Inputs, outputs and outcomes – What should price limits deliver? An Ofwat discussion paper Consumer Council for Water response May 2011 1. Introduction 1.1 The Consumer Council for Water (CCWater) is the statutory consumer organisation representing water and sewerage customers in England and Wales. CCWater has four regional committees in England and a committee for Wales. 1.2 CCWater welcomes the opportunity to respond to Ofwat’s latest in a series of discussion papers that encourage debate on refining specific aspects of price setting. This discussion paper focuses on incentivising outcomes, rather than outputs or inputs, and explores how this approach may be more beneficial to customers. The paper also suggests a possible framework within which a methodology can be drawn up to deliver this approach. 2. Executive Summary 2.1 CCWater supports Ofwat’s work in engaging interested parties on moving the emphasis of the price setting process towards identifying and then delivering outcomes, or high level objectives water companies are incentivised to achieve. 2.2 CCWater agrees with this approach and has been advocating for some time a greater focus on targeted deliverable outcomes to include: a high level of customer satisfaction with the quality of water and sewerage services received; and a high level of customer satisfaction with value for money. 2.3 We agree with Ofwat's view that, “outcomes must reflect what customers need, want and are willing to pay for”. That is why both customer satisfaction measures are so important and need to be applied across the value chain. This would press companies to focus on their customers and identify the outcomes different segments of the customer base expect from their water and sewerage service provider. 2.4 Beyond that, we would like to see customer engagement and research used as an evidence base to help identify and set as objectives, further outcomes that need to be achieved from the price setting process. 2.5 Water companies need to be incentivised to build their business strategies on the delivery of outcomes. This can achieved through ensuring that the achievement of outcomes is measured as part of the companies’ Key Performance Indicators (KPIs), where penalties and rewards are set for companies that either fail to achieve the outcomes, or significantly exceed them. 2.6 Independent, objective and consistent customer research should be used to measure the level of customer satisfaction with the quality of service and value for money, two outcomes which should be key priorities. The research results should be used as two of the KPIs. 2.7 The inputs and outputs from price setting will determine how the outcomes will be achieved. Some of the more significant inputs and outputs that drive the outcomes would still require monitoring (on a proportionate basis, depending on company performance) and, if necessary, action from regulators and CCWater as the statutory consumer representative to provide assurance that the appropriate 'elements' are in place to deliver the outcomes. 2.8 It is important that the industry's quality regulators, the Environment Agency and the Drinking Water Inspectorate, are supportive and engaged in this change of approach to price setting, to ensure they agree with the set outcomes and have a part in monitoring whether these outcomes are being delivered. If other regulators cut across the outcome based approach, the benefits of this approach may not be realised. 2.9 The definitions Ofwat provide of ‘outcomes’ and ‘outputs’ have a risk of being confused (for example, is an output based on ‘serviceability’ the same as an outcome on ‘reliable service’?). Further attention should be given to these definitions to avoid a ‘blurring’ between outcomes and outputs. Clarity is needed if companies are to focus on the outcomes customers want to see. 2.10 More detailed views are proposed below in response to the questions raised in the discussion paper on: how to build a framework for a price setting process that focuses on delivering outcomes; and how the delivery of these outcomes can be measured. 3. Responses to discussion paper questions Question 1: Do you agree that an outcome focussed approach is the best way forward for water regulation? What are the main pros and cons of holding a company to account in this way? 3.1 CCWater agrees that an outcome based approach is the preferred way forward for water regulation. We agree with Ofwat’s statement in the discussion paper that, ‘adopting an outcome focussed approach to regulation means that we focus on incentivising the companies efficiently to deliver what customers and society, need, want and are willing to pay for.’ Our response to the Ofwat consultation on involving customers in decisions about water and sewerage services also supports this view1. Some clarity on what ‘society’ means in this context would be helpful as this could be open to different interpretations. 3.2 Our ‘Lessons from PR09’ report highlighted that the price setting process in water can be improved by increasing customers’ trust through delivering outcomes that represent an improvement in the reliability, safety and environmental impact of the services they receive, at a fair price2. 3.3 An outcomes based approach to price setting has already been proposed for Scotland. The Water Industry Commission’s approach to price setting involves identifying outcomes that customers wish to see, and focussing regulation on their delivery.3 3.4 Similarly, regulation in the energy sector also focuses on setting a range of output measures and incentives specifically intended to deliver outcomes that are in the interests of consumers. This is a central feature of the RIIO (Revenue = Incentives + Innovation + Outputs) methodology used by Ofgem4. 