Today we will review “tree diagrams” You may have already seen tree diagrams (maybe not applied to probability) This easy idea will be used to remind us of the a “trick” Then we will use tree diagrams & the “trick” to help us find probabilities of compound events. CCSS.MATH.CONTENT.7.SP.C.8: Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation. Example A: Gabi is packing for a trip. She has 4 tops, 3 bottoms, and 2 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits can she make? Example A: Gabi is packing for a trip. She has 4 tops, 3 bottoms, and 2 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits can she make? 𝑇1 𝐵1 𝑆1 𝑇2 𝐵1 𝑆1 𝑇1 𝐵1 𝑆2 𝑇2 𝐵1 𝑆2 𝑆= 𝑇1 𝐵2 𝑆1 𝑇1 𝐵2 𝑆2 𝑇1 𝐵3 𝑆1 𝑇1 𝐵3 𝑆2 This is crazy! There must be a better way! Example A: Gabi is packing for a trip. She has 4 tops, 3 bottoms, and 2 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits can she make? 𝑇2 𝑇1 𝐵1 𝐵2 𝐵3 𝐵1 𝐵2 𝐵3 𝑇3 𝐵1 𝐵2 𝑇4 𝐵3 𝐵1 𝐵2 𝐵3 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1 𝑆2 𝑆1𝑆2 𝑆1𝑆2 𝑆1𝑆2 Example A: Gabi is packing for a trip. She has 4 tops, 3 bottoms, and 2 pairs of shoes. How many different outfits can she make? Multiplying “trick”: 4 ∙ 3 ∙ 2 = 24 Example B: An ice cream shop has 2 types of cones, 4 flavors, & 2 toppings. How many different ice cream cones can be made ? Mango Waffle Chocolate Mango Waffle Strawberry Vanilla Waffle Chocolate Vanilla Waffle Strawberry Waffle Mint CC Chocolate Waffle Mint CC Strawberry Waffle Chocolate Chocolate Waffle Chocolate Strawberry Mango Sugar Chocolate Mango Sugar Strawberry Vanilla Sugar Chocolate Vanilla Sugar Strawberry Sugar Mint CC Chocolate Sugar Mint CC Strawberry Sugar Chocolate Chocolate Sugar Chocolate Strawberry Mango Vanilla Waffle Multiplication: 2∙ 4 ∙ Chocolate Strawberry Chocolate Strawberry Mint CC Chocolate Strawberry Chocolate Chocolate Strawberry 2 = 16 Mango Sugar Chocolate Strawberry Mint CC Chocolate Strawberry Chocolate Strawberry Chocolate Chocolate Strawberry Vanilla Example C: A car comes with the choice of gas or diesel engines, automatic or manual transmissions, and cloth or leather seats. The car has five different colors: white, green, red, silver, black. How many different cars are there? Multiplication: 2 ∙ 2 ∙ 2 ∙ 5 = 40 wg r bs wg r bwsg r sg bw r wgb s r wbgs r wbgs r wbgs r bs Examples A, B, and C were not random/chance events. In 7th grade we use tree diagrams to find sample spaces & probabilities of chance events Example D: Carnival Game. 𝑆= 𝑅 𝑅 𝑅 𝑅 𝐵 𝐵 𝐵 𝐵 𝑅 𝑅 𝐵 𝐵 𝐺 𝐺 𝑌 𝑌 Example D: Carnival Game 𝐵𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑅𝑒𝑑 𝑅𝑒𝑑 𝐵𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑌𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝐺𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 𝑅𝑒𝑑 𝐵𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑌𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝐺𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 Example E: A dice is rolled twice? 1 2 1 23 4 56 1 2345 6 3 4 5 6 1 23 45 6 12 3 4 56 1234 56 12 3 4 5 6 𝑃 𝑏𝑜𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑠 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑜𝑑𝑑 = 9 36 = 1 4 Example F: A coin is flipped 4 times. What is the probability of getting at least three heads? 𝐻 𝑇 𝐻 𝑇 𝐻 𝐻 𝑇 𝐻 𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻 𝑇 𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻 𝑇 5 𝑃 𝐻≥3 = 16 𝐻 𝑇 𝐻𝑇 𝐻 𝑇
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