RUNWAY COLLISION RISK - SETTING THE CONTEXT Captain Ed Pooley The Air Safety Consultancy & FSF European Advisory Committee 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 1 40 YEARS AGO - THE BIGGEST SINGLE LOSS OF LIFE IN AN AIRCRAFT ACCIDENT WAS A RUNWAY COLLISION On 27 March 1977, two Boeing 747s collided on the runway at Tenerife (now Tenerife North) because the Captain of one of them began take off in fog without clearance and was not challenged by the other two flight crew despite indications that they were aware of his error and of another aircraft ahead on the runway. 583 people died and 61 survived. Fortunately, times have changed and absolute authority has been replaced by the concept of CRM. But much of the other circumstantial context of this accident remains….. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 2 TENERIFE - THE SCENARIO Poor day visibility of around 300 metres in fog. A late sighting as the 747 taking off was beginning to rotate. The other 747 had already advised that it was still backtracking on the runway. There were no restrictions on minimum taxiing visibility. There was no measurement of RVR but there was visibility sensor near the beginning of the take off runway. The runway centreline lighting which was required to determine whether the visibility was sufficient for a take off to commence was inoperative. Imprecise communication between ATC and both aircraft involved was partly attributable to a combination of the controller being a non-native English speaker and pilot use of non standard phraseology open to misunderstanding. The evidence indicated that the Captain of the aircraft taking off without clearance had been under self-imposed pressure to minimise departure delay. It was an unusually busy time at a normally relatively quiet airport due to multiple unexpected diversions and a shortage of parking space. There was no surface movement radar display. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 3 SINCE THEN…. There have unsurprisingly been very big improvements in relevant aircraft operation, ATC and aerodrome procedures and in aerodrome signage, markings, lighting and charts but there have still been nine more fatal runway collision accidents involving ‘Western’ aircraft conducting commercial air transport flights which have killed 182 people. These accidents show that some aspects of the risks at Tenerife still remain – along with many more opportunities for risk management. There have also been many more non-fatal runway collision accidents involving these and other aircraft with a range of contributory factors. And the context for these accidents has been a huge number of Runway Incursions after which the extent of the subsequent investigation has been largely predicated on the actual risk of collision assessed after any avoiding action has mitigated that outcome – just as with AIRPROX and airborne collision risk - rather than the potential to learn new lessons. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 4 MADRID 1983 What Happened A Boeing 727 taking off in daylight from Madrid as cleared had reached V1 when, after a very late sighting, it unavoidably collided with a DC9 which had been cleared to taxi to the full length holding point of the same runway but had failed to follow its clearance and inadvertently entered the take off runway at its intersection with another runway about one third of the way along its length. 93 people were killed and 30 others seriously injured. The Context Thick early morning radiation fog with an RVR of 200 metres or less in the vicinity of the runway intersection near where the collision occurred. Both aircraft were Spanish-operated. Guidance needed for the DC9 to safely acquire the correct taxiway in such low visibility was poor. The DC9 crew made no attempt to use their compasses to confirm they were on the correct taxiway. The available evidence indicated that about 30 seconds prior to impact, the crew had finally suspected that they might have entered a runway. This uncertainty was not reported to ATC and 8 seconds later, in the absence of a requested position report from the DC9 during its taxi out, the GND controller requested its position and it became clear that the crew were probably lost. Before further clarification could be obtained, the collision occurred. ATC visual surveillance was impossible and there was no surface movement radar. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 5 ATLANTA 1990 What Happened The crew of a Boeing 727 cleared to land without conditions in sequence behind a King Air A100 did so but during deceleration after touchdown saw the King Air ahead and about to exit the runway too late to avoid a collision. One of the two pilots in the King Air was killed and the other seriously injured. The Context Good night visibility The anti collision lighting on the King Air was deficient - both the upper and lower anti collision beacons and the tailcone strobe light were inoperative. Both aircraft had flown their approaches in accordance with ATC sequencing instructions but these were insufficient to maintain the prescribed minimum separation between them. The runway controller had failed to monitor separation or give the 727 crew traffic information on the aircraft ahead after becoming distracted and the approach radar controller had failed to issue timely speed reductions. Inadequate ATC procedures were found not to allow for the potential consequences of inevitable lapses in controller normal performance. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 6 DETROIT 1990 What Happened A DC9 taxiing for a daylight departure failed to follow its taxi clearance and eventually entered the active runway where it stopped at one side shortly before being hit by a Boeing 727 taking off and about to rotate. 