic community in 2015. Inclusion in these global frameworks requires higher standards and greater inputs along with it.15) Figure 3-1: Timeline of Lao PDR History Lao PDR still has vestiges of its history seen in its society, international relations and domestic policies. Much of its rural population is still engaged in agrarian life. It still maintains many ties with both French and former Soviet institutions. For instance, France supports Lao PDR through ODA at higher levels than non-colonial countries. Also, many joint research projects involve former Soviet and other Socialist countries. Many of its collaborative and international development ties are with countries that share historical ties. Cultural and physical proximities have increasingly integrated it with China, Thailand and Vietnam. Internally, its political structure still 15) Although there is a stipulation for least developed countries from immediately applying trade regulations, those clauses are quickly coming to the end of the terms. For instance, under both WTO and ASEAN Economic Community agreements, trade in certain goods like garments is protected until 2015 but have been gradually phasing out since 2010. xxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR has strong central authority while being concerned with needs of remote and minority populations. At the moment, the largest shift that it must contend with is its market orientation because its history has left its industry incapable of competing in the global economy. This study includes these geographic and historic components in its diagnosis and strategic roadmapping. 2. MDGs: Population and Education In general, the labor economy has been greatly affected by international development goals, largely defined by the Millennium Development Goals16) since they were created in 2000. The Lao population has grown threefold in the past-half century and demand for education has grown along with it. (see Figure 3-2, Figure 3-3) According to the 2005 Census, the population increased at an annual rate of 2.1%. Moreover, the population growth is placing pressure on the rest of the political infrastructure. The Census showed that nearly forty percent of the population was school age, 0-14 years (Lao Statistics Bureau, 2005). Figure 3-2 Population of Lao PDR in 1995 Figure 3-3 Population of Lao PDR in 2013 Source: World Bank, 2013 According to the World Bank (see Table 3-1), over ninety percent of students in the relevant age group are completing primary education and over forty-five percent are completing secondary school. As described later in the field survey chapter, we found that these statistics were not sufficient to meet industry demands. As potential skilled workers, vocational students were only 0.4 percent of secondary graduates. As of 2002, there were only 15.8 R&D researchers per million, which represents 16) See Appendix 6: Millennium Development Goals Chapter 3 Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs 27 a low number of highly-skilled workers available. Lao HRD policies, which are reviewed in the next chapter, need to be adapted to meet the new needs of the economy. Table 3-1: Human Resource Development Indicators, 2011 School enrollment, tertiary (% gross) 17.7 School enrollment, secondary (% gross) 45.8 Primary completion rate, total (% of relevant age group) 92.6 Secondary, vocational pupils Secondary, pupils 2,147 490,290 Adult Literacy Rate (%, 2005) 72.7 R&D Researchers (per million, 2002) 15.8 Source: World Bank, 2013 3. Economy Driven by Natural Resources and FDI The change in the political economy of Lao PDR coincides with significant changes in the economy. Its sectoral composition shifted from an agrarian economy to industry and services, but these have focused primarily on mining and electricity. While the income generated from these sectors has been significant enough to change the income status of Lao PDR, there are some concerns that should be highlighted. Although the economic gains have been dramatic, they have been largely based on resource inputs. Other aspects of the economy show possible signs of neglect including industrial manufacturing, HRD and “Dutch disease.”17) The composition of the economy has rapidly shifted from an economy that was dominated by agriculture (i.e. more than half of GDP) up until the turn of the millennium to one that is more evenly distributed with services and industry (see Figure 3-4). In 2011, agriculture, services and industry were each about a third of the economy (see Figure 3-5). Whereas agriculture has steadily declined, the other sectors both grew quickly. Services has steadily grown and jumped as a proportion of the economy in 2000. Industry, on the other hand, has not grown as quickly in relation to the rest of the economy. Figure 3-4: Change in GDP Composition 17) In late 1950s, the Netherlands began exporting recently discovered natural gas. This large inflow of income led to inflation of its currency, which in turn increased labor costs and weakened competitiveness in manufactured goods. Similar phenomena of are now referred to as “Dutch disease.” xxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Source: World Bank, 2013 Figure 3-5: GDP by Sector, 2011 Source: World Bank, 2013 A closer look at industry shows that it did not begin rapidly growing until around 2004-5. If manufacturing growth is distinguished from the rest of industry, its rate of growth has been almost stagnant in comparison (see Figure 3-8). The main drivers of industry growth were not in manufacturing but rather in mineral extraction and electricity generation. In a short time, these two factors have remarkably changed industry. The discovery of minerals like copper and gold has transformed the economy. Chapter 3 Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs 29 Figure 3-6: Industry & Manufacturing Growth Source: World Bank, 2013 Almost the entire industry share of the economy is based on these mining and energy sectors. Mining and exploration is the largest share of industry, but many other sectors are related to these industries, including construction and processing (see Figure 3-7). Electricity and Nampapa18) are utilities that are regulated by the government. Hydroelectric dams have been built using a public-private partnership model, financed by international banks to supply neighboring countries power.19) Figure 3-7: Average Share of Value Added, Industrial Sector 2006-2010 Source: Ministry of Planning and Investment, 2011 18) Nampapa is the water supply utility. 19) Cases on hydroelectricity generation and electricity distribution can be found in Chapter 5. xxx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Since the economy opened, exports from Lao PDR have grown to over a third of GDP (see Figure 3-8). Dropping by nearly a tenth of GDP each time, its growth rates plummeted during the global crises of 1997-8 and 2007-8. Such volatility suggests a heightened vulnerability to these types of external shocks. Figure 3-8: Lao PDR’s exports (% of GDP) Source: World Bank, 2013 In recent years, exports shifted heavily towards mining, which comprised almost half of all exports in 2009 (see Table 3-2). Previously one of its dominant export products, garments shrank from a fifth to nearly a tenth of exports. A report by the National Statistics Centre (2007) found that competition increased, and predicted a drop in garment export prices and revenue with the phase-out of the Agreement on Textiles and Clothing in 2008, which gave LDCs preferential treatment under trade regulations. A nearly 50 percent drop in garments as a percentage of exports in 2009 suggests that Lao PDR suffered a loss as expected. Hydroelectricity was another economic driver before the discovery and extraction of minerals. It is mostly exported to neighboring countries including China, Vietnam and principally Thailand. Growth in this sector has been predetermined by agreements made in partnership with multilateral banks. Chapter 3 Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs 31 Table 3-2: Export Structure in Percentages Export Commodity 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Wood 14.13 11.09 9.71 6.02 4.9 Coffee 1.35 1.11 3.13 1.69 2.25 Agriculture NTFP 3.65 2.52 1.8 4.82 9.06 Others 3.74 2.72 2.52 2.6 15.43 Garment 20.04 14.45 13.69 23.45 12.7 Electricity 17.81 11.47 9.13 9.89 9.97 Mining 39.16 56.55 59.94 51.44 45.26 Note: Non-timber forestry products (NTFP) Source: Ministry of Planning and Investment, 2011 “Dutch disease” also explains this phenomenon. The effect of this trade structure and foreign investment is that other Lao exports become less competitive in global markets. As Lao PDR increases its global trade ties, its levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) have increased as well (see Figure 3-9). When inflows of foreign investments increased in 2004-5, the Lao Kip strengthened. These investments are mostly related to the same industries, hydroelectricity and mining. According to the 7th National Economic Development Plan, the total revenue from mining for the previous period (2006-2010) was 16,772 billion Lao Kip (LAK) and averaged 19.91% annual growth. Investments made in the sector totaled about USD 2.5 billion. The economy invested USD 3.0 billion in hydroelectricity from 2006-2009, which was projected to earn USD 303 million per year. Figure 3-9: Foreign Exchange & FDI Source: World Bank, 2013 xxxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR As more FDI is attracted to Lao PDR, the more difficult it will be for its industry to diversify its exports. Few other exports have been able to match these levels of growth.20) In particular, mining income overshadows the other export areas including electricity. International aid is another common source of foreign income that can distort industry production. While Lao PDR has benefited from FDI to develop its extractive resources, other forms of international trade regulation will have additional effects that should be monitored (Ministry of Planning and Investment, 2013). The WTO and ASEAN Economic Community will increase the levels of competition that Laotian companies will have to contend with in the market. Furthermore, natural resource dependence also means that the economy is highly sensitive to potential volatility that those commodities may face. For instance, if the price of metals were to drop, then the economy would likely be set back because it is highly dependent on specific sectors. Meanwhile, other sectors such as manufacturing have been losing their competitiveness. Programs based on overseas development aid (ODA) should also be considered for industry distorting effects. Closer examination may be needed to ensure that crowding out does not occur, which involves close partnership with international donors and their awareness. Public-private partnership may also provide a means to overcome or at least realign priorities to minimize these effects. 4. Summary and Implications The socioeconomic framework conditions that exist in Lao PDR have elements that are similar to other developing countries, especially lower-income developing countries, yet are unique to it. These factors should be considered before creating policy measures that may meet obstacles that can be avoided or overcome if understood beforehand. The geography and history of Lao PDR provide both resources and constraints that must be contended with for successful implementation of any policy. Its geographic isolation creates barriers that could be handled through policy mechanisms. Technologies should be evaluated for their appropriateness to the terrain, especially 20) The export commodity category “Others” in table 3-2 grew significantly in 2009 but the report does not specify what the other products are. These should be analyzed more carefully to see if there is potential to expand growth through value addition. Chapter 3 Socioeconomic Framework Conditions & Needs 33 in certain sectors like agriculture. Domestically, routes for transporting its own goods and people must also be supported to enable its economy to function properly. Furthermore, while every country must deal build infrastructure to enable its citizens and firms to operate within its borders, being a landlocked country means that there are limitations to trade. Lao PDR can work with its neighbors to build infrastructure to connect it to its neighbors to facilitate trade or it can concentrate on goods and services that can be easily transported electronically or by air. These and other issues must be handled when dealing with international affairs issues, especially as they relate to trade since it heavily influences the economy. The Lao government still has capabilities that remain from its colonial and socialist ties. Against this backdrop, Lao PDR must contend with societal issues. Issues of poverty must be dealt with, especially in remote and rural populations. While advances were made against MDGs, policies must draw from the same limited resources to handle a broader range of issues. As health outcomes of the population improve and education goals are achieved, systemic objectives should be established to ensure that these advances are capitalized on. For instance, as greater numbers finish primary and secondary school, graduates need additional attention. Education policy should consider what will happen to these young people, whether they continue to pursue higher education or enter the workforce. Both actions can be improved through policy responses, which will be considered in later chapters. The Lao economy is quickly transitioning from its low income status but this growth has been heavily—almost solely—reliant on income generated through natural resources and foreign investment. The government budget is also supported by development aid. This situation is not sustainable and places the economy in a vulnerable position. The natural endowment is not infinite and commodity prices of minerals can be volatile. ODA can also swing depending on changing attitudes or more likely on the changing fortunes of benefactors. The global financial crisis demonstrates how rich countries’ aid can be affected by domestic conditions. Since hydroelectricity and mining generated the greatest revenue for the country, the Government of Lao PDR responded by providing political, legal and physical infrastructure to support these industries, as will be seen in the subsequent chapters. This response is to be expected, but this report will suggest that it should be tempered to balance other concerns in the economy. As mentioned, manufacturing and industrial policies in general should strive to diversify industries that will defend against volatility that is inherent in concentration in limited sectors. xxxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Policies in Lao PDR and global policies affecting the country continue to evolve. Having climbed income levels, Lao PDR will qualify for lower levels of foreign aid. Officials surmised as much and shifted their strategies towards being self-sufficient. Natural resource-based income is directed towards development efforts. As described later, the plans recognize the need for industrialization, including attempts to leverage agriculture, but additional steps must be taken. While shrinking, foreign aid is still available, so it should be used effectively. A legacy of a strong central authority and ministerial cooperation can be maximized when implementing economic growth policies at the national level. As will be discussed in the chapter on Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions, maximization suggests strengthening governing capabilities to ensure consistent, coherent and cohesive policies. This report provides STI strategies that can be used to improve implementation of innovation policies. The Government of Lao PDR can use its central authority and newfound revenue streams to build additional capacity in its industrial and research sectors. Furthermore, international partnerships and ODA funding21) can be used to transform the economy. Additionally, suggestions will include strategies that balance nationally driven goals against those directed from abroad. 21) The 7th National Economic Development Plan expects ODA to make up about a quarter of national investments and to be spent on achieving the MDG goals. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 35 |Chapter 4│Review of Existing Policies Understanding how the government of Lao PDR responds to its existing socioeconomic conditions is important, so the study team reviewed several policies that affected STI policies: ● ● ● ● ● ● 7th Five-year Socioeconomic Development Plan 2011 Innovation Promotion Law 2010 Agricultural Development Plan 2010 Agricultural Master Plan 2010 Education Sector Development Plan 2011 Science & Technology Policy 2003 These policies reflected the main objectives for the country and included STI programs for the goals outlined in the policies. Although innovation is a new concept for Lao officials, it has been quickly accepted as a necessary component of policymaking. In general, there were clear socioeconomic goals stated in the policies that included HRD and education, health, environment and resources and industry (i.e. export and manufacturing) issues. The associated governance included good coordination and restructured ministries as necessary. In the following sections, the existing policies are evaluated for relevance, consistency and coherence to identify points that can be corrected in future policymaking as it relates to STI strategy. Overall, the policy intent is to use income generated from the country’s natural resources to develop core capacity, which is defined as human resource development as implemented through education policy. The policy analysis that follows will specifically highlight factors that relate to, or are driven by, the socioeconomic demands outlined in Chapter 3. The diagnosis also suggests that the policies call for remedies that are beyond the implementation capabilities of industry and its related stakeholders. Industry is limited in its production capacity and government agencies have little experience in industrial promotion. The resulting implementation has limited relevance for industry. For instance, basic education is insufficient to provide the necessary human resources for the existing industries in Lao PDR. xxxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 1. 7th Five-year Socioeconomic Development Plan 2011 The Lao government creates 5-year development plans with which to direct their ministries and agencies in their activities to advance the country. The government is in the middle of the latest plan, the 7th National Five-year Socioeconomic th Development Plan 2011 (7 NSEDP). The first half of the plan is an analysis of the previous plan and the second half provides the actual goals and strategies that are to be implemented during the five years of the plan. The 7th NSEDP reviewed its predecessor, the 6th NSEDP, for its achievements and constraints that were found to limit further possible achievements. The main goals that were achieved in relation to this study were that a reduction in poverty, economic participation in the international market and STI and strategic partnership expanded. GDP per capita grew faster than planned in the 6th NSEDP, well exceeding its targets and accelerating with each year (see Table 4-1). By the end of 2010, actual GDP per capita had surpassed planned growth by nearly thirty percent. Furthermore, the distribution of income growth and education attainment was unevenly distributed among the provinces. Table 4-1: GDP per Capita (plan vs. actual) Source: Ministry of Planning and Investment, 2011 When examining the targets set for industrial growth, average growth by sector increased healthily for agriculture and services. Industry, however, just missed its annual growth target (see Table 4-2). Within services, the financial sector was strengthened as a result of increased demand due to higher rates of foreign investment. Technology absorption rates are low in manufacturing, farming, and mining. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 37 Table 4-2: Comparison of Actual and Targeted GDP Growth Rate in the Sixth Plan (2006-2010) Source: Ministry of Planning and Investment, 2011 Authors of the 7th NSEDP found that the main constraints in the 6th NSEDP were the country’s weak economic base, global economic crises and pressure from neighboring countries. The weak economic base constrains the economy because there are few financial resources that can be drawn from to support other parts of the economy. It also encompasses human resources and the educational infrastructure that are available. Lack of infrastructure and policy coordination complicated implementation of programs, which meant that objectives were difficult to achieve. The global economic crises are another constraint, just as the country’s institutions are beginning to formally extend their ties internationally. Already limited in their size and capabilities, exporting firms are less able to expand businesses since crises limit global consumption. Yet, participation in global trade agreements like the WTO TRIPS increases their exposure to competition.22) Pressure from neighboring countries continued to increase, especially for material resources. As the global economy develops, Lao PDR is not isolated in this experience because competition for resources has increased around the world. That it starts with fewer resources makes the competition that much more difficult. The 7th NSEDP has set specific goals and strategies to combat the constraints identified and take advantage of an expected global economic recovery and increased integration. There are four overall goals for the Plan: 22) Lao PDR ratified WTO membership and fully joined on 2 February 2013. xxxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR ● Maintain economic growth in a stable and progressive manner at more than 8% per year. GDP per capita estimation for 2015 is about US$ 1,700 per person per year at current prices. ● Achieve MDGs (including poverty reduction) and parity with ASEAN Community by 2015, acquire modern technologies and infrastructure, and establish a diverse economic foundation to move the country out of its Least Developed Country status in 2020. ● Ensure sustainable development by integrating economic development with socio-cultural development and environment protection to the nation’s advantage. ● Ensure political stability, fairness, and order in the society and maintain public security, and open for regional and international integration. Specific macroeconomic targets are set. The plan sets industry share of GDP to 39% by 2015 and expects exports to grow by 18% per annum. The plan similarly targets 15% of GDP for manufacturing, which must grow 13% growth annually to meet this target. Inflation is expected to remain below 5%. In the labor force, new additions to the agricultural sector would be about 210,000, to the industrial sector 14,000, and to the service sector 53,000. In total about 55,000 workers would be added per year for the five years of the Plan. While ODA will provide 25% of national investments, 35% of total investment will be put into social expenditures. This is a seven-fold increase that specifically targets the MDGs. While the government and credit sectors are expected to contribute about 10% of investments each, over half of investments are expected from private domestic and foreign sources. About 35% of these investments will be made in infrastructure including construction. That leaves just under a third of investments for the economic sector. Furthermore, sales of state assets are expected to provide 12% of domestic revenue. The sectors that have been strategically targeted are rice, livestock, hyrdoelectricity, mining, tourism and infrastructure (i.e. transport, electricity, water, and ICT). Social, environmental and international integration targets are also set closely following MDGs. These targets and sectors are where STI policies are most pertinent. They can be used to accelerate the rate of export and manufacturing, targeting specific economic sectors to implement S&T strategies. The targets and strategies highlight the importance of STI and specifically mention tech transfer, science research, Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 39 intellectual property rights/protection (IPR/IPP), standards, new environment-friendly technologies for farmers, and e-governance. Transparency, monitoring and evaluation, and information systems would provide greater management capacity. For instance, establishing a domestic system to ensure quality and safety standards can be used to improve industrial output. These may be complicated by plans to incorporate externally imposed regulation of intellectual property policies necessitated by the country’s elevation to the WTO and other international agreements. While necessary, these may impose difficulties in the short run.23) One plan is to transfer appropriate technologies to farmers, which increases value-adding capabilities to a large segment of the workforce. Since farmers mostly rely on manual and animal labor, the policy is a fundamental step in the right direction. Other strategies such as tech transfer and science research are meant to compensate for missing capacity but do not fully incorporate capacity-building measures. Policies that are related to STI but not under MOST seek to improve business environments and strengthen links between planning and budgeting. Coordination mechanisms are necessary horizontally and vertically to improve government agencies at different levels. These policies must go further to address the innovation system bottlenecks that Lao PDR faces, especially when linking planning and implementation at the national and sub-national levels. In chapter 7, suggestions are provided to improve on existing STI policymaking. 2. Investment Promotion Law 2010 (Ministry of Industry and Commerce, 2010) The Investment Promotion Law 2010 was created to help encourage foreign investors in Lao PDR. It was drafted and implemented by the Ministry of Planning and Investment and largely supplements laws on special economic zones (SEZs). Starting in 2003, these SEZs were established near the borders of China and Thailand. Some provisions that are stipulated in the latest policy are that foreign entities must cooperate with a domestic entity, especially since foreign partners are limited by how much real property they are able to own. Foreign investors can set up businesses with one billion kip in minimum capital. The law also created a “One-stop” service office to help facilitate paperwork for foreign investors. Investors are also given 23) For more on this discussion, see Making Globalization Work (Stiglitz, 2006). xl STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR concession warrantees for electricity, land and minerals between USD 10,000 and 100,000. There are also fiscal incentives for businesses including a one-year tax exemption for new products and R&D within three years of investment. There is also a customs exemption for import of equipment. In general, these policies have been successful in promoting FDI rather than R&D. As expected, FDI continues to increase. On the other hand, the rate of R&D investment has not been affected as much. Equipment may be imported tax-free but that equipment will not necessarily bring the necessary technical expertise and service support with it. It may be difficult for companies, especially those with little experience in R&D with few human and capital resources, to take advantage of the tax exemptions in the short time provided. When considering the policies that are related to STI, it is necessary to reconsider how to apply FDI and technology transfer policies. 