3.5 There are pros and cons in using an outcomes based approach: Pros: an emphasis on outcomes focuses and incentivises companies to achieve results that consumers want to see. if customer satisfaction with both the quality of service and value for money are two central outcomes, this will increase legitimacy of the companies in customers’ eyes, should the companies achieve them. less prescriptive attention on outputs may incentivise greater efficiency and innovation. Ofwat's paper recognises this as, ‘an outcome based approach…allowing companies the scope to fund alternative approaches’ (paragraph 26). Cons: outcomes can be affected by third party actions/inactions, or external factors such as extreme weather events. some outcomes may be in conflict with each other. 1 CCWater’s response to Ofwat's consultation on involving customers in decisions about water and sewerage services, paragraph 2.2. 2 CCWater – Lessons from PR09, page 7 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/Review_of_the_Review.pdf 3 WICS: Putting Customers at the Centre of the Price Review process http://www.watercommission.co.uk/UserFiles/Documents/CustomerEngagement%20%20final.pdf 4 Ofgem RIIO Overview Paper, March 2011 , Paragraph 1.12 http://www.ofgem.gov.uk/Networks/Trans/PriceControls/RIIO-T1/ConRes/Documents1/T1decision.pdf if an outcome is not delivered, there is a risk of criticism that there has been insufficient scrutiny of inputs and outputs. Our view is that the advantages of an approach that focuses on delivering outcomes outweighs the ‘cons’. In this case, the ‘cons’ are risks that can be mitigated, as we explain later in this response. Question 2: What would the key success factors be were Ofwat to adopt such an approach? 3.6 A key success factor is the delivery of the outcomes. Outcomes must be measurable with clear evidence to show that an outcome has been achieved (or progress is being made in achieving it). 3.7 Customer satisfaction with the quality of service and value for money are two key outcomes for companies to achieve. This would need to be measured by companies using an objective and consistent method of customer research to match or exceed an agreed benchmark. A suitable benchmark can be identified through comparison with customer satisfaction with other sectors (for example, energy or telecoms) to help identify what should be a suitably challenging target that water companies can aim for. This is explored further in our response to Question 3 below. Question 3: How should outcomes be determined? How would we know that outcomes had been delivered? What should be the relationship between inputs, outputs and outcomes? 3.8 Ofwat’s definition of the relationship between inputs, outputs and outcomes is illustrated in the pyramid diagrams on pages 7 and 19 of the discussion paper Inputs are the resources the company uses to carry out its activities and to deliver outputs (e.g. finance). Outputs are the observable and measurable actions or achievements a company needs to make in order to deliver the outcomes (e.g. leakage reduction). Outcomes are the things that customers and stakeholders value and are the objectives companies should achieve through the delivery of the outputs across the value chain. 3.9 We would like to see a clearer definition as there is a risk of confusion between ‘outputs’ and ‘outcomes’. For example, an outcome based on ‘environmental quality’ may be confused with a required output on ‘achieving environmental standards’. Outcomes must be higher level strategic objectives while outputs are the actions needed to deliver them. 3.10 While outcomes based on customer satisfaction with the quality of service and value for money would be fundamental to achieving what customers expect from a water company, other outcomes can be a combination of strategic objectives driven by customers’ priorities identified through research and outcomes driven by other parties such as quality regulators (for example, outcomes based on environmental quality or sustainability). 3.11 We would like to see customer satisfaction with the quality of service and value for money as priority outcomes that companies should focus on. These outcomes would be delivered through the following outputs: Affordable prices customers are willing to pay; Customer service outputs such as accurate and clear bills, good call centre performance, and effective communication with customers; and Performance of company assets to a level that maintains or improves the reliability and quality of water and sewerage services received by customers. 3.12 In our response to Question 2 we describe how customer satisfaction with the quality of service and value for money can be measured against a suitable benchmark through customer research. A body independent from the regulator and the companies could provide this role. CCWater’s tracking surveys provide an analysis of customer satisfaction with service quality and value for money across industry and can be developed further to provide this measure for individual companies. 3.13 In the wider context, KPIs in risk based regulation should be used to measure the delivery of all outcomes. We welcome Ofwat’s on-going development of new KPIs and look forward to further consultation on this. 3.14 Outcomes focussed regulation must take place within the context of companies’ 25 year Strategic Direction Statements, so annual performance against KPIs is part of a greater objective of delivering sustainable services in the long term. 3.15 Properly conducted and moderated research and engagement with customers by companies can identify further required outcomes. In CCWater’s ’Lessons from PR09’ report, we stated that, ‘consumer research should be fundamental to future price setting and price reviews5.’ Our response to Ofwat’s consultation on involving customers in decisions about water and sewerage services explains how companies can be incentivised to produce investment and price proposals that are grounded on evidence of what customers find 5 CCWater – Lessons from PR09, page 5 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/Review_of_the_Review.pdf acceptable and affordable.6 This research and engagement will also allow companies to determine the outcomes their customers want them to achieve. 3.16 An example of how this can work can be seen in customer research undertaken during the 2009 price review. In 2008, Corr Wilbourn conducted deliberative research to identify customers’ priorities for investment at the 2009 price review. 7 This revealed that, across the industry, customer investment priorities were (in order): reducing leakage; preserving drinking water safety; maintaining sewers; and improving the environment. 3.17 To reflect this, further required outcomes could be: reliable, safe and available water supply; reliable sewerage service; and environmental sustainability. 3.18 In order to achieve these outcomes, the following outputs would need to be delivered: maintenance of assets to reduce risk of service failure; compliance with environmental and drinking water quality standards; and reduction of carbon emissions. 3.19 Evidence that the outcomes are being achieved could be gathered through: Quality regulators’ monitoring (checking for the delivery of statutory obligations needed for compliance with environmental and drinking water quality standards); and. KPIs that measure the performance of company assets. 3.20 Consideration must also be given to whether different outcomes should apply for different companies. Customer engagement and research may reveal that the customers of one company want different outcomes to the customers of another company. This could potentially make the monitoring of the delivery of outcomes more complex, and would not allow easy comparison between companies. A compromise may be needed to set outcomes that apply across the industry and provide comparators. 3.21 Some outcomes may also conflict with each other. For example, a required outcome on customer satisfaction with value for money may 6 CCWater response to Ofwat consultation on involving customers in decisions about water and sewerage services, paragraphs 3.2.4 to 3.2.7. 7 Deliberative research concerning consumers’ priorities for PR09 for the Water Industry Stakeholder Steering Group, June 2008 (Corr Wilbourn), pages 19 to 22 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/CW_PR09_Delib_Res_No_Appx_10_06_08.pdf not be deliverable if the achievement of another output on environmental quality or sustainability involves investment that has a significant bill impact. In such a situation, a trade off will be required to achieve a suitable compromise so that both outcomes can be achieved within a reasonable timescale. 3.22 Some of the outputs required from companies have a significant influence on how outcomes are delivered. There will need to be monitoring of companies’ delivery of some outputs, but in proportion to a company’s proven record of performance. Similarly there will need to be some monitoring of significant inputs. This is explored in more detail in our response to Question 4 below. 3.23 Some inputs and outputs are more significant than others in how they drive the outcomes. The discussion paper acknowledges that some inputs and outputs would still need to be focussed on, but only those that pose the greatest risk to successful delivery of the outcomes. Such inputs include; Cost of capital; Capital maintenance expenditure; Operating costs (and some major drivers of these costs); and Number and scale of capital investment programmes. Such outputs include: Compliance with statutory drinking water quality and environmental standards; and Removal of properties from the sewer flooding registers. 3.24 In an outcome focused environment, some inputs and outputs would not need to be monitored as closely. Our ’Lessons from PR09’ report identified that the data-intensive nature of the last price review undermined transparency and accountability8. A more proportionate level of scrutiny based on the achievement of agreed outcomes would help avoid this. Question 4: How could a risk based approach work alongside a greater focus on outcomes? How can Ofwat decide whether, when and in relation to what it needs to look at in terms of outputs or inputs? 3.25 8 A key recommendation in our ‘Lessons from PR09’ report was that Ofwat should adopt a more risk based approach, so that where a company can clearly demonstrate that it is meeting its statutory duties, is efficient, and has the support of its customers and statutory CCWater – Lessons from PR09, page12 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/Review_of_the_Review.pdf partners, a lighter touch can be applied by Ofwat.9 This approach moves away from the ‘one size fits all’ approach to regulation, but does not mean that regulation should not focus at all on key outputs that have a direct influence on required outcomes. 3.26 Once required outcomes have been identified and set as targets for companies to achieve, if the measuring of the outcomes reveals that a company has achieved (or is making good progress in achieving) the outcomes, a ‘lighter touch’ approach would mean less reporting, a lower data burden and less scrutiny by the regulator. 