Economics 771 – First Semester 2017 M ICROECONOMIC A NALYSIS Course Description: The course introduces the standard formal framework for the analysis of decision making by individual economic agents, in competitive, cooperative and noncooperative/strategic environments. This framework forms the basic building blocks or starting point of much of modern economic theory and empirical analysis. The main focus is theoretical model building and analysis, with some reference to and exploration of related empirical issues. The overarching focus of the course is the methodology and assumptions that lead to the familiar results. It is not what we find that is most essential to grasp but how and why we get to the findings. Course Design: The course is presented in three parts: Part I: Game Theory and Uncertainty – 5 lectures Presented by Rulof Burger Tel: +27-21-808-2328 Rm 511 C.G.W Schumann Building Fax: +27-21-808-4637 office hours by appointment E-mail: [email protected] Part II: Consumer Theory – 4 lectures Part III: Producer Theory – 3 lectures Presented by Marisa von Fintel Rm 503 C.G.W Schumann Building office hours by appointment Tel: +27-21-808-2481 Fax: +27-21-808-4637 E-mail: [email protected] We consider all three parts to be vital in the training of an economist; therefore satisfactory performance in each part is required in order to pass (see Evaluation) The lectures make liberal and frequent use of the standard tools of mathematical optimization which were covered in the mathematics course. Some attention will be given to many of the mathematical features, but elements like basic calculus results will be taken as known and mastered by the student. Students are expected to engage in critical and logical thinking, and to work towards developing concise and rigorous reasoning and writing skills. The course places great emphasis on active and extensive practice in problem solving as well as in-class participation during discussions. All of these elements will be assessed. Broad Course Objectives: - To demonstrate how formal approaches can be used to formulate and solve microeconomic problems analytically. - To explain the intuition behind some of the more well known theorems in modern microeconomics. - To build experience in tracing the consequences of specific assumptions often made in modelling decision processes, and consequently the reasons, costs and benefits of certain types of these assumptions. - To provide students with a foundation to apply game-theoretic analysis, both formally and intuitively, to strategic situations. - To demonstrate the importance of competitive and cooperative factors in a variety of decision problems. - To help students recognize and assess archetypal strategic situations in complicated decision making settings. - To facilitate critical engagement with the material in order to achieve synthesis across the various topics, and develop skills to apply to understanding most fields in economics. - To indicate directions in which different parts of microeconomics have been taken and what is done at the cutting edge of research. Lectures: Lecture notes will be provided on the department’s website (ekon.sun.ac.za) at the discretion of the lecturer, but practically all mathematical derivations will be done (exclusively) in class, by hand. Tutorial Sessions and Problem Sets: Problem Sets will be assigned during the course and are due at the following tutorial session. The purpose of these tutorials will be to review material covered in class, provide guided practice in solving problems and to discuss the answers to problem sets. While the problem sets will aid you in learning the techniques you need to master for the tests and exams, they are not intended primarily as opportunities to practice questions for exam preparation – this is your own responsibility. The tutorials are to be seen as extensions of the methods developed in class to more complicated environments to learn the methodology, not as study aids to memorize the work. Students are allowed to discuss problem sets with class mates and to work together in groups. However, the submitted solutions must be completely your own work. The problem sets are graded to reward effort, so attempting each question and submitting all the problem sets is the best way to ensure a good tutorial mark. Tutors: Chloé van Biljon E-mail: [email protected] Theo Klein E-mail: [email protected] Evaluation: Students’ performance on the course will be assessed as follows: Evaluation Problem Sets Mid-Semester Test 1 Mid-Semester Test 2 Course Essay Final Exam Date Due in Tutorial Classes 14 March 2017 2 May 2017 Due on 5 May 2017 May/June 2017 Weights: The final mark for each part of the course will consist of 20% for tutorials and 80% for final test/exam mark for that part of the course The marks for the parts of the course and the Essay are weighted as follows: Weight in Final Course Mark Final Mark for Part I Final Mark for Part II Final Mark for Part III Course Essay 35% 25% 20% 20% Criteria for passing course: In order to pass the course a student must have: - A Final Class Mark of at least 50% A final calculated mark of at least 40% for each of part of the course individually. In accordance with departmental policy, only students who have a calculated final class mark of at least 40% qualify for a supplementary exam. Exam Coverage: The mid-semester test 1 will cover Part I of the course. The mid-semester test 2 will cover Part II of the course. The final exam will cover the entire course, but: o Students who failed mid-semester test 1 are required to write on Part I in the exam and can obtain a maximum of 50% for this part of the course. Students o o o o who miss mid-semester test 1 due to illness are also required to write Part I in the exam. Students who failed mid-semester test 2 are required to write on Part II and can obtain a maximum of 50% for this part of the course. Students who miss mid-semester test 2 due to illness are also required to write Part II in the exam. Students who passed the mid-semester tests may use the exam to attempt to improve their marks. If you decide to write this exam, your exam mark will replace your mid-semester exam mark. The final exam is the LAST opportunity to pass Parts I and II of the course. Students who wrote mid-tem tests 1 and 2 and achieved the sub-minimum for both section but miss the exam due to illness, can write the sick test (in the week directly following the exams) providing they provide a valid doctor’s certificate. This opportunity will also serve as the supplementary test for those who wrote the exam but failed to achieve the sub-minimum. This will be the LAST opportunity to pass Part III of the course. Course Essay: Students are expected to write a critical academic essay on a number of topics that will be provided. Once the essays are released, students must sign up for topics on a first-come-firstserved basis. Where a topic is stated broadly, you may choose the scope and focus of your essay – just make sure to explicitly state and motivate your choices in this regard. The technical requirements are: Formal citation and referencing according to the Harvard method 12pt font, 1.5 line spacing A signed plagiarism declaration must accompany the essay A digital version of the essay must be uploaded to TurnItIn.com before submission No cover page, abstract, table of contents or binding – save trees and energy: just staple. The word limit for this essay is 2000. This maximum will be strictly enforced: word limit penalties will be applied proportional to the number of words exceeding 2000. Please report your word count on the title page of your essay. A late submission penalty of 2 percentage points per day late will be imposed. All essays must be submitted on turnitin.com. Marks are allocated according to how well students perform in terms of content (50%), writing style (30%) and bibliography (20%). Prescribed Textbook: Jehle, G.A. and Reny, P.J. (2011) Advanced Microeconomic Theory, 3rd Edition, Financial Times|Prentice Hall, Harlow, England. (referred to as JR below) Recommended textbooks: Easier than course level: Varian, H.R. (2009). Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach. 8th Edition. Norton, New York. On par with course difficulty level: Varian, H.R. (1992). Microeconomic Analysis, 3rd Edition. Norton, New York. Gibbons, R. (1992). A Primer in Game Theory. Prentice Hall, Harlow, England. (referred to as Gibbons below) More advanced than course level: Mas-Colell, A., Whinston, M.D. and Green, J.R. (1995). Microeconomic Theory. Oxford University Press, New York. Papers: Several papers will be used as additional content resources and as examples of current theoretical and empirical work. All assigned readings are examinable. Brief Lecture Outline: Part I: Decision making in Strategic Environments – 5 Lectures – Rulof Burger Risk, Uncertainty, Expected Utility and Insurance (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 2: 2.4 Machina, M.J. (1987) "Choice Under Uncertainty: Problems Solved and Unsolved", Journal of Economic Perspectives 1(1): 121-154. Dercon, S. (2002) “Income Risk, Coping Strategies, and Safety Nets” World Bank Research Observer 17(2): 141-166. Ehrlich, I. and G.S. Becker (1972) “Market Insurance, Self-insurance and Selfprotection” The Journal of Political Economy 80(4): 623-648. Barberis, N. (2013) “Thirty Years of Prospect Theory in Economics: A Review and Assessment”, Journal of Economic Perspectives 27(1): 173-196. Strategic-form games and solution concepts (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 7.1-7.2 Gibbons Chapter 1: 1.1, 1.3B Aumann, R. J. (1985) “What is Game Theory Trying to Accomplish?” in Frontiers of Economics edited by K. Arrow and S. Honkapohja. Blackwell, Oxford. Gibbons, R. (1997) “An Introduction to Applicable Game Theory”, Journal of Economic Perspectives 11(1): 127-149. Kuhn, Harold W. (1994) “Nobel seminar: the work of John Nash in game theory” (with contributions by J. F. Nash, J. C. Harsanyi, R. Selten, J. W. Weibull, E. van Damme, and P. Hammerstein), Les Prix Nobel 1994, 274-310. Mailath, G.J. (1998) "Do People Play Nash Equilibrium? Lessons from Evolutionary Game Theory", Journal of Economic Literature 36(3): 1347-1374. Mixed strategies (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 7.2 Gibbons Chapter 1: 1.3 Nash, J. F. (1950) "Equilibrium Points in N-Person Games", Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 36, 48-49. Palacios-Huerta, I. (2003). "Professionals Play Minimax," Review of Economic Studies, 70(2): 395-415, 04. Aumann, R. J. (1987). "Correlated Equilibrium as an Expression of Bayesian Rationality", Econometrica 55 (1): 1-18. Binmore, K., Swierzbinski, J. & Proulx, C. (2001). "Does Minimax Work? An Experimental Study", Economic Journal 111(473): 445-464. Sinervo, B. and C. M. Lively (1996). "The Rock-Paper-Scissors Game and the Evolution of Alternative Male Strategies", Nature 380: 240–243. Continuous strategy spaces and extensive form games (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 7.2 Gibbons Chapter 1: 1.2 Cournot, A. A. (1897) [1838]. Researches into the Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth, Hachette, Paris. Friedman, J. W. (1999). “The Legacy of Augistin Cournot.” UNC Department of Economics Working Paper 99-05, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. Camerer, C.F. (1997) “Progress in Behavioral Game Theory”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(4): 167-188. “Modelling Behaviour: Game Theory in Practice.” The Economist (Technology Quarterly Q3) 3 September 2011: 15-16. “Economics evolves: A long way from dismal.” The Economist, 10 January 2015. “Buttonwood: More Kirk than Spock.” The Economist, 9 May 2015. Extensive-Form Games (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 7.3 Gibbons Chapter 2 Diamond, D.W. and Dybvig, P.H. (1983). “Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity” Journal of Political Economy 91 (3): 401-419. Friedman, J.W., (1971) "A Non-Cooperative Equilibrium for Supergames", Review of Economic Studies 38 (113): 1-12. Abreu, D. (1988) "On the Theory of Infinitely Repeated Games with Discounting", Econometrica 56: 383-396. Part II: Consumer Theory – 4 Lectures – Marisa von Fintel Preliminaries, Math, Logic, Preferences and Utility (2 lectures) Readings: JR Chapter 1: 1.1 – 1.3, Mathematical Appendices: A1.1, A1.2.2, A1.4, A2.3 (review these parts) Consumer Problem in Primal and Dual form, Demand and its characterization (2 lectures) Readings: JR Chapter 1: 1.3 – 1.5, Chapter 2: 2.1, (2.2) Part III: Producer Theory – 3 Lectures – Marisa von Fintel Classical Theory of Firm (2 lectures) Readings: JR Chapter 3 Equilibrium and Welfare (1 lecture) Readings: JR Chapter 4 JR Chapter 6.1 – 6.2
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