3. Agricultural Development Strategy 2020 & Agricultural Master Plan 2010 Together, the Agricultural Development Strategy 2020 (Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, 2010) and the Agricultural Master Plan 2010 (Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, 2010) outline the approaches to economic development in relation to agriculture. The Development Strategy provides the long-term framework and goals for agriculture within the economy (Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, 2011). The Master Plan provides more specific analysis and objectives that can be monitored and evaluated. The Development Strategy is focused on improving agricultural output under increased global integration to increase economic growth, especially as a means to address rural poverty since most of the country is engaged in agricultural production. Its analysis found that there were major issues and trends that it must contend with in order to improve agricultural output. The three major challenges that were presented were climate change, financial risk management and higher market entry barriers. The first two present increased uncertainty in nature and in markets, respectively. The third primarily results from increased global integration and its implications such as higher standards, market trends and regulations. It also suggests that “new agriculture” trends provide new markets in organic and fair trade agriculture. The strategy will also employ cooperative groups and organizations to disseminate Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 41 market-friendly business skills and techniques to small-holder farmers. A value-chain governing mechanism is also expected to manage activities between stakeholders. In short, the plan states that production will be increased through the application of capital. The capital will be sourced through technology transfer and adaptation, which will be supported through public investment and foreign investment. The Master Plan provides details on what specific programs will be used to achieve the strategic goals in the Development Strategy. This review focused on the research and extension program (Program 7) because it is the STI-based mechanism most relevant to this report. The main actor is specified as the National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI), which is tasked with the main projects of implementing an ICT network, promoting associations and managing climate change and biodiversity. The target areas for research were also identified as crops, livestock, forestry and aquaculture and fisheries. The Plan directly addresses agricultural R&D: Public investments in agricultural research, development, and technology transfer…are deficient. Research and extension services tend to be dependent on development…investment to enhance capacity in agricultural science and technology remains low. Although the need to build agricultural competitiveness through regional initiatives in research, training, and extension through existing institutions are encouraged by development partners, progress remains slow. (p. 55) The Development Strategy is ambitiously comprehensive because it focuses on domestic issues but also considers global challenges. They also use ICT-oriented approaches that should enable greater reach and facilitate implementation. The Master Plan may overreach in the sense that it may incorporate too broad a mandate than is feasible given Lao capabilities. Even if it were built robustly and used to its maximum potential, ICT alone will not sufficiently boost agricultural output. Fundamentally, the plan attempts to increase output through an increase of inputs, but the country does not have the resources to increase those inputs. While it is necessary to technologically increase productivity, there are elements missing from a functional, robust innovation system required for a sustained increase. xlii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 4. Education Sector Development Plan 2011-2015 Education and HRD is now the main focus for economic development in Lao PDR since it is necessary for the industrialization and modernization of the economy. The core capacity-building strategy is embodied in the National HRD Strategy and encompasses a wide-range of issues (see Figure 4-1). The issues include expected issues such as demographic change, education policy, and labor, but they also include broader topics like migration, gender, and industry concerns. The Education Sector Development Plan (ESDP) 2011-2015 (Ministry of Education and Sports, 2011) provides education programs and their analysis as part of the 7th NSEDP. A change in the education sector began during the education reform outlined in the National Education System Reform Strategy 2006-2015 (Ministry of Education and Sports, 2006). Education reform was necessary as part of HRD needed to industrialize and modernize the economy. Figure 4-1: Human Resources Strategy in Lao PDR Source: Phonephoet, B. 2014 Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 43 The ESDP evaluated the progress towards the goals stated in the Reform Strategy and Education Sector Development Framework. The management of the education system was improved in planning, financing and evaluation, which were specifically targeted in the Strategy and Framework. They also focused on pre-primary and primary education because they are emphasized by the Millennium Development Goals. Teaching quality and graduation rates were also stressed in planning and programs. The ESDP 2006-2010 was built on three pillars that focused on increasing preschool enrollment rates, improving schooling environment, and focusing on poor districts. The preschool enrollment rate increased from 8.2% to 22.2%. Primary education enrollment reached 95.2% in 2012 according to the MDG Progress Report 2013, close to achieving its MDG 2 set to 98% net enrollment ratio. The schooling environment achievements include improvements in general quality, gender equality, community engagement, and teacher quality in preschool and primary education. To help meet the needs of the poorest districts, the Education Standards and Quality Assurance and Inclusive Education Centres were established. Since educational development was planned linearly, it was unexpected that university graduation rates already surpassed 2015 targets. Although the numerical targets were reached in primary education, secondary education goals were missed. In fact, secondary, tertiary and vocational educations were not included in the planning. The educational system was found to not meet the needs of the labor market. The output of skilled workers is still low and out of balance with the market (see Table 4-3). The shares of labor for agriculture and service are higher than the targets set by the Education Sector Development Plans. The share of labor in industry has increased by less than a percentage point to 5.5% and remains well short of its 9.3% target. Table 4-3: Share of Labor by Sector Year Estimate No. Sector 1 Agriculture-forestry 2 Industry 4.8 % 5.5 % 9.3 % 3 Service 16.7 % 19.5 % 16.9 % 2005 2010 2006-2010 78.5 % 75.1 % 73.9 % Source: Calculations based on Population Censuses 2005 and NSEDP VI, as printed in NSEDP VII, 2011 xliv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Tied to industry, vocational schools were not properly incorporated into plans. Vocational students equal less than half a percentage of all secondary school graduates. Even within this population, TVET programs tend to be biased towards business studies rather than trade-related courses. The program bias is related to student preference of white-collar jobs over technical training. Tertiary education growth has the same bias in its growth because students view university education as a means to obtain non-labor intensive jobs (i.e. not farming or manufacturing) or possibly emigrate.24) The current ESDP has expanded its scope to address the following policy priorities: ● HRD measures consistent with the demands for national development in each phase, a focus on national education system reform, improved equitable access to and quality of education at all levels ● An increasing emphasis on teacher development, teacher employment, teacher incentives and teacher societal responsibilities ● Improved vocational education and training to respond to labor market demand ● Improvement to the organizational structure of education and education administration including enforcement of the new education law (Ministry of Education and Sports, 2007) ● Strengthened inspection and monitoring of the education system and, ● More effective use of development partner resources and increased cooperation between the development partners and government. The new programs aim to increase equitable access through ICT and upgrade educational infrastructure. Programs will continue to provide training and education to teachers and instructors. These generalized programs do not seem to correct the shortcomings of the previous plans. There are few details that are provided on how the projects will actually be implemented. In general, implementation schemes are falling short because they are still overly focused on primary education (see Table 4-4). There is a low conversion rate of students from primary to secondary schooling. 24) According to UIS (2012), 37.2% of the tertiary-educated population left Lao PDR in 2000. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 45 Table 4-4: Education Expenditure by Level/Area Expenditure 2012 2013 2014 Early Childhood & Primary Education 455,436 404,204 482,257 433,064 426,004 2,200,965 33% Secondary Education 218,369 220,701 217,219 239,069 260,637 1,155,996 17% TVET 209,862 209,129 205,629 208,029 152,370 985,020 15% Higher Education 165,424 170,824 160,624 160,624 164,249 821,745 12% Teacher Education 61,055 60,226 84,373 113,321 113,321 432,296 6% Nonformal education 18,740 17,322 16,217 16,172 16,172 84,622 1% 700 700 700 700 700 3,500 0.05% Physical & Art Education 34,012 32,869 28,004 25,789 21,701 142,374 2% Inclusive Education 86,073 79,749 70,341 58,927 47,727 342,817 5% Administration 99,487 100,337 106,890 100,770 148,770 556,254 8% Private Education 2015 Total Percent share 2011 Source: Ministry of Education and Sports, 2011 In addition to funding, monitoring and evaluation is weak, which makes it difficult for planners to properly provide programs to address educational needs, especially across provincial and district levels. The lack of goals for different levels of education may partially explain this shortcoming. The ESDP will establish Committee and Working Groups, which will include resources that will fund implementation processes, provide general guidelines, and delineation of responsibilities. The guidelines will have to be evaluated against the overall goals and objectives that are set by the ESDP. The education budget is also dependent on foreign aid. The government aims to increase educational expenditure to 25% from 18% (see Figure 4-2). This may still be ambitious because the government budget only covered a tenth of expenditures in 1990. International organizations and bilateral aid provide the large majority of education funding in Lao PDR. Therefore, it is unlikely that the missions and goals of those organizations can be ignored, especially when these organizations are still listed as the primary funders of future programs. xlvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Figure 4-2: Education Sector Development Plan 2011-2015 Budget by Source Source: Ministry of Education and Sports, 2011 In addition to the funding, monitoring and evaluation, and other implementation problems highlighted, there are several bottlenecks and constraints that still exist in the planning and implementation. Potential issues arise from differing objectives including the difficulty of holistic planning for the Government of Lao PDR. International agencies tend to focus on subsector approaches, which may be redundant or neglect certain areas required for systemic progress, particularly when they are not fully contextualized to Lao PDR. Further, ODA can be volatile depending on foreign government largesse and economic performance. If funding sources are vulnerable, planning cannot be long-term and implementation will suffer when funding abruptly stops. 5. Science & Technology Policy STI policies are known to help economies develop faster, which can also lead to poverty alleviation. In fact, most global poverty reduction achieved recently has been attributed to rapid economic growth (Chen and Ravallion, 2008; Kenny and Sumner, 2011). Since robust STI indicators (ex. R&D personnel, hi-tech exports, and patent applications) are unavailable, the Science and Technology Policy 2003 (National Agency of Science and Technology, 2003) and current policies of the Ministry of Science and Technology are analyzed in order to assess S&T policy initiatives. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 47 Although the Ministry is working on updating Lao STI laws, the Science and Technology Policy 2003 is the last general STI legislation enacted nationally. The Policy acknowledges the advantages that S&T provides in developing the economy, especially in its ability to alleviate poverty. It also recognizes that STI is limited by the rest of the economy because R&D capacities typically require higher levels of resources. To remedy these deficiencies in technology, expertise and infrastructure, the legislation emphasizes technology management, specifically tech transfer, evaluation and planning. By importing technology, the economy can produce new or improve existing goods and services in agriculture and secondary industry. It also calls for increased infrastructure and human resources development. The Policy outlined five main goals of S&T policy. The first goal was to improve R&D to ensure the mobilization of STI resources. The second was to upgrade education for higher STI knowledge aimed to serve agricultural, industrial and services development contributing to the poverty reduction strategic program and to the industrialization and modernization of the country. The third was to strengthen coordination and cooperation between different sectors and research institutions to ensure the participation of production sectors and the scientific community for maximizing the country’s benefits from S&T. The fourth was to upgrade and strengthen the public’s STI and engineering knowledge, and the last was to essentially promote the adaptation and technological innovation system. These STI goals were meant to be accomplished through increased funding and international cooperation. The primary mechanism for policy implementation was setting the target for gross expenditures in R&D (GERD) between four and five percent. The increased spending was meant to support human resources development and applied and adaptive technology acquisition. The target sectors were to be agriculture, tourism, energy/environment and ICT. The policy also called for a reorganization of government agencies and international cooperation to compensate for weak capacity. The cooperation was more development-oriented than STI-oriented since it identified development agencies25) as potential partner agencies. The Ministry is currently implementing action programs that will strengthen R&D, management, and HRD capacities (see Table 4-5). R&D infrastructure broadly focuses on developing the innovation system in Lao PDR. The innovation system is to be developed by increasing capacities in R&D and HRD so that jobs are available for 25) Specifically, UNDP, UNESCO, JICA, KOICA, and SIDA were listed in the policy. xlviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR researchers. STI management will review policies to increase technology transfer and program assessment. Industry sectors are targeted for development. Some mechanisms are specified including infrastructure development (e.g. ICT and intellectual property rights), new agencies (e.g. STI foundation and national research institutes), and measures (e.g. decrees, policies, and an exposition). Future plans target new innovative sectors, SMEs, and research-industry linkages. Table 4-5: Action Programs for 2011-2015 R&D Infrastructure ∙ Develop innovation system. ∙ Improvement of research capability of NRI ∙ Improve and develop intellectual property infrastructure for R&D. ∙ Improve the ICT infrastructure and network (Fiber Optic as Backbone, PLC, Wireless) ∙ Increase knowledge and competence of STI. ∙ Create jobs for Excellent researchers. ∙ Improvement of curriculum of STI in different education level and various schools ∙ Promote the learning of STI. ∙ Increase quantity and competition by sending researchers to abroad. STI Management Review & Formulation of: ∙ Transfer of technology policy, decree and law ∙ Technology assessment and appraisal in various investment projects ∙ Development of policy, plan, programs and Projects on the international basis. ∙ Technology management for sustainable development Regulation ∙ Creation of STI Foundation ∙ Decrees on Congratulation and delivery of award for Excellent STI and on the sanction for guilty persons. ∙ Define the National S&T day (S&T Exposition) Priority areas: ∙ Agriculture, industry, tourism and service provider Science Technology ∙ Engineering (ICT, agricultural production & industry) and Innovation ∙ Bio-technology HRD ∙ Renewable energy ∙ Formation of traditional industries’ professional and technical ∙ Support the establishment of various National Research Institutes (NRIs). Creation of National ∙ Encourage and Promote Research and Development for Goods S&T Research Production. Institute ∙ Promote the linkage between Industries and NRIs. Collaborative ∙ MOST shall play an important and supporting Roles for the elaboration of various projects in different Ministries and Research institutions which provided by Law on S&T. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 49 Possible Future Plans ∙ Renewable energy (e.g. bio-fuel, solar) ∙ ICT development (e.g. e-learning, e-commerce) ∙ Develop Biotechnology ∙ Green health (e.g. traditional medicine) ∙ Provide assistance to SMEs by improving and using new and updated technologies. ∙ Links between Producers (industries) and Researchers ∙ Sustainable Tourism Development. ∙ Operate (1%) Budget allocated by the National Assembly that should be shared with other Sectors involved in the Development of STI. Measures for the ∙ The National Strategic Plan on S&T Development to the 2013-2020 Implementation of and Vision 2030 shall be promulgated throughout the country for good S&T Policy understanding for plans, programs and projects formulation. ∙ This National Strategic Plan shall be implemented effectively by State and Public Organizations. Source: Phommaxay, K, 2014 At the workshop in May 2014, MOST presented STI strategic plans that encompass social, economic, and environmental policy as defined in the Education, Policy-Security, Industry Production, Agriculture, Infrastructure, and Health Plans (see Figure 4-3). These plans intend to align inter-ministerial concerns through a single STI strategic plan. Social, economic and environmental policies as defined through different sectors of government are expected to come together through the unified plan. Figure 4-3: STI Policy of Lao PDR Source: Phommaxay, K, 2014 l STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR All of the plans demonstrate a clear absorption of lessons that the international community (including this projects’ researchers) have imparted in the past. The importance of STI is well understood and the overall concepts are clearly articulated in the plans. Analysis of these policies, however, suggests that the policies will be unsuccessful because of bottlenecks, particularly in implementation. Most of the policies defined desirable goals but did not provide proper implementation and resources. For instance, budget goals were set based on international benchmarks, but the GERD targets were missed at the higher and lower levels.26) Budget targets are difficult to reach if income is not considered alongside expenditures. Industry-sector targets can provide greater income if they add a high level of value, but the economy may lack the requisite R&D and HR capacities to be successful. Other strategies outlined were unclear as to how the goals would be achieved. Most of the S&T aspects of the original goals were unachieved, since they largely remain the same a decade later. The programs were not contextualized to the conditions the country faced, because the capabilities and resources were not thoroughly reviewed. General research institutes cannot provide industrial R&D for targeted industries, especially when they are highly technology-driven (as is the case in biotechnology and renewable energy). The plans for increasing higher-skilled human resources that are required for R&D were missing because Lao society required a change of attitude, so programs to promote the appreciation of R&D were implemented instead. To transform the STI plans, strategic elements must be incorporated into an implementation mechanism that has a clear mission and addresses issues based on a holistic diagnosis. For example, targeting renewable energy or biotechnology may be a viable option for Lao PDR if plans are strategically developed and resources are cohesively allocated. If renewable energy is targeted without strategically developing the innovation system, the only production that is possible is appropriate technology that will not provide income or economies of scale enabling sustainable economic development. Rather, systemic solutions should be provided that enable industrial actors to access R&D and HR necessary to create a vibrant industry. Developing these system components over time requires a coordination mechanism as well. 26) Many countries miss these benchmark targets, which was particularly ambitious at 4-5% of GDP. Among OECD countries, which have higher rates of R&D investment, only Israel invested over four percent of its GDP in R&D in 2011. Only five other countries invested more than three percent. OECD. (OECD, 2013). Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 51 6. Summary and Implications Lao PDR has instituted comprehensive policies to address its socioeconomic development needs, which are described in its 7th NSEDP and detailed in sector plans covered in this chapter. The overarching themes of the plans have focused on the highest revenue-generating sectors and are aware of the need for HRD, infrastructure and S&T to not only boost growth but also to ensure its sustainability. This approach has led to policies that increase foreign investment in mining and hydroelectricity, which enable investments in education and infrastructure. The economy has grown rapidly due to this resource input strategy but it is not economically, socially or environmentally sustainable. Therefore, policies should be altered to correct this shortcoming. Since the government has been successful at generating income based on resources and foreign investment, it has shifted its attention to HRD through education. This is a pragmatic approach since Lao PDR’s population is growing and wants to transform from an agrarian society. Many policies, however, do not have direct industry impacts or may even negatively impact industrial capabilities. There are few quality jobs27) in the market for students completing their education as planned. Industry and service jobs still face low levels of productivity and have trouble finding the necessary skilled workforce. Moreover, the policies do not address the socioeconomic needs that are outlined by their own goals, which stakeholders lack the capacity to meet. The current attempts to leverage S&T are similar to other government policies, which attempt to monetize the countries’ resource wealth in minerals and energy through foreign investment. These investments are meant to industrialize the economy and add value to production in targeted sectors that focus on commodities. This strategy does not suggest how to keep programmatic sustainability, which appropriate STI policies can achieve. The STI approaches that are specified are building ICT to disseminate information, transferring technology, promoting R&D, protecting intellectual property, enforcing standards, conserving ecology and minimizing climate change. Building infrastructure for transport and ICT are necessary for the potential economy but these projects are supported by ODA, so they are also unsustainable. By promoting tech transfer without developing indigenous R&D capacity, the system will find itself in a middle-income trap where it is dependent on foreign technology 27) Quality jobs refer to higher paying jobs that require higher skills. lii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR that is increasingly expensive for domestic industry. Investment in a research network would increase participation in jointly published journal articles but not strengthen research capacity. Although establishing intellectual property and standards schemes enables the economy to operate more smoothly within global frameworks, it does not automatically industrialize the economy or add value to production processes. The same is true for environmental concerns. On the contrary, these complex technology management systems may impose costs when there is little technology to manage. The NSEDP provides the comprehensive directions for national plans in Lao PDR including various sectors such as investment, education, agriculture, and S&T. It provides the general framework for which all the other plans are supposed to follow and coordinate with. In addition to the NSEDP, additional STI-related policies were reviewed. Investment Promotion was evaluated to understand what industries were the targets of investment. The Agricultural Strategy and Plan were considered because of the importance of agricultural research in Lao PDR. The Educational Sector Plan is important because of the emphasis the current government places on HRD to meet the needs of economic development. S&T policy is obviously evaluated given the nature of this report and the goals, strategies, planning, and implementation programs that are suggested in Chapters 7 and 8. The purpose, measures, and assessment are summarized in Table 4-6. Chapter 4 Review of Existing Policies 53 Table 4-6: STI-related Policies Investment Promotion Law 2010 Purpose Measures Attract and provide enabling environment for domestic and foreign investment Agricultural Development Strategy 2020 Agricultural Master Plan 2015 Education Sector Development Plan 2011 National S&T Policy 2003 Long-term Education as Program-based framework core of HRD, Promote S&T for the approach for implementation to accelerate development of implementation of 7th NSEDP of sustainable the sector in relation to Development economy Aims at education Strategy increased sector productivity Facilitate Support Optimizing investment: alignment of resource provision of context within Focus on Investment in allocation concession NSEDP Implementatio attaining access R&D (4-5%) warranties, tax Seeking new to primary Building n of 8 programs exemption, opportunities: (Program 7: education infrastructure one-stop organic Research & service office to products, fair Extension) facilitate trade investment Low progress Improved (deficient planning Focused on public structure Unrealistic goal investment, natural Functioning of GERD Low aid dependent Assessment resources but not relevant Plan implementation Promotes FDI research, to generate unimplemented deficient rather R&D technicians and capacity skilled workers building) The government ministries are well-coordinated and willing to implement STI strategies but future strategies, planning, and implementation programs should correct bottlenecks and constraints that exist. While the NSEDP coordinates all other policies, they are still found to be fragmented for a few reasons. Stakeholders lack capacity to meet goals, which are not well-aligned with the socioeconomic needs of the country. In education, the dependence on donor funding demonstrates a lack of capacity in governance, management and funding but also creates fragmented goals and programs. Industrialization through mechanization and R&D is also hindered by inadequate planning that focuses on immediate problems of funding and liv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR infrastructure but lacks future-oriented goals to guide strategy from the start. At the moment, the policies do not have strong, future-oriented plans to increase value added through innovation. The Ministry of Science and Technology was established and can be used to coordinate and steer inchoate STI policies from a centralized authority. To strengthen these policies, target sectors should be identified as leverage points to maximize effects of policy planning. The system should also be aligned to improve these impacts. Education and R&D policies should be augmented to ensure that the industry and service sectors are able to find the skills they need to function well in the global economy. Starting with ASEAN, industrial policies should also be expanded to include export promotion to broaden the market. While the concept of using new sources of income to build core capacity is correct, the policies need to be realigned to achieve their goals. They should have a stronger industrial focus to boost the necessary institutions necessary for industrial growth. Policymakers must also correct for the lack of experience regarding industry promotion. Correcting these aspects will make policy outcomes more relevant for industry and more effective for economic growth. Outside consulting can be used to provide necessary expertise and experience to develop processes to design necessary programs and objectives. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 55 |Chapter 5│Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 1. Introduction As part of the project, the study team visited Lao PDR in March and October 2013.28) The study included interviews with experts and officials at STI-related organizations in industry, academia, research and government. Innovation is a relatively new concept in Lao PDR, but the government has readily embraced the idea of using STI policies to advance its economy. The Ministry of Science and Technology was established in 2011 and has since worked to incorporate STI strategies into policymaking. While the planning aspects of the central government are well coordinated, the signals primarily come from a narrow range of sectors. The following sections will provide an overview of the findings from the field survey, during which the research team diagnosed the stakeholders within the innovation system. The various stakeholders are expected to provide certain functions within the innovation system to allow for innovation or increased value in production of goods and provision of services (see Table 5-1). 