Islamic University of Gaza Department of Math. Second semester 13/5/2009 االسم Q1 Q2 الرقم 7 6 Probability Theory First midterm exam Time: one hour Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Total 6 6 9 6 40 المدرس Solve the following questions: Q1) A box contains 5 red balls and 3 white balls. A sample of 4 balls is drawn at random and without replacement from the box. i) Determine the probability mass function of the number of red balls in the sample. ii) What is the probability that there are at least two red balls in the sample. iii) Determine the mean and variance of the number of red balls in the sample. 1 Q2)(a) If P (A | B ) 0.7, P (A ) 0.5 and P (B ) 0.2. i) Are A and B independent events? Explain. ii) Determine P (B | A ) . iii) Determine P (A B ) . Q3) Suppose that the probability mass function of a random variable X is x f (x ) 0 0.125 a f (a ) 2 0.375 (i)If E (X ) 1.5 , find a and f (a ) . (ii) Determine the cumulative distribution function of X . 2 3 0.125 Q4) An assembly consists of two parts. Suppose the probability that the first and the second part is defective equals 0.05 and 0.10 respectively. Assume that the parts are independent. Determine the probability mass function of the number of defective parts in the assembly. Q5) The probability that a sample of water is contaminated equals 0.1. If the samples are independent. i) If 20 samples of water are checked, what is the probability that more than one sample is contaminated? 3 ii) What is the probability that 10 samples must be checked to find the first contaminated sample? iii) What is the mean number of the samples that must be checked to obtain three contaminated samples? Q6) A company buys semiconductors from two suppliers. 30% of the semiconductors are from supplier I and the remaining are from supplier II. If 85% of the semiconductors from supplier I and 95% of the semiconductors from supplier II meet the specifications. i) If a semiconductor is selected at random, what is the probability that it meets the specifications? ii) If a semiconductor meets the specifications, what is the probability that it is from supplier I? 4
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