Southern Cross University ePublications@SCU Theses 2004 Complex adaptive systems and organisational understanding in the Royal Australian Air Force Callum Soutar Brown Southern Cross University Publication details Brown, CS 2004, 'Complex adaptive systems and organisational understanding in the Royal Australian Air Force', DBA thesis, Southern Cross University, Lismore, NSW. Copyright CS Brown 2004 ePublications@SCU is an electronic repository administered by Southern Cross University Library. Its goal is to capture and preserve the intellectual output of Southern Cross University authors and researchers, and to increase visibility and impact through open access to researchers around the world. For further information please contact [email protected]. _____________________________________________________________________ COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS AND ORGANISATIONAL UNDERSTANDING IN THE ROYAL AUSTRALIAN AIR FORCE CALLUM S. BROWN A dissertation presented to The Graduate Research College of Southern Cross University for the degree of Doctor of Business Administration. August 2004 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown i _____________________________________________________________________ ABSTRACT COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS AND ORGANISATIONAL UNDERSTANDING IN THE ROYAL AUSTRALIAN AIR FORCE CALLUM BROWN The dissertation contends that an instrument developed through using a model of complex adaptive systems as a generative metaphor will assist members of an organisation to better understand their organisation. Using an action research methodology, six Air Force Management Services Teams were exposed to six overlapping attributes of complex adaptive systems through focus group workshops with an aim to determine whether they, as experienced management consulting practitioners, saw value to themselves and their Air Force clients of using aspects of complex adaptive systems for organisational understanding. The overlapping attributes of complex adaptive systems were distilled from the literature reviewed. Whereas the focus group workshop participants found the attributes valuable in understanding the dynamics of organisational behaviour, they found the new way of thinking challenging on a number of different perspectives. Some aspects of the Air Force organisation, like its high levels of organisational experience, will make the introduction to and use of complex adaptive systems thinking simpler, while other aspects of the Air Force organisation, like its sensitivity to complex adaptive systems terminology, will make the introduction and use of complex adaptive systems more challenging. Notwithstanding the challenges, both the complex adaptive systems model, and the use of action research were found to be useful ways of introducing organisations to complex adaptive systems thinking. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown ii _____________________________________________________________________ TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT _________________________________________________________ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ______________________________________________ iii APPENDICES ______________________________________________________ iv TABLES ___________________________________________________________ iv LIST OF FIGURES __________________________________________________ iv ABBREVIATIONS ___________________________________________________v DECLARATION ____________________________________________________ vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ____________________________________________vii CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION ________________________________________1 Background to the research____________________________________________1 Research problem & research questions __________________________________4 Justification for the research ___________________________________________6 Methodology _______________________________________________________7 Outline of the report _________________________________________________9 Definitions________________________________________________________11 Limitations and key assumptions ______________________________________12 Conclusion _______________________________________________________13 CHAPTER 2 – LITERATURE REVIEW _________________________________15 Introduction_______________________________________________________15 Complex adaptive systems ___________________________________________17 Biology and genetics________________________________________________25 Complexity modelling ______________________________________________28 Military research ___________________________________________________31 Social systems _____________________________________________________39 Gaps in published research ___________________________________________57 Conclusion _______________________________________________________58 CHAPTER 3 – METHODOLOGY ______________________________________60 Introduction_______________________________________________________60 Selection and justification of action research _____________________________61 Unit of analysis ____________________________________________________71 Design of focus group_______________________________________________74 Collection of data __________________________________________________77 Analysis of data____________________________________________________80 Ethical considerations _______________________________________________81 Conclusion _______________________________________________________84 CHAPTER 4 – ANALYSIS OF DATA AND FINDINGS ____________________86 Introduction_______________________________________________________86 Pilot Study Findings ________________________________________________87 Findings – action research cycle 1 _____________________________________90 Findings – action research cycle 2 _____________________________________97 Findings – action research cycle 3 ____________________________________102 Findings – action research cycle 4 ____________________________________105 Findings – action research cycle 5 ____________________________________110 Findings – action research cycle 6 ____________________________________114 Findings research question 1_________________________________________117 Findings research question 2_________________________________________120 Conclusion ______________________________________________________121 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown iii _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 5 – CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS ___________________123 Introduction______________________________________________________123 Conclusions about research questions _________________________________123 Conclusions about research problem __________________________________129 Implications for the theory __________________________________________136 Implications for policy and practice ___________________________________140 Private sector managers ____________________________________________144 Public sector policy analysts and managers _____________________________147 Limitations ______________________________________________________148 Further Research __________________________________________________150 REFERENCES _____________________________________________________153 APPENDICES A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. Interview Protocol Focus Group Workshop Tool Focus Group Workshop Slides Focus Group Workshop Comments Intention and Reflection Comments Focus Group Workshop Validity Questionnaire Focus Group Workshop Handout – Cycle 2 Focus Group Workshop Handout – Cycle 6 TABLES Table 1 Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6 Table 7 Table 8 adapted from McNiff et.al., 2000 Pilot study findings Action research cycle 1 findings Action research cycle 2 findings Action research cycle 3 findings Action research cycle 4 findings Action research cycle 5 findings Action research cycle 6 findings LIST OF FIGURES 1 2 3 4 5 Diagrammatical representation of Chapter 1 Diagrammatical representation of Chapter 2 Diagrammatical representation of Chapter 3 Diagrammatical representation of Chapter 4 Diagrammatical representation of Chapter 5 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown iv _____________________________________________________________________ ABBREVIATIONS ADF Australian Defence Force ALP Adaptive Leadership Program APS Australian Public Service CAF Chief of Air Force CNN Cable Network News EBO Effects-Based Operations FEG Force Element Group MSA Management Services Agency RAAF Royal Australian Air Force SLT Senior Leadership Team SWOT Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown v _____________________________________________________________________ DECLARATION I certify that this submission is my own work and that, to the best of my knowledge and belief, it contains no material previously published or written by another person nor material which to a substantial extent has been accepted for the award of any other degree or diploma of a university or other institute of higher learning, except where due acknowledgment is made in the text. The views expressed in this report are my own and should not be construed as official opinion or policy of the Royal Australian Air Force or the Department of Defence. Callum S. Brown August 2004 Copyright Callum S. Brown August 2004 _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown vi _____________________________________________________________________ ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author wishes to acknowledge the assistance of Dr Michael Gloster in supervising this thesis. The author also wishes to thank Air Commodores Graham Bentley and Mark Lax of the Policy and Plans Branch of Air Force Headquarters for their financial sponsorship and support of this research. I would also like to thank my family for their understanding and support. C.S.B. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown vii _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 1 – INTRODUCTION Obviously, this is an act of the imagination. Things are perceived, of course, partly by the naked eye and partly by the mind, which fills the gaps with guesswork based on learning and experience, and thus constructs a whole out of the fragments that the eye can see. - Clausewitz, On War Background to the research In this introductory chapter, the background to the report will be introduced before discussing the research problem and specific research questions. A justification for the research will be provided before moving on to an explanation of the methodology that I intend to use. I will then lay out the structure of the remainder of the report and definitions used in the early part of the report. Limitations and key assumptions will be listed before the chapter is concluded. This structure is consistent with that recommended by Perry (Perry, 1998). The structure of this chapter can be shown diagrammatically in Figure 1. Background to the research Conclusion Research problem & research questions Limitations and key assumptions Justification for the research Methodology Definitions Outline of the report Figure 1. Diagrammatical Structure of Chapter 1 I work as a senior internal management consultant in the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) and have done so for about twelve years. Much of this time has been occupied with assisting people within the RAAF, commonly referred to as the Air Force, understand their organisations better with a view to increasing the value that they add. I would also like to think that my work with them improves their experience and leads to a greater sense of satisfaction in having contributed to organisational outcomes through their work. Over this time, I have become increasingly challenged to find useful methods of describing organisational behaviour _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 1 _____________________________________________________________________ in the Air Force. There is also a concern that with changing one part of an organisation’s system may have a negative impact on another part. This has been noted by other researchers; The complexity of the systems in which we are embedded overwhelms our ability to understand them. The result is that many seemingly obvious solutions to problems fail or actually worsen the situation. (Sterman, 2000) p 22 Where interventions are perceived to generate improvements, these improvements may be short-term and not sustained and may not recognise the dynamic aspect of organisational behaviour; Problems cannot be assumed to remain unchanged over time, which establishes the key consideration in the development of Schon's method: that problem definitions that remain tacit are potentially incomplete and may lead to the development of inadequate solutions. (Kiehne, 2003) Other management consultants have also found that many traditional organisational interventions, and particularly change programs, often fail to achieve the desired effect and one suggests that an explanation for these failures may be found in Quantum Age thinking where self-organising systems demonstrate the ability of all life to organise into systems of relationships that result in increasing capacity (Wheatley, 1999). Thoughtful leaders increasingly suspect that the tools they have been using have not only failed to solve the persistent problems they face, but may in fact be causing them. All too often, well-intentioned efforts to solve pressing problems create unanticipated side effects (Sterman, 2001). In my position as Director of the Management Services Agency (MSA) I have six small teams of highly trained consultants, located in various parts of Australia working within the Air Force organisation. Like me, they are frequently confronted with the challenges of firstly, understanding organisational behaviour themselves, and secondly, assisting people in their client’s organisations understand their organisations. The Air Force that I have been a member of since 1984 has been in existence since 1921. It has as its main role the provision of air power for the security of Australia and its interests. In this role it must confront the chaos and ambiguity that constitutes combat (AerospaceCentre, 2002). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 2 _____________________________________________________________________ The organisational behaviour of the Air Force is a reflection of a number of important factors including its culture, military history, and, particularly, it’s operating environment in both combat and peace. The current Chief of Air Force, Air Marshal Angus Houston, has articulated his vision for the Air Force where he expresses a desire for it to be a values-based organisation. What he means by this is that by developing people in the Air Force to recognise that there is no one best way; to be prepared to remove the rules and meet the intent; and to be prepared to use their own judgement to act and not hide behind rules, the Air Force will be more efficient and effective (Houston, 2003). He has also stated that in order to meet the needs of the future, the Air Force must be responsive, flexible and adaptable (Houston, 2003). To assist in creating this ‘values-based’ organisation, the MSA conducts Senior Executive Seminars that target senior Air Force managers. The two-day seminars, facilitated by an external management consultant, introduce participants to, among other topics, complex adaptive systems thinking. Every seminar is evaluated and the data from these evaluations reveal that there is considerable interest shown by participants in the topic of complex adaptive systems therefore my research may be of interest to them. Complex adaptive systems involve phenomena which may be characterised by the interactions of numerous individual agents or elements, that selforganise at a higher systems level, and then in turn show emergent and adaptive properties not exhibited by the individual agents (Doolittle, 2002). In order to provide seminar participants with more information on complex adaptive systems thinking, I investigated the topic in more detail. What I found was the possibility of developing a more useful way to understand organisational behaviour and thereby a way to assist the MSA’s clients more fully. I also felt that developing a deeper understanding of complex adaptive systems thinking may provide me, as a practicing manager, with a greater understanding of organisational behaviour. If this deeper personal understanding leads to being able to assist those within the MSA to better understand organisational behaviour, then it will assist the Air Force overall. The general problem that this report addresses is organisational understanding in the Air Force. This report will examine organisational understanding and whether aspects of complex adaptive systems can add richness to people’s understanding of their organisations. This is important, as it will lead to a way of better understanding how the Air Force organisation behaves. A secondary outcome will be exposing my _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 3 _____________________________________________________________________ people to complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for understanding their client’s organisations. This report will focus on the use a model of complex adaptive systems as a generative metaphor to assist the design of an instrument to enable members of an organisation to better understand it. The research proposition is therefore, that knowledge of complex adaptive systems will enable members of an organisation to better understand it. The Air Force is a useful setting for this research because it is large by organisational standards (approximately 15,000 personnel), geographically dispersed, and has a distinct role and purpose. I will argue that an appropriate epistemology of understanding organisations is through a better understanding of how complex adaptive systems work. I need to answer such questions as, “How do I improve my understanding of organisations?” and/or “How do I improve my practice as a management consultant?” These are the starting points for any theory of organisational understanding that I might generate through the use of the complex adaptive systems metaphor. These findings would also be appropriate for other management consultants. The theory that I intend to formulate from examining my own practice may be demonstrated to be effective in developing both the theory and practice of other management consultants (McNiff & Whitehead, 2000). Research problem & research questions The research area that I am working within is one of organisational behaviour and organisational understanding viewed through the lens of complex adaptive systems thinking. Complex adaptive systems thinking, or complexity theory, with its origins in the fields of Biology and Ecology, advocate the concept of an organisation being adaptive to its environment. For example, systems take in data from their environments, find regularities in the data, and compress these perceived regularities into internal models that are used to describe and predict its future (Doolittle, 2002). Complex adaptive systems behaviour has been used in the past to explain, among other things, evolution theory, but it is now applied to other situations that exhibit complex behaviour such as various social phenomena. The general problem that this report addresses is organisational understanding in the Air Force. Consultants who work with client organisations may be seeking a _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 4 _____________________________________________________________________ more adequate metaphor to understand organisational behaviour in a world that is facing increasing change. While this is true for the Air Force, it may also be true for other large organisations. This has been noted by other researchers; We see the world as increasingly more complex and chaotic because we use inadequate concepts to explain it. (Gharajedaghi, 1999) p 25 The environment of large organisations is the environment that this research is set in. Further, while there are signs that the study of organisations is shifting in focus, both in terms of what is studied and how it is studied, the subject matter of organisations studies still remains the organisation itself as an object, rather than people within organisational contexts (McNiff et al., 2000). My research will examine complex adaptive systems thinking in order to offer an alternative means of explaining what is happening in organisations. The aim of my research will be to show that a model of complex adaptive systems can be used as a generative metaphor to assist the design of an instrument to enable members of an organisation to better understand it. This report will examine whether it is possible to produce a practical tool that uses the overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation. The major research question is; Research Question 1: Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation? This research question cannot be tested without the development or use of a practical tool. Because there is a requirement for the tool to be practical, it must be tested, at least at the conceptual level. If one can be developed or found, however, then it needs to be tested by the next research question. The secondary research question is; Research Question 2: If it is possible to produce a practical tool, does it work? These research questions cannot be easily answered by merely conducting a literature search on complex adaptive systems. There is little research on developing tools for use by internal consultants to assist them in helping members of an _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 5 _____________________________________________________________________ organisation to better understand it from the perspective of complex adaptive systems. If organisational understanding in the Air Force can be improved through the use of aspects of complex adaptive systems then it will provide a useful model that can be used when considering further development in the Air Force. If organisational understanding in the Air Force cannot be improved through the perspective of complex adaptive systems, then perhaps the model used can be tested on other organisations to see if it is applicable elsewhere. Through the process of the research a more suitable model to assist organisational understanding in the Air Force may become evident. If the answer to the first research question is ‘No’ there could be two reasons for this; I have not been able to produce a practical tool, or complex adaptive systems are not useful in assisting people better understand their organisation. The first reason is that I have been unable to develop a useful tool in this instance, and with further research this may be attainable. If I come to the conclusion that complex adaptive systems are of no or little use to assist in the understanding of organisations, then other means may be more useful and hopefully they will come out of my research. The second research question becomes redundant if the answer to the first research question is ‘No’. If the answer is ‘Yes’ then some testing of whether it can work is required. Perhaps by definition, a practical tool should work, however there is an opportunity to test the suitability of the tool for understanding organisations. Justification for the research While the Air Force is already an efficient and effective organisation, the justification for this research is to improve that efficiency and effectiveness of the Air Force in delivering its capability outcomes to the Australian Government and the people of Australia. Responsibility for achieving outcomes is cascaded from the Chief of Air Force at the top of the organisation to the lowest level of the organisation. This responsibility is particularly evident at the level of Commanding Officers of Air Force units. The consultants within the Management Services Agency must assist these people, and the people within their units, to fulfil their responsibility to the Government and the people of Australia. If Air Force internal management consultants better understand the client organisations they work with, they can use this information to assist people within those organisations to understand why certain _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 6 _____________________________________________________________________ things happen. With this understanding, greater organisational effectiveness should be achievable. From the analysis that this research will provide, a model for better understanding the Air Force from a complex adaptive systems perspective will be generated. The research may also shed some light on how the Air Force may respond to specific changes in its external environment. The research may also be generalised to public and private organisations and thereby assist them to understand themselves. The model should be particularly applicable in organisations that have a strong culture, such as the Air Force (1999). The research findings should provide some form of understanding to those wishing to use complex adaptive systems as a basis on which to improve organisational understanding in organisations. In this respect, it may be useful to organisational consultants. The model will hopefully provide a view of organisational understanding that accepts organisational behaviour as a dynamic process and accepts that all organisations operate in a dynamic external environment. A secondary contribution of this research will be the exposure of complex adaptive systems as a useful metaphor in understanding organisations to the Air Force internal management consultants, who should be able to apply the model in their work. Organisations should take on the responsibility for the ongoing education of their members, by helping participants learn how to learn, to work towards autonomy, and to challenge structures and processes that aim to close down opportunities for learning and growth (McNiff et al., 2000). Linked to this secondary contribution is the personal learning that will be achieved by myself, as Director of the Air Force’s internal management consulting organisation. Methodology In examining the research problem, three issues become readily apparent. The first is that a good understanding of complex adaptive systems will be required. The second is that this understanding needs to culminate in the development of a model that can be tested, and finally, this model must be tested; at least at the conceptual level. To address the first problem a literature search will be conducted into the general background of complex adaptive systems. This search will be narrowed to focus on complex adaptive systems and organisational understanding. This will inform a model that can be developed later in this report that may assist in explaining _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 7 _____________________________________________________________________ how complex adaptive systems can assist organisational understanding in other organisations. It could well be the case that the literature review will uncover existing models. If this is the case then these models will be reviewed to determine which may be most useful in the Air Force context. The generative metaphor model developed will include concepts of complex adaptive systems, derived from the literature review, and these will be used as ‘idea starters’ for educative purposes with the Management Services teams. I would not be trying to prove whether the concepts of complex adaptive systems are right or wrong, or the correct number, but rather identify the best way to apply them to organisational settings in the Air Force. The generative metaphor will serve an instructional purpose as a means to introduce complex adaptive systems thinking to the Teams (Kiehne, 2003). Due to the requirement for an educative aspect to the research, the primary method of research for this report will be Action Research. Action research is a methodology which has the dual aims of action and research; action to bring about change is some community or organisation or program, and research to increase understanding on the part of the researcher or the client, or both (Dick, 1993). For an organisational understanding model to have practical application, an understanding of a ‘real’ organisation must be demonstrated. I have first-hand experience and understanding of the management consulting process that occurs in the Air Force. I have the opportunity to test this research within my own organisation, the MSA, and whether my people, with their significant management consulting expertise, also find it useful. This will be a relatively simple matter in terms of access as they work for me and I see them on a regular basis throughout the year, despite their geographic dispersion. Furthermore, they are all highly trained in organisational consulting and should be in a position to offer valuable comment on the utility, or otherwise, of a model. A secondary outcome of the research will be exposing my people to action research as a methodology for intervening in client organisations. Although an alternative methodology, that of embedded case studies, was originally considered, a pilot test of an interview with a senior manager indicated that this form of data collection would not provide the result desired due to the issue of inference, rather than explicitness. The methodology of action research will allow a _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 8 _____________________________________________________________________ semi educative process and elicit either agreement or disagreement with the proposal that the model may be useful in understanding organisations. Outline of the report This report will be presented in the standard structure of five chapters. Within each chapter there will be a varying number of sections. The details of the structure of each chapter follow. Chapter 1 of the report, which will be titled Introduction, includes eight sections: Background to the research, Research problem & research questions, Justification for the research, Methodology, Outline of the report, Definitions, Limitations and key assumptions, and Conclusion. Chapter two of the report, which will be titled, Literature Review, will include eight sections: Introduction, Complexity adaptive systems, Science and genetics, Complexity modelling, Military research, Social systems, Gaps in published research, and Conclusion. Chapter three of the report, which will be titled, Methodology, will include eight sections: _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 9 _____________________________________________________________________ Introduction, Selection and justification of action research, Unit of analysis, Design of focus group, Collection of data, Analysis of data, Ethical considerations, and Conclusion. Chapter four of the report, which will be titled, Analysis of Data and Findings, will include eleven sections: Introduction, Pilot study findings Findings – action research cycle 1, Findings - action research cycle 2, Findings - action research cycle 3, Findings - action research cycle 4, Findings - action research cycle 5, Findings - action research cycle 6, Findings - research question 1, Findings - research question 2, and Conclusion. Chapter five of the report, which will be titled, Conclusions and Implications, will include nine sections: Introduction, Conclusions about research questions, Conclusions about research problem, Implications for the theory, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 10 _____________________________________________________________________ Implications for policy and practice, Private sector managers, Public sector policy analysts and managers, Limitations, and Further Research. Although the structure of the report is standard in terms of layout, the necessity to include the findings of the action research cycle will mean there are minor differences in structure. Definitions This section will deal with five higher level definitions that are used throughout this report, and in particular, the research questions. Chapter 2 – Literature Review, will define numerous complex adaptive systems terms that will be encountered in the remainder of the report. Organisation can be defined most simply as, ‘groups of people in community’ (McNiff et al., 2000), or as ‘a systematic arrangement of people to accomplish some specific purpose’ (Robbins & Mukerji, 1994). Complexity theory can be defined as a formal attempt to question how coherent and purposive wholes emerge from the interactions of simple and sometimes non-purposive components. At its most humble, it explains the big consequences of little things (Lissack, 2001). It is a theory that attempts to explain the behaviour of complex adaptive systems which are characterised by the interactions of numerous individual agents or elements, that self-organise at a higher systems level, and then in turn show emergent and adaptive properties not exhibited by the individual agents (Doolittle, 2002). A generative metaphor is a term coined by Schön (1993) for supporting the cultivation of fresh perceptions and the acquisition of new schemas of others (Barrett & Cooperrider, 2004). By using a metaphor, which makes an implied comparison between things which are not literally alike, new understanding can be generated. Schön (Schon, 1993) believed this was characterised by carrying over frames or perspectives from one domain to another (2004). Metaphor use ascribes properties from one concept to another by invoking an image in the mind of the receiver which, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 11 _____________________________________________________________________ in turn, allows the receiver to understand the point of view held by the creator of the metaphor. In essence, metaphor is a means to communicate understanding from one frame to another (Kiehne, 2003). Indeed, most organisational theories are constructed around the use of metaphor and analogy which assist us in seeing and understanding (Morgan, 1997). A concept, or construct, is defined as, ‘a generalised idea about a class of objects; an abstraction of reality that is the basic unit for theory development’ (Zikmund, 2000). A model is defined as a representation of a system or process (Zikmund, 2000). A tool is defined as a device or technique that can be used to achieve a particular purpose. Limitations and key assumptions The primary limitations of this study relate to three factors: only one organisation is being studied; the period of study is limited to a short period; and only a small number of groups within the one sub-organisation are being asked to contribute to the research process. These limitations are now explained more fully. The first limitation, that the research is only being conducted in one organisation, and that the organisation may be considered, in some ways unique, could mean that my findings are considered not particularly relevant for other large organisations. The Air Force as an organisation is probably not particularly unique compared to other organisations, however it is probably more conservative than many other large organisations (1999). The issue of uniqueness is encountered in all instances where generalisability is suggested. However, the research will focus on organisational attributes that are not particularly unique to the Air Force, and therefore may be more generalisable to other organisations than first thought. A major reason for the research being limited to the Air Force organisation is that the Air Force is funding the research and has an interest in how its findings will assist the organisation. The second limitation, that the period of study is limited to a short period, is encountered by the duration of the research for this report. This poses the question of whether my results will be time and/or situational-dependent. As the period of study _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 12 _____________________________________________________________________ is short, limited to a one-year period, it could be argued that different results could be achieved by collecting data over a more prolonged or different time period. Furthermore, only a small number of action research cycles are going to be conducted (six) over a relatively short period of time. While accepting that different results could be obtained over a longer period, again, the nature of the issues to be discussed are not necessarily time specific, and should therefore elicit the same responses whenever and wherever they are proposed. Furthermore, there are no limitations placed on participants in the data collection process about adding further comments and thoughts after the formal process is completed. The third limitation, that only a small number of groups within the one suborganisation are being asked to contribute to the research process, is another issue of generalisation. It would be nearly impossible to include 15,000 personnel in the research process, particularly using action research methodology. For that reason a sample that allows easy access is used. The sample to be used, however, is unique in terms of the work it performs within the Air Force and also belongs to a single organisation within the Air Force, the MSA. Having said that, the sample group is split by geographic location, and work relatively independent of each other and myself. Furthermore, the teams that constitute the various focus groups will comprise individuals who will have their own particular views on the concepts raised. The people involved in the focus groups work as organisational management consultants. Whereas their skills and experience in organisational understanding are most likely superior to other Air Force personnel, they will be better placed to see value or otherwise in the proposed model. They will, however, cover a range of ranks from Sergeant to Squadron Leader (supervisor to middle management). Associated with the third limitation is that the research will be conducted with people that work for me. While this makes access simpler it creates several methodological issues which will be discussed in Chapter 3. Conclusion This chapter commenced with a diagram that indicated how the chapter was structured. It commenced with a section that outlined the background to the research and explained my interest in the topic of research, generated through the role I play in the Air Force and my interest in my profession. The section provided an explanation _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 13 _____________________________________________________________________ of where my interest in complex adaptive systems stemmed from and how I wished to progress that interest. The section tackled the general problem area of organisational understanding before moving on to the next section which outlined the research problem and the research questions. The first research question was explained as; is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation? The second research question followed on from the first, and asks; If it is possible to produce a practical tool, does it work? The chapter then moved on to provide the justification for the research from a micro and macro perspective. The choice of action research as the research methodology to be used was then explained indicating the requirement to educate as well as involve people in the research process. A brief outline of the structure of this report was then provided as a guide for what is to follow, mentioning the proviso that the standard layout may differ due to the research methodology selected. Some basic and high-level definitions were then provided before discussion of the limitations and key assumptions were addressed. Further definitions will be provided in Chapter 2 and further discussion of research limitations will be provided in Chapter 3. Chapter 1 – Introduction, has set the scene for the remainder of this report. The background to the research has been explained by providing the reader with the setting for the research. From the background information, the research problem was defined and thus were the research questions. Now that I have explained the background to my research, what follows in Chapter 2 is a consideration of what research has already occurred in the field of complex systems and organisational understanding. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 14 _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 2 – LITERATURE REVIEW Introduction Whereas Chapter 1 outlined the background to the research problem of organisational understanding, Chapter 2 provides the contextual background to complex adaptive systems, particularly as it relates to organisational understanding. Chapter 2 is presented in eight sections that cover this introduction, complex adaptive systems, biology and genetics, complexity modelling, military research, social systems, gaps in published research and a conclusion. The structure of the chapter and its sections are shown in Figure 2. Introduction Conclusion Complex adaptive systems Gaps in published research Biology and genetics Complexity modelling Social systems Military research Figure 2 - Diagrammatical Structure of Chapter 2. The aim of the chapter is to consider existing research and literature that informs the research question: “Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation?” As mentioned in the previous chapter, this question is important as people that work in organisations are now expecting more from the experience and, given the dynamic environments that many organisations operate in, a higher and more comprehensive level of understanding of organisational behaviour is required. Given the desire to test whether aspects of complex adaptive systems will enrich organisational understanding, concepts of complex adaptive systems need to be examined with a view to extracting those that relate to organisational understanding. In our situation they can then be tested by organisational management consultants to determine if they provide a better way to assist their clients in the Air Force. The literature is grouped into five sections to assist in understanding the different origins and applications of complex adaptive systems. A general overview of complex systems will initially be provided to set the scene and illustrate the multi- _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 15 _____________________________________________________________________ disciplinary approaches that have been taken to understanding and applying complex adaptive systems thinking. The foundations of complex adaptive systems in the fields of biology and genetics will then be explored, examining some of the scientific underpinnings for the concepts that have been used as metaphors and adopted into the more general literature on complex adaptive systems. Linked to the mathematical and computing roots of complex adaptive systems is the field of research that attempts to model the behaviour of complex systems. Some of the research in these fields may be of use to us in organisational settings. As there has been some military research that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems, and given that my research will be conducted in a military organisation, these references are examined before moving on to examining research that particularly addresses social systems, and specifically, organisational understanding. From each section the aspects that are relevant for social science applications and this report will be distilled. This information will be further refined to extract those factors relevant to addressing my research questions. Finally, the development of the six or seven concepts of complex adaptive systems that could assist us in understanding organisations will be determined. It will become apparent that notwithstanding the amount of writing that has occurred regarding complex systems, there have been few attempts to apply concepts of complex adaptive systems to organisational activity in real settings. This gap in the published research will be highlighted, as it provides the rationale for this research, before a concluding section will summarise the main points raised in the chapter. The focus of this literature review will be on seeking aspects of complex adaptive systems that can be used as a generative metaphor in organisational settings. For that reason, many of the more theoretical and philosophical discussions on complex adaptive systems have been avoided. Further, the question of whether the literature and research conducted on complex adaptive systems constitutes a theory is also avoided, not because it is unimportant, but rather from the viewpoint that the discussion is of little value in building a generative metaphor as a starting point for this research. Those that have an interest in complex adaptive systems will know that the literature can range from highly technical to heavily philosophical (Hase & Brodnick, 2001). Indeed, part of the challenge in seeking the information that I am, is sorting the more general research that has been conducted in the areas of quantum physics, biology, ecology, chaos theory, complexity theory and self-organising _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 16 _____________________________________________________________________ systems theory with some of the more specific research that has been conducted in applying the theory to management and organisational issues. Notwithstanding this challenge, by the end of this chapter it will be evident that my research questions have not been adequately addressed in previous research. The tentative starting model, or models, that will be determined as the most practical to use as idea starters will be described and offered as a model that is as good as any other to use for the purposes of my research. It is difficult to know how to begin to explain complex adaptive systems. Its very nature does not lend itself to linear explanation. Many writers have used a story telling method of explaining complex adaptive systems as it often requires going back and having a look at what has been said previously before progressing once again. Nevertheless, the following structure, while perhaps not optimal, will provide a starting point for the purpose of this research. Complex adaptive systems This section will provide an overview of complex systems and reveal the multi-disciplinary nature of research on the topic. The section will firstly address the new way of thinking required to grasp complex adaptive systems before moving on to discussing some basic concepts of complex systems. Finally, six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems will be offered as starting point, or generative metaphor, to assist in the process of understanding how complex adaptive systems can assist with organisational understanding. This section will also provide most of the definitions required for understanding complex systems. Attempting to understand complex adaptive systems is about embracing a new way of thinking (Pina e Cunha, Vieira da Cunha, & Kamoche, 2001). It involves a departure from traditional methods used to understand events such as considering the external environment as relatively static. Gell-Mann (1994) believes it requires standing back from highly detailed analysis of parts of a system and taking what is called, ‘a crude look at the whole’ (Gell-Mann, 1994). Wheatley (1999) states that how we have been taught to understand our world, termed the Newtonian learning approach; that is, splitting systems into their constituent parts and making each part work better, rather than analysing the entire system has led to our inability to grasp complex issues. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 17 _____________________________________________________________________ The Newtonian approach also means that the arrangement of nature, life and its complications, are thought to be a linear phenomenon; Inputs in a linear phenomenon are proportional to outputs, facilitating prediction by careful planning; success is by detailed monitoring and control; and a premium is placed upon linear reductionism, rewarding those who excel in such reductionist processes. Linear reductionist analysis consists of taking large, complex problems and reducing them to manageable chunks. This form of reductionism works well in environments that are effectively linear,… (Czerwinski, 1998) p 2 Complex adaptive systems however, are non-linear. A non-linear system is a system that is unpredictable, that is, if one is familiar with all the components of the system, one is still unable to determine exactly what will happen next (eg. Weather, human behaviour, ecology)(Doolittle, 2002). Further, in a non-linear system the whole is greater than the sum, or average, of its parts (Doolittle, 2002). An aspect of non-linearity in complex adaptive systems is that cause and effect are distant in time and space (Brodnick & Krafft, 1997). When this is combined with our linear thinking, we tend to look for causes near the events we seek to explain. Sterman (2000) proposes that our attention is drawn to the symptoms of difficulty rather than the underlying cause: the propensity for us to do this he has termed ‘counterintuitiveness’ (Sterman, 2000). In fact, the unpredictability of non-linear systems parallels counterintuitive behaviour in a social context (Gharajedaghi, 1999). Complex, however, is not the same as complicated. ‘Complicated’ refers to a state where patterns cannot be made but details, parts and susbsystems can be understood (Lissack 2001). The word ‘complex’ refers to a state where the details cannot be understood but the whole, or general result, can be understood by the ability to make patterns (Lissack, 2001). ‘Intuition’ is a term sometimes used in discussion about complex systems. This intuition, argues Wheatley (1999), is a function of listening, watching and picking up subtle cues and nuances in what is observed; it is an ability to feel when something is not quite right (Wheatley, 1999). In this context, it refers to how people can grasp what changes may be required without dissecting all the parts of the system. The benefits of a new way of thinking about our experience will become more evident _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 18 _____________________________________________________________________ when we consider where complex systems thinking came from – nonequilibrium physics; The roots of complexity are in nonequilibrium physics where new properties of matter provide unexpected outcomes in far-from-equilibrium conditions and the modern theory of dynamical structures where there is a prevalence of instability which means that small changes in initial conditions may lead to large amplifications of the effects of changes (Gregoire & Prigogine, 1989). p ix It is suggested by Wheatly (1999) and others (Gharajedaghi, 1999) that in these structures, disequilibrium is necessary for the system to grow. They also suggest that when the system is far from equilibrium, singular or small influences can have enormous impact. It is not the law of large numbers or critical mass that creates change, but the presence of small disturbances that get into the system and are then amplified through the system’s networks. Once inside the network, this small disturbance circulates and feeds back on itself. As different parts of the system get hold of it, interpret it, and change it, the disturbance grows. Finally it becomes so amplified that it cannot be ignored by the system (Wheatley, 1999). The new structures that have been identified in nonequilibrium physics have been termed ‘dissipative structures’ and have a range of properties that tend to govern their behaviour (Mathews, White, & Long, 1999). Dissipative structures are selforganising and self-maintaining systems that operate far from thermodynamic equilibrium (Mathews et al., 1999). In dissipative structures, disorder can be the source of growth and new order. Dissipation, which usually describes loss or energy ebbing away, does not lead to the death of a system, but rather it is part of a process by which a system lets go of its present form so that it could reorganise in a form better suited to the demands of its changed environment (Wheatley, 1999). These systems are not characterised by form or function, but rather by process structures that best meet their current need. Dissipative structures are environmentally dependent in that their behaviour is determined by boundary conditions. This is in contrast to systems in a state of thermodynamic equilibrium in which system behaviour is determined by its initial state. The notion of environmental dependence goes beyond the general systems view of the system as being open to its environment; in the dissipative structures _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 19 _____________________________________________________________________ framework, interchange is an essential factor underlying the system’s viability. The system, like a living thing is autonomous but this does not mean they are isolated from their environment. ‘On the contrary, they interact with the environment through a continual change of energy and matter’ (Capra, 1997). Dissipative structures in states of extreme instability, or chaos, may see morphogenesis occur, rather than only quasi- or marginal transformations and adaptations (Capra, 1997; Mathews et al., 1999). The system and its environment are therefore inextricably intertwined. This implies that the system exhibits both a degree of self-determination and a degree of dependency, and that these features are intrinsically related to each other. If we were to consider a social organisation, we could say that its internal environment and its external business environments are linked and there is a degree of dependency between the two. Anything that disturbs the system assists it in self-organising itself into a new form of order. When the external environment offers new information, this information may be taken inside the system where it grows and changes. This new information may grow to such an extent that the system can no longer ignore it and real change can occur (Wheatley, 1999). Mathews et.al. (1999) outline four central characteristics, or elements, of the dissipative process. These include the system reaching a single bifurcation point after increasing disequilibrium (element 1). At this moment, the moment that has been called the bifurcation point, the system, far from equilibrium, falls apart and dissolves. This dissolution does not herald the death of the system but rather its self-organisation to a higher level of complexity that means the creation of a new form that enables it to better deal with the present environment. At the point of bifurcation the system either attempts to rely on extant mechanisms to dampen increasing oscillations without success leading to eventual system decline or failure, or it engages in a process of symmetry breaking and transformation by exploring alternative existences (element 2). The period of experimentation with alternate behaviours and structures (element 3) leads to a resynthesis and reformulation around the new structure (element 4). As the new equilibrium becomes misaligned with its environment, the process is repeated (Mathews et al., 1999). These systems therefore possess the innate ability to reorganise themselves to deal with new information. For this reason they are often called self-organising systems (Wheatley 1999) or complex adaptive systems (Doolittle, 2002). They argue that the viability of self-organising systems comes from _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 20 _____________________________________________________________________ neither form nor function attributes, but rather from process structures that permit reorganising into different forms in order to maintain an identity. It is not necessary that the new structural arrangements develop in the direction of greater complexity. The important characteristic of the emergent structure is that the new arrangements are able to contend with increased complexity; they are not necessarily more complex in and of themselves. Mathews et.al. (1999) also argue that highly developed systems have elaborate mechanisms such as negative feedback loops and buffering mechanisms, to dampen the effects of internal and external fluctuations and to maintain equilibrium. However, a system that continually chooses to use these buffering and dampening mechanisms to withstand change and restabilise equilibrium, they argue, will become increasingly misaligned with its environment. These could be termed as actions that permit the system to cope but do not address the underlying need to change caused by changes in the environment: they can only provide short-term solutions. In business organisations this can be evident in an increasing reliance on ‘work arounds’ to get things done because the existing systems don’t provide the required outcomes any more. This can only persist for a time before the excess capacity of the system is drained and the system collapses. Gell-Mann (1994) states that a complex adaptive system acquires information about its environment and its own interaction with that environment, identifying regularities in that information, condensing those regularities into a kind of ‘schema’ or model, and acting in the real world on the basis of that schema. In every system, there are various competing schemata, and the results of using a schemata in interaction with the real world, feed back to influence the competition among those schemata (Gell-Mann, 1994). Doolittle (2002) proposes that complex systems or complex adaptive systems involve phenomena which may be characterised by the interactions of numerous individual agents or elements, that self-organise at a higher systems level and then, in turn, show emergent and adaptive properties not exhibited by the individual agents. Agents are what a complex system is composed of and interact between themselves, other agents and the environment (Stonier & Yu, 1994). They are individual active elements of a system that possesses an internal state comprised of internal models, rules and strategies that influence and guide the agent's behaviour (Doolittle, 2002). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 21 _____________________________________________________________________ Each agent behaves according to some set of rules. These rules require the agents to adjust their behaviour to that of other agents. In other words, agents interact with, and adapt to, each other (Stacey, 2000). Self-organisation refers to the spontaneous self-generation of order from within an open system of agents (Doolittle, 2002). Self-organisation is order that arises from the interactions of the agents and is not imposed on the agents by some external force. Thus, as agents interact, they organise themselves according to local parameters and self-interest, and from this self-organisation a more global or higher structure emerges (Doolittle, 2002). Open systems are those systems that need and receive energy to maintain their order. This maintenance of order places the system in a state that is far from equilibrium, with equilibrium being the degenerative state that the system would inhabit if there was no influx of energy. Complex systems take in data from their environments, find regularities in the data, and compress these perceived regularities into internal models that are used to describe and predict its future (Doolittle, 2002; Gell-Mann, 1994). These internal models and schemas are what agents function through. An internal model or schema is created or modified as the agent gains experience. As the agent gains experience, the agent abstracts the regularity from the randomness within the experience and begins to form internal models that describe these regularities. The agent may construct several internal models or schemas of a given experience, each internal model or schema providing a potential explanation of the experience. Often, internal models or schemas are described by a set of rules. These internal models are then used by agents to describe current events or behaviours, predict future events or behaviours, and prescribe subsequent behaviour. As agents interact with other agents and the environment, the agent's internal models and schemas self-organise and emerge. In this process, the agent's interactions with other agents and the environment serve as evaluations of the agent's internal models and schemas. If an agent repeatedly exhibits a behaviour that is counter-productive, based on an internal model or schema, then the internal model or schema is modified, discarded, or ignored. If, however, the agent repeatedly exhibits a behaviour that is productive, then the internal model or schema that is responsible is retained and becomes dominant (Stacey, 2000). This is also called selection pressure, where the real world _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 22 _____________________________________________________________________ exerts pressure on the agent to select the internal model or schema that consistently produces favourable results (Doolittle, 2002). However, the twin goals of predicability and control may be theoretically impossible (Mathews et al., 1999). There is the question of whether social reality can be reduced to properties of individuals and their subjective interpretation of personal experiences, or whether there are characteristics of collective units that are somehow more than and external to the aggregation of subjective interpretation. This concept may be relevant for the analysis by personnel within an organisation with respect to externally imposed changes and resultant understanding. In some ways, the findings of Mathews, White and Long represent disconfirming evidence of what we are seeking to show in this report. Adaptation refers to the changes in internal models or schemas that improve the performance of the agent, whether that performance is reproduction, survival, money, or knowledge (Doolittle, 2002). Adaptation in complex systems could be called experience that is gained as time passes so that the system can make better use of its environment for its own ends. It also means that the system is capable of accommodating unpredictable changes or disturbances, whether these arise from within the system itself or from the external environment (Stonier et al., 1994). Doolittle (2002) and Kauffman (1992), suggest that an agent that is capable of repeatedly selecting internal models or schemas that are favourable is considered fit, or to have fitness, in relation to the environment in which the agent exists. However, environments do not remain static, thus an agent's level of fitness is always in a state of flux. This state of flux requires the agent to continually monitor and modify their internal models and schemas as the environment changes, a process known as adaptation (Doolittle, 2002; Kauffman, 1992). System dynamics is the term given to the feedback structures, methods, and outcomes of the interactions between the interdependent elements, or agents, that make up a system (Sterman, 2001). Doolittle (2002) also proposes that complex systems exhibit evolutionary processes in that these internal models are subjected to selection pressures in the context of specific environmental conditions resulting in changes to the internal models over time (Doolittle, 2002). The term ‘compression’ he argues, can be used to describe the process of changing recognised patterns of regularity into internal _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 23 _____________________________________________________________________ models. Compression results in abstractions or generalisations of experience, not a verbatim record. Finally, Doolittle (2002) suggests that the emergent characteristics of a particular complex system frequently form the individual agents in a higher level complex system. Emergence can be defined as an enigmatic process whereby fundamental agents produce surprising and unpredictable meta-agents or behaviours (Doolittle, 2002). A meta-agent is described as an assembly of lower agents that form a new agent at a higher level in the hierarchy, while an aggregate behaviour would be a behaviour that is comprised of other more fundamental behaviours. Agents at one level of the hierarchy interact with each other, and other agent types, and through this interaction an emergent global structure, or aggregate system of meta-agents or behaviour emerges. Doolittle (2002) believes that upon forming, emergent global structures and meta-agents, then feedback to the lower level agents to influence the lower level agents' interactions. An essential aspect of this process of lower level agents giving rise to higher level agents is that the nature and formation of the higher level agents is not predictable from an understanding of the individual behaviours of the lower level agents (Doolittle, 2002). Emergent organisations are totally different from the elements that constitute the system, and the patterns cannot be predicted solely from the characteristics of the individual elements. This process of emergence, Doolittle suggests, is deeply intertwined with the concept of self-organisation. Self-organising phenomena are inherently decentralised due to the local interactions of many individual agents, with order emerging without centralised control structures (Doolittle, 2002). Doolittle (2002) proposes six principles of complex systems: 1. Complex systems are non-linear, open, and far from equilibrium. 2. Complex system behaviour involves adaptation to the environment, based on experience. 3. Complex system behaviour is a function of internal models or schemas that are the result of perceived regularities in experience. 4. Emergent global complex system behaviour involves the aggregate behaviour of agents. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 24 _____________________________________________________________________ 5. Internal models and schemas are actively constructed, self-organised and emergent. 6. Internal models and schemas are a function of both agent interaction and existing internal models and schemas. Therefore, Doolittle argues, complex adaptive systems are non-linear, open, and far from equilibrium systems that are comprised of interdependent agents whose interactions, based on internal models or schemas, lead to self-organised and emergent behaviours that have dynamic fitness levels in response to selection pressures exerted by changing environmental conditions, thus facilitating the need for adaptation (Doolittle, 2002). We can therefore see that complex adaptive systems require a new way of thinking about systems, one that is non-linear and partly intuitive. We have seen that the theory takes some of its concepts from nonequilibrium physics and the behaviour of dissipative structures. The major points that we can draw from this discussion are the importance of boundary conditions on the system and the behaviour of individual and groups of agents within the system. These are relevant because in our understanding of organisations we can see how environmental changes can impact on an organisation at various levels, and that members, or agents, within that organisation interpret the new information and create schemas that allow the organisation to adapt to its changing environment. This has provided an initial way of viewing organisational behaviour in a new light. Biology and genetics This section will discuss some of the biology and genetics roots of complex adaptive systems and explore some of the concepts that have been developed as metaphors to assist in other academic disciplines, such as the social sciences. The section will firstly address information about organisms’ behaviour on the edge of chaos before moving on to discussing some research findings in the fields of biology and genetics. Finally the section will be concluded with comment on what this means for my research. Complex adaptive systems has, as been stated before, roots in numerous disciplines. One discipline is Biology, and in particular molecular DNA and animal _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 25 _____________________________________________________________________ genetics. One researcher in this field, Waldrop (1992), suggests that complex systems have acquired the ability to bring order and chaos into balance at what can be termed the ‘edge of chaos’, where the elements of the system never quite lock into place, and yet never quite dissolve into turbulence (Waldrop, 1992). ‘Chaotic’ refers to a state where patterns cannot be made nor details understood (Lissack, 2001). On the edge of chaos is where life has sufficient stability to sustain itself and enough creativity to deserve the name of life. It is on this edge where new ideas and innovative genotypes are challenging the status quo, and where even the most entrenched ideas will be changed (Waldrop, 1992). It is on this edge that there is the constantly shifting battle zone between stagnation and anarchy, the one place where a complex system can be spontaneous, adaptive and alive (Waldrop, 1992). ‘A system is defined as chaotic when it becomes impossible to know what it will do next. The system never behaves in the same way twice.’(Wheatley 1999, p.22) By observing the behaviour of chaotic systems over time an inherent orderliness can become evident. Some researchers in biology (Kauffman, 1992) have proposed that entities have self-organising properties that cannot be explained through Darwin's theory of evolution, which restricts itself to organism’s changing purely in reference to their external environments. In fact, Kauffman provides an alternative theory of evolution which suggests that complex adaptive systems exhibit high spontaneous order. He proposes that such order may enable, guide and limit selection thereby requiring a theory which, “encompasses the marriage of selection and self-organization” (Kauffman, 1992). Kauffman’s research in genetics has seen the development of the concept of landscapes. Rugged adaptive landscapes and rugged fitness landscapes have many peaks, ridges and valleys and are metaphors used in evolutionary biology (Kauffman 1992). The term ‘landscapes’ has its roots in population genetics and the behaviour of the adaptive walks of peptides to local or global optima (peaks) due to their fitness values. This means that peptides, as complex systems, will seek positions in their environments that are optimal. This biological metaphor may be useful in explaining the behaviour of organisations seeking optimal positions in their external environments. Although the biological metaphor may be useful for explaining organisational behaviour it would be difficult to argue that agents in organisations are predisposed to behave as peptides do. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 26 _____________________________________________________________________ Jensen (1998) has described the structure of biological systems and the growth pattern of chemical reactions, as nonequilibrium systems, as self-organising systems, where there is no control or manipulation by an external agent (Jensen, 1998). He states that self-organised criticality exists where force is built up within a system until it eventually overcomes a certain threshold, as in dissipative structures, when it releases and forms a new configuration, ie the behaviour of earthquakes, sand piles and rice piles (Jensen, 1998). A living system can be viewed as a network of processes which are themselves made up of other processes. The entire network is engaged together to form an entity that continually seeks its own self-renewal in order to preserve its self (Wheatley, 1999). It is considered by some researchers that it is a paradox that in living systems each organism maintains a clear sense of its individual identity within a larger network of relationships that helps shape its identity. This view stems largely from the geneticists. A final aspect of the biological paradigm of complex systems is that for any system to remain alive and keep growing it must continually generate information, particularly from the external environment. How it collects information and how it uses information is best described when considering the actions of agents and metaagents which were discussed in the previous section. In summary, the scientific disciplines of biology and genetics provide some useful metaphors to consider in discussing organisational behaviour as complex systems. In particular, organisms surviving on the edge of chaos could be transposed to the business environment where organisations are at the edge of surviving or changing to a new form to meet the needs of a changing business environment. They may do this through a process that is more than merely a response to changing conditions; it may also include an improvement to it through internal capability. The metaphor of peptide walks on rugged landscapes may be useful in describing organisations’ searches for optimal positions in an environment. Lastly, the ingredient of information is important for any system made up of multiple agents that can all interact with the external environment in some way. Some researchers have taken the biological and genetic metaphors and attempted to recreate the behaviour of complex systems, mainly through the use of computers. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 27 _____________________________________________________________________ Complexity modelling This section will provide a background to the stream of research in complex adaptive systems that attempts to model the behaviour of complex systems. We must ask whether the modelling of complex systems can offer any assistance to us in our research question of aspects of complex adaptive systems assisting in our understanding of organisational behaviour. The section on complexity modelling will firstly address an area of study called system dynamics before moving on to discussing agent-based modelling and artificial intelligence. Finally, I will attempt to distil aspects of the research in complexity modelling that may be of use to my research. One direction that has been taken by researchers in complex adaptive systems, particularly from those with mathematical, physics and computing backgrounds is an attempt to model the behaviour of complex systems (Axelrod, 1997; Sterman, 2000; Wolfram, 2002; Zurek, 1990). System dynamics is one name that has been given to an area of study that is grounded in the theory of non-linear dynamics and feedback control developed in mathematics, physics and engineering. Since the tools of systems dynamics are applied to the behaviour of human as well as physical and technical systems, it draws on cognitive and social psychology, economics and other social sciences (Sterman, 2000). Mathews, White and Long (1999) argue that Newtonian reduction has been the basis of systems modelling: The behaviour of a system can be understood and anticipated, or predicted, by identifying its components and the causal links between them. This is therefore an area of study that seeks to find a linear means of examining a non-linear problem. As mentioned previously, in system dynamics there is an acceptance that cause and effect are often distant in time and space. Furthermore, mental models are used in system dynamics the same way as other researchers use schemas. Sterman (2000) uses the concept of double-loop learning to describe the process of assimilating information from the real world into these mental models or schemas. There are, however, many failure points in these feedback loops and the decision of any one agent, based on his or her feedback loop, is but one of many feedback loops that operate in any given system (Sterman, 2000). Wollin and Perry (2002) suggest that many factors can create instability in dynamic systems, including time delays and negative feedback. Negative feedback loops encourage the system towards stability, whereas positive feedback loops amplify small disturbances and drive the system _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 28 _____________________________________________________________________ away from equilibrium, allowing innovation and change (Wollin & Perry, 2002). They raise path-dependence as an aspect of system dynamics and means that taking one particular road often precludes taking others and determines where you will end up, therefore actions are irreversible. Agent-based modelling, which is computer simulation used to understand properties of complex social systems through the analysis of simulations (Axelrod, 1997), is one method used by some researchers in an attempt to understand properties and behaviour of complex adaptive systems, including social systems. Modellers believe that computer simulation can model the dynamics of social groups. In some models, Mainzer (1994) argues, intentional agents make choices that depend on their individual preferences, expectations and beliefs as well as upon incomplete knowledge of the past (Mainzer, 1994). He argues that in these dynamic ecologies, where information is sought and analysis of this information occurs, incomplete knowledge and delayed information will create phenomena such as well known evolutionary patterns like fixed points, oscillations, or chaos (Mainzer, 1994). In these model systems researchers have found that imperfect knowledge leads to what is called an optimality gap, while delays in information access induce oscillations in the number of the agents involved. Synergistic effects may arise by cooperation and competition for finite resources by agents. Chaos in these models prevents the development of any stable strategy of problem solving (Mainzer, 1994). What this means is that in some manufactured models a reasonable facsimile of chaos can be created. In modelling, virtual worlds can be created where some researchers argue there are fewer impediments to learning. Virtual worlds are formal models, simulations, or ‘microworlds’ in which decision makers can refresh decision making skills, conduct experiments and play (Sterman, 2000). Flight simulators are an example of microworlds, where one important aspect is that particular variables can be held constant. When attempting to model complex systems however, agents must be given evolutionary capabilities such as knowledge of internal parameters or knowledge of the agent’s environment such that self-organisation can occur (Stocker, Jelnick, Durnota, & Bossomaier, 1996). Some models, or games, have shown that agents have a capacity to learn and explore, thereby avoiding their own mistakes and creating a large class of strategies _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 29 _____________________________________________________________________ that make no mistakes. Indeed the agents that use this class of strategies begin to dominate due to their ability to find and exploit errors in other players (Stonier et al., 1994). One assumption that this game is based on, however, is that the cost of learning is negligible. An interesting outcome of almost every modelling exercise is what Stocker et.al. (1996) has termed a divergence syndrome. The divergence syndrome displays an extreme sensitivity to initial conditions but is also a major component of the driving force of chaotic behaviour; it is because of this divergence that ‘self-feeding’, or acceleration of energy flow takes place in chaotic systems (Stocker et al., 1996). If what occurs in modelling happens in the real world then we would expect to see the same sensitivity to initial conditions and the acceleration of energy. Another of the characteristics of modelling complex systems is that behaviours can not be linear during time, and dynamically evolve during the simulation. Evolution capabilities need to be given to agents when designing the system and permit the emergence of structures, or so-called self-organisation (Stocker et al., 1996). This means that models, in reality, are no more than that: evolution must be introduced such that selforganisation and emergence can occur. Stocker et.al. (1996) use the term artificial intelligence, or AI, to describe some models of complex systems that have been developed. Artificial intelligence research includes the concepts of both intentional and reactive agents. Some of the elements modelled in AI include aspects of the social environment and include: physical characteristics, personality traits, previous experience, expectations, learning, vision, goals, mental maps, norms of behaviour, and social interactions (Stocker et al., 1996). Artificial intelligence is often used in the design of systems for human use such as urban and regional planning, product design, and software and hardware development. Artificial intelligence also has its critics, however who argue that people do not necessarily follow simple rules, and if they did this would lead to homogeneity or sameness, and not innovation and adaptability (Stacey, 2003). This section on modelling has demonstrated what some researchers have found in terms of complex adaptive systems. A number of aspects of this are relevant to my research. Firstly, some researchers have attempted to demonstrate behaviours that occur in complex adaptive systems with some success, therefore validating that these behaviours can, and do, occur. Secondly, what the researchers have found is _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 30 _____________________________________________________________________ that these behaviours do not appear particularly useful in attempting to predict what may happen given certain preconditions. In terms of my research, one useful outcome is the proving of cause and effect often being distant in time and space. However, system dynamics research confirms the importance of agent learning and interaction through double-loop learning, and the creation of schemas or mental models. Finally, the effect that incomplete knowledge can have on systems is also relevant. Therefore, while some findings from modelling complex systems are interesting, the utility of the models to my current research is limited, beyond explaining or confirming some of the aspects of complex system behaviour. The next section on Military research reveals how aspects of complex adaptive systems have been used in military settings. Military research This section will provide a background to the military references to complex adaptive systems and explore some of the concepts that have been used in military thinking. In military thinking there is considerable discussion about the chaos of the warlike environment and aspects of leadership that are required to operate with success in this environment (Beaumont, 1994; Beyerchen, 1992; Clausewitz, 1976). The section will firstly address some of the research on the nature of war before moving on to discuss military leadership in times of crisis, and then decision-making in times of crisis. Some cultural aspects of armed forces will then be discussed before describing several ways of coping in an unpredictable environment. Finally, the issue of Air Force experimentation and some of the findings of the RAAF Cultural Assessment Project will be addressed before addressing leadership in adaptive civilian organisations and adaptive civilian leaders. The chaotic nature of war has frequently been noted in military history, science, journalism, literature and even doctrine (Beaumont, 1994). It has also been addressed more recently in an Australian Defence Force publication the Future Warfighting Concept (2002). Clausewitz, an early German military strategist, spoke of the nature of war being an energy-consuming phenomenon involving competing and interactive factors, attention to which reveals a messy mix of order and unpredictability (Beyerchen, 1992). Notwithstanding military developments and the introduction of new and more lethal technologies, frustration and disorder has remained an integral dimension of modern warfare. Indeed every war is inherently a non-linear phenomenon, where changes cannot be analytically predicted and where _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 31 _____________________________________________________________________ inputs and outputs are not proportional (Beyerchen, 1992; Czerwinski, 1998). Small insignificant events on their own not being important can have critical and disproportionate results in the larger scheme of things. This is consistent with the view of cause and effect being distant in terms of time and space. Information flows still occur in warfare and they create patterns that reflect changing adaptations as time elapses and experience accumulates (Czerwinski, 1998). Beyerchen (1992) believes that the tendency for military commanders to seek exact analytical solutions does not fit the non-linear reality of problems posed by war, hence their ability to predict the course and outcome of any given conflict is severely limited (Beyerchen, 1992). Speed and feedback loops are attributes of non-linearity and, with new information technologies such as the Internet, e-mail, and the CNN factor, increase the non-linearity of both information exchanges and the events and processes they cover (Czerwinski, 1998). Much of the chaos found in warfare relates to the distance between the senior commander and the soldier and their visibility of what is happening on the ground. In the Air Force this is often referred to as Situational Awareness. Beaumont (1994) suggests that leadership in times of crisis tends to drive out the sensitivity to complexity, randomness and fuzziness that exposure to a broader perspective would present. Since those in authority are usually of a practical bent and driven by action, they are inclined to be impatient with attempts to complicate decision-making processes or introduce uncertainty (Beaumont, 1994). Indeed the blind adherence to military doctrine is a poor way of dealing with the complexity of new and unique issues and a solution such as self-organisation appears to defeat control as commanders think of it (Czerwinski, 1998). Analysts of combat decisionmaking have expressed surprise, however, that leaders who are aware of rational decision-making paradigms have nevertheless tended to rely on intuition, impulse, common sense, or nonrational logics (Beaumont, 1994; Beyerchen, 1992). By intuition, Czerwinski (1998) believes, what is meant is not so much instinct, as much as the product of experience provided by training and education, as well as military and life experience itself. This is not inconsistent with the earlier definition of intuition. In military situations the irony is that those who are more experienced, and therefore have a more highly developed sense of intuition, are generally more senior _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 32 _____________________________________________________________________ and are often more distant from the battlefield. The more junior, with less time to make decisions, are generally on the battlefield (Czerwinski, 1998). Klein (1989) argues that the theories and ideals of decision-making that the military has held for the past 25 years are inadequate and misleading, having produced unused decision aids, ineffective decision training programs and inappropriate doctrine. The culprit is an ideal of analytical decision making which asserts that we must always generate options systematically, identify criteria for evaluating those options, assign weights to the evaluation criteria, rate each option on each criterion and tabulate scores to find the best option. This model is called the concurrent option comparison, the idea being that the decision-maker deliberates on several options concurrently. The technical name for this is multivariate analysis. The other method is to consider different options and is called decision analysis. Both methods do not work under pressure because they take too long, particularly in changing situations (Klein, 1989). Klein suggests that there are different ways to make decisions; analytical and recognitional ways. In recognitional decision-making proficient decision makers are able to use their experience to recognise a situation as familiar, which gives them a sense of what goals are feasible, what cues are important, what to expect next and what actions are typical in that situation. They do not feel the need to do any concurrent deliberation of options. This is called a recognition-primed decision (RPD) (Klein, 1989). In his experiments, Klein found that when an officer used experience to recognise the key aspects of the situation, a quick reaction occurred. Once a decision-maker identifies the typical action, there is usually a step of imagining what will happen if the action is carried out in this situation. If any pitfalls are imagined, then the officer jettisons it and thinks about the next most typical action. The experienced decision-makers are not searching for the best option. They only want to find one that works, a strategy called "satisficing" (Klein, 1989). Because there is no deliberated option comparison, experienced decision-makers may feel that they are relying on something mysterious called ‘intuition’ and they may be mildly defensive about it if they are questioned carefully. This is not a mysterious process but rather a recognitional, pattern-matching process that flows from experience. Klein’s RPD model shows that decision-makers handle decision points, where there are several options, by recognising what the situation calls for rather than by calculating the strengths and weaknesses of the different options. Where there is _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 33 _____________________________________________________________________ deliberation, experienced decision makers deliberate more than novices about the nature of the situation, whereas novices deliberate more than experts about which response to select (Klein, 1989). These studies have also found that teams will behave much the same as individuals when it comes to decision-making. Other researchers have found that organisations are never formed from a zero base, and all players in a system will come with ‘the baggage, positive and negative, derived from multiple histories.’(Snowden, 2002) Klein’s RPD model focuses on situation assessment more than option assessment and is more useful in situations where there is time dependency. The disadvantages of the RPD model are that it is difficult to explain the basis of a decision and it is difficult to reconcile conflicts. Furthermore, it cannot ensure ‘optimal’ courses of action and that is especially important for anticipating the opponent’s strategies in preparation for the worst case (Klein, 1989). Culturally, Beaumont (1994) argues, there are strong forces against creativity in the armed forces. At the level where people enter the armed forces, the mechanisms of recruitment and selection tend to seek personnel who are prepared to conform. The armed services are generally viewed as the bastions of linear orderliness and formal hierarchical authority. Rigorous physical conditioning, the stressing of simplicity as a virtue, and the obsessional fixation on details in training and socialisation tends to stifle initiative and individuality (Beaumont, 1994). Military professionals are drawn to the predictability, order and security that military institutions provide in peacetime, which means that they are generally slow to experiment with new technologies and new ways of thinking. This is of concern because at ascending levels of command, leaders and planners deal with a proportionately greater array of events and contingencies, which sharply increase in number and intensity in war. At each level of command, leaders face a wider array of future possibilities, both immediate and long range. Furthermore, there are very few opportunities for senior commanders to be creative and innovative, particularly in peacetime. The bureaucratic machinery of armed forces is always more slow and inflexible than the natural events that they are intended to control (Beyerchen, 1992). This has been noted by some who propose that, in the future, forces must be flexible and adaptable and be capable of responding rapidly to changing circumstances, particularly where the range and complexity of threats increase (Houston, 2003). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 34 _____________________________________________________________________ Czerwinski (1998) argues that the challenge for security policy and military affairs, arising from the unintended consequences of interactions, lies in rethinking ‘ends and means’ as the military conventionally view them. It is unlikely that linear reductionism can be ceded, but it will be combined with non-linear reductionism to form a more robust, versatile, and effective means, not to control, but to cope (Czerwinski, 1998). The fiction of control in future warfare will be difficult for many to address, while the considerable virtues of coping will just have to be learned to be appreciated (Czerwinski, 1998). Indeed, he argues, we need to learn to just cope with the environment rather than attempt to solve problems, and be satisfied with a solution rather than the solution. Van Creveld (in Czerwinski, 1998) describes the current command process as one where, confronted with a task and having less information than is needed to perform the task, a military organisation may increase its information processing capability which will lead, in turn, to the multiplication of communications channels and to an increase in the size and complexity of the central directing organ. This approach is inadequate and stands in danger of being selfdefeating (Czerwinski, 1998). Rather, he suggests, there can be five requirements for success: 1. The need for decision thresholds to be fixed as far down the hierarchy as possible, and for freedom of action at the bottom of the military structure; 2. The need for an organisation that will make such low decision thresholds possible by providing self-contained units at a fairly low level; 3. The need for a regular reporting and information-transmission system working both from the top down and the bottom up; 4. The need for an active search of information by headquarters in order to supplement the information routinely sent to it at its command; and 5. The need to maintain an informal, as well as a formal, network of communications inside the organisation (Czerwinski, 1998). The overall message in this suggestion is to distribute uncertainty because a diverse workplace responds better to problems than a homogeneous one. A greater variety of backgrounds creates a greater variety of solutions (Czerwinski, 1998). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 35 _____________________________________________________________________ Some current military commanders see experimentation as an important aspect of future risk mitigation strategy. They see that the challenge is to understand the cultural disposition of the organisation and to get the workforce to think and act differently about some of these new and emerging concepts (Houston, 2003). Research into planning for future Air Force capability has suggested one approach for ensuring the organisation has what it needs to deal with future contingencies. McLennan (2002) believes that this adaptation relies on being able to change Air Force capabilities rapidly enough to keep up with changes in the environment (McLennan, 2002). The idea of dissipative structures, outlined previously, provides a clear explanation for the way in which the Air Force, as an entity, may be placed into a state of disequilibrium through the impact of events in the external environment. It has taken this information inside and made changes. These changes may result in self-organisation to a higher, or lower, level of complexity through this dissipative process. In this process the use of intuition is considered acceptable, and balances the rational decision making processes. McLennan (2002) believes that the more one understands intuition the more they are inclined to use it, but the question always remains as to how we explain how we arrived at an intuitive conclusion. It is nevertheless important to arrive at the best decision and not necessarily just a right decision (McLennan, 2002). Some interesting findings with respect to Air Force culture were found as a result of the Air Force’s Cultural Assessment Project that was undertaken in 1997. Firstly, it found that the Air Force culture is relatively homogeneous and survey respondents thought that things should be different in the future than the way they are now (Team, 1999). Designs about comment and feedback were considered restrained and conservative and dealing with issues that were seen as being present rather than future focussed. There was scepticism about the use of intuition and a preference for hard measures. Furthermore, as an organisation there appeared to be an inward, rather than external, focus and a predisposition towards traditional ways of working (Team, 1999). While this does not bode well for information gathering from the external environment, the team focus in many work areas encourages agent interaction. Glover, Friedman and Jones (2002b) believe that adaptive organisations, whether they be military or civilian, are led by adaptive leaders who demonstrate cultural competency, understand knowledge management, can create synergy from _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 36 _____________________________________________________________________ diversity and have a holistic vision (Glover, Friedman, & Jones, 2002b). An organisation’s ability to adapt, they argue, is always in flux, perhaps because the environment is dynamic. Leaders, it is argued, have to know the history of the organisation and understand what has made it successful in the past. They also need to conduct scenario planning to prepare for possible futures so that their organisation can adapt in the future. Adaptive leadership is based on being open to the changes going on around us and then making effective decisions in harmony with these pervasive changes, including implementing these in appropriate ways (Glover, Friedman, & Jones, 2002a). Leaders and managers, if not all of us, have a tendency to interpret experience as a series of events. We are taught from an early age that every event has a cause, which in turn is an effect of some still earlier cause. The event-oriented, open-loop worldview leads to an event-oriented, reactionary approach to problem solving. Experiments in causal attribution show people tend to assume each event has a single cause and often cease their search for explanations when the first sufficient cause is found (Sterman, 2001). James (2001) argues that managers of the future will need to be different from managers in the past, and they will probably not cope as well with the challenges that need to be faced (James, 2001). Older managers, James suggests, will tend to adopt command-and-control methods, to achieve results through single-minded focus, and tend to be demanding of employees. Newer managers are more likely to operate in a collective fashion, attempt to balance work and leisure, attempt to be smart about what they do and do not respond well to direction. Notwithstanding the change in management styles, workplace challenges have not changed significantly in the postindustrial economy and there is still a need for redundancy or excess capacity if the organisation and the individual are to survive in more than one environment. James (2001) argues that older style managers could identify the need to change from the organisation’s external environment, and force through the change. If the change suited the internal environment then the change worked, when it did not, the change mostly failed. Newer style managers, on the other hand, are less likely to find anything outside the organisation to which to refer and as they are more collective, more group-oriented and less hierarchical, if something goes wrong, this type of management behaviour only amplifies the problem. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 37 _____________________________________________________________________ Organisations and managers face challenges with accepting external information and interpreting this for the organisation. Organisational redundancy or excess capacity is required in organisations, and individuals, to deal with change. These concepts will be useful to our research in terms of how the Air Force has interpreted information from the external environment, how its managers and leaders have approached it, and whether the Air Force as an organisation has shown a propensity for redundancy. This relates to Doolittle’s second principle of complex systems, although no mention is made in the principles about redundancy. A classic manager or military leader, in a crisis, will attempt to minimise uncertainty and turbulence, will limit information flow and centralise decisionmaking. In a truly dynamic system, this impulse to increase control will fail. The classic managerial model operates on the premise that a single individual can have enough information and intelligence to direct all aspects of a complex, evolving system. Complexity theorists have confirmed that the more effective approach is to push control downward into the system, providing employees with a clearly articulated vision and the information resources they need to effect local changes in the system (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000b). We can therefore see that complex adaptive systems have been researched and have application in the military arena. There are several major points that we can draw from this discussion, including the acceptance in the military of chaotic events, particularly in times of warfare. Due to the need to operate in chaotic environments military organisations may attempt to over-control events that they feel they can. Leadership, decision-making and intuition are also related to our earlier comments on the concepts of complex systems. Methods for dispersing uncertainty are consistent with agent interaction as discussed earlier. This is also true for dissipating structures and comment is made about the tendency for military leaders to attempt to dampen oscillations in the organisation. These observations of behaviour in a military environment are relevant because of where they fit in Doolittle’s model and some of our earlier comments particularly regarding cause and effect being separate in time and space. These observations are relevant because our research setting is within the Air Force. Although military organisations are social organisations they are quite unique in a number of ways. The next section will cover more generally complex adaptive systems and research into social systems. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 38 _____________________________________________________________________ Social systems This section will examine research used in applying the complex adaptive systems metaphor to social and organisational settings. The section will firstly address at what levels complex adaptive systems thinking has been applied before moving on to a quick review of systems thinking and how it affects our way of understanding organisations. Comment will then be provided on the issue of organisations and their external environments and what individuals seek or gain from membership of organisations. Some types of social systems models will be reviewed, including the sociocultural view. Information flows and learning within organisations are then discussed as are the issues of organisational change and the understanding of market behaviour. Finally, some tools that can be applied to manage an organisation as a complex adaptive system are offered. The conclusion of the section will revisit Doolittle’s concepts of complex adaptive systems. The study of complex adaptive systems can occur at various levels within what can be broadly described as social systems. The focus has ranged from the study of systems at a macro level (Axelrod, 1997) to more local or micro levels (Kauffman, 1992). Some work on complex adaptive systems attempts to cover the whole range from macro to micro (Mainzer, 1994). What constitutes a system at one level will be made up of numerous systems at a lower level. Axelrod (1997) believes that at the macro level, a global system can be seen as comprising of the behaviour and interactions between nation states and include the social phenomenon of international politics, cultural conflict, and nationalism (Axelrod, 1997). Indeed, Gregoire et.al. (1989) and Mainzer (1994) believe that the complexity that is exhibited in highly industrialised society exists in the great number of citizens and their relationships, its organisational substructures and their dependencies (Gregoire et al., 1989; Mainzer, 1994). They have argued that the adaptive possibility of societies is the main source allowing them to survive in the long term, to innovate of themselves and to produce originality (Gregoire et al., 1989). Wollin et.al. (2002) have also used a complex adaptive systems metaphor have with business firms to help marketers better understand the behaviour of car manufacturing firms in a global market (Wollin et al., 2002). In all these areas of research there is reference to actors, or agents, and the interactions between actors or agents. They also suggest that the large scale effects of locally interacting agents leads to the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 39 _____________________________________________________________________ phenomenon of emergent properties of the system at all levels. Depending on how the system is defined ie. all car manufacturers, relationships between the agents will lead to emergent behaviour of the system. For example a downturn in the external environment of the system of car manufacturers may lead to a reduction in the marketing efforts of the car manufacturers to respond to the economic environment. As discussed earlier, the Newtonian approach to viewing organisations is to split them into their constituent parts and make each part work better and put the parts back together again, rather than viewing the organisation as a system that must be examined as a whole. Using this mechanistic metaphor though hides as much as it reveals (Morgan, 1997). The Newtonian approach has traditionally been used to study organisations. It is difficult, however, to view a system as a whole because most of our training in analysis is based on Newtonian learning. It is also easier to break a large, complex system into parts and deal with the parts individually. Intuition though, has been put forward again as a way to describe how people can grasp what changes are required in the complex system of an organisation. This intuition, like that referred to in the military section, is a function of listening, watching and picking up subtle cues and nuances in what is observed; it is an ability to feel when something is not quite right. To revert to the biological metaphor used earlier, Gharajedaghi (1999) has proposed that the purpose of an organisation is to serve the purpose of its members while also serving the purposes of its environment (Gharajedaghi, 1999). He suggests that social organisations, besides being purposeful, are also living systems and capable of self-organisation. Whereas biological systems primarily self-organise through genetic codes, social systems self-organise through cultural codes: culture is the DNA of social systems (Gharajedaghi, 1999). Gharajedaghi believes that a system consists of all the interactive sets of variables that could be controlled by participating actors. The environment also consists of variables that can affect a system’s behaviour but cannot control it. Some variables can only be influenced which means that a particular action is not sufficient to change anything; it is only a coproducer. Those variables that can be influenced form a new region called the transactional environment and include all the critical stakeholders of a system: customers, suppliers, owners, bosses, and the members of an organisation themselves (Gharajedaghi, 1999). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 40 _____________________________________________________________________ Gharajedaghi believes that the capacity of an organisation to adapt gradually to a changing environment can lead to disaster if the adaptation is to a deteriorating environment (Gharajedaghi, 1999). Organisations can often slowly bleed to death rather than experience sudden deaths in what he calls the ‘Pan Am’ syndrome ie. doing too little, too late. To understand organisations as complex systems, Gharajedaghi believes we need to understand the flow and interface between active elements of the system, and how the coupling function works. Furthermore, we must understand the dynamics of the system; the time cycle, buffers, delays, queues, bottlenecks and feedback loops. Lissack (2001) suggests that the existence of managerial ‘gut feel’ decisions after gaining holistic input may be relevant in complex organisations (Lissack, 2001). In these organisations, he argues, managers may rely more on intuition and tacit knowledge than on traditional analytic methods. Rather than using a decision process that evaluates features of alternative options, decisions are absolute. The more into the future the decision-maker is looking the more likely that the decision will be holistic. This has implications for adaptation, which means watching for the next wave that is coming, figuring out how it will work, and setting the organisation up to take advantage of it. Computer game software development is an example of this. Gharajedaghi & Ackoff (2001) believe that members join organisations to serve themselves and unless the organisation serves them in return, they will not serve it well. The suggest that because the members of an organisation can operate as independent parts with individual choices, while acting as responsible members of a coherent whole with a collective choice, the effectiveness of an organisation depends not so much on managing the actions of individual members,(Gharajedaghi & Ackoff, 2001) as on managing the interactions among the members (Gharajedaghi, 1999). There can be four types of relationships between members of organisations or agents; conflict, cooperation, competition, and coalition. Through the various agent relationships an iterative process occurs that changes structures, functions and processes, all within the one organisational boundary. Each iteration of design yields a greater understanding and more closely approximates the nature of the whole system (Roth, 2001). Social systems thinking. Social systems have been examined from the mechanistic and organismic perspective, however, a further perspective, the social _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 41 _____________________________________________________________________ systems model has been proposed by Gharajedaghi et.al. (Gharajedaghi et al., 2001). They argue that mechanistic theory is based on reductionism and cause and effect explanations. It is the traditional way to examine organisations and social systems and supports the control and coordination functions of management. However, when the system is taken apart for analysis the parts do not work independently of the remaining system and only the system’s structure is revealed rather than its functions. Mechanistically conceived social systems are inflexible and suffer when faced with rapidly changing external environments. Mechanistic organisations find it difficult or impossible to be responsive to environmental changes. As a result, their effectiveness suffers. Increasing ineffectiveness leads to reinforcement of their rigidity, closer adherence to rules and regulations. This results in a vicious circle in which such organisations become more and more dysfunctional. In an organismic model, Gharajedaghi et.al. suggest, a social system is conceptualised as an organism that has a purpose of its own: survival through growth is taken to be essential. Contraction leads to decay and death. An organismic system is dependent on its environment for essential inputs or resources. The head of the organisation is seen as the brain that makes decisions on behalf of the remainder of the organisation. To treat an organisation or any other social system as an organism fails to recognise that a social system has almost complete control over its own structure. In addition, the relationship that exists between an organism and its cells and organs is very different from that between an organisation and its parts. One's heart cannot decide for itself that it does not want to work or wants to work for someone else (Gharajedaghi et al., 2001). The parts of a social system have purposes of their own and display choice. Therefore, an effective social system requires agreement among its parts and between its parts and the whole. An effective social system requires consensus; an organism does not (Gharajedaghi et al., 2001). Gharajedaghi et.al. believe that in a systems model, the whole cannot be divided into independent parts without the essential properties of the system being lost when it is taken apart. Furthermore, the parts themselves lose their essential properties when they are separated from the whole. The performance of a system is not the sum of the independent performances of its parts; it is the product of their interactions. Therefore effective management of a system requires management of the interaction of the parts, not their independent actions. Moreover, since a social _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 42 _____________________________________________________________________ system interacts with its environment, management of this interaction is also required for it to function effectively (Gharajedaghi et al., 2001). In their development of a social systems model, Gharajedaghi and Ackoff develop a behavioural classification matrix based on their system types of passive, reactive, responsive and active. Reactive systems are self-maintaining and react to changes so as to maintain their state under different environmental conditions. They can react because what they do is completely determined by the change in their environment. A responsive, or goalseeking, system is one that can respond differently to one or more different events in one or more different environments and that can respond differently to a particular event in an unchanging environment until it produces a particular outcome or state. An active system is one in which an event or occurrence happens where there is no change in the system’s environment ie. actions are self-determined or autonomous. A passive system has one structure for all environments and one function for all environments. Sociocultural views. Gharajedaghi (1999) suggests that the members of a sociocultural organisation are held together by one or more common objectives and collectively acceptable ways of pursuing them. The members share values that are embedded in their culture. The culture is the cement that integrates the parts into a cohesive whole and allows the system to reproduce the same order over and over again. Nevertheless, since the parts have a lot to say about the organisation of the whole, consensus is essential to the alignment of a multiminded system (Gharajedaghi, 1999). He believes that the sociocultural view considers five principles that define the characteristics of, and assumptions about, the behaviour of organisations viewed as sociocultural systems: openness, purposefulness, multidimensionality, emergent property and counterintuitiveness. Openness is about openness to the external environment. Openness is important because it is difficult to predict the future. Purposeful systems have purpose and can produce the same outcome in different ways in the same environment and can produce different outcomes in the same and different environments. Multidimensionality is about complementary relationships between parts of the system. Opposing tendencies in different parts of the system not only coexist and interact, but also form complementary relationships. The mutual interdependence of opposing tendencies is characterised by an and instead of an or relationship. Emergent properties are _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 43 _____________________________________________________________________ produced by the interaction, not the sum of the parts; multiplication, not addition. Finally, Leddick (2001) notes that counterintuitiveness is about actions that are intended to produce one outcome can produce just the opposite and therefore prediction is an uncertain science (Leddick, 2001). In a sociocultural view, organisational processes depend on assumptions and the dominant culture of the organisation. At the same time organisational processes create the culture of the organisation. Furthermore, incompatibility between organisational processes and technological or throughput changes often renders these changes ineffective. The roles people play in sociocultural systems and degree to which people believe they can contribute are important in this view. Gharajedaghi (1999) suggests that sociocultural systems are held together, or bonded by information and communication flows that maintain the bonds among individuals and between the organisation and its members. These information and communication flows are strongly linked to culture as it is culture that shapes people by acting as decision defaults: that is how they will behave without information on which to base their decisions. In sociocultural systems, the first step is a search for information, knowledge and understanding about the internal system, and its external environment. The second step is mapping or grouping observations and identifying emergent themes. The third step is telling the story in such a way that is warns system leaders and mobilises them to replace an undesirable future with one they prefer (Gharajedaghi, 1999). More generally, Gharajedaghi suggests, attempting to control information in an organisation often results in the loss of its usefulness and the ability of people within the organisation to interpret the information in different ways. The value of information is often enhanced through its use and journey through networks, either electronic or biological. The more the information is shared the more powerful it can become which is captured in the phenomenon of the greater the number of brains working on a problem the more likely it is that the problem will be solved. Information networks are critical for organisations in this regard and some, more experimental, organisations are moving towards less formal information flow structures. Information flow is critical in self-organising organisations. It must circulate freely so that everyone can interpret it, and it must come from sources that are non-traditional. What comes through this is, rather than an unstable organisation, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 44 _____________________________________________________________________ an organisation that has a deeper sense of clarity about what it is, what it needs and how it is to survive. This type of organisation develops self-knowledge that makes it more adept at working with its environment. Learning and complex systems. The changes within organisations have much to do with the agents or members of that organisation and the way they perceive their situation. Bergmann (2000) believes that the way that individuals make sense of their situation is through cognition. Cognitive understanding is generated through one’s active participation in a project, group, or system (Bergmann 2000). Schon described this type of learning as ‘generative’ and insisted that managers and all decision makers in science and the professions must move beyond a purely rational model of understanding to one that is transactional, open-ended, and inherently social (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000a). Just as individuals can learn, Bergmann Lichtenstein suggests, so too can organisations. Organisational learning requires that an organisation has a theory of action that is either implicit or relatively explicit in its mission, vision, and strategising processes and statements. Individuals within an organisation, and their combined learning create organisational-level knowledge. When this knowledge is shared in a dialectical, reflexive manner through mutual inquiry and reflection, learning can be a self-organised emergent process. This is akin to Doolittle’s agent interaction and internal models and schemas being actively constructed and becoming emergent. Further, constructivism, Hase et.al. (2001) suggests, is how individuals construct knowledge for themselves. That knowledge cannot be passively accumulated but is the result of active and adaptive cognitive processes undertaken by individuals as they organise and make sense of their experiences (Hase et al., 2001). This is consistent with the view that knowledge is a function of both the interaction of individuals and the individual’s prior knowledge (Doolittle, 2002). Self-organising activity can show characteristics described in three categories that are steps in a process of change (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000a). Firstly, interactive, reflexive processes allow a system to continuously develop and expand. Secondly, at the peak of that expansion, when the current capacity of the system is overloaded, a critical trigger tends to occur that causes anxiety and conflict to be expressed. Thirdly, when the trigger is strong enough and when the process is selfreferenced, a new framework or theory of action will emerge that is literally self_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 45 _____________________________________________________________________ organised from aspects of the previous limited theory-in-use and from experiments and learning that happen along the way. A quality of emergent systems is that they are usually self-referenced or built on and connected to the previous experience of the individual in context. This explanation shows how the self-organising process may operate. Self reference. A second process that is fundamental to self-organising systems is that of self-reference. This means that when the environment changes and the organisation identifies a need to change it will do so in a way that is consistent with itself. The organisation will choose a path into the future that it believes is congruent with who it has been (Wheatley 1999). ‘When an organization knows who it is, what its strengths are, and what it its trying to accomplish, it can respond intelligently to changes from its environment’ (Wheatley 1999, pp.85-6). There are two critical elements that support effective self-organisation: a clear sense of organisational identity as a reference and freedom for people to make their own decisions. Organisational structure. Malone & Laubacher (1989) believe that as information channels have become more prevalent, through technological advances in communications technology and computing, the need for hierarchical organisational structures to facilitate communication has become less necessary (Malone & Laubacher, 1998). Some large companies are breaking up into a number of smaller companies and within large corporations, traditional command-and-control management is becoming less common. Decisions are increasingly being pushed lower down in organisations. Workers are being rewarded not for efficiently carrying out orders but for figuring out what needs to be done and then doing it (Malone et al., 1998). A central premise here is that when it is cheaper to conduct transactions internally, within the bounds of the corporation, organisations grow larger, but when it is cheaper to conduct them externally, with independent entities in the open market, organisations stay small or shrink. Although simplistic, Malone et.al.’s premise is contrary to other research on complex adaptive systems and organisations in that they tend to grow through a process of self-organisation rather than shed bits of it system that it still finds necessary to perform other functions. As information can now be shared instantly and inexpensively among many people in many locations, the value of centralised decision making and expensive _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 46 _____________________________________________________________________ bureaucracies decrease Malone et.al. argue. For this reason the dominant business organisation of the future may not be a relatively stable, permanent corporation but rather an elastic network that may sometimes exist for no more than a day or two. This view is again, is contrary to other research and also the concept of sociocultural organisations. Malone et.al. believe that small, ever shifting coalitions form for particular projects and then disband. These coalitions work through electronic markets and decide together on the shape and form of their organisation. They could be described as self-organising, but not in the same sense as used for self-referencing organisations. What may be consistent with self-referencing organisations is that outcomes from these coalitions emerge from the individual actions and interactions of the different players in the system. What the fundamental difference may be in this instance is the time scale being applied to the interactions and organisational actions. So, while consistent with Doolittle’s six principles, the time scale is more accelerated. Boundaries between companies will become much less important in the future(Malone et al., 1998). Again, this view is contrary to other literature reviewed in this report where the view will be taken that boundaries between organisations, and organisations and their environment, are particularly important when cultural issues are included. There is no doubt that the business landscape is changing and numerous writers and researchers have attempted to apply aspects of complex adaptive systems to organisations within the business environment (James, 2001; Pina e Cunha et al., 2001). Some discuss the concepts of emergence, the dynamism and unpredictability of the external environment, chaos and order, agents and actors and adaptiveness, and hypothesise what this may mean for managers in the future (Pina e Cunha et al., 2001). Some researchers believe equilibrium is a good state for organisations to be in (Pettigrew, Woodman, & Cameron, 2001) whereas others believe that equilibrium indicates the commencement of a decay process (Pascale, 1999). This shows that there is some disagreement in the literature, particularly when it comes to complex adaptive systems and organisations. Complex adaptive systems and organisations. Bergmann Lichtenstein (2000b) states that companies continuously regenerate themselves through adaptive learning and interactive structural change. These efforts periodically result in the spontaneous emergence of a whole new dynamic order, through a process of self_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 47 _____________________________________________________________________ organisation. The transformation process begins when the company’s systems are so overloaded or underperforming that it can’t achieve its goals and it is unable to function smoothly. At this stage a new configuration will emerge or the company will fail (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000b). Positive self-organising, he argues, results in a new emergent dynamic order that is based on principles, values, and elements that are intrinsic, or self-referenced, to the system, rather than being imposed without reference to the learned history and learning in the organisation. The use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for the behaviour of organisations has been adopted by some of the large management consulting companies and some large service companies. Booz Allen and Hamilton and Westpac are two that are pushing for a shift from command and control paradigms to chaos and complex adaptive systems, and developing less rigid organisational structures (Fox & Trinca, 2001). The move has led to the concept of management of the group rather than management of the individual. Royal Dutch/Shell has also embraced elements of complex adaptive systems in setting its strategic agenda for the future (Pascale, 1999). Rather than being satisfied with stable organisational activity Pascale saw that equilibrium equalled death and purposefully disturbed their equilibrium, bypassing the bureaucracy on the way, to initiate renewal activity. Accepting also that complex adaptive systems exhibit a capacity for self-organisation and emergent complexity, the company engaged the frontline troops to exploit untapped market opportunities. Understanding that complex adaptive systems move toward the edge of chaos when provoked by a complex task and that novelty emerges in the space between rigidity and randomness, Shell reorganised to a more direct, informal and less hierarchical way of working (Pascale, 1999). The Shell experience found that senior management could not direct a living system, only disturb it. They found that experimentation, rapid learning and seizing the momentum of success was a much better approach. While their leaders provided the vision and established the context, solutions to ongoing challenges were generated by the people closest to the action (Pascale, 1999). What many researchers are attempting to do is provide new ways of viewing organisations. Brodnick and Krafft (1997) offered eight postulates to assist in understanding organisations. They are: _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 48 _____________________________________________________________________ 1. All institutions are potentially chaotic; 2. Institutions are attracted to identifiable configurations; 3. Institutions move among dynamic states through a process of bifurcation; 4. The geometry of institutional attraction tends to be fractal in nature; 5. Functionally accurate forecasting is impossible on a broad scale and for the long term; 6. Cause and effect and not closely related in time and space; 7. Massive interventions may have insignificant results and small interventions may have massive results; and 8. Similar actions taken by institutions will never lead to the same result. (Brodnick et al., 1997) Fractal in nature means repeating but different symmetry. Although the postulates offer an alternative way of viewing organisational behaviour they fall short of explaining why such behaviours may take place. Organisational change. There is a huge amount of literature on organisational change, some of which draws on aspects of complex adaptive systems, and some that acknowledges the limitations of some popular change methodologies (Stace & Dunphy, 2001). Many existing change strategies ignore the complexity of real life. In particular, the effect of time, process, discontinuity and context dynamics may be considered relevant in any change effort. Furthermore, where more than one change is being addressed at any one point in time, the effect of those changes may be greater than the sum of the changed parts (Pettigrew et al., 2001). The use of the Newtonian approach to organisational change efforts could be one reason why most change efforts in organisations fail (Wheatley, 1999). Beyond the bounds of individual organisations, some researchers have attempted to apply complex systems thinking to industries rather than companies. There are four types of complex systems that marketers have applied to model social systems: deterministic chaos, self-ordering systems, complex adaptive systems and flip-flop systems (Wollin et al., 2002). In a system of deterministic chaos, Wollin et.al. argue that the forces of stability and instability work against each other and sometimes the system can explode or become unpredictable. These systems usually _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 49 _____________________________________________________________________ have a relatively small number of variables. It can be argued that most social systems have large numbers of variables and are more complex than deterministic chaos (Wollin et al., 2002). Self-ordering systems emerge from apparent disorder through spontaneous communication that leads to spontaneous cooperation and concerted behaviour. Small differences or the micro-behaviour of some individual elements cause unexpected results because not all rules or parameters are fully known. Minor changes may result in very different patterns, because individual elements may affect system outcomes (Wollin et al., 2002). There is not always a clear distinction between self-ordering systems and complex adaptive systems however dissipative structures are a form of self-ordering or self-organising systems. Woollin et.al. (2002) propose that complex adaptive systems assume that adaptation is possible. Order emerges from collective and individual interactions rather than being imposed externally. Complex adaptive systems exhibit a multi-level architecture or structuring of rules of interaction. What this means is that complex adaptive systems are relatively stable at deep levels except when fundamental levels are changed and the whole systems is ‘punctuated’ from its equilibrium (Wollin et al., 2002). A flip-flop system is paradoxical because at its extreme of perfectly average behaviour the system does not change when challenged, however, at anything less than this extreme if can flip from one partial equilibrium to another, typified as a punctuated equilibrium (Wollin et al., 2002). The closer a complex adaptive system is to behaving in a perfectly average manner, the more likely this form of discontinuous change will occur. Similarly, the closer a complex adaptive system is to perfectly non-average behaviour, the more it approaches a chaotic or random system. A flipflop system can be treated as a sub-set of complex adaptive systems (Wollin et al., 2002). Marketers have asked the question, ‘can complex adaptive systems help marketers understand markets that have exchanges linked or contingent with each other, and so better manage in their markets?’ This question is similar in some respects to research question 1. In attempting to answer this question Wollin et al. found that many researchers have avoided complex adaptive systems because it deals with a level of abstraction that may be too high for marketers within an individual firm (Wollin et al., 2002). They also proposed that the complex adaptive system is the most useful type for explaining a market because it is an open dynamic system, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 50 _____________________________________________________________________ with a multi-level architecture of order. The market has four dimensions that make it a complex adaptive system: it has micro-diversity, or small differences between markets and firms; there is partial path-dependency with linked processes over time; there are some non-average outcomes where average behaviour does not always swamp or lock out individual firms or marketers; and the rules of interaction between firms and marketers can change (Wollin et al., 2002). Wollin et al., considered the four propositions with reference to marketers in Honda. Agents within a system will show minor differences. These will occur at all levels. This variety within the system matches the degree of uncertainty in the external environment. Path-dependency has meant that some courses of action are considered totally inappropriate; however returning to previous states is not an option. The success or failure of the system is decided not just by that system but also by the success or failure of the web it belongs to (Wollin et al., 2002). Rules of engagement with other agents in the system can change, although most will remain the same, however, feedback from positive and negative feedback loops must be recognised and understood. Finally, it is difficult to control and predict outcomes in a complex adaptive system. Some research in complex adaptive systems has proposed how to manage an organisation as a complex adaptive system. Zimmerman, Lindberg and Plsek (1998) proposed nine principles for use by managers: View your system through the lens of complex adaptive systems. Build a good-enough vision. When life is far from certain, lead with clockware and swarmware in tandem. Tune your place on the edge. Uncover and work with paradox and tension. Go for multiple actions at the fringes, let direction arise. Listen to the shadow system. Grow complex systems by chunking. Mix cooperation with competition (Zimmerman, Lindberg, & Plsek, 1998). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 51 _____________________________________________________________________ The first principle advocates having managers and leaders move away from using the popular machine or military metaphor for organisations to using the complex systems metaphor. These machine and military metaphors ignore the individuality of agents and the effects of interaction among agents. Of greater concern is that they assume that all this can be tightly controlled through better (ie more) specification (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Managers and leaders must learn to be flexible and adaptable if their strategies are to be sustainable. Zimmerman et.al. suggest that as there is interaction among agents in complex systems, and since the detailed behaviour of a system is fundamentally unpredictable, the second principle proposes that it does little good to spend much time in detailed planning. In complex adaptive systems it is better to set minimum specifications and a general sense of direction, and then allow appropriate autonomy for individuals to self-organise and adapt as time goes by. Under common situations, leaders and managers tend to over-specify things when designing or planning new activities in organisations. If managers and leaders use the machine metaphor this is appropriate since machines cannot think for themselves. In complex systems, however, minimum specifications and purposeful variation is a more prudent course. Clockware, Zimmerman et.al. suggests, describes the management processes that are most common and involve operating the core production processes of the organisation in a manner that is rational, planned, standardised, repeatable, controlled and measured. Swarmware, on the other hand, refers to management processes that explore new possibilities through experimentation, trials, autonomy, freedom, intuition and working at the edge of knowledge and experience (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Swarmware is needed in situations for which the traditional clockware processes are no longer adequate for accomplishing the purpose, in situations for which the purpose has changed, or in situations in which creativity is desirable for its own sake. ‘Tuning your place to the edge’ is about: fostering the 'right' degree of information flow, diversity and difference; connections inside and outside the organisation; power differential and anxiety; forcing engagement instead of controlling information; dealing separately with contentious groups; working systematically down all the layers of the hierarchy in sequence and seeking comfort (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Creative self-organisation occurs when there is just _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 52 _____________________________________________________________________ enough information flow, diversity, connectivity, power differential and anxiety among the agents. Too much of any of these can lead to chaotic system behaviour; too little and the system remains stuck in a pattern of behaviour. The trick, Zimmerman et.al. suggest, is to gauge the right amount. Most contemporary organisations have too little information flow and diversity and too much power differential. Good leaders in a complex adaptive system lead not by telling people what to do, but by being open to experimentation, followed by thoughtful and honest reflection on what happens. To uncover and work with paradox and tension, leaders and managers need to accept that unusual events will occur. These will only appear unusual because managers do not yet have a way to understand it. Creativity and innovation have the best chance to emerge precisely at the point of greatest tension and apparent irreconcilable differences. Leaders and managers therefore need to let these points of tension and irreconcilable difference develop, rather than seeing them as aberrations of the system and smoothing them over. Leaders and managers need to be prepared to challenge sacred cows and be prepared to put the organisation at the edge of chaos, where it can begin to reveal the hidden assumptions. The sixth principle is about never knowing exactly what will happen with a decision until it is made. Having multiple approaches to issues that are far from the zone of certainty and agreement is therefore relevant and allows flexibility. Researchers have clearly demonstrated how populations of organisms that are learning (that is, exploring their fitness possibilities by changing behaviour) evolve faster than populations that are not learning. Traditional managerial instinct to reach consensus may be equivalent to inbreeding in a gene pool. A preferred approach is to try several small experiments, reflect carefully on what happens and gradually shift time and attention toward those things that seem to be working best (that is, let direction arise). Stacey (1992) suggests that management is responsible for creating the conditions that are favourable for change to occur (Stacey, 1992). These multiple actions at the fringes also serve the purpose of providing additional insights about the larger systems within which every system is inevitably buried (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Successful experiments can go a long way in creating a foothold in a new reality. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 53 _____________________________________________________________________ Zimmerman et.al.’s seventh principle, listening to the shadow system, is about the shadow organisation that lies behind the formal facade of an organisation. The shadow system has few rules and constraints and consists of hallway conversation, the grapevine, the rumour mill and the informal procedures for getting things done. Because the shadow system harbours such diversity of thought and approach, it is often the place where much of the creativity resides within an organisation. The shadow system is just a natural part of the larger system. It simply has more and often stronger interconnections than those in the legitimate system. Snowden (2002) notes that these informal systems and networks offer the organisation a competitive advantage in terms of adaptation. The eighth principle, that to grow complex systems you must use chunking, is because complex systems are complex and are not easily understood or built in detail from the ground up. Chunking means that a good approach to building complex systems is to start small and experiment to get pieces that work, and then link these pieces together. Of course, when the links are made, the new interconnections may bring about unpredicted, emerging behaviours. This is the principle on which genetic evolution proceeds. Continual reflection and learning are key in building complex systems, however reflection cannot occur until action is taken, therefore action is required. The only way to make a complex system that works is to begin with a simple system that works (Zimmerman et al., 1998). The last principle, mixing cooperation with competition, comes from natural and biological systems studies. This has been described as the 'tit-for-tat' strategy (Zimmerman et al., 1998). In complex systems agents tend to cooperate when they receive cooperation in return. When cooperation is not reciprocated they can act ‘tough’ and punish other agents, however when other agents cooperate again, they have the tendency to ‘forgive’. Under this strategy it is also possible for agents to be clear about one another’s likely behaviour in response to their own behaviour (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Notwithstanding the apparent utility of the above principles, there is no evidence to suggest that they make a difference. Lissack (2001) however, suggests that some organisations are embracing some of complex systems thinking and this appears to be working (Lissack, 2001). The longer employees and managers work at developing a vocabulary to speak of the complexity they observe, the deeper the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 54 _____________________________________________________________________ patterns, the words and the metaphors are embedded in their minds. The new metaphors become intuitively “true” representations of reality for the people involved (Lissack, 2001). Other researchers have suggested ways of managing in the ‘zone of complexity’ including: ‘garbage can decision making, brainstorming and dialectical enquiry, intuition and muddling through, search for error, unprogrammable decision making, identification development and selection, and lastly, agenda building.’(Stacey, 2001, p 4) Some researchers have suggested that managers must use multiple ontologies when attempting to understand organisations as one ontology will not necessarily work in all situations (Snowden, 2005). Further, what is an acceptable management approach when using one ontology may be a totally inappropriate approach when using another. Returning then to Doolittle’s model (Doolittle, 2002), where he outlines six principles of complex systems, and holding other research up against these principles, it is evident that there is considerable consistency in the literature. The theme of nonlinearity is recurring, as is the condition of complex systems being far from equilibrium. The description and behaviour of dissipative structures is also consistent with Doolittle’s first principle in that organisations exist in far from equilibrium states. This is because complex systems are open to their environment, and receive energy from the environment. Boundary conditions of complex systems and their being environmentally dependent with a degree of interchange between organism and environment is consistently mentioned by writers in discussing complex systems. A consistent theme is that the organism can reorganise itself to better deal with the environment based on information from that environment. As the environment is dynamic and always in a state of flux, an agent’s fitness also remains in a state of flux. The flow and use of information is essential in such complex systems. How information from the environment is used by the system is through models or schemas that are based on the experience that the system has had with the environment, particularly regularities in that information. Agents function through internal models and schemas, or as some have called them, mental models. Research in complexity modelling and military research has shown that agent’s can learn and _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 55 _____________________________________________________________________ develop intuition, which is based on experience. Culture is a name that has been given to social systems’ internal models and schemas. The culture of an organisation ‘is the emergence of pattern in the form of habits. What we call culture is that aspect of our emergent interaction that is iterated as continuity. (Stacey, 2003)’ Numerous agents or elements within systems interact and self-organise at a higher systems level and show emergent and adaptive properties not exhibited by individual agents. These agents act both within the system and between the system and the environment. These factors are consistent with Doolittle’s fourth principle. Agents interact among themselves to create different structures. This active construction or self-organisation is not inconsistent with experimentation to explore what model or schema may work best to cope with the changing environment. In particular, this metaphor has been used successfully in describing the behaviour of individual firms within a global industry. The internal models and schemas used by agents are created by both their interaction with other agents and the existing models and schemas which are based on experience. Doolittle provides a practical model that provides some understanding of why organisations behave in the way they do. Other models suggest actions or results that may be consistent with complex systems behaviour but stop short of explaining why they might be useful. Further, most if not all of what other writers have said is captured in some way in Doolittle’s model of six overlapping concepts. Doolittle’s model is therefore considered the most legitimate and appropriate to use for my research, since I am working with organisational consultants who have a good understanding of organisational behaviour. Having said that, the eight postulates proposed by Brodnick and Krafft (1997) provide a useful list of what may be seen as outcomes of organisations that behave as complex systems and may prove useful in describing to management consultants what may be seen as outcomes of complex systems behaviour. We can therefore see that complex adaptive systems have applications in social and organisational settings. The major point that we can draw from this discussion is that researchers have used the complex systems metaphor in an attempt to understand, or, at least, describe organisational behaviour. This is relevant to my _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 56 _____________________________________________________________________ research because I will be attempting to determine whether complex systems thinking can provide a practical tool to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation. This completes the analysis of the existing literature in terms of its application and relevance to the research questions. What it falls for me to do next is to illustrate the gaps that there are between what has been done in the past. Gaps in published research This section outlines where there are gaps in the published research, and specifically gaps that can be addressed through my research. The section will show how although Doolittle’s six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems may offer a useful construct for understanding organisational behaviour from a complex systems perspective, this does not appear to have been tested through any empirical study. Unfortunately, as Lissack (2001) states, much of the work on organisations that are attempting to use complex systems thinking has been descriptive and does not necessarily offer examples that can be used in practical ways or reaching practical conclusions (Lissack, 2001). Various writers, such as Wheatley, have merely pointed out areas for further inquiry after drawing comparisons between complex systems theory and organisations. There is some disagreement between writers in the application of complex systems thinking to organisations. This disagreement, rather than stemming from fundamental differences in the utility of complex systems thinking to organisational understanding, appears to be a result of the primary academic discipline of the writer. For example, the discussion on how information is used within organisations is dealt differently depending on the context of the writer. There has been considerable work conducted on providing useful ways of differentiating systems (Gharajedaghi, 1999) but this does not seem to have been applied or tested in an organisational context either through examining cases or primary research. Research into the applicability of complex adaptive systems in organisations has been largely limited to interpretation of events in organisations couched in complex adaptive systems terms. For example, Bergmann Lichtenstein (2000b) describes some organisational change events in complex adaptive systems _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 57 _____________________________________________________________________ terms, but admits that emerging applications of chaos theory, which argue that change is inherently unpredictable, have not yet been carefully tested in organisational settings (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000b). Whereas Zimmerman et.al. provide ten ideas that can be applied in a work context to assist in thinking of organisations as complex systems, their use appears to offer no rationale as to why a practicing manager would apply the ideas. Brodnick and Krafft have provided eight postulates that explain organisational phenomenon in complex systems terms, but again offer no reason for why these phenomenon occur. Doolittle’s six overlapping concepts, however, allow the user to develop an understanding of complex systems behaviour. Much of the previous research had been theoretical and few researchers have attempted to do more than observe some behaviours in organisations. There appears to have been no specific research into explaining particular behaviour in organisations. Thus the research question: “Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation?” has not been answered in general or specific terms and begs further research. Conclusion The aim of the chapter was to consider existing research and literature that informs the research question: “Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation?” The literature was grouped into various sections that moved from the general literature on complex adaptive systems to the more specific area of complex adaptive systems and organisational understanding. The chapter has examined some of the existing research into firstly the complexity sciences and secondly various attempts to apply them to organisational understanding. We have seen that research into complex adaptive systems is wide ranging, from being highly scientific, to more general. In some of these research areas, particularly genetics and DNA research, the link to their application in social organisations is not always immediately discernible. In more general research aspects such as the behaviour of dissipative processes and the use of information from the environment, strike a chord with how organisations have been seen to behave. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 58 _____________________________________________________________________ The major gap in examining much of the literature is that no empirical study has been conducted. Either descriptive efforts have been made to explain what has happened in complex systems terms or suggestions for further examination have been made. Many writers approach the application of the complexity sciences to organisational behaviour but few venture into empirical research. For example, Malone and Laubacher make assumptions about the future of organisations in an information age, James discusses challenges for different types of managers in the future, and Bergmann discusses research previously conducted by Schon. After reviewing the relevant literature, it appears there has been little effort to research organisational understanding within independent organisations. This is what this report will address. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 59 _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 3 – METHODOLOGY Introduction Now that Chapter 2 has provided a contextual background to complex adaptive systems and how it relates to organisational understanding, Chapter 3 will discuss the research methodology that will be used in this research. Whereas Chapter 2 has unearthed some research issues, this chapter will focus on the data collection required to address these issues (Perry, 1998). This chapter will be presented in eight sections, commencing with this introduction and then moving on to the selection and justification for employing action research as the research methodology. The unit of analysis and cycle design will then be covered, before moving on to discuss the design of the focus group and the collection of the data. How the data will be analysed will be described before ethical considerations and limitations are addressed. Some aspects of the research gathering process will be included in appendices to the chapter, as recommended by Perry (Perry, 1998). The structure of the chapter is shown diagrammatically below. Introduction Conclusion Selection and justification of action research Ethical considerations Unit of analysis Design of focus group Analysis of data Collection of data Figure 3 – Diagrammatical Structure of Chapter 3 The research seeks to examine organisational understanding from the perspective of complex adaptive systems. Although there has been significant research into the theoretical aspects of this topic as shown in Chapter 2, there are few empirical studies that consider the application of the theory to organisational understanding. In an effort to take this further, this research is designed to examine whether using the generative metaphor of complex adaptive systems will assist in organisational understanding. The first research question, introduced in Chapter 1, is central to the main theme of this report. It is the largest question to be addressed and will have a multi_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 60 _____________________________________________________________________ faceted answer. The answer will include a number of aspects of how complex adaptive systems assists, or does not assist, in understanding organisations. The first research question is: Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation? The second research question focuses on the practical application of a tool or tools that assist in organisational understanding. It seeks to test, at the conceptual level, the practicality of a complex adaptive systems tool that will assist organisational understanding in the organisation. The second research question is: If it is possible to produce a practical tool, does it work? This chapter will show that action research is the most appropriate research methodology to use in answering these research questions. The first section on Selection and justification of action research will demonstrate that, for the research questions I have developed, action research is the most appropriate research methodology. The section on Unit of analysis will show how the research situation was chosen, the period of time over which the research was conducted, and the six cycles conducted. The next section will show the format of the focus group workshop and the format for the conduct of the focus groups over the six cycles. The Collection of data will then be explained from both a process and a content perspective. How the analysis of the data will be conducted is then explained before addressing ethical considerations. A conclusion will follow to complete the chapter. Selection and justification of action research This section will firstly consider the topic of research and its relevance to the Air Force in particular, and to the contemporary business environment in general. It will then move on to explain why action research was selected as the most appropriate methodology for addressing the two research questions. The section will then explain how action research works as a valid research methodology and how it can address the research questions. The purpose of this study is to attempt to show that by applying aspects of complex adaptive systems to the work conducted by internal management consultants they will better understand their client’s organisations. If better organisational _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 61 _____________________________________________________________________ understanding is achieved then there is a greater possibility that their client will be assisted. This is important for Air Force due to the amount and extent of change that is occurring in the organisation. In general, change appears to be the only constant in most organisations in the current environment. There is an ongoing challenge to find useful ways of describing organisational behaviour in the Air Force. There is also a concern that by changing one part of an organisation’s system may result in a negative impact on another part. This research aims to examine a different context for attempting to understand organisational behaviour; that of using the generative metaphor of complex adaptive systems. For an organisational understanding model to have practical application, however, an understanding of a ‘real’ organisation must be demonstrated. In this respect, I have had first-hand experience of the internal management consulting in the Air Force and the research is carried out within this organisation. The research that is conducted should not only go a long way to better explaining organisational understanding in the Air Force in the first instance, but also provide a useful lens through which to examine organisational understanding in other organisations. Indeed, leadership of change is an important issue, particularly in a military organisation. Now, and in the future, organisational leaders will be required to learn how to facilitate, or lead, change through drawing on the combined knowledge, learning, and support of their subordinates. In this regard, change in the future will require a higher level of participation and action by personnel within an organisation. Indeed there is no higher priority for a sustainable future than for an organisation to design pervasive strategies to support ‘learning to learn’ (Zuber-Skerritt, 1991). There is therefore a need to answer the research questions posed now, if the Air Force is to be effective in the future. Due to the nature of the research problem and the research questions, an interpretive and qualitative research paradigm is required. Sankaran (2001) states that qualitative research has a number of characteristics which include: a focus on interpretation rather than quantification; an emphasis on subjectivity rather than objectivity; flexibility in the process of conducting research; an orientation towards process rather than outcome; a concern with context regarding behaviour and situation as inextricably linked in forming experience; and finally, an explicit recognition of the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 62 _____________________________________________________________________ impact of the research process on the research situation (Sankaran, 2001). As the research questions I am posing do not seek a quantitative answer, it is not appropriate to use a quantitative research process. Traditionally, it is held that research processes have three main components: ontology, a theory of being or a view of things ‘as they are’; epistemology, a theory of knowledge, including a theory of how knowledge is acquired; and methodology, theory of how research is conducted (McNiff et al., 2000). Further, most scientific research processes can also be categorised into one of four major research paradigms: positivism, constructivism, critical theory, and realism. In the positivist paradigm the researcher is required to act in a value-free way to empirically test aspects of a single external reality. This is done through establishing cause-effect relationships and uses quantitative techniques to verify assumptions. Constructivism posits that truth is subjective and based on perceptions of reality. In this paradigm, the researcher becomes an active participant and research subjects use their experiences to form the substance of the research while the researcher assists in the process. Critical theory suggests that social realities are based on historically situated structures and the focus of research is on the analysis of social transformation. In critical theory research the researcher and the object being researched are linked, with the researcher influencing inquiry through his or her values. The main research tool is the interpretive capacity of the researcher. Realism, or post positivism, assumes realities are assumed to be real and external and is concerned with the real world as it actually exists, however it is so complex that only parts of it can be observed. Several perceptions of reality are required to seek a relativistic and shared understanding of phenomena. Critical theory is suitable for the research being considered here, as the researcher must work closely with the subject group before writing up a public report, or thesis, to reflect the experience of the process. Whereas empirical research aims to test a hypothesis by demonstrating a cause-and-effect relationship between events, interpretive research aims to produce descriptions of what is happening in a particular set of circumstances. Action research aims to find ways of improving social situations by improving personal understanding in order to take appropriate action (McNiff et al., 2000). The research paradigm of realism is also appropriate for the conduct of action research because it deals with the real world as it actually exists. Under this paradigm, a relativistic and shared understanding of phenomena is desired and data _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 63 _____________________________________________________________________ collection methods of focus groups can be used to achieve this. The research to be conducted here is attempting to understand a complex, real-world situation that is context-dependent. It will involve focus groups with people who are knowledgeable in a particular area of endeavour. For that reason case study research or action research must be considered as the prime research methodology. Another research approach to address the research questions was initially considered; that of embedded case studies. Indeed, it was contemplated to the extent that a pilot interview case was conducted. The case study methodology is often used to investigate a contemporary phenomenon within its real-life context, when the boundaries between phenomenon and context are not clearly evident, and where multiple sources of evidence are used (Yin, 1989). The pilot interview ultimately constituted exploratory research and was conducted to clarify any ambiguous problems (Zikmund 2000). Lessons were learned from the pilot interview, both in terms of research design and also field procedures (Yin, 1989). The embedded case study methodology was ultimately dropped and will be discussed next. An interview protocol and script were developed prior to the interview, and, with the permission of the interviewee, the interview was audio taped. My supervisor and I reviewed the tape of the pilot interview with a senior Air Force leader. My supervisor and I became convinced that this form of data collection was unlikely to produce the data that I was seeking to examine. The prime reason for this was that I was inferring the utility of complex adaptive systems attributes in understanding organisational behaviour rather than stating them as attributes. Unless I did this, my findings could be criticised as applying to any one of many management theories. The reason that this was not done originally was the limited time available to interview senior people. The process of confronting the interview subject about the attributes of complex adaptive systems and then to get their view of its utility would take too long as I would need to get the respondents to say what aspects of complex adaptive systems they found most useful, and were willing to try using. To avoid this I would need to ‘educate’ the respondents about complex adaptive systems before asking them the questions and would make the interview process too long. The conduct of the initial pilot study, it could be argued, was, in essence, the first rudimentary cycle in my action research methodology. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 64 _____________________________________________________________________ What I decided was that in order to minimise the time to collect the relevant data, I would need a sample that was knowledgeable about organisations and working within them. This would make the educative aspect of the process more efficient. For that reason the decision was made to use action research as the research methodology and to use members of the Management Services Agency as members of the focus groups. Members of the Agency are knowledgeable in management consulting matters and able to comment on the utility of attributes of complex adaptive systems to organisational understanding. They may also find the educative process of use in their work. Due to the educative aspect of the process I could not use testing methodologies, for example quantitative methods or surveying. One of the emergent factors from my literature review into complex adaptive systems and the behaviour of complex adaptive systems was that the process of action research lends itself to the use of this metaphor. For example, ‘being open to experimentation followed by thoughtful and honest reflection on what happens’ is all about action research (Zimmerman et al., 1998). Furthermore, there was a need to use a research methodology that was responsive, which is what action research provides (Dick, 1993). In terms of my subject group, internal management consultants, it has been argued that action research lends itself to people who work as agents of change, as they can use it as part of their normal activities (Dick, 1993). Other research approaches, such as positivism, gain their control, standardisation, and objectivity through the use of numerical and statistical procedures. This, however, sacrifices flexibility during a given experiment and a loss of effectiveness and outcomes as a result. Action research is the relevant research methodology where responsiveness is required. The experience of the exploratory research indicated that, due to the nature of the material under discussion, it was essential that I be involved, and actively participated in the action research process. This has been found by other researchers (Sankaran, 2001). The action research methodology permits change as further information is gathered so that the final outcome provides maximum use to the workplace. It is what allows the researcher to improve both action and research outcomes through a process of iteration (Dick, 1993; Sankaran, 2001). Action research regards practice as a creative, adaptive _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 65 _____________________________________________________________________ process of responding in a thoughtful way to personal-social situations (McNiff et al., 2000). As is the case with numerical methodologies, the repeated cycles of action research allows the researcher to converge on an appropriate conclusion. Conventional research sacrifices responsiveness in the interests of achieving replicability. Action research values responsiveness over replicability, because otherwise it is very difficult to achieve action as part of the research (Dick, 1993). The positive aspects of using action research within an Air Force setting is that my results are specifically useful to Air Force. New action-oriented epistemologies use a dialectical form of logic that resists closure. It is a logic of question and answer, to-and-fro, where a solution always contains a new problematic, where an end state is always a new beginning (McNiff et al., 2000). The research element of action research requires the researcher to observe and monitor their actions and to reflect on them. Monitoring and reflecting on practice generates a theory. Because the theory is the property of an individual practitioner it constitutes a personal theory of practice. When a practitioner considers the knowledge base of their work, and how they came to that knowledge, they are generating their own epistemology of practice (McNiff et al., 2000). The research element of action research provides a disciplined framework for helping people make sense of their own learning. We monitor our actions, we reflect on them (and learn), and we use our new learning to inform future action (McNiff et al., 2000). There are three approaches to action research which differ in their ontological assumptions and political aims. These constitute three action research paradigms, which reflect the influence of wider paradigms discussed earlier. These three paradigms are: interpretive, critical, and living theory (McNiff et al., 2000). They are discussed in the table below. Paradigms Interpretive Aspects of Approach • • • Encourages interventions in the workplace by managers and consultants etc. Aims to observe, describe and explain the research of those whom they are supporting or otherwise mentoring There are degrees of involvement in the research by the “external” researcher, and degrees of involvement in the relationship between the external researcher and research participants _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 66 _____________________________________________________________________ • • Sometimes the external researcher monitors their own relationship with others; sometimes not This approach often appears as a form of process management Critical • Encourages participants to become aware of , and work to overcome, the forces of domination and control that influence and potentially distort their work practices Living Theory • Encourages individuals to clarify the values base of their work, and try to live up to their values in practice, recognising that this inevitably gives rise to contradictions Table 1 - adapted from (McNiff et al., 2000) In the research for this report the interpretive paradigm is relevant for the work with MSA teams. At a personal level, the research process is within the critical and living theory paradigms. Key elements of the action research process applied include; ‘I, the researcher, am central to the process; I identify an aspect that I want to improve; I imagine a way forward; I try it out and take stock of what happens; I modify my plan in light of what I found and continue with the action; the process is participative; and, the process is educational (McNiff et al., 2000)’. The action research methodology lends itself to research within complex and dynamic systems (Dick, 1993; McNiff et al., 2000). As organisations are complex social systems and also dynamic systems, an appropriate research method was required. Using the methodology itself requires action on the part of the researcher. Practitioner action research has created its own knowledge base and established itself as a legitimate research tradition (McNiff et al., 2000). As Dick (1993) states, under action research the research question and methodology are likely to be fuzzy at the beginning. This means that you are likely to get an initial fuzzy answer. Your fuzzy answer needs to allow you to refine both questions and methods, so that you can eventually converge towards precision. As such I needed to demonstrate flexibility in my approach to the research, not only in the initial phases of deciding upon an appropriate research methodology, but also during the data collection process. For example, I did not know what response I was going to get to my ideas and expected that I would need to change my approach to the focus group structure and process during the research process to make it more useful to myself, to the research subject and to the participants. While the data collection _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 67 _____________________________________________________________________ technique of convergent interviewing (Dick, 1998a) was considered as a way of collecting data, due to my work situation and time limitations, focus groups were considered the most effective way for collecting data. My intention was to experience change, through the use of discussing complex adaptive systems with six different management consulting teams. Due to the fact that I was unsure about exactly what I would find, a more flexible approach to case studies was required. The approach required a high level of participation and discussion. For this reason, and others stated above, action research was chosen as the most appropriate research methodology for this research. Quality of research is usually judged on five criteria: construct validity, objectivity, internal validity, external validity, and reliability. In action research, construct validity can be enhanced by using multiple sources of data during data collection, demonstrating a chain of evidence for data, and providing data providers with the opportunity to review their input. By conducting six action research cycles using a standard tool, multiple data sources were exploited. Furthermore, the capturing of data on butchers paper during the focus group process permitted participants to review their input as it was collected and afforded the opportunity for them to correct misinterpretations. Objectivity requires that research findings are logical, unprejudiced and unbiased. The use of multiple sources of evidence and documented measures and procedures were used in collecting the data for this research in an effort to demonstrate neutrality and confirmability of data. Furthermore, triangulation will occur through having a participant from the cycle 1 focus group act as an observer in the sixth focus group and take notes on the difference observed between the first cycle and the sixth cycle. Internal validity is about reducing any characteristics that may result in error and bias in the research results. Triangulation of data research methods was used to improve internal validity by the use of an interview and six focus groups. Using this number of data collection activities encouraged convergent lines of inquiry. Further, as mentioned above, confirmation of research findings and data collected by focus group participants occurred as it was collected. A chain of evidence during data collection was used to increase internal validity. All data collected were saved and transcribed and appear in appendices C through F. With internal validity one has to _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 68 _____________________________________________________________________ ensure that the causative relationship one is trying to prove (that using concepts of complex adaptive systems will assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation) is in fact proved (Yin, 1989). External validity and reliability issues were addressed so that my research findings could be generalised to more global situations. External validity relates to whether the causal relationships measured in the research can be generalised to and across different times, outside persons, settings and times (Zikmund, 2000). Although action research is almost impossible to replicate due to the researcher being part of the research process, if strict procedural methods are adhered to the research should be well judged. In an attempt to minimise the possibility of external validity and reliability issues, a robust research design was applied and a formal post-data collection analysis method was used. It must be noted, however, that the number of people involved in the focus groups does not constitute a statistically significant population in terms of the total Air Force population. Action research methodology has the dual aims of action and research; action to bring about change is something, and research to increase understanding on the part of the researcher or the client, or both (Dick, 1993). The process of action research, at its simplest level, is cyclical or spiral, and includes some planning before taking action, and critiquing or reviewing the outcome of the action. This process is repeated a number of cycles. Both the data collected and the process that is used to do so are part of the spiral or cyclical process. The research becomes a process of iteration where you gradually refine your understanding of the situation you are studying (Dick, 1993). The action research process has been described as a systematic way of identifying and solving problems through a spiral of action research cycles, each consisting of a plan, action, observation and critical reflection (Zuber-Skerritt, 1991). One of the key principles of action research is to let the data decide. At each step, the information collected so far is used to determine the next step (Dick, 1993). The reflective aspect of action research is a particularly effective way for practitioners to learn, especially where there is deliberate and conscious reflection and sceptical challenging of interpretations (Dick, 1993). Action research thereby generates practical theory and is generally undertaken by people who want to improve their understanding of their practice in order to improve their dealings with others in social situations (McNiff et al., 2000). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 69 _____________________________________________________________________ At all times during the action research process, it is important to try to work with multiple information sources, preferably independently or partly independently. There are ways in which the researcher can use the similarities and differences between data sources to increase the accuracy of the information. This might be call dialectic; it is similar to what is often called triangulation in research (Dick, 1993). Using different Management Services teams for different cycles is my way of using multiple information sources. Although they work within the one general setting, the Air Force, they serve different clients in different States, on different work. During the action research phase the researcher is expected to describe clearly both the research and the procedure. The researcher will then carry out an analysis and evaluation of the results of his actions, both content and process, in light of the literature review. The reflection element of the action research process would see the researcher analyse the reflections gathered during the project (Sankaran, 2001). It is an important feature of this approach that my later focus groups differ from earlier focus groups. This will provide the opportunity to be suspicious of my emerging interpretation, and to refine my method and my focus group structure. The purpose of action research is to learn from the experience, and apply that learning to bringing about change. The first step in action research is being deliberate and intentional about the process you are commencing. You must apply the principle of intend, act and review. Intend means to decide what outcomes you wish to achieve, and what actions will give you those outcomes. The next step is to act in accordance with your predetermined plan. The third step is to review what happened and decide whether or not the intended outcomes were achieved. In either case you must decide whether those outcomes are useful for your research. This is more fully explained later under collection of data. Action research has been identified as the most appropriate method of developing managerial competencies needed in the future to adapt to rapid change (Zuber-Skerritt, 1991). It is appropriate to use in situations where there is a high level of uncertainty. Action research, as a research methodology, lends itself to the study of complex issues. For that reason, it is a relevant method to address whether a practical _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 70 _____________________________________________________________________ tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems can be developed that allows members of organisations to better understand their organisations. There is no doubt, after reviewing Chapter 2, that complex adaptive systems are challenging to understand, both from a practitioner’s point of view and from a researcher’s point of view. The flexibility offered by action research is essential as the researcher will be learning by doing for a large part of the research process. The detail of how the research will be conducted and what is involved in applying it is covered in the remainder of this chapter. This section has shown that the research topic is justified in terms of its importance at this time, particularly for Air Force, but also for other organisations. Reviewing the research questions with respect to available research methodologies allowed the possible range of methodologies to be reduced. While originally the research methodology of embedded case studies was considered to the extent that a pilot interview with a senior Air Force officer was conducted, problems were identified with this approach which led the way to adopting action research as the methodology and using the Management Services Teams as research subjects because of their management consulting experience. The attributes of using action research, particularly in the current situation, were discussed, before considering some of the aspects of sound research. Finally, how action research is conducted was discussed. Unit of analysis This section will explain the research setting and the number of people involved in the research. It will discuss the timeframe over which the research was conducted and the strengths and weaknesses of using this unit of analysis. The setting for my research is the Air Force, as explained in Chapter 1. Within the Air Force, the Management Services Agency conducts internal management consultancies for senior clients including commanders of the Air Force’s Force Element Groups (FEGs). They assist commanders to lead change and improve organisational performance using a variety of business improvement tools and strategies. As such Management Services Agency personnel have an intimate understanding of organisational issues across the Air Force. Agency personnel are distributed around Australia in six, geographically dispersed, teams. This afforded the opportunity to conduct six action research cycles, using focus groups, with six _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 71 _____________________________________________________________________ different, but similar, groups of people. Each focus group examined Doolittle’s six concepts of complex adaptive systems and discussed their usefulness, or otherwise, in understanding organisations. A total of 24 people were involved in the focus groups. I conducted the initial focus group with the ACT team at the Management Services Agency Headquarters in Canberra before commencing the series of another 5 cycles of action research with the other teams. The first focus group determined how much my focus group design and content required change. A structured focus group should be used with critical preparation and reflection before and after each cycle. Therefore, to meet the needs of action research I wrote an account of the first focus group so that I have the basis of my first action research cycle. I assumed that there would be at least some amendments to the focus group design required after the first focus group. As Director of the Management Services Agency, I visit each of my teams at the commencement of each calendar year which mean that I had easy access to team members. The purpose of this visit is to meet the FEG commanders my consultants assist and to listen to my people’s issues. The visit at the beginning of 2003 provided an ideal opportunity to conduct the six focus groups. The order of conducting the focus groups was purely a function of the visit schedule except for the first cycle, which was conducted with the ACT team. This focus group was conducted first so that any major failures in content or process would be uncovered and addressed. There was sufficient time between team visits to reflect on the process and content and amend the focus group format. In total, six cycles were conducted, plus an initial interview with a senior Air Force officer. By the end of the six cycles, there appeared to be less new comment and suggestions such that it was considered unlikely whether there would have been any benefit, in data terms, in conducting further cycles with other people. The focus group design consisted of a 1 to 2-hour intervention focus group based on complex adaptive systems to determine whether the concepts of complex adaptive systems assists with understanding organisations. For ease of communication, the term complexity theory was used interchangeably with the term complex adaptive systems. The focus group consisted of four sessions: _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 72 _____________________________________________________________________ 1. an introduction/explanation of the workshop and its parts, 2. a presentation on the concepts of complex adaptive systems (from Doolittle) through the use of a Microsoft PowerPoint presentation, 3. a focus group session to determine participant’s views of the usefulness of the concepts of complex adaptive systems in understanding organisations, and 4. a feedback session on the first two sessions in terms of process and content and possible improvements for the next focus group. One of the strengths of using Management Services Agency consultants is that all people involved are highly trained and very experienced management consultants, trained facilitators and enthusiastic practitioners. While this may be considered a strength in terms of each participant’s likelihood of understanding the challenging aspects of complex adaptive systems, in a general sense it may be that people with less management experience find aspects of complex adaptive systems more challenging. Having said that, the feedback provided by this unit of analysis should be useful in tailoring an application for a wider audience. During the focus group I stated that I would not be trying to prove whether the concepts of complex adaptive systems are right or wrong, or the correct number, but rather to identify the best way to apply them to organisational settings in the Air Force. Furthermore, I stated that I was not going to apply or test complex adaptive systems. While these may be seen as limitations to the utility of my research, given the timeframe for conducting the research and the nature of the research questions, they provided an ample background for the focus group participants. In the closing part of the focus group, which was designed to facilitate content and process feedback, the fundamental content question was; ‘Which of Doolittle’s concepts of complex adaptive systems did you find the most useful in terms of understanding organisations?’ It was important to get complex adaptive systems content from the focus group section of the intervention so that it could be used in model development and for the next cycle. My intention was to collect participants’ views on butcher’s paper. In terms of focus group process the final session sought participants’ views on possible changes to the focus group process for the next focus group cycle. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 73 _____________________________________________________________________ The initial interview with a senior Air Force officer, plus the six focus groups was considered to be sufficient to provide the data to support or refute the research questions. In conclusion, this section on unit of analysis has described the research setting and the cycles and people involved in the data collection process. The timing of data collection was also discussed, as was the number of focus groups conducted. The format of the focus group was explained, and the strengths and limitations of using this unit of analysis were discussed. Design of focus group This section explains what a focus group is and the design of the focus group used in this research. It will describe the data collection process of the initial scoping interview with a senior Air Force officer and the focus groups and demonstrate how the focus group was constructed such that the research questions could be addressed. A focus group interview has been described as an unstructured, free-flowing interview with a small group of people, where open-ended questions are used to trigger discussion (Dick, 1998b; Zikmund, 2000). The advantage of using a focus group format is that the format is flexible and encourages discussion. The group consists of a facilitator and as many as ten participants who generally discuss a single topic. The topic is introduced by the facilitator who then encourages the group members to discuss the subject among themselves. The focus group process allows people to discuss their feelings about the subject matter and to express the depth of their convictions in their own words. An advantage of using the focus group data collection method is that focus groups are relatively brief, easy to execute, quickly analysed and inexpensive. Although focus groups cannot take the place of quantitative studies, the responses that participants offer are unlikely to emerge in a survey. There is likely to be a degree of synergism in focus groups with a wider range of information, insights, and ideas presented that would be found in cumulated individual responses. Further, the dynamic created by interaction between participants can cause ideas to drop out of the blue. These issues can then be developed further creating a bandwagon effect and in a spontaneous manner. Participants tend to be more highly stimulated in a focus group environment leading to better and more responses. Participants can often take _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 74 _____________________________________________________________________ comfort from agreement with the views of others, however do not need to contribute if they do not hold a view on a particular subject. The focus group process is efficient as one facilitator can interview many respondents at the one time. Furthermore, observers can be invited to attend to offer a form of scrutiny (Zikmund, 2000). The decision to use focus groups with Management Services Agency personnel was based on the review of a pilot interview conducted with a senior Air Force officer. At that time the methodology considered was embedded case studies. The interview structure included a preamble to explain what the interview was about and inform the participant of confidentiality, a series of questions related to the concepts of complex adaptive systems, and then a closure section, which sought feedback on the interview process and content. The interview was taped with the participant’s permission. A copy of the interview protocol is at Appendix A. During the review of the interview tape by my supervisor and myself, the decision was reached to move to an action research methodology using focus groups within the Management Services Agency. This decision was described previously under selection and justification of action research. The decision to use a focus group as the primary data collection process was based on the reasons stated above, but also due to the educative aspect of what I intended to cover with Management Services Agency personnel. Individuals within an organisation, and their combined learning, create organisational-level knowledge. When this knowledge is shared in a dialectical, reflexive manner through mutual inquiry and reflection, such as a focus group, learning can be a self-organised emergent process. This type of learning Schon described as ‘generative’ because cognitive understanding is generated through one’s active participation in a project, group, or system (Bergmann Lichtenstein, 2000a). Schon suggested a new way of theorising which integrated theory and practice, a form of theory which is embodied in real lives and shows the process of reflecting on reflection-in-action, and which may be shared with others who are also studying their own practice (McNiff et al., 2000). The preparation for conducting the focus groups involved designing the questions to be used in each phase of the activity. Each focus group will generally have an introduction, a series of questions to tap contextual information, questions to tap the key information required, and probe questions for follow-up or to elicit more specific information (Dick, 1998b). The questions I ask in the focus group were _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 75 _____________________________________________________________________ linked to the research questions, through the six concepts of complex adaptive systems. In any qualitative research it is important to demonstrate that the questions that are asked test the research questions, such that a case can be made (Yin, 1989). The focus group workshop tool and focus group workshop slides can be seen at Appendices B and C. During the introduction phase participants were told what the purpose of the focus group is and what will be done with any information which emerges from it. There were two views surrounding whether or not to inform participants about the questions that were to be posed prior to the focus group. On the one hand they would have had time to think about the issues, but on the other hand they may have come along to the focus group with their minds made up. Based on feedback from earlier cycles, I decided to inform later focus group participants by e-mail of the general area of discussion for the focus group, prior to the event. The focus group consisted of four phases: introduction, contextual information, key information and probe questions. These phases are consistent with action research focus group research methods (Dick, 1998b). The introduction consists of telling the participants of what your role is and providing a brief overview of the session and its purpose. In my situation the participants were told that I was the subject of the research; notwithstanding their contribution to the research process. The purpose of the focus group was explained as were my intentions and what would happen with the results of the focus group. A brief overview of the focus group process was provided and participants were encouraged to ask questions at any time. An explanation of what would be done with the information collected how it will be analysed and what it will be used for was also provided. Participants were told that they would not be identified by name and only by team. All participants were encouraged to voice their views and partake in the discussion that followed. Participants of each focus group were asked to agree on the major themes and opinions that emerged. In this way, the information is refined during the different phases, and the participants help in interpreting the information (Dick, 1998b). The contextual information phase consisted of posing the key concepts of complex adaptive systems to elicit the information that I thought I wanted or needed. In most cases some explanation of terms used was offered. Participants were reassured that it was acceptable to have alternative views about the material presented _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 76 _____________________________________________________________________ from either other members of the group or from myself. They were also encouraged to present a range of views and opinions that would be recorded on butchers paper. Participants were provided with time to think about the concepts and encouraged to take notes as an aid to memory. Indeed, in later cycles, a handout was provided to assist participants with this phase. During the open discussion the main points were noted on butchers paper so that participants could see what was being written. They were encouraged to correct me if I interpreted what they were saying inaccurately and also to suggest amendments or additions. They were also invited to help me interpret the information by discussing what it means to them. During the key information phase, results from previous cycles can be fed in to the focus group. Probing questions are asked throughout to elicit and encourage more information to come out. The questions near the end of the focus group were directly related to the research questions. Participants were asked if any elements were missed, which elements they found most useful for organisational understanding, whether they would be willing to use the concepts in their work with organisations, and whether there was a better way to conduct the focus group. Finally, participants were thanked for their participation and contribution to the research. They were also told that the results of the research would be made available to them once it was finalised. This section has described what a focus group is and how it can be used to collect data. It discussed how the decision was reached to use the focus group method within an action research methodology. The structure of the focus group was then explained, as was the linkage of the questions asked within the focus group to the research questions. Collection of data This section will cover in more detail how the data were collected during the scoping interview with a senior Air Force officer and during focus groups. The data collection process, in terms of process, will also be covered. The results of the data collection will be provided in Chapter 4. This section will demonstrate that correct action research data collection methods have been followed (Perry, 1998). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 77 _____________________________________________________________________ The scoping interview conducted with the senior Air Force officer took place on 20 November 2002. The data, in the form of focus groups was collected in the following cycles on the dates specified: Cycle 1 29 January 2003 Canberra (A.C.T.) Cycle 2 5 February 2003 Amberley (Qld.) Cycle 3 7 February 2003 Edinburgh (S.A.) Cycle 4 12 February 2003 Melbourne (Vic.) Cycle 5 18 February 2003 Williamtown (N.S.W.) Cycle 6 26 February 2003 Richmond (N.S.W.) A possible limitation of the collection of data being undertaken over a onemonth period may be that there was insufficient time to reflect on content and process between the cycles such that greater personal learning could have been achieved. The shortest timeframe between two focus groups was only two days. It should be noted, however, that in the Results section of this report, significant learning did occur between these two cycles. Although each focus group only included a small number of people, 3 in the case of the Victorian focus group, every member of each focus group was asked to contribute their opinion, whether positive or negative. Every member of each focus group contributed to the content of that focus group. The content of each focus group was trapped on butchers paper by the facilitator so that focus groups participants could see what was being written. Clarification questions were asked to ensure what was written conveyed the views of the group. The butchers paper comments were later input into a Word document on a laptop computer. The butchers paper comments appear at Appendix D. The use of brief cycles (Dick, 1993), however, added rigour to the research process, as did using six different teams that would likely have different views on both the content of the focus groups but also on the process of the focus groups. Interpretations were made as part of the data collection process and assumptions were sceptically and rigorously tested throughout the data collection phase. Alternative views were actively encouraged throughout the process. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 78 _____________________________________________________________________ A process of critical reflection was used to learn through the action research process. This is a spiral process which alternates between action and critical reflection in which we learn both by acting more intentionally and being critically reflective after the event (Dick & Dalmau, 1999). In this process each spiral is regarded as having three components: Intent Act Review Questions are built around each component and specify our assumptions about the important features of the situation, the desirable outcomes, and the actions to achieve those outcomes as well as the reasons for forming those assumptions. Two sets of questions are used; one set to enhance intentions, and another set to enhance the review, or reflection process. The questions to enhance intention are: What do you think are the salient features of this situation? Why do you think those are the salient features? Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? (Dick et al., 1999) The standard set of questions used to enhance reflection, and based on revisiting the third and fourth questions from above, are: Were the outcomes achieved? If so, now that I’ve got them, do I still want them? Why/why not? If you don’t want the outcomes that you achieved, then you progress to the following questions: Was I mistaken about the situation? If so, in what respect? What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 79 _____________________________________________________________________ If so, in what respect? What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? If so, in what respect? What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? Did I produce the actions? If not, why not? What have I learned from that in term of the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself etc.? (Dick et al., 1999) These questions were worked through before and after each focus group cycle. The answers were transferred into word documents and appear at Appendix E. In conclusion, this section has described how and when the collection the data occurred. It discussed how data was capture and transcribed to form the appendices to this report. The process for capturing content data was described before moving on to how critical reflection was carried out and how this data was collected. Analysis of data The data from the action research process comprises two types: content data, and process data. This section discusses the strategy of how the content data and the critical reflection process data were presented and analysed, revealing the growing development of the tool over the pilot study and six action research cycles. Data from the pilot study, although not sourced through an action research method, has been distilled to provide as much of guide as possible for the development of the first action research cycle. Data from the pilot study and six action research cycles will be presented in chronological order to show the development of the focus group workshop tool over six cycles. Analysis of the pilot study and each cycle will commence with my starting assumptions, move on to the major findings of the cycle, and finally discuss what aspects of the tool were changed as a result of that cycle. A summary table will be provided at the commencement of each section to assist in demonstrating the development of the tool. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 80 _____________________________________________________________________ Content data from the focus group workshops was reduced from butchers paper to a Microsoft Word document and is included at Appendix D. The examination of content data will lead to a greater understanding of the overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems as they relate to being used as a metaphor to assist organisational understanding. By drawing on the significant expertise of internal management consultants a more comprehensive understanding of the practical application of the concepts will result. Intention and reflection comments are made prior to and after each cycle. The role of these intention and reflection comments is to provide structure for the personal learning that takes place through the cycles. The comments require the researcher to consider process and content issues such that both can be refined and developed over the cycles that are conducted. A consolidated list of my intention and reflection comments is available at Appendix E. By virtue of the fact that I was the subject of the research, the intention and reflection comments made between cycles are personal in nature, and it is doubtful whether another researcher with similar background to myself would have the same reflections. This is a shortcoming of action research that can be partially offset by the measures identified earlier in the chapter. The focus group workshop tool has been included at Appendices B, C and H in case other researchers wish to further develop it. This section has indicated how both content and process data will be collected and presented in a chronological order to demonstrate the development of the focus group workshop tool over a pilot study and six action research cycles. Ethical considerations This section deals with the ethical considerations associated with this research. It covers issues such as the voluntary participation of subjects, confidentiality, and approval for the research. It will also discuss the limitation of personal bias in the data collection and interpretation. It will demonstrate that, where possible, the negative effects of any limitations have been reduced as much as possible. In terms of ethical issues associated with the process of action research there is a division between those who regard action research as instrumental (a way of manipulating or co-opting people to do the things that other people want them to do) _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 81 _____________________________________________________________________ and those who regard action research as educative (a way of enabling people to transcend the false ideas they have about themselves which cause their lives to be frustrating and unhappy) (Zuber-Skerritt, 1991). Those in the first school insist that action research must be voluntary to be authentic. In my case the power relationship between my consultants and myself could have affected the research, notwithstanding that every step was taken to ensure it did not. This power relationship is often encountered in action research conducted within structured organisations and it is always important to attempt to negate its effect. In conducting the research within the MSA, I had to be mindful of respect for my people, beneficence, and justice. All participants in both the interview and focus groups gave informed consent before partaking in the activities. There were two aspects to ensuring informed consent. Firstly, they were notified of my intention to conduct a focus group, what the focus group was about, the duration of the focus group, and their choice to participate or not to participate. The second aspect of gaining informed consent was at the commencement of the focus group workshop itself. As part of the introduction to the focus group, the above information was repeated (refer Appendix B). Aspects of participation covered at both times included: Purpose of the research Methods to be used Demands on participant’s time Risks of involvement, and Venue for the focus group. Participants were informed that they were free to withdraw from the research at any time with no questions asked. Participants were told that individuals and their responses would not be identified in the research with the only identifier being the team that they were a member of. It must be stated that I am in a more senior position than the participants in the focus groups. Having said that, and being cognisant of the effect this may have had, the relationship that I have with my staff is such that I doubt whether they would have _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 82 _____________________________________________________________________ felt coerced to participate in my focus group, although I have not been able to substantiate this. Indeed, most were aware that I was undertaking a DBA, had some idea about my topic of research, and were interested in the research methodology that I was using. For this reason, there was more information provided on these topics during the focus groups. Within each group, there were rank differences between the participants but all participants responded as equals in terms of management consulting experience. All MSA teams are sufficiently homogeneous in terms of the types of work they perform to be treated the same for research purposes. My research and the method of carrying it out, as well as the ethical issues involved were discussed with my superior within the Air Force. They were satisfied that my research method and the involvement of my staff was ethical and appropriate, and gave approval for me to proceed with the research. At the time of the data collection the researcher was described as a white, Australian, early forties, middle class, social drinking, non-smoking, married male. Whether any of these attributes have impacted on my critical reflections of the focus groups is questionable. The data collection process, however, was designed to provide as consistent as possible data. It could be argued that since I conducted all the focus groups and wrote up all the critical reflection notes that I could influence the study either consciously or unconsciously. In an effort to address this possible shortcoming, I asked a participant from the first focus group to sit-in during the sixth focus group cycle. I requested that he take notes as a framework through which to provide feedback. The questions and his responses are at Appendix F. It should be noted that this person also worked for me. In summary, he noted that the sixth focus group was different from the first focus group. During the background introduction more information was provided and participants got a ‘better understanding of how, who, what etc.’. He felt there was a better and more thorough explanation of the complex adaptive systems. There appeared to be less structure in the discussion and a greater focus on use of the theory in the work environment than there had been during the first cycle. There appeared to be more interaction between the participants in the focus group. The participant from the first focus group was asked specifically if he thought that the participants in the sixth focus group were “led” by myself as the facilitator. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 83 _____________________________________________________________________ He believed that I did not lead the group and that participants were allowed to speak as desired and the discussion appeared to be led by participants. He suggested that I may need to use more examples to ‘kick start’ discussion. He believed that the participants in focus group six had a better chance of understanding complex adaptive systems and those in the first group, of which he had participated. This, he felt, was due to greater opportunity to discuss ideas and concepts more as a group, rather than responding as individuals. Although it was the last planned cycle, the participant from the first group was asked to make suggestions for improvement should a seventh cycle be conducted. The suggestions here were to provide feedback on what current theory says, and perhaps to disclose what other teams had said on the matters raised. His final comment related to the time the focus group took. He believed that the sixth focus group took significantly less time than the first due to there being less structure in the process, for example, permitting group discussion rather than seeking individual responses. This section has addressed the ethical issues associated with conducting action research. It has also discussed the issue of personal bias in data collection and interpretation and the steps taken to reduce this possibility. Conclusion This chapter has explained the research methodology selected for this research. It restated the two research questions before embarking on providing justification for selecting action research as the research methodology. The research was confirmed as timely and important in the current environment. The nature of the research questions directed the selection of a critical theory and realism methodology as an appropriate basis for addressing the research questions. The exploratory research that was conducted was discussed in terms of its role in deciding upon action research and the use of focus groups for data collection in the Air Force. Action research as a research methodology was then discussed, highlighting its benefits and some of the criticisms that have been levelled against it. Discussion was provided on how to minimise the criticisms of action research as a research approach. A description was offered as to how action research is conducted, and how, in my situation, the action research methodology is linked to my research questions. The _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 84 _____________________________________________________________________ unit of analysis for my research was then discussed in terms of research setting, data collection timing, and the strengths and limitations of using this unit of analysis. The design of a focus group was then discussed, firstly by explaining what a focus group is and the advantages of using focus groups as a data collection process, and then by offering an explanation of why I decided to use focus groups for my primary data collection activity. The structure and content of my focus group was then described showing consistency with accepted practice with this form of data collection. The chapter then moved on to discuss the action collection of data process to provide the reader with a greater level of detail on how and when the data was collected. The analysis process for the data was then discussed identifying criteria for reducing, displaying and verifying. This was done for both content data and for process data. Finally, ethical considerations and limitations were discussed and methods to minimise the limitations were offered. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 85 _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 4 – ANALYSIS OF DATA AND FINDINGS Introduction Chapter 3 fully explained the research methodology to be applied in this research. Chapter 4 now presents the findings of that research. In research where action research is the chosen methodology, Chapter 4 becomes a categorisation of data in the form of words (Perry, 1998). The chapter is divided into eleven sections that cover an introduction, pilot study findings, findings for cycles 1 to 6, findings for research question one, findings for research question two and a conclusion. The structure of Chapter 4 is illustrated below at Figure 4. Introduction Findings – action research cycle 6 Findings research question 1 Pilot study findings Findings – action research cycle 5 Findings research question 2 Findings – action research cycle 1 Findings – action research cycle 2 Findings – action research cycle 4 Findings – action research cycle 3 Conclusion Figure 4 – Diagrammatical Structure of Chapter 4 Research outcomes for studies using action research can be grouped in a number of different ways such as: management findings, research findings, and personal outcomes. Each type of outcome could be further divided into ‘direct’, ‘indirect’, and ‘surprise’ outcomes (Sankaran, 2001). In this instance, the findings will be presented chronologically, commencing with the findings of a pilot study and the changes made in response to those findings. The findings for the next six action research cycles will then be described in turn. Prior to discussion of the pilot study and each cycle, a table that summarises my starting assumptions, major findings and changes as a result of the cycle is provided. These tables demonstrate the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 86 _____________________________________________________________________ development, over the six cycles, of the tool and its effectiveness for use by Air Force organisational management consultants in understanding organisations. In discussing the six cycles and quoting excerpts directly from the workshop notes (in italics) I demonstrate that the focus group workshop participants understood the concepts of complex adaptive systems sufficiently well such that they could, and possibly will, use them in their work as organisational management consultants in the Air Force. The relevance of my findings for Research question 1 and then Research question 2 will be stated. A conclusion will follow. Pilot Study Findings Starting assumptions The Senior Officer will relate to my interpretation of the concepts of complex adaptive systems in terms of his extensive experience in the Air Force and confirm the utility of the concepts for thinking about decision-making. Major Findings Process – Merely inferring the concepts of complex adaptive systems will be flawed, methodologically. The interviewee would have appreciated more time to think of examples. Content – Interview participant sensitivity to complex adaptive systems terminology. What changed The research methodology changed from embedded case studies to action research. The target group changed from Air Force senior officers to internal management consulting teams. Table 2 – Pilot study findings Starting assumptions. My starting assumptions for the pilot study were that the senior officer would relate to my interpretation of the concepts of complex adaptive systems and would be able to relate organisational behaviour, in particular decision-making, to the concepts. I also assumed that the senior officer would be prepared to explore the use of these concepts in future decision-making forums. As action research was not being used at that stage, process findings were not formally collected. Content findings were deduced from the tape recording, made with permission, of the interview. Major findings. The interview was conducted with a senior Air Force officer in Canberra on 20 November 2002. A copy of the interview protocol is at Appendix A. One unexpected finding from the data collection phase was the sensitivity of the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 87 _____________________________________________________________________ respondent to the original terminology used in the interview questions. For example, it soon became evident that it was unwise to use terms such as ‘equilibrium’ and ‘stable’ when discussing the Air Force organisation. The opposite of stable is ‘unstable’ and the opposite of equilibrium is ‘disequilibrium’ and this was considered by the senior Air Force officer as an undesirable state for the organisation to be in, without the benefit of understanding how ‘unstable’ or ‘disequilibrium’ are defined in terms of complex adaptive systems. Another term that was unwise to use was ‘spectacular’ in terms of effects of decisions. The Air Force is a conservative organisation led by senior people with largely conservative ideals. What could be considered emotive terminology can be viewed with some suspicion. On being interviewed about aspects of complex adaptive systems and the Air Force, the senior officer stated that numerous evolutionary changes had been imposed on the Air Force externally and some of the effects of these changes had been completely underestimated by people within the organisation; for example the impact and extent of the Defence Reform Program. The senior officer acknowledged that the models and schemas used within Air Force had changed over time, and the Air Force of today is quite different from the Air Force of the 1970’s; Air Force leaders of today must convince subordinates to follow them rather than coerce them. Commanders must motivate people within organisations through their vision, as the authoritarian style of leadership no longer works. He believed that the Air Force, and particularly the Senior Leadership Team, now works more as a team than it used to in the past however decisions, such as changes to initial training processes, still take a long time to bear fruit due to the time lag between a person’s recruitment into the Air Force and reaching a more influential level within the organisation. Further, new ideas and suggestions to improve the Air Force, are now examined more closely than they were in the past. Lastly, the relationship across the Air Force rank structure has become less formal over time. This is positive and encourages greater agent interaction than was the case previously. Notwithstanding the above; Air Force committees sometimes still rush decisions and there remains a requirement to have better facts available on which to base quality decisions. Some trivial decisions can still filter to the top and the demographic make-up of the senior committees is still too concentrated. It was acknowledged that more diversity is needed in the views presented and in the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 88 _____________________________________________________________________ background and experience of decision makers. He also made the point that the personality of the CAF is an important factor. The senior officer noted that a couple of the overlapping concepts appeared quite similar (Concept 3 to Concept 2). He also stated that it would have been useful to have some sample questions ahead of the interview to allow more time to think of relevant and good examples. The senior officer made an interesting point in terms of planning in total and for the longer term: he mentioned that despite the fact that the plan was useless after the first shot was fired, the fact that planners had gone through a disciplined planning process enabled them to better deal with the situation in toto, and contingencies, as they arose. For example, the planners had thought about the ‘nature’ of the problem – had given the problem some ‘headspace’, such that future decisions were better informed. Therefore planning should not be neglected but rather kept in perspective for the value it adds in thinking ‘around’ the problem. The senior officer was able to understand the nature of the concepts and provided relevant examples of situations where the concepts could be applied, for example in increasing the diversity of views in a decision-making process. For this reason, although ultimately only a pilot study, the concepts could be seen as useful in understanding organisational behaviour. Although the research methodology changed after the pilot study, these findings, based on Doolittle’s six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems, provided some useful background information prior to the development of the action research focus group workshop tool. What Changed. The rationale for not proceeding with the methodology of embedded case studies has been described in Chapter 3 – Methodology. Rather than conducting interviews with senior Air Force personnel regarding complex adaptive systems and using them as embedded case studies, a focus group workshop was designed for use with six Air Force internal management consulting teams using an action research methodology. It was felt that considering Air Force examples of where the concepts may have been evident could perhaps reduce sensitivity to some of the complex adaptive systems terminology in the focus group workshops. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 89 _____________________________________________________________________ Findings – action research cycle 1 Starting assumptions The focus group workshop tool will adequately inform participants about Complex adaptive systems. Participants will understand the concepts to the extent that they can offer meaningful feedback on the concepts and the tool. Major Findings Process –More time was needed for providing explanations, examples and definitions. Content – The concepts are not easy to understand. Participants could identify applications for use of the concepts. What changed Process – More summaries were provided. The workshop was less structured in terms of eliciting responses, and the discussion was less lead. More explanation and justification for the research was provided. Content – Greater explanation of terminology and of what a complex system is. Greater explanation of concepts in terms of planning activities. Table 3 – action research cycle 1 findings Starting assumptions. Based on the intent and reflection questions proposed by Dick et al. 1999 and listed in Chapter 3, I recorded observations prior to conducting the Cycle 1 focus group workshop. A consolidated list of all intention and reflection questions and responses for all six cycles is at Appendix E. As this was to be my first experience of conducting the focus group workshop, I was not particularly confident in either the content or the process or how participants would relate to the material. While I think that the Canberra team will be supportive of what I am attempting to achieve they will probably have many suggestions on how to make the workshop better. I was also hoping that their suggestions would align with what I was attempting to achieve and not diverge from my thinking to a large extent. I was also conscious of the fact that, as this was my first cycle, I would be experiencing a high degree of nervousness in terms of conducting the focus group workshop and that this may have an impact on participant behaviour. All of these factors could impact on the outcome of the first cycle. The desirable outcomes that I hoped for included a generally positive acceptance with some positive suggestions on how I can improve the model and the workshop. I thought that these would be desirable outcomes as it would be encouraging if other people (organisational consultants) thought that complex _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 90 _____________________________________________________________________ adaptive systems provided a useful metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour in the Air Force. To achieve this outcome I thought it important to demonstrate a personal enthusiasm for the model and to be able to provide a couple of examples of how the concepts may be seen to have been useful in organisational settings. I believed that, due to the management consulting experience levels of the focus group participants and their propensity for lateral thinking they would seriously entertain thoughts of attempting new ways of looking at organisational behaviour. The pilot study had provided me with some Air Force examples of where the senior Air Force officer had seen the relevance of the concepts. Notwithstanding his sensitivity to complex adaptive systems terminology, I felt that if relevant examples could be provided, focus group workshop participants would have a greater chance of understanding the Concepts and perhaps show less sensitivity to the concept’s terminology. The pilot study had also provided me with some ideas about how complex adaptive systems and their relevance to organisational behaviour in terms of the value of planning, the importance of a diversity of views in decision-making, understanding the impact of events in the external environment, how cause and effect may not be directly related, and finally, some of the similarities between the concepts. Major findings. Action research Cycle 1 occurred in Canberra on 29 January 2003. After the focus group workshop, I revisited the pre-focus group questions and asked myself the remainder of the reflection questions suggested by Dick et al. 1999. I believed that the expected outcomes of the first focus group workshop were generally achieved. I received feedback from the participants that the concepts proposed by Doolittle were useful and that the way they were presented, and the process of the focus group workshop, could be improved for cycle 2. I got feedback on the usefulness of the overlapping concepts and of the workshop itself such that it can be improved for the next cycle. These outcomes and reflections were useful in that they provided useful input for the next cycle and there was nothing raised that was particularly contrary to my expectations of the focus group workshop. What I learned from the situation of the first cycle was that, what I am attempting to get across was not easy to comprehend and even with intelligent and experienced management consultants the concepts take some time to sink in. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 91 _____________________________________________________________________ During the first cycle I drew a diagram on a whiteboard that indicated the nonequilibrium aspect of organisational behaviour in complex systems, ie oscillations that can increase in amplitude until a point of bifurcation can be reached that then reduces the amplitude to a manageable level before the another cycle commences. There was no disconfirming evidence presented during Cycle 1. The findings in terms of Doolittle’s concepts/attributes are now discussed. A consolidated list of all findings for the content of the cycles is at Appendix D. Attribute 1. ‘Equilibrium’ was considered by participants as a relative term: what is equilibrium for some organisations is chaos for others and vice-versa. An organisation’s equilibrium can be disturbed by events in the external environment if the organisation is open to that environment. The extent of external focus in organisations is important – the Air Force is considered by focus group workshop participants to be quite internally focussed. People, as well as organisations, can get left behind if they do not adapt to changes in their external environment. Progressive organisations, it was proposed, will engage more with their external environment. Strategic planning and change management programs in organisations are often about examining what changes are required in response to changes in the organisation’s operating environment. Planning methodologies take into consideration the external environment. Organisations may also plan with a view to seeking equilibrium. Planning and plans, however, are often portrayed or undertaken in a linear fashion. Participants agreed, however, that the real world is non-linear. Attribute 2. Some participants did not like the word ‘involves’. They felt that this attribute appears to be more closely related to individual agent behaviour than total organisational behaviour; more individual agent based rather than an organisation. Experience, it was felt, can be a two-edged sword with more experience providing a wider variety of possible solutions versus less experience necessitating the examination of new and novel solutions. Individual and group behaviours, as well as group size, were considered relevant in the application of experience in the workplace. Adaptation to the environment is sometimes compromised due to past experiences. If experiences are dated and the environment has changed, maladaption (damping or buffering mechanisms) could occur. It was noted that in the Air Force, due to the policy of internal promotion, those with more experience hold the more senior positions. This could result in some reinventing of _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 92 _____________________________________________________________________ the wheel. Participants felt that there is a level of risk involved in relying solely on experience to adapt to the environment. Being aware that decision making is based on experience is important to acknowledge. Decision making in organisations is also a cultural thing with some organisations capitalising on experience from diverse backgrounds, while others shun diverse views. Attribute 3. The challenge for many organisations is that models and schemas can have a great deal of feeling and emotion attached to them – it can be emotionally and physically difficult to change them. Participants felt that in the work that the MSA conducts there is the opportunity for consultants to delight clients with outcomes that are superior to what they are used to getting. They also felt, however, that, organisational behaviour is a function of more than just internal models and schemas. Participants felt that internal models and schemas are an individual thing as well, and together shape organisational culture. Attribute 4. Participants in the focus group workshop felt that, decentralising decision making to local levels can create emergent behaviour at the local level. They also pointed out that emergent behaviour, at the organisational level, might be quite different from what is expected. Participants also felt that the size of the organisation was important for this attribute, as the greater the number of people involved, the less likely it may be to reach a decision. Further, they felt that the aggregation process might drive people out of the organisation if the models and schemas that develop offend them. Notwithstanding this, in organisational change, critical mass is important to gain to make it happen. Attribute 5. Participants felt that in the Air Force organisation people in a leadership role can steer the organisation where they want it to go. Perhaps this could be considered ‘manipulation’ rather than ‘active construction’. They felt that this is perhaps easier in smaller organisations. There was a view that this attribute assumes that organisations are in a state of constant change, which can be resisted, and that nothing remains static. It was also acknowledged that, people will change at different rates in different ways. Participants also stated that, schema construction is influenced by training and experience. Attribute 6. Participants commented that this attribute would be affected by the amount of change required by the organisation to adapt to the external _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 93 _____________________________________________________________________ environment. Greater change would require greater agent interaction and use of internal models and schemas. With regard to this attribute participants felt that the ability to cross and see over organisational boundaries is an important factor. They also posed the question of what may happen if there was no agent interaction; would you still get changes to internal models and schemas? They also asked if there were more variables at work apart from internal models and schemas and agent interaction. Diversity of agent background was again raised in the discussion of this attribute, in terms of how this may impact on the development of internal models and schemas. These comments from focus group workshop participants demonstrated to me, as the subject of the action research, that they were able to grasp the intent of each attribute and could think of situations where they could apply the attribute in their work in the Air Force. I learned a large amount about complex adaptive systems in this cycle. I found that different people interpret the concepts and what they mean in different, but not dis-similar, ways. I learned how the concepts could be applied in a wider range of situations through the input from workshop participants. The different, even opposing, views on the value of experience in organisations was interesting as was the apparent ‘loss of control’ over emergent behaviour. Finally, I learned how important the role of management consultants is in terms of the concepts and being in a position to assist client organisations. What Changed. There were many changes suggested for the focus group workshop after the first cycle. The changes can broadly be categorised as providing more time and providing more explanation. Improvements suggested by participants included a better explanation of various terms including; equilibrium, non-linear, entropy and agent. They also suggested explanation of how these related to organisations. They suggested removing the term ‘overlapping’ when referring to the concepts as it drew attention away from the concept and more to what aspects may be overlapping. They suggested that I provide an explanation of what a complex system is compared to a simple system. Other suggested improvements were; developing a handout for participant use, using more summary slides, and including a “so what?” slide to detail what value participants would gain from the focus group workshop. They suggested that at slide #5 ‘Benefit to you and the RAAF’ I add a bullet point that states, ‘what does this mean for you?’ and to mention how they may be able to use the information from the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 94 _____________________________________________________________________ focus group in their work with clients. This should be done in a non-patronising way! They asked me to explain to the next group how I will feed back the results of my research to focus group participants and who would have access to my research findings, and to provide more detail on the action research methodology I was using and explaining why it is relevant to MSA personnel. The participants suggested I provide a further reading list for both complex adaptive systems and action research. Presentation slides for each cycle are not included, however a copy of the final slides is at Appendix C and notes to use the slides at Appendix D. The final cycle handout is at Appendix H. Other suggestions included explaining the concepts in terms of how they related to facilitating planning activities with clients and adding, at slide #3, why my research is of interest to the Air Force. They also sought more information on using action research and its relevance to their work. Participants suggested that the word ‘involves’ is replaced with ‘is a result of’ on concept 2 (slide #15). They also felt that I should lead the discussion less and also take pressure off individuals to contribute at the end of each concept explanation. As suggested by Dick, (1998 b) I had asked participants to offer their individual comments, in turn, after each concept was introduced. They stated that I need to explain the relationships in ‘An organisation in practice’ slide (#9). Finally, they sought more detail in talking about the “why you?” slide (#4), for example that they were complex and difficult concepts that they may be able to assist with due to their training and experience in the MSA. Changes to tool. There were many changes made to the tool as a result of the suggestions made above. These included mentioning the opportunity for breaks during the focus group workshop at slide #2, replacing the term ‘overlapping concepts’ with ‘attributes’, and adding comments of why my research is of interest to the Air Force. The terms ‘concepts’ and ‘attributes’ will now be used interchangeably. I also added in comments who had sponsored the research and who would have access to the results (including feedback to participants). A summary slide (#6) was added at end of the introduction that covered the structure of the focus group workshop, area of research and methodology, what Air Force and you may gain from doing it, and questions. A bullet point was added to slide #5, ‘What does this mean for you?’ More explanation comments were added to slide #8 ie ‘hierarchical structure where, supposedly one manager would only interact _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 95 _____________________________________________________________________ with their director etc.’ and slide #9 ‘where d and s are two people who interact with others such that many combinations of what d and s have input to occur over the organisation.’ A summary slide (#13) was added at end of the ‘What are complex adaptive systems?’ section, and comments added including, ‘relatively new way of thinking about organisations and their behaviour, difficult to fully grasp all at one time, must look a the “crude whole”, and different to what we are used to.’ A note was also included to ask for questions. A further summary slide added at end of concepts section (#20) with comments that the ‘six attributes, similar, utility in organisational setting’. Discussion was also sought at this time. Finally, in terms of adding slides, slide #21 on Brodnick and Krafft’s eight postulates of complex adaptive systems was added as a way of further informing participants of aspects of complex adaptive systems. In terms of the concepts, at concept 1, a comment was added that you, ‘cannot understand an organisation merely by analysing various components. Things don’t happen in consecutive steps or straight lines – much is happening all of the time.’ Also at this concept more explanation for ‘far from equilibrium’ was provided ie ‘stable organisations are in a state of entropy (dying) because they cannot adapt to their changing external environments’ and explaining what the means in terms of planning. At concept 2, I changed the word ‘involves’ to, ‘is a result of’. At concept 4, the term ‘agents’ was explained more fully as, ‘agents are parts of an organisation – either people or sections, depending on what level you are discussing. They can be just individuals within an organisation’. Other comments were added throughout the presentation. They included informing participants why their experience as professional management consultants was necessary to attempt to understand complex and difficult concepts. Participants would now be told what the benefits to them would be of their participation ie. exposure to complex adaptive systems and action research, that they could use in their work in understanding organisational behaviour. It was also mentioned that they might have covered some aspects of complex adaptive systems during their MSA training or in subsequent MBA studies regarding systems approaches to organisational understanding. Notes were also added to indicate that complex adaptive systems research was primarily out of North America at present, but that more was now being done in Australia. A definition of a simple system was provided _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 96 _____________________________________________________________________ as an ‘input → process → output’ construct and complex systems are made up of many parts that interact together to achieve more than the sum of the parts. A handout was developed with attributes down left-hand column and space to write on the right side (Appendix G). Further reading and complex adaptive systems web site information was also provided. Lastly, I made a note to myself not to ask each individual to comment in turn but rather just open the floor for discussion. Findings – action research cycle 2 Starting assumptions Major Findings What changed The tool, and the way it is presented, is a good method for informing participants about Complex adaptive systems. They will be able to relate the concepts to their role as management consultants. The changes from cycle 1 will be confirmed as positive. Process – I needed to be more careful about document and slide version control as some of the slide terminology differed from the handout. Content – Consistencies in the interpretation of concepts started to surface. Explaining agent interaction more and also what is new about complex adaptive systems. Process – I asked, ‘what does this mean in terms of understanding organisations?’ Additional further readings were provided. Content – Better explanations of what complex adaptive systems are and that it is not particularly new. Also mention what the alternatives to complex adaptive systems are. Table 4 – action research cycle 2 findings Starting assumptions. Action research Cycle 2 occurred in Amberley (Qld.) on 5 February 2003. The salient feature of the second action research cycle was that I am now more confident that the content and process will be an improvement on cycle one after the changes I have made. I was interested to see what difference the changes I made would have on the focus group workshop. I was interested to see how some of the changes would affect the outcome of the focus group, particularly how helpful the handout will be. This focus group would consist of a slightly smaller number of participants than the first focus group. These were the biggest changes from Cycle 1. A positive outcome for Cycle 2 would be a generally positive acceptance of the content with some suggestions on how I could improve the model and the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 97 _____________________________________________________________________ workshop for the next cycle. The desirable outcome was a better, or improved, focus group workshop to Cycle 1 and a general level of acceptance that the content is useful for organisational understanding in the Air Force. This was a similar desirable outcome to that expressed for Cycle 1. By ensuring that I apply the learnings from the first cycle the outcome should be improved. The participants for the second focus group workshop had similar training and similar consulting experience to the participants in Cycle 1. I also understood that the participants were looking forward to the focus group workshop and that some may have investigated complex adaptive systems on the Internet in preparation for the focus group workshop. After the focus group workshop, I revisited the pre-focus group questions and asked myself the remainder of the reflection questions suggested by Dick et al. 1999. I believed that the expected outcomes were largely achieved. There was a generally positive acceptance of the material and there were some suggestions on how I could improve the focus group process and content. The group confirmed that some of the changes from Cycle 1 were good ideas and that the focus group flowed well. This group also appeared to be able to consider work situations where they could use the content. I was happy to get the results that I did however there were fewer suggestions for improvement than were offered in cycle 1. Suggestions that were made were still useful in terms of both content and process. The suggestions made about the process and the comments made on the content and the six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems actually added to my understanding of complex adaptive systems. I found that in this workshop I was more relaxed in facilitating the focus group. I took more time in explaining the background to the focus group and in explaining complex adaptive systems. I allowed more time for each concept to be considered before asking for input and what participants thought of the concept. With a more relaxed pace, participants appeared to have more time to think and consider how they could apply the concept in an organisational setting. Suggestions for improvement included: 1. Explaining the levels of agent interaction more, 2. For each concept ask if it is useful for better understanding the behaviour of organisations, and _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 98 _____________________________________________________________________ 3. Explaining what is new about complex adaptive systems. The participants appeared to appreciate the handout notes, which were a recommendation of the first focus group, and many used the available space on the handout to take their own notes, particularly in relation to the definition of terms. I found that some of the comments made by participants of Cycle 2 were similar to some comments made by the participants in Cycle 1. While not surprising, this indicated, perhaps, a start of some consistency in findings. I found myself questioning whether these similarities were due to the Air Force organisational culture or whether the same comments would arise, say, with a group of internal management consultants from private industry. As a minor point, I discovered the need for version control for the focus group handout and the PowerPoint slide presentation. There were inconsistencies between the terminology used in the slides and the terminology used in the handout in this cycle. The main findings of Cycle 2 were that I had grown more confident in the process and the use of the content. Again, there was a generally positive acceptance of the process and the content of the workshop. The group was able to provide more work examples of the use of the concepts thereby increasing my knowledge of complex adaptive systems and the concepts. Similar comments to those experienced in Cycle 1 were evident revealing the start of some consistency in the findings. There were fewer suggestions for improvement than had been generated by Cycle 1. There was no disconfirming evidence presented during Cycle 2. Major findings. Participants made the following points about the six attributes. Attribute 1. Expectations of an organisation’s capacity to adapt increase where there is greater input from the external environment. Further, some organisations may strive to be linear, closed, and in equilibrium! Organisations have generally become more open through advances in technology such as phones, faxes, computer connectivity and e-mail. This attribute is facilitated through technology ie. E-mail. Attribute 2. What about adaptation to anticipated changes? Participants were interested in exploring whether there could be proactive adaptation; for example pre_______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 99 _____________________________________________________________________ empting what may happen in the external environment and planning for it. Organisations can ignore or misread the signs in the external environment. Individuals can also misread the signs. Participants felt that, as consultants, they will often consider the impact of change in an organisation before adaptation occurs. If an organisation has no experience it may ignore the requirement to adapt, however the opposite may also occur when extensive experience may inhibit adaptation activities. Attribute 3. Strongly embedded models and schemas are hard to change. Participants stated that models and schemas are hard to change, for example the Air Force is attempting to move from being a rules-based organisation to being a valuesbased organisation. This implies that one of the first steps would be to identify current models and schemas before any thought was given to what changes may be required. Participants felt that you would need to change the experience, through demonstrating regular behaviour, to change the model or schema. Leaders would need to model new behaviours to change the dominant models and schemas. Attribute 4. Participants felt that there can be groups or agents in organisations that can tend to dominate. We probably understand this subconsciously as management consultants ie who we need to speak to (influencers and powerbrokers of a client organisation). Further, rules and regulations in organisations will impact on particular behaviours and there will be predominant behaviours within particular groups. Attribute 5. Networks make things happen in organisations. Participants stated that a system in an organisation will bypass bad bits or blockages and achieve ‘workarounds’ to make things happen. This may be an indication that some processes have become redundant in an organisation. They also believed that the behaviour of agents in the system will be motivated by many desires, some of them political. Participants felt that, as consultants they had noticed that there is less human interaction now within/between units in the Air Force and this has an impact on selforganising behaviour. Attribute 6. There may be other catalysts ie regulatory requirements that impact on internal models and schemas. One could argue that regulatory requirements were some of the demands from the external environment that require adaptation internally. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 100 _____________________________________________________________________ What Changed. I gave considerable thought to the question raised by participants about proactive adaptation. My final view was that adaptation could be in response to either events or expectations of events in the external environment. Even expectations of events must be based on some cues from the external environment. In response to participant questions about the value of linear systems in organisations, I decided that linear representations constitute mainly graphical descriptions of what is supposed to occur in any given situation. What actually happens may or will be different from what was expected to happen. Formal linear systems allow people or agents a baseline from which to discuss self-organising changes. Participants also asked about the role leaders of organisations play in organisations when viewed as complex adaptive systems. My view was that they could ensure openness to the external environment and encourage agent interaction. Participants also asked what the opposite or alternative to complex adaptive systems is and also what is new about it. They also sought a more comprehensive explanation of the level of agent interaction. They suggested that for each attribute I ask if it is useful to them for better understanding the behaviour of organisations. They also suggested that I change the wording on the handout to match the wording on the slides. Changes to tool. I made additions to my notes on the slide (#7) ‘What are complex adaptive systems?’ to include that the alternative to complex adaptive systems, for organisations is a range of management theories that are based on Newtonian thinking ie. Analysis of the parts. I also noted that complex adaptive systems are multidisciplinary ie Quantum physics, genetics, biology, evolution, mathematics, computer sciences etc. and that complex adaptive systems are not particularly new, but that it was different in that it requires a new way of thinking about things. I added a question to all the concept slide and concepts summary slide notes: ‘what does this mean in terms of understanding organisations?’. Finally, an additional web site address (http://www.plexusinstitute.com/) was added to the original reading list. The web site offers further understanding of aspects of complex adaptive systems. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 101 _____________________________________________________________________ Findings – action research cycle 3 Starting assumptions People more experienced in organisational consulting will find the concepts more useful. The focus group workshop participants would appreciate the emphasis on application of the concepts to organisations. Major Findings Process – The tool works quite will with a small group but it is quite linear in nature. Content – Some participants consider the material too academic and participants absorb the material at different rates. Organisational structures can enhance or inhibit aggregation activity. What changed Process – the terminology on slides and handouts was further refined. Content – More specific questions were asked about the applicability of complex adaptive systems to understanding organisations. Table 5 – action research cycle 3 findings Starting assumptions. Action research Cycle 3 occurred in Edinburgh (S.A.) on 7 February 2003. For this cycle I was far more confident that what I had to present was of the standard that should elicit favourable responses. Although this will be a focus group with the smallest number of participants yet (2 people), their input, as two of the Agency’s most experienced consultants will be important. I thought that my confidence in the material and process would assist in me communicating the material in an effective manner. With such a small group there may be more or less pressure on the participants to offer input, this could lead to rushed rather than considered responses. The desirable outcome for this cycle would be a similar outcome to previous cycles in that they would offer suggestions for improvement to the content and the process of the focus group. They would also hopefully be able to offer more suggestions as to how complex adaptive systems could be applied in management consulting work. I was still confident that the content and process of the focus groups could be further improved and that the expertise within this team will provide a greater focus on the application of the concepts of complex adaptive systems to understanding organisations. A higher again level of confidence on my part should increase the chance for an optimal outcome. When I am more relaxed I should be more attentive to how the participants are relaxing and what they are _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 102 _____________________________________________________________________ saying. Another factor, which may have been relevant, is that this focus group workshop was conducted in the morning so that participants may have been more fresh and enthusiastic. Previous workshops had been conducted in the afternoon. Major findings. After the workshop I felt that the outcomes had been achieved but not in the way I had expected. One participant got more from the focus group than they had anticipated and found it very interesting and useful. They were able to add some very good points for improving the next focus group and for using complex adaptive systems in understanding organisations. The second participant, although an experienced consultant, was more challenged by the ‘academic’ nature of some of the material. Where he was able to add value was in the application of the theory to organisational environments. He was also able to give some excellent advice on how to make the presentation more ‘people friendly’, particularly in terms of the handout. The focus group workshop reinforced the view that people will continue to be challenged by the very level of the material in terms of its complexity. It also confirmed that most people will need time to think about the concepts raised and how they can be applied to increase organisational understanding. The comments provided assisted in the further refinement of the process and of the content. What I learned this cycle was that the process that I employ works with a small group quite well. It was more intimate and individual questions could be answered more fully as more time was available. It did not appear to put undue pressure on the fewer participants to contribute. Some good suggestions were made on how to amend the handout notes to remove the linear nature of some of the educative part of the focus group process. The group, based on its extensive experience with consulting in organisations, was able to offer some good ideas about how the concepts of complex adaptive systems could be used in understanding organisations. Although I had resolved some version control problems with the slides and handouts, there were still some refinements to be done in terms of the terminology used. The main findings for Cycle 3 were that different individuals would absorb the material in different ways and at different rates. People also need time to think about how to apply the concepts in organisational settings. I also found that it was possible _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 103 _____________________________________________________________________ to refine and improve the handout and the presentation to a higher degree based on the feedback received. I found that it is paradoxical to present material on complex adaptive systems, which is inherently non-linear, in a linear manner. However, it is the method by which we are used to learning so to use a non-linear teaching method (if there was one!) would be challenging for participants on a number of levels. Attribute 1. Organisations will often apply linear methods and processes to make sense of the complexity of the work environment. Commercial organisations now need to be more adaptive as change in the environment is now more rapid; particularly in service industries. Organisations are now more open than they ever used to be, especially commercial organisations. Attribute 2. Organisations can be forced to make changes in response to changes in the external environment whether they have previous experience with these types of changes or not. Attribute 3. Participants in this focus group workshop felt that the Air Force was very keen to ask members of the APS and contractors to comply with Air Force models and schemas, rather than considering some of the value that might come from examining others’ models and schemas. As one participant stated, we are very slowly adapting to some of their ways of thinking. Attribute 4. Participants in this group felt that the Air Force needs to do more to encourage the aggregation aspect of this attribute. They felt that personnel still work in too many stovepipes and do not get the opportunity to interact with a sufficiently wide range of other people in the Air Force. They also noted, however, that the Air Force is, currently targeting specific groups to change the emergent schemas and models ie the SLT through the ALP, Recruits and Officer Trainees. Attribute 5. We must accept that organisations will continue to change over time. We can’t expect things to remain the same over time. People in organisations will often take comfort from predictability and routine, and organisational and personal change will create levels of stress. For a relatively traditional organisation such as the Air Force, introducing new things without having a link to the past is fraught with danger. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 104 _____________________________________________________________________ Attribute 6. Participants made the comment that, in Air Force, new agents will cause many of these changes ie. executive changeover. They also made the point that in the Air Force some agents ‘rely’ on the ability of other agents to interact and develop sound internal models and schemas. For example unit commanders will rely on their Senior Non-Commissioned Officers to develop sound methods for achieving the unit mission. What I learned from this cycle, in terms of complex adaptive systems, is that, depending on the nature of an organisation’s business and the nature of its operating environment, it may need to be rapidly adaptable to survive. Aggregation activity may need to be encouraged through more effective organisational structures that bring personnel into contact with others with dissimilar views and from different work areas. What Changed. Participants suggested that I change a couple of the slides to remove the confusion between attributes and concepts. The handout also needed to be changed to reflect the above. They also suggested that I cover the attributes in the current order but that I do not number them on the slides or in the handout. Changing the heading on the handout to “Attributes of Complexity Theory” was also suggested. Lastly, participants suggested changing the questions after each discussion of attributes to: 1. How does this help in understanding organisations? (general), and 2. What about understanding the Air Force or the MSA? Changes to tool. In light of the above suggestions the concept number, ie. ‘Concept 1’ was removed from the six slides that introduced the concepts. Two questions were now added to my notes on each concept slide: ‘How does this help in understanding organisations?(general), What about understanding the Air Force or the MSA? (specific)’. The layout of the handout was changed to show attributes arranged in a circle around the title. Findings – action research cycle 4 Starting assumptions This focus group workshop will be the most effective thus far, based on the feedback from the previous three. People who have a tendency to think in concrete terms will be challenged by the concepts of complex adaptive systems. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 105 _____________________________________________________________________ Major Findings Process – The tool will work with pragmatic participants. One should not prejudge how the material will be absorbed by individuals. Content – More ideas were provided on how the concepts could be applied including interaction between internal and external agents. What changed Process – The use of colour in the handout. An explanation of who would have access to research findings and a fuller explanation of the parts of the focus group workshop. Content – More time was given to participants to absorb the attributes before commencing with the definition of terms. Table 6 – action research cycle 4 findings Starting assumptions. Action research Cycle 4 occurred in Melbourne (Vic.) on 12 February 2003. For this cycle I was conscious of conducting the focus group workshop early in my visit to the team. In other cases, I had conducted the focus group workshop near the end of my visit with the team. Conducting the focus group workshop early in the visit could mean that participants have the visit, and issues they wish to raise, on their minds and may be less relaxed than they might be later in the visit. Further, the handout that I use during the focus group has changed quite significantly in format so it should be interesting to see how it is accepted. The revised handout will either help a lot or they will recommend that it return to what it was previously. Conducting the focus group workshop early in the team visit meant that the interaction within the group could have been more stilted. This possibility may have increased my level of apprehension. Another fact that weighed on my mind was that one of the focus group members is very matter-of-fact and thinks in very concrete terms. I was not sure how he would respond to the more intangible and conceptual nature of the complex adaptive systems material. A desirable outcome for this cycle would be that the group would warm quickly to the idea of being exposed to the new material and can offer some good pragmatic advice not only on the content of the focus group but also on the focus group process. A second desirable outcome is that the team gets something positive from the material in terms of learnings and exposure to new ways of thinking about organisations. I would like to think that not only my objectives are achieved but also that the team consider the exercise worthwhile. If I get positive feedback, particularly from the pragmatic member of the team it could mean that what I have been _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 106 _____________________________________________________________________ proposing has appeal to a wider range of people, some of whom have a preference for a higher degree of structure. I needed to get myself into a confident and easygoing state before commencing the focus group. Despite my inward concerns I needed to ensure that I proceeded at a leisurely pace and provide plenty of practical examples to explain Doolittle’s model. I needed to reinforce to myself that it was acceptable for participants to disagree with what I was presenting and that I should not become defensive of the material I was putting forward for their consideration. These considerations were viewed as important given the nature of this cycle. Major findings. The desired outcomes of this focus group workshop were achieved. The group quickly warmed to the ideas presented and the potential concerns with the more matter-of-fact member of the group did not unfold. I formed the impression that they had been looking forward to the focus group workshop. Furthermore, two members of the group had been exposed to Senior Executive Seminars that introduced the concept of self-organising systems by Rod Anderson. I was able to provide more detail than had been available during the Seminars, particularly on how the concepts could be applied. I was satisfied with these outcomes as the group was able to provide some very valuable feedback that could be folded into the next cycle. For example, they suggested that I provide more time after introducing an attribute for the participants in the focus group to digest it. I learned from this cycle not to necessarily, pre-judge how people will take to the material that I present. Whereas I had some initial concerns about how one member of the group would react, he provided some valuable insights into how the presentation may be improved, how the concepts could be used in a consulting capacity, and how the handout could be further improved. The group also provided some good insights into how external agents can interact with internal agents to create interventions within organisations or operate as catalysts to create internal agent interaction leading to updated models and schemas. This may provide useful insight for areas of further study. The main finding from Cycle 4 were not to pre judge how people might react to the material presented. I also learned to provide more time for focus group participants to absorb each concept before commencing discussion about it. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 107 _____________________________________________________________________ Participants in this cycle offered the following comments about the six attributes. Attribute 1. Being open can mean being open to more than one defined environment. For example, open for MSA also means being open to management ideas from the private sector. Managers and individual workers can be assisted in understanding the far from equilibrium nature of their work and their organisation. Some levels of disequilibrium are created internally in the organisation; for example the Air Force posting cycle will decrease the level of equilibrium in affected work places. The Air Force posting cycle creates levels of disequilibrium. Most managers will accept far from equilibrium behaviour but only up to a point (bifurcation point?). Most managers accept levels of disequilibrium but only within set control limits. Participants felt that managers often see it as their role to create a level of equilibrium in the organisation. Despite this, participants believed that the Air Force was attempting to become more open. Attribute 2. The Air Force creates contingency plans based on prediction. Contingency plans will attempt to consider possible future scenarios in the external environment. Further, the validity of particular experience needs to be tested each time a ‘new’ situation arises. Where there are low levels of experience or no experience there is generally greater fear of the unknown. In Air Force, adaptation to quickly changing environments can lead to ‘knee-jerk’ reactions. And finally, participants felt that experience in an organisation can become redundant if the external environment changes significantly. Attribute 3. As mentioned with this attribute in cycle 4, participants made the point that, clients may have to be confronted with their models and schemas – which may be unwritten and unspoken – in order to examine their utility. They also made the point that organisational behaviour and models and schemas could be based on a desire for ‘efficiency’, for example casualty departments at hospitals and identifying causes of trauma. Attribute 4. The process of interaction between agents takes time as does the aggregation process. This time requirement could be important if the rate of change in the environment is rapid. As noted in the previous cycle, the emergent behaviours may not be acceptable to all agents. Participants believed that ‘values’ would form a _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 108 _____________________________________________________________________ component of models and schemas that that they would therefore be difficult to change. Attribute 5. Good ideas can come from any level in the organisation. As consultants, participants felt that they could be used to assist the good ideas come out ie. facilitate the dynamic constructive process. They also made the point that, organisational dysfunction occurs where bosses put a cap on emergent behaviour. This may however, be merely part of the active constructive process. The participants also noted, however, that, the speed of emergent behaviour will vary between and within organisations. They also made the intuitive comment that just about all of their suggestions for changes within organisations come from within the organisation itself, indicating that, as consultants, they facilitate the self-organising process. We are often seen as the medium that connects the boss with his/her people. Attribute 6. Participants in this group mentioned that, a MSA team model will change if one member of that team does a job with another team. This implies that agent interaction across organisational boundaries will be beneficial for both organisations. They felt that they could assist their clients by helping them understand where agent interaction is occurring within their organisations. What I learned about the concepts is that openness can refer to more than one environment. Further, disequilibrium can be created intentionally within organisations. Experience held within organisations can become redundant and the agent interaction and aggregation process takes time. Lastly, I learned that the speed of emergent behaviour will vary. What Changed. For the next cycle I was asked to update the handout to reflect different colours to assist in identification of which attribute I am referring to. It was also suggested that I give more time for participants to digest each attribute after I have read it out and before I commence the definitions. The participants also made the suggestion that I explain what I want from each attribute at the commencement of Part 2 of the focus group. Changes to tool. To the ‘Structure of Workshop’ slide (#2) I added comments in my notes to more fully explain the parts ie. ‘explain what I think complex adaptive systems are, explain the six attributes of complex adaptive systems, reflection and feedback, and I have a handout to assist.’ I also added notes to say that, not only my _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 109 _____________________________________________________________________ thesis, but also the results of the research would be made available to Air Force and Agency. In the ‘Why you and Management Services?’ slide (#4), I added the comment of having easy access to the teams but that this created the methodological problem of me also being in ‘control’. On slides #10 & 11 ‘Organisations and world in which they come from’ I removed the comment from my notes that they were Rod Anderson’s slides but acknowledged him as the source of the data. On the complex adaptive systems summary slide (#13) I deleted ‘think about organisations you have worked with, or MSA, or the Air force (a level thing)’ and added, ‘What I want from each attribute from you: 1. Use for thinking about organisations in general, 2. Use for thinking about MSA. How we can/could apply the attribute.’ I added a note to myself on each concept slide – ‘Time to take in’ meaning give the group time to think about the concept before explaining what the concept means. Finally, on slide #16 my explanation of Internal Models or Schemas was changed from asking a question – Do you think that organisations have particular ways of seeing things and then dealing with things? ie a standard way of responding to events? How things are done around here. to Organisations have a standard way of responding to events or how things are done around here. Findings – action research cycle 5 Starting assumptions The use of complex adaptive systems concepts may be more challenging for people who work in and with extremely pragmatic client organisations. The concepts may be seen to have less relevance to these types of organisations. Some of the participants suggestions for how the concepts can be used might be quite different from the other groups. Major Findings Process – I needed to develop a way to deal with opposing views in the focus group workshop. It is also counterproductive to rush the workshop. Content – Shared experiences within an organisation can be a significant issue in self-organising and aggregation activity. Recognising the need to adapt and adapting are two different things. What changed Process – I needed to take more time with definitions and place more emphasis on the question of applicability of the concepts to the Air Force Content - Include a definition of a simple system and explaining why there are only six concepts in the model presented. Table 7 – action research cycle 5 findings _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 110 _____________________________________________________________________ Starting assumptions. Action research Cycle 5 occurred in Williamtown (N.S.W.) on 18 February 2003. The salient features of Cycle 5 were that this group should be the largest yet that I have worked with. The group also works with very pragmatic clients and, as such, the team must provide very pragmatic solutions. This may mean that they think what I introduce will be of no use to them in their work situation with their clients. Although I learned after cycle 4 that I should not prejudge people, I felt that some members of this group might struggle with the conceptual nature of the material. Having said that, one member of the group is a very experienced consultant with international consulting experience. The size of the group could well have an impact on the outcome of the focus group because there may be less opportunity for interaction. The focus group workshop may also take longer to conduct. Further, the clients that this group works with may affect their views on the usefulness of the material. The desirable outcome would be that a larger focus group leads to a more comprehensive outcome. Previous experience has shown that, notwithstanding pragmatic clients, complex adaptive systems have something to offer them in terms of organisational understanding. These would be desirable outcomes because it would mean that Dolittle’s model of complex adaptive systems is useful for organisational understanding with a wider range of cleints. Again, I believed that if I used numerous examples of aspects of complex adaptive systems in organisations in general and within the MSA in particular, it would assist focus group participants in gaining an understanding. Major findings. My post focus group reflections were that my outcomes were achieved, although I was not happy with my presentation of the material. As I had thought, some members of the group were quite critical of the material presented, however there was a range of views and some opposing views on the same issue were presented. I found that I needed to establish a method of dealing with contradictory views within the focus group. Apart from recording on butchers’ paper what the contradictory views were, I had no other strategy prepared. I decided that I still wanted the outcomes of the focus group, as there were some good suggestions made about how I could improve the presentation of the material and how an additional handout may assist participants. I believed that by using the input from the group the presentation could be improved and my understanding of complex adaptive systems _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 111 _____________________________________________________________________ improved, particularly with respect of how it can assist with understanding organisations. What I learned from the situation of Cycle 5 was that the group was not as large as I had originally though due the absence of one member. Further, there was limited time to conduct the focus group and that made me overly conscious of how long the focus group was going to take. I needed to ensure that, in future, I take the time to introduce the material in an unhurried manner. Having limited time available made me apprehensive at the start of the presentation and this showed through in the lack of confidence in my delivery. The focus group workshop participants provided some good but contradictory advice that probably arose due to their individual preference. Where a contradiction exists I would await further evidence before making a change to the process or to the content. The main findings of this cycle were that people within groups would not necessarily agree with each other and that I needed to develop ways of dealing with this from both a content and process perspective. I also learned that I could not rush the focus group process and if there were time constraints in future, I should delay the workshop rather than attempt to shorten it. I received disconfirming evidence for the first time and will need to ensure if the same evidence is found again that I will need to develop a process of exploring the difference. In terms of the focus group workshop process, I found that the use of the tool couldn’t be rushed. As complex concepts are being discussed, time is required for explanation and for participants to absorb the information; this cannot be done quickly. Attribute 1. Participants stated that people will think in linear terms in an effort to make sense of non-linear reality. People within organisations think of their jobs in linear terms as a way of making sense of them. Some participants felt that this attribute is self-evident, too general and too subjective to be useful, but that it still provides a reference point for the other attributes. The attribute is subjective but still provides a reference point. They thought that because most people will generally view equilibrium as a good thing, some clients may have trouble understanding this attribute. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 112 _____________________________________________________________________ Attribute 2. Participants believed that, other factors may influence adaptation other than previous experience. Experience and the capacity to adapt are two quite different things, however. Whereas the organisation may identify the need to adapt, it may not have the resources to do so. In organisations like the Air Force, shared collective experiences can be quite dominant in adaptation activities. Strong personalities can also influence organisational behaviours. Attribute 3. Participants felt that, where there were limited shared experiences in organisations, this attribute would be constrained. As consultants, they felt that it was their responsibility to understand the client’s models and schemas, and point out where they thought that the models and schemas might be inhibiting appropriate adaptive behaviour. In assisting with change, they believed they would seek successful role models to model behaviours which will change the existing models and schemas that are not appropriate. Attribute 4. Agents may choose not to contribute to interaction with other agents. Participants felt that the challenge for consultants would be to stimulate agent interaction, and therefore the aggregation process. The ability to influence, and range of diversity of views, is important in this attribute. This implied that all agents are not equally influential and that the more diverse the range of view offered, the more likely that effective adaptation can occur. Some participants offered a “so what?” response to this attribute stating, “that’s life anyway.” Acknowledging that this is how life works is nevertheless valuable in thinking about the other concepts. Attribute 5. While mentioning some of the comments that had been mentioned in previous cycles, this group also believed that some models and schemas are not tested sufficiently. This referred to not only the relevance of the models and schemas to the external environment but also to their currency. They also felt that evidence of this behaviour in an organisation could be viewed as an indication of a healthy organisation. A negative side of the attribute that they pointed out was that, if viewed in a negative sense the attribute can contribute to learned helplessness. This means that the ability of the organisation to adapt is compromised by its models and schemas. Attribute 6. Participants felt that, as consultants, investigating this attribute may help us understand who the influencers are in an organisation. They also felt _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 113 _____________________________________________________________________ that influential agents within the organisation would have more leverage in how things are done in organisations; not all agents have the same influence. Participants also felt that understanding this attribute could also assist in understanding change in organisations: we, as consultants, need to understand a client’s organisation, his models and schemas. What Changed. As a facilitator, I was required to take more time in explaining the attribute definitions, and explain why there were only six attributes. I was also asked to define what a system was earlier during the focus group. From a process point of view, I had to remind myself to ensure that my equipment (laptop computer and lite pro data projector) were set up and working properly prior to commencing the focus group workshop. Changes to tool. The ‘Background’ slide (#3) had comments added to the notes that included the definition of ‘simple systems are input-process-output’. At slide #13, I added the comments in the notes section of why there were only six attributes ie, only six attributes were distilled from the literature reviewed as part of the research process. On all the concept slides I added a note to myself to ‘take time with definitions’. On all the concept slides I bolded the text on the note ‘What about understanding the Air Force or the MSA? (specific)’ meaning to put more emphasis on the question. Findings – action research cycle 6 Starting assumptions While suggestions for minor changes to the tool are expected, after 5 cycles the expectation of suggestions for fundamental changes to the tool should be more remote in terms of both process and content. If there are many suggestions for improvement then further cycles may have to be conducted, which I do not have the time to undertake. The inclusion of a ‘visitor’ from the first cycle will not put off participants in this cycle if I explain the rationale for his involvement. Major Findings Process – the more cycles that are conducted the fewer suggestions for improvements there are. Content – there were fewer questions about the content than were evident in the earlier cycles. As this was the last cycle no changes were made to the focus group workshop process or content. What changed Table 8 – action research cycle 6 findings _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 114 _____________________________________________________________________ Starting assumptions. This is the final in my action research cycles. Notwithstanding this, and my desire to complete my research, I needed to maintain my consistency in the delivery of the material in the focus group workshop. I would be concerned if many new ideas for improvement came out of this last cycle as there have been steadily fewer suggestions for improvement over the most recent cycles for either content or process. The situation was also going to be slightly different for the group, as a participant from cycle 1 was to be present. His presence was to determine whether there had been improvements in process and content since the cycle 1. As this participant was not a member of the Richmond team, it may also have affected the dynamic and behaviour of the group. The participation of ‘x’ may affect the way the group behaves as he is not from the Richmond team. Given these salient features, the desirable outcome was the general acceptance of complex adaptive systems as a way of understanding organisations. Suggestions for minor improvements would also be expected. Those were the desirable outcomes as they were consistent with previous cycle outcomes. They would be desirable because they would assist in my understanding of complex adaptive systems, and secondly improve the process of the focus group workshop. I felt that if I took my time the focus group workshop should run well. I also believed that, I will also need to take time to explain the action research process and the inclusion of the outside member of the group for objectivity in the research process. If the feedback from the previous cycles was reliable, and if I took my time, there should be a good level of understanding of the content by the focus group workshop participants. Major findings. Action research Cycle 6 occurred in Richmond (N.S.W.) on 26 February 2003. The outcomes of the focus group workshop were largely achieved. The impact of the outsider sitting-in on the focus group workshop did not seem to put off any of the participants. There also seemed to be a general level of interest in the material and there were various improvement suggestions offered. The outcomes of the focus group workshop were generally positive and the participants felt that they could use the complex adaptive systems concepts in their work with clients. The outcomes add to my confidence that the attributes can assist organisational practitioners understand client organisational behaviour. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 115 _____________________________________________________________________ What I learned from this cycle was that as the number of action research cycles increases the amount of variation between them decreases so that there appear to be fewer surprises in the later cycles. The interest evoked through the earlier cycles wanes somewhat where less new suggestions for improvement are made. I also found that I would probably need to conduct a focus group workshop for a different group of people outside the MSA to see if they had similar views notwithstanding a lack of formal training in management consulting. Attribute 1. In organisations, non-equilibrium and sustainability must be issues. For Air Force this will include issues such as organisational and operational tempo. Newer and younger members of the Air Force are demanding some internal policies be changed due to their differing expectations of what they want from the experience of being in the Air Force. The younger people coming into the organisation through the recruiting process are having greater impact as they have different expectations of what they want from Air Force and how long they expect to serve causing Air Force to rethink its policies and causing internal change. Where organisations get into trouble is often where they have been unable to adapt to the changes imposed through being open to the external environment. Attribute 2. We (Air Force/Defence) acknowledge experience but whether we value it is the question! Defence and Air Force’s promotion system, for example, is based largely on experience. Whether the organisation values these people and, in particular their experience, is the moot point. Internal systems in the Air Force are designed to increase the experience levels of staff; for example the posting system is designed to expose people to a range of different roles and experiences. The down side to this is that just as people can become productive they can be posted out. The Air Force attempts to use experience in ‘lessons learned’ activities however the challenge is actually implementing changes based on the experience gained. Participants felt that, as an organisation, the Air Force can often fail to capitalise on its learnings. Attribute 3. Participants felt that openness, education, and awareness of the external environment could affect this attribute. We need to increase our exposure to alternative ways to change our models and schemas. One participant believed that the attribute indicated ‘business as usual’ and was really nothing new. Other participants pointed out that many change initiatives in the Air Force in that past have _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 116 _____________________________________________________________________ not considered the human aspects of the change to a sufficient degree. Further, there are numerous internal barriers, in the form of policies and rules that inhibit useful organisational development. As consultants, they felt that we can attempt to influence only. Attribute 4. Participants in this group felt that some of the work with the Air Force’s Senior Leadership Team had not yet cascaded to lower levels of the Air Force organisation. Nevertheless, they felt that, we, as consultants can attempt to influence the aggregation behaviour of agents. They were also quick to point out that they could work at multiple levels within the organisations they worked in to influence and facilitate the aggregation process. Attribute 5. Participants felt that ‘actively constructed’ would mean, determined steps are taken rather than this happening by chance. They felt that workshops they ran in client’s organisations encouraged this type of behaviour and that the voices of all agents would be heard through this more structured and facilitated process. They accepted that they could only act as facilitators of the process, however. Attribute 6. Participants felt that the Air Force’s organisational boundaries are becoming looser in terms of agents interacting more with the external environment. They felt that, as consultants, they could identify all the attributes of a client organisation’s models and schemas. They felt that it was their role to assist client organisations to challenge the way things are done internally. What Changed. Although no other cycles were to be conducted, focus group workshop participants were asked to suggest improvements. Some suggestions were; use lower case text in the handout – the way we normally read, provide some information and even pre-reading prior to the focus group, and the concepts are difficult to fully digest in a three hour session. Because it was the last cycle, these changes were not made to the tool described in Appendices B, C, and H. Findings research question 1 Research question one is; is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation? The literature review in Chapter 2 indicated that through distilling much of the writing on complex adaptive systems and organisations, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 117 _____________________________________________________________________ Doolittle’s model appeared as relevant as others and perhaps more comprehensive to use for the dual purposes of increasing understanding of complex adaptive systems as they relate to organisational understanding, and for practical applicability. Chapter 2 indicated that Doolittle’s model was relevant for this research. Through the action research process I have attempted to examine whether the model is practical and useful for organisational consultants to use. The first iteration of the focus group workshop tool was challenging from both the researcher’s and the participant’s point of view, however, based on the feedback from participants through the pilot study and the five other cycles, and the researcher’s growing understanding of the application of complex adaptive systems a practical tool was developed. In terms of the findings for content, this can be broken down into a number of areas. Firstly, in terms of understanding the concepts of complex adaptive systems there were various views with the general consensus that the concepts were useful. Although the terminology was challenging at first, with terms like non-linear, open, equilibrium, schemas, agents etc, MSA consultants could see how to apply them in the work environment to assist clients, not only in organisational understanding but also in other consulting tasks such as reviews. Consultants could encourage organisations they work with to become more open to their external environment through activities such as planning. MSA consultants appeared keen to apply the concepts in their work. Although a couple of individuals felt that some of the concepts were too general to be useful, the first in particular, others believed that they could be applied successfully. The aspects of the concepts that discuss agent experience appeared to strike a chord with MSA consultants. As the Air Force recruits at the junior level and grows its people, experience is an important issue in the organisation and evidenced in many of its structures and processes. They could see how these experience levels impact, both positively and negatively, to a high degree on aggregation processes and the establishment of models and schemas. The value of Concept 2, in terms of levels of experience, was also discussed as it related to the MSA organisation. Focus group participants acknowledged the value of Concept 3 in understanding organisations. Having said that, the concept’s contention can either be viewed positively or negatively, depending on the usefulness of the models and schemas and their fit with the current external environment. It was also _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 118 _____________________________________________________________________ acknowledged that much of the work of internal management consultants is in attempting to change existing models and schemas. From a consultant intervention perspective Concept 3 was seen as being more useful than Concept 2. The size of the client organisation, and the number of levels within it, was seen as being a relevant factor in applying Concept 4. MSA consultants viewed this concept very much in terms of organisational change interventions, and discussed the concept in terms of change models that they had applied for clients. While it was seen that MSA consultants could use this concept with clients, in terms of stimulating agent interaction, it was acknowledged that the process would only be effective over a longer time frame. MSA consultants can assist with the aggregation process in organisations. Just as MSA consultants can assist with aggregation processes participants also felt that they could assist with emergent behaviours within client organisations. Possibly because of the level at which much of the MSA work is done within the Air Force organisation, there was a high degree of agreement about the formal and informal aspects of organisational behaviour. Many felt that, when they worked with a client, they actively facilitated the self-organising process. Some people felt that Concept 5 could lead to learned helplessness if models and schemas were not sufficiently tested. Concept 6 was seen as being relevant, not only for client organisations but also for the MSA. Of interest, in almost all of the concepts discussed, MSA consultants took a very human view of the impact of the concept on individuals within the client’s organisation, and on the client himself or herself. Whereas Doolittle’s concept statements are impersonally written, they all require large amounts of human agent interaction within organisations. Although the concepts are written this way, MSA consultants could see how they would work with individuals as agents in organisations. Some participants felt that while the concepts were useful they were challenging to fully assimilate in a three-hour session. They felt, however, that complex adaptive systems provided a “how” to what actually happens in organisations rather than a “what” the organisation is supposed to look like and behave. In this _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 119 _____________________________________________________________________ respect the concepts provide a dynamic model that can be used for working within organisations. The general consensus of those involved in the focus groups was that the concepts were useful and could be applied in the work done with clients within the Air Force organisation. They could also be applied to the MSA organisation. In summary, it can safely be said that, within the confines of the Air Force organisation, and using MSA consultants, it is possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations within the Air Force to better understand their organisations. Findings research question 2 Research question two is; If it is possible to produce a practical tool, does it work? As the answer to research question 1 was a qualified yes, it is possible to produce a practical tool, then what we need to discern from the results is whether or not it works. The challenge in this respect is what constitutes a working tool. Is it merely a view that it can be applied or is it a more fundamental testing of the tool in use over a period of time? Doolittle’s concepts, when introduced through a focus group workshop tool, work in that MSA management consultants understand them and can apply them to what they see in client organisations within the Air Force. They have acknowledged that it provides a useful perspective and metaphor to examine and work with organisational understanding. It has provided them with a way to explain aspects of organisational understanding to their clients and to the client’s personnel. Participants in the focus group workshops also believed that they could apply the concepts in understanding their own organisation; the MSA. The concepts of complex adaptive systems provide a sound conceptual model for internal management consultants to use within the Air Force. The foregoing is not to say that Doolittle’s model is not without its shortcomings in terms of it providing a good, applied model. While the model is adequate at the conceptual level, it is challenging for practitioners to implement complex adaptive systems into their work. The model does not provide a “how to” list of activities that can be done in organisations to provide them with advantages accrued through thinking in complex systems terms. Indeed, some of the terminology used in Doolittle’s model could be changed to make it more ‘user friendly’ without _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 120 _____________________________________________________________________ losing its conceptual underpinnings. Elements of the model, such as the overlapping nature of its concepts, detract more from the model as an applied construct, notwithstanding their value at the conceptual level. While it may be possible to reword Doolittle’s overlapping concepts, any attempt to do so risks losing the general aspects of the original model and imposing an organisational contextual boundary around the concepts. This would also involve a degree of interpretation by the amender that would impose a filter for further interpretation. Although this research can conclude that the practical tools does work in the situation it was applied in, this probably needs to be tested further, possibly in longitudinal research within the one organisation and also with participants who are generalist managers rather than management consultants. Conclusion This chapter set out to outline the results of the research process. It has done this by explaining firstly the results of the pilot study, and secondly the findings of the action research cycles. The chapter then proceeded to address the findings in terms of answering research question 1 and research question 2. While the research questions can be answered from examination of the results, there are limitations and challenges with using Doolittle’s model in a practical sense. This research has contributed to the knowledge surrounding the application of complex adaptive systems to organisational understanding by firstly finding a model of complex adaptive systems (Doolittle’s), secondly developing a tool to introduce the model (Focus Group Workshop), and finally examining its utility with a group of experienced management consultants. It can now be acknowledged that while the concepts are challenging to understand and take time to fully comprehend, the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for organisational understanding can work. Further, it is possible to use action research to develop a process for enlightening experienced individuals in complex adaptive thinking and how to apply concepts of complex adaptive systems to organisational situations. In particular, MSA consultants can readily use complex adaptive systems in their understanding of organisational behaviour in the Air Force, and more specifically, Doolittle’s model of overlapping concepts in assisting Air Force clients in better understanding their organisations. My findings, and the focus group workshop tool developed, may be relevant to other _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 121 _____________________________________________________________________ organisations and perhaps to other groups of people with a reasonable understanding or organisational systems (Dick, 1993). The focus group workshop tool is explained at Appendices B, C, and H so that other researchers can use it if they wish. Although there were methodological problems in conducting six action research cycles over a relatively short period of time my findings remain relevant. An opportunity to conduct a seventh cycle with a different group of people who were less expert in organisational consulting may have proved valuable, however the time limitations of this study prevented such an activity. The implication of this for my research is in the generalisation of which I can make about my findings to other areas within Air Force in particular and to other organisations in general. This is discussed further in Chapter 5. Further, my methodology did not offer an alternative to complex adaptive systems for organisational understanding so there is nothing to say that there may be a better model for organisational understanding. It is important to point out, however, that none of the experienced consultants that took part in the focus groups suggested an alternative model either. A relevant question in a wider context of how an understanding of complex adaptive systems may assist us in understanding organisations is, ‘does the new understanding of organisations and networks as complex adaptive systems help us as managers or does it merely make us more comfortable with not being sure what we do?’ (Wollin et al., 2002). The very nature of complex adaptive systems means that to test this would provide significant methodological challenges. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 122 _____________________________________________________________________ CHAPTER 5 – CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS Introduction The intent of this chapter is to summarise the main arguments of the report and to conclude the report. This report commenced at Chapter 1 with providing a comprehensive background to a problem that exists for Air Force in the current environment and suggested that the use of aspects of complex adaptive systems may provide a way to overcome that problem. An exploration of the relevant literature in complex adaptive systems and how it relates to organisations was provided in Chapter 2. A suitable and relevant research methodology of action research was then explained and justified in Chapter 3. The application of this methodology produced results, which were analysed in Chapter 4. Chapter 5 concludes the report. This chapter will consist of this introduction, and then move on to discuss conclusions that can be drawn about the research questions. Conclusions about the research problems will then be discussed before moving on to discussing implications for the theory, and implications for policy and practice. How this might relate to private sector managers and to public sector policy analysts and managers will then be addressed. Finally the limitations of my research and opportunities for further research will be discussed. An outline of the chapter structure is provided below. Introduction Limitations Conclusions about research questions Conclusion about research problem Implications for the theory Public sector policy analysts and managers Private sector managers Implications for policy and practice Further research Figure 5. Diagrammatical Structure of Chapter 5 Conclusions about research questions This section will summarise the findings for each research question from Chapter 4 and explain these findings within the context of this and previous research _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 123 _____________________________________________________________________ reviewed in Chapter 2. It will indicate with which previous research the current research agrees and with which research it appears to contradict. It would be recalled that this report has examined whether it is possible to produce a practical tool that uses the overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation. The major research question is; Research Question 1: Is it possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisation? The practical tool developed to test this research question was a focus group workshop based on six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems. Because there was a requirement for the tool to be practical, it had to be tested, at least at the conceptual level. The secondary research question is; Research Question 2: If it is possible to produce a practical tool, does it work? The two research questions were approached by distilling the relevant literature on complex adaptive systems and arriving at what was thought was a reasonable model, based on the attributes of complex adaptive systems, for assisting management consultants and other interested parties in understanding their organisation and how people in that organisation behave and interact with each other and the environment over time. The model selected was that presented by Doolittle (2002). His model of six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems states that: 1. Organisations are non-linear, open, and far from equilibrium. 2. Organisational behaviour is a result of adaptation to the environment, based on experience. 3. Organisational behaviour is function of internal models or schemas that are the result of perceived regularities in experience. 4. Internal models and schemas are actively constructed, self-organised and emergent. 5. Internal models and schemas are a function of both agent interaction and existing internal models and schemas. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 124 _____________________________________________________________________ 6. Emergent global complex system behaviour involves the aggregate behaviour of agents. In order to test the applicability and usefulness of the model, it was trialled with six of the Air Force’s internal management consulting teams. I employed the technique of focus group workshops within the framework of an action research methodology. My belief was that through exposing the model to a range of experienced management practitioners I would learn how to develop the most useful and practical tool to introduce complex systems thinking to organisations. I therefore developed a basic focus group workshop structure that posed the six overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems for discussion. The intent of conducting the focus group workshops was, in Action Research terms, to learn both about the content of the focus group workshop (complex adaptive systems as it relates to organisational understanding) and also about the focus group workshop process (structure and flow) so as to continually improve the focus group workshop tool through further cycles and a process of personal active reflection as suggested by Dick (1998b). The finding for Research Question 1 was that complex adaptive systems and Doolittle’s model were found to be useful in the context they were explored in, although the terminology is new and challenging for people being exposed to complex adaptive systems for the first time. Complex adaptive systems are different to what people are familiar with and time needs to be devoted to fully explain the meaning of the concepts and the terminology. MSA consultants felt that Doolittle’s overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems appeared to build on each other with subtle similarities and differences between the concepts. They could see how they might apply all the concepts in client organisations albeit with some consultants expressing slight misgivings. All felt that the concepts dealt particularly well with the dynamism of organisational behaviour. Based on comments from focus group workshop participants, with respect to process, a better approach may have been to conduct two focus group workshops with a break in between. They felt that this may have allowed a wider and deeper understanding of complex adaptive systems and how it might relate to organisational understanding. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 125 _____________________________________________________________________ The exploration of Doolittle’s model through the focus group workshop tool revealed that Air Force internal management consultants understand the concepts and can develop ideas on how they can apply them in organisations. It provides them with a way to explain aspects of organisational behaviour to their clients and members of organisations. They believe that Doolittle’s concepts can be used effectively within the Air Force organisation and that they can be explained by using the focus group workshop tool. While Doolittle’s model is adequate at the conceptual level, it is challenging for management consultants to implement in their work. The model does not provide a “how to” list that can be used to implement the concepts in an organisation. Some of the terminology in Doolittle’s model could be changed to make the concepts more user friendly without changing the meaning of the concept. Some focus group workshop participants felt that Doolittle’s first concept was too general to be of much use to management consultants and further, that clients who do not understand complex adaptive systems would have trouble coping with the concept. Some focus group workshop participants felt that Doolittle’s fifth concept could lead to learned helplessness if models and schemas are not sufficiently tested. Focus group workshop participants took Doolittle’s first concept to mean that good organisations should aspire to be non-linear, open, and far from equilibrium as this is where they can be the most adaptive and responsive. Overall, my results for Research Question 1 indicate that in the Air Force, and using MSA consultants, it is possible to produce a practical tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of organisations to better understand their organisations. Focus group workshop participants felt that the focus group workshop was a good way of introducing the concepts to organisational management consultants. Research Question 2 built on Research Question 1 and sought to assess, at least at the conceptual level, whether or not the focus group workshop tool would work. In terms of process, and in addition to the findings for Research Question 1, participants in the focus group workshops felt that a handout should be provided as an aide memoire for use during the focus group to make recall, and therefore, discussion easier. They also felt more time to explain the concepts and providing some examples assisted in comprehension. The paradox with attempting to answer Research _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 126 _____________________________________________________________________ Question 2 is that it runs counter to one of the attributes of complex adaptive systems in that cause and effect are often distant in time and space. It is therefore difficult to tell whether the tool has worked in the time frame available for this research at any but the most rudimentary level. After six cycles of the action research focus group workshops, I believe I now have a tool that I can effectively use to introduce Air Force internal management consultants to the value of using Doolittle’s overlapping concepts of complex adaptive systems to better understand organisations. The tool that I have developed is the focus group workshop, based on Doolittle’s model, that I have designed. I have trialled it with internal management consultants and found that whereas it works with this group, it is demanding to use and the concepts of complex adaptive systems are difficult for participants to grasp conceptually in the short period of time of the focus group workshop. Throughout the research process I made some significant changes to the working model of the focus group workshop such that it can now be used in an effective and efficient manner to introduce concepts of complex adaptive systems to Air Force management consultants. It will be recalled from Chapter 2 that one of the gaps identified in published research was that no researcher has attempted to develop and implement a tool that uses the concepts of complex adaptive systems to assist members of an organisation to better understand it. For this reason there is little relevant previous research that my results can be compared against to determine where there is agreement or disagreement. The work of those researchers that have described findings as close as possible to my research have been utilised. Indeed some have suggested that complex adaptive systems thinking cannot simply be applied to organisations (Stacey, 2003). Some of the data from the focus group workshops suggested relevance for the organisational activity of strategic planning. This is similar to the research in Westpac and Royal Dutch/Shell who embraced elements of complex adaptive systems in setting their strategic agenda for the future. The Shell experience, although it is unclear what processes they employed, found that experimentation, rapid learning, and seizing the momentum of success was a much better approach to setting a strategic agenda for the future than that offered by traditional management methods. They found that solutions to ongoing challenges were best generated by the people closest to the action. This is consistent with the view expressed by some focus group _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 127 _____________________________________________________________________ workshop participants who have conducted interventions and strategic planning activities in Air Force units. Some aspects of integrating complex adaptive systems thinking into organisations may be seen as challenging for conventional, hierarchical organisations. For example, pushing decision-making down as much as possible, encouraging top down and bottom up reporting of information, active searching at all levels, and nurturing informal as well as formal communication channels as suggested by Czerwinkski (1998) will challenge a military organisation. While some researchers have attempted to show how changes in management styles have changed over the last decade (Pina e Cunha et.al. 2001) there is little available research on how to implement complex adaptive systems thinking into modern management style. The Air Force’s Senior Executive Seminars and the work that the Senior Leadership Team undertake have exposed participants to modern management thinking, but have stopped short of advocating complex adaptive systems thinking. There has been some experimentation will command and control paradigms, chaos and complex adaptive systems in a couple of large consulting and service companies but details of what they have found are not available. The general move though, has been from one of management of the individual to management of the group. As Wollin et.al.(2002) found, many organisational researchers have avoided complex adaptive systems because it deals with a level of abstraction that may be too high for most people within an organisation. As noted in my results, however, it was found by Air Force internal management consultants to be a useful way to explain the behaviour of a dynamic system. Although Zimmerman, Lindberg and Plsek (1998) proposed nine principles for using complex adaptive systems in organisations, they did not examine how these principles would work in a real organisation. One of their principles, go for multiple actions at the fringes, let direction arise, proposes experimentation, which is consistent with the suggestions of other researchers. Should Air Force internal management consultants choose to use complex adaptive systems behaviour as a generative metaphor for organisational behaviour they will be faced with numerous challenges, as already discussed, but they will also see some benefits. Previous research into Air Force culture, discussed in Chapter 2, indicates that the Air Force culture is relatively homogeneous and personnel who participated in a culture survey in 1998 believed that things should be different in the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 128 _____________________________________________________________________ future. This is consistent with the perception of Air Force personnel held by Air Force’s internal management consultants. Sadly, the Air Force 1998 Culture Survey showed that there was a degree of scepticism about the use of intuition and that there was a preference for hard measures. Further, there was also a tendency for Air Force personnel to have an inwards-looking, rather than external focus. Again, these views were confirmed by focus group workshop participants. In the 1998 Air Force Cultural Assessment Project survey there was also a preference expressed by respondents for the more traditional methods of work. These preferred traditional work methods are acceptable for encouraging agent interaction, as suggested by focus group workshop participants, however it was acknowledged that effort will need to be extended to encourage a more external, outward-looking focus. In conclusion, this section summarised the research process adopted and the main findings for Research Question 1 and Research Question 2. It then examined these findings in light of what other researchers, summarised in Chapter 2, have found. Conclusions about research problem This section of the chapter discusses the qualitative findings about the research problem that have been developed during the research which have not been considered in the literature reviewed in Chapter 2. It will include those insights discovered during the focus group workshops that have not been considered in Chapter 2. It may be recalled that the general problem that this report addresses is organisational understanding in the Air Force. Complex adaptive systems, it was suggested, if used as a generative metaphor, may add richness to people’s understanding of their organisations, particularly in the Air Force, and particularly for internal organisational management consultants. It was found that complex adaptive systems can successfully be used as a generative metaphor that can assist MSA consultants understand their client’s organisation. The research proposition was that complex adaptive systems would enable members of an organisation to better understand it. As the researcher I needed to answer such questions as, “How do I improve my understanding of organisations and assist others in doing so?” and/or “How do I improve my practice, and the practice of others as management _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 129 _____________________________________________________________________ consultants?” These were the starting points for any theory of organisational understanding that I might generate through the use of the complex adaptive systems metaphor. These findings would also be appropriate for other management consultants, however this cannot be assumed without further research. The research area that I have worked within is one of organisational behaviour and organisational understanding viewed through the lens of complex adaptive systems thinking. My research proposition is that knowledge of complex adaptive systems will enable members of an organisation to better understand it. Furthermore, consultants who work with client organisations may be able to use a more appropriate metaphor to understand organisations. While this is true for the Air Force, it may also be true for other large organisations, however this cannot be assumed without further research. My research set out to examine complex adaptive systems thinking in order to offer a more sustainable and enduring way of explaining what is happening in organisations. The aim of my research was therefore to show that a model of complex adaptive systems could be used as a generative metaphor to assist the design of an instrument to enable members of an organisation to better understand it. In particular, I wished to find if MSA consultants thought that the model and focus group workshop tool might be useful for their clients and whether they thought it might assist both them and their client? Wheatley (1999) proposed that a clear sense of organisational identity as a reference is needed for an organisation to respond intelligently to changes in the environment (Wheatley 1999). The RAAF Cultural Assessment Program found that the Air Force certainly has a clear sense of organisational identity (1999). Where my results may differ from previous research described in Chapter 2 is that the identity of an organisation is not static but changes over time as a function of agent interaction and changing environments. Secondly, freedom for people to make their own decisions is also important. This other element of freedom is becoming more prevalent as the Air Force downsizes. A challenge for organisational consultants in the Air Force will be suggesting that senior officer commanders and clients adopt leadership methods more consistent with exploiting aspects of complex adaptive systems. In particular, when leaders are under stress, their sensitivity to complexity, randomness and fuzziness that can assist their understanding will be reduced. This is consistent with previous research, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 130 _____________________________________________________________________ particularly in military environments outlined in Chapter 2. There may now be greater scope to introduce aspects of complex adaptive systems in military thinking due to a more ambiguous and complex threat environment now than in the past where threats were more conventional. There may also be something that can be done to give them some confidence in using their intuition or impulse to a degree in decision making. There is a move in the ADF, however, to become more capable of conducting Effects-Based Operations (EBO) where a higher level of sensitivity to actions and their consequent effects is required. Of interest in complexity-modelling is evidence of the phenomenon of cause and effect not necessarily being related in time and space. The fact that this can be demonstrated under modelling conditions, as outlined in Chapter 2, reinforces its use as an aspect of complex adaptive systems. Further, under EBO the ADF may have to consider alternative command and control organisational structures to those which are currently used. The use of the complex adaptive systems metaphor may also indicate to some leaders that it is impossible to control an organisation (Snowden, 2002). These alternative structures may assist in distributing uncertainty across a more diverse range of subordinate commanders and staff officers. Another observation of focus group workshop members was that in rulesbased organisations, such as the Air Force, rules and regulations may stifle activities that lead to aggregation and emergence. Previous researchers have suggested that most management tools in the military are designed based on the value of control (Tankey, 2001) and that the issue of control is often side-stepped in most research (Stacey, 2003). Good and innovative ideas can be generated anywhere within an organisation. It is the consultant who must facilitate the process whereby these good ideas are recognised and put into practice. A greater range of potential solutions should result. My results from the focus groups indicated that most Air Force leaders and managers have a tendency towards seeking equilibrium in their organisations and to smooth workload peaks and troughs where possible. There is a tendency for most managers to seek equilibrium and to remove the differences between entities (Stacey, 2000). This could mean that the Air Force is less likely to display adaptive behaviours than other organisations. Openness is another area where the Air Force may be underperforming in terms of complex adaptive systems behaviour. The Air _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 131 _____________________________________________________________________ Force tends to be quite internally focussed most of the time (1999) leading to the potential to be surprised by changes in the external environment. Previous research seems to indicate that openness in organisations tends to occur most frequently at lower levels of the organisation at the organisational frontier where external customers interact with sales staff. The interaction between internal and external agents was identified by focus group workshop participants as a fertile source of ideas about the external environment. This is the level at which good ideas are generated. Planning workshops, facilitated by MSA personnel require participants to consider their organisation’s external environment during SWOT analyses or Environmental Analyses. Apart from these planning exercises, thinking about aspects of the external environment is limited. The exception to this in the Air Force is in operational planning where a great deal of information is collected about the operational environment that will be encountered. Although the Air Force currently conducts experimentation, this experimentation is focussed on future weapons systems capability rather than organisational capability or command and control structures. Air Force experimentation is seen, by some, as a risk mitigation strategy in terms of capability development and acquisition. Even within this focus there is an underlying recognition of the need for new capabilities to be adaptable so that when conditions in the environment change, the capability, and the way that the capability is deployed, can be adapted. In the final analysis, a right decision may be just as acceptable to the Air Force as the best decision. Wheatley (1999) has stated that, in her view, examining organisations using mechanistic theory and reductionism does not work (Wheatley, 1999). Further, she believes that mechanistically conceived social systems are inflexible and suffer when faced with rapidly changing external environments. These social systems find it difficult or impossible to be responsive to environmental changes. This was confirmed by focus group workshop participants who stated that an organisation’s policies and structures can form real barriers to behaviours that lead to aggregation and adaptation. By using a complex adaptive system as a metaphor for organisational behaviour, focus group participants could see how the organisation is dependent on its environment for essential inputs or resources. Gharajedaghi et.al. stated that all parts of this social system have purposes of their own and display choice. The performance _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 132 _____________________________________________________________________ of a complex adaptive system is not the sum of the independent performance of its parts; it is the product of their interactions. Therefore effective management of a system requires management of the interaction of the parts, not their independent actions. Management of the social system’s interaction with the environment is also required for it to function effectively (Gharajedaghi et.al., 2001). As suggested in Chapter 2, management consultants may wish to consider the five principles offered by Leddick (2001) that define the characteristics of, and assumptions about, the behaviour of organisations viewed as sociocultural systems: openness, multidimensionality, emergent properties, and counter intuitiveness. Openness is about openness to the external environment. This is important for organisations because it is difficult to predict the future. Openness was discussed previously, as was steps that were suggested by focus group workshop participants to improve the current inward-focus of the Air Force. Purposeful systems have purpose and can produce the same outcome in different ways in the same environment and can produce different outcomes in the same and different environments. The CAF, Air Marshal Houston, has articulated a vision for the Air Force that includes a flexible and adaptable approach to future challenges. It was Leddick (2001) that proposed that multidimensionality is about complementary relationships among parts of the system. He proposed that opposing tendencies in different parts of the system not only coexist and interact, but also form complementary relationships. The mutual interdependence of opposing tendencies is characterised by an and instead of an or relationship. Previous research has not addressed the time that is required for the development of these relationships. Focus group workshop participants were of the view that agent interaction, and aggregation of this interaction takes time and this time will vary depending on the nature of the interactions. Emergent properties are produced by the interaction, not the sum of the parts; multiplication, not addition. Finally, counterintuitiveness is about actions that are intended to produce one outcome but can produce just the opposite, and therefore prediction is an uncertain science (Leddick, 2001). Focus group workshop participants felt that the development of some models and schemas could lead to learned helplessness in the short term particularly if they were maladaptive to the external environment. Whereas many of the findings described in Chapter 2 were about describing how complex adaptive systems could be used to explain the behaviours of _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 133 _____________________________________________________________________ organisations or industries, many of the findings from my research highlighted issues with the implementation of complex adaptive systems thinking within the Air Force organisation. MSA consultants felt they could use complex adaptive systems thinking to make a difference within organisations by confirming for people the degree to which they can contribute. MSA consultants felt that they had a role in energising agents and their interactions with each other. This is seen as being fundamental to improving the work experience for individuals in the Air Force organisation. Communication and information flows are also critical in this view. People will search out information, knowledge and understanding about the internal systems, and its external environment. In the Air Force organisation this is sometimes called the ‘learning curve’ that people go through when they are posted into a new position. Internal management consultants will certainly become aware of communication and information flows in organisations where they are working. They can encourage more information sharing so that a greater number of brains can work on the problem thereby increasing its likelihood of being solved. Formal and informal information flows need to be encouraged. Conversation within an organisation needs to be stimulated and free-flowing to enable adaptation and emergence (Stacey, 2000). Under complex adaptive systems thinking organisations can continuously regenerate themselves to adapt to changes in the external environment through a process or self-organisation. One trigger for this action of regeneration is when the organisation’s systems are so overloaded or underperforming that they can’t achieve their goals or function smoothly. At this time the organisation will achieve a new configuration or it will fail. One wonders how many organisations currently exist in the Air Force that are failing but have not yet accepted that fundamental new configurations are required. Previous research does not offer a view on this, and my research did not examine this aspect of complex adaptive systems except from the perspective that intuition would tell an experienced leader that there was something terribly wrong with an organisation. Perhaps the more thorough examination of EBO will require some thought in this area, particularly with respect to command and control structures and processes. Further, the nature of the threat that Australia is now facing may provide impetus for a _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 134 _____________________________________________________________________ different way of thinking about how the ADF and the Air Force is structured and how it needs to operate. The limitations and paradox of using linear processes to explain the concept of complex adaptive systems must be acknowledged in the education process. I found it impossible to present complex systems thinking in a non-linear format. Previous research offers no solution to this situation. The closest, in terms of attempting to implement complex adaptive systems thinking in the workplace is offered by Zimmermann et. al. (1998) who suggest growing complex systems by chunking and starting small and building up. Focus group workshop participants believed that people in organisations will think in linear terms to make sense of otherwise chaotic environments. The acceptance of this paradox must be explicit. Linear thinking currently allows us to make sense of otherwise too complex relationships and should perhaps not be done away with. No view is offered on this issue by previous researchers. The size of the client organisation was considered a significant factor for Doolittle’s fourth concept of emergent global complex systems behaviour and was not considered by previous researchers in Chapter 2. It was felt by some focus group workshop participants that it is more difficult to reach consensus on some issues and to get “buy in” such that certain behaviours became emergent, not to assume that consensus is required however. Emergent behaviour can become evident at lower levels, or organisational sub-units within an organisation however this emergent behaviour can be quite different to what is expected or anticipated. This aspect is related to the issue of counterintuitiveness. In summary, this section has discussed my qualitative findings about the research problem that were developed through the research process, but which were not considered in the literature review at chapter 2. It has explained the research problem and the process used to address it. The section has also revealed that whereas my research has confirmed many of the findings or previous research, some aspects have not been addressed previously. It has also highlighted that the time for Air Force to more carefully consider the benefits of using aspects of complex adaptive systems thinking may be fast approaching in terms of the threat environment and the move to Effects-Based operations. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 135 _____________________________________________________________________ Implications for the theory The intent of this section is to outline the theoretical implications of this research in terms of possible future research on complex adaptive systems in organisations. The section will also consider aspects of the action research methodology as a tool to introduce complex adaptive systems thinking in organisations. Because complex systems are inherently non-linear, applying them in a linear organisational setting is bound to be challenging at many levels as mentioned in the last section. Managers and Air Force leaders are generally taught to analyse and problem-solve in a linear, Newtonian, fashion. Merely to understand the basic concepts of complex adaptive systems is challenging from a Newtonian perspective for experienced internal management consultants, let alone less experienced managers and leaders. As it is difficult to grasp, the tendency can be to disregard it as a meaningful and valid construct for organisational understanding. Furthermore, when the concepts are introduced, participants in focus group workshops may be seeking something new. They sometimes find that what they are engaged in is not so much something new, but rather a new way of looking at something old. So something that does not appear new and is quite difficult to grasp can appear to be too much of a disincentive for some. In the Air Force organisation, in particular, there is sensitivity to the use of much of the terminology used in complex adaptive systems. These terms can often be interpreted as a loss of control in what is normally an extremely controlled organisational environment. The word chaos has particularly negative connotations. Notwithstanding the challenges of grasping the idea of complex adaptive systems, the idea of intuition appears to ‘ring a bell’ with many managers and leaders who have developed long-term specialised knowledge and extensive experience. Further, focus group workshop participants felt that whereas linear descriptions of organisations articulate a role and function of ‘what’ an organisation is supposed to do, complex adaptive systems offers a ‘how’ to actually think about how an organisation behaves. Focus group workshop participants believed that most managers and leaders within the Air Force organisation still seek equilibrium within the organisations they lead and manage. A state of equilibrium is still considered by most as what should be the norm rather than the exception. Even the focus of unit planning activities is often _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 136 _____________________________________________________________________ centred on attempting to achieve a degree of equilibrium at some stage in the future even if it does not exist in the present. To suggest, as complex adaptive systems do, that equilibrium leads to a lack of adaptability is difficult for many to accept. Indeed highly developed systems, such as the Air Force, have developed elaborate mechanisms such as negative feedback loops and buffering mechanisms to dampen the effects of internal and external fluctuations and to maintain equilibrium (Mathews et. al., 1999). The Air Force, like other organisations, probably uses these mechanisms notwithstanding the creation of a greater level of misalignment with the external environment. The risk of using these mechanisms is that short-term fixes are adopted which do not address the underlying changes in the environment. Focus group workshop participants believed that any organisation’s view of what is considered equilibrium will vary depending on its organisational context. For example an organisation pursuing a strategy of rapid growth, will not be in equilibrium, or seeking equilibrium for some time. In terms of Doolittle’s second concept of organisational behaviour being seen as a result of adaptation to the environment, based on experience, some focus group workshop participants felt that factors in addition to experience played a role in adaptation to the environment. What these factors were could not be suggested however. What is possibly more important in organisations is understanding how and why decisions are made rather than necessarily knowing of the experience of the people making the decision. From a management consultant’s intervention perspective, Doolittle’s third concept of organisational behaviour being a function of internal models and schemas that are the result of perceived regularities in experience was seen as being more useful than his second concept of organisational behaviour being seen as a result of adaptation to the environment, based on experience. Focus group workshop participants felt that the difficulty of changing existing models and schemas should not be underestimated in traditional and conventional organisations. Further, they also highlighted the stress that occurs at the individual and group level in organisations where internal models and schemas are in the process of changing. It could also be argued, perhaps, that the organisational structure of the Air Force does not immediately lend itself to firstly interacting with the external environment and secondly creating internal agent interaction opportunities for the development of emergent and adaptive behaviours. Doolittle (2002) discusses the _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 137 _____________________________________________________________________ spontaneity of order within open systems where self-organisation arises from the interaction of agents and is not imposed by some external force. There was some doubt expressed by focus group workshop participants, whether conditions that encourage self-organisation would be particularly prevalent in the Air Force during periods of peace and/or low operational tempo. The bureaucratic structure of the Air Force means that the opportunity for regular agent interaction above the workshop/flightline level is quite limited. Interaction at the meta-agent level is not encouraged through Air Force structures or systems ie. groups of unit executives mixing or meeting with other groups of unit executives to discuss what subordinate agents are telling them and what they are learning form the external environment do not occur. At the most senior level in the Air Force, until the formation of Senior Leadership Team meetings in the last few years, there was no formal opportunity for agent interaction. This is probably not dissimilar from the case in other large hierarchical organisations. Internal Air Force management consultants felt that they can assist managers and leaders to think less about their individual personnel and more about the interactions between their personnel and how this better informs thinking about organisational understanding. Through these various agent relationships an iterative process occurs that can change structures, functions and processes such that the organisation can better adapt to the external environment. Some researchers have noted that small groups at the tops of organisations control the resources that can act as constraints or enablers to adaptation and emergence (Stacey, 2000). Comments from focus group workshop participants indicated a greater desire to understand the dynamic and ongoing nature of agent interaction and at what levels it occurs and can be stimulated. Internal management consultants see a role for themselves in creating the conditions conducive to agent interaction so they would like to know more about how it works at the micro level. There is little information in previous research that indicates this level of detail. There is, of course, scope for internal management consultants to use the focus group workshop tool that I have developed for stimulating agent interaction. For example, an organisational problem could be examined by a group of agents, from a complex adaptive systems perspective. It has been suggested that complex spaces need to be probed to stimulate pattern formation in complex adaptive systems (Snowden, 2002). _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 138 _____________________________________________________________________ In terms of action research methodologies, I found that in using my focus group workshop tool over a number of iterations, there is just no way of knowing with any certainty how people will react as individuals to complex adaptive systems thinking; perhaps an aspect of counterintuitiveness itself! Notwithstanding this, just about all participants in focus group workshops related to some aspect of complex adaptive systems thinking. For example, the idea of intuitiveness appeared to strike a chord with many experienced consultants. Further, participants in the focus group workshops will disagree with each other and the facilitator must consider how to manage this disagreement in a positive way while still being able to capture and use the data in a meaningful way. As a tool for introducing the concepts of complex adaptive systems to organisations, the action research methodology worked well. The fuzziness of the research problem at the beginning was supported by the flexibility that action research, as a methodology allows. The focus group workshop tool changed significantly through the six cycles providing at the end a robust tool for serving its purpose. I believe that action research is a relevant methodology to use for both discussing a conceptually difficult concept such as complex adaptive systems and also for its inclusiveness in the Air Force organisation. My research has taken the first tentative step in attempting to introduce the theoretical concepts of complex adaptive systems to a real organisation. An easy target was chosen as internal management consultants already possess a high degree of general management knowledge and have accrued a degree of experience in working within different organisations. If anyone is predisposed to understand complex adaptive systems and what it can bring to organisational understanding then it should be experienced management consultants. Even MSA consultants, however, believe that an update on basic systems thinking would be a useful precursor to the focus group workshop before moving on the complex adaptive systems thinking. In summary, this section has discussed some of the theoretical implications of my research commencing with the challenge that the concepts of complex adaptive systems presents to people who have learned and think in a linear, Newtonian fashion. Further, the sensitivity to complex adaptive systems terminology was discussed, as was the desire to maintain equilibrium in organisations. Notwithstanding the challenges presented, many people will associate with some aspect of complex _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 139 _____________________________________________________________________ adaptive systems but at the same time appreciate the tensions and challenges created by changing models and schemas within an organisation. An interest in stimulating agent interaction indicates an area where more research could be undertaken in the future. Finally, the use of action research is a viable and useful tool to use for the discussion of complex adaptive systems concepts, including within an Air Force organisation. Implications for policy and practice The intent of this section is to state the implications for policy and practice of introducing complex adaptive systems thinking as a metaphor for organisational understanding in the Air Force and of using Action Research as a methodology to assist in this process. Some of the anticipated barriers to introducing the concepts will also be stated. These thoughts are the researcher’s own, but are based on the experience of conducting the research. There are many activities that the Air Force currently undertakes that lend themselves to the consideration of complex adaptive systems thinking. These include Air Force experimentation activities, the activities of the Adaptive Leadership Program and the Senior Leadership Team, and after action/post deployment “lessons learned” sessions. Further, the ongoing work of the Management Services Teams in assisting commanders implement change and improve organisational performance provides an opportunity for the use of both complex adaptive systems thinking and also the use of action research methodologies. These different activities will now be examined in more detail. The Air Force has an active experimentation program which, among other activities, tests and validates concepts about how the Air Force will organise itself and fight in the future. There is scope for aspects of complex adaptive systems to be integrated into some of these experimentation activities. For example, one aspect of complex adaptive systems that could be tested is the behaviour of dissipative structures, particularly in times of combat where force builds up within an organisation, say a deployed Air Force organisation, until it dissolves and a new organisation is created that better meets the needs of the environment. The behaviour and understanding of dissipative structures is relevant in this capacity. In viewing Air Force organisations as complex systems then we can acknowledge that they must _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 140 _____________________________________________________________________ continually generate information, particularly from the external environment. Experimenting with command and control structures within an Air Force command system using aspects of complex adaptive systems may also prove beneficial. The costs of integrating complex adaptive systems thinking into the existing experimentation program would be negligible, however the process and evaluation of the experiment would require some hours of analysts’ time. As mentioned in an earlier section, the Air Force’s Senior Leadership Team is now involved in a process of creating sustainable leadership behaviours. There is scope for their ongoing activities to include aspects of complex adaptive systems. Other researchers (Glover, Friedman & Jones, 2002b) have found that adaptive leaders tend to encourage the adaptiveness of their organisations. They can often require their organisations to undertake scenario planning to prepare their organisations for possible futures and to encourage adaptive thinking. There is an opportunity to encourage all Air Force leaders to consider the use of these tools as a way of expanding their thinking and the future adaptive skills of their various organisations. The difficulty in employing complex adaptive systems thinking in the Air Force environment would be in overcoming the traditional linear, Newtonian training model that has been used for many years in the Air Force and that the majority of Air Force members have adapted to and are comfortable with. In this respect, action research could become an integrated part of any individual and group learning activity already conducted. This would not require additional financial or other resources on top of current training costs to implement. The Air Force will often conduct assessments of activities after they have occurred. These are sometimes called ‘hot washups’, ‘after action’, ‘lessons learned’ or ‘post deployment’ debriefs. At this time the ‘lessons learned’ are distilled from the activity so that, hopefully, the same mistakes are not made again, and the activities that worked well are retained. While this is not a formal process, more value could be gained from the resources applied to the activity by adopting aspects of complex adaptive systems thinking in the process and how to effectively use the results. For example the creative process of developing new models and schemas based on shared experiences would be particularly relevant during these washups. Further, much more notice is taken of the external environment during combat operations or exercises and _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 141 _____________________________________________________________________ plans and actions are rapidly changed in response to the demands of this environment. Therefore using complex systems as a metaphor for organisational understanding should be consistent with those experiences of operations or exercises and relevant for the Air Force’s post operational activities. The process for washup activities is important because one of the implications for complex adaptive systems in practice is the concept of failures in double-loop learning (Sterman, 2000), which is used to describe the process of assimilating information from the real world into mental models or schemas in complex systems. The failures may be useful in explaining the phenomenon of different agents or metaagents perceiving the same events but in different ways. The washup activity permits the exploration of these perceived failures. Action research could be used as a means of educating members of the Air Force in the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor to improve organisational understanding, with an aim being to develop the capacity to engage in productive double-loop learning. Whereas Air Force personnel are accepting of the briefing, doing and debriefing construct, particularly for operational activities, the structures, and capacity for, learning from the activity is questionable. The understanding of and use of an action research model would provide the opportunity to close this loop. The cost of implementing aspects of complex adaptive systems thinking into post activity evaluations and into briefing and debriefing activities would be negligible and would only require a facilitator experienced in the concepts of complex adaptive systems. The findings of my research show that MSA consultants believe that organisational understanding in the Air Force can be improved through the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour. The workshop tool that I have developed, used and improved, could be used more widely in the Air Force, possibly by members of the MSA, to educate members of the Air Force in its usefulness in understanding organisational behaviour. A trial could be undertaken where MSA consultants work with an Air Force unit or units, to implement complex adaptive systems thinking using an action research methodology. In this way the value of the use of the complex adaptive systems metaphor could be more fully explored and assessed. This activity would take some months, if not years, to implement and assess. The cost of undertaking this trial would be no more expensive that most of the business improvement tasks that MSA teams currently _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 142 _____________________________________________________________________ undertake, particularly where Air Force units seek assistance in improvement activities. For example, consultants may wish to encourage positive feedback loops in organisations so as to amplify small disturbances and drive the system away from equilibrium. This will facilitate greater innovation and change in the organisation (Wollin and Perry, 2002). Although some researchers, as discussed in Chapter 2, have proposed ways for managers to manage their organisations as a complex adaptive system, there remains little guidance available to practicing managers, or for that matter, internal management consultants. Indeed the issue is problematic in itself because one agent (a manager) can do little on his or her own and it is the interaction between agents that creates opportunities for growth and adaptation. There are, however some actions managers can take with respect to information flows, diversity, connectivity, power differentials and anxiety among members of the organisation. For example experimenting more in the workplace may provide a wider range of insights that point the way to more relevant processes and approaches. A degree of caution needs to be exercised by MSA consultants when considering the state of the external environment of organisations it works with. Adaptation to an external environment can lead to disaster if the adaptation is to a deteriorating environment (Gharajedaghi, 1999). It would be naïve to think that the Air Force would embrace complex adaptive systems thinking without question. One of the barriers to the successful introduction of complex adaptive systems thinking into the Air Force is that many leaders and managers will choose to assess complex adaptive systems thinking just as they would assess any other new management technique. They many choose to ‘implement’ the technique and wait for an indication of success or failure, usually within a short timeframe. Unfortunately for complex adaptive systems, cause and effect are distant in time and space and the concepts could be disregarded prematurely. The conditions under which complex adaptive systems flourish are characterised by instability and non-equilibrium behaviour. Traditional managers, including Air Force leaders, see it as their role to create stability and equilibrium. Herein lies one of the paradoxes of using complex adaptive system behaviour as a generative metaphor to assist organisational understanding and has been mentioned before. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 143 _____________________________________________________________________ A real and current barrier is the capacity in terms of time and resources to undertake anything extra on top of current workloads. The issue of redundant capacity (James, 2001) in organisations is an important one for the Air Force, particularly in the current, resource constrained, environment. Organisations require spare capacity to have the energy to be adaptive to the environment. When an organisation is over-stretched, like the Air Force is today, it is less capable of adapting to changes in its environment. This leads to a potential vulnerability where the Air Force may need to change to adapt to the environment but is too overstretched to have the ability to do so. A possible question that could be asked with respect of implementation of aspects of complex adaptive systems is; what would be the benefits of a complex adaptive systems model over any other model for organisational understanding? While this has been answered throughout the body of this report, the final analysis suggests that by adopting aspects of complex adaptive systems to understand organisational behaviour a more sustainable and realistic model is provided. It is also a model that can deal with the dynamism of organisations better than other models. In summary, this section has shown that while action research and the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for organisational understanding is new and challenging, there is scope to introduce it more fully into the Air Force. Particularly in the areas of experimentation, the Adaptive Leadership Program, in after action “lessons learned” sessions, complex adaptive systems and action research can be accommodated very effectively. Further, the ongoing work of the MSA can accommodate both the action research methodology and complex adaptive systems in assisting their clients to manage change and improve organisational performance. Although a fuller integration of complex adaptive systems is possible, several barriers were discussed. Private sector managers After considering the use of complex adaptive systems and action research in the Air Force organisation, this section will move on to discuss the applicability of using a complex adaptive systems model as a metaphor for organisational understanding by private sector managers. It will also discuss the use of the action research focus group workshop as a methodology for introducing complex adaptive _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 144 _____________________________________________________________________ systems into private sector organisations. This section will firstly consider specific private sector industries where complex adaptive systems thinking could be of particular use, before moving on to consider the more general issue of management training and development. These thoughts have been extrapolated from the specific research findings conducted within the Air Force organisation. Much of what was mentioned in the previous section is relevant for private sector organisations and will not be reiterated here. A fundamental theme of complex adaptive systems is their relationship with the environment. While the relationship between the Air Force and its external environment has been discussed at some length, there are many private sector organisations that have very close and active relationships with their respective operating environments. For example, where organisations work with leading edge technologies in a time sensitive market where there are many competitors, aspects of adaptability are crucial for ongoing commercial success. For example, the idea of rugged adaptive landscapes and peaks, ridges and valleys (Kauffman, 1992) may be of use to private sector managers who work in leading edge technologies and markets. They would probably find that the work of their agents at the forefront of their organisation’s interaction with the environment would lead the organisation to fitness peaks where the organisation’s unique capabilities can best be used in a competitive market. This aspect would be particularly relevant for most service industries too. Other aspects of complex adaptive systems should also hold particular relevance for service industries. In particular, the ability to understand behaviour and consider behaviour in a non-linear fashion should appeal to service organisations. Service organisations are inherently non-linear and exhibit non-linear behaviour. Their external environments would also be particularly difficult to predict and would require the organisation to have very rapid adaptive abilities to meet changing consumer demands. Agent interaction, communication, and emergent behaviours would provide a way of adding meaning to organisational behaviours required to ensure the ongoing success of the organisation. If one was to consider a company in the travel or entertainment industry one could imagine how rapidly an external environment could change and how responsive the company would need to be to remain in business. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 145 _____________________________________________________________________ In any private sector company that is disposed to strategic planning the concept of path-dependence may also be relevant. Although the concept of pathdependence, where taking one particular course of action often precludes taking others, appears self-evident, highlighting this in an organisation challenges it to consider the possible opportunity costs of its chosen strategy. For example investment companies, faced with numerous investments would only be able to choose some and forego the opportunity to pursue the others. Similar to the Air Force, complex adaptive systems thinking could be incorporated at the senior management level in the private sector. Various professional development programs for senior managers could easily adopt this type of training. As suggested by McNiff et.al. (2000) organisations should take on the responsibility for the ongoing education of their members, by helping participants to learn how to learn, to work towards autonomy, and to challenge structures and processes that aim to close down opportunities for learning and growth (McNiff et al., 2000). Previous research reviewed in Chapter 2 revealed that there appear to be no other tools based on complex adaptive systems in the business sector that are used by either consultants or by senior managers to improve organisational understanding. Bearing that in mind, and also acknowledging the challenge of understanding complex adaptive systems, Doolittle’s model and my action research focus group workshop tool would offer one method of introducing the concepts. The use of action research to assist private sector senior manager’s understanding of complex adaptive systems and use its concepts within their organisations is valuable and appropriate. Action research’s philosophy of ‘learning by doing’ is similar to complex adaptive system’s experimenting at the edge. It must be noted however, that both the development of an understanding of complex adaptive systems and the use of action research tool takes time. Having said that, the time tends to permit a deeper and more profound understanding of complex adaptive systems and its use as a generative metaphor in organisational understanding. There are many opportunities for organisations in the private sector to become more open and aware of their external environments through the proliferation in the use of the internet, e-mail, mobile phone technologies (including SMS text _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 146 _____________________________________________________________________ messaging), and a generally larger number of avenues available to people to interact more widely. These technologies lend themselves to many aspects of complex adaptive systems, particularly agent interaction. The way people now work in private sector organisations is changing dramatically and the concepts of complex adaptive systems can assist them in understanding why these changes are taking place and the part they play in them. In summary, it can be seen that the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour is applicable for private sector organisations. This section focussed on two aspects of private sector organisations. Firstly it considered particular industries that lend themselves to better understanding through using aspects of complex adaptive systems behaviour. Secondly, it considered the professional development of managers using action research techniques. Public sector policy analysts and managers This section discusses the applicability of using complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for organisational understanding to public sector policy analysts and managers and the applicability of using the action research focus group workshop to do this. The points already raised in the previous two sections of this chapter are also relevant to public sector policy analysts and managers but will not be repeated here. The nature of public sector organisations is different to that of the private sector in a number of different ways. On one dimension, the bottom line is often more difficult to ascertain as there is often not the financial element that can reveal success or otherwise. Qualitative measures of success are often used and this is where aspects of complex adaptive systems thinking may assist public sector policy analysts and managers. Whereas some private sector organisations are starting to use the triple bottom line in assessing their performance there is also significant scope for this within the public sector. The triple bottom line of economic, social and environmental achievement is forcing organisations to look beyond their immediate boundaries and into domains where they have less experience. Engagement with social and environmental stakeholders requires greater interaction with the external environment and external agents. The requirement for organisations and communities to learn together is consistent with action research’s ‘learning by doing’ philosophy. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 147 _____________________________________________________________________ Public sector organisations could conduct focus group workshops with external stakeholders, using the concepts of complex adaptive systems to understand what changes may need to be made to ensure a sustainable future. As mentioned in the section on both Air Force and private sector managers, the challenge in introducing complex adaptive systems thinking into organisations in times of crisis, or high organisational tempo, is that it is likely to frustrate senior managers who will instead tend to rely on extant policy and doctrine that may be unsuited for new or evolving situations. Particularly in the public sector, organisations will often be responsible for rolling out policy programs that affect many different organisations. The concept of counterintuitiveness is important here in that what works in one organisation may not work in another organisation. There may be scope for these public sector organisations to experiment more with different ways to achieve similar results and thereby achieve policy objectives. Writing policy that encourages the use of the complex adaptive systems metaphor and encourages the use of action research should be encouraged in public sector organisations. Structures and practices in the public sector that no longer meet the needs of the community, or indeed their employees, should be questioned and revised to ensure they remain relevant for their changed environments and the expectations of their employees. In summary, this section has suggested that public sector policy analysts and managers can use complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour and can also use the focus group workshop tool, particularly in engaging with external stakeholders. The model and tool would assist public sector organisations achieve their required triple bottom line reporting. Limitations This section of the chapter will discuss the limitations of my research and its results. It will revisit those limitations already identified in Chapters 1 and 3 with the benefit of hindsight and add those that became apparent during the course of the research. Limitations in using complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for organisational understanding and in using action research as a research methodology will also be discussed. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 148 _____________________________________________________________________ The original limitations identified in Chapter 1 included the fact that only one organisation was being studied; the Air Force. The period of study was only over a short period of time, and only a small number of qualified staff were involved in the research. Nothing that was raised during the course of my research changed this limitation: suffice it to say that focus group workshop participants did not raise any Air Force specific issues that they considered would be barriers to use in other organisations. The length of the period of study could not be avoided as mentioned in Chapter 1. In terms of the third limitation, the model and tool would need to be tested on groups that were not as experienced in organisational management consulting to determine if they understood the meaning of the metaphor and could apply it to their work within their organisations. The limitation of personal bias was raised in Chapter 3 as were the steps put in place to reduce the risk of this occurring. My view is that the risk of personal bias was reduced as much as possible given the nature of the action research methodology. As was discovered over the period of the research, it takes time to understand the concepts of complex adaptive systems. The capacity for people to develop even a basic understanding of complex adaptive systems, let alone determine how they might apply the concepts in their organisation over a three hour workshop is challenging. This was evident even for highly qualified and experienced organisational practitioners. This is probably the major limitation of this research and the model and tool developed. Further, if one accepts that that cause and effect are often distant in time and space then it will be difficult to prove that implementing the complex adaptive systems model and the focus group workshop tool makes a difference, particularly over the short term. In terms of generalising my research to other organisations, focus group workshop participants raised the question of what would happen in organisations where there was limited, or no, opportunity for agent interaction. This was partly answered by other members of the workshop, in that where there was limited interaction the processes of model and schema development would still occur albeit more slowly. Where it was considered that there was no interaction it was doubted whether this would meet the definition of an organisation. One example may be a call centre organisation where the majority of the members of the organisation spend their time on the phone to customers. The view of focus group participants was that agent _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 149 _____________________________________________________________________ interaction would still occur during meal breaks etc and that this would still allow processes to take place. Additional to the generalisation issue is whether the size of the client organisation and the number of levels within it is relevant for my research. This was seen as being a relevant factor in Doolittle’s fourth concept of internal models and schemas being actively constructed, self-organised and emergent. Certainly the results of my research were based on the views of internal management consultants working in a large organisation. It is a limitation of my research that my results can only be generalised to organisations of similar size and structure. The final limitation discussed in Chapter 3 was one of researcher bias in the facilitation of the focus group workshop and also in the process of interpretation of results. These issues were addressed in Chapter 3 and the measures put in place to reduce the impact of both was considered successful. In conclusion, this section has shown that my original limitations identified in Chapters 1 and 3 were reconsidered, as were some other limitations that became apparent during the course of the research. These included understanding complex material in a short period of time, measurement of the success of implementation, and the applicability of the material to organisations of different size and type. Further Research This final section of the chapter will outline further research that may prove useful both in terms of the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor to assist organisational understanding and to the use of action research as a research methodology. The section will also revisit some of limitations mentioned in the previous section as perhaps areas where further research might prove fruitful. These may include a wider time frame for a study, the use of different organisations, and the use of a target group other than management consultants. A longer time frame for the study of the usefulness of complex adaptive systems and actions research would be valuable and may be undertaken by this researcher in the future. Further, to change the breadth of the scope of the research from one workshop for six groups of people to six workshops for the same group of people but over a longer time period. As it was the former approach was considered _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 150 _____________________________________________________________________ more useful in this initial research to determine wider acceptance than would be permitted if only one group was used. Extending the focus group workshop to a wider audience within Air Force could also be considered and this would provide the opportunity to gain feedback from participants not so familiar with organisational consulting. Whereas my thoughts are that this would be more challenging, in fact people with less knowledge of organisations may be better placed to adopt the thinking required for complex adaptive systems. The extension of conducting the focus group workshops to other groups in the Air Force would be to conduct the focus group workshops for non Air Force management consultants, or for other organisations. Conducting a focus group workshop in an organisation outside the Air Force, where there is no power differential between the researcher and the focus group participants, would offer a wider perspective on the tool’s utility and also circumvent the question of ethical considerations and robustness of the research outcomes where a power differential exists. Returning to Chapter 2, there may be scope to attempt some modelling of complex adaptive systems behaviour in the Air Force. This could be achieved through the experimentation program that was mentioned earlier in the chapter. Applying modelling to aspects of the Air Force organisation, such as incomplete knowledge or delayed information, to see if actual results include evolutionary patterns like fixed points, oscillations, or chaos (Mainzer, 1994) could be attempted. If the prevention of the development of organisational understanding strategies results then MSA consultants may be able to introduce strategies to minimise these information delays or instances of incomplete knowledge. More distantly related to this research might be an investigation into the apparent sensitivity shown by some participants, particularly more senior leaders, to the terminology used in complex adaptive systems. The results may prove interesting from a Air Force perspective but may not add much to the use of complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour. In conclusion, further research is required in the area of using complex adaptive systems as a metaphor for increasing organisational understanding, and _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 151 _____________________________________________________________________ action research as a tool for use across organisations of different size, purpose and structure. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 152 _____________________________________________________________________ REFERENCES 1999. RAAF Cultural Assessment Project (RAAFCAP) Current Assessment Report. Canberra: Royal Australian Air Force. 2002. ADDP-D.3 Future Warfighting Concept. Canberra: Department of Defence. Governance through metaphor projects - Notes and Commentaries; http://www.uia.be/metaphor/metacom_bodies.php?kap=5; 28 Sep 04, 2004. AerospaceCentre. 2002. 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Redwood City: Addison-Wesley. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown 156 Appendix A Interview Protocol TAPE RECORDER TAPES (SPARE) SPARE BATTERIES BUSINESS CARDS RECORD DATE, PLACE, AND TIME OF INTERVIEW LEAVE COVER TO TAPE PLAYER OPEN INTERVIEW PREAMBLE GOOD MORNING/AFTERNOON, THANK YOU FOR ASSISTING ME IN THIS RESEARCH. THIS RESEARCH HAS BE SPONSORED BY DGPP-AF AND IS PART OF A DOCTORATE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION I AM STUDYING I WILL NOW READ A STANDARD PREAMBLE TO MY QUESTIONS THAT IS A STANDARD STATEMENT FOR ALL THE PEOPLE I WILL BE INTERVIEWING I AM RESEARCHING ASPECTS OF WHAT IS CALLED “COMPLEXITY THEORY” OR THE BEHAVIOUR OF WHAT ARE CALLED “COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS” TO SEE IF THERE IS VALUE THAT CAN BE ADDED TO AIR FORCE DECISION-MAKING PROCESSES, AND IN PARTICULAR COMMITTEE DECISION-MAKING/DISCUSSION PROCESSES PLEASE DON’T CONCERN YOURSELF TOO MUCH WITH WHAT COMPLEXITY THEORY IS BUT KNOW THAT, IN BRIEF, THE ASPECTS OF COMPLEXITY THEORY I AM RESEARCHING ARE ABOUT ISSUES SUCH AS “GUT FEEL”, INTUITION, ‘KNOWING’ BASED ON YOUR EXPERIENCE, ETC. I HAVE SOUGHT YOUR RESPONSES AND VIEWS BECAUSE YOU ARE A MEMBER OF SOME OF THESE COMMITTEES AND A SENIOR AIR FORCE LEADER I STATE UP FRONT THAT I AM NOT CRITICAL OF ANY CURRENT DECISION-MAKING PROCESSES AND SECONDLY THAT I AM NOT QUESTIONING ANY PARTICULAR DECISION THAT HAS BEEN TAKEN BY AN INDIVIDUAL OR COMMITTEE IN THE PAST CONFIDENTIALITY I WILL NOT BE SHARING YOUR RESPONSES TO MY QUESTIONS WITH ANYONE ELSE OR ATTRIBUTING WHAT YOU SAY TO YOU AS AN INDIVIDUAL. AT MOST COMMENTS WILL BE ATTRIBUTED TO “MEMBER OF CAFAC” FOR EXAMPLE DO YOU MIND IF I TAPE THE INTERVIEW? – BEFORE YOU ANSWER, THE TAPE WILL BE FOR MY USE ONLY, I WILL NOT USE YOUR NAME ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown A-2 _____________________________________________________________________ ON THE TAPE AND WILL SCRUB THE TAPE ONCE I HAVE COMPLETED MY RESEARCH, IT IS JUST THAT I CAN’T WRITE QUICK ENOUGH TO RECORD ALL YOUR RESPONSES YES/NO? IN ANSWERING THE QUESTIONS PLEASE THINK ABOUT YOUR ROLE IN VARIOUS DECISION-MAKING COMMITTEES IE CAFAC, AFCMB, AFCC ETC. FURTHER, TRY TO THINK ABOUT YOUR OWN PERSONAL OPINION AND YOUR THINKING PROCESS ABOUT THE DECISIONS RATHER THAN THE PRESENTATIONS PROVIDED TO THE COMMITTEE OR THE WRITTEN SUBMISSIONS YOU WILL PROBABLY FIND THE QUESTIONS QUITE EASY TO UNDERSTAND BUT MORE CHALLENGING TO ANSWER – WHAT I AM ASKING MIGHT SEEM SELF-EVIDENT OR EVEN ASSUMED – PLEASE CONCENTRATE YOUR THINKING ON HOW TO EXPLAIN THESE PERHAPS BASIC THINGS. THE INTERVIEW COVERS SIX GENERAL AREAS MADE UP OF A NUMBER OF QUESTIONS. THE QUESTIONS MAY SEEM THE SAME OR CLOSELY RELATED. I WILL ASK IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS A THE END THE INTERVIEW SHOULD TAKE ABOUT 50 MINUTES APPROXIMATELY DO YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS BEFORE WE COMMENCE? 1. COMPLEX SYSTEMS ARE NON-LINEAR, OPEN, AND FAR FROM EQUILIBRIUM. DO YOU THINK THAT THE RAAF WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP MUCH THE SAME AS IT HAS IN THE PAST? WHY? DO YOU THINK THAT THE RAAF, AS AN ORGANISATION IS STABLE? WHY? DO YOU THINK THAT THE RAAF NEEDS TO CONSIDER ITS EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT? WHY? HOW DO YOU KNOW WHEN SOMETHING IS WRONG IN AN ORGANISATION AND ACTION NEEDS TO BE TAKEN? (BIFURCATION POINT) IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 2. COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR INVOLVES ADAPTATION TO THE ENVIRONMENT, BASED ON EXPERIENCE. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown A-3 _____________________________________________________________________ DO YOU THINK THAT THE RAAF HAS CHANGED HOW IT DOES THINGS BASED ON ITS EXPERIENCE OF WORKING WITH THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT? IN WHAT WAYS? DOES THE AIR FORCE KEEP COMING BACK TO CONFIGURATIONS THAT SEEM TO WORK BUT ONLY SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT? (REINVENTING THE WHEEL (FRACTALS)?) DO YOU THINK IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THE AIR FORCE TO FORECAST WHAT ITS NEEDS IN TOTAL AND FOR THE LONG TERM? IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 3. COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR IS A FUNCTION OF INTERNAL MODELS OR SCHEMAS THAT ARE THE RESULT OF PERCEIVED REGULARITIES IN EXPERIENCE. DO YOU THINK THAT THE WAYS IN WHICH THE RAAF DEALS WITH THINGS IS BASED ON OUR PAST EXPERIENCE? IN WHAT WAY? DO YOU THINK THAT RAAF RESPONDS TO CHANGES IN THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT NOW BASED ON HOW IT HAS RESPONDED TO CHANGES IN THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT IN THE PAST? DO YOU THINK THAT THE WAY THE RAAF DEALS WITH DECISIONS IS BASED ON OUR SHARED UNDERSTANDING OF HOW THINGS ‘SHOULD’ BE DONE? IN WHAT WAY? IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 4. EMERGENT GLOBAL COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR INVOLVES THE AGGREGATE BEHAVIOUR OF AGENTS. DO YOU THINK THAT DIFFERENT GROUPS WITHIN THE RAAF BEHAVE IN DIFFERENT WAYS? CAN YOU GIVE ME SOME EXAMPLES? DO YOU THINK THAT THERE IS A GENERAL WAY THAT THE ENTIRE RAAF BEHAVES AS A GROUP? IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 5. INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE ACTIVELY CONSTRUCTED, SELFORGANISED AND EMERGENT. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown A-4 _____________________________________________________________________ DO YOU THINK THAT THE WAY THE AIR FORCE DOES THINGS INTERNALLY IS CHANGING AND BECOMING DIFFERENT AS A RESULT OF OUR PEOPLE AND THE WAY THEY WORK TOGETHER IN RESPONSE TO DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS? DO YOU THINK THAT THESE WAYS OF DOING THINGS HAS CHANGED OVER TIME AND IF SO, WHY? HAVE SOME INITIATIVES OR CHANGES IN AIR FORCE BEEN UNSPECTACULAR IN THE FIRST INSTANCE BUT REAPED REWARDS IN THE LONGER TERM? (CAUSE AND EFFECT NOT CLOSELY RELATED IN TIME AND SPACE IE F111) IN YOUR VIEW, HAVE SOME SMALL CHANGE HAD MASSIVE RESULTS AND SOME BIG CHANGES HAD INSIGNIFICANT RESULTS? IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 6. INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE A FUNCTION OF BOTH AGENT INTERACTION AND EXISTING INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS. DO YOU THINK THAT THE SHARED BACKGROUND MEMBERS OF CAFAC HAVE MEANS THEY HAVE A PARTICULAR WAY OF THINKING ABOUT DECISIONS? I WHAT WAY? DO AIR FORCE PEOPLE DO THINGS AS A FUNCTION OF THEIR INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER AIR FORCE PEOPLE OR BECAUSE THERE IS AN AIR FORCE “WAY” (‘RULES OF BEHAVIOUR’) HAVE YOU EXPERIENCED SOME THINGS WORKING IN SOME PARTS OF THE AIR FORCE THAT DON’T WORK IN OTHER PARTS OF THE AIR FORCE? IN TERMS OF THE DECISIONS THAT NEED TO MAKE AT CAFAC, DO YOU THINK THAT ANY OF WHAT YOU HAVE JUST DISCUSSED SHOULD BE DISCUSSED BY CAFAC MEMBERS? 7. OTHER – DO YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THE PREVIOUS QUESTIONS? IS THERE ANYTHING YOU THINK THAT I SHOULD HAVE ASKED BUT I HAVEN’T? 8. THE SECOND PART TO ALL MY QUESTIONS RELATED TO COMMITTEE PROCESSES. WHAT DID YOU THINK ABOUT THAT? WOULD YOU BE HAPPY TO TRIAL SOMETHING LIKE THAT? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown A-5 _____________________________________________________________________ CLOSURE THAT CONCLUDES THE INTERVIEW THANK YOU AGAIN FOR ALLOWING ME TO INTERVIEW YOU. I WILL LEAVE A COPY OF MY BUSINESS CARD IN CASE YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS FOR ME ONCE I AM GONE ******************************************** FOR AVM X: WHAT DID YOU THINK OF; MY E-MAIL APPROACH? MY PREAMBLE? QUESTION 1 READ QUESTION QUESTION 2 ETC THE PART OF THE QUESTION THAT RELATES TO COMMITTEE PROCESSES HOW DO YOU THINK THESE QUESTIONS WILL GO ACROSS WITH CAF, DCAF, ACAUST, BIS, DGPP-AF, DGPERS-AF, COMTRG-AF, COMDT ADFA, DGAD, ASRP-AF, DGTA, WOFF RAAF? "Brodnick and Krafft (1997, p 10-13) provide a similar series of eight useful postulates, derived from Complexity Theory and relevant to organisational contexts. These are that: 1. All institutions are potentially chaotic; 2. Institutions are attracted to identifiable configurations; 3. Institutions move among dynamic states through a process of bifurcation; 4. The geometry of institutional attraction tends to be fractal in nature; 5. Functionally accurate forecasting is impossible on a broad scale and for the long term; 6. Cause and effect are not closely related in time and space 7. Massive interventions may have insignificant results and small interventions may have massive results; 8. Similar actions taken by institutions will never lead to the same result. NOTES - Draft e-mail from DGPP-AF requestion interviews with relevant parties Recent CAFAC decisions as prompts? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix B Focus Group Workshop Tool These presentation notes accompany the Appendix C slides. The facilitator needs to set aside about three hours to conduct the focus group workshop. A computer and data projector are required to project the slides onto a projections screen, and butchers paper and an easel are required to note participant comments. Slide 1 – Thank the group for attending and participating in the Focus Group Workshop. Slide 2 – Provide an outline of the three parts to the Focus Group Workshop as explaining what you think complexity theory is, explaining the six attributes of complexity theory, and reflecting on the workshop content and process. Also mention that you will provide a handout in order to assist their thinking. Slide 3 – Provide a background to the reason for the workshop. In my case, the fact that I am enrolled in a DBA program, that I became interested in the topic through Rod Anderson’s workshops, and my belief that the material can assist in our work. I mentioned that I was using action research methodology and my research was of interest to my organisation for the future. My research is also sponsored by senior Air Force officers. I also mention who will have access to my research results and thesis (including workshop participants). I also mention that simple systems are inputprocess-output based. Slide 4 – On this slide explain why they are the sample group for my research, expertise in management consulting and access to six groups. I also explain, because I am their boss, that it is acceptable for them to disagree with me. I also mention that this is a challenge from a methodological point of view and what I have done to reduce the problem (member from first cycle sitting in on last cycle). I also make the disclaimer that my comments about Complexity Theory are my views only. I tell them that I will take notes throughout the focus group workshop to assist me with collating their comments and that everyone will have the opportunity to contribute and/or express an opinion. Slide 5 – I use this opportunity to tell participants what is in their participation for them. This includes and exposure to complexity theory, and the action research methodology. I mention that they may gain insight into how organisations behave that they can use in their work with clients. I also mention that it may provide an explanation for some of their past experiences of working in organisations and that it may assist them in understanding the Air Force’s response to the external environment. At this stage I ask if they have any questions before moving on to the next section. Slide 6 – This is a summary slide where a revise what I have just taken the group through and ask again if they have any questions. Slide 7 – I firstly acknowledge that the material on this slide, and the next two are from Rod Anderson’s presentation. I mention that most of the current research is from North America. I also explain what I think a simple system is, as opposed to complex systems. I also mention what the alternatives are to complexity theory, particularly with respect of current management theories. I mention that these theories are all largely based on our Newtonian understanding of systems and how we ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown B-2 _____________________________________________________________________ learn to understand activity. I mention the multi-disciplinary nature of complexity theory and provide a definition of what constitutes a complex system. I also state that complexity theory is not particularly new but that it does required a new way of thinking about things. Slide 8 –I mention that this is what many of us are used to in understanding organisational structures and how organisations are supposed to behave with, for example one manager only interacting with their relevant director. Slide 9 - I mention that this is probably a more accurate reflection of what happens and how people interact in organisations, where ‘d’ and ‘s’ are two people who interact with others such that many combinations of what ‘d’ and ‘s’ have input occur over the organisation. Slide 10 - I acknowledge that the statements are those that Rod Anderson has pulled from relevant literature on complexity theory and that they may recall them from the Senior Executive Seminars that they may have attended. I also suggest that they may have covered some aspects of systems approaches to organisational understanding either in their qualifying training for the Management Services Agency or in subsequent MBA studies. Slide 11 – I ensure that I give the participants time to read all the statements. Slide 12 – I give participants time to read the statements and then mention that complex organisations do these things. I ask participants to think about the way the Air Force has dealt with major change in the past ie changes to the superannuation scheme, to OH&S requirements etc. I ask the participants to think of the organisation, as it was when they joined it, often many years ago, and think of how some of the internal models (and people’s attitudes) have changed over this time ie. attitude to the employment of women, attitudes to diversity in the workplace, financial accountability etc. I then ask them if they have any questions on this section. Slide 13 – This is a summary slide for the first section. I mention the points on the slide and seek any clarifying questions. I then prime participants for the next section (Part 2) mentioning that we are about to work through six attributes of complexity theory in turn. I explain why there are only six attributes and not more ie. Distilled from the relevant literature. I tell them that for each attribute I will be asking them to firstly consider its use in thinking about organisations in general, and secondly for use in thinking about the Management Service Agency. Slide 14 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. I then tell the group that I will first explain the attribute, then take questions on my explanation, then invite individual comment before moving on to group discussion. I explain the term non-linear as events and changes in organisations not occurring in a linear fashion and that much is happening everywhere at the same time. Organisational behaviours are unpredictable and potentially chaotic and we cannot understand on organisation by merely analysing its various components. Things don’t happen in consecutive steps or straight lines in real life – much is happening in all directions all of the time. I state that open means that organisations and people within them interact with their external environments. I explain far from equilibrium as an _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown B-3 _____________________________________________________________________ organisation not being stable, which is a good thing. Stable organisations are in a state of entropy (dying) because they are not adapting to their external environments. I also explain this in terms of how we plan in the Air Force. I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 15 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. I then explain the term adaptation by asking if events in the environment force the organisation to react or does it ignore them? I also explain experience as organisational reactions being based on the collective experience of people within that organisation ie. How it may have adapted or reacted in the past. I ask the participants if they think the Air Force values experience (corporate knowledge). I mention that in complexity theory, organisations are attracted to identifiable configurations. Organisations also change through a process of bifurcation. I then seek comments from the group. I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 16 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. I then explain the phrase internal models or schemas by asking, do you think that organisations have particular ways of seeing things and then dealing with these things? Ie a standard way of responding to events? Is there a ‘way things are done around here’? I explain the phrase perceived regularities in experience by asking, do organisations, when confronted with something new, look to the past to see if this has happened before, and then do something similar? I also ask, do organisations use models that are based on regular experiences, for example the experience of conducting operations? I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 17 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. I then explain the term emergent as, what seems to come out at the end of the day at the higher level. I explain the phrase aggregate behaviour of agents as, agents are parts of an organisation – either people or sections depending on what level you are discussing. They can be just individuals within an organisation. The behaviour of the organisation is not a function of a person acting alone but an aggregate of the behaviour of a number of people. Each person may have a slightly different perspective on the problem or issue. I also mention here that this may be a case of the outcome being greater than the sum of the parts. I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown B-4 _____________________________________________________________________ participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 18 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. I then explain the phrase models and schemas as a standard way of responding to events or the way things are done around here. The phrase actively constructed is explained through mentioning that the models and schemas are not static but change slightly over time and are discussed by people within the organisation. The phrase self-organised is explained as people within an organisation will see a need to change the way things are done, discuss it with others and this will eventually lead to a new or updated model or schema. Emergent is described as the good or changed models or schemas becoming predominant over time and becoming the new way of doing things (they rise to the surface). Good ideas are incorporated into how things are done. I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 19 – I ensure I give the group time to read the attribute a couple of times before speaking. Models and schemas are described as a standard way of responding to events or how things are done around here. The phrase agent interaction is described as the way people within an organisation interact with each other. The opportunities that they may have to cross organisational boundaries is also considered. Agents may be older, experienced personnel or young, new personnel with less experience. The phrase existing models and schemas was described as discussion over what is currently done and whether it still “fits” with what the external environment is telling them it wants. I then ask them, during open discussion how this helps them in understanding organisations at a general level and secondly, how this helps then understand the Air Force or the Management Services organisation better. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 20 – This is a summary slide where I solicit more discussion and ask if there should be other attributes and if there is anything that has been missed. I then prompt what these attributes may mean in terms of us understanding organisations. Comments are recorded on butchers paper so that participants can see what is written. They are invited to correct any mistakes or misrepresentations I many make. Slide 21 – I read through the postulates and seek and record any reaction. Slide 22 – I then seek feedback on the entire focus group workshop thus far. I ask them for feedback on the content of the focus group workshop, the workshop process and on any learning they have experienced. I ask them if there is a better way of doing the workshop and record their responses on butchers paper. I also ask them which elements of complexity theory they found most useful in terms of stimulating their thoughts on the challenges of understanding organisations. Comments are, again recorded. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown B-5 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 23 – I conclude the focus group workshop, thank participants for their input and answer any final questions that they may have. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix C Focus Group Workshop Slides Slide 1 Complexity Theory & Understanding Organisations Wing Commander Callum Brown Slide 2 Structure of Workshop •Background •Part 1 - What is Complexity Theory? •Part 2 - Focus Group on the attributes •Part 3 - Reflection and Feedback on Parts 1 and 2 ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-2 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 3 Background •Enrolled in DBA in 2001 •Topic of interest - Complexity Theory, Complex Adaptive Systems, Chaos theory •Thesis focus - Can the attributes of Complexity Theory assist us in understanding organisations? •Research Methodology - Action Research Slide 4 Why you and Management Services? •26 Air Force and APS members who have management consulting skills and experience •Your role as internal management consultants is to assist clients in aspects of understanding their organisations •Well placed to comment on usefulness or otherwise of the attributes _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-3 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 5 Benefit to you and the RAAF • An explanation for some of the things that have happened in the past • a frame for examining current behaviour - good things and bad things • a way of understanding how future changes may come about and how to successfully deal with them • what does this mean for you? Slide 6 Background Summary •Structure of focus group •My area of study and research methodology •What Air Force and you may gain from the session •questions _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-4 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 7 Part 1 - What is complexity theory? “Life is creative. It makes it up as it goes along, changing the rules even.” Francisco Varela Understanding Self Organising Systems’ theory and its applications in social and organisational contexts is one of the urgent challenges facing tomorrow’s leaders today. Slide 8 An Organisation - in theory Director Asst Staff Spvr Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Director Director Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-5 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 9 An Organisation - in practice dssddsdsss ds dssddsdss • • • • dsdss s • ddssd • dssddsdssddaad dssdss dss d dssdds • • • • • sdssd dssd • • dssdssdsd ddssdssd Slide 10 Organisations and the world in which they come into form • The universe is a living, creative, experimenting experience of discovering what’s possible, at all levels of scale, from microbe to cosmos. • Life’s natural tendency is to organise. Life organises into greater levels of complexity to support more diversity and greater sustainability. • Life uses messes to get to well-ordered solutions. • Life organises around a self. Organising is always an act of creating an identity. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-6 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 11 Organisations and the world in which they come into form -- 2 • Life self-organises. Networks, patterns, and structures emerge without external imposition or direction. Organisation wants to happen. • Life is intent on finding what works, not what is right. • Everything participates in the creation and evolution of its neighbours. • People are intelligent, creative, adaptive, self-organising, and meaning seeking. • Organisations are living systems. They too are intelligent, creative, adaptive, self-organising, and meaning seeking. Slide 12 What is complexity theory? •Take in data from their environments, find regularities in the data, compress these into internal models that are used to describe and predict the future. •Exhibit evolutionary processes- internal models are subjected to selection pressures resulting in changes to the models over time _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-7 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 13 Complexity theory - summary •Relatively new way of thinking about organisations and their behaviour •Difficult to fully grasp all at one time •Must look at the “crude whole” •Different to what we are used to Slide 14 Part 2 - Attributes Organisations are non-linear, open, and far from equilibrium _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-8 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 15 Part 2 - Attributes Organisational behaviour is a result of adaptation to the environment, based on experience Slide 16 Part 2 - Attributes Organisational behaviour is a function of internal models or schemas that are the result of perceived regularities in experience _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-9 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 17 Part 2 - Attributes Emergent global complex system behaviour involves the aggregate behaviour of agents Slide 18 Part 2 - Attributes Internal models and schemas are actively constructed, self-organised and emergent _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-10 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 19 Part 2 - Attributes Internal models and schemas are a function of both agent interaction and existing internal models and schemas Slide 20 Attributes - Summary •Six attributes •similar •utility in an organisational setting _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-11 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 21 Eight Postulates - Brodnick and Krafft • all organisations are potentially chaotic • organisations are attracted to identifiable configurations • organisations move among dynamic states through a process of bifurcation • the geometry of organisational attraction tends to be fractal in nature • functionally accurate forecasting is impossible on a broad scale and for the long term • cause and effect are not closely related in time and space • massive interventions may have insignificant results and small interventions may have massive results • similar actions taken by organisations will never lead to the same result Slide 22 Part 3 - Feedback •Background •Part 1 - What is Complexity Theory? •Part 2 - Attributes _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown C-12 _____________________________________________________________________ Slide 23 Questions? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix D Focus Group Workshop Comments _____________________________________________________________________ Cycle 1 – Canberra – 29 Jan 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – A bit of a generalisation; some organisation are in equilibrium and must maintain stability ie Government and Legal entities. Some are in disequilibrium ie businesses. Culture plays a big part and needs to be included in the concept. Products and services don’t necessarily need to change. Organisations may be in equilibrium for a while but events may throw them into a period of disequilibrium. It may be a degree thing – Air Force has attempted to maintain the status quo and has been internally focussed. Concept 1 is what good organisations should be. Can take the organisational life cycle view ie Navy may not see how they should be changing in response to changing community values. People are individuals and some can get left behind if they do not adapt to changes in their external environment. Progressive organisations seek input from the external environment and may lead the way whereas the military seeks equilibrium – full of STJs Small family companies may not see the need for change until a younger generation member takes over control Change management applications can suggest openness to environment. Equilibrium comes into the planning equation ie in taking the organisation from now to the future change is required, usually based on the changing requirements of the external environment. Organisations may also plan with a view to seeking equilibrium. Planning methodologies take into consideration the external environment. Need to be sure you differentiate between a tool and an outcome. The plan will or may change in response to changing circumstances (therefore non-linear?) The plan is a communication tool for management and related information flows particularly upward. Different types of companies will be comfortable with different levels of equilibrium ie Gov. and Law vs the Dot.coms. Concept 2 – some don’t like the term “involves” More individual agent based rather than an organisation. Greater experience can mean the ability to come up with more possible solutions Lack of experience can mean novel approaches to problems and novel solutions It depends where your organisation is on the equilibrium ‘bell curve’ as to the value of experience in dealing with challenges. Individual and group behaviours are relevant – groups can cause peer group pressure and the quashing of good new solutions. Healthy attrition of the more experience in an organisation like the Air Force is a good thing. Adaptation to the environment is sometimes compromised due to past experiences. On the equilibrium bell curve different approaches suit different organisations. Orgs also have different cultures ie heavily unionised with strikes etc. In the military experience gets you promoted to more senior levels therefore senior leaders have had limited exposure to organisations other than the military. This can cause reinvention of the wheel. There can also be problems associated with span of control and large groups vs small groups. _____________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-2 _____________________________________________________________________ Some comfort can be taken from relying on experience but what is the level of risk in the situation? Ie major decisions about an AF weapons system that is 30 yrs old? Being aware that decision making is based on experience is important to acknowledge. The MSA recruits a wide range of experience. How we make decisions is also an attitudinal and cultural thing. We need to recognise and capitalise on the diversity in backgrounds of experience. Concept 3 – pilot retention bonus, which didn’t achieve its goals was followed by an ENGO and LOG retention bonus. The challenge for many organisations is that models and schemas can have a great deal of feeling and emotion attached to them – it can be emotionally and physically difficult to change them. In MSA our clients don’t usually get what they have learned to expect from ‘helpers’ and usually end up delighted with the outcomes which are non-standard (surprised) Organisational behaviours is a function of more than just internal models and schemas Internal models and schemas are an individual thing as well and together shape organisational culture. Concept 4 – decentralising decision making to local levels can create emergent behaviour at the local level Military and political leaders may be influenced by what they think people will think of their actions and decisions are therefore made for different reasons. Emergent behaviour may be quite different from what is expected. Leaders can set the tone of organisational behaviours. The size of the organisation is a factor. With more people it is difficult to reach a consensus and get ‘buy in’. Sometimes groups cannot come to a decision ie MSA conference. The aggregate may drive people out of the organisation if the models and schemas offend them. In organisational change critical mass is important to gain to make it happen Concept 5 – there is manipulation (to a degree) by people in charge of organisations. They can steer the organisation where they want it to go. This is perhaps easier in smaller organisations. The assumption is that things are constantly changing (and that there is constant resistance to change) and that nothing is static any more. People will change at different rates in different ways. Ie the Adaptive Leadership Program is interfering in schema development for the Air Force. Drivers may be the more senior leadership – there needs to be a powerful champion to drive change. Schema construction is influenced by training and experience. Recognition of the need for change needs to occur, plus others need to be willing to support the idea (coalition). Concept 6 – the degree of change required will impact on the amount of use of internal models and schemas versus agent interaction. Depends on how embedded social rituals and cultural norms are – mindsets are difficult to change (easier to change behaviours) The ability to cross and see over organisational boundaries is an important factor _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-3 _____________________________________________________________________ What if there is no agent interaction? Would you still get changes to internal models and schemas ie. More variables at work? MSA conferences (agent interaction) creates models and schemas but perhaps more variables are involved. We need to encourage the amount of agent interaction in organisations Organisations need to consider the diversity of the background of their agents and how this impacts on internal models and schemas. General Comments – The concepts are general rather than specific. As a generalisation they are beneficial in explaining organisational complexities but they are only the tip of the iceberg. Content – Why use of the term “overlapping” concepts – begs the question ; ‘what overlaps?’ What is a complex system as opposed to a simple system? Cycle 2 – Amberley – 5 Feb 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – expectations of what the organisation will and can do increase through input from the external environment. Ie there will be expectations that the organisation will and can adapt to external stimuli. Is the organisation seeking equilibrium? The Air Force is conservative and works against this attribute The attribute is facilitated by technology ie. E-mail Concept 2 – What about adaptation to anticipated changes? Organisations can ignore or misread the signs in the external environment Do we subconsciously do a ‘risk analysis’ of the likelihood of a change forced through the external environment? If we don’t know anything about a future potential change (ie no experience) we (Air Force) will put our heads in the sand and wait until the Big Stick approach is ordered. We could consider how experience could inhibit adaptation as consultants. Adaptation can depend on the “type” (MBTI) of an organisation ie STJ organisations versus N (new ways) organisations. Concept 3 – Models and schemas are hard to change ie the Air Force move to a values-based organisation. Strongly embedded models and schemas are hard to change. Change the experience (through demonstrating regular behaviour) to change the model or schema Leaders need to model new behaviours to change the schemas and models Identification of internal models and schemas is required before you can attempt to change them. (cultural norms) Concept 4 – there can be dominant groups/agents in organisations Rules and regulations can impact on behaviours ie. Drinking and aircrew We need to understand the predominant behaviour of different groups We probably understand this subconsciously as management consultants ie who we need to speak to (influencers and powerbrokers of a client organisation) _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-4 _____________________________________________________________________ Concept 5 – Networks make things happen in organisations. A system will bypass bad bits or blocks and achieve ‘workarounds’ Should we do away with formal linear systems in organisations? Political motivations will impact on the behaviour of agents in the system We have a desire to create the right impression to the right people in the Air Force culture. There is less human interaction now within/between units in the Air Force and this has an impact on self-organising behaviour. Concept 6 – There may be other catalysts ie regulatory requirements that impact on internal models and schemas ie. Navy and crossing the line ceremonies and cultural change through critical events (catalysts). General Comments – The Air Force (and organisations) have a facade that sits on top of what actually happens ie org diagrams, RIs, SOPs etc The linearity of organisations articulates a role/function, a “what” whereas complexity theory provides the “how” to think about it. Can a system exist without a purpose? Cycle 3 – Edinburgh – 7 Feb 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – Linear representations are used to explain things but it’s not how things really work in the workplace. Organisations are now more open than they ever used to be especially commercial organisations. May be able to explain this attribute to clients so they better understand their organisations. The Service industry is particularly non-linear and not in equilibrium Concept 2 – Air Force and changes to rules on homosexuality in the Defence Force (external pressures) Concept 3 – In Air Force we try and drag contractors and APS into our models and schemas rather than accepting “new” ideas from the contractors and APS members. We are very slowly adapting to some of their ways of thinking. Concept 4 – The Air Force needs to do more to encourage the aggregation aspect of this attribute. There are still too many stovepipes ie training people not sufficiently exposed to the OPS world and vice versa. The Air Force is currently targeting specific groups to change the emergent schemas and models ie the SLT through the ALP, Recruits and Officer Trainees. Organisations (or agents) need to make the effort to interact more from a consulting perspective. Concept 5 – We must accept that organisations will continue to change over time. We can’t expect things to remain the same over time. People in organisations take comfort from predictability and routine (ie. Kids changing schools etc) – this creates a level of stress _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-5 _____________________________________________________________________ Introducing new things without having a link to the past is fraught with danger ie. Too scary to contemplate (leading to bifurcation and loss of equilibrium) Concept 6 – New agents will cause many of these changes ie executive changeover. In the Air Force some agents ‘rely’ on the ability of other agents to provide good quality input ie senior execs depending on subordinates doing their jobs well. General Comments – Feedback Attribute 4 & 5 are too similar Include ‘Attributes” in heading of handout (place the handout in context) Organsiations are open, non-linear and far from equilibrium Six attributes of Complexity Theory Etc No numbers Cover in no apparent order ie but don’t move round in a circle CHANGE SLIDES SO THAT THERE IS NO CONFUSION BETWEEN ATTRIBUTES AND CONCEPTS. EITHER ONE OR THE OTHER. Questions for each attribute should be as follows: 1.How does this help in understanding organsiations? 2. What about understanding the Air Force or MSA? Cycle 4 – Laverton – 12 Feb 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – Open for MSA also means being open to management ideas from the private sector Management practices in the Air Force have evolved over time in response to the external business environment We can assist managers understand peaks and troughs in their workloads. Individuals need peaks and troughs too – can’t operate flat out all the time. The Air Force posting cycle creates levels of disequilibrium. Work/Life balance and soft landing is a way that CAF has recognised the disequilibrium in AF. Most managers accept levels of disequilibrium but only within set control limits Management sees its responsibility to smooth the peaks and troughs and where people overdo it at a personal level, send them away on leave. There are particular Defence units that are working on some of the problems associated with these elements ie Adaptive leadership program Concept 2 – AF creates contingency plans based on prediction Experience must be provided all the time as the AF workforce ages. In AF scenario planning attempts to predict. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-6 _____________________________________________________________________ The validity of particular experience needs to be tested each time a ‘new’ situation arises Where there are low levels of experience or no experience there is generally greater fear of the unknown In AF adaptation to a quickly changing environment can lead to ‘knee-jerk’ reactions Experience can become redundant in an organisation as the external environment changes. Concept 3 – This could be based on a desire for ‘efficiency’ ie. Casualty departments at hospitals and identifying causes of trauma Clients may have to be confronted with their models and schemas – which may be unwritten and unspoken – in order to examine their utility Concept 4 – The time factor is important with this attribute due to the need for the interaction of agents – interaction needs time. (vs rate of change in environment) The emergent behaviours may not be acceptable to all agents (leading to…?) Values form a part of models and schemas and are therefore difficult to change. Concept 5 – Good ideas can come from any level in the organisation As consultants we need to help the good ideas come out ie. Facilitate the dynamic constructive processes. Organisational dysfunction occurs where bosses put a cap on emergent behaviour Different personalities may seek different environments in terms of stability. Ie some people stress in highly dynamic environments and therefore seek more stable environments. The speed of emergent behaviour will vary between and within organisations As consultants 90% of our recommendations come from within the organisation itself. Ie we facilitate the self-organising process. We are often seen as the medium that connects the boss with his/her people Concept 6 – A MSA team model will change if one member of that team does a job with another team. MSA has gone through the process of becoming one team, as opposed to five separate teams We help our clients understand where agents are interacting within their organisations. General Comments – In our work we often connect at an individual level with agents in that organisation. Focus Groups are also used to develop ‘themes’ – perhaps aggregate behaviours? The activity of self-organising can be tiring for the catalyst agents ie Deming and acceptance of ideas eventually The focus group was found to be very useful. Cycle 5 – Williamtown – 18 Feb 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – People within organisations think of their jobs in linear terms as a way of making sense of them. The attribute is subjective but still provides a reference point _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-7 _____________________________________________________________________ The definition is too general to be useful. Non-linear organisations reach the same goals through different routes or systems The definition appears self-evident Planning may help make sense of the external environment. People may have trouble coping with this attribute. Concept 2 – Other factors may influence adaptation other than previous experience. Experience and reaction are two quite different things (separate) and culture plays a big part. There may be a dominant collective experience ie a “Can Do” attitude. Behaviours could be traced back to particular experiences. Strong personalities can also influence organisational behaviours. Concept 3 – This attribute can be constrained when not part of the collective experience We must understand the client’s models and schemas: Then find the appropriate experience for them We must get them to acknowledge that things as they currently are, are not acceptable Consultants must use what is acceptable to the client’s existing models and schemas Change the model to change the behaviours Seek successful role models to model behaviours which will change the existing models and schemas that are not appropriate. Attribute 3 is potentially of greater use as consultants than attribute2 Concept 4 – Agents may choose not to contribute to interaction with other agents Can we increase the amount of agents (inputs) in the aggregation process? The ability to influence and range of diversity of views is important in this attribute As consultants how do we view the aggregation process? Ie how do we analyse it? Can we strengthen the agents we believe are correct to get closer to the desired behaviour? A response the attribute is “so what?” That’s Life anyway! The “brown paper” process is a process of aggregation Concept 5 – As consultants we can assist with the active construction and self organisation process. Some first thoughts are to disagree with the attribute. Some models and schemas are not tested sufficiently. (frequency and depth) We need to create an environment that would encourage this process. The attribute could be seen as a result of a healthy organisation. If viewed in a negative sense the attribute can contribute to learned helplessness. Concept 6 – Investigating this attribute may help us understand who the influencers are in an organisation. The attribute should also assist us in understanding cultural change in organisations We, as consultants, need to understand a client’s organisation, his models and schemas. Attribute 6 is similar to attribute 5. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-8 _____________________________________________________________________ Personality will influence how business is done in an organisation, particularly of the influential agents (CEO?) There will be some agents that are more powerful or influential than others. We need to look for artefacts of models and schemas. You cannot (ever) start with nothing in an organisation – there is always something already there in terms of models and schemas. Some agents have “moved on” because of their challenges to existing models or schemas ie fired or left. Cycle 6 – Richmond – 25 Feb 2003 WORKSHOP NOTES (MANAGEMENT OUTCOMES, RESEARCH OUTCOMES, PERSONAL LEARNING) Concept 1 – In organisations, non-equilibrium and sustainability must be issues In Air Force operational tempo and organisational tempo must be considered in terms of sustainability issues The attribute is useful in considering military organisations where they tend to seek order. The Air Force is now more open to its external environment than it previously was in the past. This has created less equilibrium in the AF as it has had to adapt to external influences and is more open to external scrutiny. The younger people coming into the organisation through the recruiting process are having a greater impact as they have different expectations of what they want from air force and how long they expect to serve causing Air Force to rethink its policies and causing internal change By conducting sustainable management workshops we can assist our clients deal with the lack of equilibrium. Through facilitating planning we can draw the attention of clients to the open nature of Air Force organisations through SWOT analysis in planning Within client’s organisations processes and systems may need to change. Our client’s sponsors detect disequilibrium and call for our help. Due to our openness and our non-linear thinking we are in a position to assist them. Our awareness of the attributes puts us in a position to be able to assist them Concept 2 – We (Air Force/Defence) acknowledges experience but whether we value it is the question The Air Force internal environment is set up to increase experience levels ie posting cycles, however discharges can create experience gaps. Air Force HR policies are not well thought-out in this regard. How do we evaluate the effectiveness of Air Force HR policies? We are not stable enough to fully capitalise on experience ie due to posting cycles. There is no combat experience in the current Air Force (apart from training) therefore our adaptation requirements will be more important in the future We can assist by implementing our client’s “lessons learned” however there are resource constraints in making this happen, we fail to close the loop and capitalise on our learnings, and this is not helped by the posting cycles causing re-learning Concept 3 – This attribute is affected by openness, education, awareness of the external environment. We need to increase our exposure to alternative ways to change our models and schemas _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown D-9 _____________________________________________________________________ The attribute is an articulation of ‘business as usual’ (one participant’s interpretation) The Technical Trades Restructure (TTR) ‘experiment’ did not consider the human factors of the change – only efficiency and retention of corporate knowledge. We can assist clients by highlighting human factors in the work we do for clients. We are struck with the barriers to effective work ie LACW attempting to join MSA and corporate intransigence. We can attempt to influence only. Concept 4 – The Senior Leadership Team development work has not cascaded to lower levels yet. We, as consultants can attempt to influence the aggregation behaviour of agents ie. By doing lower – level jobs for example. Some of this comes from the Values Team work done by the SLT but are we seeing the changed behaviours? We could work at multiple levels to attempt to influence aggregate behaviours. We can focus on implementation of change We can facilitate the aggregation process. Concept 5 – ‘Actively constructed’ could mean determined steps are taken rather than this happening by chance. Our workshops encourage this type of behaviour – if we facilitate well all voices are heard and no one view predominates – get fuller input We can only act as facilitators of the process or catalysts. Concept 6 – The Air Force’s organisational boundaries are becoming looser We can pull out ALL the attributes of a client’s culture Defence is neglecting the people side of equations We need to challenge the current way things are done and assist our clients in doing this too. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix E Intent and Reflection Comments _____________________________________________________________________ Cycle 1 – Canberra – 29 Jan 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? It is the first cycle and I am not particularly confident in either the content or the process. While I think that the Canberra team will be supportive of what I am attempting to achieve they will probably have many suggestions on how to make the workshop better. I hope that their suggestions are not contrary to where I wish to take the model and the workshop. Participants are my subordinates and will not necessarily wish to put me off. It will be the first cycle and I will be experiencing a degree of nervousness. 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? They will have or may have a direct impact on the outcome of the cycle. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? The desirable outcome would be a generally positive acceptance with some positive suggestions on how I can improve the model and the workshop. 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? I think these are desirable outcomes as I would like to think that other people (organisational consultants) think that there is something in a complexity theory metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? Demonstrate a personal enthusiasm for the model and be able to provide examples of where the overlapping concepts may have been seen to occur in organisational settings. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? I think because the range of participants in the focus group are generally lateral thinkers with some of them having extensive experience in management consulting. I think that, as a group, they are probably lateral thinkers who would seriously entertain thoughts of attempting new ways of looking at organisational behaviour. Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? In general yes they were achieved. I got feedback on the usefulness of the overlapping concepts and of the workshop itself such that it can be improved for the next cycle. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? Yes, because I can use the information in the next cycle, and nothing arose that was particularly contrary to what I was attempting to get across. I guess some more disconfirming evidence at this early stage may have been more challenging. 2c. Why/why not? I can use the outcomes to improve the way I communicate the information in the next cycles, particularly in terms of process. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-2 _____________________________________________________________________ If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) What I am attempting to get across is not easy to comprehend and even with intelligent and experienced management consultants the concepts take some time to sink in. A better process may have been to conduct two workshops some 8 weeks apart and give people time to digest the concepts and make better informed comments on their utility. Cycle 2 – Amberley – 5 Feb 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? This is now the second cycle and I am more confident that the content and the process will be an improvement on cycle one after the changes I have made. There will hopefully still be suggestions on how I can improve the workshop that will identify different aspects to what the Canberra team suggested. I will be interested to see how some of the changes will effect the outcome of the focus group, particularly how helpful the handout will be. This will also be a smaller group than the Canberra cycle. 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? They are probably the biggest changes from my first experience at cycle 1. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? The desirable outcome would be a generally positive acceptance with some positive suggestions on how I can improve the model and the workshop (same as cycle 1). 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? I think these are desirable outcomes as I would like to think that other people (organisational consultants) think that there is something in a complexity theory metaphor for understanding organisational behaviour. Same as cycle one. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? By ensuring that I apply the learning from the first cycle the outcome should be improved. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? The group has had the same training and much the same experience as the first group. I believe that they are looking forward to the focus group - some may have even researched complexity theory on the www in preparation for the focus group. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-3 _____________________________________________________________________ Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? The outcomes were largely achieved. There was a generally positive acceptance of the material and there were some suggestions on how I could improve the focus group and content. The group confirmed that some of the changes from cycle 1 were good ideas and that the focus group flowed well. This group also appeared to be able to consider work situations where they could use the content. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? Yes, although there were fewer suggestions for improvement there were still useful comments made on how further improvements could be made not only to the process but also the content. 2c. Why/why not? The suggestions made and comments made on the six attribute have added to my understanding of the material and the process. If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) What I learned this cycle was that firstly I was more relaxed about presenting the focus group and eliciting discussion from the group. I took more time in explaining the background to focus group and in explaining complexity theory itself. I allowed more time for each attribute to be considered before asking for input and what participants thought of the attribute. With a more relaxed pace, participants appeared to have more time to think and consider how they could apply the attribute in an organisational setting. The participants appeared to appreciate the handout notes and many used the available space on the handout to take their own notes, particularly in relation to the definition of terms. I found that there were certain similarities in terms of some points raised with the Canberra cycle. I found myself questioning whether these similarities were due to the organisational culture that we all work in and whether the same comments would arise, say with a group of internal management consultants from industry. This may prove a potentially useful test if this continues through all the cycles. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-4 _____________________________________________________________________ I also found that I need to be careful about version control such that the words on the handout are consistent with the words I use on the slides. There were inconsistencies in this cycle. Cycle 3 – Edinburgh – 7 Feb 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? In this cycle I am far more confident that what I have is of the standard that should elicit a favourable response. Although this will be a focus group with the smallest number of participants yet (2 people), their input, as two of the Agency’s most experienced consultants will be important. 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? I think my confidence will assist in communicating the material that I need to communicate. With such a small group there may be more or less pressure on the participants to offer input, this could lead to rushed rather than considered responses. As two of the Agency’s most experienced consultants the data and input that they provide could be the most valuable yet. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? A desirable outcome would be similar to previous cycles in that they will offer improvements to the content and the process. They will also hopefully be able to offer more suggestions as to how complexity theory could be applied to management consulting work. 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? I think that the content and process of the focus group can still be improved and that the expertise within this group will ensure that a greater focus on application of the attributes to understanding organisations will result. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? A higher degree of confidence on my part will mean more fluid communication as I become more confident with the concepts and peoples reactions to them and my ability to use the terminology. The focus group will again be a morning group where the participants will be fresh and enthusiastic. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? The experience and expertise in the group should ensure that the quality of the input is good. When I am more relaxed I should be more attentive to how the participants are relaxing and what they are saying. Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? The outcomes were achieved, but probably not in the way that I had expected. One participant got more from the focus group than they had anticipated and found it very interesting and useful. They were able to add some very good point for improving the next focus group and for using complexity theory in understanding organisations. The second participant, although an experienced consultant, was more challenged by the ‘academic’ nature of some of the material. Where he was able to add value, _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-5 _____________________________________________________________________ however was in the application of the theory area. He was also able to give some excellent advice on how to make the presentation more people friendly, particularly in terms of the handout. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? Yes, I provided me with the insight that some people will continue to be challenged by the very level of the material that is introduced. It also confirmed that most people will need time to think about the concepts raised and how they can be applied to increase organisational understanding. 2c. Why/why not? The comments that were provided have assisted in further refinement of the presentation and of the material. These learning will be folded into the next focus group to be run as cycle 4. If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) What I learned this cycle was that the process I employ works with a small group quite well. It is more intimate and individual questions can be answered with more time. It does not appear to put undue pressure on the fewer participants to contribute. Some good suggestions were made on how to amend the handout notes to remove the linear nature of some of the educative part of the focus group process. This group, based on its extensive experience with consulting in organisations, was able to offer some good ideas about how the concepts of complexity theory could be used in understanding organisations. Although I had fixed the version control problems with the slides and handouts, there was still some refinements to be done in terms of terminology ie concepts vs attributes. Cycle 4 – Laverton – 12 Feb 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? In this cycle I am conscious that I will be conducting the workshop early during my visit so I will not have had time to rebuild my relationship with the team members and there may be other issues on their mind that prevent a relaxed participation. The handout that I use during the focus group has changed quite significantly in format so it should be interesting to see how this is accepted. It think that the use of examples will be very important. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-6 _____________________________________________________________________ 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? Running the workshop early during the team visit and during the afternoon may mean that the interaction with the group could be more stilted – this may increase my level of apprehension. Further, one of the team members is very pragmatic and he may have trouble with the conceptual nature of the material. The handout will either help a lot or they will recommend that it return to what it was previously. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? A desirable outcome would be that the group quickly warms to the idea of being exposed to new material and can offer some good pragmatic advice not only on the content of the focus group but also on the process. The second desirable outcome is that the team gets something from the material in terms of learnings and exposure to new ways of thinking about organisations. 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? I would like to think that not only my objectives are achieved but also that the team consider the exercise worthwhile. If I get good feedback, particularly from the pragmatic member of the team it will mean that what I have, or will develop will also appeal to people who require a more concrete model to use within organisations. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? I will need to get myself into a confident and easygoing state before commencing the focus group. Despite my inward feelings I will need to ensure I proceed at a leisurely pace and provide plenty of practical examples. If I am challenged on any of the attributes I will need to do my best to explain but stop short of defending my viewpoint – it is OK for participants to disagree. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? These actions will give me the best chance of succeeding given the nature of the group and the situation in which I am presenting. Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? The outcomes were achieved, and my concerns regarding the pragmatic member of the group did not unfold. The group quickly warmed to the ideas presented in the focus group – I think that they were looking forward to the focus group activity. Two members of the group had been exposed to the Senior Executive Seminars that introduced the concept of Self-Organising systems by Rod Anderson. Whereas there was not much detail provided by Rod, I was able to provide some additional detail that stimulated more thought on how the concepts could be applied. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? Yes, the group was able to provide some very valuable feedback that can be folded into the next cycle. For example, they suggested that I provide more time after introducing an attribute for the participants in the focus group to digest it. There was also some good feedback about a perception that I devalue Rod Anderson’s slides during my introduction of the overall concept of complex systems. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-7 _____________________________________________________________________ 2c. Why/why not? The suggestions that have been made by the participants in this cycle will be valuable additions to the next cycle. If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) I have learned to not necessarily pre-judge how people will take to the material that I present. Whereas I had some initial concerns about how one member of the group would react, he provided some valuable insights into how the presentation may be improved, how the attributes could be used in a consulting capacity, and how the handout could be improved. I probably need to record that since the first cycle I have been drawing a diagram on a whiteboard that indicates the non-equilibrium aspect of organisational behaviour in complex systems ie oscillations that can increase in amplitude until a point of bifurcation can be reached that reduces the amplitude to a manageable level before the cycle begins again. The groups have also been providing some good insights into how external agents can interact with internal agents to create interventions within organisations or operate as catalysts to create internal agent interaction leading to updated models and schemas. This may provide useful insight for areas of further study. Cycle 5 – Williamtown – 18 Feb 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? In this cycle I am conscious that the group should be the largest yet that I have worked with. The group also works with very pragmatic clients and, as such, they must provide very pragmatic solutions. This may mean that they think what I introduce will be of no use to them in a work situation. Although I learned that I should not prejudge people in my last cycle, I feel that some members of this group may struggle with the conceptual nature of the material. Having said that, one member of the group is a very experienced consultant with international experience. 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? The size of the group could well have an impact on the outcome of the focus group because there may be less opportunity for interaction. The focus group may also take _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-8 _____________________________________________________________________ longer to complete. The external environment that this group works with may effect their views of the intangible nature of the material. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? The desirable outcomes would be that a larger focus group leads to a more comprehensive outcome. Suggestions may show that notwithstanding pragmatic clients, complexity theory has something to offer them in terms of organisational behaviour understanding. 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? Because it will mean that my model of complexity theory for understanding organisational behaviour is more universally useful. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? Again, the use of plenty of examples both in organisations in general and within MSA in particular may help in providing meaningful examples to the participants of the focus group. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? By providing examples it should bring a complex concept into the concrete to assist in understanding. Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? The outcomes were achieved although I was not happy with my presentation of the material. As I had thought, some members of the group were quite critical of the material presented; however there was a range of views and some opposing views on the same issue presented. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? I need to work out what I will do with the contradictory views that were presented – perhaps change nothing! I still want the outcomes of the presentation. There were some good suggestions made about how I could improve the presentation of the material and how an additional handout may assist. 2c. Why/why not? I believe that by using the input from the group the presentation can be improved and my understanding of complexity theory has improved, particularly with respect of how it can assist with understanding organisations. If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-9 _____________________________________________________________________ 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) The group was not as big as I had initially thought with one member absent. Further, there was limited time to conduct the focus group that made me overly conscious of how long the focus group was going to take. I need to ensure that I take the time to introduce the material in an unhurried manner. This made me apprehensive at the start of the presentation and this showed through in the lack of confidence in my delivery. The group participants provided some contradictory advice that probably came down to individual preference. Where a contradiction exists I will await greater evidence before making a change. Cycle 6 – Richmond – 25 Feb 2003 Questions to enhance intention: 1a. What do I think are the salient features of this situation? This is the final in my action research cycles. I will need to ensure that I maintain my consistency in delivery despite the fact that it is the last cycle. I will be troubled if many new ideas for improvement come out of this last cycle as it should be pretty well refined by now. The situation will also be slightly different for the group as a participant from the first cycle will be present. His presence will be to determine whether there has been improvement since the first cycle. The participation of John may affect the way the group behaves as he is not from the Richmond team. 1b. Why do I think those are the salient features? I think that these are the salient features because they are what make it different from the previous cycles. As it is the sixth cycle there should be relatively little in terms of suggestions for improvement. Having as participant someone who has done the focus group before could change the group dynamic. 2a. Given that situation, what do I think are the desirable outcomes? Given the above salient features, the desirable outcome would be general acceptance of the complexity theory as a way of understanding organisations. Suggestions for minor improvements would also be expected. 2b. Why do I think those are the desirable outcomes? Those are the desirable outcomes as they would be consistent with previous outcomes. They would also assist in my understanding of complexity theory and improve the focus group if I need to conduct another focus group. 3a. What actions do I think will achieve those outcomes in that situation? Primarily by taking my time the focus group should run well. I will also need to take time to explain the action research process and the inclusion of the outside member of the group for objectivity in the research process. 3b. Why do I think those actions will achieve those outcomes in that situation? If the feedback from the other cycles can be relied upon, if I take my time, there should be a general level of understanding from the focus group participants. There should also be a few suggestions on how the focus group could be improved. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown E-10 _____________________________________________________________________ Questions to enhance reflection: (First revisiting question 2 above, on outcomes) 2a. Were the outcomes achieved? The outcomes were largely achieved. The impact of John sitting in as an observer did not seem to put off any of the participants. There seemed to be a general level of interest in the material and various improvement suggestions were offered. 2b. If so, now that I've got them, do I still want them? Yes, the outcomes were generally positive and the participants felt that they could use the attributes in their work with clients. 2c. Why/why not? The outcomes add to my confidence that the attributes can assist organisational practitioners understand client organisational behaviour. If not... 1a. Was I mistaken about the situation? 1b. If so, in what respect? 1c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 2d. Was I mistaken about the desirable outcomes? 2e. If so, in what respect? 2f. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3a. Was I mistaken about the desirable actions? 3b. If so, in what respect? 3c. What led me to that mistake, and what have I learned from it? 3d. Did I produce the actions? 3e. If not, why not? 3f. What have I learned from that (about the situation, about the desirable outcomes, about the desirable actions, about systems, about people, about myself...?) I learned that as the number of cycles increases the amount of variation decreases so that there appear to be less surprises in the later cycles. The interest evoked through the earlier cycles wanes somewhat where less new suggestions for improvement are made. I may have to run the focus group for a group external to the Management Services Agency to see if my results are applicable more generally to people who work with organisations. I have the opportunity to run the session for the Air Force’s Adaptive Leadership Program cell. These people do not work for me and would be able to offer confirmation that the conclusions I have reached are more generally applicable in other organisations. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix F Focus Group Workshop Validity Questionnaire _____________________________________________________________________ Cycle 6 – Richmond – 26 Feb 2003 Questions 1a. Is this focus group different from the first? Yes 1b. If Yes, in what ways it is different? Background – more information provided; better understanding of the how, who, what etc. What is Complexity Theory? – better and more thorough explanation of the theory Attribute 1 – less structure comments process; covered applicability to MSA more. Attribute 2 – less structured comments process; more interactive discussion. Attribute 3 – as above Attribute 4– as above Attribute 5– as above Attribute 6– as above Feedback Session– as above 2a. Do you think that the participants were being ‘led’ by the facilitator? Why? No – participants allowed to speak as desired and discussion generated lead by participants. May need to use more examples to kick start discussion. 2b.Do you think the participants in this focus group had a better chance of understanding complexity theory than the participants in the first group based on the focus group? _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown F-2 _____________________________________________________________________ Yes, as they were able to discuss ideas and concepts more as a group, rather than responding as individuals. 2c. If yes/no, why? See above 2d. What suggestions can you make to improve the focus group for the next cycle? Provide feedback on what current theory says, and perhaps what other MST’s came up with (at end of sessions). 3. Do you have any other comments? The time required to conduct the workshop seems to have reduced significantly. Why? Less structured responses ie. not going round the room for responses. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ASSISTANCE _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown Appendix G Focus Group Workshop Handout – Cycle 2 _____________________________________________________________________ COMPLEXITY THEORY AND ORGANISATIONAL UNDERSTANDING 1. COMPLEX SYSTEMS ARE NONLINEAR, OPEN, AND FAR FROM EQUILIBRIUM 2. COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR IS A RESULT OF ADAPTATION TO THE ENVIRONMENT, BASED ON EXPERIENCE 3. COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR IS A FUNCTION OF INTERNAL MODELS OR SCHEMAS THAT ARE THE RESULT OF PERCEIVED REGULARITIES IN EXPERIENCE 4. EMERGENT GLOBAL COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR INVOLVES THE AGGREGATE BEHAVIOUR OF AGENTS 5. INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE ACTIVELY CONSTRUCTED, SELF-ORGANISED AND EMERGENT 6. INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE A FUNCTION OF BOTH AGENT INTERACTION AND EXISTING INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS Further reading: Action Research- http://www.scu.edu.au/schools/gcm/ar McNiff, J & Whitehead, J. (2000) Action Research in Organisations, Routledge, London Complexity Theory – http://www.santafe.edu/ _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ Callum Brown ATTRIBUTES OF COMPLEXITY THEORY INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE ACTIVELY CONSTRUCTED, SELFORGANISED AND EMERGENT ORGANISATIONAL BEHAVIOUR IS A RESULT OF ADAPTATION TO THE ENVIRONMENT, BASED ON EXPERIENCE ORGANISATIONAL BEHAVIOUR IS A FUNCTION OF INTERNAL MODELS OR SCHEMAS THAT ARE THE RESULT OF PERCEIVED REGULARITIES IN EXPERIENCE SIX ATTRIBUTES OF COMPLEXITY THEORY INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS ARE A FUNCTION OF BOTH AGENT INTERACTION AND EXISTING INTERNAL MODELS AND SCHEMAS Appendix H EMERGENT GLOBAL COMPLEX SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR INVOLVES THE AGGREGATE BEHAVIOUR OF AGENTS ORGANISATIONS ARE NONLINEAR, OPEN, AND FAR FROM EQUILIBRIUM
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