28) Some members of the research team visited Lao PDR in 2011. Notes from the previous visit were also used. lvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Table 5-1: Stakeholders Visited Industry Dao-Heuang Group ETL Nam Theun 2 Power Company Pharmaceutical Factory No. 2 Lao National Chamber of Commerce & Industry Lao Organic Product Association University/Research Institutes National University of Laos Agriculture & Forestry Research Institute National Institute of Public Health Water Resource & Environment Research Institute Ministries Science & Technology Planning & Investment Mines & Energy Industry & Commerce Education & Sports 2. Field Survey of S&T-related Organizations in Lao PDR Because science and technology is important for socioeconomic growth, the government established main organizations and institutions to undertake R&D. In 1967, the Geology and Minerals Department was established to undertake the major tasks of managing and developing the minerals industry and providing technical views upon the request of local and foreign investors intending to establish manufacturing companies. The State Committee for Science and Technology was established in 1982 and was renamed the Science, Technology and Environment Agency as a coordinating point to ensure the implementation of science and technology activities in service to the national socioeconomic development. Lao PDR founded 3 research stations in 1985 with different roles. NaPhok Station was established for developing plants and rice varieties in the plain field and mountainous zone, Salakham Station was set up for R&D of varieties and to analyze plants disease and insects, and NongTeng Center was founded for R&D of fish species. The National Scientific Technique Committee was established in 1987. In 1999, the Agricultural and Forestry Research Institute was established with 10 research centers, projects, stations and experimental centers in the provinces and districts nationwide to conduct research related to the plantation, livestock, fishery, forestry, agricultural irrigation, meteorology and inundation. In 2000, the Health Science Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 57 Institutes was established with 7 research centers to develop research on health science for improving the analysis of the disease, prevention and treatment system and health promotion in order to ensure good health and long life. The National Authority of Science & Technology (NAST) was formed in 2007 and restructured into the Ministry of Science & Technology (MOST) in 2011. The details are shown in Figure 5-1. Figure 5-1: S&T Institution History Source: Phommaxay, K, 2014 The S&T-related organizations that were visited are described in the following sections divided by sector. A. Government Lao government officials have been able to enact many of their plans in recent history because the economy has been growing briskly thanks to revenues generated by natural resources. Overall, the government has focused on alleviating poverty. Yet, economic growth presents a different set of problems that are associated with increased income. Most of the agencies with which the study team met were interested in addressing the overall development goals of the country through human resources. An immediate concern that ran across all agencies was employment. Another issue that all of the ministries were concerned with was how to include lviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR rural and remote populations in their development plans, which encompass investment and finance. A similar but distinct question was how to decentralize certain aspects of governance including project financing. Some revenue-generating projects provide 30% of income to local governments and 70% to the central government. Local governments also authorize environmental certification for certain project plans. All of the ministries that were met clearly expressed strong coordination between the different sectors. This section will describe more specific responsibilities of these ministries and how they handle STI policies. ∎ Ministry of Industry & Commerce (MIC) The Ministry of Industry & Commerce is the government agency responsible for handling industrial affairs and trade. Since most companies are either state-owned or receive government support, policies are highly important to industrial development. For instance, polices are being formed to add value for mining products and to attract foreign direct investment to Lao PDR. When Lao PDR opened its economy in 1988, foreign companies from Hong Kong and Thailand opened factories by importing machinery to the country. Today, Lao heavy industry concentrates on hydroelectricity and manufacturing, which attracts the most FDI and technology. The mining sector uses these to process exported ore. While still under review during the study visit, the new industrial policy is expected to have certain characteristics. It will have 5 priority sectors: agriculture, garments, construction equipment & products, finished wood products (ex. furniture) and automotive parts. Target industries include herbal medicines and coffee. This policy will support early stages of industry focusing on assembly of imported components. Since 99% of companies are small and medium-sized enterprises and only 0.2% large firms, the policy will focus on SMEs. Post-harvesting technology will also be a focus particularly for tech transfer because the SMEs are mostly owned by farmers. The policy will focus on the domestic market because exports are too competitive and the private sector does not understand innovation. The Lao National Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LNCCI) joined the discussion with MIC, demonstrating the close relationship that the organizations share. The Chamber was established in 1989 as an independent body which represents the business community in Lao PDR. It serves as an interface between state and private enterprises and represents industry across all agencies. It is the largest and most representative business community in Lao PDR. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 59 ∎ Ministry of Energy & Mines (MEM) The Ministry of Energy and Mines became a prominent agency because the sectors it administers generate the greatest amount of income in Lao PDR. This also centrally positions the ministry to the rest of the government and influences many of the development policies that are formulated. The ministry works closely with other parts of the government including the Ministry of Education and Sports (MES), Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF) and the Ministry of Finance (MOF). Governed by the MES, the Steering Committee of Education includes the Secretary of MEM. The committee has been tasked with several responsibilities. It is developing a curriculum for long-term capacity through universities and the general education system, including evaluation of the system including vocational and university study. Evaluation will also include analysis of demand from the market and society. Policies that affect the energy and mining industry impacts on the environment are coordinated with MAF, which evaluates environmental impact. Therefore, the two ministries work closely on these matters. Internally, MEM is divided into different departments that are responsible for sectors that fall under the ministry’s domain. The study team met with representatives from the Department of Energy, Department of Renewable Energy and Department of Mining. One of the main responsibilities of the Department of Energy is to ensure the provision of electricity. It is mandated to provide coverage to the entire country but depends on external sources to meet these demands. In order to engage the private sector, including foreign investment, companies are given concession agreements. For example, foreign direct investment is managed through integrated power producer arrangements, which provide timeframes and regulations such as penalties for late completion. The agreements also require that unskilled labor must be local. While they can come from abroad, equipment and skilled labor should have a domestic/international source ratio of 20/80 that must increase gradually. The budget must also include elements of capacity building of domestic supply to help meet this demand. One HRD program is the EDL Training Center,29) which provides technical training and certification. As part of the country’s commitment to environmental sustainability, the government created the Department of Renewable Energy. Although it has programs 29) Electricité du Lao (EDL) is a national public utility provider. lx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR in biomass, biogas, solar and wind energy, the hydropower sector holds the main policy objectives in economic development, environmental and social development sustainability. Since 80% of the rural population currently depends on charcoal for cooking, the primary renewable energy goals are accessibility and affordability. The energy distribution system is expanding quickly and aims to attach mini-grids to the national grid. Most of the electricity would be used for heating and cooking systems. There are also programs in solar homes, small hydro systems and technologies developed for remote areas. The Department of Mining oversees the single largest sector of the economy. It recognizes that there are still difficulties that exist in the industry. There is a big gap between the education levels provided through domestic and international training. Safety is another problem that is targeted by regulatory and educational policies. Local authorities are increasingly responsible for implementation of these and other programs such as standardization. Most ministries have turned to international aid and cooperation in order to meet developmental demands. These departments similarly used bilateral and multilateral interactions to fulfill their obligations. The World Bank has supported projects in education and energy infrastructure, especially to reach remote populations. Some programs support bilateral interactions including educating students and training staff abroad. While some train in countries like Korea, Japan, China and Germany, others train closer to home in ASEAN countries such as Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia.30) The Lao government recognizes the shift in the development climate and wants to develop sustainable programs. Programmatic sustainability is sought through diversifying sources of ODA and through self-sufficiency. Bilateral support for education programs comes from Japan,31) Germany and even Thailand. The Thai government also sponsors cooking stove projects in rural areas, which specifically replaces World Bank funding. Another World Bank-funded project supports solar home energy systems in remote areas until 2014. The expansion of the electricity grid and energy sources will offset need for continued support. There is also a fund that is being created to support finance of rural area renewable energy projects. While the government is experimenting with tax incentives for rural investment, banks 30) In the Department of Mining alone, 30-40 ministry staff members are participating in the program. 31) JICA supports projects to develop technical standards, which includes budgets for training and monitoring. Its projects also support local authority capacity building. Its projects also support local authority capacity building. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 61 typically will not support those companies with energy projects that are less than 50MW. While the ministry has several plans in place, there are still some areas in which it is uncertain how to proceed. One is standards, specifically how to improve local standards to meet international regulations. Also, while recognizing the need to localize supply chains in mining and energy, Lao PDR does not have the heavy industry capacity needed for these sectors. Import-substitution programs were attempted in parts, transformers and equipment. Technical skill training also demonstrates an area that needs to be improved. The EDL Training Center is the only organization that provides industry training. The Hydro Power and Mining Learning Center was recently established to expand the number of skilled workers. Some recognized limitations of existing HRD programs are that they are reactive or provide only technical skills, which result in slow implementation or capability gaps. For instance, management skills are missing in the economy, which creates a dependence on outside sources of knowledge. ∎ Ministry of Planning & Investment (MPI) The Ministry of Planning and Investment must manage projects internationally, nationally and with district offices. The ministry works with the National Investment Committee to approve projects nationally. The ministry also works with districts on sector projects. Local authorities implement projects directly by providing foreign investors information and services in a “one-stop shop.” Like the rest of the government, the Ministry of Planning and Investment32) has focused on the main industries driving the economy, namely mining and energy. There are 7 departments within the Ministry: planning, one-stop shop for companies, training, legal affairs, administration, international investment cooperation and investment promotion. One of the departments created to help facilitate investor activity is the “one-stop shop” that provides all functions that an investor might need.33) ODA is another source of investment for the government. It is well-known that it is a significant portion of ministry budgets. 32) When the study team met with the Ministry of Planning and Investment, the conversation was kept informal to facilitate discussion. 33) The “One-stop Shop” is actually housed in the Ministry of Planning and Investment and the window is the first thing noticed upon entering the building. lxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR During the second field visit, the study team visited the Department of Investment at the Ministry of Planning and Investment because it was directly responsible for negotiations dealing with foreign investors. The department responsibilities are to promote investment, attract FDI & domestic investment, evaluate investment proposals,34) consider background, financial and experience and to provide licenses. The Department mostly supports small, local businesses because supporting largescale business, i.e. hydropower, is impossible due to insufficient capacity or demand. There are a few STI products that are promoted like importing turbines and transmission lines for NT2. Yet, EDL gets only 10% of electricity from NT2 so the ability to develop domestic companies is constrained. The ministry has been developing its capacity to plan development considering a wide range of aspects. The government is mid-way through its 5 year plan, which tries to balance industrial development with environmental sustainability and social welfare (including education). Historically, the military is given much attention, especially given the country’s ties with the former Soviet Union, whose base was built on military capabilities. A more contemporary concern is how integration into organizations like the WTO and the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) will impact development in the country. Another problem is how to deal with illicit drugs and managing opium cultivation and slash-and-burn practices. In comparison to neighboring countries, the Lao economy is perceived to be weak. To move it forward, the government would like to develop at least one product that can drive the economy but progress in this area has been slow. Infrastructure projects, especially dams, have drawn the most investment, including government spending, ODA and FDI. While hydropower is a source of revenue and power, there are limitations. There is limited potential for scale up and energy is still unavailable when rainfall is low. In general, the international community has been supportive of technology promotion, so the ministry must consider how to distribute these types of funds. Policy to improve productivity, however, has not used terms like “innovation” and “national innovation systems”, which are new to the ministry and even the language itself.35) Therefore, STI policy is not generally considered. Since STI is typically overlooked, many policies attempt to increase inputs by attracting investments, i.e. 34) Natural resource projects require a presentation/negotiation on benefits for establishing business. 35) This fact came up in discussions with several officials from Lao PDR. The National Workshop in October also included tangential talks regarding this. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 63 FDI. Since the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) is still new, there are few regulations and laws that govern technology. It still needs to develop its institutional capabilities such as enforcing standards. Its mission is still unclear to some officials at MPI. However, agriculture still employs about 70% of the workforce, so most policies seek to increase agricultural productivity, which reaches only 27% of possible output. Technology promotion in agricultural sector is important but it is still weak. ∎ Ministry of Finance The STI budget is allocated by MPI and approved by the National Assembly each year. Before that, MOST prepares an STI budget to present to the Ministry of Finance (MOF), which reviews and allocates it based on guiding principles set in the law and related regulations. Moreover, 1% of capital expenditure in each fiscal year is allocated for the STI fund and other sources as stipulated in current Science and Technology Law. Managed by the Ministry of Finance, the STI budget is spread between the National Social Science Council, National Science Council, National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI) and the Ministry of Science & Technology (Figure 5-2). Additionally, the STI Fund for R&D is meant to provide 1% of capital expenditure through domestic revenue and other sources of funding (e.g. ODA, grants, fees, etc.; see Table 5-2.). In the 2012/2013 budget, the Lao central government found liquidity to be a problem that limited its ability to meet the STI Fund target. The following year, the financial situation improved through budget cuts but was insufficient to meet the funding goal. Expenditures were cut by 1% of GDP across-the-board in the second half of 2013 to reduce budget deficits and improve liquidity. Table 5-2: Budget Allocation for STI 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 Capital expenditure 2,200 2,985 3,300 STI 22 22 22 % 1.00 0.74 0.67 Note: in billions of Lao kip. Source: Soulivath, S, 2014 lxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Figure 5-2: Budget Allocation by Agencies in FY 2013-2014 Source: Soulivath, S, 2014 MOF set up its fiscal development strategy to 2025 and vision to 2030 and decided to support the 8th Socio-Economic Development Plan for 2016-2020 including STI. Their goal is to improve revenue collection and expenditure management. With better fiscal position, higher budget allocation to STI is expected. ∎ Ministry of Science & Technology (National Authority for Science & Technology) Originally formed as the Science Committee for S&T, the National Authority for Science & Technology (NAST) was moved under the Prime Minister’s Office in 2007. NAST acted as a secretary to the central government and manages S&T, intellectual property (IP), standardization and metrology, even formulating legislation. It later evolved into the Ministry of Science & Technology (MOST), a new ministry within the Lao government as of 2012. The central agency works with the local governments through the Provincial Department for Science and Technology (PDST). Since its creation, MOST has also moved further to build its capacity. During the first field visit in the spring of 2013, several STI functions such as IPR and e-government were managed by other ministries, i.e. the Ministries of Commerce and Post & Communications, and several research institutes were managed by other ministries. The Ministry of Commerce still handles IPR as part of the WTO Trade-related Aspects of Intellectual Property (TRIPs) Agreement and FDI36). By the second field visit, the ministry had consolidated several STI functions under its 36) In 2011, Ministry of Post & Communication has taken over the administration of an e-government software project funded by Chinese ($35M loan) and with master planning support from India. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 65 authority. It opened its Department of Intellectual Property and administered the Renewable Energy and New Materials Institute, Biotechnology & Ecology Institute37) and Computer Technology & Electronics Institute38) (CTEI). Under CTEI, there are software development programs to establish learning enterprises, language localization, and e-government software for national and provincial use. Nationally, the ministry will operate in coordination with the Science Council. The Science Council is also a new government institution under formation. It will provide project funds and establish priorities. As part of project monitoring and evaluation, evaluation will happen periodically every 2-3 years and decisions will be based on efficacy. Despite a limited budget and lack of awareness of its mission and priorities in the rest of the government, the ministry has managed to accomplish much. Since its establishment, it has submitted several laws to the National Assembly. Its first two proposed laws were on intellectual property and electronic transactions. Another law was designed to encourage socioeconomic development and ease integration into the regional and international arena, especially in relation to the ASEAN Economic Community. The ministry is responsible for international STI cooperation and for establishing a standards regime, including international requirements defined by organizations such as the WTO. Given current capabilities, MOST prefers bilateral cooperation because it is simpler. Lao PDR collaborates with South Korea, China, India, EU and other ASEAN countries. Its collaboration attempts to overcome its shortcomings in R&D capacity and funding. The Lao MOST has an MOU with the Vietnamese MOST to facilitate collaboration between the countries at the national level. This collaboration is also enabled by the similar levels of development and governing systems in both countries. China and India have also provided support technology support to Lao PDR. ∎ Ministry of Sports & Education (MSE) The Ministry of Sports and Education (MSE) is a prime agency for development 37) Originally reporting to the Ministry of Agriculture, the Biotechnology & Ecology Institute has 6 divisions: the directorate, biotechnology, genetic resources, chemical technology and technical services. It was established in early 2013. It has 4 programmatic units: data information, tech transfer, biodiversity database, and conversion. 38) There are 30 staff members at CTEI including non-technical personnel. lxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR according to core capacity-building plans. In discussions, core capacity for development was primarily human resource capacities that would enable industry to produce higher levels of output and technology. Its current plan will i) achieve cohesion between education and sports, ii) link industrial demand to supply, and iii) link demand and supply to national development strategies. Although the Ministry of Labor heads a committee to develop policies on HRD, a perceived bottleneck is that the education system does not provide the necessary labor for industry. The ministry tries to address the concession agreement requirement that foreign companies must hire up to 80% of its labor domestically. Despite growth in mining and hydropower, companies are unable to find the necessary skilled labor. If this is not addressed, industry will face continued problems. The ministry recognizes that most Laotians are living on subsistence agriculture. These farmers most are considered small companies, which makes formulating policies for microenterprises difficult. Previously, educational strategy focused on primary education and expected a linear progression into secondary education. The strategy neglected vocational (TVET) and higher education. Newer programs try to better understand TVET demand and target a vocational workforce by providing vouchers and training in automotive, construction, business service and furniture sectors to meet future needs. The ministry is also integrating ICT into education, especially to reach remote populations. A cyber university program (e-learning university) was initiated with support from KOICA. The ministry is working on HRD programs with the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank. One ADB project assists the placement of workers in difficult, dirty and dangerous jobs because most want to go into white collar jobs like banking. Like other government ministries, S&T policy is not widely recognized and requires in-depth discussions and explanation. B. University There is only one national university in Lao PDR, the National University of Laos. The study team visited the university to understand the position and process of higher education in the country. The university sits at the apex of the education system and is not a source of R&D for the economy. It largely responds to student demands and thus provides skills in areas that feed into white-collar jobs in the service industry (see Figure 5-3). The students that pursue careers outside of agriculture have preferred the service Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 67 sector over industry, as described in Chapter 3. Students from the primary education system have increasingly gone on to secondary education. A small percentage of secondary schooling is comprised of vocational training. Of those that continue into secondary education, a higher number have pursued tertiary education than expected. The preferred areas of study are typically office-oriented such as business administration and marketing. The job market, however, has few of these jobs available. Figure 5-3: Analysis of Human Resource Development System ∎ National University of Laos (NUL) The National University of Laos (NUL) was established in 1996 by consolidating departments from existing colleges into 11 faculties on eight campuses in Vientiane. It currently provides bachelors’ and a few masters’ degree programs. There are also joint PhD programs with Vietnamese and Chinese universities. The primary object of the university is to improve education quality, which is still not at international levels (both professors and students).39) The World Bank is working with the government and the university to build education capacity. University enrollment has ballooned to over 30,000 in less than two decades. There has been an increasingly large number of students enrolling with over 20,000 students starting in recent years. Class sizes are too large and teaching quality has suffered. 39) Cambodia and Laos were found to still be at a disadvantage when evaluated for ASEAN integration. lxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Professors have little time to conduct research. In addition to upgrading facilities and equipment, target reforms include developing HR and research capacity. Although the university administration recognizes that relying excessively on collaboration weakens implementation, stopgap measures to compensate for research capacity and quality include using international cooperation. The university is part of the ASEAN University Network and has created around 100 memorandums of understanding (MOUs) with research entities in 23 countries. While they are focusing on improving education and research quality first, government leaders also understand the importance of industry and university interaction. There are initiatives to improve industrial relations but students favor white collar jobs in business and IT located in Vientiane that are oversaturated. There is growing demand for engineers, especially mechanical, IT, electrical and civil engineers. Before fully leveraging industry-oriented education, current engineering programs need to be improved. English speaking skills is another important matter for building capacity. There are some initiatives that have started to target industry. The department of engineering began requiring students to undergo practical training at companies. Additionally, the department meets every 3 months to discuss methodology and curriculum. This is an opportunity for industry to improve manpower. The Lao Incubation Center was created to allow new graduates to develop business skills, training and funding. There is an IT focus which was proposed to be expanded to include more subjects. An industry unit is needed to manage this and other industry-related activities such as job fairs. Other possible areas to focus university R&D for industry include processing of agriculture such as dried fruit, maize for animal feed, and cricket preservation for food products. C. Research Organizations Research organizations typically provide sources of science and technology (S&T) for an economy. When research institutes are funded by the government, the resulting S&T is a public good that should provide general benefits to the economy. In Lao PDR, this often takes the form of data that is provided to international NGOs that look for indicators regarding the environment, education, or public health. The bottleneck that is seen here is that this type of research is difficult to transform into development into commercial products and services. Korea provides an interesting contrast because its public research institutes were specifically created to Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 69 assist industry transfer technology from foreign sources and to build its endogenous capacities. The research institutes in Lao PDR do not directly support the development of its economy. The dependence on foreign sources of funding suggests that these organizations directly or indirectly influence the research activities of the institutes. In this case, the research activities are confined to data collection on biodiversity, climate change, education, and health. The needs of industry are not met because firms are incapable of performing R&D or lack the financial resources to generate demand (see Figure 5-4). Figure 5-4: Analysis of R&D System ∎ Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute The National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI) of Lao PDR was established with a donation from the French government in the 1970s. Its early research focused on soil, but after 1989 it shifted its main mission to include economic development and biodiversity. Today, its research specializes in rice and has over 14,000 samples, which is second only to India, and its outreach programs include education programs on biodiversity in elementary school curricula. Since agriculture is still the base of the economy for most of the population, this sector is central to plans for poverty alleviation. Since 1999, NAFRI has worked to increase farmer productivity. As the primary implantation agency for research support for economic development under the Agriculture Development Master Plan, NAFRI has some programs focus lxx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR on adaptive technologies to localize and conserve agriculture like machinery that can increase productivity and prevent soil erosion. It also trains farmers and conducts policy research on subjects like the impact of rubber cultivation. Current programs are looking to target agricultural products that can be sold to neighboring countries. Animal feed is one of these products that can be transported to Thailand, Vietnam or China. Forestry is another area of focus for policy studies. Forest diversity requires wider study for its environmental and economic impacts which are derived from competing uses of the resources. Forests provide lumber and non-timber forestry products like honey, but it also uses land that might otherwise be used for farming, which is a concern for food security. Rice and coffee are crops that are obvious commodities that can also be researched and developed. NAFRI’s international collaboration projects tend to focus on biodiversity including CIRAD (French Agriculture Research for Development), the Conservation Network of Southeast Asia (CONSEA) and the Mekong River Commission. Work with the latter includes monitoring the impacts of hydropower dams on the river and its environment. NAFRI also works on biodiversity research with the Agrobiodiversity Institute, a collaboration between Lao PDR and the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation. ∎ Institute for Educational Administration Development (IEAD) The Institute for Educational Administration Development was established in 2011 with the function and mission to provide short training for the whole country including provincial education services. The Institute analyzes education equity and quality, which are emphasized by the Education Sector Development Plan. The institute is developing training and higher education programs for education administrators, teachers and instructors. The institute has also been tasked with building infrastructure and establishing ICT programs to increase accessibility. There are still human resource and financing limitations in the education sector. UNESCO supports the development and implementation of e-learning projects. The Chinese government and companies are supporting the Lao Ministry of Education and Sports in education in order to create a stream of human resources for Chinese firms based in the special economic zones. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 71 ∎ Renewable Energy & New Materials Institute, Ministry of Science & Technology The Renewable Energy and New Materials Institute (REMI), under the Ministry of Science and Technology, conducts research on biogas and biodiesel. The institute’s mission addresses social problems rather than industrial or economic ones. As a new research institute, the institute is beginning to research how to apply appropriate technology in these areas. For instance, biofuel stove technology is imported from China and Nepal to decrease dependence on charcoal, which causes greater health complications. While it collaborates with domestic and international organizations, the institute institute focuses on appropriate technologies that reduce emissions. It cooperates with a domestic association to disseminate and install the technology to rural areas. Despite lacking any PhD researchers, REMI does not collaborate with universities that might increase the output level of R&D. Research areas are separated, so the institute does not collaborate with universities or other parts of the government. The National University of Laos handles research on HRD and the Ministry of Energy and Mines focuses on energy and policy issues, even for renewable energy projects. Since there is a shortage of experts in alternative energy and mechanical engineering, foreign experts are generally used for knowledge transfer and to bridge gaps in human resources. There is no industry interaction but some companies carry out their own research. D. Non-government Organizations ∎ Nam Theun 2 Power Company (NT2) Nam Theun 2 Power Company is the first hydroelectric dam project in Lao PDR that was made possible through a public-private partnership guaranteed by the World Bank. Although it has a potential of 6000 GWH, the dam was not economically viable because the domestic economy was only able to use less than five percent of its output. To begin, the project required private sector assurance and distributed risk among twenty-seven institutions. The hydroelectric dam project started by guaranteeing to provide ninety-five percent of its electricity for export. Thai EGAT, the electricity company of Thailand, became the guaranteed buyer at a set price. In order to begin operating, Nam Theun 2 imported technology and expertise. The concession agreements became the mechanism that enforced and provided financing and technology for the project. With all the international partners involved, lxxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR the agreements were also a means to introduce best practices to Laotian industry and government. In addition to the financial, labor and technology specifications, the agreements instituted social welfare provisions for the affected populations. E. Industry ∎ Dao-Heuang Group Headquartered in Vientiane, the Dao-Heuang Group is a conglomerate that specializes in import-export and consumer goods. It began as an importing company that supplied international goods to the domestic market and exporting raw materials abroad. The founder of the Dao-Heuang Group originally developed business plans based on exposure and knowledge of foreign business management. It now has dutyfree shops at airports and border checkpoints. Since Lao PDR is landlocked, the Dao-Heuang Group targets neighboring country markets, mainly with sugar, instant coffee and organic foods. Plans also include expansion into pharmaceuticals. Coffee is one of the Dao-Heuang Group’s principal consumer products. The business model is based on the Vietnamese coffee industry. Local coffee is sourced from domestic farmers. In order to develop its production capacity, instant-drying technology was imported from Denmark. The company financed the venture using bank loans. In order to access skilled labor to operate and maintain the technology, Vietnamese workers are employed. The company has also been supported with government policies including tax exemptions for exports and land concessions. Restrictions on foreign ownership of property also encouraged foreign direct investment to partner with companies like Dao-Heuang. ∎ Electricité du Lao (EDL) Electricité du Lao is a state-owned utility company under the Ministry of Energy and Mines that autonomously manages the hydroelectric production in the country. Lao PDR uses international agreements to meet market demand for electricity. The agreements are used to arrange financing, technology and expertise to facilitate the functioning of its electricity infrastructure. The government is expanding its infrastructure and was advised to build a smart grid. Feasibility studies are being conducted using technology supplied by US companies. Pilot projects are held in industrial zones with funding from China. The next stage of the project will commence in 2015. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 73 Hydroelectric dams were first established using public-private partnership models that enabled their construction. All dams are suppliers to Electricité du Lao. Electricity generation is handled internally and externally through independent and small power producers. There is usually a surplus of electricity but it is seasonal, so Lao PDR must import during the dry season. Electricité du Lao buys electricity from companies that construct the dams but does not work directly with construction companies from the dam. The company supplies electricity to Lao PDR nationally and exports to neighboring countries. There is limited capacity to meet household demand but ninety percent of the population is connected to the grid. Industry is the main consumer of electricity, especially in the industrial zones. Companies that consume to most electricity are mainly steel-rolling factories, hotels and other manufacturing firms. Many companies are under Chinese control through investment/land ownership, which is why China funds related projects. ∎ ETL ETL provides telephone and internet communications services in Lao PDR. Although it is a state-owned enterprise, ETL operates independently from the government. The technology for the hardware and software infrastructure was acquired from abroad through licensing. Since it began, it has been growing quickly in subscribership and in the number of services, focused on the domestic market. Through advertising and market development (i.e. new services), it targets tourists and young users. It mainly licenses its technology in an attempt to keep up with the rapid pace of global technology. ETL is expanding its services to increase its market appeal, especially for young Laotians and tourists. SMS is currently limited by Lao language availability and literacy. There are in-house and outsourced customization services being developed but there are few suppliers and experts who have the technical capabilities. These limitations also extend to policy, which creates an environment that allows the company to operate more freely but also fails to support necessary infrastructure required for growth. Policy can encumber the company by imposing regulations that are difficult to meet. For instance, ETL is expected to provide universal coverage throughout the country but this means that it must enter markets that are not profitable. HRD is an area that requires attention for the company to become more competitive because the education system does not provide needed skills for the company to lxxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR operate fully. ∎ Pharmaceutical Company No. 2 The Pharmaceutical Company No. 2 is a state-owned enterprise that uses imported machinery at two factories to produce 200 medicines for four hospitals. The Ministry of Health manages factory production goals, which now includes integration into the ASEAN Community. A new factory is planned in anticipation. It develops the formulas domestically but originated in the former Soviet Union and Germany. The company currently produces vaccines but cannot expand its production. The company employs twenty pharmacists, who are trained at the pharmacy college at the medical school and an herbal medical school in Lao PDR. 3. Pilot Survey of S&T-related Stakeholders The national workshop was held in October 2013 in collaboration with the DOST of the Laotian government. Prior to the workshop, a pilot survey was conducted and circulated to 55 experts from different sectors including the government, university, research institute, industry, international organizations and NGOs. In the form of multiple-choice, the pilot survey was conducted during the months of May-July 2013 in order to identify the main sectorial STI priorities by asking the respondents to select key criteria and alternatives for industrial promotion, development and acquisition of technology, funding sources, policy-making organizations, major actors for implementation and role of government, and policy measures. The survey form and results can be found in Appendix 4 of this report. Table 5-3 below shows the list of the survey’s responding organizations. Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 75 Table 5-3: Stakeholders Surveyed Sector Organization Ministry of Planning and Investment Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Ministry of Industry and Commerce Government Ministry of Science and Technology Ministry of Education and Sports Ministry of Information Culture and Tourism Ministry of Energy and Mines National University of Lao University University of Health Sciences Souksavath College Sengsavanh College National Economic Research Institute Research Institute National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute Research Institute for Educational Sciences Dao Heuang Group Industry Nam Theun 2 Power Company Venture International Joint Stock Company Phoubia Mining Company Care International NGO Oxfam International Child Fund International Handicap International Lao National Unexploded Ordnance (UXO) Programme Food and Agriculture Organization International organization United Nations Population Fund United Nations Office on Drug and Crime World Health Organization Initially, a second survey was planned utilizing the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method based on the key criteria and alternatives derived from the pilot survey. The AHP was chosen to identify the priorities in order to address Lao PDR socioeconomic needs. AHP is a method first developed in the 1970s and has been extensively applied since then. AHP facilitates the process of prioritization among lxxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR conflicting issues by decomposing the problem into a hierarchical structure. Four discussion models were developed decomposing it into four levels: objective (level 1), criteria 1 (level 2), criteria 2 (level 3) and alternative (level 4). Figure 5-5 below is an illustrative structure of the AHP. The results of the pilot survey were presented during the STI Strategy workshop held in October 2013 in Vientiane, Lao PDR. However, due to complications arisen from the survey, the AHP survey (main survey) was discontinued for reasons mentioned later in this section. Instead, a brainstorming discussion was organized to set STI priorities. Despite the fact that the AHP was discontinued, implications can be drawn from the establishment of the four sets of discussion models. Figure 5-5: Structure of AHP Survey As can be seen from the figure above, based on the results of the pilot survey four discussion models were developed intended to identify the priority areas for Lao PDR. The comparison of different pairings of key criteria and alternatives would have identified which of the pairings would successfully satisfy the needs of Lao PDR. In order for Lao PDR to promote its industrialization, upon setting the objective a discussion model was devised by posing the following questions: ● Why does the Laotian economy want to promote its industry? ● How is Lao PDR going to promote it? ● What area needs to be promoted? Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 77 The pairing of creation of added value in the agricultural sector successively scored 4.3 and 4.4, ranking highest among other criteria and alternatives, whereas the issue of cheap labor and the pharmaceutical sector ranked lowest by respectively ranking both 3.4. Although the alternatives dimension has shown a stratified result showing which option best suited Lao PDR, in case of the criteria other recommended issues such as the creation of jobs, market opportunity, adoption of export industrialization or import substitution also ranked fairly high, reaching near 4.0 and rendering the results less meaningful. Second, with regard to the aim of developing and acquiring technology, the second discussion model was developed. Questions that were discussed are the following: ● Why does Lao PDR need to develop technology? ● How can Lao PDR secure its development and acquisition? ● What kind of technology needs to be promoted? The reason behind the need to develop technology was to enable sustainable development of Lao PDR and acquiring hydro technology was prioritized, scoring 4.4 and 4.1. Surprisingly, the issue of developing absorptive capacity ranked lowest when in fact sustainable development and its absorptive capacity goes hand in hand. With regard to the type of technology that needs to be promoted, biotechnology ranked lowest by scoring 3.8, which is understandable taking into account Lao PDR’s insufficient investment in the pharmaceutical sector. Third, for the priority setting concerned with funding sources, the role of government as a policy-making organization and major actors for implementation scheme was devised. The process was based on the following questions that are: ● ● ● ● How can limited resources be utilized efficiently and effectively? What funding principle is important? Where can funding come from? Who will be responsible for implementation? In order to boost the Laotian economy, the issue using funding effectively was deemed most pressing by scoring 4.4, followed by sustainability and ownership, whereas its scale received less attention. As an alternative, public investment ranked first and ODA ranked lowest due to its issue of volatility and unpredictability. Regarding the policy-making role of government, three proposed criteria, funding lxxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR management leadership, general leadership, and financial procurement ability, ranged above 4.0 whereas its role in mediation and vision ranked lowest. The Ministry of Education & Sports and the Ministry of Planning & Investment were identified as key institutions within the Laotian government. Even while acknowledging the complexity related to the governance, the results highlight the confusion within the Laotian government. Universities were perceived as the major actors for implementation by scoring 4.4 followed by research institutes and private companies, while the role of the government was in designing the policies. Last but not least, the fourth discussion model is concerned with identifying the measure and policies that will boost the Laotian economy. The model was set upon the following questions: ● What coordination mechanism is better? ● Which measure is the priority for Lao PDR’s STI-based economic development plan? Although at first glance the role given to universities as major actors for implementation can be perceived an outlier, the perception of universities as the main actor for implementation is aligned when considering the fact that all have emphasized the HRD program as the priority measure area followed by research institutes. The results imply that lack of HRD was clearly perceived as a constraint in achieving the proposed objectives, which explains why universities were consistently ranked as the primary actor to achieve them. HRD is the key for Lao PDR to graduate from its status of LDC and overcome poverty. It is the responsibility of the university to generate high-quality education and necessary human resources that will meet the needs of the country. Contrary to the intention of identifying the best pairing that would allow Lao PDR to satisfy its needs, overall the results of AHP have proven to be unreliable due to numerous reasons. First, priorities greatly differed depending on the organization the respondents were affiliated with. Second, the majority of respondents responded that almost all the proposed criteria and alternatives needed improvement, making hierarchical structuring and comparison of pairings difficult and irrelevant. The results of AHP have shown that regardless of the objective in concern, the ranking among proposed criteria and alternatives clustered between 3.5 and 4.5. Also, despite the fact that a significant number of organizations participated in the survey, international organizations did not provide feedback. However, the results Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 79 have shown that lack of HRD was clearly perceived as a constraint in achieving the proposed objectives. Universities were consistently ranked as the primary actor to achieve the objectives followed by research institutes. Private companies were consistently ranked at the bottom, possibly in recognition of the weakness of industrial actors. Although the results of the survey did not provide a definitive answer that would best fit Laotian circumstances, insights can be drawn from the pilot survey and discussion models established for AHP. The purpose of conducting AHP is not only to find the best pair but also to understand the underlying problem. The fact that most of the responses were tilted towards areas “to be improved” means that there is insufficient alignment among the stakeholders constraining the comparative method of pairings of the AHP. This is the reason the second survey was discontinued. For instance, lack of alignment is visible from the results of the second discussion model in which the purpose of acquiring technology was to sustain the Laotian economy in the long term. However Lao PDR will not meet its objective unless it tries to diversify its industry rather than persisting to rely on its primary industries, mining and electricity. For Lao PDR to attain a sustainable economy the criteria of developing technological absorptive capacity should have been prioritized. 4. Summary and Implications The main coordinating body in the central government is the Ministry of Planning and Investment (MPI). For the National Strategy 2020 currently being developed, the core capacity-building policy focuses on human resource development (HRD). The major STI stakeholders in Lao PDR were visited and surveyed to understand their relationships and gauge their capacities to fulfill their functions under the policies. While the statistical research conducted showed that Lao PDR has a small market with limited human resources, the field survey confirmed and expanded the information that the study could use for the diagnosis of the innovation system. While several stakeholders had some capacity, others did not and will require programs that will help bridge the gap to enable achievement of policy goals. The research found several bottlenecks of the innovation system in Lao PDR. Firms are dependent on imported technology and human resources. Even in manufacturing and processing, capital is imported at a premium. The supply chain lxxx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR is also weak because there are few providers that can be found in the system. Similarly, competitive financing is typically unavailable to Lao companies. Yet, R&D capacity found in the research institutes and university are highly limited and do not meet the needs of industry. NAFRI focuses on agricultural research that largely remains in repositories rather than support industrialization. REMI conducts research to absorb technologies supported by foreign donors but do not improve competitiveness. Rather than improving their market position, firms become ensconced in low-value sectors. Most stakeholders are narrowly focused on their sectors with weak linkages between them. The policies described in the previous chapter have not fully addressed the needs of the stakeholders. As the mechanism that coordinates the different parts of government, the National Socioeconomic Development Plan defines objectives and resources to implement programs. Various ministries work with the stakeholders in the sectors for which they are responsible. For the HRD plan, the Ministry of Education and Sports (MES) interacts directly with non-government actors like the National University of Laos (NUL). The pilot survey also confirmed the expected role of the University in the economy. Past implementation of HRD programs have focused on basic education and higher education was neglected in spite of increased demand. This has left the main agent in higher education overwhelmed with its teaching responsibilities and incapable of meeting research goals. Industry is uncompetitive in the global market, which means it cannot serve as an engine of the economy. Firms developed capacities in certain areas40) but are otherwise constrained in their capacities. These constraints stem from a lack of innovation capacity. Normally, this might be overcome through interactions with universities or R&D institutes. NUL, the largest university, has no research capacity. In economically advanced countries, markets are used to coordinate activities between stakeholders but this is absent in developing economies like Lao PDR. These market failures result in weak sources of R&D, which is required for innovation. The R&D institutes have fewer resources and capacities, which are dependent on international non-profit and donor organizations. Other industrial actors that are based on public-private partnership (PPP) are also isolated from domestic actors and dependent on international aid. Through the pilot survey, stakeholders said that they prefer domestic sources of support over ODA. Some stakeholders have failed 40) These will be expanded on in the next chapter Chapter 5 Results & Analysis of Field Survey Interviews & Pilot Survey 81 to develop sources of innovation, which may suggest that they are overly influenced by donor objectives. The implication of this research is that policies should support industrialization activities by adding value through STI infrastructure including mission research and HRD. Increasing added value requires innovation capacity that is missing. By targeting specific technologies, Lao PDR may be more successful at localizing them through mission research and HRD programs. lxxxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Chapter 6│Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 1. Diagnosis Lao PDR has been caught in a poverty trap and only recently began to develop its economy. In order for this to be economically sustainable, the government should address certain bottlenecks in the Lao innovation system. This section diagnoses the bottlenecks within the innovation system that need to be addressed. The initial stage of development that all countries face is that of an agrarian society. Until recently, Lao PDR was one of the world’s least developed countries (see Figure 6-1). Its small population is still dominated by peasantry that survives on subsistence farming. Trade and budget deficits prohibit the government from effectively developing the economy, especially industry. Without minimum economic growth, the country is stuck in a poverty trap. Figure 6-1: Diagnosis of Poverty The Lao economy has been able to increase its income by exploiting its natural resources. Fortunately, it has an abundance of resources that have become highly valuable in the global economy such as copper and hydroelectricity. These resources Chapter 6 Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 83 have been exported to global consumers. In the case of energy, the World Bank and neighboring Thailand have provided the financing and FDI for the technology and infrastructure necessary for the industry as well. Exports, however, have caused “Dutch disease” that drives up the prices of Lao goods and services in the global market by increasing the value of its currency. The result of a stronger kip is that manufacturing and other exports are less competitive. Since companies cannot compete, they are less able to provide quality jobs. This forms a sort of natural resources trap41) (see Figure 6-2). Figure 6-2: Diagnosis of Natural Resource Trap Another notable accomplishment of Lao PDR is fulfilling many of its UN Millennium Development Goals, namely decreasing its infant mortality and increasing its primary education levels. The two factors have led to increased levels of enrollment in secondary and tertiary education. These increased pressures on the education system have overburdened the university system. Tertiary education has not been able to keep pace because there are insufficient professors available to teach and train young people entering schools. This means that there are inadequately trained 41) In contrast to Collier’s natural resources trap, foreign investors have greater influence on finance and its policies that distort the rest of the economy’s ability to develop capacities in industry, HR, and R&D. lxxxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR and insufficient skilled workers feeding into the workforce. Engineers are needed in the booming sectors of mining and electricity but the supply in these fields are limited. Instead, students prefer white collar business jobs in Vientiane. These jobs, however, are saturated. There is a policy gap between the education output and the job market (see Figure 6-3). Figure 6-3: Diagnosis of HRD Policy Gap Another structural bottleneck is the isolation of industry and science relationship (ISR). While universities educate the workforce, they also provide research to the innovation system. However, professors are unable to perform research functions of their job and within the innovation system of Lao PDR. Further, the lack of funds from within Lao PDR means that the research that is performed is funded through foreign contracts. These contracts are generally in agriculture, health and the environment, which are interests of foreign donors. This type of research does not generally support industry demands, so the research community is further isolated from industry. Thus, industry is still left with an uncompetitive, non-improving product but is isolated from research that might improve it (see Figure 6-4). Chapter 6 Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 85 Figure 6-4: Diagnosis of Research Isolation The Lao government, often with the support of international agencies, has pursued several approaches to improve the economy. Government leaders of Lao PDR have set their policies to improve the economy through a focus on HRD. The planning has been highly coordinated and involves different branches of government such as the Ministries of Education & Sports, Industry & Commerce, Mines & Energy and Science & Technology. The Ministry of Education & Sports leads the development of the HRD plan through macroeconomic approaches, which are necessary given the deficiencies found in HR, education and market. These policies are in line with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), which primarily focused on health and education, especially related to the young. The difference is that the MDGs lacked programmatic sustainability and industrial aspects. The HRD focus may be seen as an attempt to correct this but may still fall short since STI elements are limited. These shortcomings are seen in Lao PDR and the MDG results in general.42) In other words, the bottlenecks were neglected and problems persisted. The policy plans also target specific industrial areas that have immediate strategic 42) Architects of the next stage of MDGs are focusing on Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in attempt to address these shortcomings. lxxxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR importance, i.e. mining, energy and agriculture. Because most of the population still works in it, agriculture is central to poverty-alleviating schemes. Mining and energy have higher importance because they draw high amounts of foreign direct investment and are principally responsible for the largest part of the economic growth that the country has experienced in the past decade. While growth has occurred rapidly, it has occurred without much direct involvement of policy interventions. Policymakers have allowed foreign investors to create infrastructure to enable the creation of many sectors in mining and energy. They have little experience beyond this initial stage of market creation. Goals that ministry officials shared included trying to use new revenue to promote industry and trying to develop HR (through tertiary education). The plans, however, tended to be vague in implementation and or not focused on core capacities. Moreover, these conditions generally reinforced each other creating vicious circles. 