The Impact of Cohesion Policy on Corruption and Political Favouritism Balázs Váradi, Anita Győrfi, Tamás Molnár, Petra Reszkető Download our paper: http://www.budapestinstitute.eu/BI_Green_Cohesi on_201610_final2.pdf V4Europe Pieces of Populism, June 8th, 2017 Cohesion Funds • Cohesion Policy: • Structural Funds for regions below 75% of EU average GDP/capita (PPP) • Cohesion Funds for regions below 90% of EU average GDP/capita (PPP) • Targeted at 25% of EU citizens (2014-2020) • Total transfers: 0.36% of EU GNI in 2012 • Certain countries (e.g. Hungary or Poland) receive more than 2% of their GNI • Declared goal: Reduce regional disparities in development „Guiding principles” 1. Funds are targeted at the least developed regions (concentration) 2. Regional and local authorities should be involved in the planning, implementation and monitoring phases (partnership) 3. Priorities are fixed for seven-year periods (programming) 4. Financing through the Structural Funds is intended to complement national investments in the same fields (additionality) The political economy of international aid • The effects of aid are dependent on the nature of the institutions and the political regime in the receiving country (Burnside and Dollar 1997) • Aid might further compromise institutions, placing a heavy burden on bureaucracy and creating dependency (Knack 2000, Harford and Klein 2005) • Receiving aid might limit economic development (Bräutigam and Knack 2004) • Removes incentives for reform • Influences priorities Empirical findings • The manner and efficacy of spending CF in the target MSs are largely affected by • Institutional quality • Italy: Administrative capacity matters in implementation (Milio 2007) • Political processes • France: Cross regional allocation of infrastructure developments determined by electoral concerns and influence activities (Cadot et al 2002) • EU: Regions politically aligned with the government receive more (Bouvet and Dall’Erba 2010), less integrationist states receive more (Carrubba 1997) • The strength of sub-state actors Effects on growth • CP is able to increase income in supported regions, but it may crowd out private investment (Varga and in’t Veld 2011) • The positive effect on GDP is stronger in more developed regions, convergence on the national level (Cappelen et al 2003) • CP furthers growth only in open economies (Ederveen et al 2003) • The transfers in the 1986 -1996 time period had no significant effect on the regions’ convergence (Boldrin and Canova 2001) Types of corruption • Diverting stated development goals for private gain • Influencing project selection for private gain • Bribery/favouritism in the public procurement process • Fraud in the use of funds Types of corruption Many other mechanisms, not fully addressed • The issue of absorption • Crowding out budgetary resources • Non-corruption rent-seeking (!) • Exchange rate • Mentality and attitude differences - two discourses • „Project approach+ MIN INCOME EP RESULTS SIDESTEP GOV OTHER FUNDS EVALUATI ON AWARENE SS Types of corruption SF distribution mechanisms represent pork-barrel politics X X SF outcomes are dependent on the nature of the institutions and the political regime in the receiving MS X X Corruption: Ineffectual control mechanisms in the recipient MS X X Corruption: Diverting stated development goals for private gain X X X X X Corruption: Influencing project selection for private gain and Bribery/favouritism X X X X X Corruption: Fraud in the use of funds X X Other structural problems: General rent-seeking, crowding out, attitudes X X X X X X X X X X X X Suggested improvements Filtering extant ones Criteria • Makes some sense • Legally and politically at least remotely possible • Not too technical or narrow • Not solving one problem but aggravating another • Ones strengthening each other (synergy) • Not against Green ideology Suggested improvements 1 Raising awareness concerning the issue both in recipient and in developed MSs (AWARENESS) • a political solution needed for a mostly political problem! • the public opinion of net donor MSs should realize how their contribution is (mis)spent • the public of the recipient states should learn the sideeffects corruption causes for their societies • cooperation with civil society watchdogs and NGOs in monitoring and evaluation of the use of SF is crucial • use of qualitative and quantitative data Suggested improvements 2 Improvement of the honest EU-wide evaluation, feedback and learning mechanisms (EVALUATION) • OLAF could do more, more openly and could be given more power to sanction misuse • establishment of the long-planned European Public Prosecutor’s Office • The EC could take a more active role in directly procuring, judging and publishing state-of-the-art programme evaluations • The EC (or even the EP) could support watchdog organizations and promote civil monitoring initiatives (investigative journalism) Suggested improvements 3 Tackling geographical asymmetries in other parts of the EU budget (OTHER FUNDS) • E.g. sums earmarked for research and innovation, education and training, trans-European networks, social policy, economic integration and accompanying policies under the title ‘Competitiveness for growth and employment’ • Unwelcome side-effect of channelling funds to the most developed areas of Europe • Could be fine-tuned to also contribute to the goal of cohesion Suggested improvements 4 Trying to sidestep, as much as possible, MS governments and instead directly target local actors: local governments or NGOs (SIDESTEP GOV) • Difficult due to resistance of MS governments • Pre-conditions: • flexible funding • participatory grant-making (including participatory needs assessment, diverse options in terms of grant size and type; encouraging strategic thinking, and ensuring liquidity for budget-constrained) Suggested improvements 5 More result-based conditionality to be built in the ECMS institutional-contractual relationship (RESULTS) • Make (future) transfers conditional on measurable social results achieved • Political constraints Suggested improvements 6 More frequent and thorough democratic scrutiny of the implementation of all stated goals of cohesion policy should be exercised by the European Parliament in its supervisory capacity (EP) • More overseeing of the whole process by the European Parliament (civil servants of the EC and especially MS governments represented in the Council being more likely to be a part of the problem) • This can be done directly by the client… A major alternative Spending most or at least a large proportion of the present Cohesion Funds budget on a Europe-wide social safety net to the materially most deprived citizens across Europe, e.g. a uniform low conditional minimum income transfer scheme. A major alternative Severely materially deprived (% of the population, 2012) 30 25 Cohesion countries Not Cohesion countries 20 15 10 5 0 BG RO HU LV LT CY PL IT EL IE MT SK PT EE UK CZ SI BE FR ES AT DE FI DK NL LU SE A parallel: the US Food Stamp Program • Example: US Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (Food Stamp Program) • 1964- (after pilots) • Food-purchasing assistance for low- and no-income people living in the U.S • Federal aid program, administered by the Department of Agriculture • Benefits are distributed by states • Total benefit cost (2014): $74.1 billion (0.43% of GDP) • Supplied 46.5 million people (average $125.35 per person per month) Difficulties and opportunities • Many issues to be resolved: institutions, costs, incentives, crowding out, etc. • A lot of detailed calculations are needed to calibrate this • Major Europe-wide political shift needed for this to be accepted (e.g. a new coalition of the anti-poverty left, the disillusioned right and target MSs anxious not to completely lose CF) • But also establishing a direct link between the poorest of Europe and the EU institutions Thank you for your attention! Comments are welcome at [email protected] The paper can be downloaded from: http://www.budapestinstitute.eu/BI_Green_Cohesion_20161 0_final2.pdf
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