CE 2710 Transportation Engineering Homework 5 Solution 1. Given the following data use the gravity model to calculate all the interchange volumes (in other words, get the trip distribution matrix). Zone 1 2 3 Production, Pi 2000 1000 2000 Attractiveness, Aj 2 5 1 Impedance Factor, Wij I 1 2 3 J 2 20 5 10 1 5 20 10 Calibration Factor, c = 1.5 3 10 10 5 Socio-economic factor, kij = 1.0 Solution 1 1 F 0.0894 11 Wijc (5)1.5 Fij First calculate friction factors: Fij I TAZ 1 2 3 1 0.0894 0.0112 0.0316 J 2 0.0112 0.0894 0.0316 3 0.0316 0.0316 0.0894 Find denominator of Gravity Model equations: AjFijKij Aj Fij K ij A1F11K11 (2)(0.0894)(1.0) 0.1789 AjFijKij J I TAZ 1 2 3 1 0.1789 0.0224 0.0632 2 0.0559 0.4472 0.1581 3 0.0316 0.0316 0.0894 Σ 0.2664 0.5012 0.3108 Find Probability that Trip i will be attracted to Zone j, pij pij A j Fij K ij A F K j p11 ij ij A1 F11K11 ( A1 F11 K11 A2 F12 K12 A3 F13 K13 ) 0.1789 0.6715 0.2664 Pij I TAZ 1 2 3 J 2 0.2098 0.8923 0.5087 1 0.6715 0.0446 0.2035 3 0.1187 0.0631 0.2878 Find Trip Interchanges, Qij Qij Pi pij Q11 P1 p11 (2000)(0.6715) 1343 Qij J I TAZ 1 2 3 Σ 1 1343 45 407 1795 2 420 892 1017 2329 3 237 63 576 876 Σ 2000 1000 2000 5000 2. Use the gravity model to estimate the trip distribution matrix for this planning year. Given: Zone Production, Pi 1 2 2000 5000 Attractiveness, Aj 10 8 Impedance Factor, Wij J I 1 2 1 2 9 2 10 1 Calibration Factor, c = 1.5 Kij J 1 1 1.2 1 2 I 2 1.2 1 Solution: 1 1 F 0.3536 11 Wijc (2)1.5 Fij First calculate friction factors: Fij J TAZ 1 2 I 1 0.3536 0.0370 2 0.0316 1.0000 Find denominator of Gravity Model equations: AjFijKij A j Fij K ij A1 F11K11 (10)(0.3536)(1.0) 3.5355 AjFijKij TAZ 1 2 I J 2 0.3036 8.0000 1 3.5355 0.4444 Σ 3.8391 8.4444 Find Probability that Trip i will be attracted to Zone j, pij pij A j Fij K ij A F K j p11 ij ij A1 F11K11 ( A1 F11K11 A2 F12 K12 ) 3.5355 0.9209 3.8391 Pij J I TAZ 1 2 1 0.9209 0.0526 Find Trip Interchanges, Qij Qij Pi pij Q11 P1 p11 (2000)(0.9209) 1842 2 0.0791 0.9474 Qij I TAZ 1 2 Σ 1 1842 263 2105 J 2 158 4737 4895 Σ 2000 5000 7000 3. Discuss factors of demographics and land use that are not in the gravity model that should affect trip distribution between zones. The gravity model does not include many factors including: Car ownership Prestige Availability Accessibility of Modes Walkable/Transit oriented development Can we accurately estimate impedance before we have 'mode choice' and 'route choice'? Discuss. No. The impedance will change depending on how many vehicles are loaded to a particular route. 4. Calculate the market shares for the following modes using the utility function given. uk = ak – 0.003 X1 – 0.04 X2 Auto BRT Regular Bus ak, modal constant -0.20 -0.40 -0.60 X1, travel cost in cents 120 60 30 X2, travel time in minutes 30 45 55 u auto aauto 0.003 X 1 0.04 X 2 0.2 (0.003 *120) (0.04 * 30) u auto 0.2 0.36 1.2 1.76 u BRT a BRT 0.003 X 1 0.04 X 2 0.4 (0.003 * 60) (0.04 * 45) u BRT 0.4 0.18 1.8 2.38 u Bus a Bus 0.003 X 1 0.04 X 2 0.6 (0.003 * 30) (0.04 * 55) u Bus 0.6 0.09 2.2 2.89 e 1.76 0.172 0.172 prob ( Auto) 1.76 2.38 2.89 (0.172 0.289 0.0556) 0.32017 e e e prob ( Auto) 53.73% e 2.38 0.09255 0.09255 prob ( BRT ) 1.76 2.38 2.89 (0.172 0.289 0.0556) 0.32017 e e e prob ( BRT ) 28.91% e 2.89 0.0556 0.0556 prob ( Bus ) 1.76 2.38 2.89 (0.172 0.289 0.0556) 0.32017 e e e prob ( Bus ) 17.36% 5. Calculate the market shares for auto and light rail using the utility function given. uk = ak – 0.05 Ta – 0.04 Tw – 0.02 Tr– 0.01 C Light Rail Auto ak, modal constant -0.05 -0.05 Ta – access time 10 5 Tw – waiting time 10 5 Tr – riding time 45 30 C – out of pocket cost 50 100 u rail arail 0.05Ta 0.04Tw 0.02Tr 0.01C u rail 0.05 (0.05 *10) (0.04 *10) (0.02 * 45) (0.01* 50) u rail 0.05 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.5 2.35 u auto aauto 0.05Ta 0.04Tw 0.02Tr 0.01C u auto 0.05 (0.05 * 5) (0.04 * 5) (0.02 * 30) (0.01*100) u auto 0.05 0.25 0.2 0.6 1 2.1 e 2.35 0.09537 0.09537 prob( Rail ) 2.35 2.1 (0.09537 0.1224) 0.2178 e e prob( Rail ) 43.78% e 2.1 0.1224 0.1224 prob( Auto) 2.35 2.1 (0.09537 0.1224) 0.2178 e e prob( Auto) 56.22% 6. Which is the parameter in the modal choice utility function that accounts for intangibles such as land use issues, comfort of the mode and type of trip? These intangibles are reflected in the value of the modal constant.
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