2. Suggested Solutions The diagnosis identified the bottlenecks that keep the Lao economy from developing: poverty, natural resource trap, isolation of industry R&D, and policy gaps between education and the market (see Figure 6-5). Figure 6-5: Overview of Diagnosis Chapter 6 Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 87 To address these bottlenecks, several solutions are suggested (see Figure 6-6) ● ● ● ● Targeting products for industrial promotion and job creation Creating STI infrastructure programs including mission research Supporting strategic HRD programs Using policy measures (procurement and resource mobilization) through a steering governance mechanism Figure 6-6: Potential Solutions The solutions aim to reduce poverty through industrial promotion and job creation, which would provide greater income and economic growth. In order to accomplish this, products need to be identified for industry. Since the domestic market is too small to support this naturally, export goods can provide demand. However, industry lacks the capacity to be competitive in exports to the global market. Therefore, it is necessary to provide R&D and human resource support to enable the firms to take part in the global value chain. As part of STI infrastructure building, mission research programs would be created to fill the void created by isolation of industrial R&D. Strategic HRD programs would similarly provide the necessary skilled workers for the targeted products. To coordinate these elements, a governance mechanism to steer the policies and resources must be created. This mechanism would identify the resources available domestically and internationally to direct towards necessary programs including research and procurement. lxxxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 3. Possible Business Models Suggested The field survey uncovered four possible business models in the Lao economy. These models were analyzed to see which would enable growth and what bottlenecks need to be corrected to improve business flows. A. Tech Spillover from FDI (NT2) Nam Theun 2 is a public-private partnership that exemplifies technology spillover as a result of foreign direct investment (see Figure 6-7). The project created several positive socioeconomic effects, not least of which was positive economic growth. The impact on industry has been direct and indirect. A direct effect is that infrastructure that has been built has been developed directly for export. While ODA bridges some of the gaps, it is still necessary to consider building out infrastructure that serves the domestic market. Spillover has not occurred as readily since the economy lacks capacity in human resources and technology, which has created a dependence on imported manpower and components. The same is true for the finance market since there is little domestic financing available. While hydroelectric power is a renewable energy source, it has limited scalability. The mining industry follows a similar development pattern but is dependent on scarce resources. Both of these industries cause harmful effects to the environment, which can be compensated for at best. Figure 6-7: Tech Spillover from FDI Chapter 6 Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 89 B. Tech Localization for Import Substitution (Dao-Heuang Group) The Dao-Heuang Group is a successful company that began in primary industry selling sugar along the technology localization for import substitution (see Figure 6-8). It has since expanded to include other products, coffee in particular. Its growth has been dependent on weak competition domestically. The government has been able to provide the company with concessions and favorable regulations. While this protection may have been necessary early on, it leaves the company ill-suited for increased global competition, especially in the shadow of the ASEAN Community. The rest of the economy is more negatively affected because there is a weak production chain. Since the company has grown vertically, there are few suppliers that have been built around this fledgling conglomerate. Not only is the company dependent on imported technology but the innovation system also has few players that might have provided more capacities. Since the products have been largely sold domestically, the global competitiveness of the company and its products is uncertain. Figure 6-8: Tech Localization for Import Substitution C. Tech Localization for Export Promotion (Pharmaceutical Factory No. 2) Pharmaceutical Factory No. 2 is a state-owned company that uses technology localization to promote exports (see Figure 6-9). While its primary consumers are currently domestic hospitals, the recent addition of a factory to expand into ASEAN markets demonstrates its export promotion strategy. There are several obstacles that exist that will make its foray into exports difficult. Since it is a state-owned company, it operates in a monopoly system where it faces little competition. Its technology xc STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR must continue to be imported because the innovation system cannot support independent development of new drug formulas or API (active pharmaceutical ingredient). The HRD process keeps this system caught in this position for the foreseeable future. The company has scarcely any sources of R&D. The industrial innovation system produced few or possibly no suppliers in the production chain, which might have provided alternate sources of innovation. Figure 6-9: Tech Localization for Export Promotion D. Tech Customization for Domestic Market (ETL) The final industry model is tech customization for the domestic market, which is exemplified by ETL (see Figure 6-10). The company has been given certain advantages by the government such as funding and regulatory support. The government uses procurement of ETL service to provide guaranteed demand. Like the economy in general, the company is dependent on imported technology, which it receives through licensing. While the company seeks to develop new innovative products and services, it is limited by the R&D capacity that is available. The government mandate for universal coverage also exposes the company to unsustainable financing because the market is too small to support customization of its products. Chapter 6 Diagnosis of Innovation System and Suggested Solutions 91 Figure 6-10: Tech Customization for Domestic Market xcii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Chapter 7│Action Plan The problems that Lao PDR faces are similar to many LDCs. The study of Lao PDR included statistical and policy reviews, field and pilot surveys, and panel discussions. The statistical review revealed the socioeconomic conditions and needs of the country. The policy review and field survey uncovered the institutional STI frameworks. The pilot survey attempted to gather statistical data on the priorities of stakeholders. The results found that capacities were wanting, that comprehensive policies were desired, and that the main stakeholders are government agencies and the university. To compensate for the shortcomings, a brainstorming panel discussion (see Appendix 5) was held to digest the data and to formulate a diagnosis, a prescription, and an action plan. Development concepts including STI-based ones are familiar to its policymakers. An action plan will provide the responsible stakeholders in Lao PDR the ability to practically work towards resolving and meeting their socioeconomic issues and needs. Although R&D and HRD programs currently exist in Lao PDR, they are not well aligned with governance and financing. Policies are FDI-focused and resource-driven. Further, target sectors do not provide the necessary sustainable growth to enable the economy to escape from poverty. The action plan proposed in this chapter requires an industry platform that still needs to be defined to fully understand what STI stakeholders are necessary and how their capacity must be built through program design. Industry stakeholders are the focus of STI planning for an innovative system. As described, government stakeholders are the main actors at present because the other sectors have limited capacity. Chapter 7 Action Plan 93 Figure 7-1: Rationale for Alternative Action Planning Note: MPI = Ministry of Planning and Investment; NSEDP = National Socioeconomic Development Plan; MES = Ministry of Education and Sports; MEM = Ministry of Energy and Mines; MIC = Ministry of Industry and Commerce; MOST = Ministry of Science and Technology. At the moment, the Lao economy is focused in electricity, mining and agricultural and forestry products. Additional programs include motor bicycle assembly and tourism. The current economic development plans involve several key actors: MPI, MES, MEM, and MIC (see Figure 7-1). MPI is the ministry responsible for planning the overall strategy that encompasses education, health, and the environment, which are implemented by other parts of the government. The establishment of a committee on HRD combines income generated through sectors governed by MME but headed by MES. Generally, industrial development is managed by MIC to strengthen processes to add value to target industries. An action plan is designed and proposed to coordinate some of the agencies that were identified as integral to the successful transition and overcoming the limitations in the system. The diagnosis, however, suggests that the plan following MPI priorities lack consistency and relevance and will not overcome the problems of economic scale and scope, which prohibits its competition in global markets. As a corrective measure, MOST is tasked with the responsibility to champion sectors that will enable economic growth through an industry platform, which provides greater economies of scale and scope. Using the industry platform, MPI can align different segments of the government to improve consistency. MOST would be tasked with ensuring relevance xciv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR to industrialization for economic growth. An action plan is suggested that first sets priorities to transition the innovation system towards sustainable development by identifying a target industry platform, Twin Engines for a Green Growth Alternative. A new action plan is proposed with programs to overcome the diagnosed bottlenecks and constraints. 1. Priority Setting While the 7th NSEDP clearly states comprehensive goals, it has shortcomings when evaluated with the 3C/3A Approach. There is a future-oriented goal but they are all related to environmental sustainability. The Plan targets the MDGs and identifies mining and energy as sectors to promote through FDI. While these goals and policies are consistent at the national level, the differences between provinces suggest that policy implementation is inconsistent at the sub-national level. The main approaches that the policies pursue are to build infrastructure, to diversify the economy and to attain stage of industrialization and modernization. Healthcare, education and the environment are mentioned throughout the plan, which demonstrates the influence of the international development community. Yet, the mining and energy sectors are the most immediately profitable and most easily attract foreign direct investment. The strategy used, however, is weakly linked to industrialization and is not contextualized to policy needs. One of the outcomes is that manufacturing growth has not kept pace with its targets. Ultimately, the Plan does not enable stakeholders to overcome the structural limitations in the economic system. The small population and low income status of the country lead to structural limitations that are addressed through government intervention. Although MPI coordinates the overall priority setting at the national level, the diagnosis shows that the current process of priority setting is separated by line ministry. MPI plans to build industrial capacity in agriculture and mining and energy but the other ministries’ priorities differ. As illustrated in Figure 7-1, different ministries have highlighted different areas to focus on. This aggravates the lack of scale economies and low competitiveness that exist in the economy, making expansion through exports more difficult. The prescription calls for the clustering of priorities in a holistic manner to improve cohesiveness and consistency. When considering the diagnosis of the Chapter 7 Action Plan 95 Lao innovation system, actors in government, research and industry have been considered to realign priorities based on a new industry platform. The line ministries have formulated priorities based on similar methodologies, largely focusing on supply-side considerations such as available natural resources. Priorities in the Lao economy are natural resources in the industrial and agricultural sectors and attempt to meet societal needs (see Table 7-1). The main exports are industrial products, agricultural products and wood products. Most imports are for agricultural productivity to meet public needs. Investment is being provided to hydropower, mining, agriculture, infrastructure and garments. Industrial wood plantation and wood processing are another industry of emphasis. The five industry targets may not have sufficient market, especially since programs have not been aligned across the economy. Table 7-1: Target Products and Sectors Category Products Export Products Industrial Products (electricity, Lao beer, gold, tin, motor bicycle), Agricultural Products (coffee, tobacco), Wood Products (round logs, semi and finished wood products), Non-timber Forestry Products Import Products Agricultural Equipment Investment Sectors Hydro Power, Mining, Agriculture, Infrastructure (road, bridge, telecom, network), Garments, Industrial Wood Plantation (sugar cane, Jatropha, Agar) Source: Phommaxay, K, 2014 The strategic sectors have limited industrial impact for two reasons. The first reason is that the sectors themselves have bottlenecks and constraints to economic growth. The other reason is that the strategies adopted do not specifically build technical capacity in the economy. Agricultural sectors (i.e. rice and livestock) are targeted because most of the population still works in subsistence farming. The strategic planning of this lacks sustainable growth aspects through market and technology acquisition. While attempting to achieve sustainable growth in non-resource dependent sectors, greater market analysis is necessary. While it was not named as one of the target industries by the ministries, tourism is consistently, if loosely, targeted as a service sector that has room for growth, yet the planning must ensure added value. For instance, the number of tourists that visited Lao PDR increased from 173,000 in 2001 to 1,786,000 in 2011. However, xcvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR the receipts per arrival dropped from USD 624 to USD 231 (UIS, 2012). The agriculture and tourism industries have primarily attempted to increase output without necessarily considering adding value. Without added value, these sectoral policies will chase diminishing rates of return. The other sectors (i.e. electricity, mining and infrastructure) have been highly profitable; in fact, they have driven economic growth. Yet, the sustainability of the policies that support these industries is questionable. Mining and electricity are boons for the economy but resources are limited. Metal ore is scarce and has associated environmental costs. Hydroelectricity is not scalable and the sites that provide the greatest returns are already used. As a landlocked country, it is necessary to build transport and ICT infrastructure to connect Lao PDR intra-nationally and internationally. Both FDI and ODA policies have been used in these sectors but the strategy does not address the future needs of the economy. For instance, most of the financing that is accessed is put back into the industries themselves (cf. the growth in infrastructure). The targets and mechanisms differ by ministry, so the policy impacts are limited. The core capacity-building scheme that depends on cooperation between MEM and MES tends to support basic education starting with primary schools. The increase in output will not provide the necessary workforce that is currently being developed by industry. MIC has a bifurcated approach between FDI-driven and natural resource-based sectors. The second of these may be supported by the general education policies pursued but the result will not provide high-value production that might spur economic growth. MOST has focused on developing the weak R&D base in appropriate technologies in renewable energy and ICT infrastructure. Biofuel burning cook stoves are the main focus of R&D in renewable energy. Structural and industry limitations do not enable an economic transformation that will boost economic growth. In fact, the sector is unsustainable without external support, usually found in international donations. During the action planning workshop held in May 2014, the industrial sectors were considered for alternative industry platforms. The motorbike industry is based on component and part assembly for exports. Agricultural productivity equipment and organic products are targeted to meet food security and economic market needs but the value added is not high and the labor supply is insufficient. For agriculture to become less labor-intensive, it is necessary to incorporate technology. Wood industry has the necessary resources but the economy lacks design capabilities. The Chapter 7 Action Plan 97 construction industry is focused on infrastructure for dams and roads, so it might be targeted. Related industries are cement and steel but while the cement industry exists in Lao PDR, steel does not. Further, construction is an energy-intensive industry so it cannot be entered and expanded easily. These industries do not readily provide economic returns, and lack other strategic benefits necessary to pursue them. As an alternative to varied sector targets, a national economic green growth policy is proposed to help align policy coordination. To promote green growth, two industries are proposed as part of the industry platform: green transportation and green energy. Green industry is supported by the general objective to pursue environmentally friendly socioeconomic activities. The platform industries are interrelated and drive other segments of the economy. Green transportation and energy are mutually reinforcing and support the growth of manufacturing, transport and sustainable tourism sectors (see Figure 7-2). Thus the Green Growth Alternative is tentatively adopted as an industrial platform target but the components of this system are not sufficient in Lao PDR.43) Figure 7-2: Twin Engines for Green Growth Alternative Industry platform 43) Continued discussions may consider what components are necessary and how to meet that need. Having a target industry enables policies to be designed using this potential scenario to work from. xcviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR This foundation can serve as an industry platform to overcome the scope and scale limitations that exist and to enable global markets entry. Green energy is complementary to transportation and other industries. Hydropower infrastructure already exists so it is incorporated into the Green Growth Alternative. Bio-waste and hydropower provide twin engines for the green growth platform. Bio-waste can be converted into bio-energy and hydropower can be used for green vehicles. Infrastructure support programs can include industrial zones, infrastructure, academic programs, and tech transfer to build STI capacity. These platforms will feed into the development of green vehicles, manufacturing and power utilities, which will support other sectors like tourism, agriculture, and food processing, in turn (see Figure 7-2). It engages manufacturing and service industries that create jobs and meet export demands. To overcome bottlenecks in the system, institutional constraints including stakeholder capabilities must be considered when selecting priorities and designing programs. The objectives are to stimulate and disseminate STI results and productivity, direct activities toward STI activities, upgrade scientists’ capacity, and provide infrastructure including physical and educational infrastructure. These activities should be coordinated and the system should be provided with the resources necessary to achieve the goals. Successful industrialization requires capacities in industry, research, and human resources. STI infrastructure including technology and HRD are necessary to enable industrialization. Industrial capacities must be considered to encourage development of core business functions, manufacturing capabilities, and absorption of technology. Priorities for the programs should focus on creating specific capacities in areas that enable the industry platform of green energy and green vehicles. They should target necessary industrial activities that become increasingly more sophisticated. A global power utility solution provider can increase capacity-building efforts but there are none readily available in Lao PDR. By partnering with a foreign power utility solution provider, weak local capacity can be complemented and its capacity built. Interactions with multinational companies can be supported and managed through consortia to engage local universities and SMEs, where capacity building is necessary. Broader STI-related policies like FDI and industrial zones must also be coordinated with the various ministries responsible. Current policies that attract FDI can be aligned with other STI-driven programs. ODA programs may also augment these activities. Chapter 7 Action Plan 99 2. Program Design Since Lao PDR suffers from a lack of scale and scope that causes weak competitiveness, an innovation platform industry can be used to provide scale and scope to overcome this limitation. It cannot focus on an individual industry because the Lao economy is too limited by structural limitations. By combining industries, the economy may find the scale and scope to compete in overseas markets. The program design should focus on elements that add value, target export industrialization, and create jobs. They should also recognize that infant industries must be accorded some form of protection, i.e. import substitution, temporarily. Green energy and transportation can serve as the platform industry to create value and build foundation and infrastructure. Energy and transportation are institutions that provide general purpose technologies that support other industries. Energy is one of the most important drivers of an economy but has negative externalities or impacts on the economy that are not fiscally accounted for. Green energy removes or lessens the concerns regarding externalities when they are renewable and/or reduce the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere. Hydroelectricity is already being produced in Lao PDR, which means that there is a domestic source and infrastructure in place. Therefore infrastructure is necessary to convert it into a power source for green vehicles. Bio-waste is another form of green energy that is available. These two energy sources provide the twin engines for green growth. The platform can drive related industries in the tourism, service, ICT-based and green manufacturing sectors. Programs must target absorptive capacities of stakeholders, particularly industry. These are embodied in strategic STI infrastructure including mission research and HRD. Infrastructure development and HRD programs require a driving mechanism to coordinate various elements of the system. Programs can be developed to help build the necessary capacity to reach the sustainable economic goals through an industry platform. The platform industries have specific technologies and skills required to function. Preliminary studies in marketing, production supply chain, R&D, and other sectors must be done to determine what capabilities exist and are required. If possible, technologies can be transferred and skills gaps filled through training and collaboration programs. The stakeholders’ capabilities should be inventoried to encourage those with greater abilities and provide capacity building for those that are absent. Since Lao PDR lacks the experience to develop these on its own, missing c STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR capacities can be provided through international consultants and capacity-building programs in STI infrastructure and HRD. Technologies that can be used to support this platform include electric vehicles, intelligent power drive and components, and green energy system and components. R&D capacities required are SME automation and agricultural engineering. Examples of green transportation include GFM neighborhood green vehicles and personal rapid transit systems. GFM neighborhood green vehicles can be used for utility and tourist industries. Personal rapid transit provides smaller scale rapid transit suited for Lao population. To initiate the platform industry Lao PDR can begin with identifying the domestic and foreign stakeholders that wish to participate. For example, Taiwan had cooperated with UN and WB for developing and transferring the necessary technologies. Upon identification of stakeholders organizing consortiums can be helpful in scaling up approaches, the Smart City Forum44) can also contribute in terms of capacity building, HR, etc. Project milestones can start with a small pilot case at universities that are each given specific development programs. Simultaneously, a national program can develop the framework, stakeholders and training/education systems. A. Strategic STI Infrastructure The underlying infrastructure is the focus of development because they affect the overall economy and several industries broadly. Institutions operate across an economy’s infrastructure but STI infrastructure is currently missing in Lao PDR. Without infrastructure, the economy and its industry cannot add value to its products and services, which is especially necessary for competitiveness in the global market. After visiting several institutions, few stakeholders demonstrated capabilities or facilities to conduct research to produce science and technology for innovation. Through the driving mechanism designed for the proposed industry platform, strategic STI infrastructure programs can be designed to meet the necessary capacity that is required to develop the related industries. The main purpose of STI infrastructure is to provide R&D that firms require for higher value-adding activities. To develop capacities and bridge missing capabilities, STI infrastructure would enable domestic firms to bring overseas technology and integrate them with local technologies to 44) In 2014, the People’s Republic of China initiated this forum under the APEC Working Group for Policy Partnership on Science, Technology, and Innovation. The forum aims to connect stakeholders to discuss important issues like the development of Smart Cities. Chapter 7 Action Plan 101 enable the industry platform of green vehicles and green energy. Strategic STI infrastructure includes mission research to provide the necessary R&D for the industry platform, especially in the long term. Each component of the platform requires different capacities but also boosts different sectors of the economy. Since STI infrastructure is limited in Lao PDR, a multinational corporation (MNC) can provide capacity and spur construction of necessary infrastructure. The industrial platform would require a power utility provider to fulfill this role. Engaging this stakeholder, programs can be established to build infrastructure to support this industry. The MNC would also provide technology and guidance necessary for the infrastructure. Related academic programs could be initiated in tandem so that STI capacity is developed. STI capacity is provided by research universities and institutes. They serve the dual purpose of generating necessary R&D and skilled manpower. Firms that are in the green agriculture and food processing industries should be targeted for industrial development. Technology development focuses on modernizing and localizing foreign technology. Lao PDR should encourage research in areas that are already possible and technology transfer in the short run and it should develop STI infrastructure in the long run. In order to accomplish this, an impact assessment must be completed for STI readiness and improvement that target value creation for economic growth, social quality and environmental sustainability. Related technologies range from low- to high-tech. Simpler technologies may already be available or made available given existing skills and resources in Lao PDR but more advanced technologies can be integrated through foreign sources. In the case of green transportation, there are several technologies that are relevant to successful development and functioning of the sector including navigation, power and control, location-based telematics service, low-carbon or bio-based material, and energy storage (i.e. batteries). These technologies should be supported with related research (see Table 7-2). When considering the R&D and academic capabilities to produce the necessary technologies endogenously, the stakeholders in Lao PDR may not or may partially have the required capacity. Some research areas like geographic data, automation and assembly, tourism content data, and charging/discharging technology can begin immediately given current research capacity. Other research areas like carbon rating, energy ratings, bio-based manufacturing, and system assembly can be augmented through international consultants in the short term while longer term R&D systems are developed. cii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Table 7-2: Green Vehicle-related Technologies Technology Sub-technology(ies)/Research Area(s) Navigation Geographic data* Power & control Automation & assembly* Location-based telematics service Tourism content data linked to telecom companies* Low-carbon or bio-based material Carbon rating Energy rating (consumption is expected to grow) Bio-based manufacturing Energy storage (e.g. batteries) Charging/discharging technology* Recycling control (regulation) System assembly Note: Starred (*) technologies are those that Lao PDR already has capacity to begin developing. R&D capacities can be developed through programs that target necessary R&D areas through mission research. While many universities serve the dual purpose of educating students and performing research, NUL is overburdened with education duties. Professors have no time to conduct research. The research institutes that were visited also had a lack of expertise and facilities. Therefore, they must either be given greater resources to enable research activities or another source of R&D should be identified and mission research programs created. Once these capacities are identified, sources of the technology and capacity building can be found domestically and through bilateral channels. MNCs and NGOs can be targeted as sources of foreign technology and expertise. Mission research programs should focus on transferring knowledge through the STI infrastructure that provides sustained R&D output to domestic stakeholders. NT2 is already providing foreign expertise but institutions beyond the concession agreements must be built to support the localization of capabilities. Bilateral partners might include research institutes or universities in Chinese Taipei or Korea. For instance, the Green Energy Development Center at Feng-Chia University is developing methods to convert bio-waste to bio-energy in Chinese Taipei. Other capacities like recycling control are more readily replicable through regulation policies. Chapter 7 Action Plan 103 Box 1: Green Energy Development Center Originally founded as the Research Center for Energy and Resources in 2000, Feng-Chia University’s Green Energy Development Center (GEDC) is a research institute comprised of 10 professors, 15 staff, and around 60 students. The main themes of