3.27 In contrast, companies should receive greater monitoring of the delivery of outputs if monitoring and research shows that outcomes are not being delivered (or progress of delivery is slow) or key outputs that affect customers (such as debt recovery or reducing leakage) are not being delivered sufficiently. The incentives and penalties regime should then bear down on poor performing companies. Question 5: How should Ofwat incentivise the companies to deliver outcomes? How should Ofwat deal with the reward or penalty that a company would experience because of factors outside of its control? 3.28 Companies should have an incentive to achieve the outcomes through The ‘carrot’ of lighter touch regulation if they are getting it right (less reporting, less scrutiny); A sufficient financial incentive for companies that perform well in delivering required customer satisfaction outcomes, which should run alongside the Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM); and If companies are failing to deliver the outcomes, this will be reflected in ‘poor scores’ in their KPIs, which can eventually lead to more intensive regulation and appropriate penalties. This would also have an affect on the company’s reputation as the KPIs would be reported publicly.10 We look forward to Ofwat's summer 2011 discussion paper on incentives which we think should explore this issue further. 3.29 9 This approach will also give companies: an incentive to take greater ownership and responsibility for their Business Plans, and thus greater accountability to their customers through the delivery of the outcomes customers want; and CCWater – Lessons from PR09, page 22 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/Review_of_the_Review.pdf 10 These recommended incentives are explored further in CCWater’s response to Ofwat’s consultation on engaging customers in decision during price setting (paragraphs ) the flexibility to achieve outcomes through innovative and/or more sustainable options, which could mean greater efficiency gains. 3.30 Factors outside of a company’s control could have a bearing on outcomes. For example, a period of drought (or other extreme weather conditions) may impact on an outcome concerning customer satisfaction with the quality of service. This could be mitigated by: assessing whether an outcome has been delivered over a longer period of time. For example, evaluating customer satisfaction over a two to three year period, may give a more accurate assessment of customer satisfaction, than during a shorter period which could be influenced by external factors; and effective communication with customers by companies to explain why an outcome is not being achieved in the required timeframe, and what actions are being taken to address this. While it may take time for customer perception of a company to change (possibly longer than it takes to deliver many of the outputs), effective communication should help to mitigate this. 3.31 In addition, some companies may start from a lower base than other companies in order to achieve a required outcome. For example, in CCWater’s Tracking Survey for 2010, only 46% of consumers in the South West expressed satisfaction with the value for money of water services, compared to 79% in Yorkshire11. The benchmarking process used to determine the required outcome should acknowledge the lower starting point for some companies. Question 6: How would an outcomes based approach differ between different stages of the value chain? How could it work with a retail price control and a wholesale price control? 3.32 If there is separate price control for retail and wholesale, while some outcomes may be applied to the wholesale business only, more general outcomes, such as customer satisfaction, would have to apply to the whole value chain. Setting different outcomes for the separate parts of the value chain may over-complicate the process and lead to a lack of focus on the outcomes that matter to customers and that need to be delivered by both the wholesale and retail elements. Only a relatively small number of customers will have the option to change retail supplier, and so companies may only focus on the wholesale business as a result. Question 7: How would a more outcome-based approach on Ofwat's part affect other regulators? How would other regulators 11 CCWater Tracking Survey 2010, page 12 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/CCWater_Annual_Tracking_Survey_2010_FINAL.pd f approaches affect the extent to which we could or should move to greater focus on outcomes? 3.33 We agree with the view in Ofwat's paper that, ‘moving to an outcome focussed approach would require a cultural change across the sector’ (Paragraph 38). It is important that the quality regulators also embrace an outcomes based price setting methodology, recognising and supporting the desired outcomes. Their monitoring of the achievement of outcomes and the delivery of key outputs must be consistent with this approach. If not, there is a danger that the process loses focus on the outcomes. 3.34 The DWI already operates a risk based approach to drinking water quality compliance through Water Safety Plans. The EA has begun to adopt a similar approach, and we encourage Ofwat to work with the EA to see how this approach could be extended across its business areas. Enquiries Enquiries about this response and requests for further information should be addressed to: Steve Hobbs Policy Manager Consumer Council for Water 2 The Hide Market West Street St. Philips Bristol BS2 0BH Tel: 0117 955 2079 Email: [email protected]
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