8 people were killed and 10 seriously injured. The Context Thick Fog (effective forward visibility less than 400 metres), no time for effective avoiding action by the 727 crew. A DC9 Captain on his first flight after a licence medical suspension lasting almost 7 years; conclusive evidence of command weakness in the face of an over confident F/O. Prolonged DC9 crew doubts about their position and failure to advise ATC; no use of the compass to detect gross taxi error. No use of progressive taxi instructions by ATC. No controller use of available surface monitoring display to detect taxi error. Deficient surface markings, signage & lighting undetected by FAA inspections. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 7 LOS ANGELES 1991 What Happened As a Boeing 737-300 touched down on the full length of the runway at night, its crew immediately saw a smaller aircraft - a Metroliner - stationary on the runway ahead of them too late to avoid it and a collision followed. Both aircraft were being operated in accordance with their clearances. 34 people were killed and 13 seriously injured. The Context Good night visibility. The Metroliner was difficult to see because: Its anti-collision beacon was on but obstructed from view by the empennage Its strobe lights were off because procedures only required them to be switched on upon receipt of a take off clearance. Its white tail navigation light was likely to have been virtually indistinguishable from the white runway centreline lighting The controller who issued both clearances was found to have been previously identified as having deficiencies indicative of weak performance which had not been adequately addressed Inadequate ATC procedures undetected by regulatory oversight 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 8 ST. LOUIS 1994 What Happened The pilots of an MD-82 taking off from St Louis in accordance with their ATC clearance and past the 80 knot call suddenly became aware of a smaller aircraft - subsequently found to have been a Cessna 441 - which had failed to follow its departure taxi clearance and was stationary ahead on the runway. With no time for avoiding action, a collision followed and 2 people were killed. The Context Good night visibility. The wing tip-mounted anti collision/strobe lights on the Cessna had not been on making it difficult to see. The Cessna pilot had been given clearance to taxi to and line up on a rarely used secondary runway parallel to the accident runway on which he had recently landed and report ready to GND as this runway was not yet active and therefore remained under GND control. An incomplete read back of this taxi clearance which omitted any reference to the runway designation went unchallenged. There was no reference on the ATIS to the departure runway given to the Cessna and no other ATC information regarding its occasional use. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 9 QUINCY, ILLINOIS 1996 What Happened As it decelerated after touchdown at the uncontrolled aerodrome at Quincy, Illinois, a Beech 1900C collided with a King Air A90 which had commenced take off on an intersecting runway at that intersection. All 14 occupants of both aircraft were killed. The Context Good daylight visibility. No impediment to sight of the Beech 1900 by the King Air pilots during most of its 6 mile final approach. The failure of the King Air pilots to effectively monitor the CTAF or properly scan for potentially conflicting traffic before beginning their take off. The King Air pilots did not respond to a short final transmission on the CTAF from the Beech 1900 crew seeking to clarify if they were going to roll before or after their landing but an inappropriate & interrupted response from a third aircraft waiting to take off behind the King Air led the Beech 1900 crew to conclude that the King Air would wait until they had landed before beginning its take off. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 10 PARIS CDG 2000 What Happened An MD83 on a full length night take off in accordance with its ATC clearance was unable to avoid a high speed collision with a Shorts SD330 which had incorrectly begun to enter the same runway at an intersection after being conditionally cleared to do so. One of the pilots of the 330 was killed and the other was seriously injured. The Context Visibility was good but light pollution aggravated by the illumination of construction work compromised the runway controller's view of the runway and the available surface movement display showed only unidentified primary targets and was difficult to read. Although the GND controller had cleared the 330 to an intermediate holding point on one of the opposite-direction RETs and annotated the strip accordingly, the runway controller did not notice this and assumed that the 330 was proceeding for a full length take off behind the MD83. The use of two languages for ATC radio communication meant that the 330 crew were unaware as they began to taxi towards the runway that the MD83 had received a take off clearance (in French). The MD83 crew assumed that the 330, whose conditional line up clearance in English was understood, was behind them. ATC procedures were, in general, found to be poorly documented 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 11 MILAN LINATE 2001 What Happened An MD87 taking off in accordance with its ATC clearance and beginning rotation was hit by a Cessna Citation which had failed to follow its taxi clearance. The collision killed 118 people and seriously