the research are anaerobic bio-hydrogen production with key technologies in culture enrichment, high-rate three-phase bioreactor, molecular biological technology, and pilot-plants. Based on the established key technologies, the GEDC is leading bio-hydrogen production rate in the world by constructing a Bio-H2 Gas Station in Feng Chia University campus in 2011. From 2005, GEDC started to receive R&D investment and cooperated with number of institutes such as the Bureau of Energy, National Science Council, and Ministry of Science and Technology to work on bio-hydrogen energy technology. With successful research results, they were able to commercialize new products. Source: Green Energy Development Center website, accessed on October 10, 2014 at http://www.greenenergy.fcu.edu.tw/wSite/mp?mp=303104 B. Strategic Human Resource Development HRD strategies are already the focus of central plans. Yet, the Ministry of Education and Sports (MES) has already outperformed goals laid out in the national economic development plan. The shortcoming is readily understood because its goals are based on the MDGs rather than meeting its local demands. NUL was the only national university in Lao PDR, and it was not performing research that would significantly improve industrialization. Still, the policy review, field visit interviews, and pilot survey found that most stakeholders expect the University to manage and implement many of the targets outlined in HRD policies. Again, resources need to be provided either to the University or another agency that is tasked with fulfilling these goals. Similar to STI infrastructure, HRD should be institutionalized to provide a steady flow of skilled labor to the economy. As part of the holistic strategies of the action plan, HRD should be targeted in alignment with financial, material resources, and other elements within overall economic development. Like the STI infrastructure program, Lao PDR should consider different types of skills needed from unskilled to high expertise when designing HRD programs. The types of skills vary across the industries as well. Managers, coordinators, administrators, technicians, engineers, researchers, scientists, etc. are necessary for any industry. There are programs that already serve as sources of some of these but a comprehensive evaluation is needed. Less sophisticated requirements may rely on general education programs that are within current capacities of the HRD system civ STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR in Lao PDR. Where it lacks the professors and experts to meet the demands of the industries under the industry platform, international experts can be brought in to help train workers needed immediately and teachers who will produce the next generation of students. The HRD program can serve as a framework to labor forecast demand and devise projects that align the education and training systems to provide the necessary workforce. It is necessary to create mechanisms for coordination and sharing responsibilities between stakeholders, for evaluation and monitoring, and for awareness (e.g. “scientific day”). Economic and employment issues need to be understood to be included in the HRD strategy, so needs assessments should be conducted in cooperation with the Ministry of Labor. MES can act as a coordinator to have other ministries define the needs across the economy. The surveys might include labor demand, income and social equity information as part of monitoring and evaluation. To ensure that the statistics system devised is comprehensive, reviews of productivity and migration statistics are needed including internal (provincial) and external (international) categories and movements. The Ministry of Industry and Trade should capture the HR needs of firms, especially those that are targeted for innovation-driven growth. Ministry of Science & Technology should conduct study of STI-related labor needs to drive labor demand for public and private sectors. The field survey interviews and pilot survey responses suggested that the National University of Laos has high expectations to meet. Yet, the diagnosis of the University suggests that it does not have the capacity to meet the demands placed on it. It may be necessary to designate a specific department or create a new body to manage the HRD programs to be developed. Additional resources must be allocated to the body so that it has the means to accomplish its clearly defined goals. If technicians are required, vocational schools may more nimbly adapt to provide the necessary output in a short period of time, especially for the technologies that exist or can be transferred. The University may be used in conjunction in such a scheme to provide higher level skills for those areas that the economy does not yet have the means to generate the necessary skills. Programs can be designed to leverage international cooperation and exchange programs to meet these needs more quickly and develop infrastructure to produce these skills in the long run. Implementation should include cooperation between government, industry and academia, possibly through public-private partnership. The Ministry of Education and Chapter 7 Action Plan 105 Sports agreed to implement strategically targeted HRD programs with interaction with DTI/MOST. Its current plan will i) achieve cohesion between education and sports, ii) link industrial demand to supply, and iii) link demand and supply to national development strategies. Consortia with MNCs can provide an alternative route to develop necessary skills and manpower in target industries. The HRD plan will also improve use of technical and vocational education and training programs to meet industrial demand for labor. On-the-job training programs that involve MNCs, local SMEs, and the University can be used to develop necessary skills to directly meet industry demands. The expectation of these early programs should produce future leaders in the new industries. 3. Governance The current governance mechanism is embodied in the new education initiative, which is led by MES as directed by MPI. This mechanism, however, does not have aligned priorities that might enable MES to successfully direct inter-ministerial activities. The priorities are individually focused, which has not provided momentum to transform the system. Capital expenditures on infrastructure have focused on construction of dams for hydropower. Even MES lacks a focus for its HRD plans. Governance should holistically align priorities from different sectors. As described in Section 2, an industry platform is insufficient to ensure a successful action plan. A governance mechanism is required to coordinate and direct the activities of the industry platform. The governance mechanism should connect stakeholders in a common network or implementation platforms that include management instruments. Part of the driving mechanism should ensure that they are capable of working towards common goals, which is more easily done if the priorities are well aligned. Domestic stakeholders include government agencies, universities, R&D institutes, NGOs, associations, and companies. The ministries are responsible for facilitating and coordinating the different stakeholders. A lead agency should be designated and made responsible for the coordination of activities between the stakeholders. The role of each ministry is important to the execution of the action plan. The Ministry of Energy and Mines is one of the focal points of planning because most of the domestic income is derived from these sectors. The Ministry of Education and Sports is responsible for executing cvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR the core strategy for HRD. The Ministry of Industry and Commerce is highlighted here as a necessary agency for creating sustained economic development through industrial policies. Other ministries may have to be added depending on the chosen industry; in this case the Ministry of Transport is necessary for a green vehicle program. Lastly, the Ministry of Science and Technology is tasked with coordinating the different elements as they relate to STI strategy, which targets existing industries. These stakeholders are responsible for the governance and implementation of the programs in strategic STI infrastructure and HRD, which should be laid out in the planning done by MPI. Because industry stakeholders have limited capacities, engaging MNCs can provide missing capacities. MNCs can be a source of finance, employment, technology, and leadership. Government directed interactions with MNCs can help SMEs more successfully absorb and develop capacities. Policies will also be necessary to ensure that the institutions that are put in place are beneficial for all stakeholders involved. These institutions can determine whether the industrial dynamics lead to economic development or resource exploitation. For stakeholders in other sectors of the economy, a consortium can be considered as a platform to link government, university, research, and industry. It would also link local-level concerns to national HRD priorities. NUL and MOST research centers should be included and evaluated. When creating the consortium, the stakeholders in industry and research must be evaluated for their interests, relevance, and capacities to meet the objectives that are expected from each. Industry stakeholders will likely require criteria that will identify potential stakeholders that can develop the necessary functions and skills to operate in the market with minimal support. The evaluation may determine that some new stakeholders will have to be established if incumbents are inadequate. The consortium can also act as a conduit to international stakeholders to coordinate domestic efforts. The platform is still insufficient for successful innovation to occur in Lao PDR because its system is still not mature enough to accurately read market signals. As part of the consortium, MOST can act as the lead agency to drive innovation-based policy. Since there are several line ministries and economic actors involved, MOST is well-positioned to integrate and assimilate the different concerns into a coherent action plan. As the central point for stakeholder interaction, the Ministry can access the necessary information for decision-making regarding STI policies behind the industrial platform and coordinate inter-ministerial STI interaction. In addition to Chapter 7 Action Plan 107 its interactions with domestic stakeholders, MOST can also be responsible for coordinating efforts of foreign partners in regards to STI. The international consortium provides greater resources and capacity to implement programs. A Lao-initiated consortium program for STI infrastructure might include some of the following program components from outside of Lao PDR. Policy support can be used to provide short-term supply for university professors to bolster R&D and HRD capabilities. A solution provider (e.g. utility, content service, or telecom) or multinational corporation might provide the necessary technology framework. Multilateral institutions like the UN or the World Bank can interact through the consortium providing expert consulting and financing. Once these initial programs are developed, other policies can be considered to expand the projects. For instance, special economic zones can be used to help transfer technology (i.e. capital and knowhow). Taxes and other financial support policies may also be necessary. 4. Financing The Ministry of Finance has outlined the available funding from the Lao government, amounting to 1% of GDP capital expenditures. Funding size should not be the single objective of financing; it must also ensure that funding is continuous and provides sufficient autonomy. The pilot survey found that stakeholders preferred domestic funding over other sources. There are other sources of funding that can be used including ODA, multilateral development banks, ASEAN and bilateral financing. Private investment from related industries can also be sought from domestic and foreign sources. Longer-term policies might also include increased tax revenue as a result from economic growth spurred by the economic development. Effective finance policy will harmonize the different sources of funding but ensure that stakeholders have sufficient resources to meet aims directed towards economic development. The most prominent obstacle that most stakeholders cite is a lack of financing, so most planners also allow these constraints to define their programs. Instead, this report suggests identifying programs and then tailoring financing schemes appropriately. With this and the pilot survey results in mind, seed funding can be provided for initial projects. While available financing may limit what implementation cviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR can be accomplished in the short run, projects should have long-term goals that are divided into smaller milestones that can be achieved with the financial (and other) resources available. Moreover, once financing is allocated, it should be secure for the length of the project. Seed funding will be relatively smaller, and therefore more likely to be feasibly raised domestically. Without external support, the projects will gain autonomy. Lao PDR will also be able to manage continuity of funding if targets are lower and gradually raised. These can be augmented through foreign aid. As seen in current policies, international donors have been supportive of HRD and are beginning to demonstrate a greater appreciation of STI. Yet, many current R&D areas that are supported by aid do not drive industrial growth (e.g. clinical health research and environmental). Financial policy can be tied to ODA to encourage R&D investment in strategic sectors. Alternatively, research clusters could provide a mechanism for international cooperation and financing. 5. Milestones As part of the action plan, milestones serve as an elementary form of coordination and governance that allows the engaged stakeholders to understand what is expected from them and what they can expect from others. The milestones will necessarily evolve as the project moves forward. At this initial stage of the action planning, it is necessary to plan the milestones that are necessary to move the next stage, which should provide financing of preliminary activities. There are several outcomes that are identified to be used to engage necessary stakeholders and elicit funding. DTI should initiate the consortium to implement the programs by continuing to engage those stakeholders that are currently involved and reaching out to those stakeholders that are necessary. DTI is expected to identify relevant stakeholders in government, industry champions, and research. Government stakeholders have already been engaged through the workshop but it may still be necessary to ensure their full participation. Champions should be identified where existing and incorporated into planning and implementation. Lobbying may be necessary for critical stakeholders for which there are no alternatives. Later, additional industry, investment, and research stakeholders can be included as part of the consortium. As a preliminary step, a taskforce team for the green energy and green transportation Chapter 7 Action Plan 109 projects should verify the rationale for the project.45) Once the rationale is accepted, an advisory group can be formed to provide counsel to DTI in guiding the stakeholder activities and planning. The rationale should be clearly communicated to domestic stakeholders. As part of the consortium that targets an industry led by a global industry stakeholder, DTI should survey industry incumbents to understand the capabilities and resources that are available in Lao PDR. The initial milestones that are set provide the necessary direction for stakeholder activity. The research results will be disseminated through this report and a workshop held in 2015. The workshop is intended to engage necessary implementing stakeholders. The first major requirement is to have stakeholders verify the findings of the research. In other words, agreement should be made on the industry platform. The report46) provides guidelines for the implementation of the programs such that they can be designed to overcome existing bottlenecks and to enable coordination and direction by the central government across the industry platform. Implementing stakeholders must understand what their functions and objectives are so they can determine whether they have the requisite resources (e.g. capacities, skills, funding, etc.). It is necessary to continuously reevaluate the progress of activities to make sure that the long-term goals are met by short-term projects. 45) Note: Another industry platform might be found as more suitable. 46) The results of the report will be presented in January 2015 in Vientiane. This report will be published in English and Lao to facilitate dissemination both domestically and internationally. DTI will provide cultural contextualization along with overseeing the translation. cx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Chapter 8│Conclusion and Lessons 1. Conclusion Lao PDR faces several bottlenecks including poverty and natural resource traps, misalignment of industry and research, and policy gaps. System resources include income from minerals and energy. The 3C/3A Diagnosis and Prescription suggests that strategic planning in R&D and HRD should be coordinated on relevant and consistent goals targeting a dual energy-driven green industry platform. A steering governance mechanism must be created to coordinate these elements. Although the pilot survey results are insufficient for action planning, elements are extracted from it to apply to action planning. University is seen as a strong implementing agent and domestic funding is preferred over ODA. Despite these results, it is clear that the Government of Lao PDR must develop an action plan to develop its innovation capacities, especially those of industry. When crafting the action plan, the following lessons learned should be applied. The field survey provides background information for a diagnosis of the innovation capacity within a national framework, known as a national innovation system. The field survey was limited in scope but provides a sense of the capacities of the incumbent stakeholders, the resources available, and the limitations within the system. The central strategy that the Ministry of Planning and Investment currently pursues focuses on human resources development as core capacity but it currently neglects market needs. As the National Strategy 2020 is being developed, these needs must be taken into consideration while also incorporating the reality of economic integration under the WTO and ASEAN Economic Community. The current capacities of the stakeholders reside predominantly with the government and international organizations but there are some companies that also demonstrate initial capacities in some sectors. While R&D and HRD capacities are weak, the existing capacities are first examined in industry and in governance in order to identify what gaps exist to be filled through the program design process. All of the companies are heavily influenced by the government or even supported by the government through funding and industrial policies. Four companies were visited and provide examples of different types of industry Chapter 8 Conclusion and Lessons 111 in Lao PDR. These examples demonstrate potential but also show that there are bottlenecks that exist, preventing them from reaching that potential. Bottlenecks can be divided into different sectors including industry, R&D/university, domestic market and global environment. Industry has weak production chains, is dependent on resources and imported technology and lacks management skills. R&D/Universities have low R&D capacity and limited HRD capacity. The domestic market has low demand, weak infrastructure and lacks financing. The global environment places high competitive and IP regime pressures. Additionally, ODA stakeholders impose expectations that consume resources. Government intervention is required to overcome these bottlenecks. The businesses are found in manufacturing and service. Companies that focus on the production of goods include the Dae-Heuang Group and Pharmaceutical Company No. 2. The Dae-Heuang Group focuses on meeting domestic demand of agricultural-based goods. Pharmaceutical Company No. 2 also targets domestic demand but intends to expand to the ASEAN market. These companies show that there is industrial capacity in Lao PDR to manufacture secondary goods and pharmaceutical products. On the service side, there are ETL and EDL that provide IT and electricity generation. ETL is a national company that aims to provide frontierlevel service to the Lao population. It attempts to support a supply chain by sourcing products and services tailored for the domestic market. EDL is the national electricity utility company that manages energy generation and distribution. In relation to EDL, NT2 also demonstrates the capacity that is provided through a joint partnership with the international community. NT2 is a pilot project that jumpstarted the hydroelectricity industry in Lao PDR. It still provides best practices through its management and interaction with domestic stakeholders in the system. These best practices, however, are not being distributed in a systematic way to other parts of the economy. Institutions should be developed to maximize the value of existing knowledge. Management capacities are demonstrated by these companies that can be supported through industrial policies that target growth through strategic STI. From this standpoint, the government also demonstrates its capacities to provide support to its industrial players and to act as an intermediary between stakeholders. All the companies are supported through policy that provides favorable land, operations, and/or financial provisions. Land policy is used to provide property for factories or for concessions for necessary infrastructure. Regulations are sometimes imposed cxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR to ensure that all segments of the population are served. For instance, ETL is expected to provide service to those who do not live in market-viable areas. Its competitors operate regionally where they find market demand competitive. Governance capabilities also extend to managing relations with international companies and organizations, especially in the mining and electricity industries. Concession agreements are highly important components of policy. Different aspects of the agreements fall under the purview of almost all the ministries. For instance, although the Ministry of Energy and Mines is an obvious agency that deals with the agreements, the Ministry of Education and Sports is also included in their details to plan and provide human resources for the industry. Whereas foreign investment is managed by the Ministry of Planning and Investment, Lao labor preferences are enforced by the Ministry of Social Welfare. FDI policies are an instrument that requires finance and investment decision capacity. Governance capabilities also include the coordination between inter-ministerial agencies, which is institutionalized through organizational structure and staff. While the innovation system in Lao PDR has certain capabilities, it also has resources with which it can apply those capabilities. Its natural resources are most valued in the system and include hydropower, minerals and metals, and agriculture and forestry products. These resources provide the large majority of economic output as measured by GDP. The value of these products has driven the rise in GDP per capita rapidly in the past decade (Lao Statistics Bureau, 2007). The process was supported through ODA and FDI policies. In light of the capacities and resources that are available, the Lao PDR system still has some limitations in R&D, HRD, and governance policy. While the statistical research conducted showed that Lao PDR has a small market with limited human resources, the field survey confirmed and expanded the information that the study could use for the diagnosis of the innovation system. Additionally, the pilot survey suggested that stakeholders prefer domestic sources of support over ODA. To be competitive, stakeholders must be able to add value through their industrial activities. Increasing added value requires innovation capacity that is missing. Firms are dependent on imported technology and human resources. In the global pharmaceutical industry, R&D is an important component to maintain competitiveness and value. Even in manufacturing and processing, capital is imported at a premium. The supply chain is also weak because there are few providers that can be found in the system. Similarly, competitive financing is typically unavailable to Lao Chapter 8 Conclusion and Lessons 113 companies. Yet, R&D capacity found in the research institutes and university are highly limited and do not meet the needs of industry. NAFRI focuses on agricultural research that largely remains in repositories rather than support industrialization. REMI conducts research to absorb technologies supported by foreign donors but do not improve competitiveness. Rather than improving their market position, firms become ensconced in low-value sectors. By targeting specific technologies, Lao PDR may be more successful at localizing them through an R&D program. Government strategies focus on HRD because skilled workers are necessary for a successful economy. Currently, HRD is more sensitive to the goals developed by the international community rather than the Lao economy. NUL has developed a pilot program in software development but there is little demand in the job market when students complete their studies. In contrast to value added to each sector, most Laotians still work in agriculture and only a few in industry. The labor supply that is available is still too concentrated in low skilled farming or creating highly educated employees for white collar firms that are lacking from the economy. Innovation-oriented policies require that systems for industrial R&D and HRD are advanced indigenously. Industry is characterized by low innovation and low value-addition. HRD has focused on primary education that does not respond to demands of the labor market. Vocational centers are part of strategies undertaken by both the Ministry of Education and Sports and the Ministry of Labor, yet the output of these centers does not meet market needs. They produce technicians in fields that lack growth, so coordination may be needed. The government provides guidelines but they are not always well defined. As an example, human capacity development does not match the direction of economic development (i.e. hydroelectricity and mining). Instead of engineering departments, faculty in economics is growing. The Human Resource Development Strategy formulated by the Ministry of Education and Sports must set government priorities for future drivers of economic growth. Some of these shortcomings are recognized and are being analyzed in the new strategy. HRD strategies should be coordinated with other policies, i.e. industrial policies, to ensure that the needs of the system are met. The review of policies indicated that, although they are appropriate, they do not fully meet the needs to create sustainable economic growth because they are too dependent on increasing inputs into the economy to generate growth. The economy still has an immature market with weak industrial players that find it difficult to build capacity and competitiveness because some policies are missing and others may cxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR inadvertently hinder growth (i.e. causing “Dutch disease”). The policy effects have limitations of being too focused on generating income through increased inputs and should attempt to diversify industrial sources of revenue. There has been limited growth in industry and manufacturing growth. Other sectors of the economy must be strengthened in order to ensure long-term economic sustainability. The central government aims to have at least one product that is competitive in the global market. Most existing strategies are based on import-substitution but specific sectors and business models should be targeted. It would be more sustainable to consider business models that have higher added value and are competitive in the global market. The domestic market is too small and therefore foreign markets must be considered. Institutional capacities to manage, to promote sectors, and to acquire technologies need to be developed. The Department of Science must have planning and coordination mechanisms. As newest ministry, MOST has difficulty convincing other stakeholders, so its capacities must also be developed beginning with a strong rationale for its activities. By developing this rationale as part of a driving mechanism for industry, other stakeholders can be readily involved and coordinated. For instance, international cooperation needs to have short-, mediumand long-term goals that focus on capacities to be absorbed. Technology transfer from universities to industry is limited, so intellectual property rights should facilitate tech transfer. In order to encourage FDI and tech transfer, intellectual property legal framework and management skills (i.e. licensing) are required. Absorptive capacity is also needed in industry (i.e. machinery embedded, process technologies). Current laws may not be appropriate for implementation and coordination. Nonetheless, the Government of Lao PDR can prepare its economy for sustained growth by focusing on developing its innovation capacity. The government recognizes these changing conditions and is responding to them with policy analysis and action. The infrastructure of Lao PDR has expanded and more strongly connects the economy to the rest of the global economy. It used newfound income in minerals and energy to invest in building industrial infrastructure in these sectors. The policies are multifaceted, considering social, environmental and health in addition to economic issues. While they have increased income from the main sources of revenue, primary objectives of development policy ensure that local people, especially rural and affected populations, are prioritized. Since the population has been growing steadily, it is necessary for education policy to keep pace. At the moment, policies focus on developing management capacity without a Chapter 8 Conclusion and Lessons 115 comprehensive view of industry or R&D. Each line ministry has been pursuing its goals individually, which has created inconsistencies in overall planning. The main goal of this project is to increase absorptive capacity of Lao PDR and its stakeholders using collective priority setting. In order to overcome the limitations that exist in the system, collective priorities will enable coordination and greater scale with limited resources. It is necessary to create relevant programs that are tailored to the business models identified and within the potential capabilities of stakeholders. Industry limitations are generally recognized but specific alignment between policies and capabilities must be improved to ensure that necessary capacities are acquired or developed. For instance, vocational training in hydroelectricity and mining would be more appropriate than general education programs. This research provides mechanisms through an industry platform that enables the Government of Lao PDR to direct and coordinate programs and activities. A holistic diagnosis puts multiple bottlenecks into perspective so that a future-oriented solution can be incorporated into the industry platform. These are devised into the action plan provided. Specific lessons that can be extracted from researching STI system and policy in Lao PDR are listed in the next section. 2. Lessons Learned ● Since there were only a few stakeholders with significant capacity in government, it was practical to hold discussion panels to establish an action plan to develop an industry platform. The limited availability of statistics required a combination of research methods, ultimately involving brainstorming discussions. The limited capacities of stakeholders made survey results straightforward but lacking in nuance. Responses were either unvaried calling for broad intervention or unanimously targeting single stakeholders for action. “Innovation” is an unfamiliar concept in Lao PDR, which suggests that consensus can be delicate and necessary for the diagnosis, solutions, and action plan. Additionally, customized planning is necessary to create action plan that is future-oriented, holistic, and consistent. ● Lao PDR stakeholders demonstrate that many development strategies have been absorbed but implementation has led to piecemeal policies that lack holistic strategy. Policymaking is currently biased towards natural resources and cxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR MDG-related goals. Current policy targets natural resource dependent industries with limited industrialization programs. The dominant industries are in extraction, agriculture, and hydropower. This may turn into a natural resource trap. Separate priorities for individual ministries have resulted in poor implementation results, possibly because policies were not coherent with each other. Although important, basic education and health programs had no relation to other sectors. An aid trap may exist by proliferating priorities without providing sufficient resources to achieve them. ● The strategies lack sufficient market-orientation. Industry has been left non-competitive in the global market. Policies generally targeted the domestic market, which has low economic demand due to the low-income status of the country. An emphasis on environmental protection, likely a result of international donor influence, equally diverts resources from economically focused activities. Education policies focused on sectors that do not have domestic labor demand, e.g. software and business administration. Other sectors, however, face weak labor supply and are dependent on migrant workers who have technical skills in hydropower or mining engineering. ● Specifically, industry lacked competitiveness, and industrialization strategies do not adequately address it. Existing green energy programs, e.g. biofuel cook-stoves, did not sufficiently add value to products. The available STI infrastructure may have constrained this dynamic. The focus on the domestic market would also constrain demand because consumers would not be able to afford high value-added products. ● Previous policies did not adequately consider stakeholder capacities. Directives were given to ministries without ensuring they had the resources to complete the aims of policy. Although most stakeholders consider NUL to be the main actor for core capacity building through HRD, the fact that NUL was struggling to meet its current demands for educating a rapidly growing student population may have doomed the policy to failure. In general, stakeholder responsibilities and priorities are too concentrated and unevenly distributed. Each sector in the economy must have its objectives to complete that are distinct and complementary to its counterparts. Reference 117 Reference ADBI(2013), “The ASEAN Economic Community: Progress, Challenges, and Prospects”, Working Papers Series, 440. ASEAN Secretariat(2009), “Roadmap for an ASEAN Community 2009-2015”. ______(2014), “Thinking Globally, Prospering Regionally-ASEAN Economic Community 2015”. Chen, S. and M. Ravallion.(2008), “The Developing World Is Poorer Than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight against Poverty”, WPS 4703, Washington, DC: The World Bank. Collier, P.(2007), “Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It”, Oxford University Press. Conroy, A. C. et al.(2006), “Poverty, Aids and Hunger: Breaking the Poverty Trap in Malawi. Palgrave”. Cozzens, S. and R. Kaplinsky.(2009), “Innovation, Poverty and Inequality: Cause, Coincidence, or Co-evolution?”, Handbook of Innovation Systems and Developing Countries, B.A. Lundvall, K.J. Joseph, C. Chaminade and J. Vang (Eds.). Garcia, M.L. and O. Bray.(1997), “The Fundamentals of Technology Roadmapping”. Kenny, C. and A. Sumner.(2011), “More Money or More Development: What Have the MDGs Achieved?”, Working Paper, 278, Washington, DC: Center for Global Development. Lao Statistics Bureau.(2005), “Lao PDR Population Census of 2005”, Lao PDR Statistics Bureau. ______(2007), “Addressing the Impacts of the Phasing out of Textiles and Clothing Quotas in Lao PDR”, Policy Brief. Lee, J.H. et al.(2011), “Innovation System Diagnosis and STI Strategy Development for Least Developed Countries: Case of Lao PDR”, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Seoul. ______(2013), “Diagnosis and Solutions for STI Strategy Development: ASEAN Global Challenges and African Health Innovation”, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Seoul. cxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Lao PDR.(2010), “Agricultural Master Plan 2010”. ______(2011), “Agricultural Development Strategy 2020”. Ministry of Education and Sports, Lao PDR.(2006), “National Education System Reform Strategy 2006-2015”. ______(2007), “Education Law”. ______(2011), “Education Sector Development Plan 2011-2015”. Ministry of Industry and Commerce, Lao PDR.(2010), “Investment Promotion Law”. Ministry of Planning and Investment, Department of International Cooperation.(2013), “Foreign Aid Implementation Report (FAIR) 2011-12”, Lao PDR. Ministry of Planning and Investment, Lao PDR.(2011), “The 7th Five-year Socioeconomic Development Plan”. National Agency of Science and Technology, Lao PDR.(2003), “Science and Technology Policy”. National Statistics Centre(2007), “Addressing the Impacts of the Phasing out of Textiles and Clothing Quotas in Lao PDR: Human Development Assessment in Post-Agreement on Textile and Clothing in Lao PDR”, Policy Brief, Lao PDR. OECD(2013), “OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard Innovation for Growth”. Phommaxay, K.(2014), “Science, Technology and Innovation Policy and Plan in Lao PDR”, Presentation at the Brainstorming Discussion Workshop on STI Strategic Action Planning, Ministry of Science and Technology, Vientiane. Phonephoet, B.(2014), “Human Resource Development Plan in Lao PDR”, Presentation at the Brainstorming Discussion Workshop on STI Strategic Action Planning, Ministry of Education and Sports, Vientiane. Rodrik, D.(2011), “The Globalization Paradox: Democracy and the Future of the World Economy”. Sachs, J.(2007), “The End of Poverty: Economic Possibilities for Our Time”. Soulivath, S. Fiscal Policy Department, MOF.(2014), “Financing of STI, Strategies, Policies and Programs”, Presentation at the Brainstorming Discussion Workshop on STI Strategic Action Planning, Vientiane. Reference 119 Stiglitz, J.(2006), “Making Globalization Work”, W.W. Norton. UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS).(2012), “Data Centre”, http://www.uis.unesco.org/datacentre/Pages/default.aspx(2012. 3. 6) UN(2012a), “UN System Task Team on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda on Science”, technology and innovation and intellectual property rights: the vision for development. ______(2012b), “UN System Task Team on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda on Review of the contributions of the MDG Agenda to foster development: Lessons for the post-2015 UN development agenda”. ______(2012c), “UN System Task Team on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda on A renewed global partnership for development”. ______(2012d), “UN System Task Team on the Post-2015 UN Development Agenda on Realizing the Future We Want for All: report to the Secretary-General”. ______(2013a), “Open Working Groups (OWP) TST Issues Briefs: Employment and Decent Work”. ______(2013b), “Open Working Groups (OWP) TST Issues Briefs: Poverty Eradication”. ______(2013c), “Open Working Groups (OWP) TST Issues Briefs: Science, Technology and Innovation, Knowledge-sharing and capacity building”. ______(2013d), “The Millennium Development Goals: Progress Report for the Lao PDR 2013”. World Bank(2011), “Lao PDR Now a Lower-Middle Income Economy”., Press Release, http://go.worldbank.org/KLH78W0VX0 ______(2013), “World Bank Indicators”(2013. 8. 29). cxx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Appendix 1|Agenda for field visit to NIS Stakeholders, Lao PDR ∎ Program Day 1 5 March 2013 08:30–09:00 Visit Department of Technology and Innovation (DTI), MOST. Meeting with departments of most which related to NIS, include: The Cabinet Office, DTI, Lao Academy of science, The Science Department, The Planning & Cooperation Department, The Intellectual Property Department, 09:00–12:00 The Standard & Metrology Department, The Renewable Energy and Biotechnology Institute, The Biodiversity and Biotechnology Institute, The Computer Technology and Electronic Institute. 13:30–14:00 Visit National Agriculture and Forestry Research institute (NAFRI) 14:00–16:00 Visit National University of Lao. Day 2 6 March 2013 8:30–12:00 Visit Departments of Ministry for planning and investment, include: The Cabinet Office, Department of Planning ,Department of Investment Promotion, National Economic Research Institute, Evaluation Department and others related departments. Visit Departments of Ministry of Education and Sport, include: The Cabinet Office, Higher Education Department, Foriegn Relation Department 13:30–14:00 The Planing & Cooperation Departments, Strategy Research and Analysis Center Research Institute Education and Science (RIES) and others related departments. Day 3 7 March 2013 08:30–10:00 Visit Small and Medium Entrepreneur Offfices (SMEPDO) 10:00–12:00 Visit Department of Industrial, ministry of commercial and Industry 13:30–16:00 Visit Chamber of Commerce. Day 4 8 March 2013 08:30–10:00 Visit Lao ETL company or TV 10:00–11:00 Visit Daohieng Group company 11:00–12:00 Visit Pharmacy Number 2 13:00–16:00 Hyrdroelectricity Company Appendix 121 ∎ List of Participants Ministry of Science and Technology, 05 March 2013, time 13:30–14:00 No. Name Position and Organization 1 Rhaychill SENGMANY Deputy Director General, Renewable Energy 2 Dr. Siphone Sengculichan Deputy Director General, DOS, MOST 3 Kinnalone SOUPHANTHONG Deputy Director Division, Deputy planning & International Cooperation 4 Somphavanh RADAVANH Deputy Director Division, Ecology and Technology (BEI) 5 Dr. Silap Boupha Deputy Director Division, MOST 6 Khaukeo SENGINVONG Technical, BEI 7 Mr. Ratsamy PHANTHAVONG Deputy Director General, DIP 8 Mr. Parita SENGTIANTHR Deputy Director-General, Technology Computer & Electronic Institute 9 Mr. Soumana CHOULAMANY Director-General, DTI 10 MS. Phouthasone Sinthavong Director Division, DTI 11 N.Srinivasan In-charge Innovation management, APCTT-UNESCAP 12 Lee,Jeonghyop Director STI Development Center, STEPI 13 Sira MALIPHOL Researcher, STEPI 14 Fain Yang Researcher, STEPI National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI), 05 March 2013 No 1 Name Mr. Soulivanthong Kingkeo Position and Organization Deputy Director General, NAFRI List name of University of Laos, 05 March 2013, time 14:00–16:00 pm No. Name Position and Organization 1 Asso Prof Dr. Phetsamone Khounsavanh 2 Prof Dr. Boualin Soysouvanh Dean, Faculty of Engineering, NUOL 3 Asso prof. Souphab Khouangvichit Dean, Faculty of Environmental science 4 Asso Prof. Kongchay Sisouraj Vice Dean, Faculty of Natural science 5 Asso Prof. Souphanh Pasouvong Vice Dean, Faculty of agriculture 6 Asso Prof. Houngphet Chathavong Dean, Faculty of Forest 7 Asso Prof. Bounheng Siharath (Ms) Deputy director, International Relations Dean, Faculty of Engineering, NUOL cxxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR List name of Ministry of Planning and Investment, 06 March 2013, 08:30–10:00 No. Name Position and Organization 1 Mr. Khonsavath Sitthirath IT Officer, Cabinet office 2 Mr. Phonethavong Singhalath Director, Investment Promotion Department 3 Mr. Kalouna Deputy Director, Department of Planning 4 Mr. Sengmany Deputy Director, Evaluation Department 5 Mr. Kingphet Atsanavong Director, IT Division of Lao Statistics Bureau 6 Mr. Fongsamout khamvalvongsa Dept Permanent Secretary, Cabinet Office 7 Mr. Vilakone Chanthavongsa IPD Officer, Investment Promotion Department 8 Mr. Houmphan Dept Director-General 9 Dr. Leebor Leebouapao Director General, National Economic Research Institute, MPI Visit Daohieng Company, 06 March 2013, 10:00–12:00 am No. 1 Name Mr. Ninhlamay Sengmany Position and Organization Advisor of President, Dao-Heung Group Company List name of Ministry of Education and Sport, 06 March 2013, time 13:30–14:00 No. Name & Surname Position and Organization 1 Dr. Keomany Sisaikeo Director Division, Dept of Higher Education 2 Mr. Ammany Nalin Acting Director Division, External Relations Dept 3 Mr. Phouvanh Vongsouthi Deputy Director-General, Department of Planning 4 Mr. Souliya Sayasinh Deputy of Head Programme and Research, ESICT 5 Mr. Anoupheung Keovongsa Acting Director of PMD, Department of Planning 6 Mrs. Haythin Deputy Section, Department of Planning 7 Dr. Bounpanh Xaymountry Deputy Director-General, Department of Planning 8 Miss. Sinakhone pratoomrad Deputy Director, Cabinet Office 9 Mr. Souksavanh Deputy Director, Research Institute Education of Science Appendix 123 Visit ETL Company, Lao PDR, 06 March 2013, time 14:00–16:00 pm No. Name & Surname Position and Organization 1 Mr. Khamla Syaphone Director Division, ETL company 2 Dr. Thavisack Manodha Director Division, ETL company Visit Nam Theun 2 power company Limited, 07 March 2013, time 08:30–10:00 am No. Name & Surname Position and Organization 1 Mr. Pat Dye Government Affairs & Cooperate, Communications Director, Nam Theun 2 power company Limited 2 Mr. Olay Phommavong Regional Communications Officer, Nam Theun 2 Power Company Limited List name of Ministry of Energy and Mines, 07 March 2013, time 10:00–12:00 No. Name & Surname Position and Organization 1 Mr. Chantho Milattanaphaeng Department Director General, IREP, MEM 2 Mr. Phimphone Latsavong Deputy of RED, IREP, MEM 3 Mr. Vilaboun Chittanousone Deputy Chief Director, DEB, MEM 4 Mr. Aksone Khamsavath Director Division, DEB, MEM 5 Mr. Houmphan Vongphachan Director Division, DEB, MEM 6 Mr. Phonepasong Sithideth Acting Chief Director, IREP, MEM 7 Mr. Kongkham Chathavichith Director of Division, DOM, MEM 8 Mr. Somdeth Lakhonvong Technical Officer, DEPP, MEM 9 Miss. Amphailin Sengsoulin Technical Officer, IREP, MEM 10 Miss. Saly Engmany Technical Officer, IREP, MEM IREP = Institute Renewable Energy Promotion DEB = Department of Energy Business DEM = Department of Energy Management DOM = Department of mines DEPP = Department of Energy Policy and Planning MEM = Ministry of Energy and Mines cxxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR List name of Ministry of Commercial and Industry, 07 March 2013, time 13:30–16:00 No. Name & Surname Position and Organization 1 Mr. Sa Siriphong Director, SME promotion 2 Mr. Nilanlath SRAMMANY Officer, ERII 3 Mr. Khamphanh HEUHIUGMANY Chief, SIC/DPC/MOIC 4 Mr. kinon Khamvisith Deputy Director of Division, Dept. of Industry and Handicraft 5 Ms. Sodavanh Souvannaphoum Deputy Division, Foreign Aid Division Department of Planning and cooperation 6 Mr. Khounekham Inthasone Deputy Division, Dept. of foreign Trade Policy 7 Mr. Ounheuane Plalatyotha Officer, Dept. of Trade and Production Promotion 8 Ms. Sengdavone Bangonesengdet Deputy secretary general, Lao National Chamber of Commerce and Industry Visit Pharmacy Factory Number 2, 08 March 2013, time 10:00–12:00 pm No. 1 Name & Surname Mr. Phetsamone Philomluck Position and organization Deputy Director, Pharmacy Factory No. 2 Appendix 125 |Appendix 2|National Innovation System of Lao PDR Diagnosis & STI Strategy Development 2013 ∎ Program Details Date: 22-23 October 2013, Vientiane, Lao PDR ∎ Progam Day 1 22 October 2013 09:00-09:30 Registration Opening Session 09:00-09:15 Welcoming Remarks 09:15-09:30 Nanjundappa Srinivasan, APCTT 09:30-09:50 Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI Mr. Houmphanh Intharath, Deputy Minister of Most, Lao PDR 09:50-10:00 Photo (All Participants) 10:00-10:10 Coffee Break Session I: NIS Overview 10:10-10:40 Promotion of National Innovation Systems in the Asia-Pacific Countries by APCTT: The Way Forward Nanjundappa Srinivasan, APCTT 10:40-11:10 Key Components of National Innovation Systems Dr. Satyabrata Sahu, APCTT 11:10-11:40 Linking Science and Industry: The Case of Korea Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI 11:40-12:00 Discussion 12:00-13:30 Lunch Session II: Lao NIS Linkages & Partnerships of Key Actors 13:30-14:00 Government Role in the NIS of Lao PDR Mrs. Khamnhong Sichanthvong, DTI, MOST 14:00-14:30 Research Role in the NIS of Lao PDR Souksavanh Phonetheva, Research Institute for Educational Sciences Ministry of Education and Sport cxxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 14:30-14:45 Coffee Break 14:45-15:15 Industry Role in the NIS of Lao PDR Viengsavang Thipphavong, Economic Research Institute for Trade. Ministry of Industry and Commerce 15:15-16:00 Discussion Day 2 23 October 2013 Session III: Diagnosis and Strategy Development of Innovation System of Lao PDR 09:00-09:30 Diagnosis and Strategy Development: The STEPI Approach Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI 09:30-10:20 Lao PDR NIS Socioeconomic Context, Survey Results & Policy Review Sira Maliphol, STEPI 10:20-10:40 Coffee Break 10:40-11:10 Synthesis of Lao Innovation System Diagnosis and Strategic Direction Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI 11:10-12:00 Discussion: Stakeholder Elaboration on Diagnosis and Strategies 12:00-13:30 Lunch Session IV: Benchmarking for Master Planning and Implementation 13:30-14:00 Nepal STI Implementation Strategies Prof. Krishna Raj Shrestha, RECAST 14:00-14:30 Necessity of STI Development: Bangladesh PerspectiveMatiur Rahman, MOST, Bangladesh (TBC) 14:30-14:50 Coffee Break Session V: Master Plan of Technology & Innovation Development in Lao PDR: Moving Forward with Key Stakeholders in Lao PDR 14:50-15:20 Lao PDR Pilot Questionnaire Survey Results and Analysis Fine Yang, STEPI 15:20-16:00 Discussion ∙ Priority Setting with AHP ∙ Program Design ∙ Funding ∙ Implementation Closing Session 16:00-16:30 Closing Remarks Mr. Soumana Choulamany, DTI, MOST, Lao PDR Nanjundappa Srinivasan, APCTT Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI Appendix 127 ∎ List of participants No Name Position and organization 1 Mr. Pat Dye Government Affair & Cooperate, Communications Director, Nam Theun 2 power company Limited 2 Mr. Olay Phommavong Regional Communications officer, Nam Theun 2 power company Limited 3 Mr. Chantho Milattanaphaeng Officer, Nam Theun 2 power company Limited 4 Mr. Phimphone Latsavong Department Director General, Ministry of Energy & Mines 5 Mr. Vilaboun Chittanousone Deputy Chief Director, Ministry of Energy & Mines 6 Mr. Aksone Khamsavath Director Division, Ministry of Energy & Mines 7 Mr. Houmphan Vongphachan Director Division, Ministry of Energy & Mines 8 Mr. Phonepasong Sithideth Acting Chief Director, Ministry of Energy & Mines 9 Mr. Kongkham Chathavichith Director of Division, Ministry of Energy & Mines 10 Mr. Somdeth Lakhonvong Technical Officer, Ministry of Energy & Mines 11 Miss Amphailin Sengsoulin Technical Officer, Ministry of Energy & Mines 12 Miss Saly Engmany Technical Officer, Ministry of Energy & Mines 13 Mr. Sa Siriphong Director, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 14 Mr. Nilanlath SRAMMANY Officer, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 15 Mr. Khamphanh HEUHIUGMANY Chief, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 16 Mr. Kinon Khamvisith Deputy Director of Division, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 17 Ms. Sodavanh Souvannaphoum Deputy Division, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 18 Mr. Khounekham Inthasone Deputy Division, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 19 Mr. Ounheuane Plalatyotha Officer, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 20 Ms. Sengdavone Bangonesengdet Deputy Secretary General, Ministry of Commercial and Industry 21 Mr. Phetsamone Philomluck Deputy director, Pharmacy Factory No. 2 cxxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Appendix 3|Consultative Workshop on Open Innovation Platform 2013 ∎ Program details - Date: 13-14 November 2013, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia - Venue: Hotel Istana, Permata Room ∎ Program Day 1 13 November 2013 12:00–14:00 Registration of the delegates 14:30–15:30 Opening Ceremony of OIP Workshop ∙ Introduction to Workshop by Mr. Michael Williamson, Head-APCTT ∙ Speech by YBhg. Datuk Abdul Wahab Abdullah, President and CEO of MIMOS ∙ Opening Address by YBhg. Dato' Dr. Rosli Mohamed, Secretary-General of MOSTI 15:30–15:45 Coffee Break Session I: STI Strategy Development in the Open Innovation Policy Framework and Country Presentation 15:45-17:00 ∙ Diagnosis and Strategy Development: the STEPI Approach by Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI ∙ Lao PDR NIS Socioeconomic Context, Survey Results & Policy Review by Ms. Juyoon Sun, STEPI ∙ AHP Pilot Survey for Priority-setting Process by Ms. Fine Yang, STEPI ∙ Synthesis of Lao Innovation System Diagnosis and Strategy Direction by Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI 17:00-18:00 Presentations on the concept of Open Innovation Platform by Member Countries 18:00 Day 2 End of Workshop 14 November 2013 Session II: Open Innovation Platform for ICT 09:00–09:45 Welcoming Remarks by YBhg. Datuk Abdul Wahab Abdullah, President and CEO of MIMOS 09:45–10:45 Technologies Presentation and Showcase 10:45–11:00 Coffee Break 11:00–12:00 Visit to Wafer Testing Lab and Reliability Lab 12:00–14:00 Lunch Appendix 129 Session III: OIP Business Model and the Way Forward 14:00–14:30 Proposed Business Model of MIMOS OIP by Mr Ramesh Kumar Nadarajah, Legal Director 14:30–15:30 Panel Discussion on OIP and the Way Forward (Panel-list: YBhg. Datuk Abdul Wahab Abdullah, Mr. Ramesh Kumar Najarajah, Dr. Masuri Othman, Dr. Jeyong Hyop Lee, Mr. Michael Williamson, Mr. N. Srinivasan) 15:30–16:00 Tea Break 16:00–16:30 Summary of Findings and Recommendations, and Closing Remarks by Dr. Masuri Othman, MOSTI 16:30–17:00 Certificate Presentation 17:00 End of workshop ∎ List of Participants No. Name Position and Organization 1 Mr. Shahadat Hosan Assistant Chief, Ministry of Science and Technology BANGLADESH 2 Professor Liu Dongbo Hunan Agricultural University CHINA 3 Mr. K Kamal Adviser and Head IT-eG & BIRD-crf, Department of Scientific and Industrial Research, INDIA Ministry of Science and Technology 4 Mr. Manaek Simamora Technology Incubation Program Coordinator, Centre for Innovation, Indonesian Institute of INDONESIA Sciences (LIPI) 5 Mr. Mahmoud Molanejad Director of International Cooperation, Iranian Research Organization for Science and Technology (IROST) 6 Ms. Khamnhong Sichanthavong Deputy Director General, Department of Technology and Innovation, Ministry of Science LAO PDR and Technology 7 Director, Technology Commercialization, Mr. Masuri Othman Ministry of Science Technology & Innovation MALAYSIA (MOSTI) 8 Ms. Sumitra Jayaseelan 9 Assistant Secretary, international Division, Ms. Sheela Samivellu Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation MALAYSIA (MOSTI) Principal Assistant Secretary, International Division, Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation (MOSTI) Country ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN MALAYSIA cxxx STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR No. Name Position and Organization Country Executive Director, Research Centre for Applied NEPAL Science and Technology (RECAST) 10 Prof. Ram Prasad Chaudhary 11 Director, Technology Application and Promotion Mr. Edgar I. Garcia Institute (TAPI), Department of Science & PHILIPPINES Technology (DOST) 12 Mr. Sanghun Lee Director, International Cooperation Division, REPUBLIC OF Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning KOREA (MSIP) 13 Mr. Jeong Hyop Lee Director, Center for STI Development, Science REPUBLIC OF and Technology Policy Institute (STEPI) KOREA 14 Mr. Sira Maliphol Science & Technology Policy Institute REPUBLIC OF KOREA 15 Ms. Fine Yang Science & Technology Policy Institute REPUBLIC OF KOREA 16 Mr. A. Piyasiri Deputy Director General, National Engineering SRI LANKA Research & Development Centre (NERD Centre) 17 Mr. Nuttapon Nimmanphatcharin Director of Office of Corporate Strategic Planning, Thailand Institute of Scientific and Technological Research 18 Mr. Supoj Suttirat Ministry of Science and Technology 19 Ms. Ngan Giang Hoang Department of International Cooperation, Ministry of Science and Technology 20 Mr. Anhdung Nguyen Official, State Agency for Technology Innovation Vietnam (SATI), Ministry of Science and Technology 21 Mr. Michael Williamson Head of APCTT APCTT-ESCAP 22 Mr. N. Srinivasan In-charge, Innovation Management APCTT-ESCAP 23 Mr. N. Suryaprakash Administrative Assistant THAILAND THAILAND Vietnam APCTT-ESCAP Appendix 131 |Appendix 4|Pilot Survey for Priority- setting Process Pilot Survey Questionnaire Objective: This survey is to explore STI-based industrial development solutions that can guide Lao PDR towards resolving its socioeconomic issues such as poverty reduction, environmental protection, and balanced industry development. Survey Methods & Process ● Pilot Survey (May-June 2013): This multiple-choice survey identifies main sectorial STI priorities by asking respondents to select key criteria and alternatives. ● Survey (July-Aug 2013): This survey will utilize AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) methods on the key criteria and alternatives derived from the pilot survey. Survey participants The questionnaire will be circulated to key actors in the Laotian government, R&D institutions, universities, industry, and NGOs. cxxxii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 1. Industry 1.1. Please rank by priority the criteria of potential new industry. (1–Excellent, 2–Very Good, 3–Good, 4–Satisfactory, 5–To be improved) Key Criteria 1 2 3 4 5 1. Creation of added value 2. Export industrialization 3. Import substitution 4. Cheap labor 5. Resource utilization 6. Market opportunity 7. Job creation 8. Conformity with Laotian policy objectives 9. * 10. * * If respondents have more ideas on key criteria, please provide in the table above. 1.2. Please rank by priority the industrial sectors that can be promoted based on the above criteria. Alternatives 1 2 3 4 5 1. Agriculture 2. Tourism 3. Food processing 4. Textile, Clothes 5. Pharmaceutical 6. * 7. * 2. Technology 2.1. Please rank by priority the criteria in introducing new technologies to promote industry in Laos. Key Criteria 1. Technology localization 2. Ripple effect (economic impact) 3. Conformity with Laotian policy objectives 1 2 3 4 5 Appendix 133 Key Criteria 1 2 3 4 5 4. Sustainable development 5. Technology absorptive capacity 6. Technology development cost 7. Technology acquisition possibility 8. Cost & benefit balance 9. * 10. * 2.2. Please rank by priority the technology alternatives that can be promoted based on the above criteria. Alternatives 1 2 3 4 5 1. Process technology 2. Machinery technology 3. Biotechnology 4. Appropriate technology 5. Hydro technology 6. Adaptive technology 7. Mining technology 8. Post-harvesting technology 9. * 10. * 3. Policy 3.1. Please rank by priority that polices that can improve Laotian socioeconomic issues through industry & technology development. Alternatives 1. Human resource development 2. Technology development 3. Facility investment 4. Build infrastructure(Inc. Laboratory) 5. Promotion of partnership & linkage among stakeholders (e.g. University, industry, and research institutes) 1 2 3 4 5 cxxxiv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Alternatives 1 2 3 4 5 6. Start-up support 7. * 8. * 3.2. Please explain your reasons for the above choices or share any further opinions or requests pertaining to STI policy in Lao PDR. 4. Policy-making organization: government 4.1. Please rank by priority the criteria that are most urgent towards resolving Lao PDR’s socioeconomic issues. Key Criteria 1 2 3 4 5 1. Government procurement (financial) 2. Linkage & partnership-based implementation 3. Leadership 4. Coordination 5. Providing mediation & vision 6. Attracting FDI 7. Government funding management leadership (incl. ODA) 8. * 9. * 4.2. Please rank by importance the government agencies that play the most influential roles in resolving Lao PDR’s socioeconomic issues. Alternatives 1. Ministry of S&T 2. Ministry of Planning & Investment 1 2 3 4 5 Appendix 135 Alternatives 1 2 3 4 5 3. Ministry of Education & Sports 4. Ministry of Energy & Mines 5. Ministry of Industry & Commerce 6. * 7. * 5. Implementation organizations 5.1. Please rank by importance the implementation organizations that contribute to resolving Lao PDR’s socioeconomic issues. Alternatives 1 2 3 4 5 1. Universities 2. Research institutes 3. Private companies 4. NGOs 5. * 6. * 5.2. Please explain your reasons for the above choices or share any further opinions or requests pertaining to STI policy in Lao PDR. 6. Funding sources 6.1. Please rank by priority the criteria of funding sources that can help Lao PDR improve its socioeconomic issues through industry promotion. Key Criteria 1. Investment efficiency 2. Sustainability 3. Ownership 4. Funding scale 5. Continuity of investment 6. Secure funding 7. * 8. * 1 2 3 4 5 cxxxvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 6.2. Please rank by importance the investing mechanisms that can effectively support Laotian issues based on the above criteria. Alternatives 1 2 1. Public investment 2. Private investment 3. PPP (Public Private Partnership) 4. ODA (foreign donor agency) 5. * 6. * Survey Results: ∙ Industrial promotion to develop Lao PDR economy Criteria Alternatives 3 4 5 Appendix 137 ∙ Technology development/development Criteria Alternatives ∙ Funding sources Criteria cxxxviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Alternatives ∙ Policy making organization: Government Appendix 139 ∙ Major actors for implementation & role of government Major actors for implementation Policy measure cxl STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR ∙ Specific responses for priority actors & policy measure for implementation Respondents Government Group IOs NGOs University Industry Research Institute University Research Institute NGOs University University Research Institute HRD HRD HRD HRD HRD HRD Actors Measures 1: 2: 3: 4: 5: 6: Human resource development Technology development Facility investment Build infrastructure Promotion of partnership & linkage among stakeholders start-up support Appendix 141 |Appendix 5|Brainstorming Workshop on STI Strategic Action Planning 2014 ∎ Program Details - Date: 26-27 May 2014 - Venue: Mercure Vientiane, Lao PDR ∎ Program Day 1 26 May 2014 08:30–09:00 Registration Opening Session 09:00–09:30 Welcoming Remarks Mr. Houmphanh INTHARATH, Vice-Minister, MOST Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI Dr. Satyabrata Sahu, APCTT) 09:30–09:40 Group Photo 09:40–09:50 Coffee Break Session I: STI Strategic Road mapping Background & Guidelines 09:50–10:10 Presentation: Preliminary assessment of the current technology enabling environment and innovation ecosystem with specific reference to sustainable energy Speaker: Nanjundappa Srinivasan, ESCAP-APCTT. 