injured one. The Context Thick Fog - reported visibility was around 50 metres and RVR 200 metres. To enter the runway, the Cessna crossed a permanently lit red stop bar. Taxiway centreline lighting could only be switched all-on or all-off. ATC surface radar had been de-activated continuously for almost two years. The Citation Crew did not declare their apparent uncertainty about their position to ATC and their call indicating that it was not taxiing as cleared was not recognised as such by the GND controller. The very low visibility meant that the intended take off would have been well outside the minimum permitted under both Operator and aircraft certification and the pilots were not trained for such operations. The Citation had arrived earlier on a positioning flight and landed off an ILS approach in Cat 3 conditions when the aircraft was only certified to operate to Cat 1 minima. The intended take off would have been in visibility well below that permitted under both the AOC and aircraft certification and the pilots were not trained for such operations. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 12 MOSCOW VNUKOVO 2014 What Happened The crew of a Falcon 50 taking off at night from Moscow Vuknovo in accordance with their ATC clearance initially sighted a 'vehicle' moving across their runway some distance ahead and then apparently saw a stationary snowplough 200 metres ahead at the intersection of their runway and another one closed for snow clearance. An attempt at an early rotation was unsuccessful and the collision killed all 4 occupants of the Falcon 50. The Context Fog with 350 metres visibility was being reported but the relevant RVR was stable at 1000 metres and it was concluded that restricted visibility had not hindered visual acquisition of the obstruction. Procedures for control of snow clearance on the intersecting but closed runway were both inadequate and, to the extent that they functioned at all, were ineffective. An A-SMGCS installed over a year prior to the collision had not been properly configured nor had controller training been conducted. Its conflict alerting functions were effectively non functional and it was not being used to enhance controller situational awareness. The runway controller was supervising an ab-initio trainee. The unexplained performance of the snowplough driver involved may have been affected by his consumption of alcohol whilst on duty. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 13 THE PREVALENCE OF SOME RECURRENT FEATURES A late sighting made avoiding action impossible [10] At least one departing aircraft was involved [9] The primary cause of the collision was pilot non-compliance with ATC clearance [7] No system for display of ground movements to controllers was installed [6] Two departing aircraft were involved [6] Good visibility at night [5] Thick fog in daylight [4] The primary cause of the collision was ATC error [3] Inadequate aircraft conspicuity in good night visibility [3] Delay in pilots uncertain of their position declaring this to ATC [3] 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 14 TOWED AIRCRAFT - A RISK MISSING FROM THE FATAL ACCIDENT RECORD Two significant near misses in the 40 year period reviewed are worth recall: In 1998, a Boeing 767 taking off from Amsterdam in day visibility which precluded controller visual surveillance was just able to see a towed Boeing 747 crossing the runway ahead in time to stop. Both clearances had been given by the runway controller but that for the towed aircraft was given to the tow vehicle on the GND frequency where it remained in the local language. Access to active runways for vehicles was enabled on a different frequency to that used by aircraft moving under their own power. In 2016, a Boeing 737 taking off at night from Jakarta Halim in good visibility was unable to avoid an ATR42 under tow which had entered the active runway in the opposite direction without clearance. A collision followed with consequent fuel fed fires in both aircraft. Access to active runways for vehicles was enabled on a different frequency and language to that used by aircraft moving under their own power. Both events arose from inappropriate controller action and resolution relied on pilot/driver situational awareness which was unsupported by the opportunity to monitor all runway access clearances on a single frequency. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 15 SOME OF THE USEFUL RESPONSES SO FAR The widespread introduction of TWR/GND controller access to both surface movement and approach radar displays to supplement/replace reliance on visual awareness of relative traffic positions. The development and deployment in the USA of two complimentary systems - RWSL and FAROS - to directly and autonomously warn pilots/drivers at complex aerodromes of a runway collision risk regardless of its origin. The spread of ATC-controllable stop bars and taxiway centreline lighting. The widespread adoption of appropriate ATC and Pilot SOPs and of at least ICAO-standard aerodrome taxiway designation, signage and markings. The widespread introduction of Runway Safety Teams and aerodrome Hot Spot designation. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 16 SOME POTENTIAL ACTIONS (1) All Runway Safety Teams to have effective representation of non-based aircraft operators and clear links to post holding decision makers whose responses to any proposals made are documented. A continued focus on achieving more effective and consistent monitoring on flight decks especially in respect of compliance with taxi clearances. A global review of the criteria being used for the designation of Hot Spots to achieve consistency and the introduction of periodic review for all such designations which requires documented justification for their continued designation in place of alternatives. Every vehicle permitted to operate in the vicinity of an active runway to have two equally qualified occupants with a clear forward view and robust defences to ensure that vehicles without such occupants do not exceed their restricted area of airside operation. Where the nature of the vehicle concerned makes this impossible, a compliant escort vehicle should be provided. Careful control of runway lighting intensity at night is essential to avoid degrading pilot/driver vision by excessive brightness. Where take offs are commenced from the full length of a displaced threshold runway, this control must include the final segment of the approach lighting. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 17 SOME POTENTIAL ACTIONS (2) Restrictions on all aircraft/vehicle ground movements when visibility is below that required for a Cat 1 approach which are supported by the automatic measurement of visibility on active runways and in their vicinity. Such restrictions should take into account whether a surface movement screen display is available to controllers and be more limiting if it is not installed or temporarily unavailable. Where the adequacy of external lighting of small aircraft relative to larger ones is assessed to result in poor aircraft conspicuity at night even in good visibility, individual aerodromes might consider either proscribing night operations by such aircraft or consider prohibiting their line up at intermediate points on a mixed mode runway at night. New small aircraft designs should ensure that aircraft external lighting aimed at aiding conspicuity is considered for the ground case as well as the airborne one. Aircraft runway entry for take off should permit the approach and any part of the runway prior to that point to be visually checked for other traffic. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 18 SOME POTENTIAL ACTIONS (3) Aircraft Operator SOPs should include a crew check of the TCAS display immediately prior to entering an active runway. Mandate controllable red stop bars at all active runway access points and require alternative procedures in the event of unserviceability that are universal and no less robust. The 24/7 use of controllable taxiway centreline lighting should be promoted where appropriate, especially where the response to a perceived heightened risk of error is the designation of a Hot Spot. The universal use of a single frequency for the control of access to an active runway including the request for and issue of all clearances. The universal use of a single language on any frequency used for active runway control with language competency requirements to match. AIP alerting to runway longitudinal profiles which may impede visibility along the runway when pilots check that a runway is clear before beginning take off or when lining up at an intermediate point. The use of progressive taxi clearances in low visibility. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 19 SOME POTENTIAL ACTIONS (4) All vehicles towing aircraft must be in two way contact with ATC and the aircraft and those on the aircraft flight deck must be able to communicate with the towing vehicle and at least monitor the communications on the runway control frequency. Towed aircraft must always be illuminated to the same standard as aircraft moving under their own power. Unambiguous procedures for changing the status of a runway between active and inactive both as part of a daily routine or ad hoc. Adoption of RWSL and FAROS at all complex airports – a regulatory determination of ‘complex’ would be useful. Universal adoption of ICAO guidance on airside signage, surface markings and lighting and an inspection regime which ensures continued integrity should be encouraged. Use of RUNWAY AHEAD/NO ENTRY surface markings at runway access/egress points could be actively encouraged where appropriate. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 20 LEARNING LESSONS FROM RUNWAY INCURSIONS Independent investigation of runway collisions and incursions which are ‘Accidents’ or ‘Serious Incidents’ under ICAO Annex 13 is only followed in just over half of ICAO Member States and the definition of the threshold for a ‘Serious Incident’ of this type is variably interpreted. Runway Collision risk management therefore depends heavily on the investigation of non fatal runway incursion events mainly through other processes. The ICAO severity classification system for runway incursion events is (as for AIRPROX) based on the actual outcome. It thereby implicitly links the scale of an investigation to the actual outcome whereas the value of the lessons to be learned may not be so linked. As an example, since severity is classified after taking account of any avoiding action, the important distinction between such actions which are systems-based are not distinguished from those which are partly or wholly based on ‘providential’ human performance. Whilst the Annex 13 process is understandably based on outcome severity, more informed guidance on the way non-Annex 13 runway incursion events are initially evaluated could better inform the appropriate scale of investigation and support an improved alignment between the resource cost of that investigation and its potential benefits. Much better dissemination of transferable lessons learned is also needed. 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 21 THANK YOU 5th Brussels Safety Forum 2017 22
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