10:10–10:40 Presentation: Methodologies for Road mapping and Action Planning Speaker: Jet Shu, Advisor of Dept. of Industrial Technology, MOEA, Chinese Taipei 10:40–11:10 Presentation: Lao PDR Innovation System Diagnosis and Solutions Speaker: Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI, ROK 11:10–11:40 Presentation: Action Planning for STI Strategies and Policies Speaker: Sira Maliphol, STEPI, ROK 11:40–13:00 Lunch Break (Buffet) Session II: STI Strategic Government and Priority Setting for Lao PDR 13:30–13:50 Presentation: International Context of the Lao Innovation Initiative and Review of Existing Policies Speaker: Haewon Kang, STEPI, ROK cxlii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 13:50–14:30 Presentation: Lao PDR STI Strategic Governance, Goal and Priority Setting. Speaker: Mr. Kongsaysy Phommasay, DG, Department of Science, MOST 14:30–15:00 Presentation: Field Survey Review: STI Stakeholders Speaker: Sira Maliphol, STEPI, ROK 15:00–15:15 Coffee Break 15:15–17:00 Discussion: STI Priorities for Lao PDR, continued Day 2 27 May 2014 Session III: Program Design 1 –Strategic R&D Programs for Lao PDR 08:30–09:00 Presentation: Future Direction of Technology and Innovation. Speaker: Mrs. Khamnhong Sichanthavong, Deputy Director General, DTI Session IV: Program Design 2 –HRD Programs for Lao PDR 09:30–10:00 Presentation: Human Resource Development Program for Lao PDR Speaker: (Dr. Phonephet Boupha , DG, Department of Higher Education, MOES) Session V: Financing & Milestones 10:00–10:30 Presentation: Financing of STI Strategies, Policies & Programs Speaker: Mr. Soulivath Souvannachoumkham, Ministry of Finance 10:30–10:50 Coffee Break Session VI: Action Planning & Milestones 10:50–12:45 Discussion: Financing & Milestones 12:45–13:00 Closing Remarks Mr. Soumana Choulamany, DTI, MOST Dr. Jeong Hyop Lee, STEPI ∎ List of Participants Organization Title Name 1 DTI Director General Mr. Soumana CHOULAMANY 2 DTI-MOST Deputy Director General Mrs. Khamnhong SICHANTHAVONG 3 DTI-MOST Deputy Director General Mr. Vilaysone BOUPHALATH 4 MOST Director of TMD Mr. Sengchanh PHASAYASENG 5 MOST Director of IPDD Mr. Soulideth SOUVANNLATH 6 MOST Director of TSID Mr. Lanthom OUTHACHACK 7 MOST Acting Director of PSD Mr. Khampha THONGVANHNA 8 MOST Director of AD Mrs. Bounthom PHOUMIN 9 MOST Technical Ms Houangsa HONGLIKITH 10 MOST Technical Mr. khonesack KHOUTAVONG Appendix 143 Organization Title Name 11 MOST Technical Ms Phanida NARKHAVONG 12 MOST Technical Ms Viengvilay THONGMANYLA 13 MOST Technical Ms Phout PHOMYXAY 14 MOST Technical Ms KHUNKEO SIHAVONG 15 MOST Technical Mr. Phouma SYVONGXAY 16 Cabinet-MOST Mr. Phimpha OUTHACHACK 17 MOST Lao Academic of Science-MOST Ms Vatsaly MYSAVATH 18 Department of Science-MOST Director General Mr. Kongsaysy PHOMMAXAY 19 Department of Science-MOST Mr. Khamla PHOUMINH 20 Ministry of Planning and Investment* 21 Ministry of Industry and Commerce Mr. Kavin SAYAVONG 22 Department of Higher Education - Ministry of Director General Education and Sport 23 Ministry of Finance 24 National University of Faculty of Engineering Laos Dr. Keophusone PHONHARATH 25 National University of Director of Research Laos office Prof.Dr Sounthone 26 Ministry of Labor Mr. Vanhphone 27 MOST Mr. Khatiphone 28 MOST Mr. Phoumpaseud SIVONGSAY 29 DTI-MOST MS Soudchai SENGPHATOUMVANH 30 MOST Deputy director of planning and cooperation Mr. Soutthiphong VONGXAIYA division Dr. Phonephet BOUPHA Director of Economic and Mr. Soulivath Fiscal Policy Division SOUVANNACHOUMKHAM * Note: The representative from the Ministry of Planning and Investment attended but did not sign in. cxliv STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR |Appendix 6|Millennium Development Goals The Millennium Development Goals and targets come from the Millennium Declaration, signed by 189 countries, including 147 heads of State and Government, in September 2000 (http://www.un.org/millennium/declaration/ares552e.htm) and from further agreement by member states at the 2005 World Summit (Resolution adopted by the General Assembly - A/RES/60/1, http://www.un.org/Docs/journal /asp/ws.asp?m=A/RES/60/1). The goals and targets are interrelated and should be seen as a whole. They represent a partnership between the developed countries and the developing countries “to create an environment - at the national and global levels alike - which is conducive to development and the elimination of poverty.” Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Hunger and Poverty Target 1. Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the 1. Proportion of population below $1 (1993 PPP) per day (World Bank) a* proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day 2. Poverty gap ratio [incidence x depth of poverty] (World Bank) 3. Share of poorest quintile in national consumption (World Bank) Target 2. Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the 4. Prevalence of underweight children under five proportion of people who suffer years of age (UNICEF-WHO) from hunger 5. Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption (FAO) Goal 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education Target 3. Ensure that, by 2015, children 6. Net enrolment ratio in primary education everywhere, boys and girls alike, will (UNESCO) be able to complete a full course of 7. Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who primary schooling reach grade 5 (UNESCO) b* 8. Literacy rate of 15-24 year-olds (UNESCO) Goal 3: Promote Gender Equality and Empower Women Target 4. Eliminate gender disparity in primary 9. Ratio of girls to boys in primary, secondary and secondary education, preferably and tertiary education (UNESCO) by 2005, and in all levels of education 10. Ratio of literate women to men, 15-24 years no later than 2015 old (UNESCO) Appendix 145 11. Share of women in wage employment in the non-agricultural sector (ILO) 12. Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament (IPU) Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality Target 5. Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 13. Under-five mortality rate (UNICEF-WHO) and 2015, the under-five mortality 14. Infant mortality rate (UNICEF-WHO) rate 15. Proportion of 1 year-old children immunized against measles (UNICEF-WHO) Goal 5: Improve Maternal Health Target 6. Reduce by three-quarters, between 16. Maternal mortality ratio (UNICEF-WHO) 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality 17. Proportion of births attended by skilled ratio health personnel (UNICEF-WHO) Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, Malaria and other diseases Target 7. Have halted by 2015 and begun to 18. HIV prevalence among pregnant women reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS aged 15-24 years (UNAIDS-WHO-UNICEF) 19. Condom use rate of the contraceptive prevalence rate (UN Population Division) c* 19a. Condom use at last high-risk sex (UNICEF-WHO) 19b. Percentage of population aged 15-24 years with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS (UNICEF-WHO) d* 19c. Contraceptive prevalence rate (UN Population Division) 20. Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school attendance of non-orphans aged 10-14 years (UNICEF-UNAIDS-WHO) Target 8. Have halted by 2015 and begun to 21. Prevalence and death rates associated with reverse the incidence of malaria and malaria (WHO) other major diseases 22. Proportion of population in malaria-risk areas using effective malaria prevention and treatment measures (UNICEF-WHO) e* 23. Prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis (WHO) 24. Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under DOTS (internationally recommended TB control strategy) (WHO) cxlvi STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Goal 7: Ensure Environmental Sustainability Target 9. Integrate the principles of sustainable 25. Proportion of land area covered by forest development into country policies and (FAO) programs and reverse the loss of 26. Ratio of area protected to maintain environmental resources biological diversity to surface area (UNEP-WCMC) 27. Energy use (kg oil equivalent) per $1 GDP (PPP) (IEA, World Bank) 28. Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (UNFCCC, UNSD) and consumption of ozone-depleting CFCs (ODP tons) (UNEP-Ozone Secretariat) 29. Proportion of population using solid fuels (WHO) Target 10. Halve, by 2015, the proportion of 30. Proportion of population with sustainable people without sustainable access to access to an improved water source, urban and rural (UNICEF-WHO) safe drinking water and basic sanitation 31. Proportion of population with access to improved sanitation, urban and rural (UNICEF-WHO) Target 11. Have achieved by 2020 a significant 32. Proportion of households with access to improvement in the lives of at least secure tenure (UN-HABITAT) 100 million slum dwellers Goal 8: Develop a Global Partnership for Development Target 12. Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, nondiscriminatory trading and financial system (includes a commitment to good governance, development, and poverty reduction both nationally and internationally) Note: Some of the indicators listed below are monitored separately for the least developed countries, Africa, landlocked developing countries, and small island developing states Official development assistance (ODA) 33. Net ODA, total and to LDCs, as percentage of OECD/Development Assistance Target 13. Address the special needs of the Least Committee (DAC) donors' gross national Developed Countries (includes tariffincome (GNI)(OECD) and quota-free access for Least 34. Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable Developed Countries? exports, ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic enhanced program of debt relief for social services (basic education, primary heavily indebted poor countries health care, nutrition, safe water and [HIPCs] and cancellation of official sanitation) (OECD) bilateral debt, and more generous official development assistance for 35. Proportion of bilateral ODA of countries committed to poverty OECD/DAC donors that is untied reduction) (OECD) Appendix 147 36. ODA received in landlocked developing Target 14. Address the special needs of countries as a proportion of their GNIs landlocked developing countries and (OECD) small island developing states (through the Program of Action for 37. ODA received in small island developing the Sustainable Development of States as proportion of their GNIs (OECD) Small Island Developing States and Market access 22nd General Assembly provisions) 38. Proportion of total developed country imports (by value and excluding arms) from Target 15. Deal comprehensively with the debt developing countries and from LDCs, problems of developing countries admitted free of duty (UNCTAD, WTO, through national and international WB) measures in order to make debt 39. Average tariffs imposed by developed sustainable in the long term countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries (UNCTAD, WTO, WB) 40. Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as percentage of their GDP (OECD) 41. Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity (OECD, WTO) Debt sustainability 42. Total number of countries that have reached their Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative (HIPC) decision points and number that have reached their HIPC completion points (cumulative) (IMF World Bank) 43. Debt relief committed under HIPC initiative (IMF-World Bank) 44. Debt service as a percentage of exports of goods and services (IMF-World Bank) 45. Unemployment rate of young people aged Target 16. In cooperation with developing 15-24 years, each sex and total (ILO) f* countries, develop and implement strategies for decent and productive work for youth Target 17. In cooperation with pharmaceutical 46. Proportion of population with access to companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable affordable essential drugs in basis (WHO) developing countries Target 18. In cooperation with the private 47. Telephone lines and cellular subscribers per sector, make available the benefits 100 population (ITU) of new technologies, especially 48. Personal computers in use per 100 information and communications population and Internet users per 100 technologies population (ITU) cxlviii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR Notes a For monitoring country poverty trends, indicators based on national poverty lines should be used, where available. b An alternative indicator under development is "primary completion rate". c Among contraceptive methods, only condoms are effective in preventing HIV transmission. Since the condom use rate is only measured amongst women in union, it is supplemented by an indicator on condom use in high-risk situations (indicator 19a) and an indicator on HIV/AIDS knowledge (indicator 19b). Indicator 19c (contraceptive prevalence rate) is also useful in tracking progress in other health, gender and poverty goals. d This indicator is defined as the percentage of population aged 15-24 who correctly identify the two major ways of preventing the sexual transmission of HIV (using condoms and limiting sex to one faithful, uninfected partner), who reject the two most common local misconceptions about HIV transmission, and who know that a healthy-looking person can transmit HIV. However, since there are currently not a sufficient number of surveys to be able to calculate the indicator as defined above, UNICEF, in collaboration with UNAIDS and WHO, produced two proxy indicators that represent two components of the actual indicator. They are the following: (a) percentage of women and men 15-24 who know that a person can protect herself from HIV infection by "consistent use of condom"; (b) percentage of women and men 15-24 who know a healthy-looking person can transmit HIV. e Prevention to be measured by the percentage of children under 5 sleeping under insecticide-treated bednets; treatment to be measured by percentage of children under 5 who are appropriately treated. f An improved measure of the target for future years is under development by the International Labour Organization (ILO). Source: UN Millennium Project 국문개요 149 국문개요 연구목적: 빈곤, 과학기술혁신 그리고 한국의 발전경험 저개발국과 개발도상국의 빈곤의 문제는 지난 수십 년 간 국제개발공동체가 지속 적으로 다루어 온 주제이다. 특히 연구개발을 통해 경제능력이 향상되고 사람들을 빈곤에서 구해낸다는 인식이 확대되면서 과학기술혁신 전략의 중요성이 더욱 부각 되었다. 그리고 지난 15년의 새천년개발목표를 마무리하고 새롭게 설정되고 있는 지속개발목표에서는 과학기술혁신 정책을 기획과 전략에 포함하기 위한 논의가 진 행되고 있다. 우리나라는 과학기술혁신 전략을 효과적으로 활용하여 경제를 발전시켜 빈곤을 극복한 경험이 있으며, 이런 경험은 과학기술혁신 개발의 좋은 귀감이 되고 있다. 기반조건과 세계환경이 달라졌지만 우리나라의 과학기술혁신의 개발경험은 오늘날 유용성이 인정되고 있다. 그러나 우리나라의 이런 경험들을 효과적이고 실행가능한 개발정책으로 전환하는 것은 쉬운 일이 아니다. 한국의 개발경험에서 도출한 시사점 을 토대로 원리를 정립하고 방법론을 개발하는 것이 필요해졌다. 이 연구는 위의 방법론을 토대로 시스템 진단, 대안 도출, 실행계획 수립 등의 과정을 통해 라오스 정부와 관련 산학연 주체들의 흡수역량을 강화하는 목적으로 추진되었다. 특히 2013년부터 2014년까지 라오스 현지 조사와 워크숍 등은 한 -UNDP 협력사업의 지원으로 이루어졌으며, UN-ESCAP의 아시아태평양기술이전 센터와 라오스 과학기술부와의 파트너십으로 진행되었다. 방법론 이 연구에서 사용한 방법론은 3C/3A 접근법이며, 3C는 Componentization, Contextualization, Conceptualization으로 이루어지고 3A는 수행주체(Actor)와 활동 (Action)에 초점을 맞춘 계획의 정립(Articulation)으로 정의된다. 이 방법론은 저소득 국가들의 경제발전을 지원하기 위해 혁신시스템의 제약요인을 진단하고 대안을 도 cl STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 출하기 위해 고안되었다. 이 방법론은 한국의 과학기술개발 경험에서 도출한 종합적 진단, 미래지향적 대안도출 그리고 합의도출을 유도하는 직관적 분석을 기초로 하고 있다. 이 방법을 통해 정책의 관련성, 정합성 그리고 일관성을 높여 보다 효율적이고 효과적인 혁신활동의 기획과 추진을 확보하고자 하였다. 그리고 이용가능한 데이터 와 통계의 부족으로 패널토론 방식으로 라오스의 산학연관 주체들의 참여와 합의를 도출하는 직관적 기법이 많이 활용되었다. 라오스의 기반조건과 기존 정책 라오스는 최근 저개발국가의 지위를 벗어나서 저중소득국이 되었으며, 라오스의 발전은 자연자원에 기초한 성장의 결과라고 할 수 있다. 라오스 경제의 광업과 수력 발전을 통한 해외수입 의존이 높아 졌고 지속가능한 성장을 위해서는 혁신체제의 강화를 통해 라오스 경제의 산업다각화와 고부가가치화의 필요성이 부각된다. 현재 라오스 정부는 교육중심의 역량강화에 초점을 맞추고 있으며, 산업이나 연구개발에 대한 종합적인 시각은 결여된 것으로 파악된다. 개별 부처들이 추진하고 있는 목표들 은 전체적으로 정합성이 부족한 것으로 나타났다. 진단 라오스의 혁신체제에는 활용가능한 자원이 있으며 이 자원을 라오스의 지속가능 한 발전을 위한 역량으로 전환해야 한다. 라오스에서는 천연자원의 가치가 가장 높으 며, 수력발전, 광물자원, 농업 및 임업제품이 포함된다. 이들 자원들이 경제발전을 추동하였고 경제적 산출의 대부분을 차지하고 있다. 공적개발원조와 외국인직접투 자를 통해 개발과정이 견인되었으며, 라오스는 연구개발, 인력, 거버넌스 정책 등의 측면에서 제약이 높다. 통계 연구 등 문헌조사, 현장 및 설문조사 결과를 토대로 라오스 시스템을 진단한 결과 최소한 네 가지의 구조적인 제약요인이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 네 가지 제약요 인은 소농 중심의 빈곤 트랩(trap), 지하자원 의존 트랩(trap), 고용시장과 교육 간의 정책적 갭(gap), 산업과 과학 연계의 구조적인 제약 등이 그것이다. 이들 네 가지 국문개요 151 제약요인은 상호작용하면서 문제를 더욱 심각하게 만들고 있다. 구조적인 시스템 진단의 결과를 토대로 기존의 정책을 리뷰한 결과 라오스의 지속 가능한 성장을 견인할 수 있는 정책이 부재한 것으로 나타났다. 천연자원에 기초한 소득 이외의 산업 다각화를 통한 소득 다양화의 전략이 뚜렷하지 않기 때문이다. 개별 부처에서 추진하고 있는 정책들은 산업육성과 고용창출이란 측면에서 일관성 과 연관성이 낮은 것으로 파악된다. 대안 본 연구에서 도출한 대안은 라오스의 장기적인 지속가능성에 필요한 역량강화에 초점을 맞췄다. 산업화를 위한 자원의 효율적 배분을 위해 산업 타깃팅이 제안되었고 이를 통해 혁신체제의 다른 구성요소들 간의 조정이 가능하도록 하였다. 미션 연구 및 전략적 인력양성을 포함하는 과학기술혁신 인프라 프로그램을 통해 제안된 산업 의 육성이 추진된다. 그리고 다양한 이해관계자와 활동의 조정을 가능하도록 하는 거버넌스 메커니즘이 고안되었다. 현지조사를 통해 확인된 네 가지 비즈니스 모델에 대해서도 검토하였다. 외국인직접투자로부터의 기술 확산, 수입대체 기술현지화, 수 출육성 기술현지화, 내수시장 기술맞춤 모델이 그것이다. 실행계획 위에서 도출된 대안을 실행계획으로 전환하였다. 이렇게 제안된 실행계획들은 라오스의 산학연관 주체들이 계획된 프로젝트를 수행할 수 있도록 도와주고 실행에 필요한 충분한 재원조달을 위한 리더십을 강화하는데 도움이 될 것이다. 그리고 실행 계획을 수립함으로써 관련 주체들이 주어진 시간 속에서 어떤 주체들이 어떤 일을 해야 하는 지를 규정해 줌으로써 공동의 목표를 향한 자연스런 조정 메커니즘을 확보하기 위해서였다. 라오스 경제는 기본적으로 규모의 경제가 작으며, 이 문제가 산업화와 관련된 개별 정책들 간의 정합성과 연관성을 낮추는 것으로 파악되었다. 기존의 전략산업들 에 대한 비판적 검토를 통해 다양한 이해관계자와 대안산업을 연결하고 지속가능경 clii STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: The Case of Lao PDR 제의 창출이라는 정책목표 달성을 위해 산업 플랫폼 관점의 새로운 우선순위 도출이 필요한 것으로 결론을 내렸다. 그리고 녹색에너지와 녹색교통수단을 대안적인 산업 플랫폼으로 제안하였다. 이들 플랫폼을 기반으로 녹색농업과 관광업 등 연관산업도 강화되도록 하였다. 산업화의 실행력을 높일 수 있도록 전략적 과학기술혁신 하부구조와 인력양성과 같은 구체적인 프로그램들도 고안되었다. 라오스가 보유한 자원과 역량의 제약을 고려하여 Power Utility Solution 분야의 다국적기업이 참여하는 컨소시엄 사업을 통해 라오스 대학과 중소기업들이 관련 분야의 역량을 축적하는 모델을 제안하였다. 이들 프로그램과 컨소시엄 사업의 추진이 가능하도록 범부처 거버넌스의 구상이 필요하며, 사업실행을 위해 라오스 정부 혹은 개발원조 자금의 조달을 주문하였다. 그리고 라오스 과학기술부가 주도하여 관련 부처 및 산학연관 주체가 참여하는 Task Force Team을 구성하고 본 사업을 통해 제안된 새로운 우선순위 사업으로서 녹색에 너지와 녹색교통수단 플랫폼 사업의 타당성을 검증하기로 하였다. 연구보고서 발간 목록 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY INSTITUTE ❙ 2012년 분류 정책 연구 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 12-01 국가전략기술분야의 기술시스템 구축 및 발전방안 : 원자력기술 및 우주기술을 중심으로 조현대 정책연구 12-02 연구성과 제고를 위한 정부출연연구기관 역할 및 운영체계 효율화 방안 이민형 정책연구 12-03 공공복지 향상을 위한 과학기술정책 방향과 중점과제 서지영 정책연구 12-04 녹색기술의 확산・촉진을 위한 정책수단의 효과 분석 정기철 정책연구 12-05 기초・원천연구의 실용화 촉진 방안: 산학연협력을 중심으로 정미애 정책연구 12-06 지속가능한 과학기술혁신 거버넌스 발전 방안 성지은 정책연구 12-07 과학기술 법제 분석 및 개선방안 양승우 정책연구 12-08 연구개발투자의 경제적 효과 평가 및 예측모형 개발 이우성 정책연구 12-09 신성장동력사업 성과분석 및 정책 과제 하태정 정책연구 12-10 혁신기반 의료산업 발전 방안: 중개연구와 서비스혁신을 중심으로 김석관 정책연구 12-11 기업가 정신 고취를 통한 기술창업 활성화 방안 이윤준 정책연구 12-12 지식재산인프라 경쟁력 제고방안(1단계) 손수정 정책연구 12-13 스마트파워 기반 과학기술외교 전략 장용석 정책연구 12-14 한국 혁신체제의 동태분석과 발전전략 신태영 정책연구 12-15 과학기술을 통한 창조 복지국가 실현 방안 -'함께하는 혁신'을 위한 과학기술혁신정책- 김왕동 정책연구 12-16 과학기술인력정책의 효과성 제고 방안: 이공계 석・박사 노동시장 분석을 중심으로 홍성민 정책연구 12-17 연구소 중심의 대학연구시스템 활성화 방안 민철구 정책연구 12-18 이공계 대학원의 특성화 발전을 위한 정부지원정책 개선 방안 엄미정 정책연구 12-19 연구개발을 통한 이공계 인력양성 모델 박기범 정책연구 12-20 국가연구개발사업 투자방향 및 추진전략에 대한 정책평가 : 과학기술 하부구조 구축사업의 투자방향 및 추진전략 설정에 관한 연구 홍사균 분류 조사 연구 정책 자료 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 12-21 한국형 과학기술혁신 ODA 전략 이정협 정책연구 12-22 농업 R&D의 이해와 성과 관리 개선을 위한 탐색적 연구 이주량 정책연구 12-23 한국 국방기술혁신체제 특성분석 이재억 정책연구 12-24 학생연구원 지원제도 개선방안 홍성민 정책연구 12-25 이공계 분야 외국인 석・박사 유학생 현황과 유치방안 엄미정 조사연구 12-01 동북아 과학기술협력 패턴 변화에 따른 대응전략: 중국을 중심으로 홍성범 조사연구 12-02 동북아 원자력 안전을 위한 과학기술 국제협력 방안 모색 김종선 조사연구 12-03 사회문제 해결형 혁신정책의 주요 이슈와 대응 송위진 조사연구 12-04 STEPI Guide 개발을 위한 기획 및 사례연구 홍성주 조사연구 12-05 지역이 주도하는 지역 연구개발 활성화 방안 윤문섭 조사연구 12-06 융합산업의 공급가치사슬 구조 변화 및 대응전략 이광호 조사연구 12-07 개인성과평가 및 보상체계에 따른 연구자 행동 변화 및 성과 분석 황석원 조사연구 12-08 창조산업의 기술 및 수요기반 미래전망 : 엔터테인먼트 산업(방송·드라마, 영화, 음악)을 중심으로 송치웅 조사연구 12-09 과학기술기반의 국가발전 미래연구 Ⅳ 박병원 조사연구 12-10 중소기업 기술혁신 역량 평가 및 글로벌 정책동향 분석(Ⅲ) 박찬수 조사연구 12-11 중국 첨단기술 모니터링 및 DB 구축사업 홍성범 조사연구 12-12 기업부문 박사인력활용 실태조사 조가원 조사연구 12-13 국가 소프트웨어 경쟁력 향상 방안 연구: SW Roadmap 박수용 조사연구 12-14 출연연구원의 비정규직 현황 분석연구 한성옥 조사연구 12-15 2012 과학기술혁신지표연구 김석현 조사연구 12-16 2012년도 한국의 기술혁신조사 하태정 정책자료 12-01 Korea’s Strategy for Development of STI Capacity : A Historical Perspective 신태영 정책자료 12-02 대학 R&D 기반 기술창업 활성화 방안 및 정책 개선방향 손수정 ❙ 2013년 분류 정책 연구 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 13-01 과학기술혁신 촉진을 위한 부처간 연계·협력 메커니즘 이세준 정책연구 13-02 저성장시대의 효과적인 기술혁신 지원제도 성지은 정책연구 13-03 소관부처 과학기술 법제 분석 및 개선방안 양승우 정책연구 13-04 한국 과학기술혁신정책 장기 추세 분석 홍성주 정책연구 13-05 미래 신산업의 기술혁신 전망 및 발전전략: 프레임워크 개발 및 탐색적 적용 하태정 정책연구 13-06 농업의 신성장동력화를 위한 기술혁신의 역할과 기능 이주량 정책연구 13-07 기술창업의 성공조건과 지원정책 이윤준 정책연구 13-08 지식재산 인프라 글로벌 경쟁력 제고방안(Ⅱ) 손수정 정책연구 13-09 융합연구사업의 실태조사와 연구개발 특성 분석 이광호 정책연구 13-10 공공서비스와 과학기술의 연계 강화방안 서지영 정책연구 13-11 사회문제 해결형 연구개발사업 발전방안 연구 송위진 정책연구 13-12 창조도시의 혁신정책: 지속가능한 도시를 위한 시민참여형 혁신전략 송위진 정책연구 13-13 혁신 시스템 효율성 제고를 위한 중개기능 개선방안 정미애 정책연구 13-14 미래 과학기술 인재상과 이공계대학 지원정책의 전환 방향 홍성민 정책연구 13-15 정부출연연구기관의 연구지원인력 현황 및 개선방안 민철구 정책연구 13-16 대학의 지식이전 활성화를 위한 연구자 지원방안: 대학 교수의 산학협력 동기를 중심으로 김형주 정책연구 13-17 창조경제에의 국민 참여 확대를 위한 과학기술 인프라 구축방안 홍사균 정책연구 13-18 창의적 연구개발을 위한 K-APPA 시스템 구축방안 송치웅 정책연구 13-19 지역 과학기술인재의 정주 현황 및 인재-산업 연계방안 박기범 정책연구 13-20 빅데이터 기반 융합 서비스 산업 창출방안 장병열 정책연구 13-21 국가연구개발사업 관련 별도 법률 제정방안 양승우 정책연구 13-22 창의적 성과 창출을 위한 기초연구 지원관리제도 개선방안 이민형 정책연구 13-23 국가연구개발 시설・장비 관련 법제화 연구 최지선 정책연구 13-24-01 Diagnosis and Solutions for STI Strategy Development : ASEAN Global Challenges and African Health Innovation 이정협 정책연구 13-24-02 Innovation System Diagnosis and STI Strategy Development : The Case of Nepal 이정협 분류 조사 연구 정책 자료 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 13-25 연구개발투자의 경제적 효과 평가 및 예측모형 개발(Ⅱ) 이우성 정책연구 13-26 정부 연구개발사업 구조 진단 및 개선방안 이민형 안두현 정책연구 13-27 청색경제(Blue Economy)의 부상과 과학기술외교의 효율적 대응전략 홍성범 이명진 정책연구 13-28 과학기술특성화대학 기술사업화 선도모델 구축 김선우 정책연구 13-29 한국 바이오벤처 20년: 역사, 현황, 발전과제 김석관 조사연구 13-01 정부 과학기술 국제협력사업 구조 진단 및 개선방안 김기국 조사연구 13-02 통일 이후 남북한 과학기술 통합전략을 위한 사례조사 연구: 독일사례를 중심으로 김종선 조사연구 13-03 주요국의 창조경제 정책 현황과 사례 김왕동 조사연구 13-04 국가대형연구시설의 체계적 구축 및 관리 효율화를 위한 실태분석 및 정책제언 조현대 조사연구 13-05 과학기술 분야 FTA 대응방안 연구 박찬수 조사연구 13-06 2013년 한국의 과학기술혁신 지표 김석현 조사연구 13-07 과학기술 기반의 국가발전 미래연구 Ⅴ 박병원 조사연구 13-08 중소기업 기술혁신 역량 평가 및 글로벌 정책동향 분석(Ⅳ) 임채윤 조사연구 13-09 2012 박사인력활동조사 조가원 조사연구 13-10 한국의 기술혁신통계조사 개선방안 연구 하태정 조사연구 13-11 중국(중화권) 첨단기술 모니터링 및 DB구축(Ⅱ) 홍성범 정책자료 13-01 과학기술 및 ICT분야의 국가경쟁력 지수 비교연구: IMD, WEF, ITU를 중심으로 강희종 정책자료 13-02 국가 미래 메가성장 동력원 발굴사업 사전기획 연구 손수정 ❙ 2014년 분류 정책 연구 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 14-01 연구성과 평가법제 분석 및 개선방안 양승우 정책연구 14-02 원천연구 성과제고 및 활용강화를 위한 성과평가체계 개선 방안 조현대 정책연구 14-03 재정 상황 변화에 대응한 연구개발 예산 및 조세지원 대응방안 황용수 정책연구 14-04 사회문제 해결형 혁신에서 사용자 참여 활성화 방안 -사회·기술시스템 전환의 관점- 송위진 정책연구 14-05 융합 비즈니스 모델 활성화 방안 이광호 정책연구 14-06 소프트웨어 활용분야별 혁신 특성 분석 김승현 정책연구 14-07 바이오 분야 규제형성과정 개선방안 이명화 정책연구 14-08 기업가정신의 국제 비교를 통한 창업 환경 진단 및 개선방안 김석관 정책연구 14-09 기술혁신형 중소기업 육성을 위한 공공구매제도 개선방안 최종화 정책연구 14-10 연구공동체의 능동적 역할 제고를 위한 발전전략과 과제 홍사균 정책연구 14-11 지역의 창조경제활동 현황과 지역혁신 정책 방향 박동배 정책연구 14-12 사회적 도전과제 해결을 위한 출연(연)의 역할과 과제 김왕동 정책연구 14-13 전환기 과학기술인재정책의 한계 및 대응방안 박기범 정책연구 14-14 이공계 대학의 창업교육 혁신방안 김선우 정책연구 14-15 생애주기형 과학기술인력 활용시스템 구축방안 -고경력 과학기술인력을 중심으로- 민철구 정책연구 14-16 글로벌 STI 플랫폼 구축방안: 창조경제와 신뢰외교를 지원하는 현지거점을 중심으로 장용석 이명진 정책연구 14-17 한·중 FTA에 대응하는 농업 R&D 정책방향 이주량 정책연구 14-18 북한의 환경기술 연구현황과 남북 과학기술 협력방안 김종선 정책연구 14-19 역동적 혁신경제 구축을 위한 지식재산 사업화 금융 활성화 방안 손수정 정책연구 14-20 제조업기반 서비스 산업 R&D 혁신전략 -제조업의 서비스화 R&D- 장병열 정책연구 14-21 기초·원천연구 투자의 성과 및 경제적 효과분석 이우성 정책연구 14-22 민간 R&D 투자 활성화를 위한 방안 연구 김승현 정책연구 14-23 선도형 R&D 전환을 위한 기초연구사업 지원체계 분석 및 개선방안 조현대 정책연구 14-24 기술가치평가 기반 국가 R&D 사업의 성과평가 및 기술료 연계 가능성 탐색연구 손수정 정책연구 14-25 위성정보 활용 촉진을 위한 효율적 기반구축 연구 강희종 분류 조사 연구 정책 자료 출판물번호 출판물명 저자 정책연구 14-26 바이오경제시대 과학기술정책의제 연구사업 (4년차) -개인 유전체 기반 맞춤 의료의 현황과 발전 과제- 정기철 정책연구 14-27 STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: the Case of Lao PDR 이정협 정책연구 14-28 남북 ICT 협력 추진 방안 이춘근 정책연구 14-29 대-중소기업 동반성장형 창업활성화 전략 -대기업 벤처링 활동을 중심으로- 이윤준 조사연구 14-01 정부연구개발사업의 기획시스템 개선 방안 -R&D 아키텍쳐를 중심으로- 안두현 조사연구 14-02 혁신 정책의 변화와 한국형 혁신시스템의 탐색 이정원 홍성주 조사연구 14-03 친환경에너지타운 조성을 위한 새로운 정책개입 방안 장영배 조사연구 14-04 과학기술분야 전략적 아웃소싱 서비스 활성화방안 연구 장병열 조사연구 14-05 2014 한국의 과학기술혁신 지표 김석현 조사연구 14-06 과학기술 기반의 국가발전 미래연구 Ⅵ 박병원 조사연구 14-07 중소기업 기술혁신 역량 평가 및 글로벌 정책동향 분석(Ⅴ) 임채윤 조사연구 14-08 중국(중화권) 첨단기술 모니터링 및 DB 구축사업: 신소재 분야를 중심으로 홍성범 조사연구 14-09 박사인력활동조사의 개선과 활용 조가원 조사연구 14-10 2014년도 한국기업혁신조사: 제조업 부문 조가원 조사연구 14-11 문제해결 중심 정부연구개발사업 관리체계 구축방안 이민형 조사연구 14-12 기업 내·외부 연구개발과 성과와의 관계에 관한 연구 정미애 정책자료 14-01 한국의 Young Innovators 사례 발굴 및 확산: Young Innovators 포럼 경과 보고서 김형주 정책자료 14-02 대개도국 과학기술정책협력사업 조황희 정책자료 14-03 2014년도 국제기술혁신협력사업 조황희 보고서 판매 안내 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY INSTITUTE 우리 연구원은 과학기술정책 분야의 연구를 전문적으로 수행하는 정부출연연구기관으로서 과 학기술정책 연구 분야에 관심 있는 분들이 연구 성과물을 널리 이용할 수 있도록 아래와 같이 선별 판매를 하고 있습니다. ❙ 판매대상자료목록 보 고 서 명 연구책임자 면 수 ∙ “과학기술과 사회”의 주요 쟁점 분석 요구 송위진 155 6,000 ∙ 주요 사회적 위험에 대한 기술혁신 차원의 대응방안 이공래 291 8,000 ∙ 신기술의 사회윤리적 논쟁에 관한 정책네트워크 분석 : 생명윤리와 인터넷내용규제의 입법과정을 중심으로 송성수 162 6,000 ∙ 미래선도산업의 육성을 위한 중장기 기술혁신전략 이정원 255 8,000 ∙ 과학기술의 질적 제고 및 불균형 완화: 정책과제 및 개선 방안 조현대 212 7,000 ∙ 한국과학기술자사회의 특성 분석 - 脫추격체제로의 전환을 중심으로 - 송위진 177 6,000 ∙ 중국의 혁신클러스터 특성 및 유형분석: 한국 사례와의 비교 홍성범 174 6,000 ∙ 신기술 변화에 대응한 산・학・연 연구개발 파트너십의 강화 방안 황용수 176 6,000 ∙ 한국국가혁신체제 발전방안 연구 송위진 206 7,000 ∙ 개방형 지역혁신체제 구축을 위한 공공연구 이공래 234 7,000 ∙ 세계1위 상품의 한・중・일 경쟁력 비교와 정책시사점 이정원 송종국 122 5,000 ∙ 한국형 지역혁신체제의 모델과 전략 1: 지역혁신의 공간적 틀 이정협 350 9,000 ∙ 기술혁신과 구조적 실업에 관한 실증연구 하태정 167 4,000 ∙ BRICs 국가들의 부상과 과학기술정책 대응방안 임덕순 외 447 11,000 ∙ 혁신주도형 중소기업 육성을 위한 정책: 공급가치사슬 관점에서 민철구 외 203 7,000 신태영 100 4,000 이정원 외 170 5,000 ∙ 기술혁신과 경제성장: 요소대체율과 기술진보율에 관한 실증적 고찰 ∙ R&D 글로벌화: 현황과 수준측정을 위한 지표개발 판매가격 보 고 서 명 연구책임자 면 수 김계수 외 248 7,000 ∙ 다분야 기술융합의 혁신시스템 특성 이공래 132 5,000 ∙ 제약산업의 혁신체제 개선을 위한 산학연 협력 강화 방안 김석관 250 6,000 ∙ 고급 과학기술인력 양성 관련 정부지원사업의 성과평가방안 박재민 조현대 175 6,000 ∙ BT분야 혁신기반 실태분석 및 선진화 방안 조현대 379 10,000 ∙ 정부출연 연구기관 연구과제중심 운영제도(PBS) 대체모델 적용 연구 김계수 144 5,000 ∙ R&D 프로그램의 유형별 경제성 평가 방법론 구축 황석원 122 5,000 ∙ 선진 혁신클러스터 구축을 위한 가상 클러스터 활용방안 : 지리적 클러스터의 보완적 관점에서 김왕동 185 5,000 ∙ 과학기술인력의 학교에서 직업으로의 이행과정 및 취업구조 분석 박재민 141 5,000 ∙ 한국형 지역혁신체제의 모델과 전략: 지역혁신의 유형과 발전경로 이정협 326 8,000 ∙ 지속적 경제성장을 위한 최적 R&D 집약도 도출 : 파레토 최적배분을 위한 탐색적 연구 김병우 59 4,000 ∙ R&D 투자 촉진을 위한 재정지원정책의 효과분석 송종국 101 4,000 ∙ 혁신클러스터의 네트워크 평가지표 개발 및 적용 : 대덕 IT 클러스터를 중심으로 김왕동 김기근 148 4,000 ∙ 기술기반 문화콘텐츠 서비스업의 혁신특성과 R&D 전략 : 온라인 게임산업을 사례로 최지선 외 522 6,000 ∙ 지역혁신 거버넌스의 진단과 대안 모색 : 대기업 중심 생산 집적지의 전환을 중심으로 이정협 외 290 4,000 ∙ 국내외 공공연구시스템의 변천과 우리의 발전과제 조현대 외 440 6,000 ∙ 미래 환경변화에 따른 HRST 정책진단 및 중장기 정책 방향 진미석 외 400 4,000 ∙ 사회적 목표를 지향하는 혁신정책의 과제 송위진 외 333 4,000 ∙ 사회적 목표를 지향하는 혁신정책의 과제: Synthesis Report 송위진 외 92 2,000 ∙ 기초기술 연구개발투자의 경제성 분석 황석원 외 283 4,000 ∙ 제조업 성장에 기여하는 R&D서비스업 육성전략 최지선 외 303 ∙ R&D 서비스기업 사례연구집 최지선 외 178 ∙ 정부출연연구기관의 지속가능성 분석 및 제고방안 조현대 외 376 4,000 김왕동 98 4,000 민철구 외 184 4,000 ∙ 정부출연연구기관의 연구과제중심 운영체제(PBS) 개선방안 연구 ∙ 공공연구조직의 창의성 영향요인 및 시사점 ∙ 대학 연구기능 활성화를 위한 교육 연구 연계 판매가격 6,000 보 고 서 명 연구책임자 면 수 판매가격 ∙ 한국선도산업의 혁신경로 창출능력 이공래 외 328 10,000 ∙ 2005년도 한국의 기술혁신조사: 제조업 엄미정 외 608 30,000 ∙ 한국의 혁신수준분석-European lnnovation 엄미정 외 157 5,000 ∙ 2006년도 한국의 기술혁신조사: 서비스 엄미정 외 308 14,000 ∙ 2008년도 한국의 기술혁신조사: 제조업 김현호 외 501 30,000 ∙ 21세기 과학기술정책의 부문별 과제 이언오 342 9,000 ∙ 일본.미국.유럽연구개발프론티어 김갑수 762 50,000 송위진 외 447 10,000 ∙ 세계적 과학자의 경력과정분석과 시사점 김왕동 240 4,000 ∙ 통합형 혁신정책을 위한 정책조정 방식 설계 성지은 244 4,000 ∙ R&D 환경변화에 대응한 대학내 연구조직 지원정책 개선방안 엄미정 211 4,000 ∙ 저탄소 녹색성장 종합평가지수 개발 유의선 211 4,000 장진규 외 262 4.000 ∙ 공공연구의 산업기술혁신파급정도․효과분석 및 정책제언 조현대 218 6,000 ∙ 2009년도 기술부문 과학기술혁신 지표연구 김석현 총4권 12,000 ∙ 녹색기술혁신의 특성・역량분석 및 활성화 방안 장진규 323 8,000 ∙ 기술혁신과 일자리 창출 이공래 220 7,000 ∙ 국가 R&D사업의 경제적 타당성 평가 방법론 개선방안 황석원 170 6,000 ∙ FTA 환경변화에 따른 기술 무역장벽 대응방안 하태정 182 6,000 ∙ 미래지향형 과학기술 혁신 거버넌스 설계 및 개선방안 성지은 214 7,000 ∙ 기초연구성과 창출 및 확산 촉진을 위한 연구시스템 개선방안 조현대 218 7.000 ∙ 이공계대학의 구조변화 추세분석과 경쟁력 확보방안 민철구 250 7,000 ∙ 북한의 산업기술 발전경로와 남북 산업연계 강화방안 김종선 160 6,000 ∙ 2010년도 한국의 기술혁신조사 하태정 520 12,000 ∙ 2010년도 과학기술 인력 통계조사․분석 엄미정 161 6,000 ∙ 2010년도 기업부문 과학기술 혁신 지표연구 김석현 총5권 20,000 ∙ 국가 거대과학의 뉴 프론티어 창출 전략 조현대 426 12,000 ∙ 연구개발인력 경력개발과 고용촉진 전략 : 박사학위자의 민간부문 진출을 중심으로 엄미정 175 6,000 ∙ 탈추격형기술혁신체제의모색 ∙ 저탄소 녹색성장을 위한 과학기술정책과제 보 고 서 명 연구책임자 면 수 판매가격 ∙ 지역혁신을 위한 지역대학의 역할정립과 활성화 방안 민철구 200 7,000 ∙ 전염성 동물질환에 대한 과학기술적 대응방안 서지영 218 7,000 ∙ 남북한 과학기술 혁신체제 연계 방안 김종선 164 6,000 ∙ 다부처 R&D사업 기획 및 추진 방안 조현대 200 7,000 ∙ 과학기술혁신기반 모바일생태계 발전 전략 황석원 220 7,000 ∙ 지식재산비즈니스 모델 전망과 성장동력화 방안 손수정 255 7,000 ∙ 스마트 전문화의 개념 및 분석틀 정립 이정협 105 6,000 ∙ 2011년도 한국 서비스부문 기술혁신조사 하태정 600 13,000 ∙ 기술혁신 성과지표 분석 및 DB구축사업 김석현 총5권 20,000 ∙ 과학기술 법제 분석 및 개선방안 양승우 304 8,000 ∙ 기업가 정신 고취를 통한 기술창업 활성화 방안 이윤준 264 7,000 ∙ 연구소 중심의 대학연구시스템 활성화 방안 민철구 223 7,000 ∙ 소관부처 과학기술 법제 분석 및 개선방안 : 연구개발성과의 활용 및 사업화 법제를 중심으로 양승우 261 7,000 ∙ 미래 과학기술 인재상과 이공계대학 지원정책의 전환방향 홍성민 239 7,000 ∙ 정부출연 연구기관의 연구지원인력 현황 및 개선 방안 민철구 142 6,000 ∙ 국가연구개발사업 관련 별도 법률 제정 방안 양승우 413 8,000 ∙ 연구성과 평가법제 분석 및 개선방안 양승우 232 7,000 ∙ 원천연구 성과제고 및 활용강화를 위한 성과평가체계 개선 방안 조현대 186 6,000 ∙ 기술혁신형 중소기업 육성을 위한 공공구매제도 개선방안 최종화 172 6,000 ∙ 이공계 대학의 창업교육 혁신방안 김선우 236 7,000 ∙ 생애주기형 과학기술인력 활용시스템 구축방안 -고경력 과학기술인력을 중심으로- 민철구 112 6,000 ∙ 한·중 FTA에 대응하는 농업 R&D 정책방향 이주량 149 6,000 ∙ 선도형 R&D 전환을 위한 기초연구사업 지원체계 분석 및 개선방안 조현대 156 6,000 ∙ STI Strategies for Poverty Reduction: the Case of Lao PDR 이정협 168 6,000 ∙ 2014 한국의 과학기술혁신 지표 김석현 총6권 20,000 STEPI 자료 판매코너 교보문고 정부간행물 코너 영풍문고 정부간행물 코너 북스리브로 정부간행물 코너 정부간행물판매센터 총판 (02-397-3628) (02-399-5632) (02-757-8991) (02-394-0337)
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